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Donegal Group (DGICA)
NASDAQ:DGICA
US Market

Donegal Group (DGICA) AI Stock Analysis

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DG

Donegal Group

(NASDAQ:DGICA)

73Outperform
Donegal Group's stock is bolstered by strong operational performance and positive earnings call sentiment. Technical indicators show upward momentum, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is reasonably priced. However, profitability challenges and strategic exits pose risks.

Donegal Group (DGICA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Donegal Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDonegal Group Inc. (DGICA) is a regional insurance holding company based in the United States. It operates primarily in the property and casualty insurance sectors, providing personal and commercial insurance products. The company's offerings include auto, homeowners, and business insurance, catering to individuals and small to mid-sized businesses. Donegal Group's operations are focused on delivering comprehensive insurance solutions with a strong emphasis on customer service and regional market expertise.
How the Company Makes MoneyDonegal Group makes money through the underwriting and sale of insurance policies. The company collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against various risks. Its key revenue streams include personal lines, such as auto and homeowners insurance, and commercial lines that cover business-related risks. Donegal Group also invests the premiums collected in a diversified portfolio, generating investment income. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as underwriting profitability, claims experience, and investment returns. Strategic partnerships with independent agents and agencies further expand its market reach and contribute to revenue growth.

Donegal Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Donegal Group demonstrates solid revenue growth and a stable financial structure with low leverage. Profitability metrics are improving, though operational efficiency could be enhanced. The decline in free cash flow suggests liquidity concerns, demanding attention to capital expenditure and liquidity management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Donegal Group has shown a solid revenue growth in the TTM, with a significant increase of approximately 5.6% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved considerably, supported by a rise in net income. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting potential inefficiencies in operating and non-operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating conservative leverage relative to equity. Return on equity is moderate, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains healthy, emphasizing a strong capital structure. However, the fluctuations in stockholder's equity over the years suggest underlying volatility.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow in the TTM period, raising concerns about liquidity management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate indicates cash strain, primarily due to substantial capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
979.12M927.34M454.00816.47M777.82M812.16M
Gross Profit
979.04M927.34M454.00816.47M777.82M812.16M
EBIT
190.24M0.0029.91M62.84M56.64M
EBITDA
13.25M10.01M1.82M37.07M71.19M64.23M
Net Income Common Stockholders
24.89M4.43M-1.96M25.25M52.82M47.15M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
595.90M23.79M606.24M603.03M679.13M628.30M
Total Assets
1.83B2.27B2.24B2.26B2.16B1.92B
Total Debt
65.00M35.00M35.00M35.00M90.00M40.00M
Net Debt
12.41M11.21M9.88M-22.71M-13.09M-9.32M
Total Liabilities
1.43B1.79B1.76B38.95M1.64B1.47B
Stockholders Equity
398.87M479.75M483.59M531.04M517.77M451.02M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.82M28.58M95.40M1.30B101.04M76.21M
Operating Cash Flow
41.83M28.62M67.11M76.73M101.13M76.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-22.69B-16.71M-98.50M-62.20M-99.68M-43.38M
Financing Cash Flow
-15.41M-13.25M-1.20M-59.92M52.32M-36.26M

Donegal Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.86
Price Trends
50DMA
15.51
Positive
100DMA
15.54
Positive
200DMA
14.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Negative
RSI
68.46
Neutral
STOCH
70.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DGICA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.72, above the 50-day MA of 15.51, and above the 200-day MA of 14.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DGICA.

Donegal Group Risk Analysis

Donegal Group disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Donegal Group reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Donegal Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
THTHG
82
Outperform
$5.93B14.1016.03%2.09%4.07%1110.92%
78
Outperform
$697.99M11.518.18%2.33%14.12%
73
Outperform
$588.59M11.499.92%3.86%6.71%1000.07%
MCMCY
70
Outperform
$2.99B6.3926.78%2.35%18.27%385.75%
65
Neutral
$5.09B26.146.82%1.74%15.35%-44.64%
64
Neutral
$13.79B10.529.20%4.24%17.25%-7.60%
59
Neutral
$4.17B13.3112.01%1.91%-6.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DGICA
Donegal Group
17.71
5.11
40.56%
MCY
Mercury General
54.82
8.11
17.36%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
84.03
-17.62
-17.33%
THG
Hanover Insurance
163.66
36.78
28.99%
UFCS
United Fire Group
28.14
6.98
32.99%
KMPR
Kemper
65.41
7.79
13.52%

Donegal Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 17.73% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in net income, combined ratios, and investment income, indicating strong operational performance. However, challenges such as strategic exits from certain geographies and unfavorable development in commercial auto were noted. Overall, the positive aspects outweighed the negatives.
Highlights
Record Quarterly Net Income
Fourth quarter 2024 net income of $24 million, the highest quarterly earnings in Donegal Group's history.
Combined Ratio Improvement
Fourth quarter 2024 combined ratio was 92.9%, improved from 106.8% in the prior-year quarter, driven by a decrease in core loss ratios.
Personal Lines Core Loss Ratio Improvement
Achieved a 16.7 percentage-point decrease in the personal lines core loss ratio for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Commercial Lines Core Loss Ratio Improvement
Achieved a 4.4 percentage-point decrease in the commercial lines core loss ratio for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Successful Rate Increases
Rate increases in double-digit percentages for all major lines of business except workers’ compensation, averaging 11% for the fourth quarter.
Investment Income Growth
Net investment income grew 12.5% in the fourth quarter, resulting in $12.1 million and a full year 10% growth to $44.9 million.
Expense Ratio Decrease
Fourth quarter 2024 expense ratio decreased to 32.8% from 34.1% in the prior-year quarter, contributing to a full year expense ratio of 33.7% for 2024.
Lowlights
Gaming Revenue Decline
Net premiums written decreased by 0.6% in the fourth quarter, with a 5% decrease in personal lines premiums.
Geographical Exits
Completed exit from commercial lines business in Georgia and Alabama, with plans to non-renew all policies in Maine and New Hampshire.
Unfavorable Development in Commercial Auto
Unfavorable reserve development of $5.1 million for commercial auto due to higher-than-expected severity for bodily injury losses.
Personal Lines Policy Decrease
Number of personal lines policies-in-force decreased by 11.6% at the end of 2024 compared to the prior year-end, primarily due to strategic actions.
Company Guidance
During the Donegal Group's fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, the company reported a net income of $24 million, marking its highest quarterly earnings. Net premiums earned grew by 4.6% to $236.6 million in the fourth quarter, while net premiums written decreased by 0.6%. The combined ratio improved significantly to 92.9%, down from 106.8% in the prior-year quarter, driven by a 9.5 percentage-point decrease in the core loss ratio. Weather-related losses were notably lower, contributing 3.3 percentage points to the loss ratio. The full-year loss ratio decreased to 64.5% from 69.1% in 2023, with a combined ratio of 98.6% compared to 104.4% in the prior year. The company achieved a 12.5% increase in net investment income for the fourth quarter and 10% for the full year, totaling $44.9 million. The expense ratio also saw improvement, decreasing to 32.8% in the fourth quarter and 33.7% for the full year. Donegal Group's strategic efforts in underwriting discipline and system modernization, along with rate increases, have set the stage for sustained financial performance and targeted growth in commercial lines for 2025.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.