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Annexon Biosciences (ANNX)
NASDAQ:ANNX
US Market

Annexon Biosciences (ANNX) AI Stock Analysis

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Annexon Biosciences

(NASDAQ:ANNX)

34Underperform
Annexon Biosciences is currently in a challenging position with significant financial losses and no revenue generation. Strong financial resilience is observed through cash reserves and low debt, but bearish technical indicators suggest continued stock pressure. The negative valuation metrics reflect high future growth expectations, which remain speculative without revenue. Despite recent strategic board strengthening, the primary concern remains transitioning to revenue generation.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Success
ANX005 demonstrated a nearly 2.4-fold improvement on the key primary endpoint, GBS-DS at week 8.
Market Potential
ANX005's potential FDA approval in Guillain-Barré Syndrome could lead to significant market share due to its advantages over the current treatment.
Regulatory Approval
ANX005 is expected to be approved by the FDA and to become the new standard of care for GBS.
Negative Factors
Price Target Reduction
Revaluation of opex assumption and US and EU penetration assumptions for the GBS program reduced the price target.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Shares are down -55% YTD as additional regulatory clarity on ANX005 in GBS and ANX1502's POC data is awaited.

Annexon Biosciences (ANNX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Annexon Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnnexon, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutics for autoimmune, neurodegenerative, and ophthalmic disorders. The company's C1q is an initiating molecule of the classical complement pathway that targets distinct disease processes, such as antibody-mediated autoimmune disease and complement-mediated neurodegeneration. Its product candidates include ANX005, a monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase II/III clinical trials to treat patients with guillain- barré syndrome; Phase II trial in patients with warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia; and Phase II clinical trial for Huntington's disease and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. The company is also developing ANX009 that is in Phase Ib trial in patients with lupus nephritis; and ANX007, which is in Phase II clinical trials to treat patients with geographic atrophy. In addition, it develops ANX105, an investigational monoclonal antibody targeting neurodegenerative indications; and ANX1502, an investigational oral small molecule for the treatment of certain autoimmune indications. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Brisbane, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnnexon Biosciences generates revenue primarily through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. The company's revenue model includes milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees associated with the development and commercialization of its therapies. Annexon's potential earnings are significantly influenced by the advancement of its clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and successful commercialization of its drug candidates. As a clinical-stage company, Annexon does not yet have products on the market, thus its revenue is largely dependent on funding from strategic alliances and possibly government grants or research funding.

Annexon Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Annexon Biosciences demonstrates typical pre-revenue biotechnology company financials, with significant cash reserves supporting ongoing R&D activities. While the lack of revenue and increasing losses highlight financial risks, the company's strong equity position and low debt levels provide some stability. The key challenge remains transitioning to revenue generation to sustain operations and achieve profitability.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Annexon Biosciences has reported zero revenue over multiple years, indicating a pre-commercial stage typical for many biotechnology firms. The company consistently records negative net income with increasing losses year-over-year, reflecting ongoing R&D and operational expenses without offsetting revenue. EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative due to lack of revenue and high expenses. Overall, the income statement highlights significant financial losses and lack of revenue generation capacity.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong cash position and significant stockholders' equity compared to total liabilities, indicating financial resilience. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting the company is not overly reliant on debt financing. However, the persistent negative net income impacts the return on equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. Despite this, the lack of revenue generation is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, indicating cash burn from operations without revenue support. Free cash flow is also negative, although consistent financing inflows support cash reserves. The absence of revenue means cash flow ratios, like operating cash flow to net income, remain unfavorable. Although the company maintains strong cash balances, the ongoing cash burn poses a risk if new funding is not secured.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.00-3.27M-3.31M-3.41M-667.00K
EBIT
-154.07M-143.72M-145.60M-130.71M-63.47M
EBITDA
-154.07M-141.57M-143.49M-128.57M-62.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-138.20M-134.24M-138.29M-127.79M-62.74M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
312.02M259.72M242.66M242.72M351.21M
Total Assets
350.07M297.67M285.10M287.04M355.95M
Total Debt
28.97M31.36M32.86M34.59M0.00
Net Debt
-20.53M-193.75M-107.16M-40.25M-268.56M
Total Liabilities
56.97M47.12M53.90M55.13M11.67M
Stockholders Equity
293.11M250.56M231.19M231.91M344.28M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-118.02M-121.33M-122.83M-107.76M-53.55M
Operating Cash Flow
-118.01M-121.14M-116.31M-106.11M-53.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-218.80M70.70M58.44M-88.24M-83.16M
Financing Cash Flow
161.21M135.52M122.91M1.79M360.88M

Annexon Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.93
Price Trends
50DMA
3.02
Negative
100DMA
4.22
Negative
200DMA
5.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
30.11
Neutral
STOCH
5.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.51, below the 50-day MA of 3.02, and below the 200-day MA of 5.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ANNX.

Annexon Biosciences Risk Analysis

Annexon Biosciences disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Annexon Biosciences reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Annexon Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$126.52B-3.15%11.64%-114.72%
59
Neutral
$34.92B-414.62%22.97%38.54%
54
Neutral
$3.50B-214.50%29.01%23.93%
49
Neutral
$4.95B-93.03%-10.48%-18.79%
48
Neutral
$6.84B1.02-53.11%2.50%16.84%0.92%
46
Neutral
$3.17B-19.20%-89.95%-123.71%
34
Underperform
$246.85M-50.84%43.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ANNX
Annexon Biosciences
1.93
-4.70
-70.89%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
270.02
116.69
76.10%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
30.17
-13.77
-31.34%
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals
484.82
64.34
15.30%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
36.21
-10.76
-22.91%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
34.03
-34.15
-50.09%

Annexon Biosciences Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Annexon Biosciences Strengthens Board for Strategic Growth
Positive
Jan 10, 2025

Annexon Biosciences has appointed William Jones to its Board of Directors, bringing his extensive 30-year experience in the biotechnology industry to the company. This strategic move comes as Annexon prepares for the commercialization of key treatments for Guillain-Barré Syndrome and geographic atrophy, with Jones’ commercial expertise expected to enhance the company’s market positioning and execution of its commercialization strategies.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.