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FS KKR Capital Corp (FSK)
NYSE:FSK

FS KKR Capital (FSK) AI Stock Analysis

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FS KKR Capital

(NYSE:FSK)

57Neutral
FS KKR Capital's overall score is weighed down by operational challenges, particularly the zero revenue in the latest year. Strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet provide stability, while the low P/E ratio and high dividend yield enhance its valuation appeal. The balanced sentiment from the earnings call, with notable strengths and challenges, rounds out the company's current outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FSK reported adjusted NOI of $0.74, ahead of the $0.71 estimate, driven by higher fees and dividend income.
Management Strategy
Management maintained its positive view toward carrying a full spillover balance, citing the payout protection.
Portfolio Positioning
FSK's deep discount compared to the index may be well positioned to tighten as the portfolio turns.
Negative Factors
Credit Impacts
Net credit impacts totaled -$0.17, with deeper marks on some new challenged credits.
Joint Venture Performance
The COP JV delivered lower dividends, with a decrease to $48.6 million from $53.9 million sequentially.
Non-Accruals
Non-accruals were managed down, but two new names, Accuride and Tangoe, were added to the list.

FS KKR Capital (FSK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

FS KKR Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) is a leading business development company (BDC) that provides customized credit solutions to private middle-market companies in the United States. The company operates across various sectors, focusing on industries such as healthcare, manufacturing, and energy. FSK primarily invests in senior secured debt, subordinated debt, and equity-related securities, offering flexible financing solutions to its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyFS KKR Capital makes money primarily through interest income and capital gains from its investment portfolio, which consists of debt and equity securities. The company earns interest income by providing loans to middle-market companies at various interest rates. These loans are typically structured as senior secured debt, offering FSK a higher claim on the borrower's assets in case of default. Additionally, FSK generates revenue from capital gains realized on the sale of equity investments. The company may also earn fee income through structuring fees, commitment fees, and other transaction-related fees associated with the origination and management of its investment portfolio. FSK benefits from its strategic partnership with KKR, a leading global investment firm, which provides access to extensive industry expertise, deal flow, and operational support.

FS KKR Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FS KKR Capital's financial performance is mixed. Strong cash flow generation and a debt-free balance sheet in the latest year are positives. However, a significant concern is the income statement, showing zero revenue in the latest year, indicating major operational challenges and instability in profitability.
Income Statement
22
Negative
The income statement shows a volatile revenue trajectory with an alarming drop to zero revenue in the most recent year. Gross profit margin cannot be assessed due to zero gross profit and revenue. Previous years showed declining net profit margin and significant fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating instability in profitability.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
FS KKR Capital's balance sheet reveals a strong equity base with a debt-free position in the latest year, which is beneficial for stability. The equity ratio has improved, reflecting a solid financial structure. However, previous years exhibited substantial debt levels, which could have posed risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows robust operating cash flows, particularly in the latest year, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is uncalculable due to zero net income in the latest year. Historical free cash flow growth is solid, enhancing the liquidity position.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
664.00M1.83B1.64B1.08B639.00M
Gross Profit
664.00M1.07B1.27B846.00M524.00M
EBIT
2.09M1.38B481.00M1.53B-395.00M
EBITDA
2.09M1.18B1.87B7.16M149.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
585.00M696.00M92.00M1.51B-405.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
278.00M231.00M251.00M377.00M191.00M
Total Assets
14.22B15.47B16.12B17.23B7.24B
Total Debt
0.008.19B8.69B9.14B4.00B
Net Debt
-278.00M7.96B8.44B8.77B3.81B
Total Liabilities
7.60B8.62B9.11B9.50B4.14B
Stockholders Equity
6.62B6.85B7.01B7.73B3.10B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.90B1.38B1.11B-639.00M675.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.90B1.38B1.11B-639.00M675.00M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.0099.00M-1.02B-35.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.84B-1.40B-1.23B825.00M-590.00M

FS KKR Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.72
Price Trends
50DMA
21.45
Negative
100DMA
21.18
Negative
200DMA
19.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
50.81
Neutral
STOCH
67.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.28, below the 50-day MA of 21.45, and below the 200-day MA of 19.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FSK.

FS KKR Capital Risk Analysis

FS KKR Capital disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FS KKR Capital reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FS KKR Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.63B9.949.40%12.13%16.10%-24.30%
74
Outperform
$4.59B8.8519.26%5.79%51.80%12.05%
74
Outperform
$6.23B7.9312.59%11.10%15.77%-4.88%
67
Neutral
$2.91B10.4513.71%9.51%-1.49%-29.48%
66
Neutral
$996.55M8.988.49%13.85%-3.55%-20.43%
64
Neutral
$13.37B9.309.39%4.85%16.11%-8.85%
FSFSK
57
Neutral
$5.24B8.968.69%14.96%-16.13%-15.88%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FSK
FS KKR Capital
18.72
2.34
14.29%
GBDC
Golub Capital Bdc
13.68
-1.08
-7.32%
HTGC
Hercules Capital
16.83
0.54
3.31%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
51.82
8.46
19.51%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
9.24
-1.82
-16.46%
BXSL
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
27.74
0.12
0.43%

FS KKR Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -15.45% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
FSK had a strong year with significant capital deployment, improved credit quality, and successful shareholder distributions. However, challenges include a decrease in total investment income, delayed M&A activity, and a few investments added to non-accrual status. Despite these challenges, the positive strides made in reducing non-accrual investments and maintaining strong returns contribute to a balanced outlook.
Highlights
Reduction in Non-Accrual Investments
FSK reduced its non-accrual investments by 58% to 3.7% on a cost basis and 2.2% on a fair value basis during 2024.
Significant Capital Deployment
The investment team deployed $4.7 billion of capital into compelling new transactions during 2024.
Successful Distributions to Shareholders
FSK provided shareholders with an annual distribution of $2.90 per share, including base, supplemental, and special distributions.
Issuance of Unsecured Notes
FSK issued $600 million of unsecured notes maturing in 2029 and $700 million maturing in 2030, strengthening their balance sheet.
Strong Yield and Return
Shareholders received a 12.1% yield on average net asset value, with a total return of 23% for 2024.
Building Early-Stage Pipeline
FSK's early-stage pipeline is building, supporting expectations of increased deal activity during 2025 and beyond.
Lowlights
Decrease in Total Investment Income
Total investment income decreased by $34 million quarter over quarter to $407 million, primarily due to the decline in base rates and delayed closing of new investments.
Challenges in M&A Activity
M&A activity is expected to be delayed due to macroeconomic factors, including executive orders and geopolitical issues.
Addition of Investments to Non-Accrual Status
Two investments were added to non-accrual status during the fourth quarter, including Alacrity Solutions Group and Cubicorp.
Interest Rate Environment Impact
The decrease in base rates and spread compression led to a reduction in weighted average yield on accruing debt investments by 50 basis points.
Lower Net Asset Value Per Share
Net asset value per share decreased from $23.82 to $23.64 due to decreases in the overall value of the investment portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the call, FS KKR Capital Corp provided guidance with several key financial metrics for 2025. They highlighted a successful 2024 with specific accomplishments such as a 58% reduction in non-accrual investments, deployment of $4.7 billion in new transactions, and a total shareholder distribution of $2.90 per share. For 2025, they projected total distributions of $2.80 per share, consisting of a $0.64 quarterly base distribution and a $0.06 supplemental distribution. The company reported a net investment income of $0.61 per share and an adjusted net investment income of $0.66 per share for Q4 2024, slightly below their guidance of $0.63 and $0.68, respectively. They issued $1.3 billion in unsecured notes in 2024 to bolster their balance sheet and plan to proactively manage their liability structure. The call also detailed a fair value portfolio of $13.5 billion with a weighted average yield on accruing debt investments of 11% as of December 31, 2024, down from 11.5% the previous quarter. For Q1 2025, they expect GAAP net investment income to approximate $0.66 per share and adjusted net investment income to approximate $0.64 per share.

FS KKR Capital Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
FS KKR Capital Reports Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

FS KKR Capital Corp. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting a net investment income of $0.61 per share for the quarter and $2.90 per share for the year. The company declared a first quarter 2025 distribution of $0.70 per share, to be paid in April 2025. Despite a decrease in net asset value and earnings per share compared to previous quarters, the company maintains a strong liquidity position with $4.8 billion available, which is expected to support continued private market activity.

Executive/Board Changes
FS KKR Capital’s Co-President Takes Leave of Absence
Neutral
Feb 7, 2025

On February 3, 2025, FS KKR Capital Corp. announced that Co-President Brian Gerson is taking a leave of absence. His responsibilities will be temporarily assumed by Co-President Daniel Pietrzak, who is also the Chief Investment Officer and a board member, along with other company officers, ensuring continuity in leadership and operations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.