tiprankstipranks
Datadog (DDOG)
NASDAQ:DDOG

Datadog (DDOG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
6,398 Followers

Top Page

DDDatadog
(NASDAQ:DDOG)
66Neutral
Datadog's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, tempered by technical analysis indicating bearish trends and a high P/E ratio suggesting potential overvaluation. The company's robust growth trajectory and cash management are significant positives, but technical and valuation challenges present notable risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Datadog posted solid Q4 results, beating across both top and bottom lines, highlighted by record bookings that exceeded $1B for the first time in a single quarter.
Product Development
Newer offerings such as LLM Observability are creating a halo effect for Datadog.
Negative Factors
Growth Outlook
The FY25 growth guidance came in below expectations, leading to a more cautious outlook on future growth durability.

Datadog (DDOG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Datadog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFounded in 2010, Datadog, Inc. provides a monitoring and analytics platform for developers, information technology operations teams and business users, through an SaaS-based data analytics platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyDatadog generates revenue through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for access to its cloud-based platform and services. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from the sale of its software services, which are billed on a monthly or annual basis. Key revenue drivers include the number of hosts or instances a customer monitors, the volume of data ingested, and the specific features and capabilities utilized, such as advanced analytics, real-time alerting, or security functionalities. Datadog also benefits from a usage-based pricing strategy, where costs scale with the level of service consumption, making it attractive for businesses of all sizes. Significant partnerships with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform (GCP) further enhance Datadog's market reach and integration capabilities, contributing to its earnings by facilitating customer adoption and deployment.

Datadog Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Datadog's financial performance is impressive with strong revenue growth, improving profitability, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet is solid, with manageable leverage and efficient equity utilization. While operational margins could be improved, the company's growth trajectory and cash management are strong indicators of its financial health and potential for continued success in the software industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Datadog exhibits strong revenue growth with TTM revenue growing by 26.1% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains robust at 80.8%, and the net profit margin improved significantly to 6.8%. While the EBIT margin is relatively low at 2.0%, indicating higher operational costs, the EBITDA margin of 4.4% suggests improved earnings potential. Overall, the company shows healthy growth and improving profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68, reflecting manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 6.8%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 46.9%, signifying a healthy balance between assets and equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with moderate leverage and effective use of equity.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Datadog demonstrates strong cash flow performance with a significant increase in free cash flow of 39.9% year over year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 4.7, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 4.6 further emphasizes efficient cash management. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates robust cash generation and liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.68B2.13B1.68B1.03B603.47M
Gross Profit
2.17B1.72B1.33B794.54M473.27M
EBIT
54.28M-33.46M-24.90M2.63M8.21M
EBITDA
265.94M150.21M41.10M25.57M34.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
183.75M48.57M-50.16M-20.75M-24.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.19B2.58B1.88B1.55B1.52B
Total Assets
5.79B3.94B3.00B2.38B1.89B
Total Debt
1.84B902.34M837.52M807.75M643.62M
Net Debt
595.20M572.00M498.54M536.77M418.70M
Total Liabilities
3.07B1.91B1.59B1.34B932.85M
Stockholders Equity
2.71B2.03B1.41B1.04B957.43M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
835.88M597.55M353.52M250.52M83.21M
Operating Cash Flow
870.60M659.95M418.41M286.55M109.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-736.84M-731.37M-384.67M-273.74M-1.15B
Financing Cash Flow
787.08M58.28M36.02M34.94M670.28M

Datadog Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price115.46
Price Trends
50DMA
137.96
Negative
100DMA
137.73
Negative
200DMA
127.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.84
Positive
RSI
31.05
Neutral
STOCH
20.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDOG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 115.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 129.78, below the 50-day MA of 137.96, and below the 200-day MA of 127.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DDOG.

Datadog Risk Analysis

Datadog disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Datadog reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Datadog Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ZSZS
80
Outperform
$29.74B-2.54%30.77%79.05%
78
Outperform
$96.10B770.464.14%31.35%
NONOW
71
Outperform
$186.65B132.4614.83%22.44%-18.31%
68
Neutral
$17.52B-1.38%7.32%88.51%
68
Neutral
$14.94B1,886.9378.42%15.33%
66
Neutral
$39.58B224.856.77%26.12%274.50%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDOG
Datadog
115.46
-9.13
-7.33%
NOW
ServiceNow
906.09
165.03
22.27%
TWLO
Twilio
114.78
56.22
96.00%
OKTA
Okta
108.31
-0.59
-0.54%
ZS
Zscaler
193.82
-8.60
-4.25%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
390.16
60.59
18.38%

Datadog Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -22.03% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Datadog's Q4 2024 earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, significant bookings, and robust product adoption. However, there were concerns about declining operating margins and a plateau in customer usage growth. Despite these challenges, the overall performance and future outlook remain positive.
Highlights
Record Revenue and Customer Growth
Datadog reported Q4 2024 revenue of $738 million, a 25% increase year-over-year, exceeding guidance. The customer base grew to approximately 30,000, up from 27,300 a year ago.
Strong ARR Milestones
Total ARR surpassed $3 billion, with infrastructure monitoring contributing over $1.25 billion, and both log management and APM products exceeding $750 million each.
High Free Cash Flow Margin
Generated free cash flow of $241 million, with a free cash flow margin of 33%.
Robust Product Adoption
83% of customers use 2 or more products, 50% use 4 or more, and 12% use 8 or more products, showing strong cross-product adoption.
Significant Bookings Growth
Achieved a new record in bookings with over $1 billion in the quarter.
Expansion in Key Accounts
Secured several 7-figure deals with major companies across various sectors, indicating strong enterprise growth.
R&D Achievements
Released over 400 new features in 2024, including significant advancements in AI, Kubernetes, and OpenTelemetry integrations.
Lowlights
Operating Margin Decline
Q4 operating margin decreased to 24% from 28% a year ago.
Slower Growth in Usage
Usage growth from existing customers was similar to the year-ago quarter, indicating a plateau in customer expansion.
Challenges in Cost Optimization
Faced some customer optimization and volume discounts related to contract renewals, impacting revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call, Datadog provided comprehensive guidance for Q1 and the fiscal year 2025. The company anticipates Q1 revenues to range between $737 million and $741 million, representing a 21% year-over-year growth, with a non-GAAP operating income expected between $162 million to $166 million, implying a 22% operating margin. For the full fiscal year 2025, Datadog projects revenues between $3.175 billion and $3.195 billion, marking an 18% to 19% year-over-year growth. The company expects a non-GAAP operating income of $655 million to $675 million, with an operating margin of 21%. The guidance reflects continued investment in sales and marketing, with operating expenses anticipated to grow in the high 20s percent range year-over-year. Additionally, Datadog's net interest and other income for 2025 is projected to be approximately $120 million, and the non-GAAP tax rate is set at 21%. The guidance indicates a balance between growth investments and financial discipline, with capital expenditures expected to be 4% to 5% of revenues.

Datadog Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Datadog Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Neutral
Dec 23, 2024

Datadog, Inc. has announced the expansion of its Board of Directors from eight to nine members, with the appointment of Amit Agarwal as a Class II director effective January 1, 2025. This strategic move does not involve any committee assignment or compensation for Mr. Agarwal, potentially reflecting a strong commitment to governance and operational integrity, as he brings his expertise to the company without direct financial incentives.

Private Placements and Financing
Datadog Raises $1 Billion Through Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 12, 2024

Datadog, Inc. successfully completed a private offering of $1 billion in 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029, which included an additional $130 million from the initial purchasers’ option. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including potential acquisitions and strategic investments, and has taken measures to manage stock dilution through capped call transactions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.