Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Noble Corporation PLC Class A disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Noble Corporation PLC Class A reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Risk Overview Q4, 2024
Risk Distribution
31% Production
26% Finance & Corporate
21% Legal & Regulatory
13% Macro & Political
8% Ability to Sell
3% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Noble Corporation PLC Class A Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2024
Main Risk Category
Production
With 12 Risks
Production
With 12 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
39
-1
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
39
-1
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
1Risks added
2Risks removed
8Risks changed
Since Dec 2024
1Risks added
2Risks removed
8Risks changed
Since Dec 2024
Number of Risk Changed
8
+8
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
8
+8
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Noble Corporation PLC Class A in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 39
Production
Total Risks: 12/39 (31%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing6 | 15.4%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Upgrades, refurbishment, and repair of rigs are subject to risks, including delays and cost overruns, that could have an adverse impact on our available cash resources and results of operations.
We will continue to make upgrades, refurbishment, and repair expenditures to our fleet from time to time, some of which may be unplanned. In addition, we may reactivate rigs that have been cold or warm stacked and make selective acquisitions of rigs. Our customers may also require certain upgrade projects for our rigs. These projects typically become more time consuming and expensive the older the fleet becomes and are subject to risks of cost overruns or delays inherent in any large construction project as a result of numerous factors, including the following:
?shortages of equipment, materials, or skilled labor;?work stoppages and labor disputes;?unscheduled delays in the delivery of ordered materials and equipment;?local customs strikes or related work slowdowns that could delay importation of equipment or materials;?weather interferences;?difficulties in obtaining necessary permits or approvals or in meeting permit or approval conditions;?design and engineering problems;?inadequate regulatory support infrastructure in the local jurisdiction;?latent damages or deterioration to hull, equipment, and machinery in excess of engineering estimates and assumptions;?unforeseen increases in the cost of equipment, labor, and raw materials, particularly steel due to inflation or other factors;?unanticipated actual or purported change orders;?customer acceptance delays;?disputes with shipyards and suppliers;?delays in, or inability to obtain, access to funding;?shipyard availability, failures, and difficulties, including as a result of financial problems of shipyards or their subcontractors; and ?failure or delay of third-party equipment vendors or service providers.
The failure to complete a rig upgrade, refurbishment, or repair on time, or at all, may result in related loss of revenues, liquidated damages, penalties, or delay, renegotiation, or cancellation of a drilling contract or the recognition of an asset impairment. Additionally, capital expenditures could materially exceed our planned capital expenditures. Moreover, when our rigs are undergoing upgrade, refurbishment, and repair, they may not earn a dayrate during the period they are out of service. If we experience substantial delays and cost overruns in our shipyard projects, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Manufacturing - Risk 2
Operational interruptions, maintenance, or repair work may delay commencement of operations or cause our customers to suspend or reduce payment of dayrates until operation of the respective drilling rig is resumed, which may lead to loss of revenue, payment of liquidated damages, termination, or renegotiation of the drilling contract.
If our drilling rigs are idle for reasons that are not related to the ability of the rig to operate, our customers may be entitled to pay a waiting, or standby, rate that is lower than the full operational rate. In addition, if our drilling rigs are taken out of service for maintenance and repair for a period of time that exceeds the scheduled maintenance periods set forth in our drilling contracts, we may not be entitled to payment of full dayrates until the rig is able to work. Several factors could cause operational interruptions, including:
- breakdowns of equipment and other unforeseen engineering problems;- work stoppages, including labor strikes;- shortages of material and skilled labor;- shipyard availability, failures, and difficulties;- delays in repairs by suppliers;- surveys by government and maritime authorities;- periodic classification surveys;- delays imposed by or resulting from compliance with permits, laws, regulations, or litigation;- severe weather, strong ocean currents, or harsh operating conditions;- force majeure events; and - the occurrence or threat of epidemic or pandemic diseases, or any government response to such occurrence or threat.
Several of these factors have been exacerbated by global supply chain disruptions, including disruptions due to COVID-19, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Middle East conflicts, and the Guyana-Venezuela dispute, labor strikes at critical points in a supply chain, and their respective regional and global ramifications. If a delay of commencement of operations, or interruption of operations, exceeds a determined period, our customers may have the right to pay a rate that is significantly lower than the waiting rate for a period of time, may be entitled to liquidated damages, and may have a right to terminate the drilling contracts related to the subject rig. Suspension of drilling contract payments, payment of liquidated damages, prolonged payment of reduced rates, or termination of any drilling contract as a result of an interruption of operations as described herein could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Manufacturing - Risk 3
We face risks associated with creating and executing new business models, particularly when such business models involve a risk profile, remuneration, or financial scheme that is different from a conventional drilling contract.
We are exploring, and have in the past, implemented various degrees of innovative business models with customers and partners in order to expand our share of the value chain, while simultaneously creating better outcomes for our customers and long-term resilience of our business through increased customer collaboration, differentiation, and utilization. Although such business model innovation is intended to offer further earnings opportunities, there are risks associated with creating and executing new business models, particularly when such business models involve a risk profile, remuneration, or financial scheme that is different from our conventional drilling contracts.
Two broad categories of business models include:
(i)offering integrated services or integrating new services into offerings to customers as an integrated service provider with the objective of improving efficiencies; and (ii)exploring alternative financial models focused on risk and reward sharing through, among other things, bonus-malice schemes, deferred payments, fixed pricing, or co-investments, enabling operators to develop fields that would otherwise be economically challenged.
However, forecasting the success of any new business model is inherently uncertain and depends on a number of factors both within and outside our control. Our actual revenue and profit generated from such business models may be significantly greater or less than forecasts. In addition, the efficiencies anticipated from new business models may fail to be realized, the costs may be higher, and the counterparty risk greater than expected. In addition, as we create and execute more new business models and expand into other parts of the value chain, our risk profile may continue to shift. Entering into new business models could have an adverse impact on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Manufacturing - Risk 4
We have not been, and may continue not to be, able to renew or replace certain expiring contracts, and our customers have sought, and may seek in the future, to terminate, renegotiate, or repudiate our drilling contracts and have had, and may have in the future, financial difficulties that prevent them from meeting their obligations under our drilling contracts.
Our ability to renew contracts that expire or obtain new contracts and the terms of any such contracts will depend on market conditions and our customers' expectations and assumptions of future oil prices and other factors.
Depending on market conditions, we have also experienced customers seeking price reductions for our services, payment deferrals, and termination of our contracts; customers seeking to not perform under our contracts pursuant to a force majeure claim; and customers that are unable or unwilling to timely pay outstanding receivables owed to us, all of which present liquidity challenges for us. Our customers may generally terminate our drilling contracts if a drilling rig is destroyed or lost or if we have to suspend drilling operations for a specified period of time as a result of a breakdown of equipment or, in some cases, due to other events beyond the control of either party. In the case of nonperformance and under certain other conditions, our drilling contracts generally allow our customers to terminate without any payment to us. The terms of some of our drilling contracts permit the customer to terminate the contract after a specified notice period by tendering contractually specified termination amounts or, in some cases, without any payment. These termination payments, if any, may not fully compensate us for the loss of a contract. The early termination of a contract may result in a rig being idle for an extended period of time and a reduction in our contract backlog and associated revenue, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Moreover, if any of our long-term contracts were to be terminated early, such termination could affect our future earnings flow and could have a material adverse effect on our future financial condition and results of operations even if we were to receive the contractually specified termination amount.
During periods of depressed market conditions, we are subject to an increased risk of our customers seeking to renegotiate or repudiate their contracts. The ability of our customers to perform their obligations under drilling contracts with us may also be adversely affected by the financial condition of the customer, restricted credit markets, economic downturns, and industry downturns. We may elect to renegotiate the rates we receive under our drilling contracts downward if we determine that to be a reasonable business solution. If our customers cancel or are unable to perform their obligations under their drilling contracts, including their payment obligations, and we are unable to secure new contracts on a timely basis on substantially similar terms or if we elect to renegotiate our drilling contracts and accept terms that are less favorable to us, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Manufacturing - Risk 5
Drilling contracts with national oil companies may expose us to greater risks than we normally assume in drilling contracts with non-governmental customers.
Contracts with national oil companies are often non-negotiable and may expose us to greater commercial, political, and operational risks than we assume in other contracts, such as exposure to materially greater environmental liability and other claims for damages (including consequential damages) and personal injury related to our operations, or the risk that the contract may be terminated by our customer without cause on short-term notice, contractually or by governmental action, under certain conditions that may not provide us an early termination payment, collection risks, and political risks. In addition, our ability to resolve disputes or enforce contractual provisions may be negatively impacted under these contracts. We can provide no assurance that the increased risk exposure will not have an adverse impact on our future operations or that we will not increase the number of rigs contracted to national oil companies with additional contractual risks.
Manufacturing - Risk 6
Our business may be impacted by numerous operating hazards.
Our operations are subject to many hazards inherent in the drilling business, including:
- loss of well control or blowout;- fire;- navigation hazards, such as collisions or groundings of offshore equipment;- helicopter accidents;- seabed punch-throughs of a jackup rig;- mechanical or technological equipment failures;- failure to comply with environmental, health, and safety requirements;- loss of well integrity (such as pipe or cement failures and casing collapses);- adverse weather or sea conditions (caused by events including hurricanes, typhoons, tsunamis, cyclones, and winter storms, which may increase in frequency and severity as a result of climate change);- loop currents or eddies;- toxic gas emanating from the well; and - improper handling, release, or disposal of hazardous materials.
These hazards could cause personal injury, including claims of post-traumatic stress or loss of life, suspend drilling operations, result in regulatory investigation or penalties, seriously damage or destroy property and equipment, result in claims by employees, customers, or third parties, cause environmental damage, and cause substantial damage to oil and gas producing formations or facilities. Operations also may be suspended because of machinery breakdowns, abnormal drilling conditions, and failure of subcontractors to perform or supply goods or services or personnel shortages. The occurrence of any of the hazards we face could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Employment / Personnel2 | 5.1%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Unionization efforts, labor interruptions, and labor regulations could have a material adverse effect on our operations.
Certain of our employees and contractors in international markets, such as Australia, certain African countries, Brazil, Norway, Denmark, and the United Kingdom, are represented by labor unions and work under collective bargaining or similar agreements, which are subject to periodic renegotiation, and efforts may be made from time to time to unionize other portions of our workforce. Although we have not experienced any labor disruptions, strikes, or other forms of labor unrest in connection with our personnel, there can be no assurance that labor disruptions by employees and contractors will not occur in the future. Further, unionized employees of third parties on whom we rely may be involved in labor disruptions, strikes, or other forms of labor unrest, causing operational disruptions. Such actions could result in the occurrence of additional costs, as well as limitations on our ability to operate or provide services to our customers, which may materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. In addition strikes may occur in connection with annual salary negotiations with respect to unionized employees or contractors. If future labor strikes force us to shut down any of our operations, such interruption in operations could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Additionally, legislation has been introduced in the US Congress that could encourage additional unionization efforts in the United States, as well as increase the chances that such efforts succeed. Additional unionization efforts, if successful, could materially increase our labor costs and operating restrictions.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Failure to attract and retain skilled personnel or an increase in personnel costs could adversely affect our operations.
Our employees are vital to our success. We require skilled personnel to operate and provide technical services and support for our drilling units. In the past, during periods of high demand for drilling services and increasing worldwide industry fleet size, shortages of qualified personnel have occurred and competition for personnel has intensified. During periods of reduced demand, there have been, and in the future may be, layoffs of qualified personnel (including offshore personnel), who often find work with competitors or leave the industry. As a result, if market conditions improve following a period of reduced demand and we seek to reactivate warm or cold stacked rigs, move rigs to a new locale, upgrade our working rigs, or purchase additional rigs, we may face shortages of qualified personnel, which would impair our ability to attract qualified personnel for our new or existing drilling units, impair the timeliness and quality of our work, and create upward pressure on personnel costs, any of which could adversely affect our operations.
In addition, our ability to retain our key business leaders is critical. The market for highly skilled workers and leaders in our industry is extremely competitive and we may need to invest significant amounts of cash and equity to attract and retain new employees. We may never realize returns on these investments. In order to help attract, retain, and motivate qualified employees, we use equity-based awards and performance-based cash incentive awards. Sustained declines in our stock price, or lower stock price performance relative to competitors, can reduce the retention value of our equity-based awards,which can impact the competitiveness of our compensation. The unexpected loss of members of management, qualified personnel, or a significant number of employees due to disease, disability, or death, could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Supply Chain2 | 5.1%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Supplier capacity constraints or shortages in parts or equipment, supplier production disruptions, supplier quality, and sourcing issues or price increases could increase our operating costs, decrease our revenues, and adversely impact our operations.
Our reliance on third-party suppliers, manufacturers, and service providers to secure equipment used in our drilling operations exposes us to volatility in the quality, price, and availability of such items. Certain specialized parts and equipment we use in our operations may be available only from a single or small number of suppliers. During periods of reduced demand, many of these third-party suppliers reduced their inventories of parts and equipment and, in some cases, reduced their production capacity, and may do so in the future. Moreover, the global supply chain has experienced challenges and disruptions in recent years, resulting in shortages of, shipping delays, and increased pricing pressures on, among other things, certain raw materials and labor. If the market for our services improves and we seek to reactivate warm or cold stacked rigs, upgrade our working rigs, or purchase additional rigs, these reductions and global supply chain constraints could make it more difficult for us to find equipment and parts for our rigs. A disruption or delay in the deliveries from such third-party suppliers, capacity constraints, production disruptions, price increases (including those related to inflation, the imposition of tariffs and supply chain disruptions), defects or quality-control issues, recalls, or other decreased availability or servicing of parts and equipment could adversely affect our ability to reactivate rigs, upgrade working rigs, purchase additional rigs, or meet our commitments to customers on a timely basis, adversely impact our operations and revenues by resulting in uncompensated downtime, reduced dayrates, the incurrence of liquidated damages, or other penalties or the cancellation or termination of contracts, or increase our operating costs.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
We rely on third-party suppliers and subcontractors to provide or complete parts, crew, and equipment, as applicable, for our projects and our operations may be adversely affected by the substandard performance or nonperformance of those suppliers or third-party subcontractors due to production disruptions, quality and sourcing issues, price increases, or consolidation of suppliers and sub-contractors as well as equipment breakdowns.
Our reliance on third-parties such as suppliers, manufacturers, subcontractors, and other service providers for equipment, services, and labor used in our drilling operations exposes us to volatility in the quality, price, and availability of such resources. Certain specialized parts, crew, and equipment used in our operations may be available only from a single or a small number of suppliers. A disruption in the deliveries from such third-party suppliers, capacity constraints, production disruptions, price increases, defects or quality-control issues, recalls, or other decrease in the availability or servicing of parts and equipment could adversely affect our ability to meet our commitments towards our customers, adversely impact operations and revenues by resulting in uncompensated downtime, reduced day rates under the relevant drilling contracts, cancellation or termination of contracts, or increased operating costs. In addition, consolidation of suppliers may limit our ability to obtain supplies and services when needed at an acceptable cost or at all.
Equipment deficiencies or breakdowns, whether due to faulty parts, quality control issues, or inadequate installation, may result in increased maintenance costs and could adversely affect our operations and revenues by resulting in financial downtime. For example, we have a multi-year maintenance project to overhaul jacking gears on certain jackup rigs involving significant costs. If mitigation measures put in place are not effective, it could lead to significant financial downtime, adversely affect our ability to meet our commitments with our customers, potential cancellation or termination of drilling contracts, suspension or termination of operations, regulatory penalties or sanctions, or property, environmental, and other damage claims by customers or other third parties, which may in turn have a material adverse effect on the our business, financial condition, results of operations, and reputation. Subcontractors are used to perform certain services and to provide certain input in areas where we do not have requisite expertise and are engaged on some parts of our projects, but may be used for a majority of the services in respect of new business models. The subcontracting of work exposes us to risks associated with planning interface nonperformance, delayed performance, or substandard performance by our subcontractors. Any inability to hire qualified subcontractors could hinder successful completion of a project. Further, our employees may not have the requisite skills to be able to monitor or control the performance of these subcontractors. We may suffer losses on contracts if the amounts we are required to pay for subcontractor services exceed original estimates. Remedial or mitigating actions, such as requiring contractual obligations from subcontractors that are similar to those we have with our customers, and requesting parent guarantees from subcontractors to cover nonperformance, may not be available or sufficient to mitigate these risks. For example, we have experienced issues with the performance of some of our key suppliers in the past, in particular in relation to delays in the delivery and maintenance of subsea well-control equipment. Such issues could have a negative effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Costs2 | 5.1%
Costs - Risk 1
We may have difficulty obtaining or maintaining insurance in the future and our insurance coverage and contractual indemnity rights may not protect us against all the risks and hazards we face.
We do not procure insurance coverage for all of the potential risks and hazards we may face. Furthermore, no assurance can be given that we will be able to obtain insurance against all of the risks and hazards we face or that we will be able to obtain or maintain adequate insurance at rates and with deductibles or retention amounts that we consider commercially reasonable. Some insurance carriers may decide not to offer insurance to companies operating in the oil and gas industry, potentially resulting in less available insurance capacity and/or higher rates. In addition, our insurance carriers may interpret our insurance policies such that they do not cover losses for which we make claims.
Although we maintain insurance in the geographic areas in which we operate, pollution, reservoir damage, and environmental risks generally are not fully insurable. Our insurance policies may not adequately cover our losses or may have exclusions of coverage for some losses. We do not have insurance coverage for all risk exposures. For example, we carry no loss of hire insurance for any rigs in our fleet. In addition, our insurance may not cover losses associated with pandemics. Furthermore, the damage sustained to offshore oil and gas assets in the United States as a result of hurricanes has negatively impacted certain aspects of the energy insurance market, resulting in more restrictive and expensive coverage for US named windstorm perils due to the price or lack of availability of coverage. Accordingly, we have primarily self-insured the rigs in the US Gulf for property damage resulting from named windstorm perils, and only have windstorm third-party liability coverage for all rigs, subject to certain limits. We will continue to monitor the insurance market conditions in the future and may decide not to, or be unable to, purchase named windstorm coverage for some or all of the rigs operating in the US Gulf.
Under our drilling contracts, liability with respect to personnel and property is customarily assigned on a "knock-for-knock" basis, which means that we and our customers assume liability for our respective personnel and property, irrespective of the fault or negligence of the party indemnified. Although our drilling contracts generally provide for indemnification from our customers for certain liabilities, including liabilities resulting from pollution or environmental damage originating below the surface of the water, enforcement of these contractual rights to indemnity may be limited by public policy and other considerations and, in any event, may not adequately cover our losses from such incidents. There can also be no assurance that those parties with contractual obligations to indemnify us will necessarily be in a financial position to do so. During depressed market periods, such as the one in which we recently operated, the contractual indemnity provisions we are able to negotiate in our drilling contracts may require us to assume more risk than we would during normal market periods.
If a significant accident or other loss occurs and is not fully covered by insurance or contractual indemnity, it could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Costs - Risk 2
Operating and maintenance costs of our rigs may be significant and may not correspond to revenue earned.
Our operating expenses and maintenance costs depend on a variety of factors, including crew costs, costs of provisions, equipment, insurance, maintenance and repairs, shipyard costs, supply chain disruptions, and inflation, many of which are beyond our control. Our total operating costs are generally related to the number of drilling rigs in operation and the cost level in each country or region where such drilling rigs are located. Equipment maintenance costs fluctuate depending upon the type of activity that the drilling rig is performing, the age and condition of the equipment, and the timing of the drilling rig special periodic surveys (SPS). While operating revenues may fluctuate as a function of changes in dayrate, costs for operating a rig may not be proportional to the dayrate received and may vary based on a variety of factors, including the scope and length of required rig preparations and the duration of the contractual period over which such expenditures are amortized. Any investments in our rigs may not result in an increased dayrate for or income from such rigs. A disproportionate change in the amount of operating and maintenance costs in comparison to dayrates could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 10/39 (26%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights3 | 7.7%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Changed
Holders of the Ordinary Shares may not receive dividends on their Ordinary Shares, and we may decrease or suspend our dividend on, or our repurchases of, our Ordinary Shares.
Holders of the Ordinary Shares are entitled to receive only such dividends as our Board of Directors may declare and pay out of funds legally available for such payments. Such may be paid only out of Noble's "distributable reserves" as determined by reference to relevant statutory accounts in accordance with English law, and additionally as permitted under our credit facilities and other financing arrangements. Therefore, Noble is not permitted to pay dividends out of share capital, which includes share premium. We are not required to pay a dividend or effect share repurchases, and any determination to pay dividends and other distributions in cash, stock, or property, or to effect share repurchases by us in the future, including determinations as to the amount of any such dividend, distribution, or repurchase, will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors. Our payment of dividends and share repurchases may vary from historical practices or our stated expectations. The timing and amount, if any, of dividends and share repurchases is discretionary and will be dependent on many factors, including our expectations regarding our ability to generate sufficient cash flows, and our results of operations, financial condition, cash requirements, future business prospects, capital requirements, contractual and indenture restrictions, and other factors deemed relevant by our Board of Directors.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Certain shareholders own a significant portion of our outstanding equity securities, and their interests may not always coincide with the interests of other holders of the Ordinary Shares.
A large percentage of the Ordinary Shares are held by a relatively small number of investors. As a result, these investors could have significant influence over all matters presented to our shareholders for approval, including election and removal of our directors, change in control transactions, and the outcome of all actions requiring a majority shareholder approval.
The interests of these investors may not always coincide with the interests of the other holders of the Ordinary Shares, and the concentration of control in these investors may limit other shareholders' ability to influence corporate matters. The concentration of ownership and voting power of these investors may also delay, defer, or even prevent an acquisition by a third party or other change of control of our Company, and may make some transactions more difficult or impossible without their support, even if such events are in the best interests of our other shareholders. In addition, the concentration of voting power may adversely affect the trading price of the Ordinary Shares. A large percentage of the Ordinary Shares are held by a relatively small number of investors.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Future sales or the availability for sale of substantial amounts of the Ordinary Shares or the exercise of warrants issued pursuant to the Plan would have a dilutive effect to shareholders of the Company and the perception that these sales may occur, could adversely affect the trading price of the Ordinary Shares, and could impair our ability to raise capital through future sales of equity securities.
As of February 14, 2025, there were 159,191,313 Ordinary Shares outstanding. In addition, as of February 14, 2025, 886,427 Tranche 1 Warrants, 942,606 Tranche 2 Warrants, and 2,773,456 Tranche 3 Warrants were outstanding and exercisable. We also have 5,255,631 Ordinary Shares authorized and reserved for issuance pursuant to equity awards under the Noble Corporation plc 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan.
A large percentage of the Ordinary Shares (or warrants exercisable for Ordinary Shares) are held by a relatively small number of investors.
Sales of a substantial number of the Ordinary Shares in the public markets, exercise of a substantial number of warrants, or even the perception that these sales or exercises might occur, could impair our ability to raise capital for our operations through a future sale of, or pay for acquisitions using, our equity securities.
As of February 14, 2025, the Mandatory Exercise Condition (as defined in the applicable warrant agreement) for the Tranche 1 Warrants and the Tranche 2 Warrants had been satisfied. Between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2024, an aggregate of 245,210 Ordinary Shares were issued pursuant to exercise of Tranche 1 Warrants, Tranche 2 Warrants, and Tranche 3 Warrants. These exercises, and continued exercises of these warrants into Ordinary Shares pursuant to the terms of the outstanding warrants, will have a dilutive effect to the holdings of our existing shareholders.
We used Ordinary Shares for part of the consideration in the Diamond Transaction and may issue Ordinary Shares or other securities from time to time as consideration for future acquisitions and investments. If any such acquisition or investment is significant, the number of Ordinary Shares, or the number or aggregate principal amount, as the case may be, of other securities that we may issue may in turn be substantial. We may also grant registration rights covering those Ordinary Shares or other securities in connection with any such acquisitions and investments. For example, in connection with the Business Combination with Maersk Drilling, we issued a significant number of Ordinary Shares as consideration and granted registration rights to a recipient thereof, pursuant to which we have filed a registration statement with the SEC to facilitate potential future sales of such Ordinary Shares by them.
We cannot predict the effect that future sales of Ordinary Shares will have on the price at which the Ordinary Shares trade or the size of future issuances of Ordinary Shares or the effect, if any, that future issuances will have on the market price of the Ordinary Shares. Sales of substantial amounts of the Ordinary Shares, or the perception that such sales could occur, may adversely affect the trading price of the Ordinary Shares.
Accounting & Financial Operations2 | 5.1%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Our current backlog of contract drilling revenue may not be ultimately realized.
Generally, contract backlog only includes future revenues under signed drilling contracts. We may not be able to perform under these contracts as a result of operational or other breaches or due to events beyond our control, and we may not ultimately execute a definitive agreement in cases where one does not currently exist. Moreover, we can provide no assurance that our customers will be able to or willing to fulfill their contractual commitments to us or that they will not seek to renegotiate or repudiate their contracts or, for certain customers, reallocate term among contracted rigs, especially during an industry downturn. The terms of some of our drilling contracts permit the customer to terminate the contract after specified notice periods by tendering contractually specified termination amounts or, in certain cases, without any payment. In estimating backlog, we make certain assumptions about applicable dayrates under our longer-term contracts which have dayrate adjustment mechanisms (like certain of our contracts with ExxonMobil, AkerBP, Tullow, and Petrobras). In addition, from time to time, we may report anticipated commitments under letters of intent or awards for which definitive agreements have not yet been, but are expected to be, signed. We cannot assure you that actual results will mirror these assumptions. Our inability to perform under our contractual obligations, execute definitive agreements, our customers' inability or unwillingness to fulfill their contractual commitments to us, including as a result of contract repudiations or our decision to accept less favorable terms on our drilling contracts, or the failure of actual results to reflect the assumptions we use to estimate backlog for certain contracts, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We may record impairment charges on property and equipment, including rigs and related capital spares.
We evaluate the impairment of property and equipment, which include rigs and related capital spares, whenever events or changes in circumstances, including a decision to cold stack, retire, or sell rigs, indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. An impairment loss on our property and equipment may exist when the estimated undiscounted cash flows expected to result from the use of the asset and its eventual disposition are less than its carrying amount. Any impairment loss recognized represents the excess of the asset's carrying value over the estimated fair value. As part of this analysis, we make assumptions and estimates regarding future market conditions. To the extent actual results do not meet our estimated assumptions, for a given rig or piece of equipment, we may take an impairment loss in the future. In addition, we may also take an impairment loss on capital spares and other capital equipment when we deem the value of those items has declined due to factors like obsolescence, deterioration or damage. Based upon our impairment analyses for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, we did not record any impairment charges. There can be no assurance that we will not have to take additional impairment charges in the future if depressed market conditions return, or that we will be able to return cold stacked rigs to service in the time frame and at the reactivation costs or at the dayrates that we projected. It is reasonably possible that the estimate of undiscounted cash flows may change in the near term, resulting in the need to write down the affected assets to their corresponding estimated fair values.
Debt & Financing2 | 5.1%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Changed
The 2023 Revolving Credit Agreement, the indenture for the 2030 Notes, and the indenture for the Diamond Second Lien Notes each contain various restrictive covenants limiting the discretion of our management in operating our business.
The 2023 Revolving Credit Agreement contains various restrictive covenants that may limit our management's discretion in certain respects. In particular, the 2023 Revolving Credit Agreement limits the ability of Noble Finance II LLC ("Noble Finance II") and the ability of its restricted subsidiaries to, among other things and subject to certain limitations and exceptions, (i) incur, assume or guarantee additional indebtedness, (ii) pay dividends or distributions on capital stock or redeem or repurchase capital stock, (iii) make investments, (iv) repay, redeem, or amend certain indebtedness, (v) sell stock of its subsidiaries, (vi) transfer or sell assets, (vii) create, incur, or assume liens, (viii) enter into transactions with certain affiliates, (ix) merge or consolidate with or into any other person or undergo certain other fundamental changes, and (x) enter into certain burdensome agreements. In addition, the 2023 Revolving Credit Agreement obligates Noble Finance II LLC and its restricted subsidiaries to comply with certain financial maintenance covenants and, under certain conditions, to make mandatory prepayments and reduce the amount of credit available under the 2023 Revolving Credit Facility, all as described in Part II, Item 7, "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Liquidity and Capital Resources - Amended and Restated Senior Secured Revolving Credit Agreement." Such mandatory prepayments and commitment reductions may affect cash available for use in the Company's business. Our failure to comply with these covenants could result in an event of default which, if not cured or waived, could result in all obligations under the 2023 Revolving Credit Facility to be declared due and payable immediately and all commitments thereunder to be terminated.
The 8.000% Senior Notes due 2030 (the "2030 Notes") are fully and unconditionally guaranteed, jointly and severally, by the direct and indirect subsidiaries of Noble Finance II that are Credit Parties (as defined herein) under the 2023 Revolving Credit Facility. The ability of Noble Finance II to comply with the covenants and restrictions contained in the indenture for the 2030 Notes may be affected by events beyond its control. If market or other economic conditions deteriorate, our ability to comply with these covenants and restrictions may be impaired. A failure to comply with the covenants, ratios, or tests in the indenture, if not cured or waived, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Our existing and future indebtedness may have cross-default and cross-acceleration provisions. Upon the triggering of any such provision, the relevant creditor may:
?not be required to lend any additional amounts to Noble Finance II;?elect to declare all borrowings outstanding due to them, together with accrued and unpaid interest and fees, to be due and payable;?have the ability to require Noble Finance II to apply all of its available cash to repay such borrowings; and/or ?prevent Noble Finance II from making debt service payments under its other agreements, any of which could result in an event of default under the 2030 Notes.
If any of our existing indebtedness were to be accelerated, there can be no assurance that we would have, or be able to obtain, sufficient funds to repay such indebtedness in full. Even if new financing were available, it may be on terms that are less attractive than the 2023 Revolving Credit Facility or the 2030 Notes or it may not be on terms that are acceptable to us.
In addition, the Diamond 8.500% Senior Secured Second Lien Notes due October 2030 (the "Diamond Second Lien Notes") are issued by Diamond Foreign Asset Company and Diamond Finance, LLC (collectively, the "Issuers") and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed, jointly and severally, on a senior secured basis by Noble Offshore Drilling, Inc. (formerly known as Dolphin Merger Sub 2, Inc. and as successor by merger with Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc.) ("NODI"), and each of its existing restricted subsidiaries (other than the Issuers) and by certain of NODI's future restricted subsidiaries.
The indenture governing the Diamond Second Lien Notes contains covenants that, among other things, restrict NODI's ability and the ability of certain of its subsidiaries to: (i) incur additional debt and issue certain preferred stock; (ii) incur or create liens; (iii) make certain dividends, distributions, investments, and other restricted payments; (iv) sell or otherwise dispose of certain assets; (v) engage in certain transactions with affiliates; and (vi) merge, consolidate, amalgamate, or sell, transfer, lease, or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of the assets of NODI and such subsidiaries. A failure to comply with the covenants, ratios, or tests in the indenture, if not cured or waived, could result in the outstanding principal amount, together with accrued and unpaid interest and fees, becoming immediately due and payable and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
We are a holding company, and we are dependent upon cash flow from subsidiaries, joint ventures, and associates to meet our obligations.
We currently conduct our operations through our subsidiaries, including joint ventures and associates, and our operating income and cash flow are generated by such entities. As a result, cash we obtain from our subsidiaries, joint ventures, and associates is the principal source of funds necessary to meet our debt service obligations. Unless they are guarantors of our indebtedness, such entities do not have any obligation to pay amounts due on our indebtedness or to make funds available for that purpose. Contractual provisions or laws, as well as such entities' financial condition, debt covenants, and operating requirements, may also limit our ability to obtain the cash that we require to pay our debt service obligations. Applicable tax laws may also subject such payments to us by such entities to further taxation.
Corporate Activity and Growth3 | 7.7%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Changed
We may experience risks associated with future mergers, acquisitions, dispositions of businesses or assets, or other strategic transactions.
As part of our business strategy, and as evidenced by the Pacific Drilling Merger (as defined herein). the Business Combination with Maersk Drilling and the acquisition of Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc., we have pursued and completed, and may continue to pursue, mergers, acquisitions, dispositions of businesses or assets, or other strategic transactions that we believe will enable us to strengthen or broaden our business. We may be unable to implement this element of our strategy if we cannot identify suitable companies, businesses or assets, reach agreement on potential strategic transactions on acceptable terms, manage the impacts of such transactions on our business, or for other reasons. Moreover, mergers, acquisitions, dispositions, and other strategic transactions involve various risks, including, among other things, (i) difficulties relating to integrating or disposing of a business, including changes to our employee workforce and unanticipated changes in customer, vendor, and other third-party relationships, (ii) failure to integrate operations and internal controls, including those related to financial reporting, disclosure, and cyber security and data protection, (iii) diversion of management's attention from day-to-day operations, (iv) failure to realize the anticipated benefits of such transactions, such as cost savings and revenue enhancements, (v) potentially substantial transaction costs associated with such transactions, (vi) failure to identify significant issues at the target during the due diligence process, which could result in financial or legal exposure, and (vii) potential impairment resulting from the overpayment for an acquisition.
Future mergers or acquisitions may require us to obtain additional equity or debt financing, which may not be available on attractive terms. Moreover, to the extent a transaction financed by non-equity consideration results in goodwill, it will reduce our tangible net worth, which might have an adverse effect on credit availability.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Added
We may not achieve the intended benefits of the Diamond Transaction, and the Diamond Transaction may disrupt its current plans or operations.
We closed the Diamond Transaction in September 2024. There can be no assurance that we will be able to successfully integrate Diamond assets or otherwise realize the expected benefits of the Diamond Transaction. Difficulties in integrating Diamond into Noble may result in Noble performing differently than expected, in operational challenges or in the failure to realize anticipated synergies and efficiencies in the expected time frame or at all. The anticipated benefits and cost savings of the merger may not be realized fully or at all, may take longer to realize than expected, or could have other adverse effects that Noble does not currently foresee. These anticipated benefits include an assumption, as of the closing date, that Noble is able to realize annual pre-tax cost synergies of approximately $100 million, in which case the Diamond Transaction may not be accretive to earnings per share, may not improve Noble's balance sheet position, may not enhance Noble's ability to deliver, and may not generate additional free cash flow.
Following completion of the Diamond Transaction, the combined Company's success will depend, in part, on Noble's ability to manage the expansion resulting from the Diamond Transaction, which poses numerous risks and uncertainties. The integration of the two companies may result in material challenges, including the diversion of management's attention from ongoing business concerns; attracting, motivating, and retaining key management and other employees; retaining or attracting business, customer, and operational relationships; the possibility of faulty assumptions underlying expectations regarding the integration process and associated expenses; consolidating corporate and administrative infrastructures, including integrating enterprise resource planning systems, and eliminating duplicative operations; coordinating geographically separate organizations; unanticipated issues in integrating information technology, communications, and other systems; as well as potential unknown liabilities, unforeseen expenses relating to integration, or delays associated with the acquisition. Additionally, if relationships with customers, distributors, suppliers, vendors, landlords, and other business partners are adversely affected by the Diamond Transaction, or if Noble, following completion of the Diamond Transaction, loses the benefits of certain contracts of Diamond, Noble's business, prospects, liquidity, and financial performance could suffer. Further, the market price of Ordinary Shares may decline as a result of completing the Diamond Transaction if, among other things, it is unable to achieve the expected benefits and synergies of the Diamond Transaction.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
We face risks associated with our participation in certain joint ventures as well as investments in associates.
We have made investments in certain joint ventures and as well as investments in associates. Such investments are often entered into to satisfy local requirements, including local content requirements, in certain jurisdictions and the terms of the investment agreements vary depending on the counterparty and jurisdiction involved. For example, we currently have joint ventures with local owners or partners that were entered into in the ordinary course of business to satisfy local content requirements in certain African countries, countries in the Middle East, Mexico, and other applicable jurisdictions in which we operate. Investments in joint ventures or associates over which we have partial or joint control are subject to the risk that the other owners or partners in such joint venture or associate, who may have different business or investment strategies compared to ours or with whom we may have a disagreement or dispute, may have the ability to block business, financial, or management decisions (such as the decision to distribute dividends or appoint members of management) which may be crucial to the success of our investment in the joint venture or associate, or could otherwise implement initiatives which may be contrary to our interests. In addition, such joint venture owners or partners may be unable, or unwilling, to fulfill their obligations under the relevant agreements (for example, by not contributing working capital or other resources), or may experience financial, operational, or other difficulties that may adversely impact our investment in a particular joint venture or associate. In addition, such joint venture owners or associates may lack sufficient controls and procedures which could expose us to risk. If any of the foregoing were to occur, such occurrence could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 8/39 (21%)Above Sector Average
Regulation3 | 7.7%
Regulation - Risk 1
Changed
Any violation of anti-bribery, anti-corruption, or anti-fraud laws, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, the United Kingdom Bribery Act, or other applicable laws and regulations could result in significant expenses, divert management attention, and otherwise have a negative impact on the Company.
In the conduct and operation of our business, particularly in countries with a reputation of illegal activities that include government corruption, bribery, money laundering, and human rights issues, we are subject to the risk that we, our affiliated entities, agents, or service providers, or their respective officers, directors, employees, and agents may take action determined to be in violation of such local laws or laws applicable to us and those acting on our behalf, including the US Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 (the "FCPA"), the United Kingdom Bribery Act 2010 (the "UK Bribery Act"), the United Kingdom Modern Slavery Act 2015 (the "UK Modern Slavery Act"), and similar laws. Any violation of the FCPA, UK Bribery Act, UK Slavery Act, or local or other applicable laws could result in substantial fines, sanctions, civil, and/or criminal penalties against the Company and implicate members of our senior management or Board, and curtailment of operations in certain jurisdictions and might adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. In addition, actual or alleged violations could damage our reputation and ability or qualification to do business with specific customers or in certain other jurisdictions. Further, detecting, investigating, and resolving actual or alleged violations is expensive and would consume significant time and attention of our senior management.
Regulation - Risk 2
Changed
Changes in, compliance with, or our failure to comply with certain laws and regulations could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations by adding to our costs, or negatively impact our operations by causing delays or limiting activity.
Our business is affected by public policy and laws and regulations relating to the energy industry in the geographic areas where we do or seek to operate or otherwise have a presence, including laws and regulations relating to the environment (including climate change and greenhouse gas ("GHG") emissions and regulations that for economic, environmental, social, or other reasons curtail or encumber our ability to operate competitively or negatively impact exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. We may be required to make significant capital expenditures to comply with governmental laws and regulations. Governments in some countries are increasingly active in regulating and controlling the ownership of concessions, the exploration for oil and gas, and other aspects of the oil and gas industries.
There is increasing worldwide attention concerning the issue of climate change and the effect of GHGs, sustainability, and long-term changes in the energy mix. This increased attention has led to and may result in additional environmental laws or regulations that may unfavorably impact our business, or that of our suppliers and our customers. In addition, increasing attention to the risks of climate change has resulted in an increased possibility of litigation or investigations brought by public and private entities against oil and gas companies in connection with their GHG emissions. However, it is not possible at this time to predict the timing and effect of climate related laws and regulations, the adoption of additional GHG legislation, regulations or other measures at the international, federal, state, or local levels.
The modification of existing laws or regulations or the adoption of new laws or regulations that curtail or encumber our ability to operate competitively or negatively impact exploration, development, and production of oil and gas could materially and adversely affect our business by limiting drilling opportunities, increasing our cost of doing business, discouraging our customers from drilling for hydrocarbons, disrupting revenue through permitting or similar delays, or subjecting us to liability. In the United States, the issuance of federal leases or other similar initiatives have been the subject of efforts to reform federal leasing practices and may result in the development of additional restrictions on offshore drilling, limitations on the availability of offshore leases, or restrictions on the ability to obtain required permits, which could have a material adverse impact on our operations by reducing drilling opportunities and the demand for our services.
There have been various legal developments in the UK in 2024, some of which are still evolving (including an increase in and extension of an energy profits levy and changes to environmental impact assessment standards), which have reduced oil and gas exploration and development activities in the North Sea. These developments could reduce the demand for our services.
In addition, efforts have been made and continue to be made in the international community toward the adoption or enhancement of international treaties or protocols related to protecting the environment, reducing climate change, reducing the use of hydrocarbon-based fuel reductions, and encouraging the implementation of GHG emission pledges. Fuel conservation measures, alternative fuel requirements and increasing consumer demand for alternatives to oil and gas could reduce demand for oil and gas. These measures may result in a reduced global reliance on and future demand for oil and gas, which could have a material impact on our business.
Many countries have or appear to be progressing toward enacting varying requirements for GHG monitoring, reporting, and emissions control or reduction, such as the United States which, in November 2024, announced final rules to implement the "Waste Emissions Charge" required under 2022's Inflation Reduction Act. The Waste Emissions Charge imposes a fee on GHG and waste emissions from certain oil and gas facilities that exceed specified intensity levels and is part of the United States' Methane Emissions Reduction Plan. While we are subject to certain federal GHG monitoring and reporting requirements, our operations have not been materially impacted by existing international, federal, state, and local climate change initiatives. However, new legislation and regulatory programs to reduce GHG emissions, or increased reporting obligations, could increase our cost of doing business, discourage our customers from drilling for hydrocarbons, or otherwise have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Our operations are subject to various laws and regulations in countries in which we operate, including laws and regulations relating to:
?the environment and the health and safety of personnel;?the importing, exporting, equipping, and operation of drilling rigs;?finance and currency exchange controls;?oil and gas exploration and development;?taxation of local and offshore earnings and earnings of expatriate personnel; and ?use and compensation of local employees, contractors, and suppliers, and involvement of foreign contractors.
Public and governmental scrutiny of the energy industry has resulted in increased regulations being proposed and often implemented. In addition, existing regulations might be revised or reinterpreted, new laws, regulations, and permitting requirements might be adopted or become applicable to us, our rigs, our customers, our vendors, or our service providers, and future changes in laws and regulations could significantly increase our costs and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. In addition, we may be required to post additional surety bonds to secure performance, tax, customs, and other obligations relating to our rigs in jurisdictions where bonding requirements are already in effect and in other jurisdictions where we may operate in the future. These requirements would increase the cost of operating in these countries, which could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
From time to time, new rules, regulations, and requirements regarding oil and gas development have been proposed and implemented by BOEM, BSEE, or the United States Congress, as well as other jurisdictions outside the United States, that could materially limit or prohibit, and increase the cost of, offshore drilling. For example, following a years' long rule making process, both BSEE and BOEM updated and expanded their respective offshore decommissioning financial assurance and bonding requirements. The updated requirements, which were finalized by BSEE in 2023 and BOEM in 2024, are stricter than previous requirements and may increase the costs of operating on the Outer Continental Shelf. BOEM and BSEE could issue new rules relating to well control equipment and operational requirements that fall under their authority in the future. Future actions taken by the United States to limit the availability of new oil and gas leases on the Outer Continental Shelf, or delays imposed by or resulting from compliance with permits, laws, regulations, or litigation would adversely impact the offshore oil and gas industry and impact demand for our services.
We are also subject to increasing regulatory requirements and scrutiny in certain jurisdictions and other countries, including the North Sea. New rules, regulations, and requirements, including the adoption of new safety requirements and policies relating to the approval of drilling permits, restrictions on oil and gas development and production activities in the US Gulf and elsewhere, implementation of safety and environmental management systems, mandatory third-party compliance audits, and the promulgation of numerous Notices to Lessees or similar new regulatory requirements outside of the United States, may impact our operations by causing increased costs, delays, and operational restrictions. If new regulations, policies, operating procedures, and the possibility of increased legal liability resulting from the adoption or amendment of rules and regulations applicable to our operations in the United States or other jurisdictions are viewed by our current or future customers as a significant impairment to expected profitability on projects, then they could discontinue or curtail their offshore operations in the impacted region, thereby, adversely affecting our operations by limiting drilling opportunities or resulting in materially increased costs.
Finally, many scientists have concluded that increasing concentrations of GHGs in the Earth's atmosphere and climate change may produce significant physical effects on weather conditions, such as increased frequency and severity of droughts, storms, floods, and other climatic events. If any such effects were to occur, they could adversely affect or delay demand for the oil or natural gas produced or cause us to incur significant costs in preparing for or responding to the effects of climatic events themselves. Potential adverse effects could include disruption of our and our customers' operations, including, for example, damages to our facilities from winds or floods, increases in our costs of operation, or reductions in the efficiency of our operations, impacts on our personnel, supply chain, or distribution chain, as well as potentially increased costs for insurance coverages in the aftermath of such effects. Any of these events could have an adverse effect on our assets and operations.
Regulation - Risk 3
Any failure to comply with the complex laws and regulations governing international trade could adversely affect our operations.
The shipment of goods, services, and technology across international borders subjects our business to extensive trade laws and regulations. Import activities are governed by unique customs laws and regulations in each of the countries of operation. Moreover, many countries and governing bodies, including the United States, European Union and the United Kingdom, control the export and re-export of certain goods, services, and technology and impose related export recordkeeping and reporting obligations. Governments and governing bodies may also impose economic sanctions against certain countries, persons and other entities that may restrict or prohibit transactions involving such countries, persons, and entities. US, EU and UK sanctions, in particular, are targeted against certain countries that are heavily involved in the petroleum and petrochemical industries, which includes drilling activities.
The laws and regulations concerning import activity, export recordkeeping and reporting, export control, and economic sanctions are complex and constantly changing. These laws and regulations may be enacted, amended, enforced, or interpreted in a manner materially impacting our operations. Shipments can be delayed and denied export or entry for a variety of reasons, some of which are outside our control and some of which may result from failure to comply with existing legal and regulatory regimes. Shipping delays or denials could cause unscheduled operational downtime. Any failure to comply with applicable legal and regulatory trading obligations could also result in criminal and civil penalties and sanctions, such as fines, imprisonment, debarment from government contracts, seizure of shipments, and loss of import and export privileges.
Currently, we do not, nor do we intend to, operate in countries that are subject to significant sanctions and embargoes imposed by certain countries or governing bodies such as the US, UK or EU or in countries identified by such bodies as state sponsors of terrorism, such as the Crimean region of the Ukraine, Cuba, Iran, North Korea, and Syria. These sanctions and embargo laws and regulations vary in their application, as they do not all apply to the same covered persons or proscribe the same activities, and such sanctions and embargo laws and regulations may be amended or strengthened over time. There can be no assurance that we will be in compliance in the future, particularly as the scope of certain laws may be unclear and may be subject to changing interpretations. Any such violation could result in fines or other penalties and could result in some investors deciding, or being required, to divest their interest, or not to invest, in us. In addition, certain institutional investors may have investment policies or restrictions that prevent them from holding securities of companies that have contracts with countries identified by certain governing bodies, including the US, UK and EU, as state sponsors of terrorism or with countries that are otherwise subject to sanctions and embargo laws. In addition, our reputation and the market for our securities may be adversely affected if we engage in certain other activities, such as entering into drilling contracts with individuals or entities in countries subject to significant sanctions and embargo laws.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 2.6%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
Changed
We are, or in the future could be, subject to investigations, litigation and claims that could have an adverse effect on us.
We are, from time to time, involved in various claims, investigations and litigation. These matters may include, among other things, contract disputes, personal injury claims, asbestos, and other toxic tort claims, environmental claims or proceedings, employment matters, issues related to employee or representative conduct, governmental claims for taxes, duties, customs or other regulatory findings and litigation that arises in the ordinary course of our business. Although we intend to defend or pursue such matters vigorously, we cannot predict with certainty the outcome or effect of any claim, investigation or other litigation matter, and there can be no assurance as to the ultimate outcome of any claim, investigation or litigation. Investigations, claims and litigation may have an adverse effect on us because of potential negative outcomes, legal fees, the allocation of management's time and attention, and other factors.
We could also face increased climate-related litigation with respect to our operations both in the US and around the world. Governmental and other entities in various US states, such as California and New York, have filed lawsuits against energy companies. These suits allege damages as a result of climate change, and the plaintiffs are seeking unspecified damages and abatement under various tort theories. Similar lawsuits may be filed in other jurisdictions both in the US and globally. Though we are not currently a party to any such lawsuit, these suits present uncertainty regarding the extent to which companies who are not producing oil or gas, but who are engaged in such production, such as offshore drillers, face an increased risk of liability stemming from climate change, which risk would also adversely impact the oil and gas industry and impact demand for our services.
Taxation & Government Incentives2 | 5.1%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Changed
A loss of a major tax dispute or a successful tax challenge to our operating structure, intercompany pricing policies, or the taxable presence of our subsidiaries in certain countries could result in a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Tax returns that we file and/or tax payments that we make will be subject to review and examination. If any tax authority successfully challenges our operational structure, intercompany pricing policies, the taxable presence of our subsidiaries in certain countries, or other material tax positions, if the terms of certain tax treaties are interpreted in a manner that is adverse to our structure, or if we lose a material tax dispute in any country, our effective tax rate on our worldwide earnings, income tax expense, and/or operating expense could increase substantially and result in a material adverse effect on our financial condition. In addition, Noble may have exposures with respect to the tax audits and tax disputes of certain third parties which were under a joint taxation contribution arrangement with certain subsidiaries that Noble acquired in the Business Combination.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Our consolidated effective income tax rate may vary substantially from one reporting period to another.
We cannot provide any assurances as to what our consolidated effective income tax rate will be because of, among other matters, uncertainty regarding the nature and extent of our business activities in any particular jurisdiction in the future and the tax laws of such jurisdictions, as well as potential changes in tax laws, regulations, or treaties or the interpretation or enforcement thereof, changes in the administrative practices and precedents of tax authorities or any reclassification or other matter, such as changes in applicable accounting rules, that increases the amounts we have provided for income taxes or deferred tax assets and liabilities in our consolidated financial statements. For example, certain countries within which we operate or own substantial assets have enacted changes to their tax laws in response to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's ("OECD") ongoing Base Erosion and Profit Shifting initiatives and these and other countries may enact changes to their tax laws or practices in the future (prospectively or retroactively), which may have a material adverse effect on our financial position, operating results and/or cash flows.
In addition, as a result of frequent changes in the taxing jurisdictions in which our drilling rigs are operated and/or owned, changes in the overall level of our income and changes in tax laws, our consolidated effective income tax rate may vary substantially from one reporting period to another. Income tax rates imposed in the tax jurisdictions in which our subsidiaries conduct operations vary, as does the tax base to which the rates are applied. In some cases, tax rates may be applicable to gross revenues, statutory or negotiated deemed profits, or other bases utilized under local tax laws, rather than to net income. Our drilling rigs frequently move from one taxing jurisdiction to another to perform contract drilling services. In some instances, the movement of drilling rigs among taxing jurisdictions will involve the transfer of ownership of the drilling rigs among our subsidiaries. If we are unable to mitigate the negative consequences of any change in law, audit, business activity, or other matter, this could cause our consolidated effective income tax rate to increase and cause a material adverse effect on our financial position, operating results, and/or cash flows.
Environmental / Social2 | 5.1%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Increasing attention and expanding requirements relating to environmental, social, and governance matters compounded by the varied and expansive scope of ESG standards, ESG rating criteria, our sustainability and ESG disclosures, and the perception and expectations of the public, may negatively impact our business and financial results.
In recent years, regulators, investors, and the general public have been giving increasing attention to corporate activities that relate to environmental, social, and governance matters. As part of this, ESG has been advanced by advocacy groups in many jurisdictions where they continue to campaign for governmental and private action in connection with ESG criteria and initiatives, including through the investment and voting practices of individual and institutional investors and investment advisers, public company rating agencies, and others in or connected to the investing community. The attention of advocacy groups and expansion of regulatory requirements regarding ESG performance, commitments, and disclosures, including those relating to climate change and reduction of carbon emissions, is evidenced by initiatives such as the United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, as well as by the new strategy adopted by the International Maritime Organization in July 2023 to advance the prevention and control of marine pollution through the reduction of GHG emissions from ships.
Stakeholders and members of the investment community continue to screen and assess companies such as ours for sustainability and ESG performance information measured against the expanded list of ESG metrics advanced by the various ESG standards and ESG ratings sources. Within the ESG context, there continues to be a public and governmental concentration on environmental matters as compared to social and governance matters, with a focus on environment related company practices, performance, and compliance, particularly with respect to data on waste stream management, including discharges, emissions, and reduction commitments regarding carbon dioxide, hydrocarbons, and fluorinated materials in various states of matter. In addition, developments in the law could result in ESG commitments and disclosures being subjected to increased scrutiny. If we are unable to positively manage our ESG performance, effectively administer our ESG tracking and reporting, clearly communicate our ESG strategy and commitments and meet publicly disclosed targets such as our goal to reduce carbon intensity by 20% by 2030 (as defined in our disclosures), we could experience additional costs and financial penalties, increased scrutiny from the investment community, special interest groups, and enforcement authorities, miss or be excluded from business opportunities, have delayed or cancelled projects, experience a reduction in our equity share price, or encounter limitations to our access to financing or capital, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our operations, earnings, cash flows, and financial condition.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
Our failure to adequately protect our sensitive information and operational technology systems and critical data and our service providers' failure to protect their systems and data could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Our day-to-day operations increasingly depend on information and operational technology systems that we manage, and other systems that our third parties, such as our service providers, vendors, and equipment providers, manage, including critical systems on our drilling units. These systems are subject to risks associated with growing and evolving cyber incidents or attacks or other disruptions. These risks include, but may not be limited to, human error, power outages, computer and telecommunication failures, natural disasters, fraud or malice, social engineering or phishing attacks, viruses or malware, and other cyberattacks, such as denial-of-service or ransomware attacks. Entities or groups, including cybercriminals, competitors, and nation state actors, have mounted cyber-attacks on businesses and other organizations solely to disable or disrupt computer systems, disrupt operations, and, in some cases, steal data. In addition, the United States government has issued public warnings that indicate energy assets and companies engaging in significant transactions, such as acquisitions, might be specific targets of cyber security threats. Geopolitical tensions or conflicts, such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the increased adoption of artificial intelligence technologies, may further heighten the risk of cyber security threats.
Also, many of our non-operational employees work remotely a significant amount of their time, which has created certain operational risks, such as an increased risk of security breaches or other cyber incidents or attacks, loss of data, fraud, and other disruptions as more fully outlined, above. Working remotely has significantly increased the use of technological and online telecommunication services and remote networking, which enable employees to work outside of our corporate infrastructure and, in some cases, use their own personal equipment. This remote work model has resulted in an increased demand for technological resources and may expose us to additional risks of cyber-incidents or attacks, security breaches, loss of data, fraud, and other disruptions as a consequence of more employees accessing sensitive and critical information remotely. Due to the nature of cyber-attacks, breaches to our systems or our service or equipment providers' systems could go undetected for a prolonged period of time. A breach could also compromise or originate from our customers', vendors', or other third-party systems or networks outside of our control. A security breach may result in legal claims or proceedings against us by our shareholders, employees, customers, vendors, and governmental authorities, both in the United States and internationally.
The Company maintains a cyber security program, which includes administrative, technical, and organizational safeguards. A significant cyberattack or incident, either with our systems or a critical third-party systems, could disrupt our operations and result in downtime, loss of revenue, harm to the Company's reputation, or the loss, theft, corruption, or unauthorized release of our critical data or those with whom we do business, as well as result in higher costs to correct and remedy the effects of such incidents, including potential extortion, unforeseen payments associated with ransomware, or ransom demands. If our, or our service or equipment providers', safeguards maintained for protecting against cyber incidents or attacks prove to be insufficient, and an incident were to occur, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, reputation, and results of operations. Additionally, it may be difficult to determine the best way to investigate, mitigate, contain, and remediate the harm caused by a cyber incident. Such efforts may not be successful, and we may make errors or fail to take necessary actions. It may take considerable time for us to investigate and evaluate the full impact of incidents, particularly for sophisticated attacks. These factors may inhibit our ability to provide prompt, full, and reliable information about the incident to our customers, partners, regulators, and the public. Even though we carry cyber insurance that may provide insurance coverage under certain circumstances, we might suffer losses as a result of a security breach or cyber incident that exceeds the coverage available under our policy or for which we do not have coverage, and we cannot be certain that cyber insurance will continue to be available to us on commercially reasonable terms, or at all.
In addition, Noble is subject to a variety of continuously evolving and developing laws and regulations in the United States and abroad governing, or proposed to govern, cyber security, data privacy and protection, and the unauthorized disclosure of confidential or protected information, including the UK Data Protection Act, the EU General Data Protection Regulation, the Data Protection Law, as revised, of the Cayman Islands, the California Consumer Privacy Act, as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act, the Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act, and other similar legislation in domestic and international jurisdictions, which pose increasingly complex compliance challenges and potentially elevate costs. Any failure to comply with these laws and regulations could result in significant penalties and legal liability. These laws and regulations are continuously evolving and developing, creating significant uncertainty as privacy and data protection laws may be interpreted and applied differently from country to country and may create inconsistent or conflicting requirements. Any failure, or perceived failure, by Noble or third-party service providers to comply with Noble's privacy or security policies or privacy-related legal obligations, or any compromise of security that results in the unauthorized release or transfer of personal data, may result in loss of revenue, reputational harm, and could be subject to legal or regulatory claims or proceedings, including enforcement actions under data privacy or disclosure regulations, which may result in significant expenditures, fines, or liabilities and could have an adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 5/39 (13%)Above Sector Average
International Operations1 | 2.6%
International Operations - Risk 1
We are exposed to risks relating to operations in international locations, including the mobilization and demobilization of our rigs to and from such locations.
We operate in various regions throughout the world that may expose us to political or governmental risks and other uncertainties, including risks of:
- seizure, nationalization, or expropriation of property or equipment;?monetary policies, capital controls, government credit rating downgrades and potential defaults, and any potential shutdown of the United States government;?foreign currency fluctuations and devaluations;?limitations on the ability to repatriate income or capital;?complications associated with repairing and replacing equipment in remote locations;?repudiation, nullification, modification, or renegotiation of contracts;?limitations on insurance coverage, such as war risk coverage, in certain areas;?import-export quotas, wage and price controls, and imposition of sanctions, tariffs, or other trade restrictions;?operating delays as a result of excess governmental scrutiny or oversight;?compliance with and changes in taxation rules or policies;?compliance with and changes in regulatory or financial requirements, including local ownership, presence, local immigration, and visa requirements for personnel or labor requirements;?complexity involving conflicts of law between jurisdictions in which we operate;?other forms of government regulation and economic conditions that are beyond our control and that create operational uncertainty;?corruption, payment of bribes to government officials, money laundering, or kleptocracy (i.e., political corruption in which the government seeks personal gain and status at the expense of the governed); and ?terrorism, piracy, civil, or international disturbances or conflict, such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Middle East conflicts, and the Guyana-Venezuela dispute, and their respective regional and global ramifications.
Further, we operate or have operated in certain less-developed countries with legal and regulatory systems that are not as mature as those in more developed countries, which can lead to greater uncertainty in legal matters and proceedings. Examples of challenges of operating in these countries include:
- ongoing changes in Brazilian laws related to the importation of rigs and equipment that may impose bonding, insurance, or duty-payment requirements;- ongoing audits, including customs audits;- procedural requirements for temporary import permits, which may be difficult to obtain; and - the effect of certain temporary import permit regimes, where the duration of the permit does not coincide with the general term of the drilling contract.
Our ability to do business in a number of jurisdictions is subject to maintaining required licenses and permits and complying with applicable laws and regulations. For example, all of our drilling units are subject to regulatory requirements of the flag state, the country where a drilling unit is registered. The applicable flag state requirements are consistent with international maritime standards. In addition, each of our drilling units must assessed by a classification society, which conducts surveys and reviews for physical and operational compliance with the rules of the classification society and the requirements of the flag state, signifying that such drilling rig has been constructed, maintained, crewed, and operated in accordance with the rules of the classification society and complies with applicable rules and regulations of the flag state (also referred to as being "in-class"). If any drilling unit is deemed or otherwise found to be "out of class", it will no longer be permitted to operate, certain contractual obligations will be voided, canceled, or withdrawn (e.g., drilling contracts, insurance contracts, etc.), and the unit will be prohibited from entering the waters of most countries.
Jurisdictions where we operate may attempt to increase or impose requirements for our drilling units to operate in such jurisdiction, such as certain local ownership or content requirements or registration under the flag of that jurisdiction, or similar measures, resulting in our inability or being prevented from operating in a country imposing such requirements or measures.
Any such inability to carry on operations in jurisdictions where we operate or desire to operate, or our failure to comply with any other laws and regulations of the countries where we operate, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. Some governments favor or effectively require the awarding of drilling contracts to local contractors, require use of a local agent, require partial local ownership, or require foreign contractors to employ citizens of, or purchase supplies from, a particular jurisdiction. In addition, some governments frequently intervene in their economy and occasionally make significant changes in policy and regulations. An example is the Brazilian government's actions to control inflation and other policies and regulations which have often involved, among other measures, changes in interest rates, changes in tax policies, changes in legislation, wage controls, price controls, currency devaluations, capital controls, and limits on imports of goods and services. These practices have and may adversely affect our ability to compete and our results of operations.
In addition, the offshore drilling industry is a global market requiring flexibility for rigs, depending on their technical capability, to relocate and operate in various environments and jurisdictions, moving from one area to another. The mobilization of rigs is expensive and time-consuming and can be impacted by several factors including, but not limited to, governmental regulation and customs practices, availability of tugs and tow vessels, weather, currents, political instability, civil unrest, and military actions, such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Middle East conflicts, and the Guyana-Venezuela dispute, and their respective regional and global ramifications, and rigs may as a result become stranded. Some jurisdictions enforce strict technical requirements on the rigs requiring substantial physical modification to the rigs before they can be utilized. Such modifications may require significant capital expenditures and, as a result, may limit the use of the rigs in those jurisdictions in the future. In addition, mobilization carries the risk of damage to the rig. Failure to mobilize a rig in accordance with the deadlines set by a specific customer contract could result in a loss of compensation, liquidated damages, or the cancellation or termination of the contract. In some cases, we may not be paid for the time that a rig is out of service during mobilization. In addition, in the hope of securing future contracts, we may choose to mobilize a rig to another geographic market without a customer contract in place. If no customer contracts are obtained, we would be required to absorb these costs. Mobilization and relocating activities could, therefore, have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Natural and Human Disruptions2 | 5.1%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
At certain locations where we operate, there is an increased potential for seasonal weather events that could lead to limits or restrictions on our ability to operate, damage to our assets and equipment, liabilities or claims, operational delays for recovery and repair, liability claims, impacts on customer and vendor contracts, regulatory fines and penalties, and uninsured losses, which could adversely affect our business.
Certain areas of the world where we operate, such as the US Gulf, South Atlantic, the North Sea, Southwest Pacific, South China Sea, and Southeast Indian Ocean, experience significant weather events, typically on a seasonal basis, manifesting as an unnamed wind event or of a magnitude that places it in a category of tropical cyclone, hurricane, typhoon, or extratropical cyclone. While such weather events are tracked, forecasted, and reported by recognized meteorological institutions, information upon which we rely when contracting and operating our drilling rigs, are merely projections and the actual course, speed, and/or severity of any one event could ultimately be unexpected and lead to an unanticipated encounter and or impact, exposing our assets and personnel to extreme wind and sea conditions that could result in limits or restrictions on our ability to operate, injuries or loss of life, damage to or a loss of our assets and equipment, liabilities or claims, operational delays for recovery and repair, impacts on customer and vendor contracts, regulatory fines and penalties, and/or uninsured losses, which could adversely affect our business and financial performance. Moreover, a potential result of climate change is more frequent or more severe weather events. To the extent such weather events become more frequent or more severe, the risks associated with severe weather events could intensify.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
A major natural disaster, catastrophic event, acts of war, terrorism, social unrest, pandemic, or other similar event could have a materially adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations, or have other adverse consequences.
Our business, financial condition, results of operations, access to capital markets, and borrowing costs may be adversely affected by a major natural disaster or catastrophic event, including civil unrest, geopolitical instability, war, terrorist attacks, pandemics, or other (actual or threatened) public health emergencies such as the COVID-19 outbreak, or other events beyond our control, and measures taken in response thereto.
Acts of terrorism and social unrest, brought about by world political events or otherwise, such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Middle East conflicts, and the Guyana-Venezuela dispute, and their respective regional and global ramifications, have caused instability in the world's financial and insurance markets in the past and may occur in the future. Such acts could be directed against companies such as ours. In addition, acts of terrorism, piracy, and social unrest could lead to increased volatility in prices for crude oil and natural gas and could affect the markets for drilling services. Insurance premiums could increase and coverage may be unavailable in the future. Government regulations may effectively preclude us from engaging in business activities in certain countries. These regulations could be amended to cover countries where we currently operate or where we may wish to operate in the future.
Our drilling contracts do not generally provide indemnification against loss of capital assets or loss of revenues resulting from acts of terrorism, piracy, or political or social unrest. We have limited insurance for our assets providing coverage for physical damage losses resulting from risks, such as terrorist acts, piracy, vandalism, sabotage, civil unrest, expropriation, and acts of war, and we do not carry insurance for loss of revenues resulting from such risks.
Public health emergencies have created and may in the future create, significant volatility and uncertainty and economic and financial market disruption. Governmental authorities implemented, and may implement in the future, numerous measures attempting to contain and mitigate the effects of pandemics and outbreaks, including travel bans and restrictions, quarantines, shelter in place orders, and shutdowns. Due to travel restrictions and mandatory quarantine measures, we experienced, and may in the future experience again, increased difficulties, delays, and expenses in moving our personnel to and from our operating locations. We may be unable to pass these increased expenses to our customers. Further, we have previously, and may in the future have to, temporarily shut down operations of one or more of our rigs if there is a pandemic, outbreak, or other public health emergency or vacancies of essential positions due to related infections, which could have a material negative impact on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Additionally, disruptions to the ability of our suppliers, manufacturers, and service providers to supply labor, parts, equipment, or services in the jurisdictions in which we operate, whether as a result of government actions, labor shortages, travel restrictions, the inability to source labor, parts or equipment from affected locations, or other effects related to pandemics, outbreaks or other public health emergencies, have increased our operating costs and the risk of rig downtime and negatively impacted our ability to meet commitments to customers and may do so in the future.
Capital Markets2 | 5.1%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Inflation may adversely affect our operating results.
Inflationary factors such as increases in labor costs, material costs, changes in tariff and sanctions regimes, and overhead costs may adversely affect our operating results and cash flows. We have experienced increases in the cost of labor and materials during 2023 and 2024, and inflationary pressures may continue into 2025. Inflation, including a continuation of inflation at the current rate, may have an adverse effect on our ability to maintain current levels of gross margin and general and administrative expenses as a percentage of total revenue, if our dayrates do not increase sufficiently to cover these increased costs, as well as result in increases in our capital expenditures. Most of our contracts have dayrates that are fixed over the contract term. While some of our long-term contracts contain rate adjustment provisions, they can be based on market fluctuations rather than cost increases. To the extent a drilling contract provides for escalations attributable to inflation in our costs, those adjustments will lag the impact of inflationary pressures and may not reflect the full impact to us of any cost inflation. As drilling contracts with such provisions expire or are terminated, there can be no assurance that future drilling contracts will contain similar provisions, which may reduce our margins in inflationary environments. In addition, inflation is often, and has recently been, accompanied by higher interest rates. Such higher interest rates may affect our ability to enter into future traditional debt financing, as high inflation may result in an increase in the cost to borrow. Future increases in interest rates may negatively impact our cost of capital and ability to access capital markets.
Capital Markets - Risk 2
Fluctuations in exchange rates and nonconvertibility of currencies could result in losses to us.
We may experience currency exchange losses when revenues are received or expenses are paid in nonconvertible currencies, when we do not hedge an exposure to a foreign currency, when the result of a hedge is a loss or if any counterparty to our hedge were to experience financial difficulties. We may also incur losses as a result of an inability to collect revenues due to a shortage of convertible currency available to the country of operation, controls over currency exchange or controls over the repatriation of income or capital.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 3/39 (8%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.6%
Competition - Risk 1
The offshore contract drilling industry is a highly competitive and cyclical business with intense price competition. If we are unable to compete successfully, our profitability may be materially reduced.
The offshore contract drilling industry is a highly competitive and cyclical business characterized by high capital and operating costs and evolving capability of newer rigs. Drilling contracts are traditionally awarded on a competitive bid basis. Price competition, rig availability, location, suitability, and technical specifications are the primary factors in determining which rig is qualified for a job, and additional factors such as experience of the workforce, operating efficiency, safety performance record, condition of equipment, operating integrity, reputation, industry standing, and customer relations are also often considered. Our future success and profitability will partly depend upon our ability to keep pace with our customers' demands with respect to these factors. In the past several years, the pace of consolidation in our industry has increased, and may continue to increase, leading to the creation of a number of larger and financially stronger competitors. If we are unable, or our customers believe that we are unable, to compete with the scale and financial strength of certain of our competitors, it could harm our ability to maintain existing drilling contracts and secure new ones.
Further, if current competitors implement new or differentiated technical capabilities, services or specifications, which may be more attractive to our customers or price their product offerings more competitively, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. We may face competitive pressure to develop, implement, or acquire certain new technologies at a substantial cost. We cannot be certain that we will be able to continue to develop and implement new technologies or services offered.
Our industry is cyclical. Periods of low demand or excess rig supply intensify the competition in the industry and have resulted in, and may continue to result in, many of our rigs earning substantially lower dayrates or being idle for long periods of time. Although, since the 2014 peak, the industry has experienced a rationalization and correction of the global offshore rig supply, we continue to experience competition from newbuild rigs, including rigs that have been stranded in shipyards, that have either already entered the market or are available to enter the market. The entry of these rigs into the market has resulted in, and may in the future result in, lower dayrates for both newbuilds and existing rigs rolling off their current contracts. In addition, our competitors may relocate rigs to geographic markets in which we operate, which could exacerbate any excess rig supply, or depress the current rationalization and correction of offshore rig supply, and result in lower dayrates and utilization in those regions.
In addition, our customers continue to seek more favorable terms with respect to allocation of risk under offshore drilling contracts. Our drilling contracts provide for varying levels of risk allocation and indemnification from our customers. Our customers have historically assumed most of the responsibility for and indemnified us from loss, damage, or other liability resulting from pollution or environmental damage, including clean-up and removal and third-party damages arising from operations under the contract when the source of the pollution originates from the well or reservoir, including those resulting from blow-outs or loss of well control. However, we regularly are required to assume certain amounts of liability for pollution and environmental damage caused by our negligence, which liability generally has higher caps, or may even have unlimited liability, where the damage is caused by our gross negligence or willful misconduct. We still face resistance with some customers when attempting to allocate less risk to us and lower caps for damage caused by our gross negligence or willful misconduct or reduce our exposure with respect pollution or environmental damage. Our contracts may also be subject to judicial review and application of public policy principles whereby relevant authorities could decide that certain contractual indemnities in current or future contracts are not enforceable. Going forward, we could decide or be required to retain more risk in the future, resulting in higher risk of losses, which could be material. Moreover, we may not be able to maintain adequate insurance in the future at rates that we consider reasonable or be able to obtain insurance against current or future risks.
Demand2 | 5.1%
Demand - Risk 1
A substantial portion of our business is dependent on several of our customers as well as dependent on several geographic areas and the disruption of business with any of these customers or disruption of business within these geographic areas could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Any concentration of customers increases the risks associated with any possible termination or nonperformance of drilling contracts, failure to renew contracts or award new contracts, or reduction of their drilling programs. In addition, the concentration of operations within a geographic area increases the impact of terrorism, piracy, or political or social unrest, changes in local laws and regulations, as well as severe weather events, should they occur within an area of concentration. As of December 31, 2024, ExxonMobil, BP, and Petrobras represented approximately 37.2%, 13.1%, and 12.6% of our contract backlog, respectively, and operations within Guyana, the US Gulf, and the North Sea accounted for approximately 37.2%, 21.9%, and 18.5% of our contract backlog, respectively. ExxonMobil and Shell plc accounted for approximately 22.1% and 12.3%, respectively, of our consolidated operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2024, and operations in the US Gulf, Guyana, and the North Sea accounted for approximately 22.4%, 22.1%, and 17.8%, respectively, of our consolidated operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2024. This concentration of customers increases the risks associated with any possible termination or nonperformance of contracts in addition to our exposure to credit risk. If any of these customers were to terminate or fail to perform their obligations under their contracts and we were not able to find other customers for the affected drilling units promptly, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. Additionally, the concentration of operations in specific geographies increases the risks associated with terrorism, piracy, political or social unrest, changes in local laws and regulations, as well as severe weather events within those regions, should they occur. If we were forced to cease drilling operations in any of these regions for any reason and we were not able to redeploy to other regions promptly, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Demand - Risk 2
Our business depends on the level of activity in the oil and gas industry. Adverse developments affecting the industry, including a decline in the price of oil or gas, reduced demand for oil and gas products, and increased regulation of drilling and production, have in the past had, and may in the future, have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Demand for drilling services depends on a variety of economic and political factors and the level of activity in offshore oil and gas exploration and development and production markets around the world. The price of oil and gas and market anticipation of potential changes in the price, significantly affect this level of activity, as well as dayrates that we can charge customers for our services. Crude oil prices remain volatile; for example, Brent crude reached a low of $9.12 in 2020 and a 5-year high of $133.18 in 2022.
Higher prices do not necessarily translate into increased drilling activity because our customers typically take into account a number of considerations when they decide to invest in offshore oil and gas resources, including expectations regarding future commodity prices and demand for hydrocarbons. While the price of oil and gas remains volatile, the level of activity in offshore oil and gas exploration and development can be extremely volatile and can be affected by numerous factors beyond our control, including:
?worldwide production, current demand, and our customer's views of future demand for oil and gas;?changes in the rate of economic growth in the global economy;?the cost of exploring for, developing, producing, and delivering oil and gas;?the ability of OPEC and OPEC+ to set and maintain production levels and pricing;?expectations regarding future energy prices;?increased supply of oil and gas resulting from onshore hydraulic fracturing activity and shale development;?the relative cost of offshore oil and gas exploration versus onshore oil and gas production;?potential acceleration in the investment, development, and the price and availability of alternative fuels or energy sources;?allocation of capital to exploration and production operations within customers' broader portfolios;?the level of production in non-OPEC+ countries;?inventory levels and the cost and availability of storage and transportation of oil, gas, and their related products;?worldwide financial instability or recessions;?regulatory restrictions or any moratorium on offshore drilling or the availability of offshore lease or concession areas;?the discovery rate of new oil and gas reserves either onshore or offshore;?the rate of decline of existing and new oil and gas reserves;?available pipeline and other oil and gas transportation capacity;?oil refining capacity;?the ability of oil and gas companies to raise capital;?limitations on liquidity and available credit;?advances in exploration, development, and production technology either onshore or offshore;?technical advances affecting energy consumption, including the displacement of hydrocarbons;?merger, acquisition, and divestiture activity among oil and gas industry participants;?the availability of, and access to, suitable locations from which hydrocarbons can be produced;?adverse weather and sea conditions, including hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, winter storms, and rough seas;?the occurrence or threat of a major natural disaster, catastrophic event, epidemic, or pandemic diseases, as well as any governmental response to such occurrence or threat;?changes in and compliance with tax laws, regulations, and policies;?changes in and compliance with environmental laws, regulations, and other initiatives, including those involving alternative energy sources, the phase-out of fossil fuel consuming vehicles, and the risks of global climate change;?the political environment of oil-producing countries or regions, including uncertainty or instability resulting from civil disorder, geopolitical instability, border disputes, or an outbreak or escalation of armed hostilities or acts of war or terrorism, such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Middle East conflicts, and the Guyana-Venezuela dispute, and their respective regional and global ramifications; and ?the laws, regulations, and policies of governments regarding exploration and development of their oil and gas reserves or speculation regarding future laws or regulations.
Adverse developments affecting the industry as a result of factors such as those listed above, including a decline in the price of oil and gas from their current levels or the failure of the price of oil and gas to consistently remain at or above a level that encourages our customers to expand their capital spending, the inability of our customers to access capital on economically advantageous terms, including as a result of the increasing focus on climate change by investors, a global recession, reduced demand for oil and gas products, or a perception that the demand for hydrocarbons will significantly decrease, increased supply due to the development of new onshore drilling and production technologies, and increased regulation of drilling and production, particularly if several developments were to occur in a short period of time, would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. However, increases in near-term commodity prices do not necessarily translate into increased offshore drilling activity because customers' expectations of longer-term future commodity prices and expectations regarding future demand for hydrocarbons typically have a greater impact on demand for our rigs. The level of oil and gas prices has had, and may in the future have, a material effect on demand for our services, and future declines in prices would likely have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 1/39 (3%)Above Sector Average
Technology1 | 2.6%
Technology - Risk 1
Changed
Failure to effectively and timely respond to the impact of long-term changes in the energy mix could adversely affect our business, results of operations, and cash flows.
Our long-term success depends on our ability to effectively respond to the impact of long-term changes in the energy mix, which could require adapting our fleet and business to potentially changing government requirements, customer preferences, and customer base, as well as engaging with existing and potential customers and suppliers to develop or implement solutions designed to reduce or to decarbonize oil and gas operations or to advance renewable and other alternative energy sources. If the energy mix landscape changes faster than anticipated or in a manner that we do not anticipate, demand for our services could be adversely affected. Furthermore, if we fail to, or are perceived not to, effectively implement a strategy regarding long-term changes in the energy mix, or if investors or financial institutions shift funding away from companies in fossil fuel-related industries, our access to capital or the market for our securities could be negatively impacted. Additionally, if we fail to, or are perceived not to, effectively respond to long-term changes in the energy mix, we may experience diminished reputation or sentiment, an inability to attract and retain talent and/or a loss of customers or vendors.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.