Applied Energetics (AERG) Risk Analysis

Both our defense and commercial markets are characterized by rapidly changing technologies and evolving industry standards. Accordingly, our future performance depends on a number of factors, including our ability to identify emerging technological trends in our target markets; develop and maintain competitive products; enhance our products by improving performance and adding innovative features that differentiate our products from those of our competitors; develop and manufacture and bring products to market on-time and on-budget; and enter into suitable arrangements for volume production of mature products. We believe that, to be competitive in the future, we will need to continue to develop and commercialize technologies and products, which will require the investment of financial and engineering resources. Due to the design complexity of our products, we may in the future experience delays in completing development and introduction on a commercial scale of new products. Any delays could result in increased costs of development, deflection of resources from other projects or loss of contracts. In addition, the market for our technologies and products may not develop or expand as we currently anticipate. The failure of our technology to gain market acceptance could significantly reduce any ability to generate revenue and harm our business. Furthermore, we cannot be sure that our competitors will not develop competing or differing technologies which gain market acceptance in advance of our products. The possibility that our competitors might develop new technology or products might cause our existing technology and products to become obsolete or create significant price competition. If we fail in our new product development and commercialization efforts, or our products fail to achieve market acceptance more rapidly than our competitors, our revenue will decline and our business, financial condition and results of operations will be negatively affected.

We depend heavily on information technology systems and infrastructure for our business. We, our collaborators and our service providers collect, store, and transmit sensitive information including intellectual property, proprietary business information, and research results and related data, in connection with our business operations. The secure maintenance of this information is critical to our operations and business strategy. Some of this information could be an attractive target of criminal attacks by third parties with a wide range of motives and expertise, including organized criminal groups, "hacktivists," disgruntled current or former employees, terrorist organizations, nation-state and nation-state supported actors, and others. The level of sophistication of cyber threats continues to grow over time. We have cybersecurity systems in place to protect our and our customers' proprietary information and sensitive data against the risk of inappropriate and unauthorized external use and disclosure and other types of compromise. However, these measures may prove inadequate to detect, prevent or mitigate security breaches and other incidents and we may be subject to data breaches through cyber-attacks, including ransomware, malicious code (such as viruses and worms), phishing schemes, social engineering schemes, and theft or misuse of data from inside the company. Any such breach could compromise our networks and the information stored there could be accessed, modified, destroyed, publicly disclosed, lost or stolen. If our systems become compromised, we may be unable to discover the intrusion promptly enough to mitigate any damage. A cybersecurity breach or other incident could cause our credibility to suffer with customers. Any investigation, response, or remediation of such a breach, would result in costs in addition to possibly significant legal claims or proceedings, and possibly liability under our customer contracts. Any one of these events could cause material harm to our business, results of operations and financial condition.

Given the highly specialized nature of our technology, the potential market for our products is limited to a relative few potential customers who tend to allocate significant budgeted amounts to selected projects. Currently, we are marketing our technology and focusing our research and development on the defense sector, in which demand is ultimately determined primarily by the US federal defense budget and the needs and priorities of the Department of Defense and its various agencies. The potential customers in this area are defense agencies for direct contacts and major defense contractors for subcontracts. Thus, the demand for our products depends on their needs for our technology and selecting us for research and development. Although we intend to diversify into other applications for our technology and markets, we cannot be certain that opportunities in those markets will present themselves when we are ready, or that we will otherwise be able, to do so.

Our success depends on our ability to complete timely and satisfactory performance on our existing customer projects and to secure additional grants and contracts. Performance delays, cost overruns, technology failures, materials or components shortages, or contract delays, could negatively impact our business prospects, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. U.S. government contracts generally permit the government to terminate the contract, in whole or in part, without prior notice, at the U.S. government's convenience or for default based on performance. Correspondingly, subcontracts which we may seek to enter with prime government contractors, may be terminable by the prime contractor upon government termination of the prime contract. We may be unable secure additional contracts to offset any revenues lost as a result of the termination of any such contracts. Because the funding of U.S. government programs is subject to congressional appropriations made on a fiscal year basis even for multi-year programs, programs are often only partially funded initially and may not continue to be funded in future years. Appropriations bills may be delayed, which may result in delays to funding, the collection of receivables and our contract performance due to lack of authorized funds to procure related products and services. Under certain circumstances, we may use our own funds to meet our customers' delivery dates or other requirements, and we may not be reimbursed. If appropriations for programs are reduced or delayed, the U.S. government may terminate any contract or subcontract under that program. The growth of our business depends on the development, application and manufacture of advanced technology and products aimed at achieving challenging goals. New technologies may be untested or unproven and, in some instances, product requirements or specifications need to be developed. This could result in performance difficulties, delays, cost overruns or failures which could require additional resources to address. Any failure to execute timely and effectively on our current programs could hamper future contracting opportunities. We may also need to invest in internal research and development projects in order to achieve certain grants or contracts, as our customers may demand proven concepts and solutions. These expenditures may not pay off if we are not awarded the intended grants or contracts. Under certain types of government contracts, if we are unable to control costs or if our initial cost estimates are incorrect, our profitability could be negatively affected, particularly under fixed-price development contracts. We may also experience cost underruns which would reduce contract value and related expected revenues, and we may be unable to expand the contract scope or secure additional work to offset the resulting lost revenues. Contracts for development programs with complex design and technical challenges may be cost reimbursable. However, if they are firm fixed price or fixed price incentive contracts, such challenges and unexpected cost increases may impact our results of operations. US government contracts also require compliance with extensive and evolving procurement and other rules and regulations and subject us to potential audits, investigations, and disputes. We may also become involved in programs that are classified or otherwise restricted by the US government, which place limits on our ability to discuss our performance on these programs, including any risks, disputes and claims.