tiprankstipranks
bpost SA (BPOSY)
OTHER OTC:BPOSY
US Market

bpost SA (BPOSY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
24 Followers

Top Page

BP

bpost SA

(OTC:BPOSY)

67Neutral
BPOSY's overall score is driven by a combination of stable financial performance and attractive valuation metrics, offset by technical weaknesses and mixed earnings call results. The company's high leverage and revenue challenges are risks, while its strong cash flow and low P/E ratio provide potential upside.

bpost SA (BPOSY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

bpost SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionbpost SA (BPOSY) is a leading postal operator in Belgium, providing a range of mail, parcel, and related services. The company operates in various sectors including mail delivery, parcel services, and logistics solutions. bpost offers comprehensive services for both individual and business customers, facilitating domestic and international deliveries. Its core products include traditional mail services, express delivery, and e-commerce logistics solutions.
How the Company Makes Moneybpost SA generates revenue primarily through its mail and parcel delivery services. The company earns income from domestic and international postal services, where it charges customers for delivering letters, packages, and express mail. A significant portion of its revenue comes from parcel services, driven by the growth of e-commerce, where bpost acts as a logistics partner for online retailers, facilitating the delivery of goods purchased online. Additionally, bpost offers various value-added services such as warehousing, fulfillment solutions, and supply chain management, which contribute to its earnings. The company also engages in partnerships with other postal and logistics providers to expand its network and enhance service offerings, thereby boosting revenue streams.

bpost SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BPOSY demonstrates stable financial performance with strong cash flow management but faces challenges such as high leverage and a slight decline in revenue. Profitability metrics show improvement, which is a positive indicator.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM gross profit margin is approximately 4.71%, and the net profit margin is around 1.97%. The EBIT margin for TTM is about 4.20%, while the EBITDA margin is 12.03%. There is a slight revenue decline from the previous year, but the net income has increased, indicating better cost management or operational efficiency. However, the decline in revenue is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.42, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is around 7.96%, reflecting modest profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 20.20%, indicating a lower reliance on equity financing. While the company maintains adequate equity, the high leverage poses a risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement is relatively strong, with a positive free cash flow and an operating cash flow to net income ratio of about 4.88, suggesting robust cash-generating ability relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 3.31, highlighting efficient cash flow management. Despite these strengths, the significant increase in financing cash flow indicates higher debt acquisition, which could be a risk.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.21B4.26B4.37B4.28B4.12B3.78B
Gross Profit
198.50M688.30M550.90M570.00M430.40M255.60M
EBIT
176.80M160.80M263.30M338.00M200.70M289.90M
EBITDA
506.80M475.20M608.30M622.50M523.80M548.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
83.10M65.70M232.50M250.90M-19.20M154.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.07B870.60M1.05B907.50M948.10M670.20M
Total Assets
4.10B4.12B4.36B4.14B3.87B3.78B
Total Debt
1.28B1.29B1.49B1.38B1.44B1.45B
Net Debt
209.90M420.40M437.20M470.10M495.20M779.70M
Total Liabilities
3.01B3.09B3.29B3.26B3.29B3.09B
Stockholders Equity
1.09B1.03B1.07B884.80M582.50M680.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
274.90M221.50M258.00M226.10M423.60M262.00M
Operating Cash Flow
405.50M376.20M422.40M398.20M571.30M424.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.42B-152.40M-19.20M-145.00M-127.60M-122.20M
Financing Cash Flow
618.30M-428.70M-262.10M-309.10M-138.80M-314.10M

bpost SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.58
Price Trends
50DMA
1.83
Negative
100DMA
1.96
Negative
200DMA
2.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
37.73
Neutral
STOCH
2.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPOSY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.60, below the 50-day MA of 1.83, and below the 200-day MA of 2.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BPOSY.

bpost SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FDFDX
74
Outperform
$58.41B15.3114.74%2.21%0.34%-8.45%
UPUPS
72
Outperform
$93.27B16.2633.99%5.94%0.16%-13.41%
68
Neutral
$12.11B26.5429.65%2.40%0.73%41.65%
67
Neutral
$312.94M4.73-21.73%4.44%-1.07%-22.44%
XPXPO
66
Neutral
$12.61B33.2727.07%4.22%105.29%
62
Neutral
$8.07B13.603.76%3.13%3.60%-14.67%
DXDXC
47
Neutral
$3.09B267.98-2.46%-5.65%78.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BPOSY
bpost SA
1.58
-2.15
-57.64%
CHRW
CH Robinson
102.76
32.78
46.84%
XPO
XPO
109.18
-14.53
-11.75%
FDX
FedEx
241.98
-30.80
-11.29%
UPS
United Parcel
109.26
-35.56
-24.55%
DXC
DXC Technology
17.63
-3.50
-16.56%

bpost SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -27.19% | Next Earnings Date: May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted strong performances from Staci and growth in Domestic Parcel volumes, but these were overshadowed by significant challenges including revenue declines, a €300 million impairment at Radial U.S., and a substantial reported net loss. The strategic focus on transformation and operational efficiencies offers some positive outlook, yet the immediate financial pressures and market challenges suggest a cautious sentiment.
Highlights
Staci's Strong Performance
Staci delivered approximately €340 million in revenues and €41 million in EBIT, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 12%, ranking among the highest in the logistics industry. This solid performance aligns with expectations despite a seasonally softer start.
Domestic Parcel Volume Growth
Domestic Parcel volume continued to grow, delivering a solid performance in 2024 with an increase of more than €30 million in revenue, marking a strong uptick compared to the previous year.
Operational Efficiency at Radial U.S.
Radial U.S. achieved a record-high peak period variable contribution margin rate, with efficiency gains delivering an impact of approximately $18 million compared to last year.
3PL Europe Growth
Constant perimeter Radial and Active Ants sales were up 14.6% year-over-year, driven by customer onboarding and upselling activities targeting existing customers.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline Excluding Staci
Excluding Staci’s strategic contribution, revenues declined approximately €270 million, driven by a reduction of €50 million in Press revenues and a decline of more than €210 million in Radial U.S. revenues.
Significant Impairment at Radial U.S.
An impairment of €300 million was recognized on Radial U.S., bringing the book value from €912 million to €612 million, due to customer departures and a challenging market environment.
Reported Group Net Loss
The reported Group net result stands at minus €209 million, leading the Board of Directors to recommend not distributing a dividend this year.
Impact of Press Revenue Decline
Press revenues declined by €50 million following new contracts, directly impacting EBIT, and contributing to a €45 million decrease in Belgium's EBIT.
Challenges in North America
Topline pressure at Radial and Landmark in North America was partly offset by productivity gains, but the departure of several significant customers impacted future growth projections.
Company Guidance
In the bpost Group's fourth-quarter 2024 analyst call, the company reported a total operating income exceeding €4.3 billion for the year, with an adjusted EBIT of €224.9 million, aligning with the upper end of the guidance range of €205 million to €230 million. The EBIT margin was reported at 5.2%. The logistics company Staci contributed significantly, delivering €340 million in revenues and €41 million in EBIT, with a 12% margin. However, excluding Staci, bpost's revenues declined by approximately €270 million, with €50 million lost from Press revenues and over €210 million from Radial U.S. revenues. Domestic Parcel volume grew, adding over €30 million in revenue, but overall EBIT declined by around €65 million year-over-year. Belgium's EBIT dropped by €45 million, and Radial faced an impairment of €300 million, reducing its book value from €912 million to €612 million. Consequently, the Group's reported net result was minus €209 million, leading to the Board's recommendation not to distribute a dividend. The company also outlined strategic shifts focusing on SMEs and new market segments, aiming to become a digital expert in parcel-size logistics across North America and Europe.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.