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Bluescope Steel (BLSFY)
:BLSFY
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BlueScope Steel (BLSFY) AI Stock Analysis

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BlueScope Steel

(OTC:BLSFY)

74Outperform
BlueScope Steel's stock demonstrates solid financial performance with low leverage and strong equity position, contributing significantly to its overall score. Despite recent revenue declines, effective cost management and robust cash flows provide stability. The stock's valuation is attractive, offering a fair P/E ratio and a healthy dividend yield. While technical indicators suggest strong upward momentum, overbought signals warrant caution. Positive earnings call guidance and shareholder returns bolster the outlook, though challenges in specific regions remain a concern.

BlueScope Steel (BLSFY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

BlueScope Steel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY) is a leading global manufacturer and supplier of steel products and solutions. The company operates predominantly in the Asia-Pacific region, North America, and Europe, providing a wide range of steel-based building products, including roofing, walling, and flooring systems. BlueScope's core segments include Australian Steel Products, North Star BlueScope Steel in the United States, and Building Products Asia and North America, serving industrial, commercial, and residential construction markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlueScope Steel generates revenue through the manufacturing and distribution of steel products across various sectors, including construction, automotive, and manufacturing. The company operates several key revenue streams, including the sale of flat steel products and building solutions. The Australian Steel Products segment is a significant contributor, providing products like hot rolled coil, cold rolled coil, and coated steel. In North America, BlueScope's joint venture, North Star BlueScope Steel, is a key profit center, producing hot rolled coil for various industries. Additionally, BlueScope's Building Products segment, which operates across Asia and North America, offers branded building solutions like COLORBOND® and ZINCALUME® steel. Strategic partnerships, joint ventures, and a focus on innovation in steel technologies further bolster BlueScope's financial performance by enhancing its market reach and product offerings.

BlueScope Steel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlueScope Steel demonstrates solid financial health with stable profitability and low leverage. The income statement shows effective cost management, although revenue decline is a concern. The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position, and the cash flow statement indicates robust cash generation despite a decline in free cash flow. The company is well-positioned but should focus on reversing the revenue downtrend.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BlueScope Steel demonstrated a solid performance in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin for 2024 was approximately 39.2%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company experienced a decline in revenue from $18.17 billion in 2023 to $17.06 billion in 2024, resulting in a negative revenue growth rate of about -6.5%. The Net Profit Margin stood at 4.7%, which is modest. The EBIT margin was 7.4%, reflecting stable operational efficiency despite the revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of BlueScope Steel shows a strong position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.07, indicating low leverage. The Equity Ratio is a robust 68.4%, signifying a high level of asset financing through equity. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 7.51%, showing a reasonable return on shareholders' investments. Overall, the company's low debt levels and high equity ratio provide a stable financial foundation.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in Free Cash Flow from $1.34 billion in 2023 to $433.7 million in 2024, marking a decrease of roughly 67.7%. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable at 1.75, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Despite the drop in Free Cash Flow, the company maintains healthy operating cash flow, which mitigates concerns about liquidity.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.06B18.17B18.99B12.87B11.28B
Gross Profit
6.68B2.64B4.71B2.38B1.25B
EBIT
1.27B1.35B3.63B1.65B415.80M
EBITDA
1.99B2.01B4.38B2.22B867.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
805.70M1.01B2.81B1.19B96.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.09B1.49B1.68B1.96B1.40B
Total Assets
15.68B15.94B16.61B13.15B11.56B
Total Debt
721.50M786.50M1.32B1.16B1.32B
Net Debt
-364.00M-703.30M-367.10M-798.10M-79.10M
Total Liabilities
4.39B4.90B6.16B4.99B4.52B
Stockholders Equity
10.72B10.47B9.78B7.63B6.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
433.70M1.34B1.71B897.80M238.10M
Operating Cash Flow
1.41B2.15B2.47B1.66B817.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-967.00M-979.10M-1.76B-757.40M-570.30M
Financing Cash Flow
-849.20M-1.36B-1.05B-295.90M-483.80M

BlueScope Steel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price73.46
Price Trends
50DMA
66.68
Positive
100DMA
67.56
Positive
200DMA
67.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.29
Positive
RSI
55.14
Neutral
STOCH
20.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLSFY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 73.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.27, above the 50-day MA of 66.68, and above the 200-day MA of 67.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BLSFY.

BlueScope Steel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$6.42B18.055.09%2.48%-8.69%-19.32%
NUNUE
74
Outperform
$29.21B15.809.79%1.62%-11.46%-53.29%
RSRS
73
Outperform
$15.31B18.4011.71%1.52%-6.56%-31.89%
72
Outperform
$18.78B12.7017.27%1.47%-6.68%-32.96%
XX
52
Neutral
$7.91B23.183.43%0.55%-13.48%-56.94%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
CLCLF
44
Neutral
$4.33B-10.36%-12.78%-301.57%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLSFY
BlueScope Steel
73.91
3.63
5.17%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
8.75
-11.72
-57.25%
NUE
Nucor
126.70
-53.53
-29.70%
RS
Reliance Steel
282.58
-33.74
-10.67%
STLD
Steel Dynamics
119.40
-10.04
-7.76%
X
United States Steel
35.14
-11.46
-24.59%

BlueScope Steel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 16, 2025 | % Change Since: | Next Earnings Date: Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
BlueScope demonstrated resilience with profitable results and significant shareholder returns despite facing challenging macroeconomic conditions and cost inflation pressures. The company's outlook for the second half of FY '25 is optimistic, driven by improved spreads in the U.S. and stronger domestic volumes in Australia. However, the underperformance in New Zealand and challenges in the U.S. market weigh on the overall sentiment.
Highlights
Resilient Profitability Despite Challenging Conditions
BlueScope reported an underlying EBIT of $309 million and a return on invested capital of 8.1%, maintaining profitability despite bottom-of-cycle conditions and a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Significant Shareholder Returns
The company delivered $162 million in shareholder returns and finished with an $88 million net cash balance sheet.
Cost and Productivity Program
BlueScope is underway with a $200 million cost and productivity program, aiming for $500 million in incremental annual EBIT by 2030.
Improved Outlook for Second Half FY '25
Underlying EBIT in the second half of FY '25 is expected to be in the range of $360 million to $430 million, driven by improved spreads in the U.S. and stronger domestic volumes in Australia.
Safety Initiatives
Nearly 200 risk control projects were identified, and TRIFR reduced to 8.0%, though it remains above the long-term range.
Lowlights
Weaker Performance in New Zealand
New Zealand faced very tough macro conditions, resulting in a significantly lower performance and an underlying EBIT of just $3 million.
Cost Inflation Pressures
The company experienced ongoing cost inflation pressures, impacting the overall performance.
Lagging Safety Indicators
While TRIFR reduced, the potential severity measure increased slightly, indicating mixed safety performance.
Challenges in the U.S. Market
North American businesses saw a softer result with an underlying EBIT of $182 million due to weaker spreads and lower volumes.
Company Guidance
In a recent call, BlueScope provided guidance for the second half of FY'25, expecting underlying EBIT to be between $360 million and $430 million, an improvement from the first half's $309 million. This optimism is driven by improved spreads in the U.S., stronger domestic volumes in Australia, and benefits from a group-wide cost and productivity program. The company is targeting $200 million in cost and productivity improvements by FY'26 and aims for a $500 million incremental annual EBIT by 2030. BlueScope also plans to reduce working capital by $200 million to $300 million over the next 18 months. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with an $88 million net cash position and has announced a $0.30 per share fully franked interim dividend, while extending its buyback program.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.