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Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY)
NASDAQ:RYAAY
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Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) Risk Factors

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Ryanair Holdings disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryanair Holdings reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.

Risk Overview Q1, 2023

Risk Distribution
10Risks
30% Legal & Regulatory
30% Production
20% Macro & Political
10% Finance & Corporate
10% Ability to Sell
0% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Ryanair Holdings Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q1, 2023

Main Risk Category
Legal & Regulatory
With 3 Risks
Legal & Regulatory
With 3 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
10
-37
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
10
-37
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
1Risks added
38Risks removed
4Risks changed
Since Mar 2023
1Risks added
38Risks removed
4Risks changed
Since Mar 2023
Number of Risk Changed
4
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
4
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Ryanair Holdings in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 10

Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 3/10 (30%)Above Sector Average
Regulation2 | 20.0%
Regulation - Risk 1
Added
In 2021, a law was passed in France prohibiting domestic flights where an alternative direct train service operates in under 2.5 hours, with an exception made for connecting flights. The European Commission found this distorted competition between point to point carriers and network operators. Consequently, France amended the law to remove this exemption for connecting flights. The new formulation of the law de facto means that only 3 routes to Paris Orly airport are affected. The European Commission approved this law in December 2022.
?While management believes that any such restriction of airlines' commercial freedom would be incompatible with EU law, it cannot be guaranteed that some form of government intervention in airline ticket prices will not be introduced at a national or European level. This would severely impact the Company's ability to attract the most price sensitive consumers.?In July 2021, the European Commission announced details of the proposed "Fit for 55" legislation. These proposals include the introduction of a jet fuel tax on intra-EU flights through the Energy Taxation Directive. This tax would potentially be fully phased in over a 10-year period from 2024 to 2033. The introduction of this tax on intra-EU flights could have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's financial results.?Environmental Regulation will increase costs. Many aspects of Ryanair's operations are subject to increasingly stringent national and international laws, regulations and levies protecting the environment, including those relating to carbon emissions, clean water, management of hazardous materials and climate change. Compliance with existing and future environmental laws, regulations and levies can require significant expenditures, and violations can lead to significant fines, penalties and reputational damage.?In particular, the EU Emissions Trading Scheme ("ETS"), is a cap-and-trade system for CO2 emissions to encourage industries to improve their CO2 efficiency. Under the current legislation, airlines are granted initial CO2 allowances based on historical performance and a CO2 efficiency benchmark. Under the "Fit for 55" proposed legislation, the EU ETS allowances will be phased out over the period from 2024 to 2026. Any shortage of allowances has to be purchased in the open market and/or at government auctions. The cost of such allowances increased significantly during the last 3 years. ETS compliance is the most material environmental compliance cost for the Group (see page F-27 for details). There can be no assurance that Ryanair will be able to obtain sufficient carbon credits or that the cost of the credits will not have a material adverse effect on the Company's business, operating results, and financial condition.?Additionally, the European Commission "ReFuel EU" proposal provides for a Sustainable Aviation Fuel ("SAF") blending mandate to be implemented. It sets SAF targets of 2% by 2025 rising to 6% by 2030 and 20% by 2035. There can be no assurance that sufficient SAF will be available in the market for Ryanair to purchase or that the cost of SAF will not have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's financial results.?The Group continues to monitor developments in the setting of U.K. policies to deliver net zero aviation by 2050 ("Jet Zero") which could potentially include similar measures to the Fit for 55 legislation i.e. SAF blending mandates and removal of free ETS allowances.?
Regulation - Risk 2
Changed
Changes in EU regulations in relation to employers and employee social insurance could increase costs.
European legislation governs the country in which employees and employers must pay social insurance costs. Under the terms of legislation introduced in 2012, employees and employers must pay social insurance in the country where the employee is based. Prior to June 2012, Ryanair paid employee and employer social insurance in the country under whose laws the employee's contract of employment was governed, which was either the U.K. or Ireland. The legislation introduced in 2012 included grandfathering rights whereby existing employees (i.e., those employed prior to the introduction of the new legislation in June 2012) were exempt from the effects of the new legislation for a period of 10 years up until June 2022 provided they did not transfer between bases. Each country within the EU has different rules and rates in relation to the calculation of employee and employer social insurance contributions and any increase in the rates of contributions will have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's cash flows, financial position, and results of operations. ?Ryanair is subject to tax audits. The Company operates in many jurisdictions and is, from time to time, subject to tax audits, which by their nature are often complex and can require several years to conclude. While the Company is of the view that it is tax compliant in the various jurisdictions in which it operates, there can be no guarantee, particularly in the current economic environment, that it will not receive tax assessments following the conclusion of the tax audits. In the event that the Company is unsuccessful in defending its position, it is possible that the effective tax rate, employment and other costs of the Company could materially increase. See "-Corporation tax rates expected to rise" above.?
Environmental / Social1 | 10.0%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
The Company faces risks related to unauthorized use of information from the Company's website
Screen scraper websites gain unauthorized access to Ryanair's website and booking system, extract flight and pricing information and display it on their own websites for sale to customers at prices which may include hidden intermediary fees on top of Ryanair's fares. Ryanair does not allow any such commercial use of its website and objects to the practice of screen scraping also on the basis of certain legal principles, such as contractual and database rights and copyright protection. In turn, Ryanair has been accused by certain operators of screen scraping websites that its objection to the unauthorized selling by online travel agents to consumers of Ryanair flight tickets is an attempt to restrict competition. Ryanair is currently involved in legal proceedings against the proprietors of screen scraper websites in the Czech Republic, Germany, Ireland, France, Italy, Poland, the U.K. and the U.S. Ryanair's objective is to prevent any unauthorized use of its website and to prevent consumer harm, and the resultant reputational damage to the Company, that may arise due to the failure by some operators of screen scraper websites to provide Ryanair with the passengers' genuine contact and payment method details. Ryanair does allow certain companies who operate fare comparison (i.e., not reselling) websites to access its schedule and fare information for the purposes of price comparison provided they sign a license and use the agreed method to access the data. Ryanair also permits GDS operators Amadeus, Sabre and Travelport (trading as Galileo and Worldspan) to provide access to Ryanair's fares to traditional brick & mortar travel agents and closed corporate travel booking platforms. Ryanair has obtained both favorable and unfavorable rulings in its actions against screen scrapers. However, pending the outcome of these legal proceedings and if Ryanair were to be ultimately unsuccessful in them, the activities of screen scraper websites could lead to a reduction in the number of customers who book directly on Ryanair's website and consequently to a reduction in Ryanair's ancillary revenue stream. Also, some business may be lost to Ryanair once potential customers are presented by a screen scraper website with a Ryanair fare or a fee for an ancillary product such as priority boarding or checked baggage inflated by the screen scraper's intermediary fee. This could also adversely affect Ryanair's reputation as a low-fares airline, which could negatively affect Ryanair's results of operations and financial conditions.?For additional details, see "Item 8. Financial Information-Other Financial Information-Legal Proceedings-Legal Proceedings Against Internet Ticket Touts."?Corporation tax rates are expected to rise. The Company is principally subject to corporation tax on profits across a number of European jurisdictions from which its airlines are managed and controlled (i.e. Ireland, Malta, Poland, and the U.K.). In December 2022, the Council of the European Union (‘EU') reached unanimous agreement to adopt the EU Commission's directive relating to the OECD's inclusive framework on BEPS Global Anti-Base Erosion Model Rules (referred to as "GloBE" or "Pillar Two"). The directive requires EU member states to enact a minimum global corporate tax rate of 15% for multinational groups. Legislators in multiple countries outside of the EU (including the U.K.) have also drafted legislation to implement the OECD's proposal. When enacted, these rules are expected to increase the overall effective tax rate of the Company from April 1, 2024 onwards. ?Any increase in corporation tax rates to which the Company is exposed or adverse changes in the basis of calculation would result in the Company paying higher corporation taxes and could have an adverse impact on Ryanair's cash flows, financial position, and results of operations. ?
Production
Total Risks: 3/10 (30%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 10.0%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Safety-related undertakings could affect the Company's results.
Aviation authorities in Europe and the United States periodically require or suggest that airlines implement certain safety-related modifications and/or procedures on their aircraft. In recent years, the FAA and EASA have required a number of such modifications and/or procedures with regard to Boeing 737 aircraft, including major modifications to implement changes to the take-off configuration warning lights, cabin pressurization system, pitot system heating, CFM fan blade nondestructive testing (NDT) on certain production CFM-56 engines, fuel tank boost pump electrical arcing protection, the European Commission's Datalink mandate and changes implemented following the grounding of the Boeing 737-MAX-8 aircraft due to safety concerns in March 2019 (the delivery of Boeing 737-8200 aircraft ordered from Boeing was delayed until June 2021 as a result of these changes). Ryanair's policy is to implement any required safety procedures in accordance with FAA and EASA guidance and to perform such procedures in close collaboration with Boeing. ?In 2019, the FAA and EASA implemented a regular inspection requirement of the aircraft pickle fork for all aircraft above certain mandated cycles and this inspection requirement will continue and may become more stringent. To date, all such procedures have been conducted as part of Ryanair's standard maintenance program and have not interrupted flight schedules nor required any material increases in Ryanair's maintenance expenses. However, there can be no assurance that the FAA and EASA or other regulatory authorities will not recommend or require other safety-related undertakings or that such undertakings would not adversely impact Ryanair's operating results or financial condition. ?There also can be no assurance that new regulations will not be implemented in the future that would apply to Ryanair's aircraft and result in an increase in Ryanair's cost of maintenance, delays in the delivery of aircraft or other costs beyond management's current estimates. In addition, should Ryanair's aircraft cease to be sufficiently reliable or should any public perception develop that Ryanair's aircraft are less than completely reliable, Ryanair's business could be materially adversely affected. ?State Aid to the Company's competitors could adversely affect its results. In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, several European governments chose to support their flag carrier airlines with State Aid through recapitalizations, loans, loan guarantees and other measures. As at June 30, 2023, the European Commission has authorized over €40bn in such aid to approximately 20 airlines. Ryanair believes that aid that includes a nationality condition is discriminatory and therefore unlawful under EU law and has challenged several of the European Commission's aid approvals in the General Court. The General Court overturned the European Commission's approvals in three cases (KLM, Condor and TAP); however, the European Commission subsequently re-approved the same or similar quantum of aid to each of these airlines. The General Court upheld the European Commission's approvals in other cases, some of which Ryanair has appealed to the European Court of Justice. The result of these appeals is uncertain. First judgments from the European Court of Justice are likely in 2023. In May 2023, the General Court allowed Ryanair's appeals of State aid through recapitalization to Lufthansa (from Germany) and SAS (from Sweden and Denmark), and an Italian State aid scheme limited to Italian licensed airlines. The European Commission is required to take new decisions in each of these cases and may re-approve the aid.  The European Commission, relevant EU Member State, or relevant airline may also appeal the General Court judgments to the European Court of Justice.   Ryanair's competitors may use the aid to offer below cost prices in the market, which could negatively impact the Company's business and operations.?
Supply Chain2 | 20.0%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Changed
The Group is dependent on external service providers.
Ryanair currently assigns its engine overhauls and "rotable" repairs to outside contractors approved under the terms of Part 145, the European regulatory standard for aircraft maintenance ("Part 145") established by EASA. The Company also assigns its passenger, aircraft, and ground handling services at airports (other than Dublin and certain airports in Poland, Spain and Portugal) to established external service providers. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-Maintenance and Repairs-Heavy Maintenance" and "Item 4. Information on the Company-Airport Operations-Airport Handling Services." ?The termination or expiration of any of Ryanair's service contracts or any inability to renew them or negotiate replacement contracts with other service providers at competitive rates could have a material adverse effect on the Group's results of operations. Ryanair will need to enter into airport service agreements in any new markets it enters, and there can be no assurance that it will be able to obtain the necessary facilities and services at competitive rates. In addition, although Ryanair seeks to monitor the performance of external parties that provide passenger and aircraft handling services, the efficiency, timeliness, and quality of contract performance by external providers are largely beyond Ryanair's direct control. Ryanair expects to be dependent on such outsourcing arrangements for the foreseeable future. ?The Group is dependent on key personnel. Ryanair's success depends to a significant extent upon the efforts and abilities of its senior management team, including Michael O'Leary, the Group CEO, and key financial, commercial, operating, IT, ESG, HR and maintenance personnel. See "Item 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees-Compensation of Directors and Executive Officers-Remuneration Agreement with Mr. O'Leary." Ryanair's success also depends on the ability of its Executive Officers and other members of senior management to operate and manage effectively, both independently and as a Group. Although Ryanair's employment agreements with Mr. O'Leary and several of its other Senior Executives contain non-competition and non-disclosure provisions, there can be no assurance that these provisions will be enforceable in whole or in part. Competition for highly qualified personnel is intense, and either the loss of any executive officer, senior manager, or other key employee without adequate replacement or the inability to attract new, qualified personnel could have a material adverse effect upon Ryanair's business, operating results, and financial condition. Entry into service of the Boeing 737-8200. Ryanair has 210 Boeing 737-8200 aircraft on firm order from Boeing. These aircraft were originally due to commence delivery in April 2019. During fiscal year 2021, the FAA and the European Aviation Safety Agency ("EASA") approved the ungrounding of the MAX and approved Ryanair's variant the Boeing 737-8200. Ryanair received the first aircraft in June 2021. At March 31, 2023 the Ryanair Group currently had taken delivery of 98 Boeing 737-8200s. The remaining 112 aircraft are scheduled to be delivered over the next two fiscal years. ?There can be no assurance that EASA will not, now or in the future, apply additional maintenance and/or, simulator training in relation to the operation of the Boeing 737-8200 aircraft, that will materially increase the cost of operating this aircraft type.?The Company faces risks related to its internet reservations operations and its elimination of airport check-in facilities. Ryanair's flight reservations are made through its website, mobile app and Global Distribution Systems including Amadeus, Sabre and Travelport (which operates the Galileo and Worldspan GDS) (collectively, the "GDSs"). Ryanair has established contingency programs which include migrating its website to the cloud and having a back-up booking engine available to support its existing booking platform in the event of a breakdown in this facility. Nonetheless, the process of switching over to the back-up booking engine could take some time and there can be no assurance that Ryanair would not suffer a significant loss of reservations in the event of a major breakdown of its booking engine or other related systems. ? All Ryanair passengers are required to use Internet check-in. Internet check-in is part of a package of measures intended to reduce check-in lines and passenger handling costs and pass on these savings by reducing passenger airfares. Ryanair has deployed this system across its network. Any disruptions to the Internet check-in service as a result of a breakdown in the relevant computer systems or otherwise could have a material adverse impact on these service-improvement and cost-reduction efforts. There can be no assurance, however, that this process will continue to be successful or that consumers will not switch to other carriers that provide standard check-in facilities, which would negatively affect Ryanair's results of operations and financial condition. ?The Company is subject to legal proceedings alleging state aid at certain airports. Formal investigations are ongoing by the European Commission into Ryanair's agreements with Carcassonne, Girona, Reus, Târgu Mures and Beziers airports, and Ryanair's agreements from 2009 with Frankfurt (Hahn) airport, and Ryanair's arrangements with Cagliari airport following the Commission's withdrawal in March 2023 of its 2016 finding that Ryanair had received aid through those arrangements. The investigations seek to determine whether the agreements constitute illegal state aid under EU law. The investigations are currently expected to be completed in 2023, with the European Commission's decisions being appealable to the EU General Court. Investigations into Ryanair's agreements with the Bratislava, Tampere, Marseille, Berlin (Schönefeld), Aarhus, Dusseldorf (Weeze), Brussels (Charleroi), Alghero, Stockholm (Västerås), Lübeck,  Riga and Paris (Beauvais) airports, and into Ryanair's agreements prior to 2009 with Frankfurt (Hahn), have concluded with findings that these agreements contained no state aid. In parallel, the European Commission has announced findings of state aid to Ryanair in its arrangements with Pau, Nimes, Angouleme, Altenburg, Zweibrücken, Cagliari, Klagenfurt, Montpellier and La Rochelle airports, ordering Ryanair to repay a total of approximately €40m of alleged state aid.  Ryanair has appealed these "aid" decisions to the EU General Court (except for the La Rochelle decision, which will be appealed once it has been published), which ruled in favor of the European Commission in five of the cases (Pau, Nimes, Angouleme, Altenburg and Klagenfurt, the latter of which Ryanair has appealed to the European Court of Justice, with a ruling expected in 2023). The General Court ruled in Ryanair's favor in the Zweibrücken airport case, and the Montpellier case is pending and is expected to conclude in 2023. In 2023, the European Commission withdrew its "aid" decision concerning Ryanair's arrangements with Cagliari airport, following a General Court ruling in a related case, and is currently reviewing the case afresh in light of the guidance received from the Court, with a decision expected in late 2023 or early 2024. In addition to the European Commission investigations, Ryanair is facing an allegation that it has benefited from unlawful state aid in a German court case in relation to its arrangements with Frankfurt (Hahn) launched by Lufthansa in 2006. Adverse rulings in the above state aid matters could be used as precedents by competitors to challenge Ryanair's agreements with other publicly owned airports and could cause Ryanair to strongly reconsider its growth strategy in relation to public or state-owned airports across Europe. This could in turn lead to a scaling-back of Ryanair's overall growth strategy due to the smaller number of privately-owned airports available for development. ?No assurance can be given as to the outcome of these legal proceedings, nor as to whether any unfavorable outcomes may, individually or in the aggregate, have a material adverse effect on the results of operations or financial condition of Ryanair.?For additional information, please see "Item 8. Financial Information-Other Financial Information-Legal Proceedings." ?
Supply Chain - Risk 2
A majority of Ryanair's aircraft and certain parts are sourced from a single supplier; therefore, Ryanair would be materially and adversely affected if such supplier were unable to provide additional equipment or support.
Because Ryanair currently sources the majority of its aircraft and many related aircraft parts from Boeing, if Ryanair were unable to acquire additional aircraft or sufficient spare parts from Boeing, or if Boeing were unable or unwilling to make timely deliveries of aircraft or to provide adequate support for its products, Ryanair's operations could be materially and adversely affected. ?Ryanair is subject to cyber security risks and may incur increasing costs in an effort to minimize those risks. As almost all of Ryanair's reservations are made through its website and mobile app, security breaches could expose it to a risk of loss or misuse of customer information, litigation and potential liability. Third-party service organizations are used for both the reservation and flight planning processes. These third-party service organizations are also subject to cyber security risks. Ryanair secures its website and follows the recommendations set out in the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology's Cyber Security Framework. Nevertheless, the security measures which have been or will be implemented may not be effective, and Ryanair's systems may be vulnerable to theft, loss, damage, and interruption from a number of potential sources and events, including unauthorized access or security breaches, cyber-attacks, computer viruses, power loss, or other disruptive events. The methods used to obtain unauthorized access, disable, or degrade service or sabotage systems are constantly evolving and may be difficult to anticipate or to detect for long periods of time. Ryanair may not have the resources or technical sophistication to anticipate or prevent these rapidly evolving types of cyber-attacks. Attacks may be targeted at Ryanair, its customers and suppliers, or others who have entrusted it with information. Moreover, the war in Ukraine has resulted in a heightened risk of cyberattacks against companies like ours that have operations, vendors and/or supply chain providers located around the region of conflict. While Ryanair has experienced, and expects to continue to experience these types of threats and incidents, the Group has not detected any material cyber security events during fiscal year 2023. ?The Covid-19 pandemic and measures to reduce its spread had, and may again in the future have, a material adverse impact on the Company's business, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. At various times since the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic ("Covid-19") in February 2020, governments and other authorities globally  implemented a range of restrictions including lockdowns, "do not travel" advisories, restrictions on travel from certain international locations, enhanced airport screenings, mandatory quarantine requirements, social distancing, limitations on the number of persons that should be present at public gatherings and other similar restrictive measures. Restrictions and regulations in the future in response to new (vaccine-resistant) variants of Covid-19 or another pandemic could include imposing travel restrictions, quarantines of populations (including the Company's personnel), restrictions on our ability to access our facilities or aircraft or requirements to collect additional passenger data. ?Ryanair experienced reduced international and domestic demand related to Covid-19 throughout fiscal year 2021 and 2022. The Company may take actions to improve its financial position, including measures to improve liquidity if there are future adverse developments in relation to Covid-19 or another pandemic. Ryanair's reduction in expenditures, measures to improve liquidity or other strategic actions that it may take in the future in response to such developments may not be effective in offsetting any decreased demand, which could result in a material adverse effect on the Company's business, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. In addition, Ryanair has incurred, and may in the future incur, significant Covid-19/pandemic related costs for enhanced aircraft cleaning and additional procedures to limit transmission among its personnel and customers. These measures, individually and combined, could have a material adverse impact on the Company's business. Even though the Covid-19 pandemic has now moderated and the enhanced screenings, quarantine requirements and travel restrictions have been eased and/or lifted completely, the Company may experience adverse effects to its businesses, results of operations, financial position and cash flows resulting from a recessionary global economic environment that may persist. ?
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 2/10 (20%)Above Sector Average
Natural and Human Disruptions1 | 10.0%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Changed
Covid-19 has disrupted and may disrupt the Company's future strategic growth plans.
Covid-19 has disrupted and may disrupt the Company's future strategic growth plans including its business' operating results and financial condition associated with executing its strategic growth plans in the medium or long term. In developing its strategic growth plans, the Company makes certain assumptions, including, but not limited to, those related to customer demand, competition, market consolidation, the availability of aircraft and the global economy. Actual economic, market and other conditions have been and may continue to be different from its assumptions. Demand was and may in the future be significantly impacted by Covid-19 (or other pandemics), which has materially disrupted the timely execution of the Company's strategic operating plans. If the Company does not successfully execute or adjust its strategic growth plans in the long term, or if actual results vary significantly from its prior, current or future assumptions, the Company's business, operating results and financial condition could be materially and adversely impacted. ?Ryanair is subject to increasingly complex data protection laws and regulations. Ryanair's business involves the processing and storage on a large scale of personal data relating to its customers, employees, business partners and others. Ryanair is subject to the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation 2016/679 (the "GDPR") (which became fully applicable on May 25, 2018) as well as relevant national implementing legislation (Irish Data Protection Act 2018), which impose significant obligations upon subject companies. Ensuring compliance with data protection laws is an ongoing commitment which involves substantial costs, and it is possible that, despite Ryanair's efforts, governmental authorities or third parties will assert that Ryanair's business practices fail to comply with these laws and regulations. If its operations are found to be in violation of any of such laws and regulations, Ryanair may be subject to significant civil, criminal and administrative damages, penalties and fines, as well as reputational harm, which could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition or results of operations. ?The Company faces significant price and other pressures in a highly competitive environment. Ryanair operates in a highly competitive marketplace, with a number of low-fare, traditional and charter airlines competing throughout its route network. Airlines compete primarily in respect of fare levels, frequency and dependability of service, name recognition, passenger amenities (such as access to frequent flyer programs), and the availability and convenience of other passenger services. Unlike Ryanair, certain competitors are state-owned or state-controlled flag carriers and in some cases may have greater name recognition and resources and may have received, or may receive in the future, significant amounts of subsidies and other state aid from their respective governments as happened during the Covid-19 pandemic. In addition, the EU-U.S. Open Skies Agreement allows U.S. carriers to offer services in the intra-EU market, which could eventually result in increased competition in the EU market. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-Government Regulation-European Union."?The airline industry is highly susceptible to price discounting, in part because airlines incur very low marginal costs for providing service to passengers occupying otherwise unsold seats. Both low-fare and traditional airlines sometimes offer low fares in direct competition with Ryanair across a significant proportion of its route network as a result of the liberalization of the EU air transport market and greater public acceptance of the low-fares model.?In addition to traditional competition among airline companies and charter operators who have entered the low-fares market, the industry also faces competition from ground transportation (including high-speed rail systems) and sea transportation alternatives, as businesses and recreational travelers seek substitutes for air travel. ?Although Ryanair intends to assert its rights against any predatory pricing or other similar conduct, price competition both among airlines and between airlines and ground and sea transportation alternatives could reduce the level of fares and/or passenger traffic on Ryanair's routes to the point where profitability may not be achievable. ?
Capital Markets1 | 10.0%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Changed
Geopolitical uncertainties and an increase of trade restrictions and protectionism could have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's business, results of operation and financial condition.
In response to the war in Ukraine which started in February 2022, the EU, the U.K., the U.S., and other countries have introduced extensive sanctions on Russia (as well as Belarus for its role in Russia's invasion) comprised of targeted, restrictive measures on certain individuals and entities, export controls, as well as general restrictions on economic relations, trade and financial transactions relating to Russia and Belarus. In response, Russia has imposed countermeasures against "unfriendly" states and individuals and entities of such states. Such sanctions and countermeasures have had, and are expected to continue to have, a significant disruptive effect on global markets, including oil and gas markets, accessibility of airports and associated travel routes, as well as supply chains, including aircraft components. Geopolitical events, including the escalation or expansion of hostilities in the conflict in Ukraine, may lead to further trade restrictions and instability across Europe and worldwide.?In addition, the imposition of tariffs on certain imported products by the U.S. and subsidies provided to U.S. companies have triggered retaliatory actions or threats of retaliatory actions from certain foreign governments and may trigger retaliatory actions by other foreign governments, potentially resulting in a "trade war". Certain foreign governments have instituted or are considering imposing trade sanctions on certain U.S. goods. Others are considering the imposition of sanctions that will deny U.S. companies access to critical raw materials.?The above geopolitical and trade uncertainty and tensions have resulted in price increases of goods and services globally that may affect Ryanair which has exposure, either directly or indirectly, to the availability and cost of certain raw materials, including steel and titanium used for aircraft and spare parts it purchases and jet fuel. Sanctions, trade wars between certain countries or blocks of countries, or other governmental action, including retaliatory measures, related to tariffs or international trade agreements, could have a material adverse effect on demand for Ryanair's services, its costs, customers, suppliers and/or the Irish, EU, U.K., U.S. or world economy or certain sectors thereof and, in turn, Ryanair's business and financial results. ?EU Regulation on passenger compensation could significantly increase related costs. EU Regulation (EC) No. 261/2004 requires airlines to compensate passengers (holding a valid ticket) who have been denied boarding or whose flight has been canceled or delayed more than three hours on arrival. The regulation calls for compensation of €250, €400, or €600 per passenger, depending on the length of the flight and the cause of the cancellation or delay, i.e., whether it is caused by "extraordinary circumstances". As Ryanair's average flight length is less than 1,500 KM – the upper limit for short-haul flights – the amount payable is generally €250 per passenger. Passengers subject to flight delays over two hours are also entitled to "assistance", including meals, drinks, and telephone calls, as well as hotel accommodation if the delay extends overnight. For delays of over five hours, the airline is also required to offer the option of a refund of the cost of the unused ticket. There can be no assurance that the Company will not incur a significant increase in costs in the future due to the impact of this regulation if Ryanair experiences a large number of delays or canceled flights, which could occur as a result of certain types of events beyond its control. Further, recently courts in several jurisdictions have been narrowing the definition of the term "extraordinary circumstances", thus allowing increased consumer claims for compensation. In September 2015, the Court of Justice of the EU, in Van der Lans v KLM, held that airlines are required to provide compensation to passengers even in the event of a flight cancellation on account of unforeseen technical defects. Further, in April 2018, the Court of Justice of the EU found in Krusemann v TUIfly that "wildcat" strikes which stem from restructuring measures taken by an air carrier do not constitute extraordinary circumstances. In March 2021, in the Airhelp v SAS proceedings, the Court of Justice of the EU effectively imposed strict liability on airlines to pay compensation where flights are canceled or delayed for three hours or more on arrival due to strikes by airline staff.  In addition, in December 2021, in joined cases (including Azurair, Corendon Airlines, Eurowings, Austrian Airlines and Laudamotion), the Court of Justice of the EU found that compensation is also payable for schedule changes made without sufficient notice which result in an earlier departure of one hour or more or a later departure of three hours or more unless due to ‘extraordinary circumstances'.  See "-Extreme Weather Events Could Affect the Company and Have a Material Adverse Effect on the Company's Results of Operations" below. Under the terms of EU Regulation No. 261/2004, described above, in addition to the payment of compensation, Ryanair has certain duties to passengers whose flights are canceled. In particular, Ryanair is required to reimburse passengers who have had their flights canceled for certain reasonable, documented expenses – primarily for accommodation and food. Passengers must also be given a re-routing option if their flight is delayed over three hours or if it is canceled.  Such re-routing options are not limited to Ryanair flights and other carriers must be considered if no suitable Ryanair flight can be sourced. If a passenger elects for a refund, Ryanair's re-routing obligations cease.?Similar passenger rights are provided in the U.K. under the Air Passenger Rights and Air Travel Organizers' Licensing (Amendment) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019 ("U.K.261") and in Israel under the Aviation Services Law ("ASL"). ?The Company is substantially dependent on discretionary air travel. Because a substantial portion of airline travel (both business and personal) is discretionary and because Ryanair is substantially dependent on discretionary air travel, any prolonged general reduction in airline passenger traffic could have a material adverse effect on the Company's profitability or financial condition. Similarly, any significant increase in expenses related to security, insurance or related costs could have a material adverse effect on the Company's profitability or financial condition. As a consequence, any future aircraft safety incidents (particularly involving other low-fare airlines or aircraft models flown by Ryanair), changes in public opinion regarding the environmental impacts of air travel, terrorist attacks in Europe, the U.S. or elsewhere, significant military actions by the United States or EU nations, or any related economic downturn may have a material adverse effect on demand for air travel and thus on Ryanair's business, operating results, and financial condition. See "-The Company is dependent on the continued acceptance of low-fares airlines."?Extreme weather events could affect the Company and have a material adverse effect on the Company's results of operations. In 2010 and 2011, a significant portion of the airspace over northern Europe was closed by authorities as a result of safety concerns presented by emissions of ash from an Icelandic volcano, which resulted in the cancellation of a significant number of flights.?Extreme weather events may happen again and could lead to further significant flight cancellation costs which could have a material adverse impact on the Company's financial condition and results of operations. Furthermore, the occurrence of such events and the resulting cancellations due to the closure of airports could also have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial performance indirectly, as a consequence of changes in the public's willingness to travel within Europe due to the risk of flight disruptions.?The Company is dependent on the continued acceptance of low-fares airlines. In past years, accidents or other safety-related incidents involving certain other low-fares airlines have had a negative impact on the public's acceptance of such airlines. Any adverse event potentially relating to the safety or reliability of low-fares airlines (including accidents or negative reports from regulatory authorities) could adversely impact the public's perception of, and confidence in, low-fares airlines like Ryanair (regardless of Ryanair's own safety record) and could have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's financial condition and results of operations. In particular, an accident or other safety-related incident involving an aircraft operated by another airline of the same model or manufacturer as operated by Ryanair could have a material adverse effect on Ryanair if such accident or other safety-related incident resulted in actions or investigations by global aviation authorities or created a public perception that Ryanair's operations are not safe or reliable or are less safe or reliable than other airlines. Such regulatory actions and/or public perceptions could, in turn, result in adverse publicity for Ryanair, cause harm to Ryanair's brand and reduce travel demand on Ryanair's flights, resulting in a material adverse effect on the Company's financial condition and results of operations. For additional information, see "-Risks Related to the Company-A majority of Ryanair's aircraft and certain parts are sourced from a single supplier; therefore, Ryanair would be materially and adversely affected if such supplier were unable to provide additional equipment or support."? In addition to safety concerns, a significant increase in consumer concern regarding climate change could also lead to a reluctance to fly and could therefore have an adverse effect on Ryanair's financial condition and results of operations.?The Company faces the risk of loss and liability. Ryanair is exposed to potential catastrophic losses that may be incurred in the event of an aircraft accident or terrorist incident. Any such accident or incident could involve costs related to the repair or replacement of a damaged aircraft and its consequent temporary or permanent loss from service. In addition, an accident or incident could result in significant legal claims against the Company from injured passengers and others who experienced injury or property damage as a result of the accident or incident, including ground victims. Ryanair currently maintains passenger liability insurance, employer liability insurance, aircraft insurance for aircraft loss or damage, and other business insurance in amounts per occurrence that are consistent with industry standards. ?Ryanair currently believes its insurance coverage is adequate (although not comprehensive). However, there can be no assurance that the amount of insurance coverage will not need to be increased, that insurance premiums will not increase significantly, or that Ryanair will not be forced to bear substantial losses from any accidents not covered by its insurance. Airline insurance costs increased dramatically following the September 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. See "-The Company is substantially dependent on discretionary air travel" above. Substantial claims resulting from an accident in excess of related insurance coverage could have a material adverse effect on the Company's results of operations and financial condition. Moreover, any aircraft accident, even if fully insured, could lead to the public perception that Ryanair's aircraft were less safe or reliable than those operated by other airlines, which could have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's business.  ?EU Regulation No. 2027/97, as amended by Regulation No. 889/2002, governs air carrier liability. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-Insurance" for details of this regulation. This regulation increased the potential liability exposure of air carriers such as Ryanair. Although Ryanair has extended its liability insurance to meet the requirements of the regulation, no assurance can be given that other laws, regulations, or policies will not be applied, modified or amended in a manner that has a material adverse effect on Ryanair's business, operating results, and financial condition.?Airline industry margins are subject to significant uncertainty. The airline industry is capital intensive and is characterized by high fixed costs and by revenues that generally exhibit substantially greater elasticity than costs. Although fuel accounted for approximately 43% of total operating expenses in fiscal year 2023 and approximately 33% in fiscal year 2022, management anticipates that these percentages may vary significantly in future years. See "-Changes in fuel costs and availability affect the Company's results" above. The operating costs of each flight do not vary significantly with the number of passengers flown, and therefore, a relatively small change in the number of passengers, fare pricing, or traffic mix could have a disproportionate effect on operating and financial results. Accordingly, a relatively minor shortfall from expected revenue levels could have a material adverse effect on the Company's growth or financial performance. See "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects." The very low marginal costs incurred for providing services to passengers occupying otherwise unsold seats are also a factor in the industry's high susceptibility to price discounting. See "-The Company faces significant price and other pressures in a highly competitive environment" above.?
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 1/10 (10%)Below Sector Average
Debt & Financing1 | 10.0%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Ryanair has a significant amount of debt and fixed obligations, and insufficient liquidity may have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial condition.
Ryanair carries, and will continue to carry for the foreseeable future, a substantial amount of debt related to aircraft financing commitments, as well as commitments for maintenance and other obligations. Although the Company has historically been able to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to pay debt and other fixed obligations when they become due, the risks described in this report may limit the Company's ability to do so in the future and may adversely affect its overall liquidity. As a result, the Company has incurred and will continue to seek new financing sources to fund its operations for the unknown duration of any economic recovery period. Volatility and uncertainty in the global markets generally, and the air transportation industry specifically, may make it difficult for Ryanair to raise additional capital on acceptable terms, or at all. Additionally, future debt agreements may contain more restrictive covenants or require security beyond historical market terms, which may restrict Ryanair's ability to successfully access capital.?Ryanair has seasonally grounded aircraft. In prior years, in response to typically lower traffic and yields from November to March (inclusive) ("winter"), higher airport charges and/or taxes and, at times, higher fuel prices, Ryanair adopted a policy of grounding a certain portion of its fleet during the winter months. Ryanair carries out the majority of scheduled heavy maintenance during the winter months which also results in the grounding of aircraft. The Company intends to continue grounding aircraft in fiscal year 2024. Ryanair's policy of seasonally grounding aircraft presents some risks. While Ryanair seeks to implement its seasonal grounding policy in a way that will allow it to reduce the negative impact on operating income by operating flights during periods of high oil prices to high cost airports at low winter yields, there can be no assurance that this strategy will be successful. ?While seasonal grounding does reduce Ryanair's variable operating costs, it does not avoid fixed costs such as aircraft ownership costs, and it also decreases Ryanair's potential to earn revenues. Decreasing the number and frequency of flights may also negatively affect Ryanair's labor relations, including its ability to attract flight personnel interested in year-round employment. Such risks could lead to negative effects on Ryanair's financial condition and/or results of operations.  ?The Company will incur significant costs acquiring new aircraft and any instability in the credit and capital markets could negatively impact Ryanair's ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms. Ryanair's continued growth is dependent upon its ability to acquire additional aircraft to meet additional capacity needs and to replace older aircraft. Ryanair had 537 aircraft in its operating fleet at March 31, 2023 and expects to receive an additional 112 Boeing 737-8200 aircraft during fiscal years 2024 to 2025 inclusive, pursuant to a contract with the Boeing Company ("Boeing," and such contract inclusive of subsequent amendments, the "2014 Boeing Contract"). Ryanair expects to have approximately 640 narrow-body aircraft in its fleet following delivery of all the Boeing 737-8200 aircraft, depending on the level of lease returns, Boeing's ability to fulfill the 2014 Boeing Contract and aircraft disposals. For additional information on the Company's aircraft fleet and expansion plans, see "-A majority of Ryanair's aircraft and certain parts are sourced from a single supplier; therefore, Ryanair would be materially and adversely affected if such supplier were unable to provide additional equipment or support," and "Item 4. Information on the Company-Aircraft" and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-Liquidity and Capital Resources". There can be no assurance that this planned expansion will not outpace the growth of passenger traffic on Ryanair's routes or that traffic growth will not prove to be greater than the expanded fleet can accommodate. In either case, such developments could have a material adverse effect on the Company's business, results of operations and financial condition.? As a result of a 2014 purchase agreement with Boeing (the "2014 Boeing Contract") and the 2023 purchase agreement with Boeing signed on May 9, 2023 (subject to shareholder approval at the Company's AGM on September 14, 2023) (the "2023 Boeing Contract"), and other general corporate purposes, Ryanair has raised and expects to continue to raise substantial debt financing. Ryanair's ability to raise unsecured or secured debt to pay for aircraft is subject to potential volatility in the worldwide financial markets. Additionally, Ryanair's ability to raise unsecured or secured debt to pay for aircraft as they are delivered is subject to various conditions imposed by the counterparties and debt markets to such loan facilities and related loan guarantees, and any future financing is expected to be subject to similar conditions. Any failure by Ryanair to comply with such conditions and any failure to raise necessary amounts of unsecured or secured debt to pay for aircraft, would have a material adverse effect on its results of operations and financial condition.?Using the debt capital markets to finance the Company requires the Company to retain its investment grade credit ratings (the Company has a BBB+ (stable outlook) credit rating from both S&P and Fitch Ratings). There is a risk that the Group will be unable, or unwilling, to access these markets if it is downgraded or is unable to retain its investment grade credit ratings and this could lead to a higher cost of finance for the Group and a material adverse effect on its results and financial condition.?Ryanair has previously entered into significant derivative transactions intended to hedge some of its aircraft acquisition-related debt obligations. These derivative transactions expose Ryanair to certain risks and could have adverse effects on its results of operations and financial condition. See "Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk."?Currency fluctuations affect the Company's results. Although the Company is headquartered in Ireland, a significant portion of its operations are conducted in the U.K. Consequently, the Group has significant operating revenues and operating expenses, as well as assets and liabilities, denominated in U.K. pounds sterling. In addition, fuel, aircraft, insurance, aircraft leases and some maintenance obligations are denominated in U.S. dollars. Ryanair's operations and financial performance can therefore be significantly affected by fluctuations in the values of the U.K. pound sterling and the U.S. dollar. Ryanair is particularly vulnerable to direct exchange rate risks between the euro and the U.S. dollar because a significant portion of its operating costs are incurred in U.S. dollars and substantially none of its revenues are denominated in U.S. dollars.?Although the Company engages in foreign currency hedging transactions between the euro and the U.S. dollar and, from time to time, between the euro and the U.K. pound sterling, hedging activities are not expected to eliminate currency risks. See "Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk."?Prolonged delays in the European Union Aviation Safety Agency ("EASA") and/or the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA") issuing required certifications or approvals for the Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft could materially and adversely affect Ryanair's business plans, strategy and results of operations. Pursuant to a contract with the Boeing Company, Ryanair has ordered 300 new Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft (150 firm and 150 options) for delivery between 2027 to 2033 (the "2023 Boeing Contract"). See "Item 10. Additional information – Material Contracts". The 2023 Boeing Contract is subject to shareholder approval at Ryanair's AGM on September 14, 2023, and Ryanair cannot provide any assurance that the 2023 Boeing Contract will be approved at the AGM.?Ryanair expects the phased deliveries of the aircraft between 2027 and 2033 will enable Ryanair to create more than 10,000 new high-paid jobs for pilots, cabin crew and engineers, to facilitate disciplined traffic growth and support related revenue growth, and to replace a significant portion of Ryanair's older Boeing aircraft, supporting Ryanair's environmental and sustainability goals.? The delivery of the New Aircraft under the contract is subject to the EASA and FAA issuing the required certifications and approvals to Boeing. Prolonged delays in the EASA and/or the FAA issuing the required certifications or approvals for the Boeing 737-MAX-10, or further regulatory actions by the EASA and/or the FAA with respect to the Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft could also materially and adversely affect Ryanair's business plans, strategy and results of operations, and there can be no assurance that Ryanair will be able to procure and operate other types of aircraft from Boeing or another manufacturer, seller or lessor.?Residual value of the fleet. At June 30, 2023 Ryanair operated 558 aircraft (29 of which are leased), has a purchase contract in place in respect of an additional 91 Boeing 737-8200 "Gamechanger" aircraft over the period to December 2024 pursuant to the 2014 Boeing Contract and now intends to purchase up to 300 Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft (of which 150 are the subject of a firm order and 150 are subject to an option exercisable at Ryanair's discretion) over a 7-year period from calendar 2027 to 2033 (inclusive). Over the course of the 2023 Boeing Contract order, Ryanair plans to dispose and handback approximately 150 aircraft as part of its ongoing fleet management strategy. Although under the terms of the 2023 Boeing Contract, Ryanair shall (subject to obtaining Shareholder consent) purchase the new aircraft at substantial discounts to the basic price for Boeing 737-MAX-10 aircraft, there can be no certainty that there will be demand for the new aircraft or that Ryanair will be able to sell aircraft profitably at the time of disposal. Failure by Ryanair to dispose of an appropriate number of aircraft could have an adverse effect on Ryanair's financial condition.?Growth targets of Ryanair will be reduced if the 2023 Boeing Contract is not approved. Ryanair plans to grow passenger volume to approximately 300 million passengers per annum over the next 10 years to March 31, 2034 from 168.6 million passengers at the end of fiscal year 2023. If the 2023 Boeing Contract is not approved by Shareholders at the AGM, the Board believes that Ryanair will be unable to grow passenger volumes to these levels.?The Company faced legal challenges by regulatory authorities and consumers due to delays in the processing of cash refunds during the Covid-19 pandemic and its policy of offering travel vouchers in lieu of cash refunds in the interim. In the initial stages of the Covid-19 pandemic, and in light of staff shortages due to lockdown restrictions and an unprecedented high rate of flight cancellations, Ryanair offered travel vouchers to passengers who claimed reimbursement. This policy was in line with the requirements of the ‘European Commission's Recommendation (EU) 2020/648 of May 13, 2020 on vouchers offered to passengers and travelers as an alternative to reimbursement for cancelled package travel and transport services in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic', in which the Commission recognized airlines' right to offer travel vouchers as long as the offer does not affect passengers' right to opt for a cash refund instead. ?National authorities responsible for the enforcement of EU Regulation (EC) No. 261/2004 (the "Regulation") and the European Commission's Consumer Protection Cooperation Network generally recognized Ryanair's efforts and accepted that the seven days' deadline provided for by the Regulation to process refunds was to be interpreted in a reasonable manner in light of the circumstances of the Covid-19 crisis. While some consumer protection enforcement authorities or courts may ultimately find Ryanair's decision to encourage passengers to accept travel vouchers in lieu of a cash refund to amount to a breach of the Regulation and/or an unfair commercial practice, the Company does not consider that such findings would have a material adverse effect on the results of operations or financial condition of Ryanair. ?Brexit could adversely affect Ryanair's business. The U.K.'s exit from the European Union on January 31, 2020 has had a significant impact on the U.K. and the EU. The U.K. and the EU announced on December 24, 2020 that they had signed a Trade and Cooperation Agreement (the "EU–U.K. TCA"). The EU–U.K. TCA covers a wide range of topics, including trade in goods and in services, digital trade, intellectual property, public procurement, aviation and road transport, energy, fisheries, social security coordination, law enforcement and judicial cooperation in criminal matters, and thematic cooperation and participation in EU programs.? The current and future arrangements between the EU and the U.K., including the EU–U.K. TCA, could directly impact Ryanair's business in a number of ways. They include, inter alia, the status of the U.K. in relation to the EU's open air transport market, freedom of movement between the U.K. and the EU, and employment, social security, tax and customs rules between the U.K. and the EU. Adverse changes to any of these arrangements could potentially materially impact on Ryanair's financial condition and results of operations in the U.K. or other markets Ryanair serves.?As a result of the EU–U.K. TCA, flights between the U.K. and the EU can be offered by any of the Company's airline subsidiaries. U.K. domestic flights and flights between the U.K. and non-EU destinations can, however, only be operated by the Company's U.K. subsidiary, Ryanair U.K. Limited ("Ryanair U.K."), which received an Air Operator Certificate and Operating License ("U.K. AOC") from the U.K. Civil Aviation Authority ("U.K. CAA") in December 2018. ?Ryanair is exposed to Brexit-related risks and uncertainties, as approximately 21% of revenue in fiscal year 2023 came from operations in the U.K., although this was offset somewhat by approximately 16% of Ryanair's non-fuel costs in fiscal year 2023 which were related to operations in the U.K. ?Brexit could present Ryanair with a number of other potential regulatory challenges. Brexit could lead to potentially divergent laws and regulations as the U.K. continues to determine which EU laws (including, but not limited to, in respect of aviation safety and security, consumer rights, data protection, public health and the environment) that it initially replicated on its exit from the EU to ultimately amend or abolish. It also requires special efforts to ensure Ryanair's continuing compliance with EU Regulation No. 1008/2008, which requires that air carriers registered in an EU member state be majority-owned and effectively controlled by EU nationals. The Board of Directors has taken action to ensure continuing compliance with EU Regulation No. 1008/2008 after December 31, 2020, i.e., the date following which U.K. holders of the Company's shares are no longer treated as EU nationals for the purposes of EU regulation No. 1008/2008. For additional information, please see "–Risks Related to Ownership of the Company's Ordinary Shares or ADRs".  ?Brexit has caused, and may continue to cause, both significant volatility in global stock markets and currency exchange rate fluctuations, as well as create significant uncertainty among U.K. businesses and investors, mainly due to the resulting legal and regulatory uncertainty, including potentially divergent treaties, laws and regulations applicable to the provision of air transportation services. In particular, to June 30, 2023, the pound sterling had lost approximately 15% and 11% of its value against the U.S. Dollar and the euro respectively since the Brexit referendum in 2016. Further, the Bank of England and other observers have warned of a significant probability of a Brexit-related recession in the U.K., which may be further impacted by the long-term negative economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, increased interest rates and rising inflation. The Company earns a significant portion of its revenues in pounds sterling, and any significant decline in the value of the pound sterling and/or recession in the U.K. would materially impact its financial condition and results of operations. For the remainder of fiscal year 2024, taking account of timing differences between the receipt of sterling denominated revenues and the payment of sterling denominated costs, Ryanair estimates that every 1 pence sterling movement in the €/£ exchange rate will impact net income by approximately €16m million. For additional information, please see "–Currency fluctuations affect the Company's results". ?Risks associated with the euro. The Company is headquartered in Ireland and its reporting currency is the euro. Generally, fluctuations in foreign currencies, including devaluations, cannot be predicted by us and can significantly affect the value of our assets located or revenues generated outside of the Eurozone. As a result of the U.K.'s Brexit referendum in 2016, the pound sterling increased in volatility against the euro and could become more volatile over the course of the post-transition period. ? Ryanair Group airlines predominantly operate to/from countries within the Eurozone and have significant operational and financial exposures to the Eurozone that could result in a reduction in the operating performance of Ryanair or the devaluation of certain assets. Ryanair has taken certain risk management measures to minimize any disruptions; however, these risk management measures may be insufficient. The Company has cash and aircraft assets and debt liabilities that are denominated in euro on its balance sheet. In addition, the positive/negative mark-to-market value of derivative-based transactions are recorded in euro as either assets or liabilities on the Company's balance sheet. Uncertainty regarding the future of the Eurozone could have a materially adverse effect on the value of these assets and liabilities. In addition to the assets and liabilities on Ryanair's balance sheet, the Company has a number of cross-currency risks as a result of the jurisdictions of the operating business including non-euro revenues, fuel costs, certain maintenance costs and insurance costs. A strengthening in the value of the euro, primarily against U.K. pound sterling and other non-Eurozone currencies such as Polish zloty or a weakening against the U.S. dollar, could have a material adverse impact on the operating results of the Company.?Recession, inflation, austerity, changes in monetary policy and uncertainty in connection with the euro could also mean that Ryanair is unable to grow.?The Company's growth may expose it to risks. Ryanair's operations have grown rapidly since it pioneered the low-fares operating model in Europe in the early 1990s. Ryanair intends to continue to expand its fleet and add new destinations and additional flights. In September 2021, Ryanair increased its booked passenger target to approximately 225m passengers per annum by fiscal year 2026. Subject to shareholder approval of the 2023 Boeing Contract at the Company's AGM on September 14, 2023, this target will increase to approximately 300m passengers per annum by fiscal year 2034. However, no assurance can be given that these targets will be met. If growth in passenger traffic and Ryanair's revenues do not keep pace with the planned expansion of its fleet, Ryanair could suffer from overcapacity and its results of operations and financial condition (including its ability to fund scheduled purchases of the new aircraft and related debt repayments) could be materially adversely affected.?The continued expansion of Ryanair's fleet and operations combined with other factors, may also strain existing management resources and related operational, financial, management information and information technology systems. Expansion will generally require additional skilled personnel, equipment, facilities and systems. An inability to hire skilled personnel or to secure required equipment and facilities efficiently and in a cost-effective manner may have a material adverse effect on Ryanair's ability to achieve its growth plans and sustain or increase its profitability.?Ryanair's new routes and expanded operations may have an adverse financial impact on its results. When Ryanair commences new routes, its load factors and fares tend to be lower than those on its established routes and its advertising and other promotional costs tend to be higher, which may result in initial losses that could have a material negative impact on Ryanair's results of operations as well as require a substantial amount of cash to fund. In addition, there can be no assurance that Ryanair's low-fares service will be accepted on new routes. Ryanair also periodically runs special promotional fare campaigns, in particular in connection with the opening of new routes. Promotional fares may have the effect of increasing load factors and reducing Ryanair's yield and passenger revenues on such routes during the periods that they are in effect. Ryanair has significant cash needs as it expands, including the cash required to fund aircraft purchases or aircraft deposits related to the acquisition of aircraft. There can be no assurance that Ryanair will have sufficient cash to make such expenditures and investments, and to the extent Ryanair is unable to expand its route system successfully, its future revenue and earnings growth will in turn be limited. See"-The Company will incur significant costs acquiring new aircraft and any instability in the credit and capital markets could negatively impact Ryanair's ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms".?
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 1/10 (10%)Below Sector Average
Demand1 | 10.0%
Demand - Risk 1
Ryanair's continued growth is dependent on access to suitable airports; charges for airport access are subject to increase.
Airline traffic at certain European airports is regulated by a system of grandfathered "slot" allocations. Each slot represents authorization to take-off and/or land at the particular airport at a specified time. As part of Ryanair's strategic initiatives, which include flights to primary airports, Ryanair Group airlines are operating to an increasing number of slot-coordinated airports, a number of which have constraints at particular times of the day. There can be no assurance that Ryanair will be able to obtain a sufficient number of slots at slot-coordinated airports that it may wish to serve in the future, at the time it needs them, or on acceptable terms. There can also be no assurance that its non-slot constrained bases, or the other non-slot constrained airports Ryanair serves, will continue to operate without slot allocation restrictions in the future. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-Government Regulation-Slots." Airports may impose other operating restrictions such as curfews, limits on aircraft noise levels, mandatory flight paths, runway restrictions, and limits on the number of average daily departures. Such restrictions may limit the ability of Ryanair to provide service to or increase service at such airports.?Ryanair's future growth also materially depends on its ability to access suitable airports located in its targeted geographic markets at costs that are consistent with Ryanair's strategy. Any condition that denies, limits, or delays Ryanair's access to airports it serves or seeks to serve in the future would constrain Ryanair's ability to grow. A change in the terms of Ryanair's access to these facilities or any increase in the relevant charges paid by Ryanair as a result of the expiration or termination of such arrangements and Ryanair's failure to renegotiate comparable terms or rates could have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial condition and results of operations. For additional information, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-Airport Operations-Airport Charges." See also "-The Company is subject to legal proceedings alleging state aid at certain airports" below.Labor relations could expose the Company to risk. In December 2017, Ryanair announced its decision to recognize trade unions for collective bargaining purposes. Since then, Ryanair Group airlines have concluded Collective Labor Agreements ("CLAs") with trade unions in most of their major markets. The CLAs concluded to date vary by country but include agreements on recognition, seniority, base transfers, promotions, pay and rostering arrangements. There may be a push for legacy type working conditions which, if acceded to, could decrease the productivity of crew, increase costs and have an adverse effect on profitability. ?At the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic, Ryanair and its union partners negotiated agreements to protect crew jobs via temporary pay cuts which were to be gradually restored from 2022 to 2025. In fiscal year 2023, Ryanair Group airlines concluded agreements with their people and unions, in the majority of countries, which accelerated pay restoration with pay fully restored in December 2022 and annual pay increases applying thereafter to 2025 or 2026. Whilst agreements on pay are in place, high inflation in the general economy, a global recession and a shift in market conditions could lead to unrealistic expectations by trade unions and excessive pay demands that could lead to labor unrest. ?Ryanair intends to retain its low fare, high people productivity model; however, there may be periods of labor unrest as unions challenge the existing high people productivity model which may have an adverse effect on customer sentiment and profitability. ?Ryanair has transitioned from Irish to local contracts of employment in a number of EU countries which has impacted costs, productivity and complexity of the business. Any subsequent decision to switch to lower cost locations could result in redundancies and a consequent deterioration in labor relations.?
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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