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Renalytix Plc OTC (GB:RENX)
:RENX

Renalytix (RENX) AI Stock Analysis

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Renalytix

(OTC:RENX)

37Underperform
Renalytix's overall stock score reflects its significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators. While positive corporate events provide some optimism about future growth, the company's current financial instability and negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on its score.

Renalytix (RENX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Renalytix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRenalytix (RENX) is a healthcare technology company specializing in the development of diagnostic solutions for kidney disease. Operating within the biotechnology and medical diagnostics sectors, the company focuses on providing innovative tools that improve early detection, monitoring, and treatment of kidney disease. Renalytix's core products include KidneyIntelX, a proprietary AI-driven in vitro diagnostic platform that assesses the risk of progressive kidney function decline in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).
How the Company Makes MoneyRenalytix makes money primarily through the commercialization of its KidneyIntelX diagnostic platform. The company's revenue model involves partnerships with healthcare providers, hospitals, and insurance companies to implement and integrate KidneyIntelX into their patient care systems. By offering a subscription-based or per-test pricing model, Renalytix generates revenue whenever its diagnostic solutions are utilized in clinical settings. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, leveraging its technology for drug development and clinical trial support. These partnerships can provide additional revenue streams through licensing agreements, milestone payments, and data sharing arrangements.

Renalytix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Renalytix faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, substantial losses, and a weak balance sheet with negative equity. The income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability, while the balance sheet reveals negative stockholders' equity and high financial risk. Cash flow is negative, indicating significant cash management issues.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Renalytix has experienced a significant decline in revenue with a growth rate of -32.74% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is low at 6.81%, and the company is operating at a loss, evident from a negative net profit margin of -1461.15%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating challenges in managing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity of -£7.85 million. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, indicating high financial risk. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting that liabilities exceed assets, which is a significant risk factor.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Operating cash flow is negative, and free cash flow has decreased by 7.85% year-over-year, reflecting cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and net income levels, though both figures are negative.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.35M2.29M3.40M2.97M1.49M0.00
Gross Profit
299.00K156.00K701.00K918.00K687.00K-74.00K
EBIT
-24.09M-29.61M-42.35M-57.37M-32.61M-11.08M
EBITDA
-23.79M-28.52M-41.71M-52.69M-33.69M-11.08M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-28.03M-33.46M-45.61M-45.28M-34.73M-9.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.83M4.68M26.14M44.08M74.45M14.28M
Total Assets
19.93M7.97M42.12M63.26M102.58M41.30M
Total Debt
0.008.54M12.15M12.71M352.00K622.00K
Net Debt
-9.87M3.85M-12.53M-28.63M-64.81M-12.67M
Total Liabilities
1.30M15.83M23.66M20.09M7.48M5.34M
Stockholders Equity
18.62M-7.85M18.45M43.17M95.10M35.96M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-19.58M-30.11M-32.67M-46.44M-26.26M-11.37M
Operating Cash Flow
-24.44M-30.11M-32.67M-45.74M-24.63M-10.06M
Investing Cash Flow
17.00K-4.00K0.00-694.00K-741.00K-485.00K
Financing Cash Flow
11.32M10.25M15.12M25.52M77.24M16.54M

Renalytix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.00
Price Trends
50DMA
10.99
Negative
100DMA
9.62
Negative
200DMA
10.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Positive
RSI
18.72
Positive
STOCH
21.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RENX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.53, below the 50-day MA of 10.99, and below the 200-day MA of 10.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.72 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:RENX.

Renalytix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
£105.62M214.510.72%0.69%-1.22%-92.99%
52
Neutral
£14.47M-2.49%-3.76%65.81%
49
Neutral
$6.90B0.02-54.05%2.46%24.91%-3.14%
TSOMI
44
Neutral
£54.22M9.99%70.92%
37
Underperform
£29.81M425.97%-22.16%50.89%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:RENX
Renalytix
9.00
-20.00
-68.97%
GB:FIPP
Frontier IP
20.50
-19.30
-48.49%
GB:TRCS
Tracsis
360.00
-536.20
-59.83%
TSE:OMI
Orosur Mining
0.20
0.16
400.00%

Renalytix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 20, 2024 | % Change Since: 16.13% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic achievements, including Medicare coverage developments, inclusion in clinical guidelines, successful fundraising, and cost reduction efforts. However, there are challenges such as a decline in revenue and testing volumes, and adoption hurdles in the VA system. The sentiment is balanced, with positive long-term strategic developments countered by short-term operational challenges.
Highlights
Positive Medicare Coverage Developments
Medicare contractor National Government Services issued a draft local coverage determination for KidneyIntelX, with expectations for a final coverage determination in the near term.
Inclusion in International Clinical Guidelines
KidneyIntelX was included in the KDIGO international clinical guidelines for chronic kidney disease, marking a significant milestone for broader adoption.
Successful Fundraising
Completed common stock equity financing rounds in March and April, raising net proceeds of approximately $13.5 million, extending the financial runway.
FDA-Authorized Product Launch
Launched the FDA-authorized KidneyIntelX.dkd product version, with commercial test orders now being received.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Year-over-year headcount reduction of 50% and overall operating expenses reduced by approximately 40%, aiming for further expense reductions.
Direct-to-Physician Sales Growth
Achieved a 33% increase in direct-to-primary-care test order rates quarter-over-quarter, indicating early growth trends.
Strategic Acquisition Interest
Received interest from multiple potential acquirers, with a competitive sale process anticipated.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
Recorded revenue of $535,000 for Q3 2024, down from $724,000 in the prior year period.
Testing Volume Decrease
Processed 806 tests during the quarter, a decrease from previous quarters, with 82% being billable.
Challenges in VA System Adoption
Faced complexities in rolling out KidneyIntelX in the VA system, leading to reduced focus in this market for 2024.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings call for Renalytix (Symbol: RENX.L), management provided a detailed overview of their financial and strategic progress. The company reported a revenue of $535,000 for Q3 2024, with 806 tests processed, 82% of which were billable. This reflects a decline from the previous year, attributed to the conclusion of a $6 million contract with Mount Sinai. Operating expenses were significantly reduced by 40% year-over-year to $6.5 million, following strategic reorganization efforts, including a 50% reduction in headcount. The net loss also decreased by 36% to $7.7 million. The launch of the FDA-authorized KidneyIntelX.dkd product and increased insurance reimbursement were highlighted as key developments. The company emphasized their strategic focus on sales growth with a 33% increase in direct-to-physician test orders quarter-over-quarter, while anticipating further growth with the expected finalization of Medicare coverage and inclusion in international clinical guidelines. Additionally, Renalytix raised $13.5 million in aggregate gross proceeds from recent financings and reported $4.7 million in cash as of March 31, excluding additional financing proceeds. The ongoing strategic review, including potential acquisition interest, was also discussed, though specifics were limited due to regulatory constraints.

Renalytix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Renalytix to Announce Interim Results and Host Investor Presentations
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Renalytix announced it will release its unaudited interim results for the six months ending December 31, 2024, on March 18, 2025. The company is hosting both online and in-person investor presentations to discuss these results, inviting current shareholders and interested investors to participate. The announcement underscores the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, as well as its strategic focus on expanding the deployment of kidneyintelX.dkd across the U.S. healthcare system.

Other
Renalytix PLC Sees UBS Holdings Fall Below 5% Threshold
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

Renalytix PLC has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with UBS Group AG’s trading book holdings in the company falling below the 5% threshold. This change means that UBS’s holdings in Renalytix are now exempt from reporting obligations, indicating a potential shift in the investment landscape for the company.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Renalytix’s KidneyIntelX.dkd Gains Prominence in Nephrology Advances
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

Renalytix announced that its kidneyintelX.dkd test has been featured in the Journal of the American Society of Nephrology, highlighting its significance in precision medicine for diabetic kidney disease. The test’s inclusion in the KDIGO guidelines and its role in facilitating personalized care underscores its potential to transform treatment paradigms, especially with new drug approvals like Ozempic for DKD, by providing risk-based treatment pathways that enhance patient outcomes while controlling healthcare costs.

Other
UBS Reduces Stake in Renalytix PLC Below 5%
Neutral
Jan 28, 2025

Renalytix PLC announced a significant change in its shareholder structure as UBS Group AG, through its Investment Bank & Global Wealth Management, has reduced its holdings in the company to below 5%. This reduction in UBS’s trading book holdings means they are now exempt from reporting their stake in Renalytix PLC, highlighting a notable shift in investor interests and potential impacts on the company’s market perception.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Renalytix On Track to Meet Financial Targets with Significant Growth
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

Renalytix has provided a trading update indicating that it remains on track to meet its financial targets for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, supported by a significant increase in the number of tests ordered and a successful £11.8m funding round. The company expects to report revenues of $1.3 million for the first half of fiscal year 2025, with continued growth driven by new partnerships and increased sales representative productivity. The expansion includes onboarding a large New York-based primary care network, which has bolstered growth and is expected to encourage further adoption of kidneyintelX.dkd in the coming year.

Renalytix Aligns Share Option Scheme with Market Conditions
Dec 30, 2024

Renalytix plc has announced the granting and cancellation of options for its executives and directors to align its share option scheme with current market conditions. This move is meant to incentivize and retain key personnel by adjusting option targets to better reflect the company’s performance and market position, thus ensuring alignment with shareholder interests.

Renalytix Executive Increases Stake Amidst Kidney Disease Innovation
Dec 20, 2024

Renalytix announced that its Chief Technology Officer and Executive Director, Fergus Fleming, has purchased 25,000 shares in the company, demonstrating confidence in its operations and market positioning. This transaction highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to addressing the significant challenge of chronic kidney disease, with its kidneyintelX.dkd tool already showing a substantial impact in improving diagnosis and treatment rates.

Renalytix Successfully Passes All Resolutions at AGM
Dec 19, 2024

Renalytix plc announced that all resolutions were passed at its Annual General Meeting. This includes the reappointment of auditors and authorization of share issuance under the equity incentive plan. The successful passage of these resolutions supports the company’s operational strategies and continues its commitment to advance kidney disease management through its FDA-approved test, kidneyintelX.dkd, which is gaining traction in the U.S. healthcare market.

Renalytix Advances Strategic Goals with Funding and Market Expansion
Dec 19, 2024

Renalytix plc announced updates during its AGM, highlighting the success of a recent £11.8m funding round and a strategic refocus aimed at delivering scalable revenues with a reduced cost base. The company emphasizes its FDA-approved, Medicare-reimbursed kidneyintelX.dkd test, which is recommended in international clinical guidelines and now available to approximately 14 million US diabetic kidney disease patients. The firm is leveraging an integrated sales approach with electronic health record systems to increase test adoption and efficiency. Renalytix aims to reduce cash burn by mid-2025 and expects to achieve a $3.2m revenue target for the year ending in June 2025, aligning management and shareholder interests through incentive plans.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.