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Pool (POOL)
NASDAQ:POOL
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Pool (POOL) AI Stock Analysis

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POOL

Pool

(NASDAQ:POOL)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$319.00
▲(15.08% Upside)
Pool's overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and improved leverage, balanced by challenges in profitability and cash flow. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. The earnings call highlighted steady growth and technological advancements but also noted challenges in key markets and macroeconomic pressures.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth and margin expansion indicate strong market demand and effective cost management, supporting long-term financial health.
Technological Advancements
Increased adoption of POOL360 shows successful tech investments, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency, driving future growth.
Strategic Expansion
Strategic acquisitions and expansion efforts strengthen market presence and distribution capabilities, supporting long-term growth objectives.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profit margins suggest pressure on profitability, which could impact the company's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive advantage.
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential cash generation issues, which could limit the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Market Challenges
Sales declines in key markets like California and Arizona highlight regional challenges that could hinder overall growth and market penetration efforts.

Pool (POOL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pool Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPool Corporation distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products in the United States and internationally. The company offers maintenance products, including chemicals, supplies, and pool accessories; repair and replacement parts for pool equipment, such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights; fiberglass pools, and hot tubs and packaged pool kits comprising walls, liners, braces, and coping for in-ground and above-ground pools; pool equipment and components for new pool construction and the remodeling of existing pools; and irrigation and related products consisting of irrigation system components, and professional lawn care equipment and supplies. It also provides building materials, such as concrete, plumbing and electrical components, functional and decorative pool surfaces, decking materials, tiles, hardscapes, and natural stones for pool installations and remodeling; and commercial products, including heaters, safety equipment, and commercial pumps and filters. In addition, the company offers other pool construction and recreational products comprising discretionary recreational and related outdoor living products, such as grills and components for outdoor kitchens. It serves swimming pool remodelers and builders; specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies; swimming pool repair and service businesses; irrigation construction and landscape maintenance contractors; and commercial customers that serve hotels, universities, and community recreational facilities. As of March 03, 2022, the company operated 410 sales centers in North America, Europe, and Australia. Pool Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyPool generates revenue through several key streams, primarily through the sale of pool construction and renovation services, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company also profits from ongoing maintenance contracts and the retail sale of pool supplies such as chemicals, cleaning equipment, and accessories. Additionally, Pool has established strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, enabling it to offer a wide range of products at competitive prices. These partnerships often lead to favorable terms and increased sales volume. The company may also benefit from seasonal demand fluctuations, particularly during peak swimming months, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Pool Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced outlook with steady revenue growth and technological advancements in the POOL360 platform. However, challenges in key markets, particularly California and Arizona, along with declines in chemical sales and macroeconomic pressures, balanced the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Revenue Growth
Top line sales up 1% with a gross margin expansion of 50 basis points. Building materials saw year-over-year growth for the first time since Q3 2022.
POOL360 Adoption and Technological Investments
POOL360 sales represented 17% of total sales, an all-time high, showing the impact of technology investments on customer experience and margins.
Strategic Acquisitions and Expansion
Completed 1 acquisition, adding 2 locations, and opened 1 greenfield sales center, with a plan to open 8 to 10 new centers by year-end.
Improvement in Operating Income
Operating income improved by $2 million year-over-year, achieving $178 million for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Key Markets
California and Arizona saw a 3% decline in sales, with new pool builds in California pressured by wildfires.
Chemical Sales Decline
Total chemical sales declined 4% due to additional deflation in the chemical market.
Pressure on Independent Retail Sales
Sales to independent retail customers declined 3%, affected by chemical deflation and reduced discretionary purchases.
Macroeconomic Headwinds
Uncertainty around tariffs and elevated borrowing rates continued to weigh on consumer sentiment and limit discretionary demand.
Company Guidance
During the POOLCORP Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided various financial metrics and insights into its performance and future outlook. For the third quarter, net sales increased by 1% to $1.5 billion, with gross margins expanding by 50 basis points. Equipment sales rose by 4%, while building materials sales also saw a 4% increase, driven by improvements in remodel activity and market share gains. In terms of geographic performance, Florida achieved 1% growth, Texas remained flat, while California and Arizona both experienced a 3% decline. In Europe, net sales decreased by 1% in local currency but increased by 6% in U.S. dollars. The company also noted a 4% decline in chemical sales due to some deflation. POOL360, the company's digital tool suite, reached an all-time high of 17% of total sales for the quarter. The company confirmed its full-year diluted EPS guidance range of $10.81 to $11.31 and anticipates full-year sales performance to be relatively flat to slightly up. Additionally, POOLCORP completed one acquisition and opened a new sales center during the quarter, contributing to its strategic growth efforts.

Pool Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pool demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved leverage, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. The company has made strides in reducing debt, enhancing its financial stability. However, declining profit margins and cash flow growth could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pool's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate is positive at 34.6%, indicating strong top-line growth. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 12.1% in 2022 to 7.8% in the TTM, suggesting pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable around 29.6%, but EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a significant improvement in leverage, with the debt-to-equity ratio decreasing from 1.34 in 2022 to 0.25 in the TTM. This indicates a stronger equity position. However, the return on equity has decreased from 60.6% in 2022 to 31.8% in the TTM, which may point to less efficient use of equity. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting a more stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, which is negative in the TTM, indicating potential cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, showing moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 0.86, suggesting that the company still generates healthy cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.29B5.31B5.54B6.18B5.30B3.94B
Gross Profit1.57B1.58B1.66B1.93B1.62B1.13B
EBITDA637.51M662.68M786.71M1.06B862.81M493.43M
Net Income412.12M434.32M523.23M748.46M650.62M366.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.50B3.37B3.43B3.57B3.23B1.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments128.48M77.86M66.54M45.59M24.32M34.13M
Total Debt1.39B1.27B1.36B1.66B1.43B623.84M
Total Liabilities2.12B2.09B2.12B2.33B2.16B1.10B
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.27B1.31B1.24B1.07B639.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow394.66M599.71M828.13M441.24M275.83M375.88M
Operating Cash Flow456.31M659.19M888.23M484.85M313.49M397.58M
Investing Cash Flow-72.47M-66.17M-71.60M-50.87M-849.61M-146.29M
Financing Cash Flow-347.14M-576.55M-798.13M-411.66M526.13M-244.37M

Pool Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price277.20
Price Trends
50DMA
308.14
Negative
100DMA
306.33
Negative
200DMA
313.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.37
Positive
RSI
30.73
Neutral
STOCH
2.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For POOL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 277.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 294.67, below the 50-day MA of 308.14, and below the 200-day MA of 313.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for POOL.

Pool Risk Analysis

Pool disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pool reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pool Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$12.28B17.8713.78%0.70%1.30%-1.09%
$9.58B24.8222.10%0.68%4.03%5.93%
$14.94B27.4417.61%3.26%-0.71%
$5.78B42.018.37%4.00%-0.75%
$10.28B23.2924.42%11.02%7.08%
$10.33B25.8829.16%1.77%-0.60%-5.99%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
POOL
Pool
277.20
-80.56
-22.52%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
255.91
25.98
11.30%
WSO
Watsco
358.36
-103.43
-22.40%
WCC
Wesco International
252.27
65.91
35.37%
SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply
129.73
-12.23
-8.62%
CNM
Core & Main
52.31
9.06
20.95%

Pool Corporate Events

Pool Corporation’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

The recent earnings call for Pool Corporation presented a balanced outlook, highlighting steady revenue growth and technological advancements in their POOL360 platform. Despite these positive aspects, challenges in key markets, particularly California and Arizona, alongside declines in chemical sales and macroeconomic pressures, tempered the overall sentiment.

Pool Corporation Reports Steady Growth in Q3 2025
Oct 24, 2025

Pool Corporation, the world’s largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool and related backyard products, operates 454 sales centers across North America, Europe, and Australia, serving approximately 125,000 wholesale customers with over 200,000 products.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pool Corporation Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Pool Corporation reported a 1% increase in net sales to $1.5 billion for the third quarter of 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, with a gross margin expansion of 50 basis points to 29.6%. Despite a 5% rise in operating expenses due to network expansion and inflation, the company maintained an operating margin of 12.3% and saw a 4% increase in diluted EPS to $3.40. The company confirmed its annual earnings guidance and highlighted its strategic growth through new locations and enhanced customer offerings, marking its 30th anniversary as a public company.

The most recent analyst rating on (POOL) stock is a Sell with a $285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pool stock, see the POOL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pool Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Pool Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.25 per share, payable on August 28, 2025, to shareholders of record on August 14, 2025. This announcement underscores Pool Corporation’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning as a leading distributor in the swimming pool industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (POOL) stock is a Hold with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pool stock, see the POOL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025