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Box (BOX)
NYSE:BOX

Box (BOX) AI Stock Analysis

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BO

Box

(NYSE:BOX)

72Outperform
Box demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability, countered slightly by potential equity vulnerabilities. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation is moderate, balancing growth prospects with current earnings. The recent earnings call highlights positive sentiment despite some challenges, contributing to a stable outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunity
Box is targeting a massive $100+ billion market opportunity by building the leading ICM platform and leveraging Enterprise Advanced to accelerate customer transformation.
Revenue Growth
Box remains steadfast in its ability to deliver double-digit revenue growth, highlighting Enterprise Advanced and Box AI as key growth drivers.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Box reported lackluster 4Q:FY25 results and issued a tepid 1Q:FY26 outlook, indicating potential challenges in financial performance.
Investor Sentiment
Investor sentiment seems low, as most investors are focused on topline growth and are not impressed by the free cash flow profile of this mature company.

Box (BOX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBox, Inc. is a cloud content management and file sharing service for businesses. Headquartered in Redwood City, California, Box's core products and services enable users to securely manage, share, and collaborate on their content across various devices and platforms. The company focuses on providing enterprise-grade solutions that facilitate seamless workflow and content management for a range of industries, including finance, healthcare, and education.
How the Company Makes MoneyBox makes money primarily through a subscription-based revenue model. The company offers various pricing tiers, catering to businesses of different sizes and needs, and charges a recurring fee for access to its cloud-based services. Its revenue streams are largely driven by enterprise subscriptions, which offer advanced features and additional storage and security capabilities. Box also generates income from professional services, which include consulting and implementation support to help organizations optimize their use of Box's platform. Significant partnerships with technology providers, such as Microsoft, Google, and IBM, enhance its service offerings and contribute to customer acquisition and retention, further driving revenue growth.

Box Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Box has shown significant improvement in its financial performance across all verticals. The income statement highlights strong growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet reflects a healthier capital structure, albeit with some vulnerability due to low equity. Cash flow analysis indicates effective cash management, supporting the company's growth. Overall, Box is on a positive financial trajectory, but should monitor its equity position closely.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Box demonstrated a strong revenue growth with a 5.04% increase in TTM compared to the previous year, continuing its positive trajectory from past years. The gross profit margin remains robust at 79.08%, indicating efficient cost management. Box's net profit margin significantly improved to 20.06% in TTM, a notable increase from previous years, showcasing enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also saw improvements, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Box's balance sheet shows improvement with a declining debt-to-equity ratio, now standing at 1.38, indicating reduced reliance on debt. The equity ratio improved to 11.83%, but remains relatively low, suggesting potential vulnerability. Return on Equity (ROE) surged to 110.85%, driven by increased net income, but is partially influenced by low equity levels, which could pose risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Box reported strong free cash flow growth of 5.89% in TTM, indicating solid cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.52 reflects efficient conversion of net income into cash, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.45 further underscores robust cash flow management. Overall, Box demonstrates healthy cash flow practices.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.09B1.04B990.87M874.33M770.77M
Gross Profit
862.02M777.13M738.32M624.85M546.03M
EBIT
79.63M50.75M36.84M-27.63M-35.22M
EBITDA
79.63M101.99M102.83M50.61M37.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
201.57M129.03M26.78M-41.46M-43.43M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
722.82M480.69M461.25M586.27M595.08M
Total Assets
1.67B1.24B1.21B1.39B1.35B
Total Debt
272.68M491.80M564.42M642.33M648.15M
Net Debt
-351.90M108.06M135.96M226.06M53.07M
Total Liabilities
1.47B1.18B1.24B1.30B1.20B
Stockholders Equity
197.28M61.03M-33.86M92.79M151.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
329.68M300.32M281.49M224.33M180.34M
Operating Cash Flow
332.26M318.73M297.98M234.82M196.83M
Investing Cash Flow
-23.21M-82.79M120.60M-239.37M-16.38M
Financing Cash Flow
-62.36M-272.90M-396.50M-172.86M218.68M

Box Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.21
Price Trends
50DMA
32.24
Negative
100DMA
32.39
Negative
200DMA
31.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
47.00
Neutral
STOCH
61.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.56, below the 50-day MA of 32.24, and below the 200-day MA of 31.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BOX.

Box Risk Analysis

Box disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Box reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Box Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.59B26.3841.09%10.40%14.78%
BOBOX
72
Outperform
$4.32B22.49189.40%5.05%103.11%
SWSWI
70
Outperform
$3.20B28.867.87%5.03%
SS
64
Neutral
$5.77B-17.68%32.25%20.56%
63
Neutral
$3.95B-9.73%12.68%54.80%
57
Neutral
$19.52B9.58-12.47%2.79%5.43%-24.71%
57
Neutral
$4.65B-20.26%10.38%6.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOX
Box
30.21
3.94
15.00%
QLYS
Qualys
124.10
-37.95
-23.42%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
41.30
-1.63
-3.80%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
32.84
-13.10
-28.52%
SWI
SolarWinds
18.48
7.89
74.50%
S
SentinelOne
17.58
-3.09
-14.95%

Box Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.74% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 3, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance and strategic product launches, such as the Enterprise Advanced plan, which shows potential for future growth. However, challenges including foreign exchange impacts, flat operating margin guidance, and tax expense headwinds were also highlighted. Despite these challenges, the company's strong cash flow, growing customer base, and innovative offerings contribute to an overall positive sentiment.
Highlights
Strong Q4 Operating Results
Q4 revenue was $280 million, up 6% year over year or 8% in constant currency. Operating margins were 27.3%, and EPS was 42 cents, one cent above guidance.
Successful Launch of Enterprise Advanced
The new Enterprise Advanced plan was launched, with several dozen deals closed in Q4. The plan includes AI-powered document processing and no-code app functionalities.
Record Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for fiscal 2025 was $305 million, up 13% year over year.
Increase in Operating Margin
Year-over-year operating margin increased by 320 basis points to 27.9%.
Expanding Customer Base
Approximately 1,920 total customers are paying at least $100,000 annually, up 8% year over year.
Lowlights
Impact of Foreign Exchange on Revenue
Q4 revenue had an incremental FX headwind of 70 basis points, and Q1 revenue guidance includes a 120 basis point headwind due to the leap year.
Flat Operating Margin Guidance for FY 2026
Fiscal year 2026 operating margin is expected to be approximately 28%, implying flat year-over-year growth due to planned investments.
Tax Expense Headwinds
Non-GAAP EPS is facing a $0.52 headwind from incremental non-cash deferred tax expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Box, Inc. fourth quarter and fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and financial guidance for the upcoming fiscal year 2026. Box reported a Q4 revenue of $280 million, a 6% year-over-year increase, with operating margins of 27.3% and an EPS of $0.42, surpassing their guidance by one cent. For the full fiscal year 2025, Box achieved a revenue growth of 5% year-over-year, reaching $1.09 billion, and expanded operating margins by 320 basis points to 28%. The company also reported a record free cash flow of $305 million, a 13% increase from the previous year. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Box anticipates revenue between $1.155 billion and $1.16 billion, representing a 6% increase, and aims for a gross margin of approximately 81%. The company expects billings growth of 7% and a non-GAAP operating margin of about 28%, despite a 60 basis point impact from previous data center equipment sales. Box is also planning strategic investments to enhance its partner ecosystem and AI capabilities, while maintaining cost discipline to drive future growth and profitability.

Box Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Box Amends Credit Agreement and Grants Stock Units
Neutral
Dec 20, 2024

Box, Inc. has amended its Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, reducing its revolving commitments from $150 million to $75 million, which may impact its financial flexibility. Additionally, the company has granted performance-based restricted stock units to CEO Aaron Levie as part of its strategy to incentivize leadership in a rapidly evolving AI-driven market, tying his compensation to the company’s stock performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.