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Sienna Senior Living (TSE:SIA)
TSX:SIA

Sienna Senior Living (SIA) AI Stock Analysis

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Sienna Senior Living

(TSX:SIA)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$20.50
▲(8.24%Upside)
Sienna Senior Living's strong revenue growth and strategic acquisitions drive a positive outlook, supported by earnings call highlights. However, high leverage and negative cash flow present risks. The stock's high valuation tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
SIA announced an agreement to acquire a retirement home in Stittsville, ON, expecting a year-one yield of 6.8% post immediate synergies, demonstrating strategic growth through acquisitions.
Earnings
Retirement SP-NOI growth outlook tweaked higher, with full-year 2025 retirement SP-NOI growth expected to exceed 10%, indicating strong performance potential.
Valuation
Valuation is seen as attractive as Sienna trades at a discount relative to its historical average multiple and a 14% discount to NAV.
Negative Factors
Debt
Manageable debt maturities are crucial for financial stability, but any increase in debt levels or interest rates could impact the company's financial health.
Market Conditions
Despite a favorable supply/demand picture in Canadian seniors housing, the reliance on macro tailwinds could pose risks if market conditions change unfavorably.

Sienna Senior Living (SIA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sienna Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSienna Senior Living Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides senior living and long-term care (LTC) services in Canada. It operates through Retirement and LTC segments. The company offers a range of seniors' living options, including independent supportive and assisted living, memory care, and long-term care services, as well as specialized services comprising dementia care, continence management, skin and wound care, palliation, and end of life care; and provides management services. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated a total of 70 seniors' living residences comprising 27 retirement residences, 35 LTC residences, and eight seniors' living residences. The company was formerly known as Leisureworld Senior Care Corporation and changed its name to Sienna Senior Living Inc. in May 2015. Sienna Senior Living Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Markham, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySienna Senior Living generates revenue primarily through resident fees that vary based on the level of care and services provided. The company operates under a private-pay model for its retirement residences, where residents pay directly for their accommodation and care services. In its long-term care segment, Sienna receives funding from provincial government sources in addition to resident co-payments. This funding is crucial as it helps cover the costs associated with providing healthcare services in these facilities. Additionally, Sienna's strategic partnerships and joint ventures contribute to its revenue by expanding its service offerings and enhancing operational efficiencies, thereby attracting more residents and optimizing occupancy rates.

Sienna Senior Living Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted robust financial growth, driven by significant increases in revenue and NOI, particularly in the retirement segment. The company is actively expanding through acquisitions and developments, with a strong focus on improving team member engagement and reducing costs. However, the long-term care segment showed only moderate growth, which is a minor concern amidst overall positive performance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Growth
Total adjusted revenues increased by 12.1% year-over-year to $241.8 million, and total adjusted same-property NOI increased by 8.5% to $42.5 million in Q1 2025.
Retirement Segment Performance
Adjusted same-property NOI increased by 16.7% in the retirement segment, driven by increasing occupancy and rental rate growth. Average same-property occupancy reached 92.5% in Q1 with a target of 95% by Q1 2026.
Acquisition and Development Success
Closed $250 million of acquisitions and announced an $85 million acquisition of a Class A retirement residence in Ottawa. Platform expected to exceed 100 properties by Q3 2025.
Team Member Investment
Reduced turnover by about 30%, leading to a 70% reduction in the use of agency staff, thanks to the shared ownership program expansion.
Strong Liquidity and Financial Position
Ended the quarter with $445 million in liquidity and $1.1 billion of unencumbered assets, with no major debt maturities until Q1 2026.
Negative Updates
Moderate Long-Term Care Segment Growth
Adjusted same-property NOI increased by only 2.2% in the long-term care segment, indicating slower growth compared to the retirement segment.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 conference call for Sienna Senior Living Inc., the company provided guidance indicating a robust start to the fiscal year, with plans to add nearly $600 million in assets through acquisitions and developments by the third quarter. Key metrics included a 16.7% increase in adjusted same-property NOI for the retirement segment and a 2.2% rise in the long-term care segment. Retirement segment occupancy increased by 260 basis points year-over-year, reaching 92.5%, with a target of 95% by Q1 2026. The call highlighted completed acquisitions totaling $250 million in British Columbia, Alberta, and Ontario, with an additional $85 million acquisition in Ottawa. Sienna's AFFO per share grew by 7.7% to $0.266, and the payout ratio improved by 390 basis points to 91%. The company expects continued growth in NOI for the retirement segment at over 10% for 2025 and low single-digit growth for long-term care, supported by strategic acquisitions, developments, and operational efficiencies.

Sienna Senior Living Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sienna Senior Living shows strong revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. However, the company faces challenges with low net profit margins, high leverage, and negative free cash flow, which are concerns for financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Sienna Senior Living shows solid revenue growth with a notable increase from $718.59M in 2022 to $896.45M in TTM 2025, reflecting a 24.75% growth rate over three years. Gross profit margins improved significantly from 10.55% in 2020 to 36.01% in TTM 2025. However, net profit margins remain low, with TTM 2025 at 3.84%, indicating challenges in translating revenue into higher net income. The EBIT margin has been stable, but there is room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58 in TTM 2025, indicating significant leverage. While stockholders' equity has grown to $618.87M in TTM 2025, the debt levels remain high. Return on equity improved to 5.57% in TTM 2025, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio increased to 31.71%, suggesting a stronger capital base. However, the high leverage poses potential financial risks.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow decreased from $149.93M in 2024 to $95.76M in TTM 2025, impacting liquidity. Free cash flow turned negative in TTM 2025 at -$68.81M, reflecting high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the negative free cash flow warrants caution, highlighting the need for better cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue896.45M893.16M785.37M718.59M668.49M664.23M
Gross Profit322.85M138.04M96.68M91.00M81.85M70.33M
EBITDA134.85M142.29M100.27M106.11M114.24M83.19M
Net Income34.47M38.40M7.04M10.67M20.65M-24.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.95B1.86B1.70B1.68B1.61B1.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments137.15M127.20M24.40M38.05M29.05M95.68M
Total Debt979.33M1.01B1.01B977.96M950.28M1.03B
Total Liabilities1.33B1.38B1.32B1.25B1.20B1.23B
Stockholders Equity618.87M480.72M373.77M434.69M405.85M447.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-68.81M-172.00K62.60M48.43M56.69M49.51M
Operating Cash Flow95.76M149.93M126.70M106.08M98.52M69.24M
Investing Cash Flow-142.80M-116.48M-74.02M-134.73M-18.05M-8.76M
Financing Cash Flow162.69M69.35M-66.34M37.65M-147.09M14.43M

Sienna Senior Living Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.94
Price Trends
50DMA
17.95
Positive
100DMA
16.85
Positive
200DMA
16.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
60.91
Neutral
STOCH
55.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.56, above the 50-day MA of 17.95, and above the 200-day MA of 16.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SIA.

Sienna Senior Living Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEXE
72
Outperform
C$1.16B15.1671.61%3.63%9.38%117.85%
TSSIA
71
Outperform
C$1.75B44.706.93%4.94%8.76%14.05%
61
Neutral
C$181.33M-4.48%-0.69%8.08%
60
Neutral
HK$15.58B5.65-7.43%4.32%11.60%-21.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SIA
Sienna Senior Living
18.77
4.94
35.72%
TSE:CRRX
CareRx
2.94
0.82
38.68%
TSE:EXE
Extendicare
13.70
6.74
96.84%

Sienna Senior Living Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Sienna Senior Living to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

Sienna Senior Living Inc. announced the release date for its second quarter 2025 financial results, scheduled for August 12, 2025, with a subsequent conference call on August 13, 2025, led by its top executives. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SIA) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sienna Senior Living stock, see the TSE:SIA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sienna Senior Living Expands GTA Presence with New Acquisition
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

Sienna Senior Living Inc. has announced the acquisition of Credit River Retirement Residence, a 133-suite facility in Streetsville, Ontario, as part of its expansion in the Greater Toronto Area. The acquisition, valued at $60.2 million, is expected to enhance Sienna’s market presence and operational synergies in the region, with the transaction anticipated to be immediately accretive to the company’s AFFO per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SIA) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sienna Senior Living stock, see the TSE:SIA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sienna Senior Living Expands Ottawa Presence with New Acquisition
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Sienna Senior Living has completed the acquisition of Hazeldean Gardens Retirement Residence in Ottawa, marking its second acquisition in the area for 2025. The $85.25 million deal is expected to enhance Sienna’s operational synergies and contribute to its growth strategy, with the property anticipated to reach a 95% occupancy rate within a year. This acquisition, part of over $340 million in acquisitions this year, is expected to be immediately accretive to the company’s AFFO per share and deliver a significant investment yield.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SIA) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sienna Senior Living stock, see the TSE:SIA Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Sienna Senior Living Announces June Dividend and Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Sienna Senior Living Inc. has declared a monthly dividend of $0.078 per common share for June 2025, equating to an annualized dividend of $0.936 per share. The dividend will be paid on July 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by June 30, 2025. The company offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends into additional shares at a 3% discount, reflecting Sienna’s commitment to providing value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SIA) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sienna Senior Living stock, see the TSE:SIA Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Sienna Senior Living Declares May 2025 Dividend and Offers Reinvestment Plan
Positive
May 15, 2025

Sienna Senior Living Inc. announced a dividend of $0.078 per common share for May 2025, equating to $0.936 annually. The dividend will be paid on June 13, 2025, to shareholders recorded by May 30, 2025. The company offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends into additional shares at a 3% discount. This announcement reflects Sienna’s commitment to providing shareholder value and may influence investment decisions in the senior living sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SIA) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sienna Senior Living stock, see the TSE:SIA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sienna Senior Living Reports Robust Q1 2025 Results and Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 6, 2025

Sienna Senior Living reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in occupancy rates and adjusted revenue. The company completed significant acquisitions and raised substantial equity, positioning itself for continued growth despite broader economic uncertainties. Sienna’s strategic expansion and acquisition activities are expected to positively impact its financial performance and market positioning, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing its operational capabilities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sienna Senior Living Expands Ottawa Presence with $48 Million Acquisition
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Sienna Senior Living has completed the acquisition of a 165-suite retirement residence in Ottawa for $48 million, enhancing its presence in a market with improving supply-demand fundamentals. The acquisition, financed through a combination of debt and cash, is expected to yield a 6.25% return in the first year and provide immediate synergies with nearby properties, contributing positively to the company’s financial performance.

Dividends
Sienna Senior Living Announces April Dividend and Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Sienna Senior Living Inc. has declared a dividend of $0.078 per common share for April 2025, amounting to $0.936 annually. The dividend will be paid on May 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by April 30, 2025. The company offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) that allows shareholders to reinvest their dividends at a 3% discount. This announcement underscores Sienna’s commitment to providing value to its shareholders and could enhance shareholder engagement through the DRIP.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025