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Travis Perkins PLC (GB:TPK)
LSE:TPK

Travis Perkins (TPK) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Travis Perkins

(LSE:TPK)

60Neutral
Travis Perkins' overall stock score reflects a balance between strong cash flow management and significant operational challenges, including underperformance in merchanting, leadership changes, and technical weaknesses. The company's sound balance sheet and debt reduction efforts are positive, but recent profitability issues and technical trends suggest caution. The mixed earnings call and CEO resignation add to the uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment.
Positive Factors
Management and Leadership
New Chair Geoff Drabble is expected to drive improvements at pace, leveraging his extensive industry experience.
Market Conditions
The improvement in UK residential RMI is seen as inevitable, with housing transactions picking up, mortgage rates expected to fall, and consumer balance sheets improving.
Stock Rating
The stock rating for Travis Perkins has been upgraded from Hold to Buy due to a compelling risk/reward scenario at historically low share prices.
Negative Factors
Market Share
Travis Perkins noted a loss of market share in Merchanting over the summer, with volumes continuing to decline.
Profit Guidance
The FY24 operating profit guidance has been lowered to approximately £135m from a previous guide of about £150m.
Revenue and Performance
Travis Perkins reported total revenue growth of -5.7% for the 3Q, with like for like growth of -6.8%, indicating a decline in performance.

Travis Perkins (TPK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Travis Perkins Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTravis Perkins (TPK) is a leading supplier of building materials and home improvement products in the United Kingdom. The company operates across various sectors, including construction, plumbing, heating, and DIY retail, serving both professional builders and home improvement enthusiasts. With a broad range of products such as timber, bricks, tools, and plumbing supplies, Travis Perkins provides essential materials required for building, renovating, and maintaining properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyTravis Perkins generates revenue primarily through the sale of building materials and home improvement products. The company's key revenue streams include its network of branches and online platforms, which cater to both trade professionals and retail customers. Additionally, Travis Perkins benefits from its extensive supply chain and logistics capabilities, which allow for efficient distribution of products. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers also play a crucial role in maintaining a diverse product offering and competitive pricing, contributing to its earnings.

Travis Perkins Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.75B4.86B4.99B4.59B3.70B6.96B
Gross Profit
-537.90M1.31B1.38B1.31B1.04B2.03B
EBIT
39.50M109.90M258.60M294.90M-114.00M409.60M
EBITDA
189.90M306.40M461.20M464.90M193.70M570.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-17.40M38.10M192.20M278.90M-22.40M121.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
131.50M131.50M235.70M459.80M505.60M207.90M
Total Assets
4.03B4.03B4.14B4.40B6.08B6.44B
Total Debt
1.05B1.05B1.05B1.06B1.90B2.00B
Net Debt
922.00M922.00M818.50M604.60M1.40B1.79B
Total Liabilities
1.99B1.99B2.03B2.16B3.37B3.85B
Stockholders Equity
2.04B2.04B2.10B2.24B2.71B2.58B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
118.20M83.60M118.40M167.60M384.90M236.60M
Operating Cash Flow
233.00M217.60M257.50M332.30M487.20M370.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-64.60M-58.90M-116.60M139.80M-9.00M-115.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-210.10M-250.40M-377.50M-517.90M-180.50M-302.70M

Travis Perkins Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£1.66B13.957.50%4.29%-1.59%-12.46%
CRCRH
75
Outperform
£56.43B16.6016.07%1.76%1.78%15.53%
GBKLR
75
Outperform
£973.70M6.9325.66%3.50%0.70%60.51%
74
Outperform
£32.14B19.9129.63%2.08%1.84%-5.54%
64
Neutral
£830.27M20.037.71%1.45%-61.69%
62
Neutral
$7.62B13.013.19%3.32%3.77%-14.28%
GBTPK
60
Neutral
£1.11B-2.02%2.10%-5.23%-301.98%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TPK
Travis Perkins
525.00
-206.46
-28.23%
GB:GFTU
Grafton
849.80
-115.33
-11.95%
GB:KLR
Keller Group plc
1,362.00
317.90
30.45%
GB:WOSG
Watches of Switzerland Group PLC
347.20
-11.40
-3.18%
FERG
Ferguson PLC
164.73
-46.54
-22.03%
CRH
CRH plc
84.74
5.69
7.19%

Travis Perkins Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 1, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.55% | Next Earnings Date: Aug 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view with both positive and negative aspects. While there were notable achievements in Toolstation U.K. profitability and debt reduction, the company faced significant challenges in merchanting performance and operational issues related to Oracle implementation.
Highlights
Toolstation U.K. Profitability
Toolstation U.K. saw an increase in profitability, in line with previous guidance, and is expected to continue performing well despite challenging market conditions.
Reduction in Net Debt
Net debt before leases was reduced by 39.2% from GBP340 million to GBP191 million, reflecting a strong focus on cash generation and balance sheet protection.
Closure of Toolstation France
The closure of Toolstation France is reported as a discontinued operation, eliminating a significant loss from future performance.
Successful Refinance
The company successfully refinanced GBP125 million of U.S. private placement debt on an investment-grade basis, demonstrating financial stability.
Lowlights
Merchanting Underperformance
Merchant businesses continued to underperform, with the general merchant business ceding market share in the second half of the fiscal year.
Significant Operational Challenges
The company faced operational challenges due to strategic missteps and tactical blunders, including high staff attrition and management void.
Oracle Implementation Issues
The implementation of Oracle Financials led to a backlog of invoices and frustration among colleagues, impacting working capital and day-to-day operations.
Decline in Group Revenue and Profit
Group revenue was down 4.7% to GBP4.6 billion, and adjusted operating profit decreased by 23.2% to GBP152 million compared to the prior year.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Travis Perkins provided guidance indicating that the group's financial performance for 2025 is expected to remain consistent with 2024, excluding property profits. Key metrics included a 4.7% decline in group revenue to GBP 4.6 billion and a 23.2% decrease in adjusted operating profit to GBP 152 million for 2024. The company also highlighted its efforts to manage cash generation more rigorously, resulting in a 39.2% reduction in net debt before leases, from GBP 340 million to GBP 191 million. The company expects capital expenditure to be around GBP 80 million, property profits at GBP 3 million, and an effective tax rate of 30% for the upcoming year. Despite challenges, particularly in the merchanting business, the company remains focused on enhancing operational efficiency and leveraging its strong fundamentals to improve market positioning.

Travis Perkins Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Travis Perkins Executive Exercises Options and Sells Shares
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

Travis Perkins plc announced that Robin Miller, General Counsel and Company Secretary, exercised nil-cost options and subsequently sold a portion of ordinary shares to cover tax liabilities. This transaction, involving 12,898 options exercised and 6,084 shares sold, reflects routine financial management by a key company executive, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements and maintaining transparency with stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on GB:TPK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:TPK is a Neutral.

Travis Perkins’ overall stock score reflects a balance between strong cash flow management and significant operational challenges, including underperformance in merchanting, leadership changes, and technical weaknesses. The company’s sound balance sheet and debt reduction efforts are positive, but recent profitability issues and technical trends suggest caution. The mixed earnings call and CEO resignation add to the uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:TPK stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Travis Perkins Finalizes Tender Offer for £250 Million Notes
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

Travis Perkins plc has announced the final results of its tender offer for its outstanding £250 million 3.750% guaranteed notes due 2026. The company accepted £125 million in aggregate principal amount of the notes, with a pro rata scaling factor of 57.5513%, and the settlement date is expected to be 11 April 2025. This move reflects Travis Perkins’ strategic financial management and may impact its liquidity and debt profile, potentially influencing stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

Spark’s Take on GB:TPK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:TPK is a Neutral.

Travis Perkins’ overall stock score reflects a balance between strong cash flow management and significant operational challenges, including underperformance in merchanting, leadership changes, and technical weaknesses. The company’s sound balance sheet and debt reduction efforts are positive, but recent profitability issues and technical trends suggest caution. The mixed earnings call and CEO resignation add to the uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:TPK stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Travis Perkins Announces Indicative Results of £250 Million Tender Offer
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

Travis Perkins plc has announced the indicative results of its tender offer for its outstanding £250 million 3.750% Guaranteed Notes due 2026. The company received valid tenders amounting to £214.92 million and expects to accept £125 million of these, subject to a scaling factor of 57.5513%. This move is part of the company’s financial strategy to manage its debt obligations, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

Spark’s Take on GB:TPK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:TPK is a Neutral.

Travis Perkins’ overall stock score reflects a balance between strong cash flow management and significant operational challenges, including underperformance in merchanting, leadership changes, and technical weaknesses. The company’s sound balance sheet and debt reduction efforts are positive, but recent profitability issues and technical trends suggest caution. The mixed earnings call and CEO resignation add to the uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:TPK stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Travis Perkins Announces 2025 AGM Details and Publishes Annual Report
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

Travis Perkins has announced the details for its 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for May 14, 2025, at the Crowne Plaza Hotel in London. The company has published its Annual Report for the year ended December 31, 2024, which is available on its website. The Notice of AGM and the Annual Report have been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism for public inspection, ensuring transparency and compliance with regulatory requirements.

Spark’s Take on GB:TPK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:TPK is a Neutral.

Travis Perkins’ overall stock score reflects a balance between strong cash flow management and significant operational challenges, including underperformance in merchanting, leadership changes, and technical weaknesses. The company’s sound balance sheet and debt reduction efforts are positive, but recent profitability issues and technical trends suggest caution. The mixed earnings call and CEO resignation add to the uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:TPK stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Travis Perkins Executives Exercise Share Options and Conduct Transactions
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Travis Perkins announced the exercise of nil-cost options and the subsequent sale of ordinary shares by Duncan Cooper, Chief Financial Officer, and Robin Miller, General Counsel and Company Secretary, to cover tax liabilities. Additionally, Robin Miller transferred shares to a spouse for nil consideration. These transactions are part of the company’s share-based compensation plans, reflecting standard practices in corporate governance and executive remuneration.

Spark’s Take on GB:TPK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:TPK is a Neutral.

Travis Perkins’ overall stock score reflects a balance between strong cash flow management and significant operational challenges, including underperformance in merchanting, leadership changes, and technical weaknesses. The company’s sound balance sheet and debt reduction efforts are positive, but recent profitability issues and technical trends suggest caution. The mixed earnings call and CEO resignation add to the uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:TPK stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Travis Perkins Sees Major Shareholding Change as BlackRock Reduces Stake
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

Travis Perkins has announced a change in major shareholding, with BlackRock, Inc. reducing its voting rights in the company to below 5%. This adjustment in shareholding could impact Travis Perkins’ market positioning and influence within the industry, as BlackRock is a significant institutional investor. The notification highlights a shift in BlackRock’s investment strategy, potentially affecting stakeholder perceptions and the company’s future shareholder dynamics.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Travis Perkins Releases 2024 Annual Report
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Travis Perkins has announced the publication of its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31 December 2024, following the release of its full year results. The report is available online, and hard copies will be sent to shareholders who have opted for paper communications. This publication provides stakeholders with detailed insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, reinforcing its commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Travis Perkins Announces Change in Major Shareholding by BlackRock
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Travis Perkins has announced a notification of major shareholding, indicating that BlackRock, Inc. has adjusted its voting rights in the company. As of April 1, 2025, BlackRock holds 5% of the voting rights, a slight decrease from its previous position. This change in shareholding could impact Travis Perkins’ market dynamics and influence its strategic decisions, reflecting BlackRock’s ongoing investment strategy.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Travis Perkins Announces Cash Tender Offer for £250 Million Notes
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Travis Perkins plc has announced a cash tender offer for its outstanding £250 million 3.750% guaranteed notes due in 2026. This move is aimed at proactively managing the company’s debt profile and providing liquidity for investors. The offer allows the company to purchase up to £125 million of the notes, with the potential to adjust this amount based on the final acceptance. The notes purchased will be canceled, which could impact the company’s financial structure and investor relations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Travis Perkins Announces New Chair for Nominations Committee
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Travis Perkins has announced a change in its board of directors, with Geoff Drabble taking on the role of Chair of the Nominations Committee effective April 1, 2025. This leadership change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its governance structure and enhance its strategic direction, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relationships.

Financial Disclosures
Travis Perkins to Announce 2024 Financial Results on April 1, 2025
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

Travis Perkins plc has announced that it will release its financial results for the year ending 31 December 2024 on 1 April 2025. The company plans to host a presentation for analysts and investors, indicating a proactive approach to engaging with stakeholders and maintaining transparency in its financial communications.

Financial Disclosures
Travis Perkins Delays Financial Results Publication for 2024
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

Travis Perkins plc has announced a delay in the publication of its financial results for the year ended 31 December 2024, initially scheduled for 18 March 2025. The delay is due to the company’s auditor requiring additional time to complete standard audit procedures. Despite the postponement, the Board anticipates that the adjusted operating profit will align with the guidance provided in the Q3 trading update, indicating stability in the company’s financial performance.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Travis Perkins CEO Steps Down Due to Health Reasons
Negative
Mar 10, 2025

Travis Perkins announced that CEO Pete Redfern is stepping down due to ill health, with Geoff Drabble, Chair, ensuring business stability and continued focus on performance improvement. The company will begin searching for a new CEO immediately, while maintaining its strategic initiatives to enhance profitability and shareholder value.

Executive/Board Changes
Travis Perkins Announces Key Board Leadership Changes
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

Travis Perkins plc has announced a change in its board of directors, effective February 1, 2025. Geoff Drabble has assumed the role of Chair of the Board, while Jez Maiden has stepped down from his position as Interim Chair to resume his previous role as Senior Independent Director. This move aligns with the company’s earlier announcement and reflects its strategic board leadership adjustments. The company expressed gratitude to Jez Maiden for his service as Interim Chair since May 31, 2024.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.