tiprankstipranks
Brandywine Realty (BDN)
NYSE:BDN

Brandywine Realty (BDN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
455 Followers

Top Page

BD

Brandywine Realty

(NYSE:BDN)

54Neutral
Brandywine Realty's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, evident from weak profitability and operational inefficiencies. Despite strong leasing activity and improved liquidity highlighted in the earnings call, technical analysis indicates bearish sentiment, and the valuation presents a mixed picture. These factors contribute to a moderate score, underscoring the need for caution in investment decisions.

Brandywine Realty (BDN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Brandywine Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrandywine Realty Trust (BDN) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, management, and development of urban, town center, and transit-oriented office properties. With a strong presence in the Philadelphia, Washington D.C., and Austin markets, Brandywine Realty is committed to delivering high-quality, sustainable office environments that cater to a diverse range of tenants seeking prime real estate locations.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrandywine Realty Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing office space to a variety of tenants. This includes long-term leases that provide stable and predictable cash flows. The company's revenue model is largely dependent on occupancy rates, rental rates, and lease renewals or new lease agreements within its property portfolio. Additionally, Brandywine engages in the strategic acquisition and development of properties, enhancing its asset base and potential income. Another significant revenue stream comes from the sale of properties, which the company occasionally undertakes to optimize its portfolio. Partnerships with other real estate entities or investment firms can also contribute to revenue, particularly in joint development projects or property management contracts.

Brandywine Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brandywine Realty faces significant financial challenges. The income statement is hindered by declining profitability and operational inefficiencies. While the balance sheet shows improved leverage due to zero debt, equity and profitability metrics are weak. Cash flow generation is positive but inconsistent, reflecting operational challenges. Overall, the company needs to address profitability and operational efficiency to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Brandywine Realty's income statement reveals challenges with profitability. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy, but the company has experienced a net loss in the most recent TTM period, which negatively impacts the net profit margin. The revenue has shown slight fluctuations, but a significant decrease in EBIT and negative EBITDA in the TTM period indicate operational difficulties. Overall, the income statement suggests limited profitability and operational efficiency issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The company has reduced its total debt to zero in the TTM period, which is a positive sign of improved financial stability. However, the stockholders' equity has decreased, which affects the equity ratio. Return on equity has been negative recently due to net losses, reflecting inefficiencies in generating shareholder returns. Despite the reduction in debt, the company's equity position has weakened.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some concerns. The operating cash flow remains positive, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent, with fluctuations that indicate challenges in maintaining stable cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is affected by net losses, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income to cash flow. The overall cash flow position is stable but not strong.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
505.52M514.65M506.10M486.82M534.85M
Gross Profit
318.19M324.70M311.70M298.51M329.40M
EBIT
54.88M-21.58M119.73M71.98M91.35M
EBITDA
103.00M91.29M276.69M250.09M279.63M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-195.91M-197.36M53.82M12.29M305.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
90.23M58.32M17.55M27.46M46.34M
Total Assets
3.49B3.73B3.87B3.85B3.90B
Total Debt
2.24B2.16B1.99B1.88B1.85B
Net Debt
2.15B2.10B1.97B1.85B1.81B
Total Liabilities
2.45B2.41B2.24B2.14B2.10B
Stockholders Equity
1.04B1.32B1.63B1.69B1.79B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
51.37M20.81M-53.71M55.75M65.56M
Operating Cash Flow
181.13M177.27M209.31M190.87M225.81M
Investing Cash Flow
-120.19M-174.91M-190.59M-100.31M18.29M
Financing Cash Flow
-32.30M46.79M-28.63M-109.34M-288.19M

Brandywine Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.54
Price Trends
50DMA
5.09
Negative
100DMA
5.25
Negative
200DMA
4.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
32.13
Neutral
STOCH
8.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.82, below the 50-day MA of 5.09, and below the 200-day MA of 4.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BDN.

Brandywine Realty Risk Analysis

Brandywine Realty disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brandywine Realty reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brandywine Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ARARE
78
Outperform
$17.18B56.791.70%5.23%7.99%232.16%
VNVNO
64
Neutral
$13.89B905.941.32%1.94%-1.30%-80.81%
61
Neutral
$4.76B18.86-2.89%8.05%6.45%-20.33%
BXBXP
60
Neutral
$11.41B754.090.23%5.75%4.10%-92.47%
HIHIW
59
Neutral
$3.10B30.624.27%6.95%-0.98%-32.02%
SLSLG
54
Neutral
$4.35B758.270.71%5.05%5.12%
BDBDN
54
Neutral
$782.87M-16.61%13.13%-1.77%1.20%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BDN
Brandywine Realty
4.54
0.58
14.65%
ARE
Alexandria Equities
98.52
-21.05
-17.60%
BXP
Boston Properties
66.09
5.44
8.97%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
28.50
5.33
23.00%
SLG
SL Green Realty
57.58
8.85
18.16%
VNO
Vornado Realty
37.37
11.79
46.09%

Brandywine Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -15.30% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there were significant achievements in leasing activity, liquidity improvement, and successful joint venture recapitalizations, the company faced challenges with missing FFO targets, development delays, and negative rent spread expectations. The overall sentiment is balanced, with positive progress tempered by notable financial and operational hurdles.
Highlights
Strong Leasing Activity
Leasing activity for the year approximated 2.3 million square feet, including 783,000 square feet in the fourth quarter, which was the highest in 2024 and 42% above the corresponding fourth quarter in 2023.
Improved Liquidity
Completed over $300 million of dispositions, well above the $150 million revised midpoint and the $90 million original guidance, with $90 million cash on hand and no outstanding balance on the $600 million unsecured line of credit.
Occupancy and Leasing Rates
The wholly owned core portfolio is 87.8% occupied and 89.9% leased, with less than 5% annual rollover through 2026.
Successful Recapitalization
Recapitalized and exited several operating joint ventures, reducing attribution by $229 million, far exceeding the $100 million goal.
Key Lease Achievements
3025 office project in Schuylkill Yards now 83% leased, and residential component sits at 84% leased.
Lowlights
FFO Target Miss
Fell short of FFO targets, with FFO results at $0.17 for the fourth quarter and $0.85 for 2024, impacted by $0.03 per share of reduced other income and $0.01 per share net dilution.
Development Delays
Leasing update taking longer than anticipated, with earnings trough expected in 2025 due to expensing of preferred coupon payments and interest expenses.
Significant Carry Costs
2025 expected to have a CAD payout ratio of 120% to 150% due to deferred tenant allowance payments, impacting cash flow.
Negative Rent Spread Expectations
Expected negative rent spreads in 2025, primarily due to leasing challenges in Austin.
Suburban Austin and DC Area Challenges
Underperformance in suburban Austin and DC area joint ventures, with non-cash impairment charges totaling $23.8 million.
Company Guidance
During the Brandywine Realty Trust fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for 2025, acknowledging it as a transitional year with expected FFO between $0.60 and $0.72 per share, primarily due to development project expenses and interest charges. Key metrics included an 87.8% occupancy and 89.9% lease rate for their core portfolio, surpassing the 2024 spec revenue target by 8% to reach $26.4 million, and achieving a tenant retention rate of 63% against a target of 51-53%. Leasing activity amounted to 2.3 million square feet for the year, with a notable 42% increase in the fourth quarter over Q4 2023. The company emphasized liquidity improvements, surpassing their asset disposition goal by achieving over $300 million in sales, having $90 million in cash, and no balance on their $600 million credit line. Despite an FFO shortfall, Brandywine anticipates improved leasing momentum and market conditions in Philadelphia and Austin, highlighting strong pipelines and minimal tenant expiration risks through 2026.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.