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Argan Inc (AGX)
NYSE:AGX

Argan (AGX) AI Stock Analysis

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AG

Argan

(NYSE:AGX)

73Outperform
Argan is well-positioned in the construction industry with strong financial performance and a robust balance sheet. While its earnings call showed impressive revenue growth and strategic focus on renewable projects, technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook due to potential downward momentum. Valuation metrics point to a possibly overvalued stock, balancing the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Q3 results were above expectations as the large Trumbull project was at full activity levels and combined with favorable closeouts on other projects.
Future Projects
Management was increasingly bullish on the new project pipeline and expects several new large natural gas power plant projects to be awarded within the next eight months.
Negative Factors
Backlog
Despite expecting positive Q3 results and bullish commentary, there is an anticipation of a decline in backlog due to no recent major project announcements.

Argan (AGX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Argan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArgan, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of consulting, engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, operations, and maintenance services to the power generation and renewable energy. It operates through the following segments: Power Services, Telecom Services, Industrial Services, and Others. The company was founded in May 1961 and is headquartered in Rockville, MD.
How the Company Makes MoneyArgan, Inc. generates revenue through its subsidiaries by providing engineering, procurement, and construction services to the power generation industry. The company earns money by undertaking large-scale construction projects for natural gas-fired power plants and renewable energy facilities. Its revenue model is primarily based on long-term contracts with utility companies, independent power producers, and industrial customers. Argan benefits from its ability to manage complex projects from conception to completion, which includes securing necessary permits, designing facilities, procuring materials, and managing construction. Additionally, the company may engage in operations and maintenance services for completed projects, providing a steady flow of income post-construction. Significant partnerships with technology providers and industry leaders also enhance Argan's capabilities and competitiveness in the market.

Argan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Argan exhibits strong financial health across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. The company demonstrates impressive growth and profitability, underpinned by sound financial management and a low-risk capital structure.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Argan has demonstrated a strong financial performance with a robust Gross Profit Margin of 14.4% and a Net Profit Margin of 8.2% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has shown impressive Revenue Growth of 40.6% over the past year, indicating a positive trajectory in revenue generation. The EBIT Margin of 8.3% and EBITDA Margin of 8.6% support the company's operational efficiency and profitability. Overall, Argan's income statement reflects strong profitability and growth dynamics.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Argan maintains a solid financial position with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.01, reflecting minimal leverage and strong equity backing. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 20.1%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The Equity Ratio is a healthy 42.8%, indicating a strong capital structure with substantial equity compared to total assets. The balance sheet portrays stability and prudent financial management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Argan's cash flow performance is commendable, with a significant Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 24.2% year-over-year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.23 indicates strong cash generation relative to net earnings. Additionally, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.14 highlights effective cash utilization. The cash flow statements reflect robust liquidity and effective cash management strategies.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
806.26M573.33M455.04M509.37M392.21M239.00M
Gross Profit
116.04M80.83M86.36M99.73M62.07M-6.82M
EBIT
67.25M36.46M41.67M44.51M18.41M-55.84M
EBITDA
68.98M38.86M45.38M56.65M27.64M-46.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
66.11M32.36M33.10M38.24M23.85M-42.94M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
296.53M412.40M325.46M440.50M456.73M327.86M
Total Assets
476.65M598.23M489.49M553.59M602.63M487.54M
Total Debt
0.005.32M1.57M3.66M2.11M2.21M
Net Debt
-164.32M-191.71M-172.38M-346.82M-364.56M-165.15M
Total Liabilities
82.28M307.29M208.59M227.99M280.22M146.51M
Stockholders Equity
394.57M290.94M280.90M326.39M320.67M339.25M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
141.72M114.10M-33.43M26.99M172.98M46.51M
Operating Cash Flow
147.56M116.86M-30.06M28.41M174.68M53.56M
Investing Cash Flow
-132.57M-67.61M-63.12M-7.04M68.30M-36.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-25.62M-26.05M-82.80M-34.61M-45.41M-13.99M

Argan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price110.82
Price Trends
50DMA
144.45
Negative
100DMA
143.46
Negative
200DMA
111.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.84
Positive
RSI
35.54
Neutral
STOCH
20.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 110.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.77, below the 50-day MA of 144.45, and below the 200-day MA of 111.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AGX.

Argan Risk Analysis

Argan disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Argan reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Argan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EMEME
77
Outperform
$16.94B16.7937.25%0.28%15.76%61.64%
AGAGX
73
Outperform
$1.50B21.7921.55%1.30%52.83%94.89%
KBKBR
73
Outperform
$6.78B18.5726.45%1.16%11.30%
FLFLR
72
Outperform
$6.01B2.9272.85%5.43%2094.12%
PWPWR
72
Outperform
$36.46B39.2613.32%0.16%13.36%20.00%
62
Neutral
$8.16B12.850.64%3.04%3.83%-15.83%
DYDY
61
Neutral
$3.96B17.2720.35%12.61%7.43%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AGX
Argan
110.82
62.29
128.35%
DY
Dycom
144.12
1.95
1.37%
EME
EMCOR Group
372.60
49.52
15.33%
FLR
Fluor
35.60
-2.85
-7.41%
KBR
KBR
50.73
-9.96
-16.41%
PWR
Quanta Services
246.03
4.52
1.87%

Argan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Dec 5, 2024 | % Change Since: -25.38% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and profitability, particularly in the Power Services segment. The company's focus on renewable projects and a strong balance sheet were positive aspects. However, there were some concerns about a sequential decrease in project backlog and expected short-term revenue reduction in the Industrial Construction Services segment.
Highlights
Second Highest Quarterly Results in Company History
The third quarter results were the second highest in company history with consolidated revenue growth of 57% to $257 million. Gross margin was 17.2%, with a net income of $28 million, or $2 per diluted share, and EBITDA of $37.5 million.
Power Services Segment Strong Performance
The Power Services segment had a revenue growth of 75% to $212 million, representing 83% of third quarter revenues. The segment reported a pretax book income of $36 million.
Increased Project Backlog and Renewable Focus
Project backlog increased by 6% to $0.8 billion, with $478 million of renewable projects. 92% of the current project backlog supports 0 or low carbon emissions.
Strong Balance Sheet
The company reported $506 million in cash and investments, net liquidity of $281 million, and no debt as of October 31, 2024.
Increased Quarterly Dividend
The Board of Directors approved a 25% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.375 per common share, reflecting confidence in the business.
Lowlights
Sequential Backlog Decline
Backlog decreased sequentially from $1 billion recorded at July 31, 2024, due to the conversion of backlog into revenue and timing of new project contracts.
Industrial Construction Services Backlog Reduction
The Industrial Construction Services backlog dropped to $66 million, with expectations for revenues to come down in the next quarters before rebounding.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Argan, Inc.'s third fiscal quarter ending October 31, 2024, the company reported significant financial metrics, highlighting a 57% increase in consolidated revenues to $257 million, with a gross margin of 17.2% and net income of $28 million, or $2 per diluted share. The Power Services segment achieved a 75% revenue growth to $212 million, while the Industrial Construction Services saw an 8% increase to $41.3 million. Argan's project backlog was reported at $0.8 billion, up 6% from the beginning of the year, with a substantial portion, $478 million, comprising renewable projects. The company also reported a net liquidity of $281 million and no debt, alongside a 25% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.375 per share. Argan remains optimistic about its growth prospects, driven by a strong demand for natural gas and renewable energy projects amidst rising energy demands.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.