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FIGS (FIGS)
NYSE:FIGS
US Market

FIGS (FIGS) AI Stock Analysis

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FIGS

(NYSE:FIGS)

61Neutral
FIGS is financially stable, showcasing strong revenue growth and robust balance sheet metrics, but it faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow sustainability. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend with potential for stabilization. Valuation appears stretched, indicating limited upside potential in the short term. The mixed outlook from the earnings call, characterized by growth opportunities and strategic challenges, further tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
For a founder-led organization with a long-term focus, there may be some appeal to turning around the business as a private company.
Customer Acquisition
Opportunity for new customer acquisition is clear. With unaided/aided awareness among healthcare professionals at just ~20%/~50%, physical retail does present a clear opportunity to tap into a new customer base.
Market Perception
The stock quickly rallied near the price quoted in the report, indicating the market may feel a higher premium could be warranted in the event the offer is confirmed.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
FIGS has been impacted by a weakening consumer with revenue flat year over year.
Guidance and Forecasting
Shares are indicating down mid-teens following a Q3 miss and a downward revision to FY24 guidance.
Sales and Margins
Sales and margins remain pressured.

FIGS (FIGS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

FIGS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFIGS (FIGS) is a healthcare apparel company that specializes in designing and selling high-quality, comfortable, and stylish medical scrubs and other healthcare-related clothing. Founded in 2013, FIGS aims to revolutionize the healthcare apparel industry by providing healthcare professionals with innovative and performance-oriented apparel. The company's product line includes scrub tops, scrub pants, lab coats, underscrubs, and other accessories tailored to meet the needs of healthcare workers.
How the Company Makes MoneyFIGS makes money primarily through the direct-to-consumer sales of its healthcare apparel products via its e-commerce platform. The company leverages a digital-first business model, which allows it to maintain a strong online presence and reach a wide audience of healthcare professionals. FIGS generates revenue by selling its diverse range of products, including scrubs, lab coats, and accessories, directly to consumers who value the brand's emphasis on quality, comfort, and style. The company also benefits from its brand loyalty and strong community engagement, often partnering with healthcare organizations and influencers to expand its market reach and enhance its brand visibility.

FIGS Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FIGS exhibits strong revenue growth and maintains healthy gross margins, but faces challenges in converting revenue growth into net income, as evidenced by the declining net profit margin. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage, but cash flow performance has weakened, suggesting potential liquidity issues. Overall, FIGS is financially stable but must address profitability and cash flow sustainability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
FIGS has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a strong gross profit margin of 67.6% in 2024. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 0.5% from 4.1% in 2023, indicating pressure on net income generation despite revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating low leverage. Return on equity decreased from 6.0% in 2023 to 0.7% in 2024, highlighting a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains strong at 74.0%, suggesting financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
FIGS has a positive operating cash flow, though it has decreased from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 23.6, suggesting solid cash flow generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has turned negative, indicating cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
555.56M545.65M505.83M419.59M263.11M
Gross Profit
375.62M376.96M354.46M301.22M190.22M
EBIT
2.27M34.05M37.67M10.98M57.94M
EBITDA
2.27M36.99M39.59M11.52M58.89M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.72M22.64M21.19M-9.56M49.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
245.11M246.69M159.78M195.37M58.13M
Total Assets
509.79M473.21M395.06M311.75M133.85M
Total Debt
53.03M47.11M19.16M0.000.00
Net Debt
-32.62M-97.06M-140.61M-195.37M-58.13M
Total Liabilities
132.66M96.36M87.33M66.18M36.18M
Stockholders Equity
377.13M376.85M307.74M245.57M97.68M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
64.14M84.57M-40.68M63.73M19.49M
Operating Cash Flow
81.16M100.92M-35.33M66.44M21.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-94.92M-117.19M-5.85M-2.71M-2.26M
Financing Cash Flow
-44.77M670.00K3.52M75.57M294.00K

FIGS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.86
Price Trends
50DMA
5.24
Negative
100DMA
5.41
Negative
200DMA
5.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
49.78
Neutral
STOCH
83.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIGS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.67, below the 50-day MA of 5.24, and below the 200-day MA of 5.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FIGS.

FIGS Risk Analysis

FIGS disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FIGS reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FIGS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
$43.34B24.6742.42%10.84%76.07%
SKSKX
73
Outperform
$8.63B13.9215.42%12.11%19.16%
63
Neutral
$4.25B20.0112.01%1.57%-3.35%-6.09%
NKNKE
63
Neutral
$97.33B21.8731.93%2.30%-7.16%-12.12%
61
Neutral
$789.85M332.880.72%1.82%-87.94%
59
Neutral
$12.29B11.580.14%3.71%1.32%-21.01%
UAUA
52
Neutral
$2.67B-6.12%-7.47%-131.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIGS
FIGS
4.70
-0.15
-3.09%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
75.30
-4.57
-5.72%
LULU
Lululemon Athletica
293.06
-92.14
-23.92%
NKE
Nike
63.29
-27.57
-30.34%
SKX
Skechers USA
57.01
-4.31
-7.03%
UA
Under Armour
6.00
-1.02
-14.53%

FIGS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -12.90% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in international growth and a strong cash position but faced challenges in customer acquisition and gross margin pressure. The decision to shift promotional strategies is expected to have a negative impact on near-term revenue but is aimed at long-term brand health. The sentiment reflects a cautious optimism with a focus on strategic adjustments for future growth.
Highlights
Record Net Revenue Achievement
Net revenue reached a record $555.6 million for fiscal year 2024, marking an increase of 2% year-over-year.
International Business Growth
International business grew 45% for the quarter, representing 16% of net revenues, an all-time high for the brand.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the year with over $245 million in net cash and investments, supported by positive operating cash flow of approximately $81 million.
Scrubwear and Non-Scrubwear Growth
Scrubwear was positive for the third straight quarter, and non-scrubwear saw strong growth after a previous downturn.
Lowlights
Customer Acquisition Challenges
Challenges in customer acquisition were noted, with a higher rate of customers falling out of the active base, though a higher rate of lapsed customers returned.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin contracted due to product mix shifts, with full year contraction at 150 basis points to 67.6%.
Promotional Strategy Impact
The shift to reduce site-wide promotions is expected to negatively impact top-line performance in 2025.
Lower Active Customer Growth
Active customers increased only 3% year-over-year, with net revenues per active customer decreasing 1%.
Company Guidance
During the FIGS Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2024 Earnings Conference Call, guidance for fiscal 2025 was provided with a focus on two key principles: prioritizing and rebase efforts, and investing with conviction in growth opportunities. The company expects net revenues to decline in the low single-digit range, influenced by a deliberate reduction in promotional activities. Gross margins are anticipated to remain flat at approximately 67.6%, while adjusted EBITDA margins are projected between 9% and 9.5%. FIGS plans to focus on increasing brand awareness and customer engagement, capitalizing on growth in international markets, teams, and retail channels, and leveraging the recently introduced FORMx fabric and other product innovations. The company also highlighted improvements in inventory management, with inventory levels down 3% year-over-year, and plans to strategically grow inventory in response to customer demand, expecting inventory growth to modestly outpace revenue growth during the year.

FIGS Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FIGS Expands Share Repurchase Program by $50 Million
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

On February 27, 2025, FIGS announced a $50 million increase in its share repurchase program, bringing the total authorization to $100 million. This move is part of the company’s strategy to return value to shareholders and reflects confidence in its financial position. The company reported mixed financial results for 2024, with a 1.8% increase in net revenues driven by existing customer orders, despite a decrease in average order value. International sales saw significant growth, while U.S. revenues slightly declined. Operating expenses rose due to higher costs at a new fulfillment center and marketing expenses. FIGS plans to focus on product innovation and reducing reliance on promotions to support long-term brand health.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.