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Genworth Financial Inc (GNW)
NYSE:GNW

Genworth Financial (GNW) AI Stock Analysis

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GNGenworth Financial
(NYSE:GNW)
61Neutral
Genworth Financial's stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The company benefits from a robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives such as debt reduction and share buybacks. However, challenges in profitability and weak technical indicators pose risks. The low P/E ratio suggests potential undervaluation, but the lack of dividend yield is a downside for some investors. Overall, while there are positive strategic developments, financial and technical weaknesses impact the stock's attractiveness.

Genworth Financial (GNW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Genworth Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenworth Financial, Inc. is a leading insurance company headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. The company operates primarily in the insurance sector, offering a range of products and services designed to help customers achieve financial security. Genworth's core offerings include life insurance, long-term care insurance, and mortgage insurance, which cater to individuals and families seeking to protect their assets and manage the financial risks associated with aging, illness, and home ownership.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenworth Financial generates revenue through the premiums received from its various insurance products. The company derives income by underwriting and selling life, long-term care, and mortgage insurance policies to customers. Premiums are collected periodically, and Genworth invests these funds to generate investment income, which further contributes to its earnings. The company's mortgage insurance segment is particularly significant, providing insurance to lenders against borrower default, which is especially crucial during economic downturns. Additionally, Genworth may form partnerships with financial institutions to expand its distribution network, thereby enhancing its revenue streams. Investment returns on the company's portfolio also play a critical role in its profitability, as the company allocates a portion of premiums into various financial instruments to ensure steady growth and returns.

Genworth Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Genworth Financial shows a solid balance sheet with low leverage and high equity. However, challenges exist in profitability and cash flow consistency, with recent declines in net and free cash flow margins.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Genworth Financial's revenue has been relatively stable over the years, with a slight decline in recent periods. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown volatility, with a significant dip in the latest year, signaling potential profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company demonstrates a strong balance sheet with low debt levels and high stockholders' equity, resulting in an excellent debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio remains robust, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity has fluctuated, suggesting inconsistency in generating profits from equity investments.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Genworth Financial's cash flow statements reveal challenges in maintaining consistent free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong operational cash generation relative to net income, but the free cash flow has decreased significantly, reflecting potential issues in cash management or capital expenditures.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.29B7.49B7.51B7.83B8.66B
Gross Profit
7.29B7.49B7.51B7.83B8.66B
EBIT
437.00M199.00M739.00M1.17B448.00M
EBITDA
437.00M461.00M1.52B1.39B1.17B
Net Income Common Stockholders
299.00M76.00M609.00M850.00M761.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.72B2.21B61.39B74.50B80.57B
Total Assets
86.87B90.82B86.44B99.17B105.75B
Total Debt
1.52B1.58B1.61B1.90B3.55B
Net Debt
-530.00M-631.00M-59.78B-72.60B-77.02B
Total Liabilities
77.44B82.48B75.70B1.88B3.53B
Stockholders Equity
8.49B7.48B9.98B15.51B15.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
88.00M597.00M1.05B437.00M2.23B
Operating Cash Flow
88.00M597.00M1.05B437.00M1.96B
Investing Cash Flow
861.00M1.26B733.00M896.00M-1.15B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.11B-1.44B-1.55B-2.42B-1.51B

Genworth Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.72
Price Trends
50DMA
7.00
Negative
100DMA
7.13
Negative
200DMA
6.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
41.57
Neutral
STOCH
43.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.99, below the 50-day MA of 7.00, and below the 200-day MA of 6.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNW.

Genworth Financial Risk Analysis

Genworth Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genworth Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genworth Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UNUNM
75
Outperform
$13.77B8.2417.26%2.08%4.03%45.42%
AIAIG
71
Outperform
$47.38B15.777.10%1.95%-28.56%1.14%
LNLNC
67
Neutral
$6.11B1.9543.24%5.02%47.95%
MEMET
65
Neutral
$55.56B13.7215.41%2.67%6.10%225.22%
64
Neutral
$14.34B10.619.28%4.07%18.04%-9.54%
GNGNW
61
Neutral
$2.78B9.973.87%-4.81%-74.30%
PRPRU
61
Neutral
$38.79B14.619.79%4.79%34.25%11.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNW
Genworth Financial
6.64
0.46
7.44%
AIG
American International Group
81.31
8.15
11.14%
LNC
Lincoln National
35.81
10.42
41.04%
MET
Metlife
82.22
12.90
18.61%
PRU
Prudential Financial
110.14
4.23
3.99%
UNM
Unum Group
79.46
29.45
58.89%

Genworth Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -8.20% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as debt reduction, Enact's strong performance, and expansion of the CareScout network, which were offset by challenges like the fourth-quarter net loss and losses in the long-term care segment. The sentiment leans slightly positive due to the strategic accomplishments and future growth potential.
Highlights
Debt Reduction Achievement
Genworth reduced its holding company debt to $790 million by the end of 2024, down from $856 million at the end of 2023 and significantly down from $4.2 billion in 2013.
Enact's Strong Performance
Enact contributed $137 million to Genworth's fourth-quarter adjusted operating income and $585 million for the full year, marking a record performance.
Share Repurchase Program Success
Genworth reduced its outstanding shares by 18% since May 2022, spending $565 million on share repurchases.
CareScout Network Expansion
CareScout Quality Network expanded to cover 86% of the aged 65-plus U.S. population, reaching nearly 500 providers by the end of 2024.
MYRAP Progress
The net present value of the MYRAP increased by $3.2 billion in 2024, achieving 87% of the MYRAP's total projected value.
Lowlights
Fourth Quarter Net Loss
Genworth reported a net loss of $1 million for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Long-Term Care Segment Losses
The LTC segment reported an adjusted operating loss of $104 million in the fourth quarter due to liability remeasurement loss and assumption updates.
Statutory Loss in U.S. Life Insurance
The U.S. life insurance companies experienced an estimated pretax statutory loss of $33 million for the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During Genworth Financial's fourth-quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic insights. Genworth reported a net loss of $1 million for the fourth quarter, with an adjusted operating income of $15 million, largely driven by Enact, which contributed $137 million. For the full year, Genworth's net income was $299 million, or $0.68 per share, with an adjusted operating income of $273 million. Enact's performance was strong, providing a record $585 million to adjusted operating income. The company achieved a total estimated pretax statutory loss of $33 million for its U.S. life insurance companies in the fourth quarter, while generating a statutory pretax income of $378 million for the full year. Genworth continued its debt reduction journey, reducing holding company debt to $790 million by the end of 2024. The company also highlighted progress in its multiyear rate action plan (MYRAP), achieving 87% of its total projected value, contributing $31.2 billion in net present value to its legacy business since 2012. Additionally, Genworth has invested $565 million in share repurchases since May 2022, reducing outstanding shares by 18%. The CareScout Quality Network expanded significantly, achieving 86% coverage of the U.S. aged 65-plus population by the end of 2024, with nearly 500 providers in the network. Genworth plans to invest $75 million in CareScout Insurance Company later in 2025, aiming to drive future growth and shareholder value.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.