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American Public Education (APEI)
NASDAQ:APEI
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American Public Education (APEI) AI Stock Analysis

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APEI

American Public Education

(NASDAQ:APEI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(13.32% Upside)
APEI's strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators are the most significant factors contributing to its score. The company's solid financial performance supports its stability, though high valuation metrics and the lack of a dividend yield are notable drawbacks.
Positive Factors
Enrollment Growth
Strong enrollment growth at Rasmussen and Hondros indicates robust demand for APEI's programs, supporting long-term revenue and market position.
Strategic Simplification
Strategic simplification enhances financial flexibility and focuses resources on core operations, potentially improving profitability and efficiency.
Leadership Change
The appointment of a seasoned CFO can strengthen financial management and strategic planning, positively impacting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Government Shutdown Impact
The government shutdown's impact on course registrations highlights APEI's vulnerability to external factors, potentially affecting revenue stability.
Net Loss to Common Shareholders
A net loss indicates financial challenges that may hinder profitability and shareholder value, necessitating improved cost management.
Graduate School Revenue Decline
Declining revenue from Graduate School reflects challenges in non-core segments, potentially impacting overall revenue diversification.

American Public Education (APEI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Public Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Public Education, Inc. (APEI) is a leading provider of online post-secondary education, primarily focused on serving the needs of military service members, veterans, and working adults. The company operates through its subsidiaries, including American Public University System (APUS) and Hondros College of Nursing, offering a diverse range of degree programs and courses across various disciplines, including liberal arts, business, education, and healthcare.
How the Company Makes MoneyAPEI generates revenue primarily through tuition and fees paid by students enrolled in its degree programs and courses. The company benefits from a significant number of military and veteran students, who often utilize federal financial aid programs such as the GI Bill. Additionally, APEI has established partnerships with various military organizations and employers, which can enhance enrollment and retention rates. The company's revenue model is also supported by an emphasis on online education, allowing for lower operational costs compared to traditional brick-and-mortar institutions, thus contributing to its profitability.

American Public Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including exceeding financial guidance, significant enrollment growth, and strategic simplification achievements. However, challenges such as the Graduate School revenue decline and a reported net loss to common shareholders were also noted. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Outperformance in Financial Guidance
American Public Education (APEI) exceeded the top end of its guidance for revenue, net income, EPS, and adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025. Revenue grew by 6.5% year-over-year to $162.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 38% to $15.1 million.
Enrollment Growth at Rasmussen and Hondros
Rasmussen and Hondros reported double-digit enrollment growth of 10% and 18% respectively, contributing to expanding margins and increased profitability. Rasmussen's total enrollment grew 7.4% year-over-year, and Hondros' enrollment increased by 13.5%.
Strategic Simplification Achievements
APEI completed the sale of two corporate administrative buildings for over $22 million, removed restrictions on a $24.5 million letter of credit, and redeemed preferred equity for $43 million, saving $6 million annually in cash dividend payments.
Sale of Graduate School USA
The sale of Graduate School USA was completed, aligning with APEI's strategy to focus on core healthcare and military businesses. This move is expected to improve APEI's financial position.
Negative Updates
Graduate School Revenue Decline
Revenue from Graduate School decreased to $3.4 million in Q2 2025 from $6.4 million in the prior year period, leading to an EBITDA loss of $2.5 million compared to a $0.7 million loss in the prior year.
Net Loss to Common Shareholders
APEI reported a net loss of $0.3 million available to common shareholders, compared to a net loss of $1.2 million in the prior year, partially due to a $3.5 million loss on the redemption of preferred stock.
Company Guidance
During American Public Education's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several positive updates and metrics on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. APEI outperformed its financial guidance for the quarter, exceeding the top end of its projections for revenue, net income, EPS, and adjusted EBITDA. Total revenue for the second quarter was $162.8 million, an increase of 6.5% from the previous year, driven by strong performances at Rasmussen, APUS, and Hondros. Enrollment growth was a significant contributor, with Rasmussen and Hondros experiencing double-digit increases of 10% and 18%, respectively. The company's strategic moves included the sale of two corporate buildings for over $22 million and the redemption of preferred equity for approximately $43 million, leading to an annual savings of $6 million from eliminating cash dividend payments. Additionally, the sale of Graduate School USA was completed, aligning with APEI's focus on its core healthcare and military businesses. The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance, excluding five months of Graduate School revenue, and raised its adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $81 million and $88 million. Finally, APEI announced the appointment of James Kenigsberg as Interim Chief Innovation and Technology Officer, emphasizing investments in intelligent infrastructure and personalized digital tools to enhance the learner journey.

American Public Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Public Education demonstrates a solid financial position with positive growth trends in revenue and cash flow. The company has improved its profitability and operational efficiency, but there is still potential to enhance net profit margins. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage and a strong equity base. Continued focus on cost management and cash flow optimization will be key to sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
American Public Education shows a moderate performance in its income statement. The company has achieved a positive revenue growth rate of 1.56% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. Gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 52%, but net profit margin is relatively low at 4.44%, suggesting room for improvement in cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of American Public Education is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity has improved to 9.73% in the TTM, showing enhanced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with an 8.32% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.81, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.74, reflecting good cash conversion. Continued focus on cash flow management will be crucial for sustaining growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue644.55M624.56M600.54M606.33M418.80M321.79M
Gross Profit334.95M328.86M307.68M317.86M246.18M199.62M
EBITDA61.96M52.37M-20.49M-101.39M50.77M38.59M
Net Income28.61M16.11M-47.29M-114.97M17.75M18.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets537.37M570.10M557.39M615.06M725.61M371.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments176.58M158.94M116.66M102.56M122.63M227.69M
Total Debt195.67M200.62M204.73M208.97M243.71M8.85M
Total Liabilities265.13M266.22M265.41M265.33M310.00M64.09M
Stockholders Equity272.24M303.88M291.98M349.73M415.61M306.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow50.22M27.79M31.62M12.83M4.44M39.88M
Operating Cash Flow67.48M48.87M45.51M29.21M16.27M44.81M
Investing Cash Flow5.68M-21.08M-13.77M-13.67M-336.67M-4.16M
Financing Cash Flow-52.78M-13.19M-16.86M-35.71M242.34M-15.71M

American Public Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.18
Price Trends
50DMA
34.92
Positive
100DMA
32.17
Positive
200DMA
27.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Positive
RSI
47.70
Neutral
STOCH
19.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APEI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.53, above the 50-day MA of 34.92, and above the 200-day MA of 27.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APEI.

American Public Education Risk Analysis

American Public Education disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Public Education reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Public Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$646.62M34.3010.20%5.50%338.59%
65
Neutral
$1.29B39.82-1.66%
64
Neutral
$1.06B-12.62%3.93%63.52%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
$733.55M50.448.27%14.53%75.66%
51
Neutral
$772.13M-32.95%56.38%-16.84%
49
Neutral
$148.41M-103.91%-25.87%57.21%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APEI
American Public Education
36.18
21.23
142.01%
LINC
Lincoln Edu
23.15
10.34
80.72%
CHGG
Chegg
1.39
-0.32
-18.71%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
3.12
-0.07
-2.19%
DAO
Youdao
10.97
6.12
126.19%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
6.81
-1.45
-17.55%

American Public Education Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
American Public Education Appoints New CFO Edward Codispoti
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, American Public Education, Inc. announced the appointment of Edward H. Codispoti as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Richard Sunderland, Jr. Mr. Codispoti brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience, most recently serving as CFO of NV5 Global, Inc. His appointment is expected to enhance APEI’s financial strategy and support its growth initiatives, as the company continues to focus on empowering students and advancing its educational mission.

The most recent analyst rating on (APEI) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Public Education stock, see the APEI Stock Forecast page.

APEI Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Performance
Aug 8, 2025

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) delivered a strong earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, with several key achievements in financial performance and strategic alignment. The company exceeded financial guidance and achieved significant enrollment growth, particularly in its Rasmussen and Hondros divisions. Additionally, APEI made notable improvements to its balance sheet and increased its adjusted EBITDA guidance for the year. However, the company did report a net loss, albeit reduced from the previous year, and faced increased costs and expenses. Despite these challenges, the highlights of the call, particularly the strategic achievements and financial outperformance, significantly outweighed the lowlights.

American Public Education Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) is a diversified education company that provides online and campus-based postsecondary education through its subsidiaries, including American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing, serving over 105,000 students.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025