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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
NASDAQ:AMD

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) AI Stock Analysis

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AM

Advanced Micro Devices

(NASDAQ:AMD)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$146.00
▲(15.52%Upside)
AMD's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance, indicating potential for growth. Despite technical indicators suggesting caution due to overbought conditions, the strategic focus on AI and robust product demand offer a positive long-term outlook. Valuation concerns slightly temper the score due to a high P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
AI Customer Base Expansion
AMD’s AI customer base has expanded with broadening hyperscale customer penetration, including Oracle and newer customers.
AI Portfolio Progress
AMD's AI portfolio progress across processors, AI GPU, networking, software, and rack systems is encouraging, with expectations of accelerating growth driven by the MI400 accelerator-based Helios rack solutions.
Energy Efficiency Achievements
AMD exceeded its five-year goal set in 2021 to improve the energy efficiency of AI training and high-performance computing nodes by 30x by 2025, ultimately delivering a 38x improvement.
Negative Factors
Customer Growth Limitations
AMD may not grow as much as expected across their largest customers for the Mi350 series.
Product Impact Uncertainty
MI400 is still something of a show-me story, indicating uncertainty about its impact.
Revenue Trends
The revenue trends at AMD would suggest those customers have stepped away rather than leaned into using AMD.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advanced Micro Devices Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is a multinational semiconductor company that specializes in developing high-performance computing and graphics solutions. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, AMD designs and produces a wide range of products, including microprocessors, motherboard chipsets, embedded processors, and graphics processors for various applications such as personal computers, gaming consoles, and data centers. The company's innovative technologies power a broad array of devices and experiences, making it a key player in the technology and electronics sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMD generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are categorized into several key segments. The Computing and Graphics segment is a major revenue driver, accounting for the sale of desktop and notebook microprocessors, accelerated processing units (APUs), discrete graphics processing units (GPUs), and professional graphics products. Additionally, the Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-Custom segment includes sales from server and embedded processors, as well as semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, which are used in gaming consoles. AMD's revenue is also bolstered by strategic partnerships and collaborations with major technology companies, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and original design manufacturers (ODMs). These partnerships help AMD expand its market reach and enhance its competitive position in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry.

Advanced Micro Devices Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across AMD’s various product lines, revealing which segments are contributing most to growth and where market demand is strongest.
Chart InsightsAMD's data center segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI Accelerators, contributing significantly to overall revenue. In contrast, the gaming segment is facing a steep decline due to lower semi-custom sales, despite higher Radeon graphics sales. The client segment shows resilience with strong Ryzen processor demand. Embedded segment weakness persists, but a recovery is anticipated in late 2025. New export controls to China present a revenue challenge, but AMD's strategic focus on AI and GPUs suggests a positive long-term outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Advanced Micro Devices Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 28.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and product demand, particularly in the data center and client segments. However, challenges such as declining gaming revenue, embedded segment weakness, and significant impact from China export controls on AI shipments were noted. Despite these setbacks, the company's strong performance across other areas and strategic initiatives in AI and GPUs suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
First quarter revenue increased 36% year-over-year to $7.4 billion, with data center and client segments both growing by large double-digit percentages.
Data Center Segment Surge
Data center segment revenue increased 57% year-over-year to $3.7 billion, driven by strong demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI Accelerators.
Client Revenue Growth
Client revenue grew 68% year-over-year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue share gains, driven by strong demand for Ryzen processors.
Strong Margin Expansion
Gross margin was 54%, up 140 basis points from a year ago, driven by a richer product mix and strong sales performance.
Significant AI and GPU Momentum
Data center AI business revenue increased by a significant double-digit percentage year-over-year, with strong demand for Instinct GPUs and partnerships with major cloud providers.
Negative Updates
Gaming Revenue Decline
Gaming revenue decreased 30% year-over-year due to lower semi-custom sales, despite higher Radeon graphics sales.
Embedded Segment Weakness
Embedded segment revenue decreased 3% year-over-year to $823 million, with a gradual recovery expected only in the second half of 2025.
China Export Control Impact
New export license requirement for MI308 shipments to China is expected to reduce revenue by $700 million in Q2 and $1.5 billion for the full year 2025.
Inventory Challenges
Inventory increased significantly to support strong client and server ramps, with challenges in managing long lead times.
Company Guidance
During AMD's first quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided robust guidance, emphasizing strong growth across its business segments despite macroeconomic challenges. The first quarter saw a 36% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.4 billion, driven by a 57% rise in data center segment revenue to $3.7 billion, and a 28% increase in the client and gaming segment revenue to $2.9 billion. Gross margin expanded for the fifth consecutive quarter to 54%, and net income rose by 55%. AMD attributed this performance to significant sales growth in its Instinct AI Accelerators, EPYC, and Ryzen CPUs, with data center product sales contributing a higher overall percentage. Despite new export license requirements impacting $700 million in revenue, AMD expects to achieve strong double-digit percentage revenue growth in 2025, supported by ongoing client and gaming segment strength and ramping production of its Instinct MI350 series accelerators.

Advanced Micro Devices Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMD demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, a stable and low-leverage balance sheet, and commendable cash flow performance. These metrics underscore AMD's strong position in the semiconductor industry.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
AMD has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a TTM increase from $25.79 billion to $27.75 billion, indicating a growth rate of approximately 7.63%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 50.91%, supported by a net profit margin of 8.02% for the TTM. The EBIT margin stands at 9.62%, and the EBITDA margin is 21.43%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. These metrics highlight AMD's effective cost management and profitability in the competitive semiconductor industry.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
AMD maintains a strong financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is 3.85% for the TTM, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 80.91%, suggesting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. This stability positions AMD well for future growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
AMD's cash flow performance is commendable, with a free cash flow growth rate of 14.46% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.55, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.24, reflecting efficient cash management and the capability to reinvest in growth initiatives or return value to shareholders.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
27.75B25.79B22.68B23.60B16.43B9.76B
Gross Profit
14.13B12.72B10.46B12.05B7.93B4.35B
EBIT
2.67B1.90B401.00M1.26B3.65B1.37B
EBITDA
5.95B5.26B4.15B5.53B4.17B1.68B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.23B1.64B854.00M1.32B3.16B2.49B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.31B5.13B5.77B5.86B3.61B2.29B
Total Assets
71.55B69.23B67.89B67.58B12.42B8.96B
Total Debt
4.73B2.21B3.00B3.17B661.00M531.00M
Net Debt
-1.32B-1.57B-930.00M-1.66B-1.87B-1.06B
Total Liabilities
13.67B11.66B11.99B12.83B4.92B3.13B
Stockholders Equity
57.88B57.57B55.89B54.75B7.50B5.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.75B2.40B1.12B3.12B3.22B777.00M
Operating Cash Flow
3.46B3.04B1.67B3.56B3.52B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.32B-1.10B-1.42B2.00B-686.00M-952.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-267.00M-2.06B-1.15B-3.26B-1.90B6.00M

Advanced Micro Devices Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price126.39
Price Trends
50DMA
105.37
Positive
100DMA
106.22
Positive
200DMA
124.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.62
Negative
RSI
66.49
Neutral
STOCH
63.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 126.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.72, above the 50-day MA of 105.37, and above the 200-day MA of 124.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMD.

Advanced Micro Devices Risk Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advanced Micro Devices reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advanced Micro Devices Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$3.46T45.73115.46%0.03%86.17%81.36%
AMAMD
81
Outperform
$188.34B85.153.90%21.71%99.00%
80
Outperform
$172.24B15.9742.21%2.30%16.15%32.28%
TSTSM
77
Outperform
$901.33B27.7532.11%1.30%35.45%47.97%
TXTXN
74
Outperform
$180.99B37.7529.04%2.79%-4.48%-17.82%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.29-7.47%2.99%7.32%-8.06%
47
Neutral
$87.85B-18.66%2.41%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
127.10
-27.53
-17.80%
INTC
Intel
20.80
-9.64
-31.67%
NVDA
Nvidia
144.69
9.15
6.75%
QCOM
Qualcomm
154.46
-67.75
-30.49%
TSM
TSMC
215.68
37.99
21.38%
TXN
Texas Instruments
197.69
7.03
3.69%

Advanced Micro Devices Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Sells ZT Systems Business to Sanmina
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, AMD announced a definitive agreement to sell its ZT Systems data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina for $3 billion in cash and stock, with a contingent payment of up to $450 million. The transaction, expected to close by the end of 2025, aligns with AMD’s strategic plan announced in August 2024 and will make Sanmina a preferred manufacturing partner for AMD’s cloud rack and AI solutions. This move is anticipated to enhance AMD’s U.S.-based manufacturing capabilities and accelerate the deployment of AI systems for cloud customers, strengthening its position in the AI and data center markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMD) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advanced Micro Devices stock, see the AMD Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. All director nominees were elected, and significant approvals included the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, the approval of executive compensation, and amendments to increase authorized shares and limit officer liability. However, a proposal to remove the holding requirement for calling a special meeting was not approved. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic directions and governance priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMD) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advanced Micro Devices stock, see the AMD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AMD Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, AMD announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $7.4 billion, a 36% increase year-over-year, with significant growth in its data center and AI segments. The company highlighted its strong product portfolio and consistent execution as key drivers for its performance, despite challenges in the macro and regulatory environment. AMD also emphasized its strategic acquisitions and partnerships aimed at enhancing its AI capabilities and expanding its market reach, positioning the company for continued growth and value creation for shareholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Completes Acquisition of ZT Systems for AI Expansion
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, AMD announced the completion of its acquisition of ZT Systems, a leading provider of AI and general-purpose compute infrastructure for hyperscale providers. This strategic move aims to enhance AMD’s capabilities in delivering end-to-end AI solutions by integrating ZT Systems’ expertise with AMD’s CPU, GPU, and networking technologies. The acquisition is expected to accelerate AMD’s AI infrastructure deployment and provide a competitive edge in the $500 billion data center AI accelerator market projected for 2028. The transaction is anticipated to be accretive on a non-GAAP basis by the end of 2025, and AMD is exploring strategic partnerships to divest ZT Systems’ manufacturing business.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.