Talen Energy Corp (TLN) Risk Analysis

As of December 31, 2024, we had $0.8 billion of U.S. federal net operating loss carryforwards and $1.4 billion of disallowed business interest expense carryforwards under Section 163(j) of the Code and certain other tax attributes (including significant tax basis in assets). Because the consummation of the Plan of Reorganization resulted in an ownership change for purposes of Sections 382 and 383 of the Code, our ability to utilize any remaining tax attributes after reduction and disallowed business interest expense carryforwards is subject to limitation under Sections 382 and 383 of the Code. As a result, certain of our tax attributes have been substantially reduced, eliminated, or otherwise restricted.

Our primary liquidity requirements, in addition to our ordinary course operating expenses, are for debt service, capital expenditures, and collateral for our commercial program and AROs. If our liquidity sources are not sufficient to fund our current or future needs, we may be required to take other actions, including refinancing, restructuring, or reorganizing all or a portion of our debt or capital structure, reducing or delaying capital investments, or obtaining alternative financing, which could result in a higher cost of capital and (or) require additional security, collateral, or other conditions. Our ability to raise capital and access liquidity is subject to numerous factors, including conditions in the capital markets, our current operations, credit ratings, and other events which we may not be able to predict or control. Furthermore, our ability to raise financing may be affected by current geopolitical-social views and investor expectations regarding fossil fuels and environmental matters, which have prompted unfavorable lending policies toward fossil fuel-fired generation facilities, guidelines preventing investors from increasing or taking new stakes in companies with exposure to fossil fuels, and divestment efforts affecting the investment community, all of which could negatively impact the demand for investments in our business. Applicable regulations could also impose additional requirements that may increase the costs of conducting our business or accessing sources of capital and liquidity. There can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain financing on commercially reasonable terms or at all, in compliance with the terms of our existing indebtedness, and (or) in a manner that does not negatively impact our business or that such actions, even if achieved, would allow us to meet our financial obligations and operating requirements.

We do not own or control the transmission facilities required to deliver the wholesale power from our generation facilities to load. FERC has issued regulations that require wholesale electricity transmission services, even when offered by parties other than RTOs and ISOs, to be offered on an open-access, non-discriminatory basis. Although these regulations are designed to encourage competition in wholesale markets, there can be no assurance that transmission capacity will be available in the amounts we require. We cannot predict the timing of industry changes as a result of these initiatives, the adequacy of transmission facilities, or whether RTOs, ISOs, or other transmission providers will efficiently operate transmission networks and provide related services. Furthermore, regulatory approvals and orders that we have obtained may be subject to challenge and protest from time to time. In most cases, RTOs and ISOs operate transmission facilities and provide related services, administer organized power markets, and maintain system reliability. Many of these RTOs and ISOs operate the real-time and day-ahead markets in which we sell electricity, as well as the forward markets in which we sell capacity, and may impose offer caps, price limitations, and other mechanisms to guard against the potential exercise of market power. These and other regulatory mechanisms may adversely affect our profitability. Changes in the rules, market operations, or geographic scope of existing RTOs, ISOs, and various regional power markets, as well as any challenges in the formation and operation of similar emerging market structures, could also affect our ability to sell, the prices we receive, or the costs to transmit electricity and capacity from our generation facilities. The wholesale energy markets vary from region to region with distinct rules, practices, and procedures. Changes in these market rules, problems with rule implementation, and compliance or failure of any of these markets could adversely impact our business. The PJM market is undergoing significant restructuring due to projected increases in demand, projected retirements of supply, and recent weather events that have exposed systemic flaws. Ongoing market reforms have caused delays in the PJM Base Residual Auctions, which determine capacity prices in upcoming years, leading to unpredictability around capacity revenues due to lack of reliable pricing and on-schedule BRAs. While PJM has established dates for certain upcoming PJM BRAs based upon FERC orders establishing rules for such capacity markets, we cannot guarantee those auctions will take place on those dates or at all. In addition, under PJM's Capacity Performance model, we may be (and have in the past been) subject to substantial monetary penalties for failing to meet the Capacity Performance requirements set forth by PJM in certain emergency events. Continued efforts to address perceived capacity market design issues are ongoing, and we cannot predict the outcome of these market reforms or their impact on future capacity revenues. See Note 12 to the Annual Financial Statements for additional information on the PJM capacity market, systemic risks, BRA delays, and related legal actions. Our power generation business relies on a competitive marketplace. See also "-Industry and Market Risks-We face intense competition in the competitive power generation market." The competitive wholesale marketplace may be undermined by changes in market structure as well as the actions of federal or state entities that interfere in the competitive marketplace, such as subsidies, out-of-market payments, incentives, or bailouts to new or uneconomic facilities; imports of power; permission for regulated utilities to build generation and add it to the rate base; renewable mandates or incentives; and mandates to sell power below cost. Actions that undermine the competitive marketplace could suppress capacity and energy prices or lead to premature retirement of existing facilities, among other things. See also "-We may be affected by changes in applicable laws and regulations."