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Tritax Big Box REIT PLC (GB:BBOX)
LSE:BBOX

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) AI Stock Analysis

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Tritax Big Box REIT

(LSE:BBOX)

81Outperform
Tritax Big Box REIT's strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive sentiment from the latest earnings call contribute to a high overall score. Key strengths include robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and strategic expansion into data centers. Despite potential risks from leverage and market uncertainties, the company's strategic positioning and solid balance sheet provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Management
BBOX maintains a conservatively managed balance sheet with a loan to value of 29%, below the guidance range, and 93% of the debt book is fixed.
Rental Growth
Tritax Big Box produced like-for-like rental growth of just under 4%, showing resilience despite concerns in the logistics sector.
Revenue Expansion
BBOX has added £22.7m of contracted rent during the year from both rent reviews and letting of developments, this includes a 1m sq ft pre-let.
Negative Factors
Business Confidence
The discount to NTA reflects continued concern over depressed business confidence feeding into lower net absorption and rising vacancy.
Market Performance
The real estate sector as a whole suffered a predictable sell-off, with the EPRA UK Index now down 15% since the end of Q3 last year.
Share Valuation
The shares are now trading at a 24% discount to NTA, exactly in line with the broader UK REIT sector.

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tritax Big Box REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) is a real estate investment trust that specializes in acquiring, managing, and developing large-scale logistics properties across the United Kingdom. The company's portfolio primarily consists of modern, large-scale distribution centers, often referred to as 'big boxes,' which are strategically located near major transport hubs to facilitate efficient supply chain operations. These properties are leased to a diverse range of tenants, including some of the world's largest retailers and logistics companies, providing essential infrastructure for e-commerce and retail distribution.
How the Company Makes MoneyTritax Big Box REIT generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its logistics properties to tenants under long-term rental agreements. The company's key revenue streams include rental income, which is typically subject to upward-only rent reviews, providing stable and growing cash flows. Additionally, Tritax Big Box may realize gains through the appreciation of property values in its portfolio, which can be monetized through property sales or revaluation. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with developers and investors to expand its portfolio, thereby enhancing its income-generating capabilities. The demand for logistics and distribution space, driven by the growth of e-commerce and the need for efficient supply chain solutions, is a significant factor contributing to Tritax Big Box's earnings.

Tritax Big Box REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
258.70M228.80M-573.50M996.10M487.30M160.60M
Gross Profit
229.20M222.50M-607.70M964.80M464.70M138.90M
EBIT
205.00M190.70M-561.80M971.10M449.50M141.20M
EBITDA
204.30M179.10M0.000.000.0083.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
156.40M70.00M-599.40M972.60M449.40M141.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
47.37M36.40M47.40M70.90M57.60M21.20M
Total Assets
3.13B5.10B5.16B5.59B4.41B3.86B
Total Debt
820.45M1.62B1.61B1.35B1.34B1.15B
Net Debt
773.08M1.58B1.57B1.27B1.29B1.13B
Total Liabilities
893.18M1.77B1.81B1.52B1.49B1.30B
Stockholders Equity
2.24B3.33B3.35B4.08B2.92B2.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
149.10M185.30M177.40M191.90M7.60M93.30M
Operating Cash Flow
149.10M185.30M177.40M196.10M137.60M93.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-207.60M-67.20M-302.10M-327.30M-150.20M-474.60M
Financing Cash Flow
89.60M-81.30M101.20M144.50M49.00M383.40M

Tritax Big Box REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
£3.20B6.5611.28%5.91%38.97%417.46%
71
Outperform
£8.53B14.115.18%4.64%-9.88%
68
Neutral
£224.01M73.871.05%7.18%
65
Neutral
£3.52B19.353.17%6.47%-30.83%
61
Neutral
$4.24B15.87-3.65%12.20%6.29%-21.37%
52
Neutral
£3.95B37.481.61%7.50%-1.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BBOX
Tritax Big Box REIT
129.70
-14.04
-9.77%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
533.00
-59.05
-9.97%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
630.80
-193.36
-23.46%
GB:SREI
Schroder Real Estate ate ate Investment
46.80
6.35
15.70%
GB:BLND
British Land Company plc
352.40
-6.20
-1.73%

Tritax Big Box REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -8.34% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Tritax Big Box experienced a transformative year with strong financial and operational performance, strategic acquisitions, and promising future growth opportunities, particularly in data center development. Despite some market uncertainties and increased vacancy rates, the company's strategic positioning and strong balance sheet provide a positive outlook.
Highlights
Strong Financial and Operational Performance
Tritax Big Box reported excellent financial and operational results for 2024, with significant strategic transformation and increased rental income. The adjusted EPS rose by 15% to 8.91p, and dividends increased by 4.9% to 7.66p per share.
Strategic Acquisition and Integration
The acquisition of UKCM's £1.2 billion portfolio was a major milestone, contributing to increased net rental income and successful integration. The disposal program for non-strategic UKCM assets is ahead of schedule.
Data Center Development Opportunities
The launch of the Power First approach to data centers presents significant future growth opportunities, with a targeted yield on cost of 9.3% for the Manor Farm data center development.
Record Rental Reversion
The company achieved a record 28% rental reversion, expected to capture nearly 80% of this within the next three years, providing strong near-term growth visibility.
Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation
Tritax Big Box maintained a strong balance sheet with a loan-to-value ratio of 28.8% and available liquidity exceeding £550 million. The company plans to deploy significant capital into logistics development and data centers.
Lowlights
Increased Vacancy Rates
The company reported a rise in vacancy rates to 3.3%, partly due to the acquisition of the UKCM portfolio and the completion of new development assets.
Market Uncertainty and Challenges
Macro-economic and geopolitical uncertainties have caused some businesses to delay long-term commitments, impacting market dynamics.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided in the call for Tritax Big Box's fiscal year 2024 emphasized several key financial and operational metrics. The company reported an adjusted EPS of 8.91p, with a 15% increase, and a dividend of 7.66p per share, marking a 4.9% rise. Their EPRA NTA grew by 4.7% to 185.6p per share. Net rental income increased to over £275 million, largely due to the £1.2 billion UKCM acquisition. The company successfully executed £30 million in asset sales and reduced its EPRA cost ratio to 12.6%. Their loan-to-value ratio fell to 28.8%, while maintaining a strong balance sheet with £550 million in liquidity. The company looks forward to capital deployment in logistics and data centers, with expected capital allocation of £200 million to £250 million in logistics development and up to £100 million in data center development for 2025. Tritax Big Box is optimistic about capturing a 33% ERV growth potential and delivering a 9.3% yield on cost for their Manor Farm data center project.

Tritax Big Box REIT Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces 2025 AGM Details
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 7, 2025, at Ashurst LLP in London. The company has released several documents related to the AGM, including the Notice of Meeting and the 2024 Annual Report, which are available on their website and the National Storage Mechanism. With 2,480,677,459 ordinary shares in issue, all carrying voting rights, the AGM will be a significant event for stakeholders, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Enhances Management Stake with Strategic Share Acquisition
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc announced that Tritax Management LLP, under the terms of their Investment Management Agreement, has purchased 1,780,360 ordinary shares in the company. This acquisition, made on behalf of certain partners and employees, including persons discharging managerial responsibilities and abrdn Holdings Limited, reflects a strategic move to align management interests with shareholders. The shares were acquired at £1.4655 each, demonstrating confidence in the company’s market position and future prospects.

Dividends
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces Increased Dividend for 2024
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced an interim dividend of 2.185 pence per ordinary share for the period from October to December 2024, payable in March 2025. This brings the total dividend for 2024 to 7.66 pence per share, marking a 4.9% increase from the previous year, reflecting the company’s robust performance and commitment to shareholder returns.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Achieves Transformative Growth in 2024
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT reported a transformative year in 2024, marked by a significant strategic acquisition of UK Commercial Property REIT Limited, which enhanced their portfolio with high-quality urban logistics assets. The acquisition contributed to a 39.1% increase in contracted annual rent and supported a 15% rise in adjusted earnings per share. The company also achieved a record rental reversion and expanded its development pipeline, including one of the UK’s largest pre-lets for e-commerce and a substantial data center opportunity. These developments position Tritax Big Box REIT for robust future growth, with a focus on capturing rental reversion, advancing logistics developments, and leveraging data center opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT to Announce 2024 Full-Year Results and Host Investor Presentations
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc announced that it will release its 2024 full-year results on February 28, 2025, providing updates on financial and operational performance, market insights, and strategic progress. The company will host presentations for analysts, institutional, and retail investors, offering opportunities for live Q&A sessions, which could impact investor engagement and market perception.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Achieves Strategic Growth and Announces Major Data Center Development
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has reported significant growth and strategic success for the financial year ending December 2024, with an additional £22.7 million in contracted rent secured through active management and development lettings. The company achieved substantial disposals above book value and secured one of the UK’s largest 2024 pre-lets, showcasing its strong positioning in the logistics real estate sector. The company also announced a major data center development opportunity, continuing its strategy of capital recycling and portfolio optimization. This progress, combined with a strong balance sheet and a diversified range of growth drivers, positions Tritax Big Box REIT for a positive outlook in 2025.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Expands into Data Centre Market with Major Heathrow Development
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has acquired a 74-acre site at Heathrow for a major data centre project within the Slough Availability Zone, a prime EMEA location. The project involves the development of a 147 MW data centre in phases, with Phase 1 expected to be completed by 2027. The company has entered a joint venture to accelerate power delivery, aiming for a yield-on-cost of 9.3%. This initiative positions Tritax Big Box at a competitive advantage in the rapidly growing data centre market, addressing strong demand amidst limited supply.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.