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Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL)
:VEL
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Risk Overview Q1, 2020
Risk Distribution
67% Finance & Corporate
13% Legal & Regulatory
12% Production
5% Tech & Innovation
3% Macro & Political
0% Ability to Sell
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Velocity Financial Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q1, 2020
Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 40 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 40 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
60
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
60
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
0Risks added
0Risks removed
1Risks changed
Since Mar 2020
0Risks added
0Risks removed
1Risks changed
Since Mar 2020
Number of Risk Changed
1
+1
From last reportS&P 500 Average: 3
1
+1
From last reportS&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Velocity Financial in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 60
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 40/60 (67%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights11 | 18.3%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our certificate of incorporation provides, subject to limited exceptions, that the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware and the federal district courts of the United States of America will be the sole and exclusive forums for certain stockholder litigation matters, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or stockholders.Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Our board of directors is authorized to issue and designate shares of our preferred stock in additional series without stockholder approval.Our certificate of incorporation authorizes our board of directors, without the approval of our stockholders, to issue 25,000,000 shares of our preferred stock, subject to limitations prescribed by applicable law, rules and regulations and the provisions of our certificate of incorporation, as shares of preferred stock in series, to establish from time to time the number of shares to be included in each such series and to fix the designation, powers, preferences and rights of the shares of each such series and the qualifications, limitations or restrictions thereof. The powers, preferences and rights of these additional series of preferred stock may be senior to or on parity with our common stock, which may reduce its value.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
The terms of our outstanding Series A Convertible Preferred Stock and Warrants may adversely affect the rights of the holders of our common stock.On April 7, 2020, we issued and sold 45,000 shares of our newly created Series A Convertible Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per share (our "Preferred Stock"), and warrants (the "Warrants") exercisable for up to 3,013,125 shares of our common stock to affiliates of Snow Phipps and TOBI. The Preferred Stock is initially convertible into an aggregate of approximately 11,688,312 shares of common stock. As of April 30, 2020, the Preferred Stock and Warrants would have represented an aggregate of approximately 42.3% of our common stock outstanding on a pro forma, as-converted and as-exercised basis. Following receipt of the applicable stockholder approval, (i) the Preferred Stock will be convertible at its holders' option at any time, in whole or in part, into a number of shares of our common stock based on the then applicable conversion rate as set forth in the certificate of designation and (ii) the Warrants will be exercisable at the warrantholder's option at any, in whole or in part, until April 7, 2025. The initial conversion price for the Preferred Stock is approximately $3.85 per share of common stock. The conversion of the Preferred Stock and the exercise of the Warrants would dilute the ownership interest of existing holders of our common stock and sales of common stock by holders following conversion or exercise, as applicable, could adversely affect prevailing market prices of our common stock.
The certificate of designations governing the terms of Preferred Stock permit holders of our Preferred Stock to vote, together with the holders of our common stock, on an as-converted basis, subject to limitations of the rules of the NYSE, on all matters submitted to a vote of the holders of our common stock, and as a separate class as required by law. The holders of our Preferred Stock will also have the right to elect two directors to our board of directors if the Company defaults under its obligation to repurchase the Preferred Stock during the period of the default. These terms of the Preferred Stock dilute the voting power of existing holders of our common stock and may adversely affect the market price of our common stock. As a result, the holders of our Preferred Stock may exercise a significant influence over us and have interests that diverge from those of other holders of our common stock.
The holders of the Preferred Stock have certain rights to require us to repurchase their shares for such shares' liquidation preference amount. If we default on that repurchase obligation, the Preferred Stock holders will have the right (until the repurchase price for such shares has been paid in cash or the shares converted into common stock) to force a sale of the Company and to elect two directors to our board of directors. These repurchase obligations could impact our liquidity and reduce the amount of cash flow available for other corporate purposes. Our obligations to the holders of Preferred Stock could also limit our ability to obtain additional financing or increase our borrowing costs, which could have an adverse effect on our financial condition. There can be no assurance that we will be able to repurchase the Preferred Stock when required to do so. This forced sale process may adversely impact the price or terms on which the Company is sold and the consideration paid to holders of our common stock.
In addition, the consent of the purchasers of the Preferred Stock will be required to take certain corporate actions for so long as the purchasers of our Preferred Stock maintain certain levels of ownership of the Preferred Stock. These corporate actions include, among other things, certain amendments or alterations to our certificate of incorporation or the certificate of designation for the Preferred Stock, the creation and issuance of securities with certain rights senior to, or on parity with, the Preferred Stock, and the incurrence of certain debt in excess of $20.0 million. These consent rights, together with the voting power held by the holders of our Preferred Stock and Warrants, may have the effect of delaying or preventing a merger, acquisition, tender offer, takeover attempt or other change of control transaction that a stockholder might consider to be in its best interest, including attempts that might result in a premium over the market price of our common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
For so long as Snow Phipps and TOBI continue to own a substantial amount of our outstanding common stock, or securities convertible or exchangeable for our common stock, they will have the ability to substantially influence us.As of April 30, 2020, funds affiliated with Snow Phipps Group LLC, or Snow Phipps, owned approximately 35% of our outstanding common stock and an affiliate of a fund managed by Pacific Investment Management Company LLC, or TOBI, beneficially owned approximately 22% of our outstanding common stock. On April 7, 2020, we issued and sold shares of our convertible Preferred Stock (as defined below) and Warrants (as defined below) to purchase shares of our common stock to affiliates of Snow Phipps and TOBI. As of April 30, 2020, assuming the full conversion and exercise of the Preferred Stock and Warrants, funds affiliated with Snow Phipps and TOBI would have owned an aggregate of approximately 75.5% of our common stock outstanding on a pro forma, as-converted and as-exercised basis. The certificate of designations governing the terms of Preferred Stock permit holders of our Preferred Stock to vote, together with the holders of our common stock, on an as converted basis, subject to limitations of the rules of the NYSE, on all matters submitted to a vote of the holders of our common stock.
In addition, pursuant to a stockholders' agreement we entered into with Snow Phipps and TOBI in connection with our IPO and a purchase agreement we entered into with Snow Phipps and TOBI in connection with the sale of our Preferred Stock and warrants, each of Snow Phipps and TOBI have the right to designate certain persons as nominees for election as directors. Specifically, each of Snow Phipps and TOBI are entitled to designate up to two persons as director nominees. Furthermore, upon certain circumstances if we default upon our obligation to repurchase the Preferred Stock, the holders of our Preferred Stock are entitled to elect two additional directors to our board of directors during the period of default. As a result, although Snow Phipps and TOBI are not affiliated with each other, they collectively own a majority of our common stock and are in a position to exercise significant influence over us, our board of directors and our management, affairs and transactions in a manner that you may not agree with or that you may not consider is in the best interest of all of our stockholders. In addition, the degree of control on our board of directors held by Snow Phipps and TOBI may be greater than their proportionate ownership of our common stock.
By virtue of their stock ownership and voting power, in addition to their board nomination rights. Snow Phipps and TOBI have the power to significantly influence our business and affairs and are able to influence the outcome of matters required to be submitted to stockholders for approval, including the election of our directors, amendments to our certificate of incorporation, mergers or sales of assets. The influence exerted by these large stockholders over our business and affairs might not be consistent with the interests of some or all of our other stockholders. In addition, the concentration of ownership in our directors or stockholders associated with them may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control of our company, including transactions that would be in the best interests of our stockholders and would result in receipt of a premium to the price of our shares of common stock, and might negatively affect the market price of our common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Our certificate of incorporation provides that our directors who are affiliates of Snow Phipps and TOBI may engage in similar activities and lines of business as us, which may result in competition between us and such stockholders or another portfolio company of such stockholders for certain corporate opportunities.Our certificate of incorporation provides that our directors who are also employees or affiliates of Snow Phipps and TOBI may engage in similar activities or lines of business as us. Our certificate of incorporation will provide that no employees or affiliates of such stockholders, including those persons who are also our directors, have any obligation to refrain from (1) engaging directly or indirectly in the same or similar business activities or lines of business as us or developing or marketing any products or services that compete, directly or indirectly, with us, (2) investing or owning any interest in, or developing a business relationship with, any person or entity engaged in the same or similar business activities or lines of business as, or otherwise in competition with, us or (3) doing business with any of our clients or customers. In addition, our certificate of incorporation will provide that we have waived any interest or expectancy in any business or other opportunity that becomes known to a director of ours who is also an employee or affiliate of such stockholders unless the opportunity becomes known to that individual solely in his or her capacity as our director. As a result, certain of our directors who are also employees or affiliates of Snow Phipps or TOBI may compete with us for business and other opportunities, which may not be in the interest of all of our stockholders.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Some provisions of Delaware law and our organizational documents may deter third parties from acquiring us and may diminish the value of our common stock.Certain provisions of our certificate of incorporation and bylaws may have the effect of delaying or preventing a merger, acquisition, tender offer, takeover attempt or other change of control transaction that a stockholder might consider to be in its best interest, including attempts that might result in a premium over the market price of our common stock.
These provisions provide for, among other things:
- the ability of our board of directors to issue one or more series of preferred stock with voting or other rights or preferences that could have the effect of impeding the success of an attempt to acquire us or otherwise effect a change of control;- advance notice for nominations of directors by stockholders and for stockholders to include matters to be considered at stockholder meetings;- certain limitations on convening special stockholder meetings; and - certain limitations regarding business combinations with any "interested stockholder."
These provisions could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire us, even if the third-party's offer may be considered beneficial by many of our stockholders. As a result, our stockholders may be limited in their ability to obtain a premium for their shares. Even in the absence of a takeover attempt, the existence of these provisions may adversely affect the prevailing market price of our common stock if they are viewed as discouraging future takeover attempts. These provisions could also make it more difficult for our stockholders to nominate directors for election to our board of directors and take other corporate actions.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
The trading and price of our common stock has been and may continue to be volatile, which could result in substantial losses for purchasers of our common stock.The market price of our common stock has been highly volatile and may continue to fluctuate substantially due to a number of factors such as those listed in "-Risks Related to Our Business" and the following:
- our operating performance and the performance of other similar companies;- actual or anticipated changes in our business strategy prospects;- actual or anticipated valuations in our quarterly operating results or dividends;- our failure to meet, or the lowering of, our earnings estimates or those of any securities analysts;- publication of research reports about the real estate industry;- speculation in the press or investment community;- equity issuances by us, or stock resales by our stockholders, or the perception that such issuances or resales could occur;- the passage of legislation or other regulatory developments that adversely affect us or the assets in which we seek to invest;- the use of significant leverage to finance our assets;- loss of a major funding source;- changes in market valuations of similar companies;- actions by our stockholders;- general market and economic conditions and trends including inflationary concerns, and the current state of the credit and capital markets;- actual or anticipated accounting problems;- price and volume fluctuations in the overall stock market from time to time;- additions or departures of our executive officers or key personnel;- changes in the value of our portfolio;- any shortfall in revenue or net income or any increase in losses from levels expected by investors or securities analysts; and - the realization of any other risk factor in this Quarterly Report.
These broad market and industry fluctuations may materially adversely affect the market price of our common stock, regardless of our actual operating performance. In addition, price volatility may be greater if the public float and trading volume of our common stock are low. In the past, following periods of market volatility, stockholders have instituted securities class action litigation. If we were involved in securities litigation, it could have a substantial cost and divert resources and the attention of executive management from our business regardless of the outcome of such litigation.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
Future offerings of debt securities, which would rank senior to our common stock upon our liquidation, and future offerings of equity securities, which would dilute our existing stockholders and may be senior to our common stock for the purposes of dividend and liquidating distributions, may adversely affect the market price of our common stock.In the future, we may attempt to increase our capital resources by making offerings of debt or additional offerings or distributions of equity securities, including commercial paper, medium-term notes, senior or subordinated notes and classes of preferred stock or common stock. Upon liquidation, holders of our debt securities and shares of preferred stock, if issued, and lenders with respect to other borrowings will receive a distribution of our available assets prior to the holders of our common stock. Additional equity offerings may dilute the holdings of our existing stockholders or reduce the market price of our common stock, or both. Our preferred stock, if issued, would likely have a preference on liquidating distributions or a preference on dividend payments that could limit our ability to make a dividend distribution to the holders of our common stock. Because our decision to issue securities in any future offering will depend on market conditions and other factors beyond our control, we cannot predict or estimate the amount, timing or nature of our future offerings. Thus, holders of our common stock bear the risk of any future offerings reducing the market price of our common stock and diluting their stock holdings in us.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
Future sales of shares of our common stock, including by our existing stockholders, could depress the market price of our shares.We cannot predict the effect, if any, of future sales of our common stock, or the availability of shares for future sales, on the value of our common stock. Sales of these shares by our existing stockholders, or the perception that such sales could occur, may cause the trading price of our common stock to decrease or be lower than it might be in the absence of those sales or perceptions.
As of April 30, 2020, Snow Phipps beneficially owned approximately 37% of our outstanding common stock and TOBI beneficially owned approximately 24% of our outstanding common stock. In connection with our IPO we entered into a registration rights agreement with Snow Phipps, TOBI, certain other stockholders, and certain members of our management and directors which, among other things, gives Snow Phipps and TOBI and their respective affiliates the right to cause us to file registration statements under the Securities Act covering their shares of our common stock, or to include the shares of common stock held by such stockholders in registration statements that we may file. If we were to include common stock held by such stockholders in a registration statement initiated by us, those additional shares could impair our ability to raise needed capital by depressing the price at which we could sell common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
You should not rely on lock-up agreements in connection with our IPO to limit the amount of common stock sold into the market.In connection with our IPO, we, Snow Phipps, TOBI, certain other stockholders, and certain members of our management and directors entered into lock-up agreements that, subject to limited exceptions, required us and such persons not to issue, sell or transfer, as applicable, shares of our common stock or any securities convertible into or exercisable or exchangeable for our common stock, or to file a registration statement under the Securities Act with respect to our common stock or any securities convertible into or exercisable or exchangeable for our common stock, or to publicly disclose the intention to do any of the above until July 15, 2020, without the prior written consent of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and JMP Securities LLC. However, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and JMP Securities LLC may, at any time, release all or a portion of the securities subject to these lock-up agreements. If the restrictions under the lock-up agreements with the persons or entities subject to the lock-up agreements are waived or terminated, or upon expiration of the lock-up periods, approximately 11,749,994 shares will be available for sale into the market, subject only to applicable securities rules and regulations. These sales or a perception that these sales may occur could reduce the market price for our common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11
If securities analysts do not publish research or reports about our business or if they downgrade our stock or our core market, our stock price and trading volume could decline.The trading market for our common stock will rely in part on the research and reports that industry or financial analysts publish about us or our business or industry. We do not control these analysts. Furthermore, if one or more of the analysts who do cover us downgrade our stock or our industry, or the stock of any of our competitors, or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research about our business or industry, the price of our stock could decline. If one or more of these analysts ceases coverage of us or fails to publish reports on us regularly, we could lose visibility in the market, which in turn could cause our stock price or trading volume to decline.
There can be no assurance that we will not inadvertently originate or acquire a consumer loan. If we were to originate or acquire such a loan, we would be required to comply with these laws and any breach of such laws could subject us to monetary penalties or give the borrowers a rescission right. Lawsuits have been brought in various states making claims against assignees or purchasers of high cost loans for violations of state law. If any of our loans are found to have been originated in violation of predatory or abusive lending laws, we could incur losses, which could materially and adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Accounting & Financial Operations5 | 8.3%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Some of our portfolio assets may be recorded at fair value as estimated by management and may not reflect the price we could realize upon disposal.Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We have not historically paid dividends on our common stock and, as a result, your only opportunity to achieve a return on your investment may be if the price of our common stock appreciates.We have not declared or paid cash dividends to date on our common stock and do not intend to pay dividends for the foreseeable future. Instead, we anticipate that all of our earnings in the foreseeable future will be used to provide working capital, to support our operations and to finance the growth and development of our business. Any determination to declare or pay dividends in the future will be at the discretion of our board of directors, subject to applicable laws and dependent upon a number of factors, including our earnings, capital requirements, overall financial conditions and limitations in our debt instruments. In addition, our ability to pay dividends on our common stock is currently limited by the covenants of our warehouse repurchase facilities and other credit facilities and may be further restricted by the terms of any future debt or preferred securities. Accordingly, your only opportunity to achieve a return on your investment in our company may be if the market price of our common stock appreciates and you sell your shares at a profit. The market price for our common stock may never exceed, and may fall below, the price that you pay for such common stock.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
We will utilize analytical models and data in connection with the projections for our loan portfolio, and any incorrect, misleading or incomplete information used in connection therewith would subject us to potential risks.We rely on analytical models (both proprietary models developed by us and those supplied by third parties) and information and data (both generated by us and supplied by third parties). Models and data will be used to make projections for our loan portfolio. When models and data prove to be incorrect, misleading or incomplete, any decisions made in reliance thereon expose us to potential risks. Some of the analytical models we use, such as mortgage prepayment models or mortgage default models, are predictive in nature. The use of predictive models has inherent risks. For example, such models may incorrectly forecast future behavior, leading to volatility in results. In addition, the predictive models used by us may differ substantially from those models used by other market participants.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4
Failure to comply with requirements to design, implement and maintain effective internal controls, as well as a failure to remediate any identified weaknesses in our internal controls, could have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business and stock price.As a publicly-traded company, we are required to evaluate our internal control over financial reporting in a manner that meets the standards of publicly traded companies required by Section 404(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, or Section 404. The process of designing and implementing effective internal controls is a continuous effort that requires us to anticipate and react to changes in our business and the economic and regulatory environments and to expend significant resources to maintain a system of internal controls that is adequate to satisfy our reporting obligations as a public company. If we are unable to establish or maintain appropriate internal financial reporting controls and procedures, it could cause us to fail to meet our reporting obligations on a timely basis, result in material misstatements in our consolidated financial statements and harm our results of operations. In addition, we will be required, pursuant to Section 404, to furnish a report by management on, among other things, the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting in our second annual report on Form 10-K. This assessment will need to include disclosure of any material weaknesses identified by our management in our internal control over financial reporting. The rules governing the standards that must be met for our management to assess our internal control over financial reporting are complex and require significant documentation, testing and possible remediation. Testing and maintaining internal controls may divert management's attention from other matters that are important to our business. We will be required to include an attestation report on the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting issued by our independent registered public accounting firm if we become an "accelerated filer" or a "large accelerated filer" under applicable rules of the SEC.
In reviewing the accounting for a certain transaction we completed in January 2018, as part of our 2018 election to be treated as a corporation for U.S. federal and state income tax purposes, as described above under Part 1, Item 4 "Controls and Procedures," our management identified a deficiency in the effectiveness of a control intended to properly document and review relevant facts and apply the appropriate tax accounting under U.S. GAAP, which impacted the beginning of year deferred tax asset and income tax benefit accounts and related disclosures. Management concluded that the deficiency constituted a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2018.
In 2019, we implemented a plan to remediate this material weakness by contracting with a nationally recognized accounting firm to have experienced tax personnel supplement and train our current accounting team. As a result, additional internal controls over our income tax processes have been designed and implemented. In 2020, management will assess whether these internal controls over income taxes are performing as designed. Management concluded that the material weakness existed as of March 31, 2020, pending further testing of the internal controls.
Although we believe this plan will be adequate to address the material weakness, there can be no assurance that the material weakness will be remediated on a timely basis or at all, or that additional material weaknesses will not be identified in the future. If we are unable to remediate the material weakness, our ability to record, process and report financial information accurately, and to prepare financial statements within the time periods specified by the rules and forms of the SEC, could be adversely affected which, in turn, to may adversely affect our reputation and business and the market price of our common stock.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 5
We have a short operating history as a publicly traded company, and our inexperience could materially and adversely affect us.We completed our initial public offering in January 2020 and have a short operating history as a publicly traded company. Our board of directors and management team have overall responsibility for our management. As a publicly traded company, we are required to develop and implement substantial control systems, policies and procedures in order to satisfy our periodic Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, reporting and NYSE listing requirements. We cannot assure you that management's past experience will be sufficient to successfully develop and implement these systems, policies and procedures and to operate our company. Failure to do so could jeopardize our status as a public company, and the loss of such status or the perception or anticipation by investors of a possible loss of such status could materially and adversely affect us.
Debt & Financing21 | 35.0%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
We operate in a competitive market for loan origination and acquisition opportunities and competition may limit our ability to originate and acquire loans, which could adversely affect our ability to execute our business strategy.Debt & Financing - Risk 2
Loans to small businesses involve a high degree of business and financial risk, which can result in substantial losses that would adversely affect our business, results of operation and financial condition.Our operations and activities include, without limitation, loans to small, privately owned businesses. Often, there is little or no publicly available information about these businesses. Accordingly, we must rely on our own due diligence to obtain information in connection with our investment decisions. Our borrowers may not meet net income, cash flow and other coverage tests typically imposed by banks. A borrower's ability to repay its loan may be adversely impacted by numerous factors, including a downturn in its industry or other negative local or more general economic conditions. Deterioration in a borrower's financial condition and prospects may be accompanied by deterioration in the collateral for the loan. In addition, small businesses typically depend on the management talents and efforts of one person or a small group of people for their success. The loss of services of one or more of these persons could have a material and adverse impact on the operations of the small business. Small companies are typically more vulnerable to customer preferences, market conditions and economic downturns and often need additional capital to expand or compete. These factors may have an impact on loans involving such businesses. Loans to small businesses, therefore, involve a high degree of business and financial risk, which can result in substantial losses, and in turn could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
We may be required to maintain certain levels of collateral or provide additional collateral under our warehouse facilities, which may restrict us from leveraging our assets as fully as desired or forcing us to sell assets under adverse market conditions, resulting in potentially lower returns.Changed
We currently finance our originations and investments in investor real estate using warehouse repurchase facilities, which are our short-term full recourse master repurchase agreements secured by certain of our underlying mortgage loans. Under our warehouse repurchase facilities, the amount of available financing on our investor real estate loan portfolio is reduced based on the delinquency performance of the individual loans pledged under these facilities, and if the delinquency in our loan portfolio increases beyond certain levels, we may be required to pledge additional collateral, pay down a portion of the outstanding balance of these warehouse repurchase facilities, or liquidate assets at a disadvantageous time to avoid violating certain financial covenants contained therein and triggering a foreclosure on our collateral, any of which could cause us to incur further losses and have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
In the event we do not have sufficient liquidity to pay down the financing when loan performance deteriorates, lending institutions can accelerate our indebtedness, increase our borrowing rates, liquidate our collateral and terminate our ability to borrow.
Further, our warehouse repurchase facility agreements contain various financial and other restrictive covenants, including covenants that require us to maintain a certain amount of cash that is not invested or to set aside non-levered assets sufficient to maintain a specified liquidity position, which would allow us to satisfy our collateral obligations. As a result, we may not be able to leverage our assets as fully as we would choose, which could reduce our return on equity. In the event that we are unable to meet these collateral obligations, as described above, our financial condition could deteriorate rapidly. In addition, if we fail to satisfy any of the financial or other restrictive covenants, or otherwise default under our warehouse repurchase facilities, the lenders have the right to accelerate repayment and terminate the facilities. Accelerating repayment and terminating the facilities would require immediate repayment by us of the borrowed funds, which may require us to liquidate assets at a disadvantageous time, causing us to incur further losses and have a material and adverse effect on our business, our results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
We are dependent upon the success of the investor real estate market and conditions that negatively impact this market may reduce demand for our loans and adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.Our borrowers are primarily owners of residential rental and small commercial properties. Accordingly, the success of our business is closely tied to the overall success of the investors and small business owners in that market. Various changes in real estate conditions may impact this market. Any negative trends in such real estate conditions may reduce demand for our products and services and, as a result, adversely affect our results of operations. These conditions include:
- oversupply of, or a reduction in demand for, residential rental and small commercial properties;- a change in policy or circumstances that may result in a significant number of potential residents of multifamily properties deciding to purchase homes instead of renting;- zoning, rent control or stabilization laws, or other laws regulating multifamily housing, which could affect the profitability of residential rental developments;- the inability of residents and tenants to pay rent;- changes in the tax code related to investment real estate;- increased operating costs, including increased real property taxes, maintenance, insurance, and utilities costs; and - potential liability under environmental and other laws.
Any or all of these factors could negatively impact the investor real estate market and, as a result, reduce the demand for our loans or the terms on which we are able to make our loans and, as a result materially and adversely affect us.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
Inaccurate or incomplete information received from potential borrowers, guarantors and sellers involved in the sale of pools of loans could have a negative impact on our results of operation.In deciding whether to extend credit or enter into transactions with potential borrowers and their guarantors, we are forced to primarily rely on information furnished to us by or on behalf of these potential borrowers or guarantors, including financial statements. We also must rely on representations of potential borrowers and guarantors as to the accuracy and completeness of that information and we must rely on information and representations provided by sellers involved in the sale of pools of loans that we purchase when we make bulk acquisitions. Our results of operations could be negatively impacted to the extent we rely on financial statements or other information that is misleading, inaccurate or incomplete.
Debt & Financing - Risk 6
Deficiencies in appraisal quality in the mortgage loan origination process may result in increased principal loss severity.During the mortgage loan underwriting process, appraisals are generally obtained on the collateral underlying each prospective mortgage. The quality of these appraisals may vary widely in accuracy and consistency. The appraiser may feel pressure from the broker or lender to provide an appraisal in the amount necessary to enable the originator to make the loan, whether or not the value of the property justifies such an appraised value. Inaccurate or inflated appraisals may result in an increase in the severity of losses on the mortgage loans, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 7
Our underwriting guidelines in the mortgage loan origination process may result in increased delinquencies and defaults.Mortgage originators, including us, generally underwrite mortgage loans in accordance with their pre-determined loan underwriting guidelines, and from time to time and in the ordinary course of business, originators will make exceptions to these guidelines. There can be no assurance that our underwriting guidelines will identify or appropriately assess the risk that the interest and principal payments due on a loan will be repaid when due, or at all, or whether the value of the mortgaged property will be sufficient to otherwise provide for recovery of such amounts. Our underwriting guidelines are more narrow than some other mortgage lenders because we give primary consideration to the adequacy of the property as collateral and source of repayment for the loan rather than focusing on the personal income of the borrower. For example, while we emphasize credit scores in our underwriting process, there is no minimum credit score that a potential borrower must have in order to obtain a loan from us. Although we believe that this asset- driven approach is one of our competitive advantages, it may result in higher delinquency and default rates than those experienced by mortgage lenders with broader underwriting guidelines and/or those who require minimum credit scores or verify the personal income of their borrowers.
On a case by case basis, our underwriters may determine that a prospective borrower that does not strictly qualify under our underwriting guidelines warrants an underwriting exception, based upon compensating factors. Compensating factors may include, but are not limited to, a lower LTV ratio, a higher debt coverage ratio, experience as a real estate owner or investor, higher borrower net worth or liquidity, stable employment, longer length of time in business and length of time owning the property. Loans originated with exceptions may result in a higher number of delinquencies and defaults, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 8
We may not be able to successfully complete additional securitization transactions on attractive terms or at all, which could limit potential future sources of financing and could inhibit the growth of our business.We have financed a large portion of our loan portfolio as securitizations, and we plan to securitize newly originated loans to repay our warehouse repurchase facilities, provide for long-term financing and generate cash for funding new loans. We plan to continue to structure these securitizations so that they are treated as financing transactions, and not as sales, for U.S. GAAP purposes. This involves creating a special-purpose vehicle, contributing a pool of our assets to the entity and selling non-recourse debt securities to purchasers. We retain a portion of the "first loss" subordinated securities issued by our trusts and, as a result, we are the first tranche exposed to principal losses in the event the trust experiences a loss. We use short-term credit facilities to finance the origination or acquisition of investor real estate loans until a sufficient quantity of eligible assets has been accumulated, at which time we would refinance these short-term facilities through a securitization of the eligible assets, such as issuances of commercial mortgage-backed securities or collateralized loan obligations or the private placement of loan participations or other long-term financing. When we employ this strategy, we are subject to the risk that we would not be able to obtain, during the period that our short-term facilities are available, a sufficient amount of eligible assets to maximize the efficiency of a securitization. We are also subject to the risk that we are not able to obtain short-term credit facilities or are not able to renew any short-term credit facilities after they expire should we find it necessary to extend such short-term credit facilities to allow more time to obtain the necessary eligible assets for a long-term financing.
From time to time one or more credit rating agencies may rate our new or existing securitizations. A lower than expected rating by one or more of these agencies or a reduction or withdrawal of a credit rating may adversely impact our ability to complete new securitizations on attractive terms or at all.
The inability to consummate securitizations of our portfolio or secure other financing arrangements on satisfactory terms to finance our loans on a long-term basis could require us to seek other forms of potentially less attractive financing or to liquidate assets at an inopportune time or price, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 9
If one or more of our warehouse repurchase facilities, on which we are dependent, are terminated, we may be unable to find replacement financing on favorable terms on a timely basis, or at all, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.We require a significant amount of short-term funding capacity for loans we originate. Consistent with industry practice, two of our existing warehouse repurchase facilities are short-term, requiring annual renewal. If any of our committed facilities are terminated or are not renewed or our uncommitted facilities are not honored, we may be unable to find replacement financing on favorable terms on a timely basis, or at all, and we might not be able to originate loans, which would have a material adverse effect on us. Additionally, as our business expands, we may need additional warehouse funding capacity for loans we originate. There can be no assurance that, in the future, we will be able to obtain additional warehouse funding capacity on favorable terms, on a timely basis, or at all.
Debt & Financing - Risk 10
If a counterparty to our repurchase transactions defaults on its obligation to resell the underlying asset back to us at the end of the transaction term, or if the value of the underlying asset has declined as of the end of that term, or if we default on our obligations under the repurchase agreement, we will lose money on our repurchase transactions.When we engage in repurchase transactions, we generally sell assets to lenders and receive cash from these lenders. The lenders are obligated to resell the same assets back to us at the end of the term of the transaction. Because the cash we receive from the lender when we initially sell the assets to the lender is less than the value of those assets (this difference is the haircut), if the lender defaults on its obligation to resell the same assets back to us we may incur a loss on the transaction equal to the amount of the haircut (assuming there was no change in the value of the assets). We would also lose money on a repurchase transaction if the value of the underlying assets has declined as of the end of the transaction term, as we would have to repurchase the assets for their initial value but would receive assets worth less than that amount. Further, if we default on one of our obligations under a repurchase transaction, the lender can terminate all of the outstanding repurchase transactions with us and can cease entering into any other repurchase transactions with us. Our repurchase agreements contain cross-default provisions, so that if a default occurs under any one agreement, the lenders under our other agreements could also declare a default. Any losses we incur on our repurchase transactions could have a material and adverse effect on our business, our results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 11
Interest rate fluctuations could negatively impact our net interest income, cash flows and the market value of our investments.Our primary interest rate exposures will relate to the yield on our investments and the financing cost of our debt, as well as interest rate swaps we may utilize for hedging purposes. Changes in interest rates will affect our net interest income, which is the difference between the interest income we earn on our interest- earning investments and the interest expense we incur in financing these investments. Changes in the level of interest rates also may affect our ability to invest in assets, the value of our investments and our ability to realize gains from the disposition of assets. Changes in interest rates may also affect borrower default rates if a significant percentage of borrowers have mortgages that reset to a substantially higher interest rate and are unable to make their new monthly payments as obligated under the terms of the mortgage loan.
While the interest rates used to calculate interest expense on our financing lines are subject to floors to the extent that our financing costs will be determined by reference to floating rates (such as LIBOR or a Treasury index) plus a margin, the amount of such margin will depend on a variety of factors, including, without limitation, (1) for collateralized debt, the value and liquidity of the collateral, and for non-collateralized debt, our credit, (2) the level and movement of interest rates and (3) general market conditions and liquidity. In a period of rising interest rates, our interest expense on floating rate debt would increase, and it is possible that any additional interest income we earn on our floating rate investments may not compensate for such increase in interest expense. Furthermore, during a period of rising interest rates, the interest income we earn on our fixed rate investments would not change, the duration and weighted average life of our fixed rate investments would increase and the market value of our fixed rate investments would decrease. Similarly, in a period of declining interest rates, the interest income generated on floating rate investments would decrease, while any decrease in the interest we are charged on our floating rate debt may not compensate for such decrease in interest income and interest we are charged on our fixed rate debt would not change. Any such scenario could materially and adversely affect or business, results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 12
Interest rate mismatches between our loans and our borrowings used to fund our portfolio may reduce our income during periods of changing interest rates.We fund some of our loan portfolio with borrowings that have interest rates based on indices and repricing terms similar to, but of shorter maturities than, the interest rate indices and repricing terms of our loans. Accordingly, if short-term interest rates increase, this may adversely affect our profitability.
The majority of our loan portfolio is comprised of adjustable rate mortgages, or ARMs. The interest rate indices and re-pricing terms of the loans and their funding sources will not be identical, thereby creating an interest rate mismatch between our assets and liabilities. There have been periods when the spread between these indices was volatile. During periods of changing interest rates, these mismatches could reduce our net income and the market price of our common stock.
Debt & Financing - Risk 13
Interest rate caps on our ARMs may reduce our income or cause us to suffer a loss during periods of rising interest rates.Our ARMs are subject to periodic and lifetime interest rate caps. Periodic interest rate caps limit the amount an interest rate can increase during any given period. Lifetime interest rate caps limit the amount an interest rate can increase through maturity of a loan. Our borrowings, including our warehouse repurchase facilities and securitizations, are not subject to similar restrictions. Accordingly, in a period of rapidly increasing interest rates, the interest rates paid on our borrowings could increase without limitation while interest rate caps would limit the interest rates on our ARMs. This problem is magnified for our ARMs that are not fully indexed. As a result, we could receive less cash income on ARMs than we need to pay interest on our related borrowings. These factors could lower our net interest income or cause us to suffer a loss during periods of rising interest rates.
Debt & Financing - Risk 14
Our existing and future financing arrangements and any debt securities we may issue could restrict our operations and expose us to additional risk.Our existing and future financing arrangements (including term loan facilities, revolving credit facilities, warehouse repurchase facilities and securitizations) and any debt securities we may issue in the future are or will be governed by a credit agreement, indenture or other instrument containing covenants restricting our operating flexibility. Additionally, any convertible or exchangeable securities that we issue in the future may have rights, preferences and privileges more favorable than those of our common stock. We will bear the cost of issuing and servicing such credit facilities, arrangements or securities.
Under our warehouse repurchase facilities, the lenders have specific rights, including but not limited to, the right to review assets for which we are seeking financing, the right to hold a perfected security interest in certain of our assets, the right to accelerate payments due under the warehouse repurchase facilities, the right to restrict dividend payments made to us by certain of our wholly owned subsidiaries and the right to approve the sale of assets. We are a holding company that conducts all of our operations through wholly owned subsidiaries. Although our warehouse repurchase facilities do not limit our rights to pay dividends directly to stockholders, restrictions on our subsidiaries paying dividends to us limits our ability to receive cash from such wholly owned subsidiaries. These restrictive covenants and operating restrictions could have a material adverse effect on our business and operating results, restrict our ability to finance or securitize new originations and acquisitions, force us to liquidate collateral.
Debt & Financing - Risk 15
Insurance on collateral underlying mortgage loans and real estate securities may not cover all losses.There are certain types of losses, generally of a catastrophic nature, such as earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, terrorism or acts of war, that may be uninsurable or not economically insurable. Inflation, changes in building codes and ordinances, environmental considerations and other factors, including terrorism or acts of war, also might make the insurance proceeds insufficient to repair or replace a property if it is damaged or destroyed. Under these circumstances, the insurance proceeds received might not be adequate to restore our economic position with respect to the affected real property. Uninsured losses may also reduce the value of the underlying property. Any uninsured or underinsured loss could result in the loss of cash flow from, and the asset value of, the affected property.
Debt & Financing - Risk 16
Some of the mortgage loans we originate or acquire are loans made to self-employed borrowers who may have a higher risk of delinquency and default, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.Many of our borrowers are self-employed. The unpaid principal balance, or UPB, of loans to self-employed borrowers represented 72.3% of our total loan portfolio, or $1.5 billion, as of March 31, 2020. Self-employed borrowers may be more likely to default on their mortgage loans than salaried borrowers and generally have less predictable income. In addition, many self-employed borrowers are small business owners who may be personally liable for their business debt. Borrowers who are self-employed or small business owners may be particularly vulnerable to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and its related business conditions, increasing the risk of defaults on our loans to these borrowers. Consequently, a higher number of self-employed borrowers may result in increased defaults on the mortgage loans we originate or acquire and, therefore, could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Debt & Financing - Risk 17
A significant portion of our loan portfolio is in the form of investor real estate loans which are subject to increased risks.Investor real estate loans are directly exposed to losses resulting from default and foreclosure. Therefore, the value of the underlying property, the creditworthiness and financial position of the borrower and the priority and enforceability of the lien will significantly impact the value of such mortgages. Whether or not we have participated in the negotiation of the terms of any such mortgages, there can be no assurance as to the adequacy of the protection of the terms of the loan, including the validity or enforceability of the loan and the maintenance of the anticipated priority and perfection of the applicable security interests. Furthermore, claims may be asserted that might interfere with enforcement of our rights. In the event of a foreclosure, we may assume direct ownership of the underlying real estate. The liquidation proceeds upon sale of such real estate may not be sufficient to recover our cost basis in the loan, resulting in a loss to us. Any costs or delays involved in the completion of a foreclosure of the loan or a liquidation of the underlying property will further reduce the proceeds and thus increase the loss.
A portion of our loan portfolio currently is, and in the future may be, delinquent and subject to increased risks of credit loss for a variety of reasons, including, without limitation, because the underlying property is too highly-leveraged or the borrower falls upon financial distress. Whatever the reason, the borrower may be unable to meet its contractual debt service obligation to us. Delinquent loans may require a substantial amount of workout negotiations or restructuring, which may divert our attention from other activities and entail, among other things, a substantial reduction in the interest rate or capitalization of past due interest. However, even if restructurings are successfully accomplished, risks still exist that borrowers will not be able or willing to maintain the restructured payments or refinance the restructured mortgage upon maturity.
Investor real estate loans, including performing and delinquent, are also subject to "special hazard" risk (property damage caused by hazards, such as earthquakes or environmental hazards, not covered by standard property insurance policies) and to bankruptcy risk (reduction in a borrower's mortgage debt by a bankruptcy court). In addition, claims may be assessed against us on account of our position as mortgage holder or property owner, including responsibility for tax payments, environmental hazards and other liabilities.
Debt & Financing - Risk 18
Loans on properties in transition will involve a greater risk of loss than traditional investment-grade mortgage loans with fully insured borrowers.While our primary focus is long-term maturity investor real estate loans, in March 2017, we began originating short-term, interest-only loans to be used for acquiring, repositioning or improving the quality of 1-4 unit residential investment properties. This product typically serves as an interim solution for borrowers and/or properties that do not meet the investment criteria of our primary 30-year product. The typical borrower of these rehab and resell loans has usually identified an undervalued asset that has been under-managed or is located in a recovering market. If the market in which the asset is located fails to improve according to the borrower's projections, or if the borrower fails to improve the quality of the asset's management or the value of the asset, the borrower may not receive a sufficient return on the asset to satisfy the transitional loan, and we bear the risk that we may not recover some or all of our investment.
In addition, borrowers usually use the proceeds of a conventional mortgage to repay a rehab and resell loan. Rehab and resell loans therefore are subject to risks of a borrower's inability to obtain permanent financing to repay the loan. Rehab and resell loans are also subject to risks of borrower defaults, bankruptcies, fraud, losses and special hazard losses that are not covered by standard hazard insurance. In the event of any default under rehab and resell loans that may be held by us, we bear the risk of loss of principal and non-payment of interest and fees to the extent of any deficiency between the value of the mortgage collateral and the principal amount and unpaid interest of the transitional loan. To the extent we suffer such losses with respect to these loans, our business, results of operations and financial condition may be materially adversely affected.
Debt & Financing - Risk 19
The investor real estate loans we originate or acquire are dependent on the ability of the property owner to generate net income from operating the property, which may result in the inability of such property owner to repay a loan, as well as the risk of foreclosure.The ability of a borrower to repay a loan secured by an income-producing property typically is dependent primarily upon the successful operation of such property rather than upon the existence of independent income or assets of the borrower. If the net operating income of the property is reduced, the borrower's ability to repay the loan may be impaired. Net operating income of an income-producing property can be adversely affected by, among other things:
- tenant mix;- success of tenant businesses;- property management decisions;- property location, condition and design;- competition from comparable types of properties;- changes in national, regional or local economic conditions or specific industry segments;- declines in regional or local real estate values;- declines in regional or local rental or occupancy rates;- increases in interest rates, real estate tax rates and other operating expenses;- costs of remediation and liabilities associated with environmental conditions;- the potential for uninsured or underinsured property losses;- changes in governmental laws and regulations, including fiscal policies, zoning ordinances and environmental legislation and the related costs of compliance; and - acts of God, significant public health events (including epidemics), terrorism, social unrest and civil disturbances.
In the event of any default under a mortgage loan held directly by us, we will bear a risk of loss of interest and principal to the extent of any deficiency between the value of the collateral and the principal and accrued interest of the mortgage loan, which could have a material adverse effect on our cash flow from operations and limit amounts available for distribution to our stockholders. In the event of the bankruptcy of a mortgage loan borrower, the mortgage loan to such borrower will be deemed to be secured only to the extent of the value of the underlying collateral at the time of bankruptcy (as determined by the bankruptcy court), and the lien securing the mortgage loan will be subject to the avoidance powers of the bankruptcy trustee or debtor-in-possession to the extent the lien is unenforceable under state law.
Foreclosure can be an expensive and lengthy process and foreclosing on certain properties where we directly hold the mortgage loan and the borrower's default under the mortgage loan is continuing could result in actions that could be costly to our operations, in addition to having a substantial negative effect on our anticipated return on the foreclosed mortgage loan.
Debt & Financing - Risk 20
Uncertainty about the future of LIBOR could negatively impact our cost of funds, net interest income, cash flows and financial performance.Borrowings under our 2019 Term Loan, revolving credit facility and warehouse repurchase facilities bear interest at rates that are calculated based on LIBOR. On July 27, 2017, the Chief Executive of the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority, which regulates LIBOR, announced that it intends to stop persuading or compelling banks to submit rates for the calibration of LIBOR to the administrator of LIBOR after 2021. The announcement indicates that the continuation of LIBOR in its current form cannot be assured after 2021. It is impossible to predict whether and to what extent banks will continue to provide LIBOR submissions to the administrator of LIBOR, if the administrator will continue to quote LIBOR after 2021 or, if it does continue to quote LIBOR, whether it will be determined on a consistent basis with the existing definition and will behave in a consistent manner to existing LIBOR, or whether any additional reforms to LIBOR may be enacted in the United Kingdom or elsewhere. Although alternative reference rates have been proposed, it is unknown whether these alternative reference rates will attain market acceptance as replacements of LIBOR.
If LIBOR ceases to exist, the method and rate used to calculate our interest rates and/or payments on our 2019 Term Loan, revolving credit facility and warehouse repurchase facilities in the future may result in interest rates and/or payments that are higher than, lower than, or that do not otherwise correlate over time with the interest rates and/or payments that would have been made on our obligations if LIBOR was available in its current form. Furthermore, although the variable interest component of our existing loan portfolio is based on the prime rate rather than LIBOR, uncertainty in the lending markets related to the future of LIBOR could increase the prime rate, which may increase borrower defaults and increase our credit losses. In addition, while our existing securitizations are largely fixed-rate debt, uncertainty in the lending markets related to the future of LIBOR could increase the general level of interest rates and risk spreads on our future securitizations. There is currently no definitive information regarding the future utilization of LIBOR or of any particular replacement rate. As such, the potential effect of any such event on our cost of capital, financial results, cash flows and financial performance cannot yet be determined.
Debt & Financing - Risk 21
We may be required to repurchase or substitute mortgage loans or indemnify investors if we breach representations and warranties, which could harm our business, cash flow, results of operations and financial condition.We have sold and, on occasion, we may sell some of our loans in the secondary market or as a part of a securitization of a portfolio of our loans. When we sell loans, we are required to make customary representations and warranties about such loans to the loan purchaser. Our mortgage loan sale agreements may require us to repurchase or substitute loans or indemnify investors in the event we breach a representation or warranty given to the loan purchaser. In addition, we may be required to repurchase loans as a result of borrower fraud or in the event of early payment default on a mortgage loan. Likewise, we may be required to repurchase or substitute loans or indemnify investors if we breach a representation or warranty in connection with our securitizations, if any.
The remedies available to a purchaser of mortgage loans are generally broader than those available to us against the originating broker or correspondent. Further, if a purchaser enforces its remedies against us, we may not be able to enforce the remedies we have against the sellers. The repurchased loans typically can only be financed at a steep discount to their repurchase price, if at all. They are also typically sold at a significant discount to the UPB. Significant repurchase activity could harm our business, cash flow, results of operations and financial condition.
Corporate Activity and Growth3 | 5.0%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
We may change our strategy or underwriting guidelines without notice or stockholder consent, which may result in changes to our risk profile and net income.Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Our inability to manage future growth effectively could have an adverse impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition.Our ability to grow will depend on our management's ability to originate and/or acquire investor real estate loans. In order to do this, we will need to identify, hire, train, supervise and manage new employees. Any failure to effectively manage our future growth, including a failure to successfully expand our loan origination activities could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
We use leverage in executing our business strategy, which may adversely affect the return on our assets, as well as increase losses when economic conditions are unfavorable.We leverage certain of our assets through borrowings under warehouse repurchase facilities and securitization transactions, as well as any corporate borrowings we may incur from time to time. Our use of leverage may enhance our potential returns and increase the number of loans that can be made, but may also substantially increase the risk of loss. There are no limits on the amount of leverage we may incur in our certificate of incorporation or bylaws. Our percentage of leverage will vary depending on our ability to obtain financing. Our two warehouse repurchase facilities and the corporate debt agreement governing our 2019 Term Loan include certain financial covenants that limit our ability to leverage our assets. Our two warehouse repurchase facilities include covenants to maintain a maximum debt-to-tangible net-worth ratio of 6:1, while our corporate debt agreement includes covenants to maintain a consolidated tangible net worth of at least $100 million plus 25% of consolidated net income (as defined in our corporate debt agreement), a maximum debt to equity ratio of 1.50:1 or 1.25:1 (depending on the applicable term period and excluding warehouse and securitization debt), and an interest coverage ratio of 1.50:1 or 1.75:1 (depending on the applicable period and excluding warehouse and securitization debt). Our return on equity may be reduced if market conditions cause the cost of our financing to increase relative to the income that can be derived from our loan portfolio, which could adversely affect the price of our common stock. In addition, our debt service payments will reduce cash flow available for distributions to stockholders. We may not be able to meet our debt service obligations. To the extent that we cannot meet our debt service obligations, we risk the loss of some or all of our assets to foreclosure or sale to satisfy our debt obligations.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 8/60 (13%)Below Sector Average
Regulation4 | 6.7%
Regulation - Risk 1
The increasing number of proposed United States federal, state and local laws may affect certain mortgage-related assets in which we intend to invest and could materially increase our cost of doing business.Regulation - Risk 2
The securitization process is subject to an evolving regulatory environment that may affect certain aspects of our current business.As a result of the dislocation of the credit markets during the previous recession, and in anticipation of more extensive regulation, including regulations promulgated pursuant to the Dodd-Frank Act, the securitization industry has crafted and continues to craft changes to securitization practices, including changes to representations and warranties in securitization transaction documents, new underwriting guidelines and disclosure guidelines. Various U.S. federal agencies, including the SEC, as well as the European Union have promulgated regulations with respect to issues that affect securitizations.
On October 21, 2014, the final rules implementing the credit risk retention requirements of Section 941 of the Dodd–Frank Act, or the U.S. Risk Retention Rules, were issued and have since become effective with respect to all asset classes. The risk retention rules generally require the sponsor of a securitization to retain not less than 5% of the credit risk of the assets collateralizing the issuer's mortgage- backed securities. When applicable, the risk retention rules generally require the "securitizer" of a "securitization transaction" to retain at least 5% of the "credit risk" of "securitized assets," as such terms are defined for purposes of that statute, and generally prohibit a securitizer from directly or indirectly eliminating or reducing its credit exposure by hedging or otherwise transferring the credit risk that the securitizer is required to retain. Our securitizations are subject to the U.S. Risk Retention Rules and, as a result, we have retained at least 5% of the credit risk for all of our securitizations since the U.S. Risk Retention Rules went into effect. The European Union has also adopted certain risk retention and due diligence requirements in respect of various types of European Union-regulated investors that, among other things, restrict investors from taking positions in securitizations. To the extent our securitizations are marketed in Europe, we would become subject to these additional regulations, which may increase our risk retention requirements and increase the complexity and costs of new securitizations.
The current regulatory environment may be impacted by future legislative developments, such as amendments to key provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act, including provisions setting forth capital and risk retention requirements. On February 3, 2017, President Trump signed an executive order calling for the administration to review U.S. financial laws and regulations in order to determine their consistency with a set of core principles identified in the order. The full scope of President Trump's short-term legislative agenda is not yet fully known, but it may include certain deregulatory measures for the U.S. financial services industry, including changes to the Financial Stability Oversight Board, the Volcker Rule and credit risk retention requirements, among other areas. These legislative developments or those in the European Union, and other proposed regulations affecting securitization, could alter the structure of securitizations in the future, pose additional risks to our participation in future securitizations or reduce or eliminate the economic incentives for participating in future securitizations, increase the costs associated with our origination, securitization or acquisition activities, or otherwise increase the risks or costs of our doing business.
Regulation - Risk 3
We are subject to state licensing and operational requirements in certain states that may result in substantial compliance costs.Although we do not engage in the highly regulated residential mortgage lending practice, we may be subject to licensing and operational requirements in certain states in which we do business. There can be no assurance that will be able to obtain any or all of the approvals and licenses that we desire or that we will avoid experiencing significant delays in seeking such approvals and licenses. In addition, in those states in which we are licensed, we are subject to periodic examinations by state regulators, which can result in refunds to borrowers of certain fees earned by us, and we may be required to pay substantial penalties imposed by state regulators due to compliance errors. Future regulatory changes may increase our costs and obligations by expanding the types of lending to which such laws apply or through stricter licensing laws, disclosure laws or increased fees, or may impose conditions to licensing that we are unable to meet. Future state legislation and changes in existing regulation may significantly increase our compliance costs or reduce the amount of ancillary fees, including late fees, that we may charge to borrowers. This could make our business cost-prohibitive in the affected state or states and could materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Any failure to obtain or maintain required licenses will restrict our options and ability to engage in desired activities, and could subject us to fines, suspensions, terminations and various other adverse actions if it is determined that we have engaged without the requisite approvals or licenses in activities that required an approval or license, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operation and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 4
Maintenance of our Investment Company Act exclusion imposes limits on our operations, which may adversely affect our operations.We currently conduct, and intend to continue to conduct, our operations so that neither we nor any of our subsidiaries are required to register as an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, or the 1940 Act.
We believe we are not an investment company under Section 3(a)(1) of the 1940 Act because we will not engage primarily, or hold ourselves out as being engaged primarily, in the business of investing, reinvesting or trading in securities, nor will we own investment securities with a combined value in excess of 40% of the value of our total assets (exclusive of U.S. Government securities and cash items) on an unconsolidated basis. Rather, we, through our wholly owned subsidiaries, are primarily engaged in the business of originating and managing investor real estate loans.
We hold our assets primarily through direct or indirect wholly owned subsidiaries, certain of which are excluded from the definition of investment company pursuant to Section 3(c)(5)(C) and/or Section 3(c)(6) of the 1940 Act. To qualify for the exclusion pursuant to Section 3(c)(5)(C), based on positions set forth by the staff of the SEC, each such subsidiary generally is required to hold at least (i) 55% of its assets in "qualifying" real estate assets and (ii) at least 80% of its assets in "qualifying" real estate assets and "real estate-related" assets. "Qualifying" real estate assets for this purpose include mortgage loans that satisfy conditions set forth in SEC staff no-action letters and other guidance, and other assets that the SEC staff has determined are the functional equivalent of whole mortgage loans for the purposes of the 1940 Act. Section 3(c)(6) of the 1940 Act excludes, among other categories of issuers, issuers that are primarily engaged in a Section 3(c)(5)(C) business activity directly or through majority-owned subsidiaries. The SEC staff has stated in a no-action letter that an issuer that acquires whole mortgage loans that are eventually transferred into a securitization trust which it sponsors for the purpose of obtaining financing to acquire additional whole mortgage loans, may treat as qualifying real estate assets for purposes of Section 3(c)(5)(C) any securities issued by that trust that it retains because such securities are acquired as a direct result of the issuer being engaged in the business of purchasing or otherwise acquiring whole mortgage loans. As the factual basis of this no-action position aligns with our business model, we accordingly the treat mortgage backed securities issued by our securitization trusts that we have retained as qualifying real estate assets.
As a consequence of our seeking to avoid the need to register under the 1940 Act on an ongoing basis, we and/or our subsidiaries may be restricted from holding certain securities or may structure securitizations in a manner that would be less advantageous to us than would be the case in the absence of such requirements. For example, the restrictions of Section 3(c)(5)(C) may limit our and our subsidiaries' ability to retain certain mortgage-backed securities issued by our securitization trusts. Thus, avoiding registration under the 1940 Act may hinder our ability to finance our operations using securitizations and execute our growth strategy.
There can be no assurance that we and our subsidiaries will be able to successfully maintain the exceptions to the 1940 Act we currently rely on. If it were established that we or any of our subsidiaries were operating as an unregistered investment company, there would be a risk that we would be subject to monetary penalties and injunctive relief in an action or actions brought by the SEC, that we would be unable to enforce contracts with third parties, that third parties could seek to obtain rescission of transactions undertaken during the period it was established that we were an unregistered investment company, and that we would be subject to limitations on corporate leverage that would have an adverse impact on our investment returns.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 1.7%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We may be subject to lender liability claims, and if we are held liable under such claims, we could be subject to losses.Environmental / Social3 | 5.0%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
We may be exposed to environmental liabilities with respect to properties to which we take title, which may in turn decrease the value of the underlying properties.Environmental / Social - Risk 2
If we fail to comply with laws, regulations and market standards regarding the privacy, use, and security of customer information, or if we are the target of a successful cyber-attack, we may be subject to legal and regulatory actions and our reputation would be harmed.We receive, maintain, and store non-public personal information of our loan applicants. The technology and other controls and processes designed to secure our customer information and to prevent, detect, and remedy any unauthorized access to that information were designed to obtain reasonable, not absolute, assurance that such information is secure and that any unauthorized access is identified and addressed appropriately. We are not aware of any data breaches, successful hacker attacks, unauthorized access and misuse, or significant computer viruses affecting our networks that may have occurred in the past; however, our controls may not have detected, and may in the future fail to prevent or detect, unauthorized access to our borrower information. In addition, we are exposed to the risks of denial-of-service, or DOS, attacks and damage to or destruction of our network or other information systems. A successful DOS attack or damage to our systems could result in a delay in the processing of our business, or even lost business. Additionally, we could incur significant costs associated with the recovery from a DOS attack or damage to our systems.
If borrower information is inappropriately accessed and used by a third-party or an employee for illegal purposes, such as identity theft, we may be responsible to the affected applicant or borrower for any losses he or she may have incurred as a result of misappropriation. In such an instance, we may also be liable to a governmental authority for fines or penalties associated with a lapse in the integrity and security of our customers' information. Additionally, if we are the target of a successful cyber-attack, we may experience reputational harm that could impact our standing with our borrowers and adversely impact our financial results.
Environmental / Social - Risk 3
We may be subject to liability for potential violations of predatory lending laws, which could adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.Although we have certain controls and procedures in place in order to confirm that all loans we make or acquire are undertaken for business purposes, from time to time we may inadvertently originate or acquire a loan subject to the various U.S. federal, state and local laws that have been enacted to discourage predatory lending practices. The Federal Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act of 1994, or the HOEPA, prohibits inclusion of certain provisions in residential mortgage loans that have mortgage rates or origination costs in excess of prescribed levels and requires that borrowers be given certain disclosures prior to origination. Some states have enacted, or may enact, similar laws or regulations, which in some cases impose restrictions and requirements greater than those in the HOEPA.
Production
Total Risks: 7/60 (12%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 1.7%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
We may use derivative instruments, which could subject us to increased risk of loss.Employment / Personnel2 | 3.3%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
We are dependent on certain of our key personnel for our future success, and their continued service to us is not guaranteed.Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Our growth strategy relies upon our ability to hire and retain qualified account executives, and if we are unable to do so, our growth could be limited.We depend on our qualified account executives to generate broker relationships which leads to repeat and referral business. Accordingly, we must be able to attract, motivate and retain qualified account executives. The market for qualified account executives is highly competitive and may lead to increased costs to hire and retain them. We cannot guarantee that we will be able to attract or retain qualified account executives. If we cannot attract, motivate or retain a sufficient number of qualified account executives, or if our hiring and retention costs increase our business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.
Supply Chain1 | 1.7%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
The failure of a third-party servicer or the failure of our own internal servicing system to effectively service our portfolio of mortgage loans may adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.Costs3 | 5.0%
Costs - Risk 1
Any costs or delays involved in the completion of a foreclosure or liquidation of the underlying property may further reduce proceeds from the property and may increase the loss.Costs - Risk 2
Our portfolio of assets may at times be concentrated in certain property types or secured by properties concentrated in a limited number of geographic areas, which increases our exposure to economic downturn and natural disasters with respect to those property types or geographic locations.We are not required to observe specific diversification criteria, except as may be set forth in the underwriting guidelines adopted by our board of directors. Therefore, our portfolio of assets may, at times, be concentrated in certain property types that are subject to higher risk of foreclosure or secured by properties concentrated in a limited number of geographic locations.
Our loan portfolio changes over time, however, as of March 31, 2020, our loans were primarily concentrated in New York, California, Florida and New Jersey. Deterioration of economic conditions or natural disasters in these or in any other state in which we have a significant concentration of borrowers could have a material and adverse effect on our business by reducing demand for new financings, limiting the ability of customers to repay existing loans and impairing the value of our real estate collateral and real estate owned properties.
To the extent that our portfolio is concentrated in any region, or by type of property, downturns relating generally to such region, type of borrower or security, or the occurrence of natural disasters in those regions, may result in defaults on a number of our assets within a short time period, which may reduce our net income and the value of our common stock and accordingly reduce our ability to pay dividends to our stockholders.
Costs - Risk 3
We have incurred increased costs as a result of being a public company.As a result of having publicly traded common stock, we are also required to comply with, and incur costs associated with such compliance with, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, as well as rules and regulations implemented by the SEC and the NYSE. The expenses incurred by public companies generally for reporting and corporate governance purposes have been increasing. These rules and regulations have increased our legal and financial compliance costs and made some activities more time-consuming and costly. Our management will need to devote a substantial amount of time to ensure that we comply with all of these requirements, diverting the attention of management away from revenue-producing activities. These laws and regulations also could make it more difficult or costly for us to obtain certain types of insurance, including director and officer liability insurance, and we may be forced to accept reduced policy limits and coverage or incur substantially higher costs to obtain the same or similar coverage. These laws and regulations could also make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified persons to serve on our board of directors, our board committees or as our executive officers. Furthermore, if we are unable to satisfy our obligations as a public company, we could be subject to delisting of our common stock, fines, sanctions and other regulatory action and potentially civil litigation.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 3/60 (5%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D1 | 1.7%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
If we fail to develop, enhance and implement strategies to adapt to changing conditions in the real estate and capital markets, our business, results of operations and financial condition may be materially and adversely affected.Cyber Security1 | 1.7%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Operational risks, including the risk of cyberattacks, could disrupt our business and materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.Technology1 | 1.7%
Technology - Risk 1
Any disruption in the availability or functionality of our technology infrastructure and systems could have a material adverse effect on our business.Macro & Political
Total Risks: 2/60 (3%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 1.7%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Difficult conditions in the real estate markets, the financial markets and the economy generally may adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.Natural and Human Disruptions1 | 1.7%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
The outbreak of the recent coronavirus, COVID-19, or an outbreak of another highly infectious or contagious disease, could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flow, and limit our ability to obtain additional financing.See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
- Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
- Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
- Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
- Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
- Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
- Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
- Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
- Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
- Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
- Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
- Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
- Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
- Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
- Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
- Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
- Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
- Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
- Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
- Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
- Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
- Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
- International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
- Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.