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Broadcom (AVGO)
NASDAQ:AVGO

Broadcom (AVGO) AI Stock Analysis

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Broadcom

(NASDAQ:AVGO)

75Outperform
Broadcom demonstrates robust financial performance and promising growth in AI and infrastructure software, which are key strengths. However, the high P/E ratio suggests the stock is expensive, reflecting high expectations. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, and challenges in non-AI segments present risks. Overall, strong financials and growth prospects contribute positively, while valuation and technical indicators warrant caution.
Positive Factors
AI Sector Growth
Broadcom has expanded its XPU/ASIC customer base from three to seven, highlighting its growth in the AI sector.
VMware Acquisition
The VMware acquisition will continue to provide growth, margins, and cash flow, with software growth at 47% in 1Q25.
Negative Factors
AI Revenue Slowdown
AI revenue comps likely slow this year, highlighting a slowdown.
Market Risks
AI strength should offset risks from Bytedance and Wi-Fi share loss.

Broadcom (AVGO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Broadcom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBroadcom Inc. (AVGO) is a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies a broad range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The company's products serve various sectors, including data centers, networking, software, broadband, wireless, storage, and industrial markets. Broadcom's core products include data center networking solutions, enterprise software, mainframe and cybersecurity solutions, smartphone components, and other semiconductor devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadcom makes money through the sale of its semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software. The semiconductor solutions segment generates revenue by providing products for wired infrastructure, wireless communications, enterprise storage, and industrial markets. These products include chips and components for networking, broadband, and wireless communication devices. The infrastructure software segment contributes to revenue through licensing fees and support services for its software solutions, which cater to data center, mainframe, cybersecurity, and enterprise markets. Additionally, Broadcom engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to bolster its technology offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its financial growth.

Broadcom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Broadcom's financial health is robust, driven by strong revenue growth, high profitability margins, and efficient cash management. The company's strategic investments and operational efficiencies are evident, although there are opportunities to enhance asset utilization and reduce leverage for even more stability. Overall, Broadcom is well-positioned within the semiconductor industry, with sound financials supporting its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Broadcom has demonstrated strong financial performance with a substantial Gross Profit Margin of 63.3% and a robust Net Profit Margin of 18.5% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue Growth Rate is impressive at 5.7% year-over-year, reflecting a positive trajectory in sales. The EBIT Margin stands at 33.0%, and the EBITDA Margin at 46.7%, showcasing excellent operational efficiency. The consistent revenue and profit growth underlines solid market positioning.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.95, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt. Return on Equity is robust at 14.4%, suggesting effective utilization of equity capital. However, the Equity Ratio of 42.2% signifies a relatively high level of liabilities compared to assets. The stability is notable, but there's room to optimize asset utilization and decrease leverage.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Broadcom's cash flow situation is strong, with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.06, indicating high cash generation relative to reported profits. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.11, demonstrating reliable cash conversion from operations. Free Cash Flow Growth Rate over the past year is notable at 6.8%, showcasing efficient capital expenditure and cash management strategies.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
54.53B51.57B35.82B33.20B27.45B23.89B
Gross Profit
34.51B32.51B24.69B22.09B16.84B13.52B
EBIT
17.98B13.46B16.21B14.22B8.52B4.01B
EBITDA
25.47B23.72B20.55B19.16B14.69B11.13B
Net Income Common Stockholders
10.07B5.89B14.08B11.49B6.74B2.96B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
561.00M9.35B14.19B12.42B12.16B7.62B
Total Assets
2.16B165.65B72.86B73.25B75.57B75.93B
Total Debt
236.00M67.57B39.23B39.52B39.73B41.06B
Net Debt
-325.00M58.22B25.04B27.10B27.57B33.44B
Total Liabilities
652.00M97.97B48.87B50.54B50.58B52.03B
Stockholders Equity
1.50B67.68B23.99B22.71B24.99B23.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
20.73B19.41B17.63B16.31B13.32B11.60B
Operating Cash Flow
21.26B19.96B18.09B16.74B13.76B12.06B
Investing Cash Flow
2.23B-23.07B-689.00M-667.00M-245.00M-11.11B
Financing Cash Flow
-26.05B-1.73B-15.62B-15.82B-8.97B1.61B

Broadcom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price146.29
Price Trends
50DMA
201.32
Negative
100DMA
201.66
Negative
200DMA
182.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.55
Positive
RSI
32.67
Neutral
STOCH
16.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 146.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.01, below the 50-day MA of 201.32, and below the 200-day MA of 182.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVGO.

Broadcom Risk Analysis

Broadcom disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadcom reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadcom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$154.20B14.9041.96%2.44%12.13%36.17%
75
Outperform
$724.15B74.2814.85%1.53%40.30%-22.79%
75
Outperform
$2.48T34.65119.18%0.04%114.20%146.26%
AMAMD
72
Outperform
$152.00B85.492.89%13.69%91.75%
TXTXN
65
Neutral
$149.41B31.6028.25%3.51%-10.72%-26.60%
57
Neutral
$18.57B9.42-13.42%2.72%5.01%-23.43%
52
Neutral
$97.81B-18.31%2.23%-2.08%-1212.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVGO
Broadcom
146.29
14.29
10.83%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
85.76
-84.14
-49.52%
INTC
Intel
19.85
-17.74
-47.19%
NVDA
Nvidia
94.31
7.21
8.28%
QCOM
Qualcomm
127.46
-42.75
-25.12%
TXN
Texas Instruments
151.39
-13.46
-8.16%

Broadcom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -18.23% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong financial performance and growth in AI and infrastructure software segments, driven by significant AI revenue growth and strategic R&D investments. However, challenges remain in the non-AI semiconductor sector with slow recovery and seasonal declines. Overall, the positive aspects of AI and software growth outweigh the negatives in non-AI areas.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Revenue and EBITDA
Total revenue for Q1 FY2025 was a record $14.9 billion, up 25% year on year, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $10.1 billion, up 41% year on year.
AI Revenue Growth
AI-related revenue in Q1 was $4.1 billion, up 77% year on year, with expectations for Q2 AI revenue to grow to $4.4 billion, up 44% year on year.
Infrastructure Software Surge
Q1 infrastructure software revenue was $6.7 billion, up 47% year on year, driven by increased revenue from VMware and a shift from perpetual licenses to full subscriptions.
R&D Investment in AI
Broadcom is increasing R&D investment in AI, focusing on new accelerator technologies and scaling for hyperscale customers, with expectations of a significant serviceable addressable market by 2027.
Lowlights
Seasonal Decline in Non-AI Semiconductor Revenue
Non-AI semiconductor revenue was down 9% sequentially due to a seasonal decline in wireless, and the recovery continues to be slow in certain segments like server storage and enterprise networking.
Resales in Industrial Down
Resales in industrial were down double digits in Q1 and are expected to be down in Q2.
Challenges with New Customer Engagements
While Broadcom has four new potential AI partners, these are not yet considered customers and will not contribute to the estimated SAM of $60 to $90 billion by 2027.
Company Guidance
During the Broadcom Inc. first quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported a record total revenue of $14.9 billion, up 25% year over year, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $10.1 billion, up 41% year over year. Specifically, semiconductor revenue reached $8.2 billion, a growth of 11% year over year, driven by a significant 77% increase in AI revenue, which amounted to $4.1 billion. The company provided guidance for the second quarter, expecting AI revenue to grow to $4.4 billion, representing a 44% increase year on year. Total semiconductor revenue is projected to rise by 2% sequentially and 17% year over year to $8.4 billion. In the infrastructure software segment, Q1 revenue was $6.7 billion, marking a 47% increase year over year, and the company expects Q2 infrastructure software revenue to be approximately $6.5 billion, up 23% year on year. Overall, Broadcom is guiding Q2 consolidated revenue to approximately $14.9 billion, with an anticipated adjusted EBITDA margin of 66%.

Broadcom Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Broadcom Secures $7.5 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
Jan 13, 2025

Broadcom Inc. has entered into a new credit agreement that establishes a $7.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility with Bank of America and other lenders. This facility will be used for general corporate purposes, replacing an existing credit agreement, and includes provisions for issuing multicurrency letters of credit, although no borrowings were outstanding on the closing date.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.