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Diodes Inc (DIOD)
:DIOD

Diodes (DIOD) AI Stock Analysis

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Diodes

(NASDAQ:DIOD)

64Neutral
Diodes faces financial challenges with declining revenue and profit margins, though it maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage. Technical indicators point to a bearish trend, and valuation suggests potential overpricing. The recent earnings call provides some optimism with growth in key markets and strategic initiatives in AI, but challenges in core markets and negative cash flow remain concerns. Overall, Diodes has potential, but significant risks and valuation concerns temper its stock score.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Diodes continues to see a gradual recovery in Asia, notably in China and the Southeast Asia region.
Product Development
New product releases continue to expand the TAM for Diodes.
Negative Factors
Regional Demand Weakness
Europe and North America demand remains weak.

Diodes (DIOD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Diodes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDiodes, Inc. manufactures and supplies semiconductor products. It offers diodes, rectifiers, transistors, MOSFETs, protection devices, functional specific arrays, single gate, dual gate and standard logic, amplifiers and comparators, Hall-effect and temperature sensors. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: Asia, North America, and Europe. It also provides power management devices, including LED drivers, AC-DC and DC-DC switching, linear voltage regulators, and voltage references along with special function devices, such as USB power switches, load switches, voltage supervisors, and motor controllers. The company was founded on June 15, 1959 and is headquartered in Plano, TX.
How the Company Makes MoneyDiodes Incorporated generates revenue through the design, manufacturing, and sale of a wide range of semiconductor products. The company sells its products directly to equipment manufacturers and indirectly through distributors in various sectors, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. A key component of Diodes' revenue model is its broad and diversified product portfolio, which allows it to address multiple market segments and applications. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships also play a role in expanding its market presence and enhancing its technological capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings.

Diodes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Diodes presents a mixed financial picture. The balance sheet reflects strong stability with low leverage and a solid equity ratio, while income statement figures show a declining trend in profitability and revenue. Cash flow performance is adequate but has seen a reduction in free cash flow, suggesting potential operational challenges. The company needs to focus on reversing revenue and profit margin declines to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Diodes has experienced a significant revenue decline from 2022 to 2024, which is a concern in terms of growth. The gross profit margin stands at 33.2% for 2024, showing a decrease from previous years, impacting profitability negatively. The net profit margin has declined to 3.4% in 2024, indicating reduced efficiency in converting revenue to profit. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 75.2% in 2024, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is extremely low at 0.6%, indicating minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. However, the return on equity has dropped to 2.5% in 2024, which could be a concern for investors seeking returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Diodes' free cash flow has decreased in recent years, with a 2024 free cash flow of $119.4 million, down from $180.8 million in 2022. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.7, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash flow growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.31B1.66B2.00B1.81B1.23B
Gross Profit
435.86M658.18M827.24M670.36M431.12M
EBIT
50.45M250.57M408.19M275.99M134.33M
EBITDA
50.45M420.96M532.02M444.47M239.56M
Net Income Common Stockholders
44.02M227.18M331.28M228.76M98.09M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
316.13M325.63M343.79M370.14M274.21M
Total Assets
2.39B2.37B2.29B2.19B1.98B
Total Debt
1.10M98.36M213.67M301.02M450.60M
Net Debt
-307.57M-217.10M-123.06M-62.58M182.54M
Total Liabilities
517.33M557.98M705.39M891.77M963.33M
Stockholders Equity
1.80B1.74B1.51B1.24B963.82M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
46.41M130.15M180.77M197.35M111.41M
Operating Cash Flow
119.44M280.91M392.50M338.54M187.22M
Investing Cash Flow
-118.04M-158.32M-265.26M-144.23M-106.77M
Financing Cash Flow
-19.34M-144.72M-125.71M-158.44M-54.30M

Diodes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price47.29
Price Trends
50DMA
56.58
Negative
100DMA
59.28
Negative
200DMA
64.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.80
Positive
RSI
35.52
Neutral
STOCH
22.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIOD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.46, below the 50-day MA of 56.58, and below the 200-day MA of 64.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DIOD.

Diodes Risk Analysis

Diodes disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diodes reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Diodes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ADADI
71
Outperform
$103.70B68.964.43%1.70%-19.28%-44.00%
68
Neutral
$28.75B105.404.71%3.48%-44.31%-86.74%
67
Neutral
$52.20B21.2328.16%1.94%-4.99%-9.18%
ONON
67
Neutral
$18.06B11.8018.97%-14.19%-27.42%
TXTXN
65
Neutral
$161.36B35.8928.25%3.00%-10.72%-26.60%
64
Neutral
$2.11B49.802.49%-21.10%-80.81%
58
Neutral
$21.35B9.98-18.95%2.37%5.03%-22.66%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIOD
Diodes
47.29
-20.95
-30.70%
ADI
Analog Devices
206.62
11.26
5.76%
MCHP
Microchip
51.90
-36.44
-41.25%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
204.45
-42.34
-17.16%
ON
ON Semiconductor
42.85
-37.04
-46.36%
TXN
Texas Instruments
175.70
7.72
4.60%

Diodes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: -7.24% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a return to year-over-year growth and strong performance in Asia, with significant product introductions and expansion into AI markets. However, there were notable declines in full year revenue, gross profit, and net income, along with challenges in the industrial and automotive markets and negative net cash flow.
Highlights
Return to Year-Over-Year Growth
Achieved a 5% growth over the fourth quarter of 2023, marking a return to year-over-year growth following a multiyear market slowdown.
Strong Position in Automotive and Industrial Markets
Maintained automotive and industrial mix percentage at 42% of total product revenue, reflecting progress in new product and content expansion initiatives.
Revenue Above Guidance Midpoint
Fourth quarter revenue was above the midpoint of guidance, driven by strong performance in Asia, especially in the second half of 2024.
Introduction of New Products
Introduced 755 new part numbers in 2024, with 330 specifically for the automotive market, increasing addressable content per car by over 30%.
Strong AI Market Growth
Addressable content in AI servers increased significantly, from $53 to $90 per box, driven by expanded product portfolio and market demand.
Lowlights
Decline in Full Year Revenue
Full year 2024 revenue was $1.3 billion, down from $1.7 billion in 2023.
Decreased Gross Profit
Fourth quarter gross profit was $110.9 million (32.7% of revenue), down from $112.5 million (34.9% of revenue) in the prior year quarter.
Significant Drop in GAAP Net Income
GAAP net income for the fourth quarter was $8.2 million, down from $25.3 million in the prior year quarter. Full year GAAP net income was $44 million, down from $227.2 million in 2023.
Industrial and Automotive Market Challenges
Ongoing inventory rebalancing and demand softness in industrial and automotive markets, expected to persist into the second quarter.
Negative Net Cash Flow
Net cash flow was negative $2.4 million for the fourth quarter and negative $3.8 million for the full year, impacted by paydown of debt and acquisition costs.
Company Guidance
During the Diodes Inc. fourth quarter and fiscal 2024 financial results conference call, the company reported a revenue of $339.3 million, marking a 5% year-over-year growth compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. The full-year revenue for 2024 was $1.3 billion, down from $1.7 billion in 2023. The gross profit for the fourth quarter was $110.9 million, representing 32.7% of revenue. Operating expenses were $99 million on a GAAP basis, or 29.2% of revenue, with non-GAAP expenses at $95.5 million. The GAAP net income for the fourth quarter was $8.2 million or $0.18 per diluted share, while non-GAAP adjusted net income was $12.5 million or $0.27 per diluted share. The company also reported an EBITDA of $40.7 million for the fourth quarter, which was 12% of revenue. For the first quarter of 2025, Diodes Inc. provided guidance of approximately $323 million in revenue, with a gross margin of 32.5% and operating expenses around 30% of revenue. The company remains focused on expanding its automotive and industrial markets, particularly in AI-related applications, and maintaining its automotive and industrial mix at 42% of total product revenue.

Diodes Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Diodes Inc. Reports 5% Q4 Growth Amid Global Challenges
Positive
Feb 14, 2025

On February 11, 2025, Diodes Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, showing a 5% growth over the same quarter in 2023, reflecting improvements in the Asian markets, particularly China and Southeast Asia. Despite challenging global demand, Diodes maintained a 42% revenue mix from automotive and industrial sectors and is strategically focused on expanding in AI-related applications. The company anticipates a stronger 2025, having implemented cost-reduction measures and increased internal product qualifications to mitigate underloading costs.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Diodes Reports Q4 2024 Financial Results Amid Global Challenges
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

In the fourth quarter of 2024, Diodes Incorporated reported a revenue of $339.3 million, marking a 5% year-over-year growth compared to the same quarter in 2023. Despite challenging global demand conditions, especially in Europe and North America, Diodes maintained its product revenue mix in automotive and industrial sectors at 42%. The company continues to see strong momentum in Asia, particularly in China and Southeast Asia, and is focusing on growth in target markets and AI-related applications. While the fourth quarter GAAP net income fell to $8.2 million compared to the previous year, the company achieved $81.8 million in cash flow from operations, showcasing its financial resilience and strategic positioning for future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Diodes Enhances Board with New Appointment
Positive
Jan 24, 2025

Diodes Incorporated announced the appointment of Dr. Huey-Jen Jenny Su to its Board of Directors, effective February 3, 2025. Dr. Su, an esteemed expert in environmental health, will enhance the board’s focus on corporate sustainability. Her appointment, alongside the retirement of Christina Wen-Chi Sung in May, reflects Diodes’ commitment to diversity and continued board development. This strategic move is expected to align with the company’s emphasis on fostering a safer and healthier workplace.

Financial Disclosures
Diodes to Host Conference on 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 21, 2025

On January 21, 2025, Diodes Incorporated announced plans to host a conference call on February 11, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024. The call, featuring key company executives, reflects Diodes’ commitment to transparency and engaging with analysts and investors about its financial performance. This forthcoming discussion could have implications for stakeholders regarding Diodes’ operational strategies and market position.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.