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Stantec Inc (TSE:STN)
TSX:STN

Stantec (STN) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Stantec

(TSX:STN)

78Outperform
Stantec exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and cash flow management. Technical indicators support a positive outlook, though high valuation may limit immediate upside potential. The company benefits from strong earnings guidance and positive corporate events, reinforcing its strategic market positioning.
Positive Factors
Demand Trends
STN remains well-positioned to capitalize on secular demand trends including infrastructure development, energy transition, climate change, and reshoring.
Financial Performance
STN had a strong finish and the momentum is expected to carry over, trending towards meeting or exceeding many of its targets, including Adjusted EBITDA margin and Adjusted EPS growth.
Order Intake
Order intake has been strong with backlogs in Canada and the US at record levels, providing very good visibility into activity levels.
Negative Factors
Wage Inflation
Demand across STN's regions and business units remains strong, with pricing more than offsetting wage inflation and several levers to drive margin expansion.

Stantec (STN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Stantec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStantec Inc. provides engineering, architecture, and environmental consulting services in the areas of infrastructure and facilities in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company provides consulting services in engineering, architecture, interior design, landscape architecture, surveying, environmental sciences, project management, and project economics. It also offers structural, mechanical, electrical, plumbing, and hydraulics engineering services; transportation advisory, planning and analytics, transport engineering, and technical design; paleontological and archaeological services for the rail, transportation, water, and power and energy sectors; environmental and infrastructure services; and environmental and cultural resource compliance services. The company was formerly known as Stanley Technology Group Inc. and changed its name to Stantec Inc. in October 1998. Stantec Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyStantec makes money primarily through fee-based contracts for its professional consulting services. The company's revenue streams are derived from providing design and consulting services across multiple sectors such as infrastructure, water, buildings, energy, and environmental services. Stantec typically enters into contracts with private and public sector clients, charging fees for their expertise in planning, designing, and managing projects. Revenue is generated based on the scope and scale of contracts, which may be fixed-price or time-and-materials based. Additionally, Stantec's earnings are enhanced by strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its service offerings and geographic reach, allowing it to capitalize on growth opportunities in various global markets.

Stantec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stantec shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth of 15.7% and improved profit margins. The absence of EBIT in 2024 and rising debt levels are concerns, but the company's robust cash flow management ensures liquidity and financial stability.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Stantec has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 15.7% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved from 38% in 2023 to 42.6% in 2024, indicating effective cost management. However, there was no EBIT recorded in 2024, which is a concern and affects profitability analysis. The net profit margin remained stable at approximately 4.8% in 2024, showcasing decent profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.69 in 2024, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) improved to 12.3% in 2024 from 12% in 2023, highlighting an effective use of equity to generate profits. With an equity ratio of 42.3%, Stantec maintains a solid capital structure, but the increasing debt levels require attention.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Stantec's free cash flow grew by 13.5% in 2024, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.67 in 2024 indicates effective cash management. The substantial free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.39 further demonstrates the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, enhancing financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.50B6.48B5.68B4.58B4.73B
Gross Profit
3.20B2.46B2.42B1.96B1.93B
EBIT
0.00530.10M383.60M325.70M344.50M
EBITDA
901.70M801.00M677.50M523.40M491.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
361.50M331.20M247.00M200.70M171.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
254.70M352.90M148.30M193.90M285.00M
Total Assets
6.96B6.08B5.65B5.23B4.39B
Total Debt
2.04B1.73B1.92B1.92B1.32B
Net Debt
1.81B1.38B1.77B1.73B1.03B
Total Liabilities
4.01B3.32B3.37B3.22B2.46B
Stockholders Equity
2.95B2.76B2.29B2.00B1.93B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
504.10M444.10M229.40M346.40M569.60M
Operating Cash Flow
603.10M544.70M304.30M397.00M603.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-605.00M-201.70M-73.80M-764.80M-102.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-152.10M-134.00M-296.70M276.50M-412.60M

Stantec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price114.22
Price Trends
50DMA
115.70
Negative
100DMA
115.66
Negative
200DMA
114.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.94
Positive
RSI
54.77
Neutral
STOCH
49.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:STN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 114.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.60, below the 50-day MA of 115.70, and above the 200-day MA of 114.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:STN.

Stantec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSSTN
78
Outperform
$13.03B36.0412.88%0.77%15.75%7.64%
TSWSP
75
Outperform
C$29.96B42.499.33%0.65%11.98%22.53%
62
Neutral
$7.25B12.393.08%3.39%3.63%-14.32%
TSARE
51
Neutral
C$1.05B-5.87%4.56%-8.64%-136.62%
TSGRA
48
Neutral
C$404.34M-10.44%12.92%-3.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:STN
Stantec
113.75
3.73
3.39%
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
1.10
-2.04
-64.97%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
16.67
0.28
1.71%
TSE:BQE
BQE Water
49.00
6.00
13.95%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
226.75
15.74
7.46%
TSE:GRA
NanoXplore Inc
2.40
-0.05
-2.04%

Stantec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: 4.98% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Stantec reported a record year in terms of revenue and growth, with strong performance across multiple business units and geographies. The company achieved significant increases in EBITDA and EPS, along with a record backlog, indicating robust demand for its services. Despite a flat organic backlog growth in the Global segment, largely due to timing issues, the overall outlook remains positive with strong guidance for 2025.
Highlights
Record Net Revenue and Growth
Stantec delivered record net revenues of CAD5.9 billion for 2024, up 15.8% compared to 2023, driven by 7.4% organic growth and 7.5% acquisition growth.
Strong EBITDA and EPS Performance
Adjusted EBITDA grew to CAD980 million, up 18%, with an increased margin of 16.7%. Adjusted EPS also increased by over 20% to CAD4.42 compared to 2023.
Significant Backlog Increase
Stantec's backlog reached a record CAD7.8 billion, representing a 24.1% increase from December 2023, driven by 9.7% acquisition and 8.5% organic growth.
Notable Global Business Growth
Global business net revenue grew by 32.6% in Q4, with 7.3% organic growth and 21.8% acquisition growth, driven by significant projects in the U.K. and Dubai.
Water and Buildings Business Strength
Both Water and Buildings businesses experienced double-digit organic growth, driven by robust public sector demand and significant project wins in healthcare and water security.
Dividend Increase
The Board approved a 7.1% increase to the dividend, now at CAD0.90 per share on an annualized basis, reflecting the company's strong earnings growth.
Lowlights
Flat Organic Backlog Growth in Global
While the overall Global business showed strong revenue growth, the organic backlog growth in Global was relatively flat, primarily due to timing issues and high project burn rates in New Zealand.
Company Guidance
During the call discussing Stantec's Q4 and full-year 2024 results, guidance for 2025 was outlined, indicating expectations of robust growth across various metrics. The company expects net revenue growth of 7% to 10%, fueled by strong organic and acquisition growth, with adjusted EBITDA margins projected to be between 16.7% and 17.3%. Stantec forecasts adjusted EPS growth in the range of 16% to 19%, driven by continued operational excellence and solid project execution. Additionally, the backlog reached a record CAD7.8 billion, representing a 24.1% increase from the previous year, which underscores strong demand across its geographies, particularly in the U.S., Canada, and Global sectors. The company is optimistic about continued momentum in water security, infrastructure, and energy sectors, with additional opportunities anticipated from macroeconomic factors and policy shifts.

Stantec Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Stantec to Design €3.2 Billion Semiconductor Facility in Italy
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Stantec, alongside its partner Drees & Sommer, has been selected to provide design services for Silicon Box’s €3.2 billion semiconductor assembly and test facility in Northern Italy. This facility, which is Silicon Box’s first manufacturing expansion outside Singapore, is expected to create approximately 1,600 jobs and serve as a catalyst for advanced manufacturing investments in Italy, supporting initiatives in artificial intelligence, mobile technologies, and more. Stantec’s involvement underscores its commitment to sustainable development and aligns with the European Commission’s standards, while also reinforcing Silicon Box’s strategy to expand its semiconductor industry presence in Europe.

Business Operations and Strategy
Stantec Achieves Top Sustainability Ranking at World Economic Forum
Positive
Jan 22, 2025

Stantec has been recognized as one of the world’s top 10 most sustainable companies by Corporate Knights, ranking eighth overall and leading among its industry peers. This acknowledgment at the World Economic Forum underscores the company’s commitment to embedding sustainability into its culture and strategy. Recent accolades include being named to Newsweek’s and TIME’s lists of responsible and sustainable companies. With 61% of its 2023 revenue supporting UN Sustainable Development Goals, Stantec also committed to the MEP 2040 Challenge to reduce carbon emissions in building systems by 2040, reinforcing its sustainability leadership.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.