Origin Energy Limited (ORG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $17.72B
• Dividend Yield: 5.68%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.19M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.20
• Revenue Growth: 8.09%
• EPS Growth: -13.99%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 5,000
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 51
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 0.82
• Shares Outstanding: 1,722,747,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,885,966
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,185,903
• PEG Ratio: 0.39
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.01
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $10.63
• Price Target Upside: 2.96% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

The overall score for Origin Energy reflects strong financial performance and an attractive valuation. The company's profitability and operational efficiency have improved significantly. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish trends, and challenges in cash flow conversion suggest areas for improvement.

Origin Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Origin Energy Limited (ORG) is a leading Australian energy company, primarily involved in the exploration, generation, and retailing of energy. It operates across several sectors, including natural gas exploration and production, power generation, and energy retailing. Origin Energy provides electricity and natural gas to residential and business customers, and it is also involved in renewable energy projects and initiatives aimed at reducing carbon emissions.

How the Company Makes Money

Origin Energy Limited generates revenue through several key streams. The company earns income from the sale of electricity and natural gas to both residential and commercial customers through its retail division. Additionally, it generates revenue from its power generation assets, which include both traditional and renewable energy sources. Origin also has significant investments in natural gas exploration and production, contributing to its earnings through the sale of gas both domestically and internationally. Partnerships, such as those with other energy companies for exploration and development projects, also play a role in its revenue generation. Factors such as energy market prices, regulatory environment, and customer demand significantly influence its financial performance.

Origin Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow

Breakdown
Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
16.18B	16.38B	14.38B	12.10B	13.16B
	Gross Profit
3.35B	2.74B	49.00M	748.00M	1.25B
	EBIT
2.19B	2.51B	-380.00M	384.00M	664.00M
	EBITDA
1.78B	866.00M	-335.00M	-1.37B	396.00M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
1.40B	1.05B	-1.43B	-2.28B	83.00M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.38B	930.00M	1.48B	975.00M	1.72B
	Total Assets
20.45B	18.95B	24.02B	21.31B	25.09B
	Total Debt
3.38B	3.26B	3.39B	5.23B	6.85B
	Net Debt
2.75B	2.79B	2.77B	4.76B	5.61B
	Total Liabilities
10.96B	10.04B	14.00B	11.83B	12.39B
	Stockholders Equity
9.49B	8.89B	10.00B	9.46B	12.68B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
461.00M	576.00M	2.46B	521.00M	356.00M
	Operating Cash Flow
1.11B	1.05B	2.80B	860.00M	856.00M
	Investing Cash Flow
-16.00M	-608.00M	390.00M	106.00M	663.00M
	Financing Cash Flow
-953.00M	-579.00M	-3.04B	-1.73B	-1.82B

Origin Energy Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.32
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ORG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.27, below the 50-day MA of 10.36, and above the 200-day MA of 10.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ORG.

Origin Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
APA	68 Neutral	$10.74B	8.55	-1.44%	7.75%	8.15%	-103.96%
AGL	66 Neutral	$7.01B	30.22	4.36%	5.75%	15.96%	-40.06%
ORG	62 Neutral	$17.72B	12.51	14.75%	5.68%	8.09%	-13.99%
STO	61 Neutral	$19.05B	10.27	7.94%	6.00%	-7.99%	-12.27%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$7.10B	3.56	-6.61%	5.99%	-0.03%	-51.71%

Origin Energy Limited Corporate Events

Origin Energy Announces Cessation of Share Rights

Origin Energy Limited announced the cessation of 9,655 share rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became unachievable by March 31, 2025. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s operational and strategic decisions.

Origin Energy Updates Securities Dealing Policy to Enhance Compliance

Origin Energy Limited has updated its Dealing in Securities Policy to ensure compliance with insider trading laws and to protect the company’s reputation. The policy outlines prohibitions on dealing in securities during closed periods and when possessing inside information, and applies to all personnel and associates. This update is crucial for maintaining transparency and integrity in financial dealings, potentially impacting stakeholders by reinforcing trust in the company’s governance practices.

Origin Energy Issues Unquoted Equity Securities in Employee Incentive Scheme

Origin Energy Limited has announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to employee engagement and retention, potentially impacting its operational dynamics by aligning employee interests with corporate performance.

Origin Energy Releases Half-Year Financial Results

Origin Energy announced its half-year financial results for the period ending 31 December 2024, highlighting the company’s ongoing performance and strategic initiatives. The presentation of these results provides insights into Origin Energy’s operational status and future outlook, potentially influencing stakeholders’ perspectives on the company’s market position.

Origin Energy Reports Robust Half-Year Results Amid Strategic Investments

Origin Energy Limited reported a statutory profit of $1,017 million for the half year ending 31 December 2024, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year. The improved performance was driven by strong earnings in Integrated Gas, despite lower earnings in Energy Markets and Octopus Energy. The company also saw a net cash outflow due to increased capital expenditures for its battery investment program. The board declared a fully franked interim dividend of 30 cents per share, indicating a robust financial standing and commitment to shareholder returns, while reinforcing its strategic focus on the energy transition.

Origin Energy Reports Strong Revenue and Strategic Expansion in December 2024 Quarter

Origin Energy Limited’s December 2024 Quarterly Report indicates a strong performance with increased revenue from its Integrated Gas segment, despite a slight decline in production due to lower-than-expected optimization at certain fields. The Energy Markets segment maintained steady electricity sales, while gas volumes decreased. Origin continues to expand its renewable energy portfolio, exemplified by the approval of the third stage of the Eraring battery. Octopus Energy, part of Origin’s operations, significantly grew its customer base and continues to expand its Kraken platform with a robust sales pipeline. These developments highlight Origin’s strategic focus on enhancing renewable capabilities and expanding international reach, reinforcing its industry positioning.