Kadant (KAI) Risk Analysis

We derive a significant portion of our revenue and earnings from our international operations, and are subject to income and other taxes in the United States and numerous foreign jurisdictions. Changes in U.S. and foreign income tax laws and regulations, or their interpretation, could result in higher or lower income tax rates assessed or changes in the taxability of certain revenues or the deductibility of certain expenses, thereby affecting our income tax expense and profitability. A number of factors may cause our effective tax rate to fluctuate, including: changes in tax rates in various jurisdictions; unanticipated changes in the amount of profit in jurisdictions in which the statutory tax rates may be higher or lower than the U.S. tax rate; the resolution of issues arising from tax audits with various tax authorities; changes in the valuation of our deferred tax assets and liabilities; adjustments to income taxes upon finalization of various tax returns; increases in expenses not deductible for tax purposes, including impairments of goodwill in connection with acquisitions; and changes in available tax credits or our ability to utilize foreign tax credits. Any of these factors could cause us to experience an effective tax rate significantly different from that of prior periods or current expectations, which could have an adverse effect on our results of operations or cash flows. In addition, many countries are implementing legislation and other guidance to align their international tax rules with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's (OECD) Base Erosion and Profit Shifting recommendations and action plan that aim to standardize and modernize global corporate tax policy, including changes to cross-border tax, transfer pricing documentation rules, and nexus-based tax incentive practices. The OECD also released model rules introducing a new 15% global minimum tax for large multinational corporations with an annual global revenue exceeding 750.0 million euros (Pillar Two Rules). Many countries, including the member states of the European Union, have implemented legislation adopting the Pillar Two Rules, with effective dates beginning in 2024 and beyond. While the full impact of these regulations remains uncertain, compliance with Pillar Two Rules may lead to new reporting requirements and negatively impact our provision for income taxes, net income and cash flows.

We are a leading global supplier of equipment and critical components used in process industries worldwide. We sell our products globally and operate multiple manufacturing operations worldwide, including operations in Canada, China, Europe, Mexico, India and Brazil. International revenues and operations are subject to a number of risks which vary by geographic region, including the following: –agreements may be difficult to enforce and receivables difficult to collect through a foreign country's legal system;–foreign customers may have longer payment cycles;–foreign countries may impose additional withholding taxes or otherwise tax our foreign income;–economic sanctions, trade embargoes, tariffs, currency restrictions or other adverse trade regulations;–environmental and other regulations can adversely impact our ability to operate our facilities;–disruption from climate change, natural disaster, including earthquakes and/or tornadoes, fires, war, terrorist activity, and other force majeure events beyond our control;–changes in zoning laws that may require relocation of our manufacturing operations;–disruption from fast-spreading health epidemics and pandemics which have and may continue to result in widespread interruptions or restrictions on our employees' and other service providers' ability to travel, temporary closures of our facilities or the facilities of our customers, suppliers or other vendors in our supply chain, potentially including single source suppliers, other disruptions in the supply chain, and related issues, similar to what occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic;–worsening economic conditions may result in worker unrest, labor actions, and potential work stoppages;–political and/or civil unrest may disrupt commercial activities of ours or our customers;–fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and foreign interest rates beyond our control;–it may be difficult to repatriate funds, due to unfavorable domestic and foreign tax consequences or other restrictions or limitations imposed by foreign governments;–competition, especially in China, has increased as new companies enter the market and existing competitors expand their product lines and manufacturing operations;–the protection of intellectual property in foreign countries may be more difficult to enforce; and–any continuing effects on cross border trade and labor, and political and regulatory volatility resulting from the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union. Operating globally subjects us to various risks that may adversely affect our results of operations in the future.

Climate change may pose environmental risks that could harm our results of operations and affect the way we conduct business. Some of our operations are located in regions that may become increasingly vulnerable due to climate change, which may cause extreme weather conditions such as more intense hurricanes, thunderstorms, tornadoes and snow or ice storms, winds, and rainfall, as well as rising sea levels and increased volatility in seasonal temperatures. Extreme weather conditions or weather-driven natural disasters could impact our ability to maintain our operations in those areas. For example, we have manufacturing locations in the southeastern United States, which region has experienced record hurricanes in recent years reportedly due to the effects of climate change. Increased energy demand to heat or cool our facilities in certain locations may place stresses on local energy infrastructure and potentially constrain local energy supplies, which could have a negative impact on our operations. Climate change could also affect demand for our products by our customers that are affected by weather and weather-driven events, including seasonal changes in outdoor working conditions and rainfall levels. Climate change has also been cited as contributing to the increased likelihood around the world of hot and dry conditions in which wildfires and invasive species, like the destructive mountain pine beetle, thrive. As a result of the effects of climate change, our customers in the forestry industry may face damage to assets and losses from business interruption, which could lead to the reduced operation or closure of mills, and disruption of supply chains of which we may be a part. These risks could harm our business and results of operations. Investors, customers and other stakeholders are increasingly focused on the climate-related performance of companies they invest in. As part of our commitment to sustainability, we have set and may in the future set sustainability goals, particularly related to greenhouse gas emissions reductions. There is a risk that we may not be able to meet the goals that we set and strive to meet. If we have not responded in a satisfactory manner and demonstrated our commitment to addressing climate change, investors and customers' willingness to invest in, spend money with and otherwise provide capital to us may also be impacted.

Our future success is substantially dependent on the continued service of our senior management and other key employees. The loss of the services or retirement of our senior management or other key employees could make it more difficult to successfully operate our business and achieve our business goals. We also may be unable to attract qualified personnel or retain existing management, product development, sales, operational and other support personnel that are critical to our success, which could result in harm to key customer relationships, loss of key information, expertise, or know-how, and unanticipated recruitment and training costs. In addition, effective succession planning is also a key factor for our future success. Our failure to continue to enable the effective transfer of knowledge and facilitate smooth transitions with regard to key management employees, including in connection with our succession planning, could adversely affect our long-term strategic planning and execution and negatively affect our business, financial condition, operating results, and prospects. If we fail to enable the effective transfer of knowledge and facilitate smooth transitions for key personnel, the operating results and future growth for our business could be adversely affected, and the morale and productivity of the workforce could be disrupted.

Developments in digital media have adversely affected demand for newsprint and for printing and writing grades of paper, particularly in North America and Europe, a trend which is expected to continue. Approximately 4% of our revenue in 2024 was from customers producing newsprint and printing and writing grades of paper. Significant declines in the production of printing and writing paper grades have also led to a drop in the construction of recycled tissue mills, as those mills use printing and writing grades of waste paper as their fiber source. The increased use of digital media has had, and will continue to have, an adverse effect on demand for our products in those markets.

We seek patent and trade secret protection for significant new technologies, products, and processes because of the length of time and expense associated with bringing new products through the development process and into the marketplace. We own numerous U.S. and foreign patents, and we intend to file additional applications, as appropriate, for patents covering our products. Patents may not be issued for any pending or future patent applications owned by or licensed to us, and the claims allowed under any issued patents may not be sufficiently broad to protect our technology. Any issued patents owned by or licensed to us may be challenged, invalidated, or circumvented, and the rights under these patents may not provide us with competitive advantages. In addition, competitors may design around our technology, copy our technology or develop competing technologies. Intellectual property rights may also be unavailable or limited in some foreign countries, which could make it easier for competitors to capture increased market share. In addition, as our patents expire, we rely on trade secrets and proprietary know-how to protect our products. We cannot be sure the steps we have taken, or will take in the future, will be adequate to deter misappropriation of our proprietary information and intellectual property. Of particular concern are developing countries, such as China and India, where the laws, courts, and administrative agencies may not protect our intellectual property rights as fully as in the United States or Europe. We seek to protect trade secrets and proprietary know-how, in part, through confidentiality and non-competition agreements with our collaborators, employees, and consultants. These agreements may be breached, we may not have adequate remedies for any breach, and our trade secrets and proprietary know-how may otherwise become known or be independently developed by our competitors, or our competitors may otherwise gain access to our intellectual property. Others may assert intellectual property infringement claims against us or our customers. We may provide an intellectual property indemnity in connection with our terms and conditions of sale to our customers and in other types of contracts with third parties. Indemnification payments and legal expenses to defend claims could be costly. We could incur substantial costs to defend ourselves in suits brought against us, including for alleged infringement of third-party rights, or in suits in which we may assert our intellectual property or contractual rights against others. An unfavorable outcome of any such litigation could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations. SMH holds numerous U.S. and foreign patents, including foreign counterparts to its U.S. patents, and licenses the trademarked brand name of one of its significant products, Link-Belt, from a third party. If the third party were to terminate that license agreement, we would lose the right to use the Link-Belt trademark in the marketplace and cease to benefit from any of its associated goodwill.

We operate a geographically dispersed business and rely on the electronic storage and transmission of proprietary and confidential information, including technical and financial information, among our operations, customers, suppliers, and other third-party business partners. We also rely on information technology (IT), including IT services from third parties, in certain of our solutions, products, and services for customers as well as our enterprise infrastructure. Despite our security measures and internal controls, our IT infrastructure has been subject to cybersecurity incidents and may in the future be vulnerable to unauthorized access or attacks by nation states, hackers or cyber criminals; disruptions or service outages caused by errors in or compromise of software updates provided by third-party IT vendors; unauthorized access due to employee error or malfeasance; or other disruptions, such as business email compromises, phishing or other social engineering tactics, fraud, or other cybersecurity incidents. Our systems have been and may in the future be compromised by malware (including ransomware), denial-of-service attacks, cyberattacks, and other events, ranging from widespread, non-targeted, global cyber threats to targeted advanced persistent threats. These cybersecurity threats and incidents, which also may apply to our third-party business partners, could be indicators of an increased risk to our products, solutions, services, manufacturing, and IT infrastructure. The integration of newly acquired businesses may also increase the risk that we are subject to a cybersecurity incident. Recent global cyberattacks and service outages have been caused by the compromise of software updates to widely used software products, including some products that we use, which increases the risk that vulnerabilities or malicious content could be inserted into, or unauthorized access gained to, our products or IT infrastructure. While we seek to improve the security attributes of our products, solutions, services, and IT infrastructure, we cannot eliminate risk or ensure that we will not be harmed by cyberattacks or disruptions. In some global cyberattacks, malware has been spread from one party to another via network connections that the parties had previously authorized. Our business uses IT resources on a dispersed, global basis for a wide variety of functions including development, engineering, manufacturing, sales, accounting, and human resources. Our third-party business partners, employees, and customers have access to, and share, information across multiple locations via various digital technologies. In addition, we rely on third-party business partners for a wide range of outsourced activities, including cloud providers, as part of our internal IT infrastructure and our commercial offerings. Secure connectivity is important to these ongoing operations. To a significant extent, the security of systems to which we connect depends on how such systems are designed, installed, protected, configured, updated and monitored, some of which is outside of our control. Also, our third-party business partners frequently have access to our confidential information as well as confidential information about our customers, employees, and others. In addition, we have been, and may in the future be, prevented from accessing our data or systems in the event of a ransomware or other cybersecurity incident involving our IT systems or those of our third-party business partners or other third parties in our supply chain. A cybersecurity incident may cause interruptions or delays in our business operations, cause us to incur remediation costs, subject us to demands to pay a ransom, or damage our reputation, regardless of whether we pay the ransom amount. We design our security architecture to reduce the risk that a compromise of our third-party business partners' infrastructure, for example a cloud platform, could lead to a compromise of our internal systems or customer networks, but this risk cannot be eliminated and vulnerabilities at third parties could result in unknown risk exposure to our business. We monitor and manage various information systems that exist within our global operations and periodically upgrade or implement new enterprise resource planning software at our business operations. As we implement and add functionality, problems could arise that we have not foreseen. We have experienced cybersecurity threats and immaterial cybersecurity incidents that have impacted our ability to conduct our business operations. In the future, system failures, network disruptions, and cybersecurity incidents may materially adversely affect our ability to conduct our business operations, including our ability to communicate and transact business with our customers and suppliers; result in the loss or misuse of information, including credit card numbers or other personal information, the loss of business or customers, or damage to our brand or reputation; or interrupt or delay reporting of our financial results. Such system failures or unauthorized access could be caused by external theft or attack, misconduct or human error by our employees, third-party business partners, competitors, or natural disasters. In addition, the cost and operational consequences of implementing further cybersecurity and data protection measures, such as to comply with local cybersecurity and privacy laws such as the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation, or various similar foreign or U.S. federal and state laws, could be significant. The current cyber threat environment indicates increased risk for all companies. Like other global companies, we have experienced cybersecurity threats and incidents, although we do not believe that any such incidents have been material or had a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition. Our information security efforts include programs designed to address cybersecurity governance, product security, identification and protection of critical assets, insider risk, third-party risk, and cyber defense operations. We believe these measures reduce, but cannot eliminate, the risk of an information security or cybersecurity incident. Any significant cybersecurity incidents could have an adverse impact on sales and operations, harm our reputation, subject us to litigation and government investigations, and cause us to incur legal liability and increased costs to address such events and related cybersecurity concerns.

Approximately 2% and 3% of our Material Handling segment's 2024 revenue came from its thermal and metallurgical coal-mining customers, respectively, which represented in aggregate less than 2% of our consolidated revenue. Many of these customers supply coal for the generation of electricity and/or steel production. Demand for electricity and steel is affected by the global level of economic activity and economic growth. The pursuit of the most cost-effective form of electricity generation continues to take place throughout the world and coal-fired electricity generation faces intense price competition from other energy sources, particularly natural gas. In addition, coal combustion typically generates significant greenhouse gas emissions and governmental and private sector goals and mandates to reduce greenhouse gas emissions may increasingly affect the mix of electricity generation sources. Further developments in connection with legislation, regulations, international agreements or other limits on greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental impacts or costs from coal combustion, both in the United States and in other countries, could diminish demand for coal as a fuel for electricity generation. If lower greenhouse gas emitting forms of electricity generation, such as nuclear, solar, natural gas or wind power, become more prevalent or cost effective, or diminished economic activity reduces demand for electricity and steel, demand for coal will decline. Reduced demand for coal could result in reduced demand for SMH's mining equipment and could adversely affect our overall business, financial condition and results of operations.