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Park Hotels & Resorts (PK)
NYSE:PK

Park Hotels & Resorts (PK) AI Stock Analysis

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PKPark Hotels & Resorts
(NYSE:PK)
68Neutral
Park Hotels & Resorts is on a recovery path with strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow management. Although the stock shows weak technical indicators, it offers a good valuation with an attractive dividend yield. The earnings call provided a cautiously optimistic outlook with a focus on long-term growth despite some operational challenges. These factors combined result in a moderately positive outlook for the stock.
Positive Factors
Capital Allocation
Capital allocation has been a positive, with management making strategic decisions to reduce exposure to challenging markets like San Francisco and Oakland.
Negative Factors
Hawaii Performance
Concerns around the performance of Hawaii in '25 have led to a downgrade of Park Hotels & Resorts to Peer Perform.
Labor Costs
Rising expenses are also a concern and likely to weigh on 2025.

Park Hotels & Resorts (PK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Park Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPark Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) is a leading lodging real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring, owning, and operating high-quality hotels and resorts. Primarily concentrated in the United States, the company boasts a diverse portfolio of properties located in prime urban and resort markets. Park Hotels & Resorts aims to deliver long-term growth and value to its investors by optimizing its portfolio through strategic acquisitions, dispositions, and asset management initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyPark Hotels & Resorts generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its hotel properties. The company earns money by leasing hotel rooms to guests, which forms the bulk of its income. Additionally, the company generates revenue from food and beverage sales, conference and event hosting, parking, and other guest services provided at its properties. Park Hotels & Resorts also benefits from its strategic partnerships with leading hotel brands that manage its properties, such as Hilton and Marriott, which help maintain high occupancy rates and premium pricing. Furthermore, the company focuses on enhancing property value through renovations and operational improvements, which can lead to increased revenue over time.

Park Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Park Hotels & Resorts has shown significant recovery and growth post-pandemic, with notable improvements in revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects reduced leverage and better financial stability, although further equity strengthening could enhance the company's financial standing. Cash flow management shows resilience and the ability to support growth and debt reduction. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but should continue efforts to enhance profitability and equity base.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company has shown strong recovery and revenue growth from pandemic lows, with a significant rebound in revenue from $852 million in 2020 to $2.6 billion in 2024. Gross profit margin has improved, reaching 100% in 2024, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margin at 8.15% in 2024, while positive, shows room for improvement. EBIT margin at 15.04% and EBITDA margin at 12.15% demonstrate profitability but highlight the need for further enhancement in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a reduction in total debt from $5.36 billion in 2020 to $225 million in 2024, enhancing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio significantly improved, indicating lower leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved, showing better returns for shareholders. However, equity has decreased, affecting the equity ratio which stood at 39.79% in 2024, indicating moderate leverage with potential for strengthening equity position.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong cash flow management with positive free cash flow of $429 million in 2024, a substantial improvement from negative figures in 2020. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio highlights robust cash conversion, supporting reinvestment and debt reduction efforts.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.05B2.60B2.70B2.50B1.36B852.00M
Gross Profit
521.00M745.00M746.00M693.00M227.00M-161.00M
EBIT
113.00M391.00M343.00M413.00M-178.00M-1.20B
EBITDA
403.00M696.00M683.00M573.00M89.00M-939.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-60.00M212.00M97.00M162.00M-452.00M-1.44B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
402.00M402.00M717.00M906.00M688.00M951.00M
Total Assets
9.16B9.16B9.42B9.73B9.74B10.59B
Total Debt
225.00M225.00M4.71B4.85B4.90B5.37B
Net Debt
-177.00M-177.00M4.00B3.94B4.21B4.41B
Total Liabilities
5.57B5.57B5.65B5.44B5.34B5.74B
Stockholders Equity
3.65B3.65B3.81B4.34B4.45B4.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
122.00M429.00M218.00M241.00M-191.00M-524.00M
Operating Cash Flow
215.00M429.00M503.00M409.00M-137.00M-438.00M
Investing Cash Flow
387.00M-166.00M-217.00M87.00M394.00M119.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-679.00M-573.00M-475.00M-320.00M-475.00M914.00M

Park Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.91
Price Trends
50DMA
13.33
Negative
100DMA
13.70
Negative
200DMA
13.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
27.63
Positive
STOCH
14.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.65, below the 50-day MA of 13.33, and below the 200-day MA of 13.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PK.

Park Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Park Hotels & Resorts disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Park Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Park Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HSHST
74
Outperform
$11.08B16.0110.53%5.05%7.02%-4.78%
71
Outperform
$3.48B16.346.50%6.62%6.52%14.45%
PKPK
68
Neutral
$2.37B11.645.68%8.51%-3.67%122.68%
61
Neutral
$4.91B18.99-3.12%7.77%6.71%-19.69%
PEPEB
61
Neutral
$1.42B-0.16%0.34%2.35%57.81%
RLRLJ
58
Neutral
$1.43B34.092.94%5.36%3.31%-15.16%
XHXHR
54
Neutral
$1.34B85.531.24%3.64%1.33%-10.65%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
11.91
-3.69
-23.65%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
16.08
-3.73
-18.83%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
11.87
-4.22
-26.23%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
9.25
-2.24
-19.50%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.26
-1.56
-10.53%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
14.55
-0.89
-5.76%

Park Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 19, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.01% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Park Hotels & Resorts' strategic asset dispositions and successful redevelopment projects leading to strong performance in certain markets. However, challenges such as labor strikes in Hawaii, RevPAR decline in Q4, and significant debt maturities present concerns. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on long-term growth and strategic investments.
Highlights
Strategic Asset Dispositions
In 2024, Park Hotels & Resorts strategically divested three hotels for a combined $200 million, improving RevPAR by $3 and EBITDA margin by over 30 basis points. The company plans to target $300 to $400 million in non-core asset sales in 2025 to further enhance portfolio quality and pay down debt.
Successful Redevelopments
The Bonnet Creek Resort in Orlando and Casa Marina Resort in Key West showed strong performance post-improvement. Bonnet Creek's RevPAR increased 17% and EBITDA exceeded $82 million, up 36% from the previous year. Casa Marina's RevPAR increased almost 29% since 2019, with EBITDA up 31% since 2019.
Positive Group Revenue Trends
Group revenue pace at the Bonnet Creek complex is up 15% for 2025, with expectations for continued growth due to new developments like Universal's $6 billion epic theme park opening.
Solid Operational Performance
Park Hotels ended Q4 with strong results, including a 30% RevPAR increase in Orlando and a 77% increase at Casa Marina. The Hilton Chicago saw nearly 15% growth in RevPAR and a 53 basis point improvement in EBITDA margin.
Royal Palm Resort Redevelopment
A $100 million investment is planned for the Royal Palm Resort in South Beach, expected to elevate its market positioning and potentially double its EBITDA post-renovation.
Lowlights
Hawaii Market Disruptions
The Hilton Hawaiian Village was negatively impacted by a 45-day labor strike and guest room renovations, resulting in a 540 basis point headwind to total portfolio RevPAR in Q4.
Q4 RevPAR Decline
Q4 RevPAR declined by 1.4%. Excluding strike impact, RevPAR increased by 3.1%, but the overall performance was below expectations.
Challenges in Miami
The Royal Palm renovation will result in a $17 million EBITDA displacement for 2025, and operations will be suspended into Q2 of 2026.
Debt Maturity Concerns
The $1.4 billion CMBS debt on Hawaiian Village and the Hyatt Regency Boston matures in the second half of 2026, posing a refinancing challenge.
Company Guidance
During the call, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. provided guidance for 2025, indicating an anticipated RevPAR growth of 0% to 3%, reflecting challenges from the first quarter and planned closures. The company plans to aggressively pursue $300 to $400 million in non-core asset sales to enhance portfolio quality and reduce debt. Expected EBITDA margins for 2025 are forecasted between 20.1% and 27.7%, with anticipated adjusted EBITDA of $610 million to $670 million and adjusted FFO per share guidance of $1.90 to $2.20. Significant capital investments are planned, including a $100 million renovation of the Royal Palm Resort, anticipated to generate an IRR of 15% to 20% and potentially double the hotel's EBITDA. Group revenue pace at Bonnet Creek is up 15%, and the company expects RevPAR growth in the upper single digits with double-digit EBITDA growth at key resorts. The company remains focused on strategic capital recycling and operational excellence to unlock long-term value.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.