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NewRiver REIT PLC (GB:NRR)
LSE:NRR

NewRiver REIT (NRR) AI Stock Analysis

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NewRiver REIT

(LSE:NRR)

61Neutral
NewRiver REIT scores 61, reflecting a balance of strengths and challenges. The company's strategic initiatives and high dividend yield provide potential upside, although declining revenue and operational inefficiencies pose risks. Technical indicators suggest caution, but positive corporate events may drive performance improvements.

NewRiver REIT (NRR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NewRiver REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewRiver REIT (NRR) is a real estate investment trust that specializes in retail property investment and management across the United Kingdom. The company focuses on creating value through the acquisition, management, and development of retail and leisure assets, including shopping centers, retail parks, and high street properties. NewRiver REIT aims to meet the evolving needs of consumers and retailers by enhancing and optimizing its property portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewRiver REIT generates revenue primarily through the rental income it receives from tenants occupying its retail and leisure properties. The company leases space in its shopping centers, retail parks, and high street locations to a diverse range of retail tenants, including national and local retailers, restaurants, and service providers. In addition to rental income, NewRiver REIT may also earn revenue from the sale of properties when market conditions are favorable, thereby realizing gains on its investments. To enhance its income potential, the company actively manages and develops its assets to improve occupancy rates and rental yields. Partnerships with key retailers and strategic acquisitions further contribute to its revenue growth by expanding its property portfolio and tenant base.

NewRiver REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NewRiver REIT's financial performance reveals mixed results. The company faces revenue and profit challenges, reflected in declining margins. While the balance sheet shows a balanced financial structure, the low return on equity indicates potential profitability issues. Cash flow remains robust, suggesting effective cash management despite a drop in free cash flow.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows a decline in total revenue over the past two years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -10.70% from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins have decreased slightly, and the latest net profit margin is low at 4.56%, indicating challenges in profitability. The EBIT margin has also dropped significantly, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the return on equity (ROE) has improved to 0.83%, which is low but better than the previous year's negative ROE. The equity ratio is 47.54%, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 7.57, indicating strong cash generation relative to profits. However, free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, with a growth rate of -30.83%. The company maintains adequate liquidity.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
65.80M73.70M75.00M74.90M146.30M
Gross Profit
44.90M46.40M47.10M49.20M90.70M
EBIT
12.90M35.20M36.70M30.70M66.50M
EBITDA
29.70M35.80M37.50M31.50M68.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.00M-16.80M7.00M-122.10M-121.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
132.80M108.60M82.80M150.50M80.80M
Total Assets
759.60M781.50M819.10M1.23B1.38B
Total Debt
372.20M373.40M371.50M715.30M714.90M
Net Debt
239.40M264.80M288.70M564.80M634.10M
Total Liabilities
398.50M402.90M405.00M765.50M767.70M
Stockholders Equity
361.10M378.60M414.10M460.40M610.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
16.60M24.00M34.90M-4.40M21.40M
Operating Cash Flow
22.70M27.00M47.50M8.90M45.60M
Investing Cash Flow
23.60M18.80M239.80M62.90M-40.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-22.10M-20.00M-355.00M-2.10M48.60M

NewRiver REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.70
Price Trends
50DMA
71.42
Negative
100DMA
73.23
Negative
200DMA
74.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.44
Positive
RSI
36.62
Neutral
STOCH
22.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NRR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.27, below the 50-day MA of 71.42, and below the 200-day MA of 74.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:NRR.

NewRiver REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBNRR
61
Neutral
£321.87M15.283.55%9.20%-8.82%
61
Neutral
£3.53B19.483.17%6.43%-30.83%
61
Neutral
$4.74B19.16-3.00%7.93%6.45%-20.78%
56
Neutral
£4.18B39.661.61%7.09%-1.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NRR
NewRiver REIT
67.70
-1.49
-2.15%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
563.00
-21.75
-3.72%
GB:BLND
British Land Company plc
353.80
10.12
2.94%

NewRiver REIT Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NewRiver REIT Partners with Royal Mail for Parcel Locker Rollout
Positive
Mar 6, 2025

NewRiver REIT has partnered with Royal Mail to introduce a new parcel locker network across its UK shopping centres and retail parks. This initiative, which will see lockers installed in over 60 locations, aims to enhance convenience for shoppers, increase footfall, and boost customer spending. The partnership aligns with Royal Mail’s strategy to expand its parcel services and leverages NewRiver’s extensive property portfolio. The rollout has begun in Essex and is set to continue over the next six months, providing NewRiver with a modest income while supporting community-focused retail environments.

Business Operations and Strategy
NewRiver REIT Secures Sainsbury’s Lease in Dumfries
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

NewRiver REIT has announced a new 15-year lease agreement with Sainsbury’s for a 48,100 sq ft unit at Cuckoo Bridge Retail Park in Dumfries, marking the first Sainsbury’s store in the area. This development not only revitalizes a previously vacant unit but also highlights strong demand for NewRiver’s retail park portfolio, with rental terms significantly above previous levels. The new store is expected to open in early 2026, creating at least 100 jobs and enhancing the local retail offering, further demonstrating the strength of the UK retail market and the importance of physical stores for omni-channel operators.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
NewRiver REIT Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc has announced its total voting rights, which stand at 475,442,219. This figure is crucial for shareholders as it serves as the denominator for calculating their interests under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, impacting their notification requirements regarding interest changes.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NewRiver REIT Expands Portfolio with Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

NewRiver REIT has announced a successful third quarter, highlighted by the acquisition of Capital & Regional Plc for £151 million, significantly increasing its portfolio size by 65% to £0.9 billion. This strategic move is expected to enhance earnings and dividends, with the integration already showing strong operational metrics and high occupancy rates. The company reported substantial in-store spending growth in its portfolio during the Christmas period, outperforming the UK retail average, particularly in discount and value sectors. With cost synergies from the acquisition and expanded capital partnerships, NewRiver is well-positioned for sector-leading returns in the short and medium term.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NewRiver REIT Initiates Scrip Dividend Share Allotment
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc has announced the allotment of 585,585 Ordinary Shares to be admitted to the Official List of the Financial Conduct Authority and the London Stock Exchange. This issuance is part of the company’s Scrip Dividend Scheme related to the interim dividend for the six months ending 30 September 2024. The newly issued shares will hold the same rights as the existing ordinary shares, which indicates a strategic move to enhance shareholder returns through dividends, reflecting positively on NewRiver’s financial strategies.

NewRiver REIT Announces Total Voting Rights
Jan 2, 2025

NewRiver REIT has announced its total voting rights to comply with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority. The company’s issued share capital includes 476,498,423 ordinary shares, with 474,816,301 shares having voting rights, providing a basis for shareholders to determine their notification requirements regarding their interest in the company.

NewRiver REIT Announces Scrip Dividend Reference Price and Scheme Details
Dec 30, 2024

NewRiver REIT PLC announced the scrip dividend reference price for shareholders opting for the scrip dividend alternative for the interim dividend ending 30 September 2024, set at 73.41 pence per ordinary share. This scrip dividend scheme allows shareholders to receive additional shares instead of cash dividends, approved at the July 2023 Annual General Meeting, with no stamp duty or dealing charges, enhancing shareholder flexibility and potentially increasing shareholding value.

NewRiver REIT CEO Increases Shareholding through Option Exercise
Dec 18, 2024

NewRiver REIT announced that its CEO, Allan Lockhart, exercised 181,450 nil-cost options under the company’s Deferred Bonus Plan, resulting in an increase of his beneficial shareholding to 726,280 shares. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, involved selling 85,711 shares to cover tax liabilities and was carried out without issuing new shares, as it was fulfilled using shares from the Employee Benefit Trust. The action aligns with regulatory requirements under the UK Market Abuse Regulation.

NewRiver REIT CFO Exercises Share Options
Dec 18, 2024

NewRiver REIT plc, a company involved in the real estate investment trust sector, has announced a managerial transaction involving its Chief Financial Officer, Will Hobman. On December 17, 2024, Hobman exercised 133,085 nil-cost options from the company’s Deferred Bonus Plan, leading to an increase in his beneficial interest to 495,771 Ordinary Shares. To cover associated tax liabilities, 62,865 shares were sold. This transaction is in compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation.

Clearance Capital Alters Stake in NewRiver REIT
Dec 17, 2024

Clearance Capital Limited, a discretionary investment management firm, has crossed a new threshold of voting rights in NewRiver REIT plc, holding a total of 2.629% of voting rights. This change in voting rights, primarily through financial instruments, reflects a shift in the shareholder’s position due to the issuance of new shares by NewRiver REIT, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder dynamics.

NewRiver REIT PLC Sees Change in Major Shareholder Voting Rights
Dec 17, 2024

NewRiver REIT PLC has undergone a significant change in its voting rights structure, as FIL Limited, a Bermuda-registered entity, now holds 11.1758% of the voting rights. This change, effective from December 12, 2024, reflects a decrease from a previous position of 13.8246%, and may impact the company’s governance and influence within its market segment.

NewRiver REIT Updates Total Voting Rights
Dec 16, 2024

NewRiver REIT PLC has announced its total voting rights following an update to its share capital. The company now has 474,097,996 voting rights, which is significant for shareholders as it determines the threshold for disclosure requirements under FCA rules, impacting how shareholders manage their interests.

NewRiver REIT Announces 3.0 Pence Dividend with Scrip Option
Dec 12, 2024

NewRiver REIT has declared a dividend of 3.0 pence per share for the six months ending 30 September 2024. The dividend will be distributed as a Property Income Distribution on 28 January 2025 to shareholders on record as of 20 December 2024. Shareholders can opt to receive additional shares instead of cash dividends through the company’s scrip dividend scheme, which incurs no dealing charges or stamp duty. This scheme allows shareholders to enhance their investment in the company while providing flexibility in dividend reception.

NewRiver REIT’s Strategic Acquisitions Propel Growth and Expansion
Dec 12, 2024

NewRiver REIT has undergone a transformational period marked by the acquisition of Capital & Regional, which substantially increases its portfolio size by 65% and is expected to deliver significant earnings accretion. The acquisition, partially funded by an oversubscribed equity raise, is anticipated to unlock cost synergies and enable growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties. The company also acquired Ellandi to expand its capital partnerships, further enhancing its asset management capabilities. NewRiver maintains a strong financial position with stable portfolio valuations and a positive outlook, supported by high occupancy and retention rates.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.