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Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN)
NYSE:DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN) AI Stock Analysis

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Donnelley Financial Solutions

(NYSE:DFIN)

61Neutral
Donnelley Financial Solutions' stock score is impacted by mixed financial performance, with strong cash flow and balance sheet offset by declining revenue and profitability challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and while valuation is moderate, the lack of dividend yield may deter income investors. Earnings call insights show strategic progress in software solutions but highlight ongoing revenue challenges.
Positive Factors
Business Pivot
DFIN continues to execute well and is steadily pivoting the business away from low-margin print revenue to more durable and profitable software solutions.
Risk-Reward Assessment
The shares trade at a fiscal year 2026 price-to-earnings multiple of 12.8x, a discount to peers, setting up a favorable risk-reward.
Software Revenue Growth
Software revenue grew at a healthy pace organically (11.6% Y/Y) and is now over 40% of revenue.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
DFIN's 4Q results missed Street expectations on the top and bottom line due to soft capital markets activity.
One-Time Costs Impact
Several one-time costs (i.e. accelerated amortization, impairment charge) were not excluded from adjusted EPS which further hurt the optics of the print.
Transaction-Sensitive Revenue
DFIN's 3Q results missed Street expectations, as weaker capital market and M&A activity pressured transaction-sensitive revenue lines.

Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Donnelley Financial Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDonnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. operates as a risk and compliance solutions company worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Capital Markets – Software Solutions (CM-SS), Capital Markets – Compliance and Communications Management (CM-CCM), Investment Companies – Software Solutions (IC-SS), and Investment Companies – Compliance and Communications Management (IC-CCM). The CM-SS segment provides Venue, ActiveDisclosure, eBrevia, and other solutions to public and private companies to manage public and private transaction processes, extract data, and analyze contracts; collaborate; and tag, validate, and file SEC documents. The CM-CCM segment offers tech-enabled services and print and distribution solutions to public and private companies for deal solutions and SEC compliance requirements. The IC-SS segment provides clients with the Arc Suite platform that contains a comprehensive suite of cloud-based solutions and services that enable storage and management of compliance and regulatory information in a self-service and central repository for accessing, assembling, editing, translating, rendering, and submitting documents to regulators. The IC-CCM segment offers clients with tech-enabled solutions for creating and filing regulatory communications and solutions for investor communications, as well as XBRL-formatted filings pursuant to the Investment Act, through the SEC EDGAR system. This segment also provides turnkey proxy services, including discovery, planning and implementation, print and mail management, solicitation, tabulation services, shareholder meeting review, and expert support. Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyDFIN generates revenue through a combination of software subscription fees, professional services, and transaction-based fees. The company offers a suite of SaaS products that clients subscribe to on a recurring basis, providing a stable revenue stream. These products include solutions for regulatory compliance, data management, and financial reporting. Additionally, DFIN earns revenue through professional services by offering consulting and expertise to assist clients in implementing and optimizing their use of DFIN's software solutions. Another key revenue stream comes from transaction-based fees associated with specific financial transactions, such as capital markets activities and regulatory filings. Partnerships with financial institutions and large corporations also contribute to DFIN's earnings, as these partnerships often lead to long-term contracts and increased adoption of its solutions.

Donnelley Financial Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Donnelley Financial Solutions exhibits a mixed financial performance. The company shows strong cash flow generation and a solid balance sheet, but declining revenue and operational margins pose profitability challenges. Strategic focus on revenue growth and cost efficiency will be crucial for improving future performance.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Donnelley Financial Solutions shows a mixed income statement performance. The gross profit margin remains strong at 100% due to a unique reporting structure. However, the net profit margin for 2024 is 11.82%, a decrease from 2023's 10.31%, indicating potential profitability issues. The revenue growth rate is negative for three consecutive years (2021-2023), highlighting a concerning decline in sales. EBIT margin turned negative in 2024, reflecting operational challenges, while EBITDA margin remains robust at 25.35%.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with favorable equity growth and a decreasing debt load. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.32 in 2024, suggesting better leverage management. ROE is healthy at 21.18%, reflecting good return on equity. The equity ratio is 51.82%, indicating a strong capital structure with over half of the assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow performance is solid, with a free cash flow growth rate of 69.13% in 2024, indicating effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.85, showing strong cash earnings support. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.14 further supports cash flow strength, although it indicates some reliance on non-operating activities.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
781.90M797.20M833.60M993.30M894.50M
Gross Profit
484.00M463.90M463.40M580.20M398.50M
EBIT
136.60M110.00M145.00M219.30M82.80M
EBITDA
198.20M192.00M212.00M290.50M82.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
92.40M82.20M102.50M145.90M-25.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
57.30M23.10M34.20M54.50M73.60M
Total Assets
841.60M806.90M828.30M883.30M865.60M
Total Debt
141.40M150.60M213.90M181.30M301.30M
Net Debt
84.10M127.50M179.70M126.80M227.70M
Total Liabilities
405.50M404.70M498.80M506.30M617.80M
Stockholders Equity
436.10M402.20M329.50M377.00M247.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
105.20M62.20M96.00M137.70M123.10M
Operating Cash Flow
171.10M124.00M150.20M180.00M154.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-53.30M-51.30M-50.90M-45.00M-19.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-82.10M-84.60M-121.10M-154.90M-77.50M

Donnelley Financial Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.09
Price Trends
50DMA
55.20
Negative
100DMA
57.94
Negative
200DMA
61.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.57
Negative
RSI
36.26
Neutral
STOCH
72.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DFIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.44, below the 50-day MA of 55.20, and below the 200-day MA of 61.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DFIN.

Donnelley Financial Solutions Risk Analysis

Donnelley Financial Solutions disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Donnelley Financial Solutions reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Donnelley Financial Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$38.51B17.4916.21%1.53%1.98%7.16%
GG
80
Outperform
$8.84B17.7722.15%1.21%6.46%-16.94%
ACACN
75
Outperform
$193.38B25.4927.26%1.79%4.10%9.78%
69
Neutral
$10.06B22.5612.80%0.80%10.05%
64
Neutral
$14.53B10.258.67%4.22%16.51%-12.20%
61
Neutral
$1.31B14.8022.04%-1.92%12.72%
DXDXC
47
Neutral
$3.15B267.98-2.46%-5.65%78.20%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DFIN
Donnelley Financial Solutions
45.09
-16.92
-27.29%
ACN
Accenture
308.53
-32.39
-9.50%
CTSH
Cognizant
77.58
5.42
7.51%
EPAM
Epam Systems
174.23
-101.93
-36.91%
G
Genpact
50.75
18.30
56.39%
DXC
DXC Technology
17.39
-3.82
-18.01%

Donnelley Financial Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -31.53% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. The company achieved strong growth in software solutions and improved its EBITDA margins, demonstrating successful strategic execution. However, significant declines in event-driven transactional and print revenues highlighted ongoing challenges in certain market segments.
Highlights
Strong Growth in Software Solutions
Software solutions net sales achieved record growth, increasing by 13.8% on an organic basis, reaching approximately $330 million and comprising 42% of total net sales for 2024.
Record Venue Revenue
The Venue virtual data room offering grew approximately 26% year over year, reaching nearly $140 million in revenue, driven by strong sales execution and increased volume.
Improved EBITDA Margin
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased by $9.9 million or 4.8% year over year, with an EBITDA margin of 27.8%, 180 basis points higher than 2023.
Solid Free Cash Flow
Full year free cash flow was $105.2 million, a $43 million increase over 2023, driven by higher adjusted EBITDA and favorable working capital.
Lowlights
Decline in Event-Driven Transactional Revenue
Fourth quarter event-driven transactional revenue decreased by approximately $20 million or 33% compared to the previous year, with total event-driven revenue down 8% for the full year.
Lower Transactional Revenue in Capital Markets
Capital markets transactional revenue was $10 million below expectations, contributing to a decline in adjusted EBITDA and a 310 basis points decrease in adjusted EBITDA margin for Q4.
Significant Reduction in Print and Distribution Revenue
Investment companies compliance and communications management segment saw a 38% decline in net sales from Q4 2023, driven by lower print and distribution revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Donnelley Financial Solutions Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call, guidance for the fiscal year 2025 was provided, highlighting the company's strategic focus on accelerating the business mix shift towards recurring SaaS revenues. For Q1 2025, DFIN expects consolidated net sales between $190 million to $200 million and a consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid-twenty percent range. Despite facing a decline in event-driven revenue in 2024, the company achieved a 4.8% increase in consolidated adjusted EBITDA to $217.3 million and expanded the adjusted EBITDA margin by 180 basis points to 27.8%. Software solutions net sales grew by 13.8%, bringing the total to $330 million, representing 42% of total net sales. DFIN also anticipates a capital expenditure of $65 million to $70 million in 2025, primarily for software product development. The company's ongoing strategy includes investing in high-margin software offerings, managing cost structures, and focusing on capital allocation through share repurchases and net debt reduction.

Donnelley Financial Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Donnelley Financial Solutions Amends Credit Agreement and Appoints New Director
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

On March 13, 2025, Donnelley Financial Solutions amended its Credit Agreement to include a $115 million term loan A facility and a $300 million revolving facility, maturing in 2030, to refinance existing loans. Additionally, Charles D. Drucker retired from the board, and Ayman Sayed, CEO of BMC Software, was appointed as a new director, bringing extensive software industry experience to the board.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.