We are subject to risks associated with public health crises, severe cold and flu seasons, epidemics and pandemics, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and other widespread illnesses. In addition, we are subject to risk associated with government measures to prevent the spread of infectious diseases, including the global health concerns related to the COVID-19 pandemic. It is impossible to predict the severity of the annual cold and flu season or the occurrence of epidemics, pandemics or any other widespread illnesses.
The COVID-19 pandemic has subjected our business, operations, and financial condition to a number of risks, including, but not limited to, those discussed below:
- Risks Related to Revenue: Our revenues and our tenants' revenues are dependent, in part, on occupancy. In addition to the impact of increases in mortality rates on occupancy of our operating facilities, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic may prevent prospective occupants and their families from visiting our facilities and limit the ability of new occupants to move into our facilities due to heightened move-in criteria and screening. Although the ongoing impact of the pandemic on occupancy remains uncertain, a decrease in occupancy could affect the net operating income of our tenants and the ability of our tenants to make contractual payments to us.
- Risks Related to Tenant Financial Condition: In addition to the risk of decreased revenue from tenant payments, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic creates a heightened risk of tenant bankruptcy or insolvency due to factors such as decreased occupancy, increased health and safety and labor expenses or litigation resulting from developments related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Risks Related to Operations: Operational costs may increase in the future based on the duration and severity of the pandemic or the introduction of public health regulations. Operators and tenants are also subject to risks arising from the unique pressures on seniors housing employees during the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result of difficult conditions and stresses related to the COVID-19 pandemic, employee morale and productivity may suffer and additional pay, such as hazard pay, may not be sufficient to retain key operator and tenant employees. In addition, our operations or those of our tenants may be adversely impacted if a significant number of our employees or those of our operators or tenants' contract COVID-19. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our facilities could result in additional operational costs and reputational and litigation risk to us and our tenants. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, our tenants' cost of insurance is expected to increase, and such insurance may not cover certain claims related to COVID-19. Our exposure to COVID-19 related litigation risk may be increased if the tenants of the relevant facilities are subject to bankruptcy or insolvency. In addition, we may face increased operational challenges and costs resulting from logistical challenges such as supply chain interruptions, business closures and restrictions on the movement of people.
- Risks Related to Property Acquisitions and Dispositions: As a result of uncertainty regarding the length and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic and the impact of the pandemic on our business and related industries, our investments in and acquisitions of senior housing properties, as well as our ability to transition or sell properties with profitable results, may be limited. Such disruptions to acquisition, disposition and development activity may negatively impact our long-term competitive position.
- Risks Related to Liquidity: The COVID-19 pandemic and related public health measures implemented by governments worldwide have had severe global macroeconomic impacts and have resulted in significant financial market volatility. An extended period of volatility or a downturn in the financial markets could result in increased cost of capital. If our access to capital is restricted or our borrowing costs increase as a result of developments in financial markets relating to the pandemic, our operations and financial condition could be adversely impacted. In addition, a prolonged period of decreased revenue and limited acquisition and disposition activity operations could adversely affect our financial condition and long-term growth prospects and there can also be no assurance that we will not face credit rating downgrades. Future downgrades could adversely affect our cost of capital, liquidity, competitive position and access to capital markets.
Public health crises, severe cold and flu seasons, epidemics and pandemics, and other widespread illnesses could result in adverse impacts on our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial condition. Additional risks that may be associated with other future public health crises, severe cold and flu seasons, epidemics or pandemics, or other widespread illnesses include:
- one or more of our tenants could experience deteriorating financial conditions and be unable or unwilling to pay rent on time and in full (which has, and could continue to result from, among other reasons (i) increased operating costs and staffing requirements related to compliance with Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ("CDC") protocols, (ii) decreased occupancy rates, (iii) increased scrutiny by regulators, (iv) potential repayments of relief funds received by tenants, (v) nursing or other staffing shortages; or (vi) decisions by elderly individuals to avoid or delay entrance into assisted living and other long-term care facilities);- health orders, rent moratoriums, and other initiatives by federal, state, and local authorities could affect our operators and our ability to collect rent and/or enforce remedies for the failure to pay rent;- the possibility we may have to restructure tenants' obligations and may not be able to do so on terms that are favorable to us;- decreased occupancy, including due to early resident move-outs, operators delaying new resident admissions and potential occupants postponing moves to our operators' facilities;- the possibility that hospitals may cancel or significantly reduce elective surgeries, thereby reducing the number of people in need of skilled nursing care;- increased costs or delays that we have incurred, and may continue to incur, if we need to reposition or transition any of our currently-leased properties to another tenant or operator, which have adversely impacted, and may continue to adversely impact, our revenues and results of operations;- the expiration, or lack of enforcement, of liability immunity for health care providers in relation to a qualified pandemic under the Public Readiness and Emergency Preparedness Act (the "PREP Act"); and - complete or partial closures of, or other operational issues at, one or more of our properties resulting from government actions or directives.
The extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic, or other future health crises, may impact our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial condition, and those of our operators, depends on many factors which are highly uncertain and are difficult to predict. These factors include, but are not limited to, the duration, spread and severity of any outbreak, the timing, distribution and efficacy of vaccines and other treatments, the actions taken to contain the outbreak or health crisis or mitigate its impact, and the direct and indirect economic effects of the pandemic or other health crisis and containment measures.