The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruption to the economy and financial markets globally, and the full extent of the potential impacts of COVID-19 are not yet known. Our results of operations, financial condition, and liquidity and capital resources have been adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, and the future impact of the pandemic is difficult to predict. In particular, we believe we are subject to the following risks related to the COVID-19 pandemic:
- Investments. Due in large part to the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in global financial markets, our investment portfolio has experienced significant volatility. In the first quarter of 2020, we experienced significant unrealized losses (largely due to widening credit spreads on fixed income investments and changes in the fair value of our equity investments), heightened credit risk, and declines in yields on our fixed income investments. Although these unrealized losses reversed since the first quarter, our investment portfolios may continue to experience significant volatility and could be adversely impacted by unfavorable market conditions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which could cause continued volatility in our results of operations and negatively impact our financial condition.
- Debt and Equity Financing. As a result of the economic conditions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, capital and credit markets continue to experience volatility that could negatively impact our ability to raise additional capital through the debt or equity markets or through bank or other debt financing. If we are unable obtain adequate capital on suitably attractive terms, or at all, we may be unable to implement our future growth or operating plans and our business, financial condition, and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
- Liquidity. Due to the change in fair value of our investments caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, we and our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries may need additional capital to maintain compliance with regulatory capital requirements and/or be required to post additional collateral under existing reinsurance arrangements, which could reduce our liquidity. Due to current market conditions, we may not be able to secure letters of credit to satisfy certain of our existing collateral obligations, including through the extension or renewal of existing facilities, or such letters of credit may only be available on unfavorable terms. In addition, we may experience a reduction in the amount of available distribution or dividend capacity from our regulated insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, which would also reduce liquidity.
- Acquisitions and New Business. Our ability to complete acquisitions of companies and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business in our Non-life Run-off segment may be adversely impacted by circumstances created by the COVID-19 pandemic, including as a result of the limited availability of external financing or funding to acquire new business, the willingness of counterparties to engage in transactions in light of uncertain economic conditions or financial stress, and the additional scrutiny of regulators whose approval is required to complete transactions due to the uncertain economic conditions, as well as other factors that we are unable to predict.
- Active Underwriting Segments. We have experienced underwriting losses relating to the COVID-19 pandemic in our Atrium and StarStone segments across various lines of business. Although we have established reserves against these losses as of September 30, 2020, given the uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the insurance industry, our preliminary estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses and estimates of reinsurance recoverable arising from the COVID-19 pandemic may materially change. Unanticipated issues relating to claims and coverage may emerge, which could adversely affect our business by increasing the scope of coverage beyond our intent and/or increasing the frequency and severity of claims.
- Operational Disruptions. We rely on the continued productivity of our senior executive team, our employees, and our agents, brokers, third party administrators, suppliers and outsourcing providers to carry out our operations. If any of these people are unable to continue to work productively, or at all, due to illness, government restrictions, remote working conditions, or other disruptions related to the COVID-19 pandemic, our ability to conduct our operations may be adversely affected. In addition, like many other companies, the vast majority of our employees are working remotely, and we are therefore more dependent on our information technology systems and the continued access by our employees and service providers to reliable internet and telecommunications systems. We will be adversely affected if these systems do not function effectively or are disrupted due to heightened demand, cybersecurity attacks and data security incidents, or for any other related reason. These types of operational disruptions that impact our people and/or systems and others we may not foresee, would negatively impact our ability to settle claims efficiently, complete acquisitions, integrate our acquired businesses, manage our investments, or otherwise conduct our business.
Circumstances caused by the COVID-19 pandemic are complex, uncertain and rapidly evolving. We therefore may not be able to accurately predict the longer-term effects that the COVID-19 pandemic may have on our financial condition or results of operations. To the extent the COVID-19 pandemic adversely affects our financial condition or results of operations, it may also have the effect of heightening additional risks described in Part I, Item 1A, Risk Factors, of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019.