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FB Financial Corporation (FBK)
NYSE:FBK

FB Financial (FBK) AI Stock Analysis

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FB Financial

(NYSE:FBK)

64Neutral
FB Financial shows strengths in financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, as highlighted in its earnings call. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and challenges in cash flow and net interest margin pose risks. Valuation remains fair, supporting the stock's potential stability.

FB Financial (FBK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

FB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFB Financial Corporation (FBK) is a financial services company based in Nashville, Tennessee. It operates primarily through its subsidiary, FirstBank, which is one of the largest community banks in the Southeast United States. The company provides a wide range of commercial and consumer banking services across its footprint, including personal and business banking, mortgage lending, and wealth management services. FB Financial is dedicated to serving its community with a focus on personalized customer service and innovative financial solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyFB Financial Corporation generates revenue primarily through its commercial and consumer banking operations. Key revenue streams include interest income from loans and investments, fees from deposit accounts, and mortgage banking income. The company earns interest income by lending to individuals and businesses and investing in securities. Non-interest income is generated through service charges, mortgage origination and servicing fees, and wealth management fees. FB Financial benefits from its strategic partnerships and a strong regional presence, which help drive customer growth and enhance its market position. The company also focuses on maintaining a diversified loan portfolio and expanding its product offerings to enhance profitability.

FB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FB Financial exhibits strong revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, with a healthy balance sheet indicating financial stability and low leverage. However, challenges like the decline in free cash flow growth and pressure on net profit margins are areas for improvement.
Income Statement
70
Positive
FB Financial has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin is solid, consistently reflecting 100% over the years due to total revenue equaling gross profit, which is typical in the banking industry where interest income is the primary component. The net profit margin was 16.0% in 2024, slightly decreasing from 25.2% in 2023, indicating some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 was robust at 51.9%, but this follows a previous year of revenue decline by 9.3%, suggesting volatility. EBIT margin improved significantly to 98.0% in 2024 from 45.5% in 2023, showing enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of FB Financial reveals strong equity levels with an equity ratio of 11.9% in 2024, indicating a stable funding base. The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly to 0.04 in 2024, showcasing effective debt management. Return on equity was 7.4% in 2024, down from 8.3% in 2023, suggesting a slight decline in profitability but still a reasonable return for the banking sector. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with low leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
FB Financial's cash flow statement shows some challenges. Free cash flow decreased by 27.3% from 2023 to 2024, indicating potential constraints in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.2 in 2024 suggests that operating cash flow adequately supports net income, though lower than previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio was 1.2 in 2024, hinting at a reasonable conversion of net income into free cash flow, albeit lower compared to some previous years.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
725.54M477.76M526.90M575.63M567.51M
Gross Profit
725.54M475.22M526.90M575.63M567.51M
EBIT
710.85M217.25M236.76M243.03M82.45M
EBITDA
0.000.00172.18M256.94M95.32M
Net Income Common Stockholders
116.03M120.22M124.56M190.28M63.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.66B763.13M2.29B3.35B2.37B
Total Assets
13.16B12.60B12.85B12.60B11.21B
Total Debt
60.02M468.35M485.43M218.15M293.51M
Net Debt
-60.13M-259.25M-331.08M-1.45B-903.23M
Total Liabilities
11.59B11.15B11.52B11.16B9.92B
Stockholders Equity
1.57B1.45B1.33B1.43B1.29B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
138.80M190.84M778.70M48.78M-275.22M
Operating Cash Flow
138.80M211.07M789.33M54.88M-269.29M
Investing Cash Flow
-294.00M-55.22M-1.74B-849.56M309.42M
Financing Cash Flow
386.76M-371.98M184.10M1.27B1.05B

FB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.06
Price Trends
50DMA
50.86
Negative
100DMA
52.02
Negative
200DMA
47.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.66
Positive
RSI
33.00
Neutral
STOCH
13.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.26, below the 50-day MA of 50.86, and below the 200-day MA of 47.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FBK.

FB Financial Risk Analysis

FB Financial disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FB Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CFCFR
76
Outperform
$7.83B14.2915.13%2.98%7.81%-2.49%
76
Outperform
$5.50B14.0410.38%2.71%8.83%3.77%
75
Outperform
$2.28B11.648.85%3.50%5.54%-8.57%
FBFBK
64
Neutral
$2.10B18.027.68%1.57%1.71%-3.44%
64
Neutral
$13.80B10.649.23%4.22%17.66%-7.66%
FHFHN
61
Neutral
$9.49B13.058.70%3.39%4.56%-13.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBK
FB Financial
45.96
11.07
31.73%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
121.84
17.41
16.67%
FRME
First Merchants
38.92
6.49
20.01%
FHN
First Horizon
18.19
3.87
27.03%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
27.68
4.60
19.93%

FB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 21, 2025 | % Change Since: -13.69% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
FB Financial reported strong financial performance with significant growth in EPS and net revenue. The strategic expansion into new markets and a strong capital position are positive indicators. However, challenges such as a decrease in net interest margin, elevated charge-offs, and a competitive deposit market were noted.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
FB Financial reported a full year EPS of $2.48 or an adjusted EPS of $3.40, representing a 13% year-over-year increase. Full year pretax pre-provision net revenue was $158.7 million, or $217.1 million on an adjusted basis, which represents a 20% year-over-year increase.
Asset and Deposit Growth
Total assets grew by $553 million or approximately 4.4%, funded through growth of core deposit balances of $343.5 million or about 3.3%.
Strategic Expansion
FB Financial expanded into new markets with the addition of 9 new revenue-producing bankers in the fourth quarter, totaling 32 for the year, and announced expansion into Asheville, North Carolina.
Capital and Liquidity Strength
The capital position remains strong with a tangible common equity to tangible assets of 10.2%, a preliminary CET1 ratio of 12.8%, and a preliminary total risk-based capital ratio of 15.2%.
Lowlights
Decrease in Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin was down a couple of basis points to 3.5% due to carrying excess interest-bearing cash during the quarter.
Elevated Charge-Off Levels
Charge-off levels were elevated this quarter due to the full charge-off of a single previously reserved C&I relationship totaling $2.5 million, driven by challenges specific to the borrower.
Competitive Deposit Market
The deposit market remains competitive with CDs in some markets still above 4.5%, impacting the cost of funds.
Company Guidance
During the FB Financial Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, Chris Holmes, President and CEO, outlined several key metrics that underscore the company's robust performance and strategic focus. For Q4, FB Financial reported an EPS of $0.81 and an adjusted EPS of $0.85, while full-year EPS stood at $2.48 or $3.40 on an adjusted basis, marking a 13% year-over-year increase. The tangible book value per share, excluding the impact of AOCI, has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 12.9% since 2016. The company achieved a GAAP return on average assets of 1.14% and a return on average tangible common equity of 11.5%. Full-year pretax pre-provision net revenue reached $158.7 million, or $217.1 million on an adjusted basis, reflecting a 20% increase compared to the previous year. Holmes highlighted the company's strong capital position with a tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio of 10.2%, a preliminary CET1 ratio of 12.8%, and a total risk-based capital ratio of 15.2%. For 2025, FB Financial plans to continue focusing on organic growth, aiming for high single-digit to low double-digit loan growth, and is actively exploring strategic bank acquisitions while maintaining strong capital ratios.

FB Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
FB Financial to Present at KBW Conference 2025
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 13, 2025, FB Financial Corporation’s management will present at the KBW Winter Financial Services Conference. This presentation underscores the company’s efforts to engage with stakeholders and highlight its strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its market position and investor relations.

Financial Disclosures
FB Financial Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

FB Financial Corporation reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, highlighting a significant increase in net income and earnings per share compared to previous periods. The company experienced growth in both loans and deposits, resulting in increased net interest income and an improved return on average assets, positioning it strongly for 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.