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Archer Aviation (ACHR)
NYSE:ACHR
US Market

Archer Aviation (ACHR) AI Stock Analysis

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Archer Aviation

(NYSE:ACHR)

43Neutral
Archer Aviation's overall stock score reflects significant challenges due to zero revenue and ongoing losses. While the company has a strong equity base and strategic partnerships that position it well for future growth, high operating expenses and certification delays are key risks. Weak technical indicators and a speculative valuation further weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Monetization Strategy
The Launch Edition program could help monetize aircrafts even before FAA certification in jurisdictions that are willing to move faster.
Partnership Opportunities
Archer Aviation's partnership with Anduril on defense programs opens new applications and total addressable markets for its airframe.
Negative Factors
Certification Delays
Timing of FAA certification is unclear and most likely even further delayed.

Archer Aviation (ACHR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Archer Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcher Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is an aerospace company specializing in the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Founded with the vision of transforming urban mobility, Archer Aviation aims to create a sustainable and efficient transportation solution for congested cities. The company's core product is its eVTOL aircraft, designed to provide rapid, safe, and environmentally friendly air travel for short to medium distances.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcher Aviation makes money primarily through the sale and potential leasing of its eVTOL aircraft. The company is focused on developing a viable urban air mobility service, which includes generating revenue from aircraft sales to commercial operators or through direct operation of its own aerial ridesharing service. Key revenue streams also include partnerships with major companies in the aerospace and automotive sectors, such as its collaboration with United Airlines for pre-orders of its aircraft, which provides a future revenue pipeline. Additionally, Archer may explore revenue from aftermarket services, maintenance, and potentially licensing its technology in the future.

Archer Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Archer Aviation is in a developmental stage with zero revenue and negative EBIT and EBITDA, indicating operational challenges. However, a strong equity base and substantial cash reserves provide a buffer. The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio, but negative free cash flow and reliance on financing activities highlight sustainability concerns without revenue.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Archer Aviation has reported consecutive years of zero revenue, reflecting a pre-revenue stage typical for companies in development phases, especially in aerospace & defense. Persistent negative EBIT and EBITDA highlight operational challenges. The lack of revenue growth indicates no commercial operations yet, affecting profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base, highlighted by a favorable equity ratio and substantial cash reserves relative to debt. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting prudent financial management. However, without revenue, the long-term sustainability of asset growth through equity raises remains uncertain.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Archer Aviation's cash flow shows significant negative free cash flow, common for companies in heavy R&D phases. Operating cash flow is negative, indicating cash consumption without offsetting income. Financing activities provide substantial cash inflows, crucial for ongoing operations without revenue generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.00-5.80M-7.70M-3.03M-103.00K
EBIT
-509.70M-444.80M-336.60M-358.30M-24.60M
EBITDA
-509.70M-451.60M-309.60M-343.77M-24.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-457.90M-317.30M-359.40M-25.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
834.50M464.60M531.20M746.90M36.60M
Total Assets
1.00B554.30M573.80M768.40M41.80M
Total Debt
79.00M23.20M22.20M23.10M3.20M
Net Debt
-755.50M-441.40M-47.20M-723.80M-33.40M
Total Liabilities
248.60M187.20M80.50M69.50M5.90M
Stockholders Equity
752.60M367.10M493.30M698.90M35.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-450.60M-315.90M-207.30M-111.90M-24.70M
Operating Cash Flow
-368.60M-271.60M-200.40M-108.40M-22.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-82.00M420.70M-464.30M-3.50M-1.90M
Financing Cash Flow
820.40M250.10M-9.90M822.20M51.20M

Archer Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.80
Price Trends
50DMA
9.24
Negative
100DMA
7.45
Negative
200DMA
5.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
35.43
Neutral
STOCH
15.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACHR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.62, below the 50-day MA of 9.24, and above the 200-day MA of 5.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACHR.

Archer Aviation Risk Analysis

Archer Aviation disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Archer Aviation reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Archer Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RTRTX
77
Outperform
$170.66B36.177.96%1.96%17.15%58.66%
62
Neutral
$8.16B12.850.64%3.04%3.83%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$227.89M-20.73%12.04%-30.50%
47
Neutral
$572.92M7.6837.69%1.00%-77.16%
43
Neutral
$3.69B-95.88%17.43%
40
Underperform
$4.75B-62.47%-86.82%-7.68%
28
Underperform
$307.77M115.25%23.26%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACHR
Archer Aviation
6.81
1.67
32.49%
RTX
Raytheon Technologies
128.11
39.49
44.56%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
11.95
1.69
16.47%
BLDE
Blade Air Mobility
2.91
0.20
7.38%
JOBY
Joby Aviation
6.03
0.68
12.71%
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace
3.39
-3.29
-49.25%

Archer Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -14.14% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Archer Aviation's earnings call reflects a strong strategic position with significant partnerships, a solid financial foundation, and progress in manufacturing and defense. However, challenges remain with FAA certification and high operating expenses.
Highlights
Strategic Partnerships and Launch Edition Program
Archer announced a major partnership with Abu Dhabi Aviation as their first Launch Edition partner. This program will deploy Midnight aircraft in early adopter markets worldwide, providing a revenue-generating opportunity and margin-positive contracts valued at over $20 million each.
Strong Financial Position
Archer Aviation exited 2024 with $835 million in cash and cash equivalents, achieving their highest-ever quarter-end cash balance. The company now has over $1 billion in liquidity, bolstered by strong investor demand and additional capital commitments.
Manufacturing and Production Milestones
The completion of Archer's factory in Georgia, ARC, will allow the production of up to 10 Midnight aircraft this year, marking the first eVTOL OEM to scale commercial production of piloted aircraft in the U.S.
Defense Opportunities
Archer partnered with Anduril to develop a hybrid propulsion vertical lift aircraft for defense applications, which could result in multibillion-dollar programs without needing FAA certification. This partnership increases Archer's strategic importance to U.S. defense.
FAA Certification and Global Expansion
Archer is making progress on FAA type certification and has finalized a project-specific certification plan with the UAE, accelerating international efforts to achieve commercialization.
Lowlights
Uncertainties in FAA Certification
While progress continues, Archer faces challenges with the FAA certification process, which has not closed out all industry-wide issues, delaying full certification.
High Operating Expenses
For the full year 2024, Archer's GAAP operating expenses increased by 14% year-over-year to $509.7 million, driven by investments in aircraft development, testing, and manufacturing scale-up.
Company Guidance
In the Archer Aviation Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a liquidity position of over $1 billion, bolstered by recent equity raises and $820.4 million raised through financing activities in 2024. Non-GAAP operating expenses for Q4 stood at $98.3 million, within the guided range of $95 to $110 million, while GAAP operating expenses were $124.2 million. For full-year 2024, non-GAAP operating expenses increased by 22% to $380.6 million, and GAAP operating expenses rose by 14% to $509.7 million. The company plans to manufacture up to 10 Midnight aircraft in 2025 to support its FAA certification program and international commercial deployments. Furthermore, Archer anticipates adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 to be a loss of $95 million to $110 million. The company also announced raising $300 million in January 2025, increasing its financial flexibility for future growth initiatives.

Archer Aviation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Archer Aviation Secures $301.75M in Direct Offering
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Archer Aviation announced on February 11, 2025, a registered direct offering raising $301.75 million by selling 35.5 million shares of Class A common stock. The funding, involving institutional investors like BlackRock, will be used to advance hybrid aircraft development and other corporate purposes, enhancing Archer’s financial standing and positioning it strategically for defense market opportunities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Archer Aviation Secures $430M for Defense VTOL Development
Positive
Dec 12, 2024

Archer Aviation has entered into subscription agreements to raise $430 million through private placements, with participation from investors such as Stellantis and United Airlines. This funding will support Archer’s collaboration with Anduril Industries to develop a hybrid VTOL aircraft for defense applications, enhancing its market position in the defense sector and strengthening its financial standing.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.