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Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY)
OTHER OTC:DLAKY

Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) AI Stock Analysis

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

(OTC:DLAKY)

74Outperform
Deutsche Lufthansa AG's stock is bolstered by strong technical momentum and attractive valuation, with a solid financial recovery post-pandemic. The earnings call provided a balanced view with strategic growth initiatives and challenges like high costs. Addressing profitability and cash flow issues will be key for sustained performance improvement.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) is a leading global aviation company headquartered in Cologne, Germany. It operates as a full-service airline and is one of the largest in Europe. The company is structured into various business segments, including Passenger Airlines, Logistics, Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO), Catering, and other aviation-related services. Lufthansa, along with its subsidiaries such as Swiss International Air Lines, Austrian Airlines, Brussels Airlines, and Eurowings, provides passenger transportation services worldwide, serving a wide range of destinations across different continents.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeutsche Lufthansa AG generates revenue primarily through its Passenger Airlines segment, which includes ticket sales for passenger transportation on its extensive network of domestic and international flights. The company also earns significant income from its Logistics division, which handles air freight and logistics services. The MRO segment contributes to Lufthansa's revenue by providing aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services to other airlines and third-party customers. Additionally, the Catering segment, operated through its LSG Sky Chefs brand, supplies in-flight catering services to various airlines globally. Strategic partnerships and alliances, such as being a member of the Star Alliance network, enhance its market reach and connectivity, further boosting its revenue streams.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Deutsche Lufthansa AG has shown recovery in revenue and improved leverage management since the pandemic. However, challenges with profitability margins and cash flow generation persist, indicating areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Deutsche Lufthansa AG has shown a strong recovery in revenue growth, especially post-pandemic, with a 5.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved significantly from negative in 2020 to positive in 2024. However, the net profit margin decreased from 4.7% in 2023 to 3.7% in 2024, indicating some efficiency challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased slightly, suggesting room for improvement in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio remains high, though it has improved from 11.4 in 2020 to 1.23 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. The equity ratio has improved over recent years, reaching 24.5% in 2024, reflecting a more stable financial position. However, the high level of debt still poses potential risks. ROE increased to 11.9% in 2024, showing better returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has been volatile, with significant negative values in 2020 and 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 2.82, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in generating free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving its cash flow generation to support long-term growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.58B35.48B32.77B16.81B13.59B
Gross Profit
4.83B7.43B4.62B-3.00M-2.98B
EBIT
1.54B2.46B1.23B-2.32B-7.09B
EBITDA
4.66B5.30B3.73B92.00M-3.66B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.38B1.67B791.00M-2.19B-6.77B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.49B8.27B8.30B7.60B5.38B
Total Assets
47.05B45.32B43.34B42.54B39.48B
Total Debt
14.23B13.95B15.17B16.69B15.38B
Net Debt
12.44B12.36B13.38B14.45B13.66B
Total Liabilities
35.46B35.61B34.86B38.05B38.10B
Stockholders Equity
11.54B9.66B8.40B4.45B1.35B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-6.00M895.00M2.66B-700.00M-3.58B
Operating Cash Flow
3.89B4.95B5.17B618.00M-2.33B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.33B-2.98B-3.44B-3.02B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.45B-2.07B-2.27B2.87B5.08B

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.06
Price Trends
50DMA
6.74
Positive
100DMA
6.78
Positive
200DMA
6.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Negative
RSI
59.97
Neutral
STOCH
69.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLAKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.38, above the 50-day MA of 6.74, and above the 200-day MA of 6.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DLAKY.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UAUAL
80
Outperform
$24.90B8.0728.63%6.23%20.08%
74
Outperform
$9.45B6.3613.31%2.75%6.05%-18.08%
DADAL
70
Outperform
$30.15B8.7526.19%1.18%6.19%-25.26%
ALALK
69
Neutral
$6.60B17.479.31%12.56%69.33%
LULUV
67
Neutral
$18.09B40.474.50%2.36%5.34%-6.20%
62
Neutral
$8.17B12.830.26%3.07%3.83%-16.44%
AAAAL
54
Neutral
$7.54B10.34-21.27%2.70%2.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLAKY
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
8.06
0.85
11.79%
ALK
Alaska Air
52.60
14.42
37.77%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
43.92
1.26
2.95%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
31.00
3.31
11.95%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
69.90
26.28
60.25%
AAL
American Airlines
10.67
-3.29
-23.57%

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 4.27% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a strong performance in Q4 and notable achievements such as the ITA Airways acquisition and record revenues. However, these were offset by significant challenges with Lufthansa Airline's performance, high irregularity costs, and operational issues. While there are positive outcomes from other airlines in the group, the core brand's struggles and cost increases present a balanced outlook.
Highlights
Strong Q4 Performance
Adjusted EBIT reached €468 million in Q4, improving previous year's results by €66 million.
ITA Airways Acquisition
Completed acquisition of a 41% stake in ITA Airways, marking the largest airline acquisition in Lufthansa's history.
Record Revenue Achievement
Revenues increased by 6% to €37.6 billion, marking a new record with over €10 billion in revenue in two consecutive quarters.
High Load Factors
Passenger Airlines expanded capacity by 9% with record load factors peaking above 90%.
SWISS and Other Airlines' Performance
SWISS achieved an adjusted EBIT of €800 million, with other airlines like Eurowings and Brussels Airlines also showing profitability.
Lufthansa Technik Success
Lufthansa Technik increased its EBIT to a new high of €635 million, with significant new customer contracts.
Lufthansa Cargo Performance
Cargo achieved adjusted earnings of €251 million, with €199 million generated in Q4 alone.
Lowlights
Core Brand Struggles
Lufthansa Airline's disappointing performance led to a €950 million decline in adjusted EBIT, highlighting the need for an economic turnaround.
High Irregularity Costs
Irregularity costs increased significantly to more than €840 million, a 70% rise, due to strikes and operational instability.
Operational Challenges
Operational instability due to older aircraft and capacity limitations at system partners led to increased irregularity costs and lower productivity.
Cost Increases
Operating costs increased by 9%, driven by higher cost inflation, MRO costs, and an 8% rise in staff costs.
Regional Disadvantages
Significant disadvantages in the Asian market due to inability to use Russian airspace, affecting long-range competitiveness.
Company Guidance
In the call, Lufthansa provided guidance that highlighted a challenging fiscal year 2024, with a decline in adjusted EBIT of €974 million in the first half, largely affected by strikes costing €450 million. However, the second half showed significant improvement, culminating in a strong Q4 with an adjusted EBIT of €468 million, up €66 million from the previous year. The company anticipates a double-digit growth in adjusted EBIT for 2025, despite headwinds such as inflation and operational costs. Lufthansa's focus on operational stability and strategic expansion, including a 41% acquisition of ITA Airways, is expected to support this growth. The Passenger Airlines segment expanded capacity by 9%, achieving record revenues of €37.6 billion, while Lufthansa Technik and Lufthansa Cargo also reported strong results, with EBITs of €635 million and €251 million, respectively. The company plans to leverage the continuing strong demand in the global aviation market to drive future performance improvements.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.