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DHL Group (DE:DHL)
XETRA:DHL

DHL Group (DHL) AI Stock Analysis

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DE

DHL Group

(XETRA:DHL)

73Outperform
DHL Group's strong financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue growth and efficient cost management, is the primary driver of the stock score. The stock's technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, which could present a buying opportunity given its relatively low valuation. The attractive dividend yield adds appeal for income-focused investors. Monitoring financial metrics like net profit margins and liabilities will be key to maintaining financial health.
Positive Factors
Cost Management and EBIT Margins
DHL Express is expected to grow volumes by 4-5% p.a. with EBIT margins growing to the mid-teens driven by yield management, network optimisation and cost management.
Revenue Growth Ambition
The company confirms its ambition to grow revenue by 50% by 2030 with annual growth expected to be 'GDP+'.
Negative Factors
B2B Airfreight Challenges
B2B airfreight recovery appears to have stalled, with Europe deteriorating back into negative territory and Asia regressing.
Freight Forwarding Division Performance
The freight forwarding division DGFF (-4.2%), and the smaller Ecom division (-18%) were the furthest behind EBIT expectations.

DHL Group (DHL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBased in Germany, Deutsche Post DHL is a leading express shipping and contract logistics provider. Its DHL divisions (international express shipping, air and ocean freight forwarding, and contract warehousing) generate 70% of revenue. About 30% of the top line comes from the post, e-commerce, and parcel division, which includes the firm's legacy mail delivery business (which serves the German market) and its faster-growing German small-parcel delivery business.
How the Company Makes MoneyDHL Group makes money through its diversified portfolio of logistics services. Its primary revenue streams include express delivery services, where it charges fees for transporting parcels and documents quickly across the globe. The freight forwarding segment generates income by managing and coordinating the transportation of goods via air, ocean, and road freight. Additionally, DHL earns revenue from its supply chain solutions by offering integrated logistics management services, including warehousing, distribution, and value-added services tailored to specific industry needs. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with e-commerce platforms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. Key factors contributing to DHL's earnings include its global network, technological advancements in logistics, and its ability to adapt to market demands, such as the growing need for sustainable and efficient supply chain solutions.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
84.19B81.76B94.44B81.75B66.81B
Gross Profit
13.15B13.10B16.55B15.44B11.77B
EBIT
5.89B6.34B8.44B7.62B4.85B
EBITDA
10.81B10.81B12.73B11.69B8.54B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.33B3.68B5.36B5.05B2.98B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.19B4.26B3.19B4.71B5.80B
Total Assets
69.88B66.83B68.28B63.59B55.31B
Total Debt
22.44B20.83B20.22B19.02B18.35B
Net Debt
20.30B17.18B18.39B17.39B13.87B
Total Liabilities
45.66B43.94B44.58B44.09B41.23B
Stockholders Equity
23.79B22.48B23.24B19.04B13.78B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.79B5.88B7.05B6.26B4.78B
Operating Cash Flow
8.72B9.26B10.96B9.99B7.70B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.39B-2.18B-3.18B-4.82B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow
-6.35B-6.90B-7.41B-6.22B-2.25B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price36.91
Price Trends
50DMA
38.37
Negative
100DMA
36.55
Positive
200DMA
37.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.94
Negative
RSI
48.73
Neutral
STOCH
87.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DHL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.91, below the 50-day MA of 38.37, and below the 200-day MA of 37.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:DHL.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DEDHL
73
Outperform
€41.42B12.5914.42%5.18%2.97%-7.55%
63
Neutral
$4.14B11.235.47%215.40%4.10%-8.63%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:DHL
DHL Group
36.91
0.26
0.70%
GB:0BFA
BASF SE
44.13
-3.69
-7.72%
GB:0P6S
Bayer
21.46
-5.40
-20.10%
GB:0MPH
Deutsche Telekom
32.47
11.32
53.52%
GB:0O1R
Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide
60.75
13.77
29.31%
CTTAF
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
75.33
9.83
15.01%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.