Ryanair carries, and will continue to carry for the foreseeable future, a substantial amount of debt related to aircraft financing commitments, as well as commitments for maintenance and other obligations. Although the Company has historically been able to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to pay debt and other fixed obligations when they become due, the risks described in this report may limit the Company's ability to do so in the future and may adversely affect its overall liquidity. As a result, the Company has incurred and will continue to seek new financing sources to fund its operations for the unknown duration of any economic recovery period. Volatility and uncertainty in the global markets generally, and the air transportation industry specifically, may make it difficult for Ryanair to raise additional capital on acceptable terms, or at all. Additionally, future debt agreements may contain more restrictive covenants or require security beyond historical market terms, which may restrict Ryanair's ability to successfully access capital.?Ryanair has seasonally grounded aircraft. In prior years, in response to typically lower traffic and yields from November to March (inclusive) ("winter"), higher airport charges and/or taxes and, at times, higher fuel prices, Ryanair adopted a policy of grounding a certain portion of its fleet during the winter months. Ryanair carries out the majority of scheduled heavy maintenance during the winter months which also results in the grounding of aircraft. The Company intends to continue grounding aircraft in fiscal year 2024. Ryanair's policy of seasonally grounding aircraft presents some risks. While Ryanair seeks to implement its seasonal grounding policy in a way that will allow it to reduce the negative impact on operating income by operating flights during periods of high oil prices to high cost airports at low winter yields, there can be no assurance that this strategy will be successful. ?While seasonal grounding does reduce Ryanair's variable operating costs, it does not avoid fixed costs such as aircraft ownership costs, and it also decreases Ryanair's potential to earn revenues. Decreasing the number and frequency of flights may also negatively affect Ryanair's labor relations, including its ability to attract flight personnel interested in year-round employment. Such risks could lead to negative effects on Ryanair's financial condition and/or results of operations. ?The Company will incur significant costs acquiring new aircraft and any instability in the credit and capital markets could negatively impact Ryanair's ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms. Ryanair's continued growth is dependent upon its ability to acquire additional aircraft to meet additional capacity needs and to replace older aircraft. Ryanair had 537 aircraft in its operating fleet at March 31, 2023 and expects to receive an additional 112 Boeing 737-8200 aircraft during fiscal years 2024 to 2025 inclusive, pursuant to a contract with the Boeing Company ("Boeing," and such contract inclusive of subsequent amendments, the "2014 Boeing Contract"). Ryanair expects to have approximately 640 narrow-body aircraft in its fleet following delivery of all the Boeing 737-8200 aircraft, depending on the level of lease returns, Boeing's ability to fulfill the 2014 Boeing Contract and aircraft disposals. For additional information on the Company's aircraft fleet and expansion plans, see "-A majority of Ryanair's aircraft and certain parts are sourced from a single supplier; therefore, Ryanair would be materially and adversely affected if such supplier were unable to provide additional equipment or support," and "Item 4. Information on the Company-Aircraft" and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Liquidity and Capital Resources". There can be no assurance that this planned expansion will not outpace the growth of passenger traffic on Ryanair's routes or that traffic growth will not prove to be greater than the expanded fleet can accommodate. In either case, such developments could have a material adverse effect on the Company's business, results of operations and financial condition.?
As a result of a 2014 purchase agreement with Boeing (the "2014 Boeing Contract") and the 2023 purchase agreement with Boeing signed on May 9, 2023 (subject to shareholder approval at the Company's AGM on September 14, 2023) (the "2023 Boeing Contract"), and other general corporate purposes, Ryanair has raised and expects to continue to raise substantial debt financing. Ryanair's ability to raise unsecured or secured debt to pay for aircraft is subject to potential volatility in the worldwide financial markets. Additionally, Ryanair's ability to raise unsecured or secured debt to pay for aircraft as they are delivered is subject to various conditions imposed by the counterparties and debt markets to such loan facilities and related loan guarantees, and any future financing is expected to be subject to similar conditions. Any failure by Ryanair to comply with such conditions and any failure to raise necessary amounts of unsecured or secured debt to pay for aircraft, would have a material adverse effect on its results of operations and financial condition.?Using the debt capital markets to finance the Company requires the Company to retain its investment grade credit ratings (the Company has a BBB+ (stable outlook) credit rating from both S&P and Fitch Ratings). There is a risk that the Group will be unable, or unwilling, to access these markets if it is downgraded or is unable to retain its investment grade credit ratings and this could lead to a higher cost of finance for the Group and a material adverse effect on its results and financial condition.?Ryanair has previously entered into significant derivative transactions intended to hedge some of its aircraft acquisition-related debt obligations. These derivative transactions expose Ryanair to certain risks and could have adverse effects on its results of operations and financial condition. See "Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk."?Currency fluctuations affect the Company's results. Although the Company is headquartered in Ireland, a significant portion of its operations are conducted in the U.K. Consequently, the Group has significant operating revenues and operating expenses, as well as assets and liabilities, denominated in U.K. pounds sterling. In addition, fuel, aircraft, insurance, aircraft leases and some maintenance obligations are denominated in U.S. dollars. Ryanair's operations and financial performance can therefore be significantly affected by fluctuations in the values of the U.K. pound sterling and the U.S. dollar. Ryanair is particularly vulnerable to direct exchange rate risks between the euro and the U.S. dollar because a significant portion of its operating costs are incurred in U.S. dollars and substantially none of its revenues are denominated in U.S. dollars.?Although the Company engages in foreign currency hedging transactions between the euro and the U.S. dollar and, from time to time, between the euro and the U.K. pound sterling, hedging activities are not expected to eliminate currency risks. See "Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk."?Prolonged delays in the European Union Aviation Safety Agency ("EASA") and/or the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA") issuing required certifications or approvals for the Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft could materially and adversely affect Ryanair's business plans, strategy and results of operations. Pursuant to a contract with the Boeing Company, Ryanair has ordered 300 new Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft (150 firm and 150 options) for delivery between 2027 to 2033 (the "2023 Boeing Contract"). See "Item 10. Additional information – Material Contracts". The 2023 Boeing Contract is subject to shareholder approval at Ryanair's AGM on September 14, 2023, and Ryanair cannot provide any assurance that the 2023 Boeing Contract will be approved at the AGM.?Ryanair expects the phased deliveries of the aircraft between 2027 and 2033 will enable Ryanair to create more than 10,000 new high-paid jobs for pilots, cabin crew and engineers, to facilitate disciplined traffic growth and support related revenue growth, and to replace a significant portion of Ryanair's older Boeing aircraft, supporting Ryanair's environmental and sustainability goals.?
The delivery of the New Aircraft under the contract is subject to the EASA and FAA issuing the required certifications and approvals to Boeing. Prolonged delays in the EASA and/or the FAA issuing the required certifications or approvals for the Boeing 737-MAX-10, or further regulatory actions by the EASA and/or the FAA with respect to the Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft could also materially and adversely affect Ryanair's business plans, strategy and results of operations, and there can be no assurance that Ryanair will be able to procure and operate other types of aircraft from Boeing or another manufacturer, seller or lessor.?Residual value of the fleet. At June 30, 2023 Ryanair operated 558 aircraft (29 of which are leased), has a purchase contract in place in respect of an additional 91 Boeing 737-8200 "Gamechanger" aircraft over the period to December 2024 pursuant to the 2014 Boeing Contract and now intends to purchase up to 300 Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft (of which 150 are the subject of a firm order and 150 are subject to an option exercisable at Ryanair's discretion) over a 7-year period from calendar 2027 to 2033 (inclusive). Over the course of the 2023 Boeing Contract order, Ryanair plans to dispose and handback approximately 150 aircraft as part of its ongoing fleet management strategy. Although under the terms of the 2023 Boeing Contract, Ryanair shall (subject to obtaining Shareholder consent) purchase the new aircraft at substantial discounts to the basic price for Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft, there can be no certainty that there will be demand for the new aircraft or that Ryanair will be able to sell aircraft profitably at the time of disposal. Failure by Ryanair to dispose of an appropriate number of aircraft could have an adverse effect on Ryanair's financial condition.?Growth targets of Ryanair will be reduced if the 2023 Boeing Contract is not approved. Ryanair plans to grow passenger volume to approximately 300 million passengers per annum over the next 10 years to March 31, 2034 from 168.6 million passengers at the end of fiscal year 2023. If the 2023 Boeing Contract is not approved by Shareholders at the AGM, the Board believes that Ryanair will be unable to grow passenger volumes to these levels.?The Company faced legal challenges by regulatory authorities and consumers due to delays in the processing of cash refunds during the Covid-19 pandemic and its policy of offering travel vouchers in lieu of cash refunds in the interim. In the initial stages of the Covid-19 pandemic, and in light of staff shortages due to lockdown restrictions and an unprecedented high rate of flight cancellations, Ryanair offered travel vouchers to passengers who claimed reimbursement. This policy was in line with the requirements of the ‘European Commission's Recommendation (EU) 2020/648 of May 13, 2020 on vouchers offered to passengers and travelers as an alternative to reimbursement for cancelled package travel and transport services in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic', in which the Commission recognized airlines' right to offer travel vouchers as long as the offer does not affect passengers' right to opt for a cash refund instead. ?National authorities responsible for the enforcement of EU Regulation (EC) No. 261/2004 (the "Regulation") and the European Commission's Consumer Protection Cooperation Network generally recognized Ryanair's efforts and accepted that the seven days' deadline provided for by the Regulation to process refunds was to be interpreted in a reasonable manner in light of the circumstances of the Covid-19 crisis. While some consumer protection enforcement authorities or courts may ultimately find Ryanair's decision to encourage passengers to accept travel vouchers in lieu of a cash refund to amount to a breach of the Regulation and/or an unfair commercial practice, the Company does not consider that such findings would have a material adverse effect on the results of operations or financial condition of Ryanair. ?Brexit could adversely affect Ryanair's business. The U.K.'s exit from the European Union on January 31, 2020 has had a significant impact on the U.K. and the EU. The U.K. and the EU announced on December 24, 2020 that they had signed a Trade and Cooperation Agreement (the "EU–U.K. TCA"). The EU–U.K. TCA covers a wide range of topics, including trade in goods and in services, digital trade, intellectual property, public procurement, aviation and road transport, energy, fisheries, social security coordination, law enforcement and judicial cooperation in criminal matters, and thematic cooperation and participation in EU programs.?
The current and future arrangements between the EU and the U.K., including the EU–U.K. TCA, could directly impact Ryanair's business in a number of ways. They include, inter alia, the status of the U.K. in relation to the EU's open air transport market, freedom of movement between the U.K. and the EU, and employment, social security, tax and customs rules between the U.K. and the EU. Adverse changes to any of these arrangements could potentially materially impact on Ryanair's financial condition and results of operations in the U.K. or other markets Ryanair serves.?As a result of the EU–U.K. TCA, flights between the U.K. and the EU can be offered by any of the Company's airline subsidiaries. U.K. domestic flights and flights between the U.K. and non-EU destinations can, however, only be operated by the Company's U.K. subsidiary, Ryanair U.K. Limited ("Ryanair U.K."), which received an Air Operator Certificate and Operating License ("U.K. AOC") from the U.K. Civil Aviation Authority ("U.K. CAA") in December 2018. ?Ryanair is exposed to Brexit-related risks and uncertainties, as approximately 21% of revenue in fiscal year 2023 came from operations in the U.K., although this was offset somewhat by approximately 16% of Ryanair's non-fuel costs in fiscal year 2023 which were related to operations in the U.K. ?Brexit could present Ryanair with a number of other potential regulatory challenges. Brexit could lead to potentially divergent laws and regulations as the U.K. continues to determine which EU laws (including, but not limited to, in respect of aviation safety and security, consumer rights, data protection, public health and the environment) that it initially replicated on its exit from the EU to ultimately amend or abolish. It also requires special efforts to ensure Ryanair's continuing compliance with EU Regulation No. 1008/2008, which requires that air carriers registered in an EU member state be majority-owned and effectively controlled by EU nationals. The Board of Directors has taken action to ensure continuing compliance with EU Regulation No. 1008/2008 after December 31, 2020, i.e., the date following which U.K. holders of the Company's shares are no longer treated as EU nationals for the purposes of EU regulation No. 1008/2008. For additional information, please see "–Risks Related to Ownership of the Company's Ordinary Shares or ADRs". ?Brexit has caused, and may continue to cause, both significant volatility in global stock markets and currency exchange rate fluctuations, as well as create significant uncertainty among U.K. businesses and investors, mainly due to the resulting legal and regulatory uncertainty, including potentially divergent treaties, laws and regulations applicable to the provision of air transportation services. In particular, to June 30, 2023, the pound sterling had lost approximately 15% and 11% of its value against the U.S. Dollar and the euro respectively since the Brexit referendum in 2016. Further, the Bank of England and other observers have warned of a significant probability of a Brexit-related recession in the U.K., which may be further impacted by the long-term negative economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, increased interest rates and rising inflation. The Company earns a significant portion of its revenues in pounds sterling, and any significant decline in the value of the pound sterling and/or recession in the U.K. would materially impact its financial condition and results of operations. For the remainder of fiscal year 2024, taking account of timing differences between the receipt of sterling denominated revenues and the payment of sterling denominated costs, Ryanair estimates that every 1 pence sterling movement in the €/£ exchange rate will impact net income by approximately €16m million. For additional information, please see "–Currency fluctuations affect the Company's results". ?Risks associated with the euro. The Company is headquartered in Ireland and its reporting currency is the euro. Generally, fluctuations in foreign currencies, including devaluations, cannot be predicted by us and can significantly affect the value of our assets located or revenues generated outside of the Eurozone. As a result of the U.K.'s Brexit referendum in 2016, the pound sterling increased in volatility against the euro and could become more volatile over the course of the post-transition period. ?
Ryanair Group airlines predominantly operate to/from countries within the Eurozone and have significant operational and financial exposures to the Eurozone that could result in a reduction in the operating performance of Ryanair or the devaluation of certain assets. Ryanair has taken certain risk management measures to minimize any disruptions; however, these risk management measures may be insufficient. The Company has cash and aircraft assets and debt liabilities that are denominated in euro on its balance sheet. In addition, the positive/negative mark-to-market value of derivative-based transactions are recorded in euro as either assets or liabilities on the Company's balance sheet. Uncertainty regarding the future of the Eurozone could have a materially adverse effect on the value of these assets and liabilities. In addition to the assets and liabilities on Ryanair's balance sheet, the Company has a number of cross-currency risks as a result of the jurisdictions of the operating business including non-euro revenues, fuel costs, certain maintenance costs and insurance costs. A strengthening in the value of the euro, primarily against U.K. pound sterling and other non-Eurozone currencies such as Polish zloty or a weakening against the U.S. dollar, could have a material adverse impact on the operating results of the Company.?Recession, inflation, austerity, changes in monetary policy and uncertainty in connection with the euro could also mean that Ryanair is unable to grow.?The Company's growth may expose it to risks. Ryanair's operations have grown rapidly since it pioneered the low-fares operating model in Europe in the early 1990s. Ryanair intends to continue to expand its fleet and add new destinations and additional flights. In September 2021, Ryanair increased its booked passenger target to approximately 225m passengers per annum by fiscal year 2026. Subject to shareholder approval of the 2023 Boeing Contract at the Company's AGM on September 14, 2023, this target will increase to approximately 300m passengers per annum by fiscal year 2034. However, no assurance can be given that these targets will be met. If growth in passenger traffic and Ryanair's revenues do not keep pace with the planned expansion of its fleet, Ryanair could suffer from overcapacity and its results of operations and financial condition (including its ability to fund scheduled purchases of the new aircraft and related debt repayments) could be materially adversely affected.?The continued expansion of Ryanair's fleet and operations combined with other factors, may also strain existing management resources and related operational, financial, management information and information technology systems. Expansion will generally require additional skilled personnel, equipment, facilities and systems. An inability to hire skilled personnel or to secure required equipment and facilities efficiently and in a cost-effective manner may have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's ability to achieve its growth plans and sustain or increase its profitability.?Ryanair's new routes and expanded operations may have an adverse financial impact on its results. When Ryanair commences new routes, its load factors and fares tend to be lower than those on its established routes and its advertising and other promotional costs tend to be higher, which may result in initial losses that could have a material negative impact on Ryanair's results of operations as well as require a substantial amount of cash to fund. In addition, there can be no assurance that Ryanair's low-fares service will be accepted on new routes. Ryanair also periodically runs special promotional fare campaigns, in particular in connection with the opening of new routes. Promotional fares may have the effect of increasing load factors and reducing Ryanair's yield and passenger revenues on such routes during the periods that they are in effect. Ryanair has significant cash needs as it expands, including the cash required to fund aircraft purchases or aircraft deposits related to the acquisition of aircraft. There can be no assurance that Ryanair will have sufficient cash to make such expenditures and investments, and to the extent Ryanair is unable to expand its route system successfully, its future revenue and earnings growth will in turn be limited. See"-The Company will incur significant costs acquiring new aircraft and any instability in the credit and capital markets could negatively impact Ryanair's ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms".?