Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Parnell Pharmaceuticals disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Parnell Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Risk Overview Q4, 2016
Risk Distribution
25% Legal & Regulatory
20% Production
18% Tech & Innovation
18% Ability to Sell
16% Finance & Corporate
2% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
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Parnell Pharmaceuticals Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2016
Main Risk Category
Legal & Regulatory
With 14 Risks
Legal & Regulatory
With 14 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
55
S&P 500 Average: 31
55
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
0Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Dec 2016
0Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Dec 2016
Number of Risk Changed
0
S&P 500 Average: 3
0
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Parnell Pharmaceuticals in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 55
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 14/55 (25%)Above Sector Average
Regulation11 | 20.0%
Regulation - Risk 1
Our business will be materially affected if products in development are denied necessary governmental approval
We must seek, obtain and maintain approval to market our animal health products. In the U.S., this typically requires the filing of a New Animal Drug Application, or NADA, or an Abbreviated New Animal Drug Application, or ANADA. The FDA's approval of these applications requires the agency to assess the quality and quantity of evidence submitted by the company to demonstrate its products' safety and efficacy. The FDA is under no obligation to approve a product even if, during discussions with us, the agency agrees to a product development plan successfully followed by us. The FDA, for example, may determine that one of our products lacks sufficient evidence of safety or sufficient evidence of efficacy and deny approval. In the case of a denial of approval, we can expect the value of our development efforts to be greatly reduced or, in the worst case, lost. In addition, our revenue projections will be adversely affected by the inability to market our product.
Regulation - Risk 2
Our business may be materially affected by governmental action or inaction in approving the company's products
While the FDA operates under specified reviewing timeframes for animal drug applications, the agency may not adhere to those timeframes. Consequently, we can be exposed to delays in moving our products out of the pipeline and into the market. Delays can occur for a variety of reasons, many of which are beyond our control. For example, the FDA may lack adequate resources to review our submissions in a timely manner. As a further example, a study conducted by us may unexpectedly yield data raising new questions of safety or efficacy which then must be addressed before the product can be finally reviewed. Due to any such delay, we may experience loss of anticipated revenues and significant increases in pre-market development costs materially affecting our business.
Regulation - Risk 3
Our manufacturing facility is regulated by multiple governmental bodies including the FDA, the APVMA and Health Canada, among others. Some or all of these regulators may suspend or revoke their approval of this facility which could substantially harm our business.
We operate a manufacturing facility that produces both sterile and non-sterile drugs. We are currently approved to manufacture by the APVMA (which also enables us to export products to multiple other jurisdictions including in Asia, Africa and the Middle East), the ACVM (New Zealand), Health Canada, EC-MRA (Europe) and the FDA. Recently, some jurisdictions have changed their previous position of recognizing other health agencies/regulatory bodies. For example, in Saudi Arabia, the newly appointed Saudi Food and Drug Authority, or SFDA, now requires specific approval under their jurisdiction and no longer recognize the authority of the APVMA or FDA. Compliance with the various standards of multiple jurisdictions is time consuming and expensive. Our established quality management system is currently compliant with all of the various authorities who have jurisdiction over our product sales, however there can be no assurances that we will remain in compliance with current standards or that standards will not be revised. If we fail to comply with regulatory standards, we may receive various actions or sanctions against us, including warning letters, fines, suspensions of operations, the recall of our products, refusal to permit our products' entry into foreign markets or cancellation of our manufacturing licenses and approvals. The FDA in particular has been very active in the sterile manufacturing sector and has recently caused multiple facilities to be either shut down or to have to undertake very expensive and time consuming recertification, which has resulted in substantial or total inability to supply products to the market. If this were to occur, we would suffer a significant reduction in sales and profits which would adversely affect the company's business.
Regulation - Risk 4
Failure to obtain regulatory approvals in foreign jurisdictions for our product candidates would prevent us from marketing our products internationally.
In order to market any product outside of the U.S., including in the EU and many other foreign jurisdictions, separate regulatory approvals are required. More specifically, in the EU, pet therapeutics can only be commercialized after obtaining a Marketing Authorization, or MA. Before granting the MA, the EMA or the competent national authorities of the member states of the EU make an assessment of the risk-benefit balance of the product on the basis of scientific criteria concerning its quality, safety and efficacy.
The approval procedures vary among countries and can involve additional studies and testing, and the time required to obtain approval may differ from that required to obtain FDA approval. Animal studies conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries. Approval by the FDA does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries, and approval by one or more foreign regulatory authorities does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other foreign countries or by the FDA. However, a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one country may have a negative effect on the regulatory process in others. The foreign regulatory approval process may include all of the risks associated with obtaining FDA approval. We may not be able to file for regulatory approvals, or to do so on a timely basis and even if we do file them, we may not receive necessary approvals to commercialize our products in any market.
Regulation - Risk 5
If approved, any of our current or future products may cause or contribute to adverse medical events that we are required to report to the FDA and regulatory authorities in other countries and, if we fail to do so, we could be subject to sanctions that would materially harm our business.
If we are successful in commercializing any of our current or future products, regulations of the FDA and of the regulatory authorities in other countries require that we report certain information about adverse medical events if those products may not have caused or contributed to those adverse events. The timing of our obligation to report would be triggered by the date we become aware of the adverse event as well as the nature of the event. We may fail to report adverse events we become aware of within the prescribed timeframe. We may also fail to appreciate that we have become aware of a reportable adverse event, especially if it is not reported to us as an adverse event or if it is an adverse event that is unexpected or removed in time from the use of our products. If we fail to comply with our reporting obligations, the FDA and regulatory authorities in other countries could take action including criminal prosecution, the imposition of civil monetary penalties, seizure of our products, or delay in approval or clearance of future products.
Regulation - Risk 6
If we fail to comply with or become subject to more onerous government regulations, our business could be adversely affected.
The animal health industry is subject to changing political and regulatory influences. Both state and federal government agencies regulate the importation, manufacture, distribution and sale of animal health products. We are subject to regulation, either directly or indirectly, by numerous governmental authorities, including the FDA and its analogous U.S. state and other, non-U.S. regulatory counterparts. Some of the potentially applicable regulatory regimes include animal drug regulations, environmental regulations, transportation regulations, labor regulations and occupational health and safety regulations. Our contract manufacturers are independently subject to similar legal regimes. Changes in enforcement policy or the interpretation of such regulatory programs by their relevant agencies can materially affect our business.
We strive to maintain compliance with these laws and regulations. If we are unable to maintain or achieve compliance with these laws and regulations, we could be subject to substantial fines or other restrictions on our ability to provide competitive distribution services, which could have an adverse impact on our financial condition.
We cannot assure you that existing laws and regulations will not be revised or that new, more restrictive laws will not be adopted or become applicable to us or the products that we distribute. We cannot assure you that our business and financial condition will not be materially and adversely affected by future changes in applicable laws and regulations.
Regulation - Risk 7
Zydax, our most advanced product candidate, may take longer to, or may never, receive regulatory approval in the U.S., Europe or in any other significant market.
Our business model calls for growth, at least in part from the approval of our product candidates, including Zydax for the treatment of OA in dogs. In order to obtain approval of Zydax for the treatment of OA in dogs, we are required to submit to the FDA's Center for Veterinary Medicine, or CVM, three of the major sections of our dossier including Safety, Efficacy, and Chemistry and Manufacturing Controls, or CMC. We have requested a waiver for the Environmental Assessment. The Safety section has been completed, submitted and approved by the CVM. We must now fulfill the requirements of the two remaining sections. In particular we must successfully complete a pivotal efficacy study and submit a Drug Master File, or DMF, (among other components). Both of these undertakings bear risk of not being successful or may take longer than we currently anticipate and/or cost more than projected. It may also be that the FDA or the European Medicines Agency, or EMA, or both will fail to grant approval.
Regulation - Risk 8
We are subject to the U.K. Bribery Act, the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other anti-corruption laws. If we fail to comply with these laws, we could be subject to civil or criminal penalties, other remedial measures, and legal expenses, which could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Our operations are subject to anti-corruption laws, including the U.K. Bribery Act 2010, or Bribery Act, the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, or FCPA, and other anti-corruption laws that apply in countries where we do business. We and our commercial partners operate in a number of jurisdictions that pose a high risk of potential Bribery Act or FCPA violations, and we participate in collaborations and relationships with third parties whose actions could potentially subject us to liability under the Bribery Act, FCPA or local anti-corruption laws. Compliance with the FCPA is expensive and difficult, particularly in countries in which corruption is a recognized problem. Previously, we had not implemented a comprehensive anti-corruption policy. As a result of the recent and expected future growth of our business, particularly with respect to our international sales, we plan to establish an anti-corruption policy designed to prevent violation of applicable anti-corruption laws.
There is no assurance that we will be completely effective in ensuring our compliance with all applicable anti-corruption laws, including the Bribery Act, the FCPA or other legal requirements. If we are not in compliance with the Bribery Act, the FCPA and other anti-corruption laws, we may be subject to criminal and civil penalties, disgorgement and other sanctions and remedial measures, and legal expenses, which could have an adverse impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and liquidity. Likewise, any investigation of any potential violations of the Bribery Act, the FCPA, other anti-corruption laws or Trade Control laws by U.K., U.S. or other authorities could also have an adverse impact on our reputation, our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 9
We are subject to export control laws, customs laws, sanctions laws and other laws governing our operations, including economic and trade sanctions administered and enforced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control. If we fail to comply with these laws, we could be subject to civil or criminal penalties, other remedial measures, and legal expenses, which could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
We are subject to laws and regulations governing our international operations, including laws and regulations administered by the governments of the U.S. and Australia and authorities in the European Union, including applicable export control regulations, economic sanctions on countries and persons, and customs requirements, collectively referred to as the Trade Control laws.
If our U.S. subsidiaries sell to distributors that we know are reselling products to the targeted foreign countries, entities and individuals identified by OFAC, we could be subject to enforcement actions. Previously, we had not implemented a comprehensive Trade Control policy.
If we are not in compliance with the Trade Control laws, we may be subject to criminal and civil penalties, disgorgement and other sanctions and remedial measures, and legal expenses, which could have an adverse impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and liquidity. Likewise, any investigation of any potential violations of the Trade Control law by U.S. or other authorities could also have an adverse impact on our reputation, our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 10
Legislative or regulatory reforms with respect to pet therapeutics may make it more difficult and costly for us to obtain regulatory clearance or approval of any of our current or future product candidates and to produce, market, and distribute our products after clearance or approval is obtained.
From time to time, legislation is drafted and introduced in the U.S. Congress that could significantly change the statutory provisions governing the testing, regulatory clearance or approval, manufacture, and marketing of regulated products. In addition, the FDA regulations and guidance are often revised or reinterpreted by the FDA in ways that may significantly affect our business and our products. Similar changes in laws or regulations can occur in other countries. Any new regulations or revisions or reinterpretations of existing regulations in the U.S. or in other countries may impose additional costs or lengthen review times of any of our current or future product candidates. We cannot determine what effect changes in regulations, statutes, legal interpretation or policies, when and if promulgated, enacted or adopted may have on our business in the future. Such changes could, among other things, require:
- changes to manufacturing methods; - recall, replacement, or discontinuance of certain products; and - additional record keeping.
Each of these would likely entail substantial time and cost and could materially harm our financial results. In addition, delays in receipt of or failure to receive regulatory clearances or approvals for any future products would harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 11
Our Constitution and Australian laws and regulations applicable to us may adversely affect our ability to take actions that could be beneficial to our shareholders.
As an Australian company we are subject to different corporate requirements than a corporation organized under the laws of the U.S. Our Constitution, as well as the Australian Corporations Act, set forth various rights and obligations that are unique to us as an Australian company. These requirements may operate differently than those of many U.S. companies. You should carefully review the summary of these matters set forth under the section entitled, "Description of Share Capital" as well as our Constitution, which is included as an exhibit to this annual report.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 1.8%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We may be subject to product liability and other claims in the ordinary course of business.
We distribute products that are manufactured exclusively by us. As a result, we face the risk of product liability and other claims in the ordinary course of business, including complaints regarding marketing materials and promotional claims that we make about our products. We maintain product liability insurance policies; however, our ability to recover under the policies is subject to the terms of such arrangements and the financial viability of the insurers. We do not, however, maintain policies specifically insuring against clinical trial liability. We cannot assure you that our insurance coverage will be available or sufficient in any future cases brought against us.
Taxation & Government Incentives1 | 1.8%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
We receive R&D tax incentives from the Australia Taxation Office (ATO). Changes in our eligibility for this program or tax reform in Australia could affect the amount of funding received from the ATO.
We receive tax credits from the ATO related to cash spent on development and research and development expenditures. The amounts received or recognized as receivable for the year ended December 31, 2016, December 31, 2015, the six-month period ended December 31, 2014, and the year ended June 30, 2014 were approximately $3.3 million, $3.8 million, $2.6 million and $0.9 million, respectively. If we fail to meet certain eligibility requirements under these incentives or the ATO discontinues these incentives, we may not receive such funding in the future.
Environmental / Social1 | 1.8%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
We are subject to environmental regulation and environmental compliance expenditures.
We are subject to environmental, health and safety laws and regulations concerning, among other things, air and wastewater discharges, the generation, handling, storage, transportation and disposal of hazardous waste and toxic substances. Pursuant to some of these laws and regulations, we are required to obtain permits from governmental authorities for certain operations. We incur costs to comply with such laws, regulations and permits, and we cannot assure you that we have been or will be at all times in complete compliance with such laws, regulations and permits. If we violate or fail to comply with these laws, regulations or permits, we could be fined or otherwise sanctioned by regulators. We could also be responsible for costs incurred relating to contamination at our third party waste disposal sites or relating to damages incurred as a result of human exposure to such substances or other environmental damage caused by our operations or our disposal of waste.
Environmental, health and safety laws and regulations are complex, change frequently and have tended to become more stringent over time. We monitor our ongoing costs associated with these laws and regulations. We believe that in the ordinary course of business, changes in these laws and regulations would be brought to our attention. However, we cannot assure you that environmental, health and safety laws will not change materially, that we would be able to effectively identify such changes or that our costs and liabilities relating to these current and future laws will not adversely affect our business or profitability.
Production
Total Risks: 11/55 (20%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing4 | 7.3%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Our products may become the target of malicious tampering or our products may be deemed to be adulterated due to a breakdown in the quality management system resulting in a requirement to undertake a broad product recall.
We maintain a quality management system which is designed to assure the purity, strength and safety of our products and that they will meet the approved specifications and as such not be deemed to be adulterated under FDA regulations and relevant legislation in other jurisdictions. However, we may experience a breakdown in this system that may result in either an inadvertent product contamination or adulteration or alternatively a malicious act by our own personnel or outside individuals. As a result we may undertake voluntarily or be compelled to undertake a broad product recall which may be required to the level of distribution or potentially to the end-user. We have a validated system in place to undertake such a product recall but the cost of undertaking such a procedure can be significant and may include making payments to maintain good will such as full refunds or product replacement or we may have to pay restitution or be subject to litigation which may result in punitive damages being ordered, especially if the adulteration results in the death or disablement of an animal or person. We maintain insurance coverage for such events but our insurers may deny our claims or the claims may exceed the limitations of our coverage which would result in significant costs to the company. We also maintain specified levels of business continuity insurance including for loss of profits but such insurance may not be sufficient or adequate to protect us from all foreseeable and unforeseen losses. Despite potential financial protections we have in place, a major product adulteration incident may cause our customers to lose confidence in our products and we may suffer irreparable harm to our corporate or product reputation and not be able to recover from such an event.
Manufacturing - Risk 2
Our products may cause injury or death to an animal or human and expose us to significant compensation claims.
Our products are designed and intended to be both efficacious and safe for the animals in which treatments are targeted. We cannot have any degree of certainty as to how our products will affect all animals. Our drugs may be used off-label and without our knowledge. In either case, an animal may suffer minor, major or catastrophic side-effects from our drugs. As a result of such events, we may be exposed to product liability claims from animal owners and potentially from veterinarians. Some of our products may be potentially dangerous to human beings. For example, estroPLAN (as with all prostaglandin F 2a, or PG, drugs) is known to cause abortive effects on pregnant women, potential respiratory effects in humans, and is easily and rapidly absorbed through the skin. Because estroPLAN is administered in a field setting, the potential for product container breakage and inadvertent human contact may occur. Likewise, our personnel who manufacture estroPLAN or who utilize it in a clinical trial setting may be exposed to the risks of estroPLAN and its active ingredients. While we label our products and take precautionary steps during the manufacturing process including educating our staff to the potentially harmful effects, we cannot prevent all possible situations that may cause human exposure to estroPLAN. We currently do not know the user-safety profile of our pipeline drugs and do not know what the animal safety profile will be. Even if we undertake animal safety and user safety studies, we may not know the full safety profile of a drug for many years after gaining approval. As a result, we may be exposed to both patent and latent compensation claims for many years to come, the costs of which could be significant.
Manufacturing - Risk 3
The loss of products or delays in product availability from our manufacturing facility could substantially harm our business.
We currently manufacture all of our products in our manufacturing facility located in Sydney, Australia. This facility currently has approximately 64% available capacity, is approved by multiple regulators, and has been inspected by the FDA. Despite the current operations of this facility being compliant and meeting our forecasted demands for several years to come, there can be no assurance that our manufacturing facility will be able to meet our supply obligations when needed. We face the following risks:
- Our manufacturing facility is subject to ongoing, periodic, unannounced inspection by regulatory authorities, including the FDA, the APVMA, Health Canada and other agencies for compliance with strictly enforced regulations. Violations could potentially lead to interruptions in our supply that could lead to lost sales to competitive products that are more readily available. - We may not be able to control or adequately monitor the quality of our products. Poor quality products could damage our reputation with our customers or subject us to potential legal liability toward such customers.
Manufacturing - Risk 4
We have no timely ability to replace our current manufacturing capabilities.
If our manufacturing facility suffers any type of prolonged interruption, whether caused by regulator action, equipment failure, critical facility services (such as water purification, clean steam generation or building management and monitoring system), fire, natural disaster or any other event that causes the cessation of manufacturing activities, we would be exposed to long-term loss of sales and profits. There are limited facilities which are capable of contract manufacturing some of our products and product candidates. For example, our estroPLAN product contains a highly potent active ingredient and hence requires specific containment capabilities. In addition, if we were able to find a contract manufacturer capable of supplying our needs, it takes considerable time to launch the manufacture of any product and is costly. Replacement of our current manufacturing capabilities will have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
Employment / Personnel3 | 5.5%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
We may be subject to claims that our employees, consultants or independent contractors have wrongfully used or disclosed confidential information of third parties.
We have received confidential and proprietary information from third parties. In addition, we employ individuals who were previously employed at other biotechnology, pharmaceutical or animal health companies. We may be subject to claims that we or our employees, consultants or independent contractors have inadvertently or otherwise improperly used or disclosed confidential information of these third parties or our employees' former employers. Litigation may be necessary to defend against these claims. Even if we are successful in defending against these claims, litigation could result in substantial cost and be a distraction to our management and employees.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Loss of key personnel could adversely affect our operations.
We are currently dependent to a significant degree upon the ability and experience of our President and Chief Executive Officer Robert Joseph and Chief Financial Officer Brad McCarthy. We currently have employment agreements with these executives that contain non-competition restrictions following termination of employment. These senior executive officers collectively hold 11.4% of our ordinary shares all of which is fully vested and unrestricted. As a result, our senior staff may not have an adequate incentive to remain employed with us or continue to meaningfully grow the business. If these senior executives were to leave, equity holders might see a devaluation of their ordinary shares because the loss of any of their experience and knowledge which could adversely affect our ability to conduct our operations or to achieve growth through acquisitions. See "Management."
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
Many of our staff are located in Australia which has a rigorous industrial relations statutory framework that may expose us to industrial action and governmental sanctions.
Australia has a complex industrial relations environment that is prone to significant litigation and protections for employees both under the Australia Fair Work Act and other legislative provisions. This industrial relations framework may expose us to industrial or strike action by our staff, and they may seek to take action under the Fair Work Australia commission seeking to claim certain or additional entitlements. Currently we expect that our employment contracts are compliant with all legislative provisions and provide all statutory entitlements. However, we have experienced events in the past where current or former employees have sought to take action under various employment law provisions which has caused us to incur significant legal fees and may have exposed us to fines and governmental sanctions. We have no certainty that such actions may not occur in the future which would cause unexpected expenditure and consume internal resources potentially disrupting other parts of our business.
Supply Chain4 | 7.3%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
The Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient, or API, for all our products and product candidates is supplied by contract manufacturers. If these third party suppliers discontinue our supply relationship or are unable to supply our needs on a timely basis or on terms and conditions acceptable to us, we may experience disruption to the continuation of our sales.
We do not manufacture any of the API for any of our products or product candidates and we are therefore entirely dependent upon contract manufacturers to supply us with our API requirements. Our third party suppliers may become unable to supply us with stock that meets our specifications or within our required delivery timelines. We may also be subject to capacity constraints of our suppliers which may disrupt our ability to efficiently manufacture our products. If these or any other such risks occur, our ability to timely and efficiently manufacture our products will be delayed, or our costs may increase, including with respect to additional expenses resulting from mitigation such as rush charges and air freight, and our business, financial condition and results of operations may be materially adversely affected.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Some of our product candidates require our contract manufacturers to develop manufacturing processes for development of our API. These processes may result in manufacturing delays and increased costs.
For some of our product candidates there is likely to be no current supplier of the API needed given the proprietary nature of their chemical structure and formulation. This will therefore require us to engage the services of a contract API supplier. These suppliers may be difficult to identify and they may not have the requisite experience to specifically synthesize our APIs or the ability to develop a robust and reliable manufacturing process that is scalable for commercial purposes. The costs associated with this process could be higher than we expect and we may be required to expend funds at our risk and with no certainty of success. Due to some of our pipeline projects being early stage, we also have no specific indication of what the cost will be to supply the API at commercial scale and as a result our expected cost of goods may be higher than we anticipate which may decrease our potential profits. In addition to unforeseen cost increases of development and supply, we may experience delays in gaining approval as a result of the API development process which could delay the time to which we could potentially derive revenues from our pipeline product candidates.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
We have supply agreements in place for the API contained in our estroPLAN and GONAbreed products. If these contractual arrangements terminate or are otherwise not renewed, our ability to timely acquire the necessary API will be impaired and may result in a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
We have signed long-term supply agreements for the API contained in our estroPLAN and GONAbreed products. The estroPLAN API is supplied by Piramal Healthcare (UK) Ltd. under a supply agreement that has one year remaining on the current renewal term, and GONAbreed is supplied by Bachem A.G. in Switzerland under an agreement that has about two years remaining of the initial term. We have previously renewed supply contracts with both these parties but in the event that these arrangements are not renewed or otherwise terminated, it may take us considerable time to identify a new supplier and have the FDA, or other regulatory bodies, approve such a supplier. As a result, we may be precluded from selling our reproductive hormone products in some or all of our currently approved or future markets until such a time that an approved manufacturer is able to supply us with API. Due to estroPLAN and GONAbreed currently being the source of the majority of our revenues, representing AUD$3.0 million for the six months ended December 31, 2014, AUD $11.1 million in fiscal year ended December 31, 2015 and AUD $13.8 million in fiscal year ended December 31, 2016, until such time as we have additional products approved, any delay in the supply of the API for these products would have a significant impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Supply Chain - Risk 4
We currently utilize third party providers to undertake certain aspects of our R&D operations. If there is an interruption in such service or if our third party researchers are unable to adequately fulfill our research needs, we may experience delays in advancing our pipeline of product candidates.
For some aspects of our product development we utilize third party service providers. In particular for primary research, including formulation development we have partnered with various academic institutions. These facilities also undertake certain studies for us into the mode of action of some of our product candidates. We also utilize contract research organizations, or CROs, to undertake our target animal safety studies and other aspects of the safety dossier including pharmacokinetics studies and concomitant use safety studies. All of these service providers are selected based on capability and resources but there is no guarantee or certainty that they can perform to the level they purport. If we experience an interruption in these relationships or if our CROs are unable to deliver the outcomes they asserted they could, we may suffer delays to our development projects and/or increased expenditures.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 10/55 (18%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D3 | 5.5%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
Our pipeline products, other than Zydax in the U.S. and EU, are all early stage development projects and there is no clinical data to support their likelihood of success.
A significant component of our future sales growth is dependent upon the successful approval and commercialization of our pipeline product candidates to achieve substantial revenue and profit uplift. All of our pipeline opportunities including PAR121, PAR122, are early stage compounds in pilot stage. None of them have substantive clinical efficacy or safety data in our targeted animal species and these compounds have not had a definitive formulation developed. The clinical studies completed to date for PAR121 and PAR122 may not be indicative of efficacy when studied under more rigorous and robust experimental conditions. As a result, we may not be able to transform the product concept into a feasible drug product that can be administered in-vivo or manufactured at scale to produce a stable product. If all of our pipeline opportunities fail, we will be dependent on our currently approved drugs to deliver revenue and profit growth and/or we will need to identify additional projects to commence. Accordingly, we may need to raise more capital to undertake additional projects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
Multiple other companies are developing new product offerings to treat OA in dogs.
The OA market for dogs is a large and attractive market for drug companies and a multitude of companies producing alternative therapies including nutraceuticals and over-the-counter products. There are already many competitive offerings in the OA market. Potential new drug products include offerings from companies such as Aratana Therapeutics and Nexvet. There is also likely to be other potential product offerings that we are not yet aware of. There may also be technologies in development that are superior to, or obviate, the need for a disease modifying treatment such as Zydax. If such technologies came to market, we may experience a decline in sales.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 3
Development of animal health products involves an expensive and lengthy process with an uncertain outcome, and results of earlier studies may not be predictive of future study results.
Development of animal health products is expensive and can take many years to complete, and its outcome is inherently uncertain. To gain approval to market an animal health product for a particular species, we must provide the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities, as applicable, with data from animal safety and effectiveness studies that adequately demonstrate the safety and efficacy of that product in the target animal for the intended indication applied for in the NADA, product license or other regulatory filing. Failure can occur at any time during the development process. Success in prior target animal studies or in the treatment of human beings with a product candidate does not ensure that our target animal studies will be successful, and the results of development efforts by other parties may not be indicative of the results of our target animal studies and other development efforts. Product candidates in our studies may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy despite showing such results in initial data or previous human or animal studies conducted by other parties. Even if our studies and other development efforts are completed, the results may not be sufficient to obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates.
Once our target animal studies commence, we may experience delays in such studies and other development efforts. In addition, we do not know whether planned studies will begin on time, need to be redesigned or be completed on schedule, if at all. Pet therapeutics studies can be delayed or discontinued for a variety of reasons, including delay or failure to:
- complete target animal studies due to deviations from study protocol; - address any safety concerns that arise during the course of testing; - address any conflicts with new or existing laws or regulations; - add new study sites; or - manufacture sufficient quantities of formulated drug for use in studies.
If we experience delays in the completion or termination of any development efforts for our product candidates, the commercial prospects of our product candidates will be harmed, and our ability to generate product revenues from any of these product candidates will be delayed or eliminated. In addition, any delays in completing our development efforts will increase our costs, slow down our product candidate development and approval process and jeopardize our ability to commence product sales and generate revenues. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly. In addition, many of the factors that cause, or lead to, a delay in the commencement or completion of our development efforts may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates.
Trade Secrets6 | 10.9%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
We have limited patent protection for our products. While we have applied for and intend to continue applying for patents, our patent applications may never be granted or, if granted, may be reduced beyond our current expectations, which could result in no, or reduced intellectual property protections which could expose us to increased competition and materially impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We currently have limited patent protection for all of our pipeline product candidates. We have, or our licensing partners have, made various applications which may never result in effective patent coverage. For most of our product candidates, there is already an existing array of prior art that may preclude us from filing or succeeding at patent examination due to lack of inventiveness which would mean that any patents we seek may never be granted. Once we file our patent applications it typically takes several years before our applications are granted and in that time the patent landscape can alter significantly. The actual process of preparing patents is expensive and time consuming and prone to a significant reliance on the skill of the patent writer. In most cases we engage legal counsel and other service providers to write our patents and we are therefore exposed to their individual skill levels and mistake or errors or omissions that they make will potentially render our patent position useless. Patent examiners are also prone to variability and subjectivity and the cost and time for us to prosecute our filings is typically substantial running into many hundreds of thousands of dollars with no significant ability to predict the outcome. Even when our patents are granted we remain exposed to other companies or individuals filing objections or challenging our patent positions through court proceedings which would cost us a significant amount of money and internal resources to defend or to prosecute others if we believe they are infringing our patents.
Trade Secrets - Risk 2
Patent applications we have filed in our major markets may not result in issued patents and/or the patent may be challenged based on prior art.
We have filed patent applications that cover various aspects of Zydax, including composition of matter patent and method of manufacture. Various patents have been issued in Australia and New Zealand and a number of other countries. Additional applications are pending in multiple jurisdictions. There is a risk that our patent applications in other jurisdictions may not be granted. In addition, competitors may seek to challenge our issued patents and may be successful. This may lead to competitor generic copies of Zydax entering the market and we may experience a reduction in sales and profits.
Trade Secrets - Risk 3
If third parties claim that we infringe upon their intellectual property rights, our operating profits could be adversely affected.
We face the risk of claims that we have infringed third parties' intellectual property rights, including trademarks, trade dress, and patents. Third parties may claim that our company name and logos, or the names and logos of our proprietary branded products infringe their trademarks and/or trade dress and/or that our products infringe such third parties' patented animal health products.
The complexities of the technology involved in patents and associated litigation as well as for trademarks increase the risk of business assets and management's attention being diverted to intellectual property litigation. Any claims of patent or other intellectual property infringement, even those without merit, could:
- be expensive and time consuming to defend; - cause us to cease making or using products or services that incorporate the challenged intellectual property; - require us to redesign, reengineer, or rebrand our products or packaging, or change our company name; - divert management's attention and resources; or - require us to enter into royalty or licensing agreements in order to obtain the right to use a third party's intellectual property.
We cannot assure you that our company name or any of our current or future product candidates will not infringe existing or future patents or trademarks. Because we have not conducted a formal freedom to operate analysis for patents related to our products, we may not be aware of patents that have already issued that a third party might assert are infringed by one of our current or future product candidates. In addition, third parties may obtain patents in the future and claim that use of our technologies infringes upon these patents. Because patent applications can take years to issue and may be confidential for 18 months or more after filing, there may be applications now pending of which we are unaware and which may later result in issued patents that we would infringe.
Any royalty or licensing agreements, if required, may not be available to us on acceptable terms or at all. A successful claim of infringement against us could result in our being required to pay significant damages, enter into costly license or royalty agreements, stop the sale of certain products, or change the name of our company or certain products, any of which could have a negative impact on our operating profits and harm our future prospects.
In addition to infringement claims against us, if third parties have prepared and filed patent applications in the U.S. that also claim technology to which we have rights, we may have to participate in interference proceedings in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, or PTO to determine the priority of invention. Third parties may also attempt to initiate re-examination, post grant review or inter partes review of our patents in the U.S. PTO. We may also become involved in similar opposition proceedings in the European Patent Office or similar offices in other jurisdictions regarding our intellectual property rights with respect to our products and technology.
Trade Secrets - Risk 4
We may not be able to protect our intellectual property rights throughout the world.
Filing, prosecuting and defending patents on product candidates throughout the world is very expensive. Competitors may use our technologies in jurisdictions where we have not obtained patent protection to develop their own products and, further, may export otherwise infringing products to territories where we have patent protection, but where enforcement is not as strong as that in the U.S. These products may compete with our products in jurisdictions where we do not have any issued or licensed patents and our patent claims or other intellectual property rights may not be effective or sufficient to prevent them from so competing.
Trade Secrets - Risk 5
Our intellectual property rights may be inadequate to protect our business.
We attempt to protect our intellectual property rights through a combination of patent, trademark, copyright and trade secret laws, as well as third-party nondisclosure and assignment agreements. Our failure to obtain or maintain adequate protection of our intellectual property rights for any reason could have a material adverse effect on our business.
We rely on our trademarks, trade names and brand names to distinguish our proprietary branded products and services from the products and services of our competitors, and have registered or applied to register many of these trademarks. We cannot assure you that our trademark applications will be approved. Third parties may also oppose our trademark applications, or otherwise challenge our use of the trademarks. In the event that our trademarks are successfully challenged, we could be forced to rebrand our proprietary branded products and services, which could result in loss of brand recognition, and could require us to devote resources to advertise and market new brands. Further, we cannot assure you that competitors will not infringe upon our trademarks, or that we will have adequate resources to enforce our trademarks. If we are unable to maintain the proprietary nature of our technologies, we could be materially adversely affected.
The patents we own could be challenged, invalidated or circumvented by others and may not be of sufficient scope or strength to provide us with any meaningful protection or commercial advantage. Further, we cannot assure you that competitors will not infringe upon our patent, or that we will have adequate resources to enforce our patent.
Trade Secrets - Risk 6
If we fail to comply with our obligations under our intellectual property licenses with third parties, we could lose license rights that are essential to our business.
We are party to license agreements for our product candidates that are essential to our business. These license agreements impose various payment and performance obligations on us. If we fail to develop PAR121 and PAR122 in accordance with the license agreement, CIMTECH Pty Ltd, or CIMTECH, may have the right to terminate the license agreement, in which event we would no longer have the right to develop or commercialize PAR121 and PAR122. If we lose such license rights, our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects may be adversely affected.
Technology1 | 1.8%
Technology - Risk 1
We have limited redundancy built into our Information Technology, or IT, systems.
The continuing daily operation of our business is heavily dependent on our IT systems. In particular we operate an Enterprise Resource Planning, or ERP, software platform (Navision) and we maintain a typical hardware and network architecture across our two operating premises in Sydney and Kansas City as well as connecting our remote staff across Australia, New Zealand and the U.S. We utilize our ERP system on a daily basis to maintain our financial systems and we also utilize it for manufacturing purposes. An interruption to the provision of this service would substantially reduce our ability to transact sales and make payments and would interrupt our ability to manufacture and release product. We operate a typical IT infrastructure protection and back-up system and our data can typically be reinstated rapidly; however, we currently have limited built-in hardware redundancy capabilities and until such time as we implement a more robust system the availability of our systems could be compromised for several weeks. Similarly, we currently have systems to prevent malicious infiltration of our hardware and data systems but we cannot be certain of their effectiveness. Because we maintain private information about our customers including financial information such as credit card details and their animal health records, such infiltration may expose our customers to misuse of their personal information which could in turn expose us to legal proceedings instituted by our customers for failing to adequately protect their information. Proceedings or investigations may also be instituted by various government bodies that are responsible for privacy and/or data protection in certain jurisdictions which could also lead to significant fines or civil penalties.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 10/55 (18%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 1.8%
Competition - Risk 1
Our market is highly competitive, and failure to compete successfully could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The sale and distribution of animal health products is highly competitive, continually evolving and subject to technological change. We compete directly with both geographically diverse and regional animal health product manufacturers, as well as companies that promote over-the-counter drugs directly to animal owners and veterinarians. Additionally, certain drug product manufacturers currently compete through the direct marketing of products, and other manufacturers may decide to do so in the future. We compete with numerous manufacturers and distributors based on customer relationships, service and delivery, product selection, price and e-commerce capabilities. In the U.S., we currently utilize two primary third-party distributors, MWI Veterinary Supply, Inc and Animal Health International, Inc. to provide logistics services. These two companies currently provide logistics services to the majority of ship-to livestock producer and large animal veterinary clinic locations. As a result of recent mergers and acquisitions, these two companies may exert market influence across a large cross-section of livestock producers and veterinary clinics. They may be able to use this influence to position our competitors' products rather than our products. Some of our competitors have greater financial and other resources than we do. Many of our competitors have comparable product lines or distribution strategies that directly compete with ours. Our potential competitors include large animal health companies, such as Zoetis, Inc.; Merck Animal Health, the animal health division of Merck & Co., Inc.; Elanco, the animal health division of Eli Lilly and Company; Bayer Animal Health, the animal health division of Bayer AG; Boehringer Ingelheim Animal Health, the animal health division of Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH; Virbac Group; Ceva Animal Health; Vetoquinol and Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC. We are also aware of several smaller early stage companies that are developing products for use in the animal health market. If we do not compete successfully against these organizations, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Demand4 | 7.3%
Demand - Risk 1
Our customers may rely on government-funded programs whose discontinuance or modification could erode the market for our products.
Some of our customers may rely, in part, on farm and agricultural subsidy programs. These programs may provide funds used to support the purchase of the company's products. Changes initiated by governmental authorities in the application or terms of these programs may adversely affect our customers' abilities to finance our products, which could lead to an erosion of the company's market and decreased revenues.
Demand - Risk 2
Changes in consumer preferences could adversely affect our business.
The demand for production animal health products is heavily dependent upon consumer demand for beef and dairy products. The food industry in general is subject to changes in consumer demand, trends and preferences. Trends within the food industry change often and our failure to anticipate, identify or react to changes could lead to, among other things, reduced product demand and subsequent price reductions for our animal health products, which could have materially adverse effects on our business.
Demand - Risk 3
Consolidation in the animal health industry may decrease our net sales and profitability.
Consolidation in the animal health industry could result in existing competitors increasing their market share, which could give them greater pricing power and portfolio bundling opportunities and the ability to block market access into large livestock producers and veterinary clinics thereby leading to a decrease in our net sales and profitability and increasing the competition for our customers. Furthermore, as our current customers consolidate, they may make changes in purchase practices and potentially result in the loss of our existing business or lower prices for our products.
Demand - Risk 4
Consolidation of our customers could negatively affect the pricing of our products.
We rely on veterinarians as a primary point of distribution for our products. In many countries, the typical suburban veterinary practice is owned by a veterinarian who is approaching retirement age. This has led to the emergence of veterinary practice consolidators such as Greencross in Australia, VCA Antech in the U.S., and also the emergence of branded, corporate style clinics such as Banfield. In addition, we have seen the emergence of large, buying groups of multiple veterinary practices pooling their purchasing power. These large, aggregated veterinary practice groups of various descriptions typically seek to improve their margins by causing suppliers, including pharmaceutical companies, to offer lower prices, rebates or other forms of discounts. As a small company, we have limited ability to resist such pricing pressure which may in turn reduce our margins and profitability or we may lose sales altogether if we cannot compete on price.
Sales & Marketing4 | 7.3%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Changes in distribution channels for our products could negatively impact our market share, margins and distribution of our products.
Historically, animal owners (companion animals and production animals) have purchased animal health pharmaceuticals through their veterinarians. This has changed substantially in recent years with large producers now buying directly from distributors or from pharmaceutical companies themselves. Similarly for companion animal owners, there have been changes in regulations in many countries that have allowed non-veterinary outlets to supply pharmaceuticals directly to the public on the prescription of a veterinarian. This can have the effect of reducing the revenues for veterinary clinics that correspondingly aim to improve their profitability by exerting pressure on pharmaceutical companies to offer them lower prices as a means to compete against large retailers and online distributors. Legislation may come into effect in our markets that compels a veterinarian to disclose to their clients that they can fill prescriptions through a third party. The American Veterinary Medical Association, or AVMA, has a policy to encourage this practice.
The trend to purchase medications from non-veterinarian channels could negatively impact our sales and marketing channel through veterinarians. Historically, we have relied upon our veterinarian sales channel to diagnose new patients and to disseminate information about our company and products. If there is an increasing shift away from this practice, then our ability to supply information and attract new customers could require us to undertake direct to consumer marketing activities as an alternative selling and promotional strategy which could be expensive and potentially less effective. Any such alternatives may have a materially adverse effect upon our financial condition and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
We utilize marketing partners in many of our markets and as a result our sales performance is largely dependent on the performance of these local partners.
We currently sell our companion animal and production animal drugs in 11 countries. We use local marketing partners to sell our reproductive hormones in Canada, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Israel and Kenya. In all situations we are entirely dependent on the capabilities and business practices of our partners to successfully market and sell our drugs. We typically have a certain level of engagement with our partners and do offer promotional and clinical science capabilities to our partners but for daily operations we are still reliant on them to conduct business on our behalf. If these partners do not perform we have a limited ability to rectify the issue as in some cases a local company must hold the registration and it can be difficult to take back the marketing rights given local laws can heavily favor and protect local businesses such as in the Middle East. Similarly, if we do elect to take back our products and either market them in our own right or appoint new marketing and distribution partners, the incumbent may seek to undertake punitive actions and we would have limited ability to stop them. Even if we took legal action, in many countries the court systems can be highly complex and inefficient which may cause us to expend resources and funds on rectifying the situation and in some cases the resolution was not necessarily our desired outcome.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
We will require partners to distribute and market our products in those markets where we do not have or do not expect to have a direct presence.
We currently have the capability to market companion animal and production animal drugs in those markets where we have an existing presence, but we are reliant on partner organizations to distribute and market our products, including Zydax for dogs, in those markets where we do not currently have a presence or we do not expect to establish a presence. Prior to obtaining approval of Zydax for dogs in the EU, we would need to identify a distribution strategy including potentially appointing a partner in those markets where we are unrepresented. While we are aware of a large number of organizations that could likely be effective in distributing and marketing our products, we have not appointed a specific partner. Failure to negotiate a marketing agreement with a partner organization may result in a delay in the launch of Zydax upon approval.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 4
Sales of our existing reproductive hormones and osteoarthritis, or OA, products may decline as a result of increased competition and other market factors.
At least in the near term, we are depending on sales of our reproductive hormone products, our osteoarthritis products, and contract manufacturing for revenues and profits. All three product portfolios can be susceptible to pricing and competitive pressures.
In the Middle East, which accounted for approximately 31%, 9% and 6% of our revenues for the six-months ended December 31, 2014 and fiscal years 2015 and 2016, respectively, and in Canada, which accounted for approximately 0%, 6% and 0% of our revenues for six-months ended December 31, 2014, and fiscal years 2015, and 2016 respectively, we are dependent upon distribution partners to market and sell our reproductive hormone products. In the Middle East, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, we have a relatively mature product offering in relatively mature markets. In those markets where we have no direct sales presence (Middle East and Canada), we have a limited ability to directly grow the market for our products. As a result of these competitive market pressures, we may see a decline in market share and, as a result, a decline in our revenue.
The market for our OA products is highly competitive. We currently sell Zydax in Australia and Glyde in Australia and the U.S., but both of these markets have multiple competitive offerings, especially in the nutraceutical segment in which Glyde operates. Because the nutraceutical segment is less regulated than pharmaceuticals, competitors can advertise various claims to sell their products which can cause confusion in the market about individual product comparisons. Although all products which claim to treat or cure a disease or condition (including nutraceuticals) are required to be registered with the Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority, or APVMA, in practice there are a number of products which are not, especially in the U.S. where nutraceuticals are not specifically regulated by the FDA. As such, some competitors may make unjustified claims that to the untrained recipient or consumer seem believable. Thus competition in this product category in particular manifests as both other technologies/drugs but also a multitude of other competitive offerings that may not have to act to the same standard as we do. As OA is seen as a lucrative market, there is a strong attraction for new competitors to enter that market. While we have been able to grow our sales for our OA products in most years, we may not be able to continue to do so and we may see our existing revenues of Zydax and Glyde decline in future years due to increased competition.
Brand / Reputation1 | 1.8%
Brand / Reputation - Risk 1
Some of our products are hormones, and their use may be seen as controversial.
Our reproductive hormones are exact replicas of naturally occurring peptides or analogues of naturally occurring prostaglandins and maybe commonly referred to as hormones. There is an increased public sensitivity around the use of growth promoting hormones in production animals and increasingly foods may be labelled as "hormone free." While our products are not growth promoting, have an extremely short half-life and have been shown to have no residue in meat or milk, the public may nevertheless react to the use of our products and other products in the same class of drugs and apply market pressure to diminish or reduce the use of our products in dairy or beef cows. This could have a significant and long term impact on the market size for our products and we would likely be impacted along with all participants in the market. This would reduce our revenues and profits.
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 9/55 (16%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights3 | 5.5%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our ordinary shares are currently quoted only on the OTC Pink Open Market marketplace, which may have an unfavorable impact on our stock price and liquidity.
Parnell lost its "foreign private issuer," status as of December 31, 2016 and on December 21, 2016, the Company filed a Form 25, Notification of Removal from Listing and/or Registration under Section 12(b) of the Securities Exchange Act, with the Securities and Exchange Commission and NASDAQ on December 21, 2016. The NASDAQ delisting became effective on December 31, 2016 and trading on the NASDAQ Global market continued up until this date. The Company also filed a Form 15, Notice of Termination of Registration or Suspension of Duty to File, with the Securities and Exchange Commission to terminate its reporting obligations under the Exchange Act. After delisting from the NASDAQ, the Company ordinary shares began being quoted on the OTC Pink Open Market, a centralized electronic quotation service for over-the-counter securities, which is a significantly more limited market than the New York Stock Exchange or the NASDAQ Stock Market. The quotation of our ordinary shares on the OTC Pink Open Market may result in a less liquid market available for existing and potential stockholders to trade our ordinary shares which in turn could depress the trading price of our ordinary shares and could reduce the available to raise capital in the future.
In addition, our officers, directors and principal shareholders are exempt from the reporting and "short-swing" profit recovery provisions of Section 16 of the Exchange Act and the rules under the Exchange Act with respect to their purchases and sales of our ordinary shares. Moreover, we are no longer required to file periodic reports and financial statements with the SEC. In addition, we are not required to comply with Regulation FD, which restricts the selective disclosure of material information. As a result of this classification there may be less publicly available information concerning us than there is for U.S. public companies.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Our directors and certain significant shareholders exercise significant control over us.
Our directors and significant shareholders, including Alan Bell, Robert Joseph and Brad McCarthy, collectively control approximately 40.2% of our outstanding ordinary shares. As a result, these shareholders are able to influence our management and affairs and all matters requiring shareholder approval in ways that may not align with your interest as a shareholder, including the election of directors and approval of significant corporate transactions. This concentration of ownership may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control of us even if beneficial to you as a shareholder and might affect the market price of our ordinary shares.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Australian takeover law may discourage takeover offers being made for us or may discourage the acquisition of a significant position in our ordinary shares.
We are incorporated in Australia and are subject to the takeover laws of Australia. Among other things, we are subject to the Australian Corporations Act. Subject to a range of exceptions, the Corporations Act prohibits the acquisition of a direct or indirect interest in our issued voting shares if the acquisition of that interest will lead to a person's voting power in us increasing to more than 20%, or increasing from a starting point that is above 20%, though below 90%. Australian takeover laws may discourage takeover offers being made for us or may discourage the acquisition of a significant position in our ordinary shares. This may have the ancillary effect of entrenching our Board of Directors and may deprive or limit our shareholders' opportunity to sell their ordinary shares and may further restrict the ability of our shareholders to obtain a premium from such transactions. See "Description of Share Capital - Change of Control."
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 5.5%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
It is unlikely that we will pay dividends, and therefore you may not receive any return on your investment without selling your shares.
We currently intend to retain any future earnings for funding the growth of our business and therefore we do not currently anticipate declaring or paying cash dividends on our ordinary shares. In addition, our current credit agreement restricts us from paying such dividends. As a result, a return on your investment will only occur if our ordinary share price appreciates.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
As a public reporting company, we are required, among other obligations, to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting suitable to prepare our publicly reported financial statements in a timely and accurate manner.
The Sarbanes-Oxley Act requires, among other things, that public companies maintain effective internal controls for financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures. We are required, under Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, to furnish a report by management on, among other things, the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. This assessment is required to include disclosure of any material weaknesses identified by our management in our internal control over financial reporting. A material weakness is a deficiency, or combination of deficiencies, in internal control over financial reporting that results in more than a reasonable possibility that a material misstatement of annual or interim financial statements will not be prevented or detected on a timely basis. Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act also generally requires an attestation from our independent registered public accounting firm on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. However, during the year ended December 31, 2016 we remained an emerging growth company as defined in the JOBS Act, as such we took advantage of the exemption permitting us not to comply with the independent registered public accounting firm attestation requirement.
Any failure to maintain internal control over our financial reporting could severely inhibit our ability to accurately report our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows. If we are unable to conclude that our internal control over financial reporting is effective, or if we have a material weakness or significant deficiency in our internal control over financial reporting, we could lose investor confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports, the market price of our ordinary shares could decline, and we could be subject to sanctions or investigations by regulatory authorities . Failure to remedy any material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting, or to implement or maintain other effective control systems required of public companies, could also restrict our future access to the capital markets.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
We presently report our earnings in Australian dollars, yet the majority of revenues are derived in U.S. dollars and to a lesser extent in Canadian and New Zealand dollars. A significant appreciation of the Australian dollar would decrease our revenues and profits.
We are exposed to foreign currency fluctuations and do not maintain structured hedging positions to protect us from currency movements. We typically utilize forward exchange contracts to convert future, known or expected sales in U.S. dollars into Australian dollars at predetermined rates. These activities can provide some level of certainty as to the actual exchange rate we will receive but do not ensure that we are able to convert foreign currencies into Australian dollars at the rate that we may have expected or budgeted for. As a result we may be deleteriously impacted by significant movements in the value of the Australian dollar. From time to time this will reduce our Australian dollar denominated corporate earnings and may reduce the value of dividends paid in Australian dollars to investors located outside Australia.
Debt & Financing2 | 3.6%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Our current indebtedness could adversely affect our financial condition and ability to fulfill our debt obligations and otherwise adversely impact our business and growth prospects.
As of December 31, 2016, we had outstanding indebtedness of approximately AUD$29.8 million. Such remaining or any future indebtedness could have important consequences to you. For example, it could:
- make it more difficult for us to satisfy our obligations with respect to our term loan indebtedness and other current and future indebtedness; - require us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to the payment of our indebtedness, thereby reducing the availability of cash to fund working capital and capital expenditures and for other general corporate purposes; - restrict us from making strategic acquisitions and exploiting business opportunities; - place us at a disadvantage compared to our competitors that have less debt; and - limit our flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in our business and the industry in which we operate.
Our ability to make payments on and refinance our indebtedness, and to fund our operations, working capital and capital expenditures, depends on our ability to generate cash in the future. We cannot assure you that our business will generate sufficient cash flow or that future borrowings will be available to us in an amount sufficient to enable us to pay amounts due on our indebtedness or to fund our other liquidity needs. If we do not generate sufficient cash flow, additional borrowings or proceeds of asset sales are not available to us, we may not have sufficient cash to enable us to meet all of our obligations.
In addition, the agreements governing our indebtedness include certain covenants that, among other things, restrict our ability to incur additional indebtedness, make certain payments, sell assets, enter into certain transactions with affiliates and create liens. Moreover, certain of these agreements require us to achieve specified EBITDA targets and maintain specified cash balances over the life of the loan. These and other covenants in our current and future agreements may restrict our ability to fully pursue our business strategies and adversely affect our growth prospects. Our ability to comply with such covenants may be affected by changes in our operating and financial performance, changes in general business and economic conditions, adverse regulatory developments or other events beyond our control. The breach of any of these covenants could result in a default under our indebtedness, which could cause those and other obligations to become due and payable.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
We may require additional capital in the future, which may not be available to us. Issuances of our equity securities to provide this capital may dilute your ownership in us.
We may need to raise additional funds through public or private debt or equity financings in order to:
- take advantage of expansion opportunities; - acquire complementary businesses or technologies; - develop new services and products; or - respond to competitive pressures.
Any additional capital raised through the issuance of our equity securities may dilute your percentage ownership interest in us. Furthermore, any additional financing we may need may not be available on terms favorable to us or at all. The unavailability of needed financing could adversely affect our ability to execute our growth strategy.
Corporate Activity and Growth1 | 1.8%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Our operating results may fluctuate due to factors outside of management's control.
Our operating results may significantly fluctuate, and you should not rely on them as an indication of our future results. Our future net sales and results of operations may significantly fluctuate due to a combination of factors, many of which are outside of management's control. The most important of these factors include, but are not limited to:
- changes in customer demands; - fluctuations in commodity prices; - the impact of general economic trends on our business; - currency fluctuations; - increases in reserves for bad debts; and - increases in competition.
We may be unable to reduce operating expenses quickly enough to offset any unexpected shortfall in net sales. If we have a shortfall in net sales without a corresponding reduction to our expenses, operating results may suffer. Our operating results for any particular period may not be indicative of future operating results.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 1/55 (2%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 1.8%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
We have incurred a loss for the fiscal years ended June 30, 2014, the six-month period ended December 31, 2014, the fiscal years ended December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2016. If we do not increase our revenues and/or reduce our costs, we will continue to incur losses and may be reliant upon external capital in order to continue to fund our operations. Failure to obtain this necessary capital when needed on acceptable terms, or at all, could force us to delay, limit, reduce or terminate our product development, other operations or commercialization efforts.
In order to access global revenue opportunities and fund the investment in our product candidate pipeline, we divested certain legacy products and in part used the proceeds therefrom, along with debt financing and private placements, to expand our operating footprint, including the construction of our U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or FDA, inspected sterile manufacturing facility in Sydney, Australia. In addition, we have invested in the establishment of a U.S. sales and marketing presence and we have increased our research and development investment in our pipeline products. As a result of the divestiture and our investments in major growth assets, our revenues increased, our expenses increased and we have incurred losses. In order to become profitable, we will need to either reduce our costs and/or increase our revenues, including our reproductive hormones products and companion products in the U.S. and other markets. If we do not sufficiently reduce our costs and/or increase our revenues, then we will continue to incur losses and may need to seek additional funds through public or private equity or debt financings or other sources, such as strategic collaborations. Such financings may result in dilution to shareholders, imposition of debt covenants and repayment obligations, or other restrictions that may affect our business. In addition, we may seek additional capital due to favorable market conditions or strategic considerations even if we believe we have sufficient funds for our current or future operating plans. Additional funds may not be available when we need them on terms that are acceptable to us, or at all. If we are unable to access additional capital as required, we may be required to delay, limit, reduce or terminate our operations, research and development activities and commercialization efforts.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.