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Astria Therapeutics (ATXS)
NASDAQ:ATXS

Astria Therapeutics (ATXS) AI Stock Analysis

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Astria Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ATXS)

51Neutral
Astria Therapeutics displays financial stability with a strong balance sheet but faces significant risks due to zero revenue and increasing losses. The technical indicators show downward momentum. Promising developments in its drug pipeline and strategic corporate actions provide some optimism, balancing out the speculative nature of its stock.
Positive Factors
Clinical Development
The initiation of the Phase 3 ALPHA-ORBIT trial with navenibart for hereditary angioedema (HAE) presents a promising prophylactic therapy.
Financial Stability
Astria ended the quarter financially strong with $328.1 million in cash, which management believes will be sufficient to fund its current operating plan into mid-2027.
Negative Factors
Cash Burn
Annualized cash burn is significant, with a burn rate of $117 million and approximately 2.5 years of cash remaining.

Astria Therapeutics (ATXS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Astria Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCatabasis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. Its lead product candidate is edasalonexent, which is intended for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy. The company was founded by Michael R. Jirousek, Jill C. Milne, and Steven E. Shoelson on June 26, 2008 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstria Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. The company generates revenue through partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and potential royalties on sales of successfully developed drugs. Additionally, Astria Therapeutics may receive funding through grants and research collaborations. The company's revenue model typically involves significant investment in research and development, with potential returns materializing upon regulatory approval and market launch of its therapies.

Astria Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Astria Therapeutics is in an early-stage biotech phase with no revenue and ongoing R&D investments. The balance sheet is equity-funded, offering some stability, but persistent losses and negative cash flow highlight the need for successful product development and strategic financing.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Astria Therapeutics has consistently reported zero revenue, leading to no gross or net profit margins. The company's EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting ongoing losses, which is typical for early-stage biotechs focused on R&D without commercial products yet.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals moderate leverage with a low debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure primarily funded by equity. However, persistent losses could erode equity over time, posing a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow from operations is negative, indicative of cash burn typical in biotech. The company relies heavily on financing activities to maintain liquidity. Free cash flow remains negative, showing the need for continued financial support to sustain operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.000.000.000.000.00-26.00K
EBIT
-100.97M-83.03M-53.50M-194.98M-37.44M-27.09M
EBITDA
-116.17M-83.03M-53.50M-194.98M-37.44M-26.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-100.04M-72.89M-50.16M-30.17M-37.06M-26.24M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
37.57M246.53M226.44M125.51M44.93M36.24M
Total Assets
39.17M254.67M230.63M127.51M47.46M41.78M
Total Debt
0.00329.00K939.00K365.00K1.05M2.25M
Net Debt
-15.29M-175.20M-19.59M-86.14M-23.88M-7.65M
Total Liabilities
4.23M11.55M9.42M5.20M6.79M6.06M
Stockholders Equity
34.94M243.12M221.22M122.31M40.67M35.72M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-94.43M-68.47M-43.62M-30.17M-32.52M-26.58M
Operating Cash Flow
-94.09M-68.44M-43.53M-30.15M-32.48M-26.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-190.16M135.05M-167.13M-12.55M6.30M-4.08M
Financing Cash Flow
245.18M88.40M144.72M104.28M40.86M25.62M

Astria Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.64
Price Trends
50DMA
7.26
Negative
100DMA
8.89
Negative
200DMA
9.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
47.97
Neutral
STOCH
71.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATXS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.55, below the 50-day MA of 7.26, and below the 200-day MA of 9.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ATXS.

Astria Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Astria Therapeutics disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Astria Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Astria Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$365.13M-38.03%4.90%
49
Neutral
$6.84B0.05-53.14%2.48%24.49%-3.26%
47
Neutral
$190.93M-67.62%346.02%28.96%
46
Neutral
$3.63B-19.20%-89.95%-123.71%
42
Neutral
$206.96M-156.42%-74.04%48.16%
39
Underperform
$125.29M-98.10%-58.64%-40.05%
39
Underperform
$962.71M-54.00%59.55%3.09%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATXS
Astria Therapeutics
6.64
-7.97
-54.55%
SGMO
Sangamo Biosciences
0.92
0.14
17.95%
PRQR
ProQR
1.74
-0.58
-25.00%
EDIT
Editas Medicine
1.37
-6.78
-83.19%
NTLA
Intellia Therapeutics
9.22
-18.30
-66.50%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
41.99
-30.02
-41.69%

Astria Therapeutics Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Astria Therapeutics Unveils Phase 3 Trial for Navenibart
Positive
Jan 13, 2025

Astria Therapeutics has announced the design of the ALPHA-ORBIT Phase 3 clinical trial for navenibart, a treatment for hereditary angioedema, which will feature both every 3- and 6-month treatment arms. This trial aims to support global registration and is expected to initiate in Q1 2025. The company is pioneering flexible dosing options to potentially make navenibart a market-leading choice for HAE therapy, and the trial design incorporates feedback from regulatory authorities and collaboration with patients and physicians.

Business Operations and Strategy
Astria Therapeutics Expands Stock Incentive Plan
Positive
Dec 19, 2024

Astria Therapeutics, Inc. has amended its 2022 Inducement Stock Incentive Plan to increase the shares of common stock reserved for issuance from 1,700,000 to 2,800,000. This amendment, made without stockholder approval, aims to attract new talent by offering stock awards to individuals not previously employed by the company, potentially strengthening its workforce and aligning employee interests with those of shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.