Our business is closely tied to general economic conditions in the real estate industry. As a result, our economic performance, the value of our real estate and our ability to implement our business strategies may be significantly and adversely affected by changing macroeconomic trends in the real estate markets in which we operate. Macroeconomic trends, including increases in inflation and interest rates, foreign currency fluctuations, inflation, declining demand for real estate, declining real estate values, periods of general economic slowdown and recession fears, adverse developments affecting financial institutions and government responses to the same, or the perception that any of these events may occur, continue or worsen, have negatively impacted the real estate market and our operating performance. The economic condition of each local market where we operate, and primarily in the United States, United Kingdom and Ireland may depend on one or more key industries within that market, which, in turn, makes our business sensitive to the performance of those industries.
Certain significant expenditures, such as debt service costs, which increased with the rapid rise of interest rates recently in response to high inflation, real estate taxes and operating and maintenance costs, are not necessarily reduced when market conditions are poor (even if reduced, timing of such reductions are delayed). Additionally, real estate investments are generally illiquid, which may affect our ability to promptly change our portfolio in response to changes in economic and other conditions. Moreover, we may not be able to unilaterally decide the timing of the disposition of an investment under certain joint venture arrangements, and as a result, we may not control when and whether any gain will be realized, or loss avoided. These factors, among others, impede us from responding quickly to changes in the performance of our investments and could adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations. Although current general macroeconomic conditions, globally and locally in the United States and in other countries in which we conduct business, remain volatile and uncertain, we continue to evaluate the extent to which each factor may impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We are typically active in many real estate transactions. The current high interest rates and inflationary pressures in our markets, however, have led to a general decrease in transactional activity as compared to previous periods, leading to lower levels of gains recognized and cash generated to reinvest in our business. Previous recessions and downturns in the real estate market have resulted in and may result in:
- a general decline in rents due to defaulting tenants or less favorable terms for renewed or new leases;- a general decline in demand for new office space and commercial real estate, which in turn led to a general increase in the levels of vacancy across our office and commercial portfolio;- a decline in actual and projected sale prices of our properties, resulting in lower returns on the properties in which we have invested;- higher interest rates, higher loan costs, less desirable loan terms and a reduction in the availability of mortgage loans, all of which could increase costs and limit our ability to acquire additional real estate assets; and - a decrease in the availability of lines of credit and the capital markets and other sources of capital used to grow, operate and maintain our business.
If our business performance and profitability deteriorate, we could fail to comply with certain financial covenants in our unsecured bond and revolving credit facility, which would force us to seek an amendment with our lenders. We may be unable to obtain any necessary waivers or amendments on satisfactory terms, if at all, which could result in the principal and interest of the debt to become immediately due. Please also see "Our debt obligations impose significant operating and financial restrictions, which may prevent us from pursuing certain business opportunities and taking certain actions." In addition, due to, among other things, a decrease in transactional activity and the macroeconomic conditions discussed above, we may become more highly leveraged, resulting in an increase in debt service costs that could adversely affect our results of operations or our credit ratings. From time to time, Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and Standard & Poor's Ratings Services ("S&P"), a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., rate our outstanding debt. These ratings are based on a variety of factors, including our current leverage and transactional activity. In December 2024, S&P downgraded us to ‘B+' from ‘BB-'. Additionally, S&P downgraded, the KWE Notes to ‘BB-' from ‘BB' and the KWI Notes to ‘B' from ‘B+'. S&P also lowered their issue-level rating on Kennedy Wilson's preferred stock to "CCC+". On June 5, 2023 Moody's downgraded the Company's rating from "B1" to "B2" with a stable outlook. These ratings and downgrades thereof (and any future potential downgrades) may impact our ability to access the debt market in the future at desired terms or at all. Any of these factors could lead to a significant deterioration of our business, and we could have insufficient liquidity to meet our debt service obligations when they come due in future years or maintain our common stock or preferred stock dividends. Please also see "Adverse developments in the credit markets and rising interest rates may harm our business, financial condition and results of operations" below.