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Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA (ASPS)
NASDAQ:ASPS
US Market

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA (ASPS) AI Stock Analysis

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Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA

(NASDAQ:ASPS)

48Neutral
Altisource Portfolio Solutions faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, persistent losses, and high leverage. While recent financial restructuring and positive earnings guidance offer some optimism, the company's precarious financial position and challenging valuation metrics weigh heavily on its overall stock score. Technical indicators suggest short-term momentum but do not offset the broader financial risks.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA (ASPS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltisource Portfolio Solutions SA (ASPS) is a Luxembourg-based company that offers a wide range of services and technology products for the real estate and mortgage industries. The company's core offerings include asset management, origination, and default services, which are designed to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of real estate operations and mortgage servicing. Altisource's solutions are utilized by mortgage servicers, real estate investors, and financial institutions to streamline processes, reduce costs, and manage risk in the management and disposition of real estate assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltisource Portfolio Solutions generates revenue primarily through service fees and technology solutions provided to its clients in the real estate and mortgage sectors. The company's revenue streams include mortgage and real estate services, such as property valuation, asset management, and foreclosure services. Additionally, Altisource earns income from its technology platforms, which support mortgage originations and servicing operations. Key partnerships with financial institutions and real estate companies, as well as a diversified client base, contribute significantly to its earnings. The company's focus on efficiency improvements and cost reductions in real estate transactions allows it to maintain steady revenue streams from ongoing service contracts and technology subscriptions.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, negative equity, and cash flow issues. The company's high debt levels further exacerbate the risk, necessitating strategic restructuring for long-term viability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement shows declining revenue over the years with significant net losses. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight revenue increase, but profitability remains a major concern, with negative EBIT and net income margins. The company is struggling to maintain positive EBITDA, impacting its operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a negative stockholders' equity, indicating high leverage and financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, highlighting the company's excessive reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio is negative, further emphasizing the risk of insolvency.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows consistent negative operating cash flows and free cash flows, reflecting ongoing cash burn. The free cash flow to net income ratio is skewed due to negative figures, and the company faces challenges in converting revenue into positive cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
159.91M145.07M153.12M178.45M365.55M648.65M
Gross Profit
41.01M29.65M21.82M7.09M60.35M155.40M
EBIT
-184.00K-16.77M-32.94M-59.96M-32.01M18.05M
EBITDA
6.17M-6.90M-19.63M-37.97M-121.00K78.05M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-40.02M-56.29M-52.83M11.81M-66.31M-305.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
19.62M32.52M51.02M98.13M58.26M125.36M
Total Assets
165.10M154.86M195.00M257.81M265.69M385.12M
Total Debt
521.00K219.13M245.23M243.64M242.66M287.88M
Net Debt
-19.10M186.61M194.21M145.50M184.39M205.14M
Total Liabilities
45.52M279.91M313.88M326.68M348.24M406.48M
Stockholders Equity
117.94M-125.67M-119.65M-70.14M-83.77M-22.83M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-7.75M-21.83M-45.75M-61.78M-25.11M44.53M
Operating Cash Flow
-7.56M-21.83M-44.89M-60.41M-22.40M46.69M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.00-767.00K102.76M47.22M44.89M
Financing Cash Flow
-851.51K2.98M-2.22M-2.30M-49.31M-69.04M

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.92
Price Trends
50DMA
0.79
Positive
100DMA
0.76
Positive
200DMA
0.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
40.87
Neutral
STOCH
8.53
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASPS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.78, above the 50-day MA of 0.79, and below the 200-day MA of 0.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASPS.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Risk Analysis

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$35.13B36.2311.61%11.95%-1.25%
JLJLL
68
Neutral
$10.17B18.448.37%12.87%142.90%
66
Neutral
$2.32B20.803.83%8.31%-49.90%
ZZ
64
Neutral
$15.48B-2.39%14.96%29.56%
61
Neutral
$4.26B15.61-3.60%11.29%6.17%-21.11%
57
Neutral
$237.20M20.561.69%-5.52%
48
Neutral
$80.58M26.79%10.69%51.69%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASPS
Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
0.87
-0.64
-42.38%
CBRE
CBRE Group
113.94
17.74
18.44%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
208.09
14.09
7.26%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
7.27
-0.99
-11.99%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
14.69
-7.65
-34.24%
Z
Zillow Group Class C
60.89
12.90
26.88%

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 13, 2025 | % Change Since: 22.67% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance in 2024, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, successful debt restructuring, and positive outlook for 2025. However, challenges remain in the default and origination markets, with declines in foreclosure activity and mortgage origination volumes.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance in 2024
Full-year service revenue grew by 10% to $150 million, and adjusted EBITDA improved by $18.3 million compared to 2023. Fourth quarter service revenue of $38.4 million marked the highest level since Q3 2021, with a 19% increase compared to the same period in 2023.
Successful Debt Restructuring
Completed an exchange and maturity extension transaction, reducing debt by over $60 million from $233 million to $172.5 million, and cutting annual cash interest costs by approximately $18 million.
Growth in Countercyclical Servicer and Real Estate Segment
Service revenue grew 11% to $120 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $42.1 million, a 14% increase over 2023, despite market-wide declines in foreclosure starts and sales.
Expansion of Origination Segment
Service revenue increased by 6% to $30.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA improving by $5.4 million to $2.5 million, driven by customer wins and market share gains.
Positive 2025 Outlook
Forecasting 16% annual service revenue growth and 18% adjusted EBITDA growth for 2025, with expectations of positive operating cash flow for the first time since 2019.
Lowlights
Challenges in Default and Origination Markets
2024 foreclosure starts were 35% lower than 2019 levels, and foreclosure sales were 53% lower than 2019 levels. 2024 mortgage origination volume was 35% lower than 2019 levels due to higher interest rates.
Decrease in Foreclosure Activity
Foreclosure starts were 6% lower and foreclosure sales were 14% lower in 2024 compared to 2023, affecting the Servicer and Real Estate segment.
Company Guidance
In the Altisource Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, highlighting anticipated growth in service revenue and adjusted EBITDA. For 2025, Altisource projects service revenue between $165 million to $185 million, representing a 16% growth at the midpoint, and adjusted EBITDA between $18 million to $23 million, indicating an 18% increase over 2024. The forecast assumes flat delinquency rates and a 13% rise in origination volume. The company expects revenue growth to be driven by the ramping of sales wins, price increases for certain services, and the expansion of newer solutions in the Lenders One segment. Additionally, Altisource aims to achieve positive operating cash flow for the first time since 2019, supported by improved margins and a more efficient corporate cost structure. The guidance reflects optimism about leveraging recent sales wins and market conditions to enhance financial performance in the upcoming year.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Altisource Announces Stakeholder Warrants Distribution Date
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Altisource Portfolio Solutions announced the distribution date for its Stakeholder Warrants as April 3, 2025. This distribution, which includes both Cash Exercise and Net Settle Stakeholder Warrants, is contingent upon shareholder approval and other conditions, all of which have been satisfied. The warrants will allow stakeholders to purchase shares of common stock under specific terms and are set to be listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, pending approval.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Altisource Approves 2025 Incentive Plan with New Metrics
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 25, 2025, Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.’s Compensation Committee approved the 2024 Annual Incentive Plan, which included incentive compensation awards for its executive officers. The plan, initially adopted in December 2023, set target bonuses based on performance metrics such as Consolidated Service Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Budget Objectives. The achievements under the 2024 AIP were partially met, leading to a discretionary decision by the Committee to pay the incentives entirely in Restricted Stock Units (RSUs). Notably, CEO William B. Shepro voluntarily reduced his RSUs to benefit other employees, acknowledging their contributions to significant company transactions. Additionally, the 2025 Annual Incentive Plan was adopted, outlining new performance metrics and target bonuses for the upcoming year.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altisource Completes Major Financial Restructuring in 2025
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. completed a significant financial restructuring by closing its Term Loan Exchange Transactions and entering a $12.5 million Super Senior Facility. This exchange involved converting $232.8 million of senior secured term loans into a new $160 million first lien loan and issuing approximately 58.2 million common shares. The restructuring aims to strengthen Altisource’s balance sheet, positioning the company for sustainable long-term growth and value creation.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altisource Approves Key Amendments to Equity Plans
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 18, 2025, Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. held two significant shareholder meetings where key amendments to their equity plans and share structures were approved. These decisions, including increasing the number of shares reserved under their 2009 Equity Incentive Plan and adjusting their share capital and authorization limits, aim to enhance the company’s flexibility in managing its stock and capital structure, potentially impacting shareholder value and market operations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altisource Updates Executive Compensation and Stock Units
Neutral
Jan 30, 2025

In a significant update, Altisource Portfolio Solutions announced changes to its executive compensation structure and management restricted stock units. As of February 1, 2025, CEO William B. Shepro and CFO Michelle D. Esterman will revert to receiving their full base compensation in cash, reversing a previous modification to receive up to 30% in company stock. Additionally, on January 28, 2025, the company executives agreed to terminate certain market-based restricted stock units, a move aligning with Altisource’s broader restructuring efforts. In a strategic decision to align management incentives with the company’s long-term performance, the board approved new restricted stock units for executives, conditional on the completion of planned financial transactions requiring shareholder approval.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.