While Dollar General shows some positive trends in market share growth and operational improvements, significant challenges remain, including decreased operating profit, increased shrink, and declining EPS. The company is taking steps to address these issues, but the financial headwinds are notable.

Company Guidance

During Dollar General's third-quarter 2023 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic actions aimed at improving operational performance. The company reported a 2.4% increase in net sales to $9.7 billion, although same-store sales decreased by 1.3%. The company emphasized a focus on investing approximately $150 million in store labor hours to enhance customer service and inventory management, which is expected to improve retention at the store manager level and reduce shrink. Dollar General plans to optimize its supply chain by better managing inventory within distribution centers and reducing temporary warehouse usage, aiming for higher on-time and in-full delivery rates. The company also discussed SKU rationalization to simplify operations, improve inventory turnover, and lower costs. For fiscal 2023, Dollar General forecasts net sales growth of 1.5% to 2.5%, with same-store sales ranging from a decline of approximately 1% to flat, and EPS between $7.10 and $7.60, representing a decline of 34% to 29%. Capital spending is expected to be between $1.6 billion and $1.7 billion, with no share repurchase activity planned.

Market Share Growth

Dollar General grew market share in both dollars and units in highly consumable and non-consumable product sales during Q3.

Positive Customer Traffic

Customer traffic was positive in Q3 and continued to improve into November, indicating early traction from operational changes.

Strong Real Estate Returns

Real estate projects continue to deliver strong performance with new store returns expected to be approximately 18% on average in 2024.

Inventory Reduction Success

Total non-consumable inventory decreased approximately 15% compared to last year and decreased 19% on a per-store basis.

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Dollar General (DE:7DG) Earnings, Revenues Date & History

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DE:7DG Earnings History

Report Date	Fiscal Quarter	Forecast / EPS	Last Year's EPS	EPS YoY Change	Slides	Play Transcript
Mar 13, 2025	2024 (Q4)	1.45 / -	1.767	―	―	―
Dec 05, 2024	2024 (Q3)	0.91 / 0.86	1.216	-29.37% (-0.36)	―
Aug 29, 2024	2024 (Q2)	1.73 / 1.64	2.056	-20.19% (-0.42)	―
May 30, 2024	2024 (Q1)	1.52 / 1.59	2.259	-29.49% (-0.67)	―
Mar 14, 2024	2023 (Q4)	1.67 / 1.77	2.857	-38.18% (-1.09)	―
Dec 07, 2023	2023 (Q3)	1.15 / 1.22	2.249	-45.92% (-1.03)	―
Aug 31, 2023	2023 (Q2)	2.39 / 2.06	2.877	-28.52% (-0.82)	―
Jun 01, 2023	2023 (Q1)	2.30 / 2.26	2.327	-2.90% (-0.07)	―
Mar 16, 2023	2022 (Q4)	2.84 / 2.86	2.491	14.73% (+0.37)	―
Dec 01, 2022	2022 (Q3)	2.45 / 2.25	2.008	12.02% (+0.24)	―

The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.

Beat

Missed

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DE:7DG Earnings-Related Price Changes

Report Date	Price 1 Day Before	Price 1 Day After	Percentage Change
Dec 05, 2024	€75.53	€72.60	-3.88%
Aug 29, 2024	€110.95	€78.40	-29.34%
May 30, 2024	€129.06	€123.55	-4.27%
Mar 14, 2024	€145.15	€146.53	+0.95%

Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.

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