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Evolution Mining Limited (AU:EVN)
ASX:EVN

Evolution Mining Limited (EVN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Evolution Mining Limited

(Sydney:EVN)

75Outperform
Evolution Mining Limited scores a 75.17, reflecting strong financial performance and positive technical momentum. The earnings call further supports an optimistic outlook with improved cash flow and operational achievements. However, the valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued, which tempers the overall score.

Evolution Mining Limited (EVN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Evolution Mining Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolution Mining Limited (EVN) is an Australian gold mining company engaged in the exploration, development, and operation of gold mines. The company operates several gold mines across Australia, including Cowal in New South Wales, Mungari in Western Australia, Mt Rawdon in Queensland, and Red Lake in Ontario, Canada. Evolution Mining focuses on sustainable and responsible mining, aiming to deliver superior returns to its shareholders through operational excellence and strategic investments.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolution Mining Limited generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold. The company operates its own mining sites, producing gold which is then sold in the global market. Key revenue streams include direct sales of gold bullion and, occasionally, by-products such as silver extracted during the gold mining process. Evolution Mining's earnings are influenced by factors such as global gold prices, operational efficiency, and production volumes. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to optimize resource extraction and reduce costs, though its primary income is derived from gold sales.

Evolution Mining Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.91B3.22B2.23B2.06B1.86B1.94B
Gross Profit
1.25B923.26M416.20M486.60M575.21M651.88M
EBIT
1.18B838.04M359.12M437.83M530.04M611.15M
EBITDA
1.92B1.43B847.36M934.85M914.16M865.09M
Net Income Common Stockholders
690.49M422.27M163.51M323.32M345.26M301.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
49.22M403.30M46.15M572.43M160.06M372.59M
Total Assets
1.36B8.82B6.75B6.63B3.96B3.78B
Total Debt
0.002.02B1.82B1.86B636.33M605.19M
Net Debt
-49.22M1.62B1.78B1.29B476.27M232.60M
Total Liabilities
266.14M4.68B3.46B3.38B1.42B1.31B
Stockholders Equity
1.09B4.14B3.29B3.25B2.53B2.46B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
599.07M363.16M-103.39M107.58M319.69M536.12M
Operating Cash Flow
1.69B1.28B735.28M776.68M757.01M1.01B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.19B-1.51B-1.03B-1.83B-724.12M-1.00B
Financing Cash Flow
-177.92M586.65M-226.28M1.47B-244.79M35.91M

Evolution Mining Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.99
Price Trends
50DMA
6.77
Positive
100DMA
5.98
Positive
200DMA
5.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
58.27
Neutral
STOCH
81.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.39, above the 50-day MA of 6.77, and above the 200-day MA of 5.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:EVN.

Evolution Mining Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUNST
78
Outperform
$26.33B27.8611.01%2.36%25.11%28.88%
AUEVN
75
Outperform
$15.42B22.1616.97%1.43%60.56%302.20%
AURRL
74
Outperform
$3.70B―-0.38%―29.83%93.23%
AURSG
51
Neutral
$1.08B41.67-5.02%―27.79%-144.05%
49
Neutral
$1.92B-1.52-22.04%3.84%0.67%-27.41%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EVN
Evolution Mining Limited
7.99
4.03
101.92%
AU:RRL
Regis Resources Limited
4.41
2.20
99.55%
AU:RSG
Resolute Mining Limited
0.46
0.05
10.84%
AU:NST
Northern Star Resources Ltd
20.84
6.20
42.37%

Evolution Mining Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 29.94% | Next Earnings Date: Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, highlighting significant increases in cash flow, strong safety performance, and advancements in project timelines and exploration results. However, there were some challenges, such as a slight increase in costs and production impacts due to scheduled maintenance.
Highlights
Significant Increase in Cash Flow
Cash flow increased by 54% to $165 million for the December quarter. The company is ideally positioned to generate a significant step up in cash flow compared to last year.
Strong Safety Performance
The company's TRIF reduced to 5.44, with all operations now having single-digit TRIFs. Safety improvements were highlighted across multiple sites.
Mungari Expansion Ahead of Schedule
The Mungari processing plant expansion is nine months ahead of schedule. Total project cost is forecast to be 6% below the original budget.
Positive Exploration Results
Encouraging exploration results were reported at Ernest Henry, Northparkes, and Cowal. New potential ore sources were identified.
Strong Financial Performance
Record operating and net mine cash flow of $561 million and $263 million respectively. Gearing reduced to 22.6%.
Lowlights
Slight Increase in All-In Sustaining Cost
The all-in sustaining cost of $1,545 per ounce for continuing operations was slightly higher than planned due to timing of sales and a lower achieved copper price.
Scheduled Shutdown at Cowal
A planned major shutdown at Cowal in March is expected to reduce the quarter's production by around 25,000 ounces.
Challenges in Red Lake
While Red Lake achieved positive cash flow, there are ongoing challenges related to grade variability.
Company Guidance
During the recent call, Evolution Mining provided guidance indicating a strong performance for the December 2024 quarter, with a notable 54% increase in cash flow to $165 million. The company is on track to meet its production guidance of 710,000 ounces of gold and 70,000 to 80,000 tons of copper at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,475 to $1,575 per ounce. Group production for the quarter was just under 195,000 ounces of gold and 19,000 tons of copper. The achieved copper price was slightly below guidance, but the spot price is now favorable. The company's safety performance improved, with TRIF reducing to 5.44. Evolution Mining's balance sheet continues to strengthen, with a reduction in gearing to 22.6%. The Mungari processing plant expansion is ahead of schedule, nine months early, and $15 million under budget, while Cowal received regulatory approval to extend mining operations. The company anticipates operating mine cash flow for the year could exceed $2 billion, driven by current spot prices.

Evolution Mining Limited Corporate Events

Evolution Mining Extends Cowal Operation to 2042 with New Project Approval
Apr 14, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited’s Board has approved the Cowal Operations Open Pit Continuation project, extending the operation until 2042. This project is expected to generate a significant return on investment, contributing an additional 2 million ounces of gold production. The expansion will involve further mining at the existing E42 pit and the development of three new satellite pits. The project, with a capital investment of $430 million, is anticipated to enhance shareholder returns and provide substantial economic benefits to stakeholders.

Evolution Mining Releases March Quarter 2025 Results
Apr 14, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has released its March quarter 2025 results presentation, highlighting the company’s operational and financial performance. The presentation includes non-IFRS financial information to provide insights into the company’s financial conditions and performance, although these measures are not standardized and should be interpreted with caution.

Evolution Mining Reports Strong Financial Performance and Operational Milestones
Apr 14, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited reported a robust financial performance for the March 2025 quarter, with record mine cash flows and a significant increase in group cash flow by 25% to $207 million. The company successfully reduced its net debt and improved its gearing ratio, while maintaining low all-in sustaining costs. Key operational milestones include the early completion and commissioning of the Mungari mill expansion and the approval of the Cowal Open Pit Continuation project, extending operations to 2042. These developments are expected to enhance cash flow and shareholder returns, reinforcing Evolution Mining’s strong position in the industry.

AustralianSuper Increases Stake in Evolution Mining
Apr 10, 2025

AustralianSuper Pty Ltd has increased its voting power in Evolution Mining Limited from 14.93% to 16.03%, reflecting a significant change in its interests in the company. This increase in voting power could potentially influence Evolution Mining’s strategic decisions and reflects AustralianSuper’s growing confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Evolution Mining Advances Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Project with Government Support
Apr 8, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited announced a significant development in its Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Project, with the Queensland Government, through CleanCo Queensland Limited, committing to invest in the project. This initiative, a joint venture between Evolution and ICA Partners, aims to transform the Mt Rawdon mine into a pumped hydro facility post-mining operations, providing low-cost green energy and job opportunities in Queensland. The project is expected to play a crucial role in the state’s transition to renewable energy by offering long-term energy storage solutions.

Evolution Mining Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Apr 8, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited announced the cessation of 1,023,729 performance rights due to the conditions for these securities not being met or becoming incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s performance targets and incentive structures.

Evolution Mining Limited Issues New Securities on ASX
Apr 7, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced the issuance of 13,035,776 new ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially enhancing the company’s capital structure and providing additional value to its stakeholders.

Evolution Mining Begins Commissioning of Expanded Mungari Mill
Apr 2, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has commenced commissioning the expanded Mungari mill, increasing its capacity from 2 million to 4.2 million tonnes per annum. This expansion, completed nine months ahead of schedule and 9% under budget, extends Mungari’s mine life to at least 2038 and boosts annual production by 50% to approximately 200,000 ounces. This milestone secures Mungari’s long-term future and enhances Evolution’s position as a major cash contributor.

Evolution Mining to Release March Quarter 2025 Results
Mar 31, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited announced that its quarterly report for the period ending 31 March 2025 will be released on 15 April 2025, followed by a conference call hosted by key executives. The call will provide insights into the company’s performance and is accessible to shareholders via a live audio stream on their website, while analysts and media can participate in a Q&A session.

Van Eck Reduces Stake in Evolution Mining
Mar 26, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced a change in the substantial holding of Van Eck Associates Corporation, which now holds an 8.68% voting power in the company, down from 10.21%. This reduction in voting power indicates a shift in the investment strategy or portfolio management of Van Eck, potentially impacting the company’s influence on Evolution Mining’s strategic decisions.

Evolution Mining Announces Dividend Reinvestment Plan Outcome
Mar 13, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced the outcome of its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) for the interim fully franked dividend for the half year ended 31 December 2024. The DRP price is set at $5.9612 per share, with 55.81% shareholder participation, resulting in the issuance of 13,035,776 new shares. This initiative reflects the company’s strategic approach to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital management, potentially strengthening its market position and providing implications for stakeholders regarding future growth and financial health.

Evolution Mining Confirms DRP Price in Dividend Update
Mar 13, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced an update regarding its dividend distribution, confirming the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price. This update pertains to the dividend for the six-month period ending December 31, 2024, with key dates including a record date of March 5, 2025, and an ex-date of March 4, 2025. The confirmation of the DRP price is a critical piece of information for stakeholders, as it impacts the financial returns for investors participating in the plan.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases to be a Substantial Holder in Evolution Mining
Mar 10, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Evolution Mining Limited as of March 6, 2025. This change in holdings may influence the company’s market dynamics and stakeholder interests, as JPMorgan’s involvement in securities lending and investment management has been significant.

Evolution Mining Sees Shift in Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 10, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries now holding significant voting power in the company. This change in voting power could impact Evolution Mining’s operational decisions and strategic direction, as the substantial holder has the power to control the exercise of voting rights attached to the securities.

Citigroup Ceases Substantial Holding in Evolution Mining
Mar 10, 2025

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Evolution Mining Limited as of March 6, 2025. This change in holding is due to securities lending agreements and standard stock exchange transactions, impacting over 100 million ordinary fully paid shares. This development may affect the company’s shareholder structure and could have implications for its market dynamics.

Citigroup Becomes Substantial Shareholder in Evolution Mining
Mar 6, 2025

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited has become a substantial shareholder in Evolution Mining Limited, holding a 6.944% voting power as of March 4, 2025. This development indicates a significant investment by Citigroup, potentially impacting Evolution Mining’s market positioning and signaling confidence in its future prospects.

Evolution Mining Updates on Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 6, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Bank and Trust Company and its affiliates holding significant voting power in the company. This change in substantial holding may influence the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Evolution Mining Secures Final Approval for Cowal Operations Extension
Feb 28, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has received final federal regulatory approval to extend its Cowal Gold Operations open pit mining until 2042, following a robust approval process at both state and federal levels. This approval allows for the expansion of mining activities to include three adjacent ore bodies, ensuring long-term operational stability and continued benefits for stakeholders, with board approval expected in the June 2025 quarter.

Evolution Mining Limited Shares Insights at Global Mining Conference
Feb 24, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited participated in the BMO Global Metals, Mining & Critical Minerals Conference, where insights into their operations and market positioning were discussed. The presentation highlighted the use of non-IFRS financial measures to provide a clearer understanding of the company’s financial performance, cautioning stakeholders about the inherent risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements.

Evolution Mining Announces New Dividend for Shareholders
Feb 13, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.07 per share for its ordinary fully paid shares, reflecting a six-month financial period ending December 31, 2024. The announcement outlines key dates, including an ex-date of March 4, 2025, a record date of March 5, 2025, and a payment date of April 4, 2025. This distribution is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to provide returns to shareholders and maintain its position in the gold mining industry.

Evolution Mining Announces Leadership Transition as Jake Klein Moves to Non-Executive Chair Role
Feb 11, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced that Jake Klein will transition from Executive Chair to Non-Executive Chair effective July 2025, marking a strategic leadership change after nearly 15 years since the company’s inception. This transition supports Evolution’s ongoing transformation projects, such as the Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro, and reflects the company’s commitment to sustainable growth and stakeholder value, as evidenced by its recent strong financial results.

Evolution Mining Releases 2025 Half-Year Financial Results
Feb 11, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has released its half-year financial results for 2025, emphasizing its strategic measures in maintaining its position in the gold mining industry. The company highlights its use of non-IFRS financial measures to provide a clearer picture of its financial performance, cautioning investors about the risks associated with forward-looking statements due to potential market and operational uncertainties.

Evolution Mining Reports Record Profit and Boosts Dividend
Feb 11, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has reported a record statutory net profit of $365 million for the first half of the fiscal year 2025, marking a significant increase in its financial performance. The company announced a 250% increase in its interim dividend, reflecting strong earnings and cash flow generation. Evolution achieved notable operational milestones, including regulatory approval for extended mining operations at Cowal and ongoing growth opportunities at other sites. These developments, alongside improved safety metrics and reduced gearing, position Evolution Mining as a robust player in the mining sector, supporting enhanced returns for stakeholders.

Evolution Mining Achieves Record Profits Amid Strong Operational Performance
Feb 11, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited reported a record statutory net profit after tax of $365.1 million for the half-year ended 31 December 2024, reflecting a 277% increase from the previous year. The company’s strong financial performance was driven by consistent operational delivery and higher gold and copper prices, resulting in significant cash flow improvements and a substantial rise in earnings per share. Evolution Mining also announced an interim, fully franked FY25 dividend of 7.0 cents per share and highlighted the progress of the Mungari mill expansion, which is ahead of schedule and under budget.

Evolution Mining Reports Change in Substantial Holding in Emmerson Resources
Feb 3, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Emmerson Resources Limited, with its voting power in the company decreasing from 10.18% to 7.73% due to the dilution of voting power from the issuance of additional ordinary shares by Emmerson Resources. This change reflects Evolution Mining’s maintained interest in Emmerson Resources but also indicates a reduced influence over the company’s voting decisions, potentially impacting their strategic involvement and future decisions related to Emmerson’s operations.

Evolution Mining to Release Half-Year Financial Results
Jan 30, 2025

Evolution Mining Limited announced the upcoming disclosure of its half-year financial results, scheduled to be lodged with the ASX on February 12, 2025. The company will host a conference call on the same day to discuss these results, with Jake Klein, Lawrie Conway, and Barrie van der Merwe leading the call. A live audio stream will be available for shareholders, while analysts and media will have the opportunity to participate in a Q&A session. This announcement reflects Evolution Mining’s commitment to transparent communication with its stakeholders, potentially influencing investor confidence and market perception.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.