Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Inventiva disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inventiva reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Risk Overview Q4, 2023
Risk Distribution
34% Tech & Innovation
33% Finance & Corporate
16% Legal & Regulatory
8% Production
6% Ability to Sell
4% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
2020
Q4
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Inventiva Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2023
Main Risk Category
Tech & Innovation
With 28 Risks
Tech & Innovation
With 28 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
83
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
83
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
1Risks added
1Risks removed
6Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
1Risks added
1Risks removed
6Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
Number of Risk Changed
6
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
6
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Inventiva in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 83
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 28/83 (34%)Above Sector Average
Innovation / R&D15 | 18.1%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
Clinical trials of our product candidates may not uncover all possible adverse effects that patients may experience.
Clinical trials are conducted in representative samples of the potential patient population which may have significant variability. Clinical trials are by design based on a limited number of subjects and of limited duration for exposure to the product used to determine whether, on a potentially statistically significant basis, the planned safety and efficacy of any product candidate can be achieved. As with the results of any statistical sampling, we cannot be sure that all side effects of our product candidates may be uncovered, and it may be the case that only with a significantly larger number of patients exposed to the product candidate for a longer duration, may a more complete safety profile be identified. Further, even larger clinical trials may not identify rare serious adverse effects or the duration of such studies may not be sufficient to identify when those events may occur. There have been other products that have been approved by the regulatory authorities but for which safety concerns have been uncovered following approval. Such safety concerns have led to labelling changes or withdrawal of products from the market, and any of our product candidates may be subject to similar risks.
The SUSAR of elevated aminotransferases reported in our NATiV3 clinical trial in the first quarter of 2024 is the first reported in all clinical trials with lanifibranor. Patients treated with our products, if approved, may experience similar adverse reactions to the SUSAR or other adverse reactions and it is possible that the FDA or other regulatory authorities may ask for additional safety data as a condition of, or in connection with, our efforts to obtain approval of our product candidates. If safety problems occur or are identified after our product candidates reach the market, we may, or regulatory authorities may require us to amend the labeling of our products, recall our products or even withdraw approval for our products.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
The lack of a reliable non-invasive method for the diagnosis of NASH is likely to present a major challenge to lanifibranor's market penetration, if ever commercialized.
Liver biopsy is the standard approach for the diagnosis of inflammation and fibrosis associated with NASH. However, the procedure-related morbidity and, in rare cases, mortality, sample errors, costs, patient discomfort and thus lack of patient interest in undergoing the procedure limit its use. As such, only patients with a high risk of NASH, which includes patients with metabolic syndrome and an indication of NAFLD are generally sent for liver biopsy. Because NASH tends to be asymptomatic until the disease progresses, many individuals with NASH remain undiagnosed until the disease has reached its late stages, if at all. The lack of a reliable non-invasive method for the diagnosis of NASH is likely to present a major challenge to lanifibranor's market penetration, as many practitioners and patients may not be aware that a patient suffers from NASH and requires treatment. As such, use of lanifibranor might not be as wide-spread as our actual target market and this may limit the commercial potential of lanifibranor.
A further challenge to lanifibranor's market penetration is that currently a liver biopsy is the standard approach for measuring improvement in NASH patients. Because it would be impractical to subject all patients that take lanifibranor, when and if it approved, to regular and repeated liver biopsies, it will be difficult to demonstrate lanifibranor's effectiveness to practitioners and patients unless and until a reliable non-invasive method for the diagnosis and monitoring of NASH becomes available, as to which there can be no assurance.
While other companies in the industry are currently working on advancing non-invasive diagnostic approaches, none of these has been clinically validated, and the timetable for commercial validation, if at all, is uncertain. Moreover, such diagnostics may also be subject to regulation by FDA or other regulatory authorities as medical devices and may require premarket clearance or approval.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 3
Our product candidates may cause undesirable side effects or have other properties that could delay or prevent their regulatory approval, limit the commercial profile of an approved label, or result in significant negative consequences following marketing approval, if any.
Results of our trials could reveal a high and unacceptable severity and prevalence of certain side effects. In such an event, our or our partners' trials could be suspended or terminated and the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or comparable regulatory authorities could order us to cease further development of or deny approval of our product candidates for any or all targeted indications. The drug-related side effects could affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete the trial or result in potential product liability claims. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
For example, in the first quarter of 2024 following a routine visit in our NATiV3 clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, an adverse event of elevated aminotransferases in liver tests in a patient enrolled in the trial was reported. This event has been assessed as a treatment-related SUSAR. Other milder cases of elevation of aminotransferases among trial participants have also been reported. We decided to voluntarily pause screening and randomization to implement changes to the enrollment criteria to exclude patients diagnosed or with a predisposition to autoimmune liver or thyroid disease and more frequent liver monitoring for patients enrolled in the trial as recommended by the Data Monitoring Committee. Prior to the voluntary pause, 478 sites were activated in 24 countries, 913 patients were randomized, including 731 in the main cohort, and over 550 patients were in screening. On March 7, 2024, we announced that we had lifted this voluntary pause. As of the date hereof, a portion of U.S. sites operating under central IRB have resumed screening and randomization and we are working towards reactivating the remaining sites in the United States and other countries. We are currently targeting: the last patient first visit for the first half of 2024, the randomization of the last patient for the second half of 2024, the last patient last visit for the first half of 2026, the publication of the topline results for the first half of 2026, and the NDA submission for the second half of 2026. However, the resumption of screening and randomization may be slower than anticipated. There can be no guarantee that regulatory authorities will accept those modifications as sufficient, will not impose a clinical hold, that new patients will be willing or able to enroll in the trial with the new criteria, or that patients currently enrolled in the trial will be willing or able to continue the trial based on the new information, which could further delay, or prevent us from completing, our trials. Even if we are able to complete our trials with lanifibranor, including NATiV3, the SUSAR may impact the safety assessment of regulatory authorities reviewing a potential NDA or marketing authorization for lanifibranor, which may lead to a rejection of the application, a request for additional studies of lanifibranor, or a requirement for labeling that includes significant use or distribution restrictions or significant safety warnings, including boxed warnings, if lanifibranor is approved.
If one or more of our product candidates receives marketing approval, and we or others later identify undesirable side effects caused by such products, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including:
- regulatory authorities may withdraw approvals of such product;- regulatory authorities may require additional warnings on the label;- we may be required to create a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients;- we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; and - our reputation may suffer.
Any of these events could prevent us or our partners from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the particular product candidate, if approved, and could significantly harm our business, results of operations and prospects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 4
We have received Orphan Drug Designation from the FDA and the European Commission and Rare Pediatric Disease Designation from the FDA for odiparcil for the treatment of MPS VI, and we may seek Orphan Drug Designation for our future product candidates, however we may be unable to maintain the benefits associated with Orphan Drug Designation, including the potential for market exclusivity, which could limit the potential profitability of our drug candidates, if approved.
Regulatory authorities in some jurisdictions, including the United States and the European Union, may designate drugs for relatively small patient populations as orphan drugs. Under the Orphan Drug Act of 1983, the FDA may designate a drug as an orphan drug if it is a drug intended to treat a rare disease or condition, which is generally defined as a patient population of fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or if it affects more than 200,000, there is no reasonable expectation that sales of the drug in the United States will be sufficient to offset the costs of developing and making the drug available in the United States. Generally, if a drug with an orphan drug designation subsequently receives the first marketing approval for an indication for which it receives the designation, then the drug is eligible for a seven-year period of marketing exclusivity in the United States and a ten-year period of marketing exclusivity in the European Union during which the competent authority may not approve another marketing application for the same drug for the same indication, except in limited circumstances, such as if a subsequent application demonstrates that its product is clinically superior. During an orphan drug's exclusivity period, however, competitors may receive approval for drugs with different active moieties for the same indication as the approved orphan drug, or for drugs with the same active moiety as the approved orphan drug, but for different indications. Orphan drug exclusivity could block the approval of one of our products for seven years if a competitor obtains approval for a drug with the same active moiety intended for the same indication before we do, unless we are able to demonstrate that grounds for withdrawal of the orphan drug exclusivity exist or that our product is clinically superior. Further, if a designated orphan drug receives marketing approval for an indication broader than the rare disease or condition for which it received orphan drug designation, it may not be entitled to exclusivity. A designated orphan drug may not receive orphan drug exclusivity if it is approved for a use that is broader than the indication for which it received orphan drug designation.
We have received orphan drug designation from the FDA and from the EMA for odiparcil for the treatment of MPS VI. Similarly, in the European Union, a medicinal product may receive orphan designation granted by the European Commission. We intend to pursue orphan drug designation for other future drug candidates as applicable. Even if we obtain orphan drug designation for a drug candidate, we may not obtain orphan exclusivity, and any such exclusivity, if attained, may not effectively protect the drug from the competition of different drugs for the same condition, which could be approved during the exclusivity period. Additionally, after an orphan drug is approved, the FDA could subsequently approve another application for the same indication if the FDA concludes that the later drug is shown to be safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. Orphan drug exclusive marketing rights in the United States also may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantity of the drug to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition. The failure to obtain an orphan drug designation for any drug candidates we may develop, the inability to maintain that designation for the duration of the applicable period, or the inability to obtain or maintain orphan drug exclusivity could reduce our ability to make sufficient sales of the applicable drug candidate to balance our expenses incurred to develop it, which would have a negative impact on our operational results and financial condition.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 5
We may not be successful in our efforts to discover and develop additional product candidates.
A key element of our strategy is to build a pipeline of product candidates and progress these product candidates through clinical development for the treatment of a variety of diseases. Although our research and development efforts to date have resulted in a pipeline of product candidates directed at various diseases, we may not be able to develop product candidates that are safe and effective. Even if we are successful in continuing to build our pipeline, the potential product candidates that we identify may not be suitable for clinical development, including as a result of being shown to have harmful side effects or other characteristics that indicate that they are unlikely to be products that will receive marketing approval and achieve market acceptance. If we do not continue to successfully develop and begin to commercialize product candidates, we will face difficulty in obtaining product revenues in future periods, which could result in significant harm to our financial position and adversely affect the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 6
We are developing certain of our product candidates in combination with other therapies, and safety or supply issues with combination use products may delay or prevent development and approval of our therapeutic candidates.
We are developing certain of our product candidates in combination with one or more approved or investigational therapies. Even if any product candidate we or our partners develop were to receive marketing approval or be commercialized for use in combination with other existing therapies, we would continue to be subject to the risks that the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or similar foreign regulatory authorities could revoke approval of the therapy used in combination with our product or that safety, efficacy, manufacturing or supply issues could arise with any of those existing therapies. If the therapies we use in combination with our product candidates are replaced as the standard of care for the indications we choose for any of our product candidates, the EMA, the FDA, the NMPA or similar foreign regulatory authorities outside may require us to conduct additional clinical trials. The occurrence of any of these risks could result in our own products, if approved, being removed from the market or being less successful commercially.
We or our partners also may evaluate our product candidates in combination with one or more therapies that have not yet been approved for marketing by the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or similar foreign regulatory authorities. We will not be able to market and sell any product candidate we develop in combination with an unapproved therapy if that unapproved therapy does not ultimately obtain marketing approval. In addition, unapproved therapies face the same risks described with respect to our product candidates currently in development, including the potential for serious adverse effects, delay in their clinical trials and lack of FDA, EMA, or NMPA approval.
If the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or similar foreign regulatory authorities do not approve these other therapies or revoke their approval of, or if safety, efficacy, manufacturing, or supply issues arise with, the therapies we or our partners choose to evaluate in combination with our product candidates, we may be unable to obtain approval of or market any such product candidate.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 7
Enrollment and retention of patients in clinical trials is an expensive and time-consuming process and could be made more difficult or rendered impossible by multiple factors outside our control, including difficulties in identifying NASH patients and significant competition for recruiting NASH patients in clinical trials.
Identifying and qualifying patients to participate in our clinical trials is critical to our success. We have in the past and may in the future encounter delays in enrolling, or be unable to enroll, a sufficient number of patients to complete any of our clinical trials, and even once enrolled we may be unable to retain a sufficient number of patients to complete any of our trials. In particular, as a result of the inherent difficulties in diagnosing NASH, the significant competition for recruiting NASH patients in clinical trials, and the higher than originally projected screen failure rate resulting in slower than anticipated enrollment rate, we experienced delays in recruiting patients with NASH for our completed NATiVE Phase IIb clinical trial of lanifibranor in that indication and in recruiting patients for our NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH. While we amended the protocol for the NATiV3 trial in part to potentially accelerate enrollment, there can be no assurance that the protocol amendments will have the desired effect, and we or our potential future partners may be unable to enroll the patients we need to complete our NATiV3 trial or other potential future clinical trials on a timely basis, or at all. As a result, we may be unable to attain previously announced anticipated timing milestones with respect to clinical or regulatory development of lanifibranor. Enrollment challenges could be exacerbated if the FDA or EMA require us or our partners to conduct pivotal trials of lanifibranor in larger patient populations than we anticipate. There can also be no assurance that any of the protocol amendments we have made or may make in the future will result in an approvable New Drug Application.
Additionally, patient enrollment and retention in clinical trials depends on many factors, including the size of the patient population, the nature of the trial protocol, our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators with the appropriate competencies and experience, the existing body of safety and efficacy data with respect to the study drug, the number and nature of competing treatments and ongoing clinical trials of competing drugs for the same disease, the proximity of patients to clinical sites and the eligibility criteria for the trials, the patient referral by physicians, the willingness of patients to be enrolled in our clinical trials, our ability to obtain and maintain patient consents and the risk that patients enrolled in clinical trials will drop out of the trials before completion. For example, in the first quarter of 2024 following a routine visit during the course of our NATiV3 clinical trial, a SUSAR of elevated aminotransferases in liver tests was reported. See "-We are heavily dependent on the success of our product candidate lanifibranor. We cannot give any assurance that any product candidate, or any other compounds in development, will successfully complete clinical trials, receive regulatory approval or be commercialized." In connection with the SUSAR, we updated our informed consent form and were required to obtain new consents from patients already enrolled and must use these consents for new enrollment. There can be no guarantee that new patients will be willing or able to enroll in the trial under these conditions, or that patients currently enrolled in the trial will be willing or able to continue the trial based on the new information, which could delay, or prevent us from completing, our trials. Furthermore, any negative results we may report in clinical trials of our product candidates, or results that we report that are less favorable or perceived to be less favorable than those reported with respect to competitor product candidates, may make it difficult or impossible to recruit and retain patients in other clinical trials of those product candidates. Delays or failures in planned patient enrollment or retention may result in increased costs, program delays or both, which could have a harmful effect on our ability to develop lanifibranor or could render further development impossible. In addition, we may rely on CROs and clinical trial sites to ensure proper and timely conduct of our future clinical trials and, while we intend to enter into agreements governing their services, we will be limited in our ability to compel their actual performance.
We have encountered delays in the recruitment for our NATiV3 trial of lanifibranor in NASH, which was initiated in the second half of 2021, primarily due to a higher than originally projected screen failure rate resulting in slower than anticipated enrollment rate in 2021 until mid-2023. In addition, we experienced a slower than predicted site activation, screening and enrollment due to negative impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic during 2020 and 2021, and were unable to conduct clinical trial activities at sites located in Ukraine, following our determination in 2022 to put recruitment for our NATiV3 trial in Ukraine on hold and to remove all of the planned sites in Russia from the trial due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and we temporarily paused screening and enrollment in the trial in connection with the SUSAR reported in the first quarter in 2024. Furthermore, we face strong competition for enrollment from competitors who have received marketing authorization, such as Madrigal with Rezdiffra, or are conducting ongoing clinical trials evaluating their drug candidates in NASH, such as Novo Nordisk, Akero Therapeutics and 89Bio, each of which is conducting a Phase III clinical trial. As of the date of this report, approximately 70 Phase I, II and III clinical trials enrolling patients with NASH are listed on the clinicaltrials.gov website. These competitors could obtain marketing authorization in the indications targeted by us, which could have a negative impact on the recruitment and retention of patients randomized to the placebo group. Moreover, certain patients could prefer to undergo treatment that has obtained a marketing authorization, such as Rezdiffra from Madrigal or others that may obtain a marketing authorization in the future, rather than participate or continue their participation in an ongoing clinical study with the possibility of being assigned to the placebo-controlled part. As a result, the timing of our clinical trials, including NATiV3, and results thereof may be materially different than our projections.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 8
We may encounter substantial delays in our clinical trials or we may fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of applicable regulatory authorities.
We may experience delays in our ongoing clinical trials and we do not know whether planned clinical trials will begin on time, need to be redesigned, enroll patients on time or be completed on schedule, if at all.
We previously experienced such delays with the initiation of our recently completed Phase IIb clinical trial of lanifibranor in patients with NASH and our Phase Ib/II clinical trial of odiparcil in a pediatric population with MPS VI, as well as delays in our plans to report data related to each of these trials. For example, the recruitment and screening of new patients for the investigator-initiated Phase II trial evaluating lanifibranor in patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease, or NAFLD, and T2D, was temporarily suspended due to the COVID-19 pandemic and topline results were announced in June 2023, as opposed to the first half of 2022 as initially expected.
We have also encountered delays in our NATiV3 trial. For example, in 2022, due to the Russian invasion in Ukraine, we determined to put recruitment for our NATiV3 trial in Ukraine on hold and to remove all of the planned sites in Russia from the NATiV3 trial, which, together with higher than originally projected screen failure rate resulting in slower than anticipated enrollment rate and higher than originally projected screen failure rate, contributed to a delay in patient enrollment. In addition, in the first quarter of 2024, following a routine visit during our NATiV3 clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, a SUSAR of elevated aminotransferases in liver tests in a patient was reported. Other milder cases of elevation of aminotransferases among trial participants have also been reported. As a result of this SUSAR, we decided to voluntarily pause screening and randomization to implement changes to the enrollment criteria to exclude patients diagnosed or with a predisposition to autoimmune liver or thyroid disease and more frequent liver monitoring for patients enrolled in the trial as recommended by the Data Monitoring Committee. Prior to the voluntary pause, 478 sites were activated in 24 countries, 913 patients were randomized, including 731 in the main cohort, and over 550 patients were in screening. On March 7, 2024, we announced that we had lifted this voluntary pause. As of the date hereof, a portion of U.S. sites operating under central IRB have resumed screening and randomization and we are working towards reactivating the remaining sites in the United States and other countries. We are currently targeting: the last patient first visit for the first half of 2024, the randomization of the last patient for the second half of 2024, the last patient last visit for the first half of 2026, the publication of the topline results for the first half of 2026, and the NDA submission for the second half of 2026. However, the ultimate impact of the pause on the overall timeline of the trial remains unclear, as we added new exclusion criteria, which may increase the screen failure rate, and the SUSAR, new exclusion criteria and increased liver monitoring may discourage potential trial participants. While our January 2023 protocol amendments reduced the number of biopsies and trial duration of our NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, we may experience enrollment and other delays such as the ones that have contributed to the expected completion of the trial being later than originally planned, and the trial may experience additional delays and be complete later than currently anticipated. As a result, other NASH therapies in development may become commercially available during the conduct of our ongoing NATIV3 trial and our planned Phase III trial in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis. For example, in March 2024, Madrigal announced that it had received FDA approval of Rezdiffra for the treatment of patients with NASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis. There can also be no assurance that any of the protocol amendments we have made or may make in the future will result in an approvable New Drug Application.
In addition, clinical trials can be delayed for a variety of reasons, including delays related to:
- obtaining regulatory approval to commence a trial;- reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective contract research organizations, or CROs, and clinical trial sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and trial sites;- obtaining IRB or ethics committee approval at each site;- obtaining regulatory concurrence on the design and parameters for the trial;- obtaining approval for the designs of our clinical development programs for each country targeted for trial enrollment;- recruiting suitable patients to participate in a trial, which may be impacted by the number of competing trials that are enrolling patients;- having patients complete a trial or return for post-treatment follow-up;- clinical sites deviating from trial protocol or dropping out of a trial;- potential clinical holds;- adding new clinical trial sites;- manufacturing sufficient quantities of product candidate or obtaining sufficient quantities of comparator drug for use in clinical trials;- the availability of adequate financing and other resources; or - pandemics and health crises and related responses and measures.
We could encounter delays if a clinical trial is suspended or terminated by us, by the IRBs or ethics committees of the institutions in which such trials are being conducted, by the data and safety monitoring board for such trial or by the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities. A suspension or termination may be imposed due to a number of factors, including failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with regulatory requirements or our clinical protocols, inspection of the clinical trial operations or trial site by the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities resulting in the imposition of a clinical hold, safety issues or adverse side effects, failure to demonstrate a benefit from using a drug, changes in governmental regulations or administrative actions, manufacturing issues or lack of adequate funding to continue the clinical trial. For example, it is possible that safety issues or adverse side effects could be observed in our trials, which could result in a delay, suspension or termination of those trials, such as the SUSAR that was reported in the first quarter of 2024. If we experience delays in the completion of, or termination of, any clinical trial of our product candidates, the commercial prospects of our product candidates will be harmed, and our ability to generate product revenues from any of these product candidates will be delayed. For example, we decided to focus our clinical efforts on the development of lanifibranor. As part of this decision, we suspended our clinical efforts relating to odiparcil. In addition, any delays in completing our clinical trials will increase our costs, slow down our product candidate development and approval process and jeopardize our ability to commence product sales and generate revenues. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly. In addition, many of the factors that cause or lead to a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates.
If lanifibranor or any other product candidate is found to be unsafe or lack efficacy, we will not be able to obtain regulatory approval for it and our business would be materially harmed. For example, if the results of our NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial for lanifibranor in NASH do not achieve the primary efficacy endpoints or demonstrate unexpected safety findings, such as the SUSAR reported in the first quarter of 2024 or similar or additional adverse events, the prospects for approval of lanifibranor, as well as the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs, would be materially and adversely affected.
Moreover, principal investigators for our clinical trials may serve as our scientific advisors or consultants from time to time and receive compensation in connection with such services. Under certain circumstances, we may be required to report some of these relationships to the FDA or other regulatory authorities. The FDA or other regulatory authorities may conclude that a financial relationship between us and a principal investigator has created a conflict of interest or otherwise affected interpretation of the trial results. The FDA or other regulatory authority may therefore question the integrity of the data generated at the applicable clinical trial site and the utility of the clinical trial itself may be jeopardized. This could result in a delay in approval, or rejection, of our marketing applications by the FDA or other regulatory authority, as the case may be, and may ultimately lead to the denial of marketing approval of one or more of our product candidates.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 9
Clinical development is a lengthy and expensive process with an uncertain outcome, and results of earlier studies and trials as well as data from any interim analysis of ongoing clinical trials may not be predictive of future trial results. Clinical failure can occur at any stage of clinical development.
Clinical testing is expensive and can take many years to complete, and its outcome is inherently uncertain. Failure can occur at any time during the clinical trial process. Although product candidates may demonstrate promising results in early clinical (human) trials and pre-clinical (animal) studies, they may not prove to be effective in subsequent clinical trials. For example, testing on animals may occur under different conditions than testing in humans and therefore the results of animal studies may not accurately predict human experience. Likewise, early clinical studies may not be predictive of eventual safety or effectiveness results in larger-scale pivotal clinical trials. The results of pre-clinical studies and previous clinical trials as well as data from any interim analysis of ongoing clinical trials of our product candidates, as well as studies and trials of other products with similar mechanisms of action to our product candidates, may not be predictive of the results of ongoing or future clinical trials. There can be significant variability in safety and/or efficacy results between different trials of the same product candidate due to numerous factors, including changes in trial protocols, differences in composition of the patient populations, adherence to the dosing regimen and other trial protocols and the rate of dropout among clinical trial participants. For example, in the first quarter of 2024, following a routine visit in our NATiV3 clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, a serious adverse event of elevated aminotransferases in liver tests in a patient was reported. This event has been assessed as a treatment-related SUSAR, and is the first reported in all clinical trials with lanifibranor. In addition, certain of the completed clinical trials for lanifibranor were conducted in patients with type 2 diabetes, or T2D, which is a different indication than we are currently pursuing. The results generated in trials for lanifibranor in this other indication do not ensure that the current or future clinical trials for lanifibranor in NASH will continue to demonstrate similar safety and/or efficacy results.
In addition, we did not control the pre-clinical and clinical development of lanifibranor and odiparcil prior to 2012 and we have relied on Abbott Laboratories, or Abbott, and Abbott's partners to have conducted such research and development in accordance with the applicable protocol, legal, regulatory and scientific standards, having accurately reported the results of all clinical trials conducted prior to our acquisition of lanifibranor and odiparcil, and having correctly collected and interpreted the data from these studies and trials. To the extent any of these has not occurred, expected development time and costs may be increased which could adversely affect any future revenue from lanifibranor and odiparcil by us or our partners.
Product candidates in later stages of clinical trials may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy traits despite having progressed through pre-clinical studies and earlier clinical trials. In addition to the safety and efficacy traits of any product candidate, clinical trial failures may result from a multitude of factors including flaws in trial design, dose selection, placebo effect and patient enrollment criteria. A number of companies in the pharmaceutical industry have suffered significant setbacks in advanced clinical trials due to lack of efficacy or adverse safety profiles, notwithstanding promising results in earlier trials, and it is possible that we will as well. Based upon negative or inconclusive results, we or our partners may decide, or regulators may require us, to conduct additional clinical trials or pre-clinical studies. For example, we previously pursued the development of lanifibranor for the treatment of patients with SSc. However, following the results of our Phase IIb clinical trial of lanifibranor for the treatment of SSc, we ceased development of lanifibranor in this indication in February 2019. In addition, data obtained from trials and studies are susceptible to varying interpretations, and regulators may not interpret our data as favorably as we do, which may delay, limit or prevent regulatory approval.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 10
Business interruptions could delay us in the process of developing our product candidates.
Loss of our laboratory facilities through fire or other causes could have an adverse effect on our ability to continue to conduct our business. We currently have insurance coverage to compensate us for such business interruptions; however, such coverage may prove insufficient to fully compensate us for the damage to our business resulting from any significant property or casualty loss to our facilities.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 11
If we do not achieve our projected development and commercialization goals in the timeframes we announce and expect, our business will be harmed and the price of our securities could decline as a result.
We sometimes estimate for planning purposes the timing of the accomplishment of various scientific, clinical, regulatory and other product development objectives. These milestones may include our expectations regarding the commencement or completion of scientific studies, clinical trials, the submission of regulatory filings, or commercialization objectives. From time to time, we may publicly announce the expected timing of some of these milestones, such as the completion of an ongoing clinical trial, the receipt of data from a clinical trial, the initiation of other clinical programs, receipt of marketing approval, or a commercial launch of a product. For example, the results of the investigator-initiated Phase II clinical trial evaluating lanifibranor in NAFLD and T2D were announced in June 2023, as opposed to the first half of 2022 as initially expected, because recruitment and screening of new patients for the trial was temporarily suspended due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The achievement of many of these milestones may be outside of our control. All of these milestones are based on a variety of assumptions which may cause the timing of achievement of the milestones to vary considerably from our estimates, including:
- our available capital resources or capital constraints we experience;- the rate of progress, costs and results of our clinical trials and research and development activities, including the extent of scheduling conflicts with participating clinicians and partners, and our ability to identify and enroll patients who meet clinical trial eligibility criteria;- our receipt of approvals by the EMA, FDA and other regulatory agencies and the timing thereof;- other actions, decisions or rules issued by regulators;- our ability to access sufficient, reliable and affordable supplies of compounds and raw materials used in the manufacture of our product candidates;- the efforts of our partners with respect to the commercialization of our products; and - the securing of, costs related to, and timing issues associated with, product manufacturing as well as sales and marketing activities.
If we fail to achieve announced milestones in the timeframes we expect, the commercialization of our product candidates may be delayed, our business and results of operations may be harmed, and the trading price of our ordinary shares and ADSs may decline as a result.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 12
Changed
Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy Designations from the FDA or the NMPA may not actually lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process.
The FDA has granted Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy Designations, and the NMPA has granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation, to lanifibranor for the treatment of patients with NASH.
If a product is intended for the treatment of a serious or life-threatening condition and the product demonstrates the potential to address unmet medical needs for this condition, the product sponsor may apply for Fast Track Designation with the FDA. Breakthrough Therapy Designation with the FDA may be requested and granted for products that are intended, alone or in combination with one or more other products, to treat a serious or life-threatening condition and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the product may demonstrate substantial improvement over currently approved therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints. Similarly, Breakthrough Therapy Designation with the NMPA may be requested and granted for products that are intended for the prevention and treatment of diseases that seriously endanger life or seriously affect quality of life and there exists no effective treatment or there is sufficient evidence to show a significant clinical benefit of the product over the existing treatments. Even though we have received Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy Designations from the FDA and Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the NMPA for lanifibranor for the treatment of NASH we may not experience a faster development, review or approval process compared to conventional FDA or NMPA procedures and these designations do not change the approval standards of the FDA and the NMPA. The FDA and the NMPA may withdraw such designations if they believe that the designation is no longer supported by data from our clinical development program.
Moreover, in March 2024, Madrigal announced that it had received FDA approval of Rezdiffra for the treatment of adult patients with NASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis. We may lose lanifibranor's Fast Track Designation if the FDA concludes that Rezdiffra addresses the unmet medical need for patients with NASH. We may also lose the FDA's Breakthrough Therapy Designation if the FDA concludes that lanifibranor does not demonstrate substantial improvement over Rezdiffra on one or more clinically significant endpoints. Loss of either of these designations would negatively impact our ability to develop and commercialize lanifibranor and our prospects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 13
We are heavily dependent on the success of our product candidate lanifibranor. We cannot give any assurance that any product candidate, or any other compounds in development, will successfully complete clinical trials, receive regulatory approval or be commercialized.
We do not have any drugs that have received regulatory approval and may never be able to develop marketable products. We expect that a substantial portion of our efforts and expenses for the foreseeable future will be devoted to the clinical development of lanifibranor, and as a result, our business currently depends heavily on the successful development, regulatory approval and commercialization of this product candidate. The development of lanifibranor has been and will continue to be a time-consuming and costly process, and may leave us with insufficient resources to advance other programs. In 2020, we decided to focus our clinical efforts on the development of lanifibranor and suspend our clinical efforts relating to odiparcil. In addition, we previously entered into a partnership with AbbVie for the development of cedirogant, which ended in October 2022 when AbbVie decided to stop the development of cedirogant following the analysis of a nonclinical toxicology study.
We cannot be certain that lanifibranor will receive regulatory approval or be successfully commercialized, even if we receive regulatory approval. The research, testing, manufacturing, safety, efficacy, labeling, approval, sale, marketing and distribution of our product candidates are, and will remain, subject to comprehensive regulation by the FDA in the United States, the European Union and EMA in Europe and regulatory authorities in other countries, with regulations differing from country to country. For example, the changes that we announced in January 2023 to our clinical development plan for lanifibranor for the treatment of NASH may not meet our expectations of being beneficial to the overall development program and may not result in an approvable New Drug Application, whether by accelerated or full approval. While we have reduced the number of biopsies and trial duration of our NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, we may not complete the trial when expected. As a result, other NASH therapies in development may become commercially available during the conduct of our ongoing NATiV3 trial and our planned Phase III trial in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis. For example, in March 2024, Madrigal announced that it had received FDA approval of Rezdiffra for the treatment of patients with NASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis. Moreover, any cost efficiencies that we previously hoped to gain by having confirmation of efficacy in a previously planned Part 2 of the NATiV3 trial will now be borne by a separate clinical trial in NASH and compensated cirrhosis, such that it may ultimately take longer and cost more to get approved, if at all. In addition, while the protocol amendments, submitted to the FDA in January 2023, are designed to align with the FDA's public communication suggesting that an alternative approach to seek full approval in patients with NASH could be considered upon submission of positive results of a Phase III trial using a histology surrogate endpoint in patients with NASH and a Phase III clinical outcome trial in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis, there can be no assurance that these or any other protocol amendments we have made or may make in the future will result in an approvable New Drug Application. Although the FDA has not objected to the January 2023 protocol amendments, its guidance during a consultation preceding the submission of the January 2023 protocol amendments was to continue our NATiV3 trial as originally planned prior to the protocol amendments. In addition, we have not received input from the FDA on our recent protocol amendments in connection with a treatment-related Suspected Unexpected Serious Adverse Reaction, or SUSAR, in the NATiV3 trial in the first quarter of 2024. In the first quarter of 2024 following a routine visit in our NATiV3 clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, an adverse event of elevated aminotransferases in liver tests in a patient enrolled in the trial was reported. This event has been assessed as a treatment-related SUSAR. Other milder cases of elevation of aminotransferases among trial participants have also been reported. We decided to voluntarily pause screening and randomization to implement changes to the enrollment criteria to exclude patients diagnosed or with a predisposition to autoimmune liver or thyroid disease and more frequent liver monitoring for patients enrolled in the trial as recommended by the Data Monitoring Committee. Prior to the voluntary pause, 478 sites were activated in 24 countries, 913 patients were randomized, including 731 in the main cohort, and over 550 patients were in screening. On March 7, 2024, we announced that we had lifted this voluntary pause. As of the date hereof, a portion of U.S. sites operating under central Institutional Review Board, or IRB, have resumed screening and randomization and we are working towards reactivating the remaining sites in the United States and other countries. We are currently targeting: the last patient first visit for the first half of 2024, the randomization of the last patient for the second half of 2024, the last patient last visit for the first half of 2026, the publication of the topline results for the first half of 2026, and the NDA submission for the second half of 2026. Resumption of screening and randomization may be slower than anticipated, there can be no guarantee that regulatory authorities will accept those modifications as sufficient, will not impose a clinical hold, that new patients will be willing or able to enroll in the trial with the new criteria, or that patients currently enrolled in the trial will be willing or able to continue the trial based on the new information, which could further delay, or prevent us from completing, our trials. Even if we are able to complete our trials with lanifibranor, including NATiV3, the SUSAR may impact the safety assessment of regulatory authorities reviewing a potential NDA or marketing authorization for lanifibranor, which may lead to a rejection of the application, a request for additional studies of lanifibranor, or a requirement for labeling that includes significant use or distribution restrictions or significant safety warnings, including boxed warnings, if lanifibranor is approved. In addition, our partners, such as CTTQ and Hepalys, may not be successful in developing and seeking regulatory approval for lanifibranor and/or effectively commercializing approved products, if any. As a result of delays, other NASH therapies in development (in addition to Rezdiffra by Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, or Madrigal, which recently received FDA approval for the treatment of adult patients with NASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis) may become commercially available during the conduct of our ongoing NATiV3 trial and our planned Phase III trial in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis.
We will not be permitted to market our drug candidates in the United States or Europe until we receive approval of an NDA from the FDA or a marketing authorization application, or MAA, from the European Commission (based on the positive opinion of the EMA), respectively. We have not submitted any marketing applications for any of our product candidates. NDAs and MAAs must include extensive preclinical and clinical data and supporting information to establish the drug candidate's safety and effectiveness for each desired indication. NDAs and MAAs must also include significant information regarding the chemistry, manufacturing and controls for the drug. Obtaining approval of a NDA or a MAA is a lengthy, expensive and uncertain process, and we may not be successful in obtaining approval. We have received a Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the FDA and the NMPA for the development of lanifibranor for the treatment of NASH. In September 2021, the FDA decided that their designation also encompasses the treatment of NASG with compensated cirrhosis. While the Fast Track Designation for lanifibranor in NASH permits close and regular contact between us and the FDA, the FDA and the EMA review processes can take more than one year to complete and approval is never guaranteed. If we submit an NDA to the FDA, the FDA must decide whether to accept or reject the submission for filing, before even reviewing the scientific basis. Regulators of other jurisdictions, such as the EMA and the NMPA, have their own procedures for approval of drug candidates. Failure to obtain regulatory approval for lanifibranor or odiparcil in the United States, Europe or other jurisdictions by us or our potential partners will prevent us from commercializing and marketing lanifibranor or odiparcil in such jurisdictions.
Even if we or any of our partners were to successfully obtain approval from the FDA, EMA, NMPA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities for our product candidates, any approval might contain significant limitations related to use restrictions for specified age groups, warnings, precautions or contraindications, or may be subject to burdensome post-approval study or risk management requirements. Furthermore, even if we or our current or future partners obtain regulatory approval for lanifibranor or odiparcil, we will still need to develop a commercial infrastructure, or otherwise develop relationships with partners to commercialize, establish a commercially viable pricing structure and obtain coverage and adequate reimbursement from third-party payors, including and government healthcare programs. If we, or our current or future partners, are unable to successfully commercialize lanifibranor or odiparcil, we may not be able to generate sufficient revenue to continue our business.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 14
We are a clinical-stage company with no approved products and no historical product revenues, which makes it difficult to assess our future prospects and financial results.
We are a clinical-stage biotechnology company and we have not yet generated any revenue from product sales. Pharmaceutical product development is a highly speculative undertaking and involves a substantial degree of uncertainty. Our operations to date have been limited to developing our technology and undertaking clinical trials of our product candidates lanifibranor and odiparcil, and pre-clinical and clinical studies of other compounds in development. Lanifibranor is in clinical development and has not been approved for sale, and we may never have any product approved for commercialization. We decided to focus our clinical efforts on the development of lanifibranor and suspend our clinical efforts relating to odiparcil, and we are reviewing available options to optimize potential further development of odiparcil for the treatment of MPS VI and may seek a third-party partner to help pursue any potential development and commercialization of odiparcil. We have not yet demonstrated an ability to overcome many of the risks and uncertainties frequently encountered by companies in new and rapidly evolving fields, particularly in the pharmaceutical area. Consequently, the ability to predict our future operating results or business prospects is more limited than if we had a longer operating history or approved products on the market.
Our ability to generate revenue from product sales and achieve and maintain profitability depends on our ability, alone or with any current or future partners, to successfully complete the development of, and obtain the regulatory approvals necessary to commercialize, lanifibranor, odiparcil and any additional product candidates that we may pursue in the future. Currently, lanifibranor is our only product candidate in clinical development. Our prospects, including our ability to finance our operations and generate revenue from product sales, therefore will depend substantially on the development and commercialization of lanifibranor, as other programs in our pre-clinical portfolio are still in earlier stages of development. Since our inception in 2011, the majority of our revenue has been derived from our reliance on research partnerships related to lanifibranor, and we do not anticipate generating revenue from product sales for the next several years, if ever. Our ability to generate revenue from product sales depends heavily on our or any current or future partners' success in:
- timely and successful completion of clinical development of lanifibranor, our current clinical-stage product candidate, or any future product candidates;- obtaining and maintaining regulatory and marketing approvals for lanifibranor and any future product candidates for which we or our partners successfully complete clinical trials;- launching and commercializing any product candidates for which we or our partners obtain regulatory and marketing approval by establishing a sales force, marketing and distribution infrastructure or, alternatively, cooperating with a commercialization partner;- obtaining coverage and adequate reimbursement from government and third-party payors for our current or any future product candidates, if approved, both in the United States and internationally, and reaching acceptable agreements with foreign government and third-party payors on pricing terms;- developing, validating and maintaining a commercially viable, sustainable, scalable, reproducible and transferable manufacturing process for lanifibranor or any future product candidates that are compliant with current good manufacturing practices, or cGMP;- establishing and maintaining supply and manufacturing relationships with third parties that can provide an adequate amount and quality of drugs and services to support our planned clinical development, as well as the market demand for lanifibranor and any future product candidates, if approved;- obtaining market acceptance, if approved, of lanifibranor or any future product candidates as a viable treatment option by physicians, patients, third-party payors and others in the medical community;- effectively addressing any competing technological and market developments;- implementing additional internal systems and infrastructure, as needed;- negotiating favorable terms in any partnership, licensing or other arrangements into which we may enter, and performing our obligations pursuant to such arrangements;- maintaining, protecting and expanding our portfolio of intellectual property rights, including patents, trade secrets and know-how;- avoiding and defending against third-party interference or infringement claims; and - attracting, hiring and retaining qualified personnel.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 15
The clinical and commercial success of lanifibranor, as well as our other product candidates, will depend on a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control, and we or our partners may be unable to complete the development or commercialization of our product candidates or our other compounds in development.
The clinical and commercial success of lanifibranor, as well as our other product candidates and compounds in development will depend on a number of factors, including the following:
- the timely completion of pre-clinical studies and clinical trials by us and our partners;- our and our partners' ability to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of our product candidates to the satisfaction of the relevant regulatory authorities;- whether we or our partners are required by the FDA or other regulatory authorities to conduct additional pre-clinical studies or clinical trials, and the scope and nature of such studies or trials, prior to approval to market our products;- the timely receipt of necessary marketing approvals from the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA and other comparable regulatory authorities, including pricing and reimbursement determinations;- the ability to successfully commercialize our product candidates, if approved for marketing and sale by the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities, whether alone or in partnership with others;- our ability and the ability of our third-party manufacturing partners to manufacture quantities of our product candidates at quality levels necessary to meet regulatory requirements and at a scale sufficient to meet anticipated demand at a cost that allows us to achieve profitability;- our and our partners' success in educating health care providers and patients about the benefits, risks, administration and use of our product candidates, if approved;- acceptance of our product candidates, if approved, as safe and effective by patients and the healthcare community;- the achievement and maintenance of compliance with all regulatory requirements applicable to our product candidates;- the maintenance of an acceptable safety profile of our products following any approval;- the availability, perceived advantages, relative cost, relative safety, and relative efficacy of alternative and competitive treatments;- our and our partners' ability to obtain and sustain coverage and an adequate level of pricing or reimbursement for our products by third party payors;- our and our partner's ability to enforce successfully the intellectual property rights for our product candidates and against the products of potential competitors; and - our and our partner's ability to avoid or succeed in third party claims, including patent infringement claims, and patent interference, reexamination, post grant review, derivation, and opposition proceedings, and other proceedings at the United States Patent and Trademark Office, or USPTO, and foreign patent offices.
Many of these factors are beyond our control. Accordingly, we cannot assure you that we will ever be able to achieve profitability through the sale of, or royalties from, our product candidates. If we or our partners are not successful in obtaining approval for and commercializing our product candidates, or are delayed in completing those efforts, our business and operations would be adversely affected.
Trade Secrets12 | 14.5%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
If our trademarks and trade names are not adequately protected, then we may not be able to build name recognition in our markets of interest and our business may be adversely affected.
Our registered or unregistered trademarks or trade names may be challenged, infringed, circumvented or declared generic or determined to be infringing on other marks. We may not be able to protect our rights to these trademarks and trade names, which we need to build name recognition by potential partners or customers in our markets of interest. Over the long term, if we are unable to establish name recognition based on our trademarks and trade names, then we may not be able to compete effectively and our business may be adversely affected. In addition, some of our trademarks may conflict with trademarks of others. In the event of a conflict, a third party could bring claims against us that could cause us to incur substantial expenses or restrict our ability to use certain marks. Any of the foregoing could have an adverse effect on our business.
Trade Secrets - Risk 2
Intellectual property rights do not address all potential threats to any competitive advantage we may have.
The degree of future protection afforded by our intellectual property rights is uncertain because intellectual property rights have limitations, and intellectual property rights may not adequately protect our business or permit us to maintain our competitive advantage. The following examples are illustrative:
- Others may be able to make compounds that are the same as or similar to our current or future product candidates but that are not covered by the claims of the patents that we own or have exclusively licensed.
- We or any of our licensors or partners might not have been the first to make the inventions covered by the issued patent or pending patent application that we own or have exclusively licensed.
- We or any of our licensors or partners might not have been the first to file patent applications covering certain of our inventions.
- Others may independently develop similar or alternative technologies or duplicate any of our technologies without infringing our intellectual property rights.
- The prosecution of our pending patent applications may not result in granted patents.
- Granted patents that we own or have exclusively licensed may not provide us with any competitive advantages, or may be held invalid or unenforceable, as a result of legal challenges by our competitors.
- Patent protection on our product candidates may expire before we are able to develop and commercialize the product, or before we are able to recover our investment in the product.
- Our competitors might conduct research and development activities in the United States and other countries that provide a safe harbor from patent infringement claims for such activities, as well as in countries in which we do not have patent rights, and may then use the information learned from such activities to develop competitive products for sale in markets where we intend to market our product candidates.
Trade Secrets - Risk 3
Patent terms may be inadequate to protect our competitive position on our product candidates for an adequate amount of time.
Given the amount of time required for the development, testing and regulatory review of new product candidates such as lanifibranor, patents protecting such candidates might expire before or shortly after such candidates are commercialized. We expect to seek extensions of patent terms in the United States and, if available, in other countries where we are prosecuting patents. In the United States, the Drug Price Competition and Patent Term Restoration Act of 1984 permits extension of the term of one U.S. patent that includes at least one claim covering the composition of matter of an FDA-approved drug, an FDA-approved method of treatment using the drug and/or a method of manufacturing the FDA-approved drug. The extended patent term cannot exceed the shorter of five years beyond the non-extended expiration of the patent or 14 years from the date of the FDA approval of the drug. However, the applicable authorities, including the FDA and the USPTO in the United States, and any equivalent regulatory authority in other countries, may not agree with our assessment of whether such extensions are available, and may refuse to grant extensions to our patents, or may grant more limited extensions than we request. In addition, to the extent we wish to pursue patent term extension based on a patent that we in-license from a third party, we would need the cooperation of that third party. Further, we may not elect to extend the most beneficial patent to us or the claims underlying the patent that we choose to extend could be invalidated. If any of the foregoing occurs, our competitors may be able to take advantage of our investment in development and clinical trials by referencing our clinical and pre-clinical data and launch their drug earlier than might otherwise be the case.
Trade Secrets - Risk 4
Issued patents covering our product candidates could be found to be invalid or unenforceable if challenged in court.
If we or one of our licensing partners initiated legal proceedings against a third party to enforce a patent covering our product candidate, the defendant could counterclaim that the patent covering our product candidate is invalid and/or unenforceable. In patent litigation, defendant counterclaims alleging invalidity and/or unenforceability are commonplace. Grounds for a validity challenge include alleged failures to meet any of several statutory requirements in most jurisdictions, including lack of novelty, obviousness or non-enablement. In the United States, grounds for unenforceability assertions include allegations that someone connected with prosecution of the patent withheld relevant information from the USPTO, or made a misleading statement, during prosecution. Third parties may also raise similar claims before administrative bodies in the United States or abroad, even outside the context of litigation. Such mechanisms include re-examination, post grant review and equivalent proceedings in foreign jurisdictions (e.g., opposition proceedings). Such proceedings could result in revocation or amendment of our patents in such a way that they no longer cover our product candidates or competitive products. The outcome following legal assertions of invalidity and unenforceability is unpredictable.
With respect to validity, for example, we cannot be certain that there is no invalidating prior art, of which we and the patent examiner were unaware during prosecution. If a defendant were to prevail on a legal assertion of invalidity and/or unenforceability, we would lose at least part, and perhaps all, of the patent protection on our product candidates. Such a loss of patent protection would have a material adverse impact on our business.
Trade Secrets - Risk 5
A dispute concerning the infringement or misappropriation of our proprietary rights or the proprietary rights of others could be time consuming and costly, and an unfavorable outcome could harm our business.
Our success will depend in part on our ability to operate without infringing the intellectual property and proprietary rights of third parties. We cannot assure you that our business, products and methods do not or will not infringe the patents or other intellectual property rights of third parties.
There is significant litigation in the pharmaceutical industry regarding patent and other intellectual property rights. While we are not currently subject to any pending intellectual property litigation, and are not aware of any such threatened litigation, we may be exposed to future litigation by third parties based on claims that our product candidates, technologies or activities infringe the intellectual property rights of others. If our development activities are found to infringe any such intellectual property rights, we may have to pay significant damages or seek licenses to such rights. For example, a patentee could prevent us from making, using, selling or offering to sell our drug or composition that is covered by the claims of the patentee's patent. We may need to resort to litigation to enforce a patent issued to us, to protect our trade secrets, or to determine the scope and validity of third-party proprietary rights. From time to time, we may hire scientific personnel or consultants formerly employed by other companies involved in one or more areas similar to the activities conducted by us. Either we or these individuals may be subject to allegations of trade secret misappropriation or other similar claims as a result of prior affiliations. Even if we are successful in these proceedings, we may incur substantial costs and divert management time and attention in pursuing these proceedings, which could have a material adverse effect on us. If we are unable to avoid infringing the rights of others, we may be required to seek a license, defend an infringement action or challenge the validity of such rights in court, or redesign our products. Patent and other intellectual property litigation is costly and time consuming. We may not have sufficient resources to bring these actions to a successful conclusion. Any adverse ruling or perception of an adverse ruling in defending ourselves against these claims could have a material adverse impact on our cash position and the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs. Any legal action against us or our partners could lead to:
- payment of substantial damages for past use of the asserted intellectual property and potentially treble damages, if we are found to have willfully infringed a party's patent rights;- injunctive or other equitable relief that may effectively block our ability to further develop, commercialize, and sell our product candidates; or - us or our partners having to enter into license arrangements that may not be available on commercially acceptable terms, if at all, all of which could have a material adverse impact on our cash position and business and financial condition. As a result, we could be prevented from commercializing current or future product candidates.
Any of these risks coming to fruition could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects.
Trade Secrets - Risk 6
Third parties may assert that our employees or consultants have wrongfully used or disclosed confidential information or misappropriated trade secrets.
We employ individuals who were previously employed at universities, pharmaceutical companies or biopharmaceutical companies, including our competitors or potential competitors. Although we try to ensure that our employees and consultants do not use the proprietary information or know-how of others in their work for us, we may be subject to claims that we or our employees, consultants or independent contractors have inadvertently or otherwise used or disclosed intellectual property, including trade secrets or other proprietary information, of a former employer or other third parties. Litigation may be necessary to defend against these claims. If we fail in defending any such claims, in addition to paying monetary damages, we may lose valuable intellectual property rights or personnel. Even if we are successful in defending against such claims, litigation could result in substantial costs and be a distraction to management and other employees.
Trade Secrets - Risk 7
We may be subject to claims by third parties asserting ownership or commercial rights to inventions we develop or obligations to make compensatory payments to employees.
Third parties may in the future make claims challenging the inventorship or ownership of our intellectual property. We have written agreements with partners that provide for the ownership of intellectual property arising from our partnerships. These agreements provide that we must negotiate certain commercial rights with partners with respect to joint inventions or inventions made by our partners that arise from the results of the partnership. In some instances, there may not be adequate written provisions to address clearly the resolution of intellectual property rights that may arise from a partnership. If we cannot successfully negotiate sufficient ownership and commercial rights to the inventions that result from our use of a third-party partner's materials where required, or if disputes otherwise arise with respect to the intellectual property developed with the use of a partner's samples, we may be limited in our ability to capitalize on the market potential of these inventions. In addition, we may face claims by third parties that our agreements with employees, contractors, or consultants obligating them to assign intellectual property to us are ineffective, or in conflict with prior or competing contractual obligations of assignment, which could result in ownership disputes regarding intellectual property we have developed or will develop and interfere with our ability to capture the commercial value of such inventions. Litigation may be necessary to resolve an ownership dispute, and if we are not successful, we may be precluded from using certain intellectual property, or may lose our exclusive rights in that intellectual property. Either outcome could have an adverse impact on our business.
While it is our policy to require our employees and contractors who may be involved in the development of intellectual property to execute agreements assigning such intellectual property to us, we may be unsuccessful in executing or obtaining such an agreement with each party who, in fact, develops intellectual property that we regard as our own. In addition, such agreements may be breached or may not be self-executing, and we may be forced to bring claims against third parties, or defend claims they may bring against us, to determine the ownership of what we regard as our intellectual property. If we fail in prosecuting or defending any such claims, in addition to paying monetary damages, we may lose valuable intellectual property rights or personnel.
Trade Secrets - Risk 8
We will not seek to protect our intellectual property rights in all jurisdictions throughout the world and we may not be able to adequately enforce our intellectual property rights even in the jurisdictions where we seek protection.
Filing, prosecuting and defending patents on our product candidates in all countries and jurisdictions throughout the world would be prohibitively expensive, and our intellectual property rights in some countries could be less extensive than those in the United States and Europe, assuming that rights are obtained in the United States and Europe. Furthermore, even if patents are granted based on our European patent applications, we may not choose to perfect or maintain our rights in all available European countries. In addition, the laws of some foreign countries do not protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as laws in the United States and Europe. Consequently, we may not be able to prevent third parties from practicing our inventions in all countries, or from selling or importing products made using our inventions. The statutory deadlines for pursuing patent protection in individual foreign jurisdictions are based on the priority dates of each of our patent applications.
Competitors may use our technologies in jurisdictions where we do not pursue and obtain patent protection to develop their own products and further, may export otherwise infringing products to territories where we have patent protection, but enforcement is not as strong as that in the United States and Europe. These products may compete with our products and our patents or other intellectual property rights may not be effective or sufficient to prevent them from competing. Even if we pursue and obtain issued patents in particular jurisdictions, our patent claims or other intellectual property rights may not be effective or sufficient to prevent third parties from so competing.
The laws of some foreign countries do not protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as the laws of the United States and Europe. Many companies have encountered significant problems in protecting and defending intellectual property rights in certain foreign jurisdictions. The legal systems of some countries, particularly developing countries, do not favor the enforcement of patents and other intellectual property protection, especially those relating to pharmaceuticals or biotechnologies. This could make it difficult for us to stop the infringement of our patents, if obtained, or the misappropriation of our other intellectual property rights. For example, many foreign countries have compulsory licensing laws under which a patent owner must grant licenses to third parties. In addition, many countries limit the enforceability of patents against third parties, including government agencies or government contractors. In these countries, patents may provide limited or no benefit. Patent protection must ultimately be sought on a country-by-country basis, which is an expensive and time-consuming process with uncertain outcomes. Accordingly, we may choose not to seek patent protection in certain countries, and we will not have the benefit of patent protection in such countries.
Proceedings to enforce our patent rights in foreign jurisdictions could result in substantial costs and divert our efforts and attention from other aspects of our business, could put our patents at risk of being invalidated or interpreted narrowly, could put our patent applications at risk of not issuing and could provoke third parties to assert claims against us. We may not prevail in any lawsuits that we initiate and the damages or other remedies awarded, if any, may not be commercially meaningful. In addition, changes in the law and legal decisions by courts in the United States, Europe and other jurisdictions may affect our ability to obtain adequate protection for our technology and the enforcement of intellectual property.
Accordingly, our efforts to enforce our intellectual property rights around the world may be inadequate to obtain a significant commercial advantage from the intellectual property that we develop or license.
Trade Secrets - Risk 9
If we are unable to protect the confidentiality of our trade secrets, our business and competitive position would be harmed.
In addition to patent protection, because we operate in the highly technical field of development of therapies, we rely in part on trade secret protection in order to protect our proprietary technology and processes. However, trade secrets are difficult to protect. It is our policy to enter into confidentiality and intellectual property assignment agreements with our employees, consultants, outside scientific partners, sponsored researchers, and other advisors. These agreements generally require that the other party keep confidential and not disclose to third parties any confidential information developed by the party or made known to the party by us during the course of the party's relationship with us. These agreements also generally provide that inventions conceived by the party in the course of rendering services to us will be our exclusive property. However, these agreements may not be honored and may not effectively assign intellectual property rights to us. Adequate remedies may not exist in the event of unauthorized use or disclosure of our confidential information. The disclosure of our trade secrets would impair our competitive position and may materially harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In addition to contractual measures, we try to protect the confidential nature of our proprietary information using physical and technological security measures. Such measures may not, for example, in the case of misappropriation of a trade secret by an employee or third party with authorized access, provide adequate protection for our proprietary information. Our security measures may not prevent an employee or consultant from misappropriating our trade secrets and providing them to a competitor, and recourse we take against such misconduct may not provide an adequate remedy to protect our interests fully. Enforcing a claim that a party illegally disclosed or misappropriated a trade secret can be difficult, expensive, and time-consuming, and the outcome is unpredictable. In addition, courts outside the United States may be less willing to protect trade secrets, with protection varying across Europe and in other countries. Trade secrets may be independently developed by others in a manner that could prevent legal recourse by us. If any of our confidential or proprietary information, such as our trade secrets, were to be disclosed or misappropriated, or if any such information was independently developed by a competitor, our competitive position could be harmed.
Trade Secrets - Risk 10
Developments in patent law could have a negative impact on our business.
As is the case with other biopharmaceutical companies, our success is heavily dependent on intellectual property, particularly patents. Obtaining and enforcing patents in the biopharmaceutical industry involves both technological and legal complexity and is therefore costly, time consuming and inherently uncertain. Changes in either the patent laws or interpretation of the patent laws in the United States could increase the uncertainties and costs. Recent patent reform legislation in the United States and other countries, including the Leahy-Smith America Invents Act (the Leahy-Smith Act), signed into law on September 16, 2011, could increase those uncertainties and costs surrounding the prosecution of our patent applications and the enforcement or defense of our issued patents. The Leahy-Smith Act includes a number of significant changes to U.S. patent law. These include provisions that affect the way patent applications are prosecuted, redefine prior art and provide more efficient and cost-effective avenues for competitors to challenge the validity of patents. These include allowing third-party submission of prior art to the USPTO during patent prosecution and additional procedures to attack the validity of a patent by USPTO administered post-grant proceedings, including post-grant review, inter partes review, and derivation proceedings. After March 2013, under the Leahy-Smith Act, the United States transitioned to a first inventor to file system in which, assuming that the other statutory requirements are met, the first inventor to file a patent application will be entitled to the patent on an invention regardless of whether a third party was the first to invent the claimed invention. However, the Leahy-Smith Act and its implementation could increase the uncertainties and costs surrounding the prosecution of our patent applications and the enforcement or defense of our issued patents, all of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled on several patent cases in recent years, either narrowing the scope of patent protection available in certain circumstances or weakening the rights of patent owners in certain situations. Depending on future actions by the U.S. Congress, the U.S. courts, the USPTO and the relevant law-making bodies in other countries, the laws and regulations governing patents could change in unpredictable ways that would weaken our ability to obtain new patents or to enforce our existing patents and patents that we might obtain in the future. For example, recent decisions raise questions regarding the award of patent term adjustment, or PTA, for patents where related patents have issued without PTA. Thus, it cannot be said with certainty how PTA will or will not be viewed in future and whether patent expiration dates may be impacted.
Similarly, changes in patent law and regulations in other countries or jurisdictions or changes in governmental bodies that enforce them or changes in how the relevant governmental authority enforces patent laws or regulations may weaken our ability to obtain new patents or to enforce patents that we have licensed or that we may obtain in the future. For example, the complexity and uncertainty of European patent laws have also increased in recent years. In Europe, a new unitary patent system took effect on June 1, 2023, which will significantly impact European patents, including those granted before the introduction of such a system. Under the unitary patent system, all European patents, including those issued prior to June 1, 2023, now by default automatically fall under the jurisdiction of a new European Unified Patent Court, or the UPC, for litigation involving such patents. As the UPC is a new court system, there is no precedent for the court, increasing the uncertainty of any litigation. Our European patent applications, if issued, could be challenged in the UPC. During the first seven years of the UPC's existence, the UPC legislation allows a patent owner to opt its European patents out of the jurisdiction of the UPC. We may decide to opt out our future European patents from the UPC, but doing so may preclude us from realizing the benefits of the UPC. Moreover, if we do not meet all of the formalities and requirements for opt-out under the UPC, our future European patents could remain under the jurisdiction of the UPC. The UPC will provide our competitors with a new forum to centrally revoke our European patents, and allow for the possibility of a competitor to obtain pan-European injunction. It is uncertain how the UPC will impact granted European patents in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries. We cannot predict how future decisions by the courts, the United States Congress, or the USPTO may impact the value of our patents. Any similar adverse change in the patent laws of other jurisdictions could also adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
Trade Secrets - Risk 11
Pharmaceutical patents and patent applications involve highly complex legal and factual questions, which, if determined adversely to us, could negatively impact our patent position.
The patent positions of biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies can be highly uncertain and involve complex legal and factual questions. The interpretation and breadth of claims allowed in some patents covering pharmaceutical compositions may be uncertain and difficult to determine, and are often affected materially by the facts and circumstances that pertain to the patented compositions and the related patent claims. The standards of the USPTO, the European Patent Office, and other foreign counterparts are sometimes uncertain and could change in the future.
Consequently, the issuance and scope of patents cannot be predicted with certainty. Patents, if issued, may be challenged, invalidated or circumvented. Certain U.S. patents and patent applications may also be subject to interference proceedings, and U.S. patents may be subject to reexamination proceedings, post-grant review and/or inter partes review and derivation proceedings in the USPTO. European patents and other foreign patents may be subject also to opposition or comparable proceedings in the corresponding foreign patent office, which could result in either loss of the patent or denial of the patent application or loss or reduction in the scope of one or more of the claims of the patent or patent application. In addition, such interference, reexamination, post-grant review, inter partes review and opposition proceedings may be costly. Accordingly, rights under any issued patents may not provide us with sufficient protection against competitive products or processes.
In addition, changes in or different interpretations of patent laws in the United States, Europe, and other jurisdictions may permit others to use our discoveries or to develop and commercialize our technology and products without providing any compensation to us, or may limit the number of patents or claims we can obtain. The laws of some countries do not protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as U.S. and European laws and those countries may lack adequate rules and procedures for defending our intellectual property rights. If we fail to obtain and maintain patent protection and trade secret protection of our product candidates, we could lose our competitive advantage and competition we face would increase, reducing any potential revenues and adversely affecting our ability to attain or maintain profitability.
Trade Secrets - Risk 12
If we are unable to obtain and maintain patent protection for our product candidates, or if the patent protection obtained is not sufficiently broad in scope or is non-exclusive, our competitors could develop and commercialize products and technology similar or identical to our product candidates, and our ability to successfully commercialize any product candidates we may develop may be adversely affected.
Our commercial success depends on obtaining and maintaining proprietary rights to our product candidates and other compounds in development for the treatment of NASH, MPS and other diseases, as well as successfully defending these rights against third party challenges. We will only be able to protect our product candidates and our other compounds in development, and their uses from unauthorized use by third parties to the extent that valid and enforceable patents or effectively protected trade secrets, cover them.
Our ability to obtain patent protection for our product candidates and other compounds in development is uncertain due to a number of factors, including:
- we may not have been the first to make the inventions covered by pending patent applications or issued patents;- we may not have been the first to file patent applications for our product candidates or the compositions we developed or for their uses;- others may independently develop identical, similar or alternative products or compositions and uses thereof;- our disclosures in patent applications may not be sufficient to meet the statutory requirements for patentability;- any or all of our pending patent applications may not result in issued patents;- we may choose not to seek or obtain patent protection in countries that may eventually provide us a significant business opportunity;- any patents issued to us may not provide a basis for commercially viable products, may not provide any competitive advantages, or may be successfully challenged, narrowed, invalidated or circumvented by third parties;- our compositions and methods may not be patentable;- others may design around our patent claims to produce competitive products which fall outside of the scope of our patents; or - others may identify prior art or other bases which could invalidate our patents.
Even if we have or obtain patents covering our product candidates or compositions, we may still be barred from making, using and selling our product candidates or technologies because of the patent rights of others. Others may have filed, and in the future may file, patent applications covering compositions or products that are similar or identical to ours. If a patent owned by a third party covers one of our product candidates or its use, we may need to obtain a license to such third party patent. If we are unable to obtain a license, this could materially affect our ability to develop the product candidate or sell the resulting product if approved. Because patent applications in the United States are not published until 18 months from their priority date, there may be currently pending applications unknown to us that may later result in issued patents that our product candidates or compositions may infringe. Additionally, because the scope of claims in pending patent applications can change, there may be pending applications whose claims do not currently cover any of our product candidates but may be altered such that one or more of our product candidates are covered when the resulting patent issues. These patent applications may have priority over patent applications filed by us.
Moreover, even if we are able to obtain patent protection, such patent protection may be insufficient to achieve our business objectives. For example, the coverage claimed in a patent application can be significantly reduced before the patent is issued, and its scope can be reinterpreted after issuance, which could allow others to develop products that are similar to, or better than, ours in a way that is not covered by the claims of our patents. Furthermore, some of our future owned and in-licensed patents and patent applications are, and may in the future be, co-owned with third parties. If we are unable to obtain an exclusive license to any such third party co-owners' interest in such patents or patent applications, such co-owners may be able to license their rights to other third parties, including our competitors, and our competitors could market competing products and technology. In addition, we may need the cooperation of any such co-owners of our patents in order to enforce such patents against third parties, and such cooperation may not be provided to us. Therefore, even if patent applications we rely on issue as patents, they may not provide us with any meaningful protection, prevent third parties from competing with us, or otherwise provide us with any competitive advantage.
Obtaining and maintaining a patent portfolio entails significant expense and resources. Part of the expense includes periodic maintenance fees, renewal fees, annuity fees, various other governmental fees on patents and/or applications due in several stages over the lifetime of patents and/or applications, as well as the cost associated with complying with numerous procedural provisions during the patent application process. We may or may not choose to pursue or maintain protection for particular inventions. In addition, there are situations in which failure to make certain payments or noncompliance with certain requirements in the patent process can result in abandonment or lapse of a patent or patent application, resulting in partial or complete loss of patent rights in the relevant jurisdiction. If we choose to forgo patent protection or allow a patent application or patent to lapse purposefully or inadvertently, our competitive position could suffer.
Moreover, in future partnerships, we may not have the right to control the preparation, filing or prosecution of patent applications, or to maintain the patents, covering technology subject to our partnership or license agreements with third parties. In addition, in future partnerships, our counterparty may have the right to enforce the patent rights subject to the applicable agreement without our involvement or consent or to otherwise control the enforcement of such patent rights. Therefore, these patents and patent applications may not be prosecuted or enforced in a manner consistent with the best interests of our business.
Legal actions to enforce our patent rights can be expensive and may involve the diversion of significant management time. In addition, these legal actions could be unsuccessful and could also result in the invalidation of our patents or a finding that they are unenforceable. We may or may not choose to pursue litigation or other actions against those that have infringed on our patents, or used them without authorization, due to the associated expense and time commitment of monitoring these activities. If we fail to protect or to enforce our intellectual property rights successfully, our competitive position could suffer, which could harm our results of operations.
Cyber Security1 | 1.2%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
If our data or our information technology systems, or those of third parties upon which we rely, are or were compromised, we could experience adverse consequences resulting from such compromise, including but not limited to regulatory investigations or actions; litigation; fines and penalties; disruptions of our business operations; reputational harm; loss of revenue or profits; loss of customers or sales; and other adverse consequences.
In the ordinary course of our business, we process sensitive information.
Cyberattacks, malicious internet-based activity, and online and offline fraud are prevalent and continue to increase. These threats are becoming increasingly difficult to detect. These threats come from a variety of sources, including traditional computer "hackers," threat actors, personnel (such as through theft or misuse), sophisticated nation-states, and nation-state-supported actors. We and the third parties upon which we rely may be subject to a variety of evolving threats, including but not limited to social-engineering attacks (including through deep fakes, which may be increasingly more difficult to identify as fake, and phishing attacks), malicious code (such as viruses and worms), malware (including as a result of advanced persistent threat intrusions), denial-of-service attacks credential stuffing, credential harvesting, personnel misconduct or error, ransomware attacks, supply-chain attacks, software bugs, server malfunctions, software or hardware failures, loss of data or other information technology assets, adware, attacks enhanced or facilitated by AI, telecommunications failures, earthquakes, fires, floods, and other similar threats. Ransomware attacks, including by organized criminal threat actors, nation-states, and nation-state-supported actors, are becoming increasingly prevalent and severe and can lead to significant interruptions in our operations, loss of data and income, reputational harm, and diversion of funds. Extortion payments may alleviate the negative impact of a ransomware attack, but we may be unwilling or unable to make such payments due to, for example, applicable laws or regulations prohibiting such payments. Similarly, supply-chain attacks have increased in frequency and severity, and we cannot guarantee that third parties and infrastructure in our supply chain or our third-party partners' supply chains have not been or will not be compromised. Some actors now engage and are expected to continue to engage in cyber-attacks, including without limitation nation-state actors for geopolitical reasons and in conjunction with military conflicts and defense activities. During times of war and other major conflicts, we or the third parties upon which we rely may be vulnerable to a heightened risk of these attacks, including retaliatory cyber-attacks, that could materially disrupt our systems and operations, supply chain, and ability to conduct our clinical trials.
Remote work has become more common and has increased risks to our information technology systems and data, as more of our employees work from home, utilizing network connections outside our premises.
Future or past business transactions (such as acquisitions or integrations) could also expose us to additional cybersecurity risks and vulnerabilities, as our systems could be negatively affected by vulnerabilities present in acquired or integrated entities' systems and technologies. Furthermore, we may discover security issues that were not found during due diligence of such acquired or integrated entities, and it may be difficult to integrate companies into our information technology environment and security program.
We rely upon third-party service providers and technologies to operate critical business systems to process sensitive information in a variety of contexts, including, without limitation, third-party providers of cloud-based infrastructure, encryption and authentication technology, employee email, and other functions. Our ability to monitor these third parties' information security practices is limited, and these third parties may not have adequate information security measures in place. If our third-party service providers experience a security incident or other interruption, we could experience adverse consequences. While we may be entitled to damages if our third-party service providers fail to satisfy their privacy or security-related obligations to us, any award may be insufficient to cover our damages, or we may be unable to recover such award.
While we have implemented security measures designed to protect against cybersecurity incidents, there can be no assurance that these measures will be effective. We take steps designed to detect, mitigate, and remediate vulnerabilities in our information systems (such as our hardware and/or software, including that of third parties upon which we rely). We may not, however, detect or remediate all such vulnerabilities in our information technology systems (including our products) including on a timely basis. Further, we may experience delays in developing and deploying remedial measures and patches designed to address identified vulnerabilities. Vulnerabilities could be exploited and result in a security incident. For example, in November 2021, a malicious third party exploited a vulnerability in our email server and gained unauthorized access to our email environment. The forensic investigations have shown that only our email system was affected and the vulnerability has been remediated. While this incident did not expose any personal or proprietary data and, therefore, did not require notification under applicable laws and regulations, we voluntarily notified the Commission nationale de l'informatique et des libertés (CNIL). Any security incident, claim or investigation may result in litigation and potential liability for us, damage our brand and reputation, in our incurring significant external and internal legal and advisory costs, as well as the diversion of management's attention from the operation of our business or could otherwise harm our business.
Any of the foregoing threats (or similar threats) could cause a security incident or other interruption. A security incident or other interruption could result in unauthorized, unlawful, or accidental acquisition, modification, destruction, loss, alteration, encryption, disclosure of, or access to our sensitive information. A security incident or other interruption could disrupt our ability (and that of third parties upon whom we rely) to conduct our clinical trials and operate our business. We may expend significant resources or modify our business activities (including our clinical trial activities) to try to protect against security incidents. Certain data privacy and security obligations may require us to implement and maintain specific security measures, industry-standard or reasonable security measures to protect our information technology systems and sensitive information.
In addition, with respect to any future incidents, applicable data privacy and security obligations may require us to notify relevant stakeholders, including affected individuals, customers, regulators, and investors, of security incidents. Such disclosures are costly, and the disclosures or the failure to comply with such requirements could lead to adverse consequences. If we (or a third party upon whom we rely) experience a security incident or are perceived to have experienced a security incident, we may experience adverse consequences. These consequences may include: government enforcement actions (for example, investigations, fines, penalties, audits, and inspections); additional reporting requirements and/or oversight; restrictions on processing sensitive information (including personal data); litigation (including class claims); indemnification obligations; negative publicity; reputational harm; monetary fund diversions; diversion of management attention; interruptions in our operations (including availability of data); financial loss; and other similar harms. Further, the loss of product development or clinical trial data could result in delays in our regulatory approval efforts and significantly increase our costs to recover or reproduce the data. To the extent that any security incident results in a loss of, or damage to, our sensitive information or applications, or inappropriate disclosure of sensitive information, we could incur liability and our development programs and the development of our product candidates could be delayed.
In addition to experiencing a security incident, third parties may gather, collect, or infer sensitive information about us from public sources, data brokers, or other means that reveals competitively sensitive details about our organization and could be used to undermine our competitive advantage or market position.
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 27/83 (33%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights16 | 19.3%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
We are an "emerging growth company" under the JOBS Act and will be able to avail ourselves of reduced disclosure requirements applicable to emerging growth companies, which could make our ordinary shares or ADSs less attractive to investors.
We are an "emerging growth company," as defined in the U.S. Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act of 2012, or the JOBS Act, and we intend to take advantage of certain exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies that are not "emerging growth companies," including not being required to comply with the auditor attestation requirements of Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, and exemptions from the requirements of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and shareholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. In addition, Section 107 of the JOBS Act also provides that an emerging growth company can take advantage of the extended transition period provided in Section 7(a)(2)(B) of the Securities Act, for complying with new or revised accounting standards. We will not take advantage of the extended transition period provided under Section 7(a)(2)(B) of the Securities Act for complying with new or revised accounting standards. Since IFRS makes no distinction between public and private companies for purposes of compliance with new or revised accounting standards, the requirements for our compliance as a private company and as a public company are the same. We cannot predict if investors will find our ordinary shares or ADSs less attractive because we may rely on these exemptions. If some investors find our ordinary shares or ADSs less attractive as a result, there may be a less active trading market for our ordinary shares or ADSs and the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs may be more volatile. We may take advantage of these reporting exemptions until we are no longer an emerging growth company. We will remain an emerging growth company until the earliest of (1) the last day of the fiscal year in which we have total annual gross revenue of $1.235 billion or more; (2) December 31, 2025; (3) the date on which we have issued more than $1.0 billion in nonconvertible debt during the previous three years; and (4) the date on which we are deemed to be a large accelerated filer under the rules of the SEC.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
ADS holders may not be entitled to a jury trial with respect to claims arising under the deposit agreement, which could result in less favorable outcomes to the plaintiff(s) in any such action.
The deposit agreement governing our ADSs provides that holders and beneficial owners of ADSs irrevocably waive the right to a trial by jury in any legal proceeding arising out of or relating to the deposit agreement or the ADSs, including in respect of claims under federal securities laws, against us or the depositary to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law. If this jury trial waiver provision is prohibited by applicable law, an action could nevertheless proceed under the terms of the deposit agreement with a jury trial. To our knowledge, the enforceability of a jury trial waiver under the federal securities laws has not been finally adjudicated by a federal court. However, we believe that a jury trial waiver provision is generally enforceable under the laws of the State of New York, which govern the deposit agreement, by a court of the State of New York or a federal court, which have non-exclusive jurisdiction over matters arising under the deposit agreement, applying such law. In determining whether to enforce a jury trial waiver provision, New York courts and federal courts will consider whether the visibility of the jury trial waiver provision within the agreement is sufficiently prominent such that a party has knowingly waived any right to trial by jury. We believe that this is the case with respect to the deposit agreement and the ADSs. In addition, New York courts will not enforce a jury trial waiver provision in order to bar a viable setoff or counterclaim sounding in fraud or one which is based upon a creditor's negligence in failing to liquidate collateral upon a guarantor's demand, or in the case of an intentional tort claim (as opposed to a contract dispute), none of which we believe are applicable in the case of the deposit agreement or the ADSs. No condition, stipulation or provision of the deposit agreement or ADSs serves as a waiver by any holder or beneficial owner of ADSs or by us or the depositary of compliance with any provision of the federal securities laws. If you or any other holder or beneficial owner of ADSs brings a claim against us or the depositary in connection with such matters, you or such other holder or beneficial owner may not be entitled to a jury trial with respect to such claims, which may have the effect of limiting and discouraging lawsuits against us and/or the depositary. If a lawsuit is brought against us and/or the depositary under the deposit agreement, it may be heard only by a judge or justice of the applicable trial court, which would be conducted according to different civil procedures and may result in different outcomes than a trial by jury would have had, including results that could be less favorable to the plaintiff(s) in any such action, depending on, among other things, the nature of the claims, the judge or justice hearing such claims, and the venue of the hearing.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Holders of ADSs may be subject to limitations on the transfer of their ADSs and the withdrawal of the underlying ordinary shares.
ADSs are transferable on the books of the depositary. However, the depositary may close its books at any time or from time to time when it deems expedient in connection with the performance of its duties. The depositary may refuse to deliver, transfer or register transfers of ADSs generally when our books or the books of the depositary are closed, or at any time if we or the depositary think it is advisable to do so because of any requirement of law, government or governmental body, or under any provision of the deposit agreement, or for any other reason, subject to the right of ADS holders to cancel their ADSs and withdraw the underlying ordinary shares. Temporary delays in the cancellation of your ADSs and withdrawal of the underlying ordinary shares may arise because the depositary has closed its transfer books or we have closed our transfer books, the transfer of ordinary shares is blocked to permit voting at a shareholders' meeting or we are paying a dividend on our ordinary shares. In addition, ADS holders may not be able to cancel their ADSs and withdraw the underlying ordinary shares when they owe money for fees, taxes and similar charges and when it is necessary to prohibit withdrawals in order to comply with any laws or governmental regulations that apply to ADSs or to the withdrawal of ordinary shares or other deposited securities.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
The right as a holder of ADSs to participate in any future preferential subscription rights or to elect to receive dividends in shares may be limited, which may cause holders of our ADSs to be diluted.
According to French law, if we issue additional securities for cash, current shareholders will have preferential subscription rights for these securities on a pro rata basis unless they waive those rights at an extraordinary meeting of our shareholders (by a two-thirds majority vote) or individually by each shareholder. However, our ADS holders in the United States will not be entitled to exercise or sell such rights unless we register the rights and the securities to which the rights relate under the Securities Act or an exemption from the registration requirements is available. In addition, the deposit agreement provides that the depositary will not make rights available to purchasers of ADSs in the U.S. offering unless the distribution to ADS holders of both the rights and any related securities are either registered under the Securities Act or exempted from registration under the Securities Act. Further, if we offer holders of our ordinary shares the option to receive dividends in either cash or shares, under the deposit agreement the depositary may require satisfactory assurances from us that extending the offer to holders of ADSs does not require registration of any securities under the Securities Act before making the option available to holders of ADSs. We are under no obligation to file a registration statement with respect to any such rights or securities or to endeavor to cause such a registration statement to be declared effective. Moreover, we may not be able to establish an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. Accordingly, ADS holders may be unable to participate in our rights offerings or to elect to receive dividends in shares and may experience dilution in their holdings. In addition, if the depositary is unable to sell rights that are not exercised or not distributed or if the sale is not lawful or reasonably practicable, it will allow the rights to lapse, in which case you will receive no value for these rights.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
You may not be able to exercise your right to vote the ordinary shares underlying your ADSs.
Holders of ADSs may exercise voting rights with respect to the ordinary shares represented by the ADSs only in accordance with the provisions of the deposit agreement. The deposit agreement provides that, upon receipt of notice of any meeting of holders of our ordinary shares, the depositary will fix a record date for the determination of ADS holders who shall be entitled to give instructions for the exercise of voting rights. Upon timely receipt of notice from us, if we so request, the depositary shall distribute to the holders as of the record date (1) the notice of the meeting or solicitation of consent or proxy sent by us and (2) a statement as to the manner in which instructions may be given by the holders.
Holders of ADSs may instruct the depositary to vote the ordinary shares underlying their ADSs. Otherwise, ADS holders will not be able to exercise their right to vote, unless they withdraw the ordinary shares underlying the ADSs they hold. However, ADS holders may not know about the meeting far enough in advance to withdraw those ordinary shares. If we ask for instructions from holders of ADSs, the depositary, upon timely notice from us, will notify them of the upcoming vote and arrange to deliver our voting materials to them. We cannot guarantee ADS holders that they will receive the voting materials in time to ensure that they can instruct the depositary to vote their ordinary shares or to withdraw their ordinary shares so that they can vote them themselves. If the depositary does not receive timely voting instructions from a holder of ADSs, it may give a proxy to a person designated by us to vote the ordinary shares underlying such holder's ADSs. In addition, the depositary and its agents are not responsible for failing to carry out voting instructions or for the manner of carrying out voting instructions. This means that ADS holders may not be able to exercise their right to vote, and there may be nothing they can do if the ordinary shares underlying their ADSs are not voted as they requested. For example, Bank of New York Mellon, the depositary, failed to timely submit the voting instructions of ADS holders for the general meeting of shareholders held on May 19, 2022 to Société Générale Securities Services, the custodian for the depositary in France. Due to this delay, the voting of the ADS holders did not count. This did not impact the adoption or rejection of the resolutions on the agenda of that general meeting.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Holders of our ADSs are not treated as shareholders of our company.
Holders of our ADSs are not treated as shareholders of our company, unless they withdraw the ordinary shares underlying our ADSs. The depositary, or its nominee, is the holder of the ordinary shares underlying our ADSs. Holders of ADSs therefore do not have any rights as shareholders of our company, other than the rights that they have pursuant to the deposit agreement.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
Our bylaws and French corporate law contain provisions that may delay or discourage a takeover attempt.
Provisions contained in our bylaws and French corporate law could make it more difficult for a third-party to acquire us, even if doing so might be beneficial to our shareholders. In addition, provisions of our bylaws impose various procedural and other requirements, which could make it more difficult for shareholders to effect certain corporate actions. These provisions include the following:
- under French law, the owner of 90% of the share capital and voting rights of a public company with registered seat in France and whose shares are listed on a regulated market in a Member State of the European Union or in a state party to the European Economic Area, or EEA, Agreement, including France, has the right to force out minority shareholders following a tender offer made to all shareholders;- under French law, a non-French resident must file a declaration for statistical purposes with the Bank of France (Banque de France) within twenty working days following the date of certain direct foreign investments in us, including any purchase of our ADSs. In particular, such filings are required in connection with investments exceeding €15 million that lead to the acquisition of at least 10% of our company's share capital or voting rights or cross such 10% threshold;- under French law, certain investments in a French company relating to certain strategic industries that are considered essential for the protection of public health, such as biotechnologies, by individuals or entities are subject to prior authorization of the Ministry of Economy pursuant to Law No. 2019-486 (and as from April 1, 2020 pursuant to the decree No. 2019-1590); Decree No. 2020-892 of 22 July 2020, as amended by Decree No. 2020-1729 of 28 December 2020, Decree No. 2021-1758 of 22 December 2021, Decree No. 2022-1622 of 23 December 2022 and Decree No. 2023-1293 of 28 December 2023 perpetuates the lowering of the threshold for controlling foreign investments to 10% of the voting rights in companies whose shares are listed on a regulated market;- a merger (i.e., in a French law context, a stock for stock exchange following which our company would be dissolved into the acquiring entity and our shareholders would become shareholders of the acquiring entity) of our company into a company incorporated in the European Union would require the approval of our Board of Directors as well as a two-thirds majority of the votes cast by the shareholders present, represented by proxy or voting by mail at the relevant meeting;- a merger of our company into a company incorporated outside of the European Union would require 100% of our shareholders to approve it;- under French law, a cash merger is treated as a share purchase and would require the consent of each participating shareholder;- our shareholders have granted and may grant in the future our Board of Directors broad authorizations to increase our share capital or to issue additional ordinary shares or other securities, such as warrants, to our shareholders, the public or qualified investors, including as a possible defense following the launching of a tender offer for our shares;- our shareholders have preferential subscription rights on a pro rata basis on the issuance by us of any additional securities for cash or a set-off of cash debts, which rights may only be waived by the extraordinary general meeting (by a two-thirds majority vote) of our shareholders or on an individual basis by each shareholder;- our Chief Executive Officer and Deputy Chief Executive Officer have double voting rights with respect to ordinary shares held by them, and their interests may not be aligned with those of our shareholders more generally with respect to a takeover attempt;- our Board of Directors has the right to appoint directors to fill a vacancy created by the resignation or death of a director, for the remaining duration of such director's term of office and subject to the approval by the shareholders of such appointment at the next shareholders' meeting, which prevents shareholders from having the sole right to fill vacancies on our Board of Directors;- our Board of Directors can be convened by our chairman, or our managing director, if any, upon request made to the chairman or, when no board meeting has been held for more than two consecutive months, by directors representing at least one third of the total number of directors;- our Board of Directors meetings can only be regularly held if at least half of the directors attend either physically or by way of videoconference or teleconference enabling the directors' identification and ensuring their effective participation in the board's decisions;- our shares are nominative or bearer, if the legislation so permits, according to the shareholder's choice;- approval of at least a majority of the votes cast by shareholders present, represented by a proxy, or voting by mail at the relevant ordinary shareholders' general meeting is required to remove directors with or without cause;- advance notice is required for nominations to the Board of Directors or for proposing matters to be acted upon at a shareholders' meeting, except that a vote to remove and replace a director can be proposed at any shareholders' meeting without notice;- our bylaws can be amended in accordance with applicable laws;- the crossing of certain thresholds has to be disclosed and can impose certain obligations; see the documents referenced in the section of this annual report titled "Item 10.B Memorandum and Articles of Association;"- transfers of shares shall comply with applicable insider trading laws and regulations and, in particular, with the Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse, or Market Abuse Regulation; and - pursuant to French law, our bylaws, including the sections relating to the number of directors and election and removal of a director from office, may only be modified by a resolution adopted by at least a two-third majority of the votes cast by our shareholders present, represented by a proxy or voting by mail at the meeting.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
The rights of shareholders in companies subject to French corporate law differ in material respects from the rights of shareholders of corporations incorporated in the United States.
We are a French public limited company (société anonyme). Our corporate affairs are governed by our bylaws and by the laws governing companies incorporated in France. The rights of shareholders and the responsibilities of members of our Board of Directors are in many ways different from the rights and obligations of shareholders in companies governed by the laws of U.S. jurisdictions. For example, in the performance of its duties, our Board of Directors is required by French law to consider the interests of our company, its shareholders, its employees and other stakeholders, rather than solely our shareholders and/or creditors. It is possible that some of these parties will have interests that are different from, or in addition to, your interests as a shareholder or holder of ADSs. Further, in accordance with French law, double voting rights automatically attach to each ordinary share of companies listed on a regulated market (such as the Euronext Paris, where our ordinary shares are listed) that is held of record in the name (action au nominatif) of the same shareholder for a period of at least two years, except as otherwise set forth in a company's bylaws. Our bylaws currently do not exclude such double voting rights; however, the holders of two-thirds of our outstanding voting rights may vote to amend our bylaws to exclude such double voting rights at any extraordinary general meeting of our shareholders. See the sections of this annual report titled "Item 6.C Board Practices" and the documents referenced in "Item 10.B Memorandum and Articles of Association."
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
U.S. investors may have difficulty enforcing civil liabilities against our company and directors and senior management and the experts named.
Certain members of our Board of Directors and senior management and certain experts are non-residents of the United States, and all or a substantial portion of our assets and the assets of such persons are located outside the United States. As a result, it may not be possible to serve process on such persons or us in the United States or to enforce judgments obtained in U.S. courts against them or us based on civil liability provisions of the securities laws of the United States. Additionally, it may be difficult to assert U.S. securities law claims in actions originally instituted outside of the United States. Foreign courts may refuse to hear a U.S. securities law claim because foreign courts may not be the most appropriate forums in which to bring such a claim. Even if a foreign court agrees to hear a claim, it may determine that the law of the jurisdiction in which the foreign court resides, and not U.S. law, is applicable to the claim. Further, if U.S. law is found to be applicable, the content of applicable U.S. law must be proved as a fact, which can be a time-consuming and costly process, and certain matters of procedure would still be governed by the law of the jurisdiction in which the foreign court resides. In particular, there is some doubt as to whether French courts would recognize and enforce certain civil liabilities under U.S. securities laws in original actions or judgments of U.S. courts based upon these civil liability provisions. In addition, awards of punitive damages in actions brought in the United States or elsewhere may be unenforceable in France. An award for monetary damages under the U.S. securities laws would be considered punitive if it does not seek to compensate the claimant for loss or damage suffered but is intended to punish the defendant. French law provides that a shareholder, or a group of shareholders, may initiate a legal action to seek indemnification from the directors of a corporation in the corporation's interest if it fails to bring such legal action itself. If so, any damages awarded by the court are paid to the corporation and any legal fees relating to such action may be borne by the relevant shareholder or the group of shareholders.
The enforceability of any judgment in France will depend on the particular facts of the case as well as the laws and treaties in effect at the time. The United States and France do not currently have a treaty providing for recognition and enforcement of judgments (other than arbitration awards) in civil and commercial matters. See "Enforcement of civil liabilities."
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
U.S. holders of our ADSs may suffer adverse tax consequences if we are characterized as a passive foreign investment company.
Generally, if, for any taxable year, at least 75% of our gross income is passive income, or at least 50% of the average value (determined on the basis of a weighted quarterly average) of our assets is attributable to assets that produce passive income or are held for the production of passive income, we would be characterized as a passive foreign investment company, or PFIC, for U.S. federal income tax purposes. For purposes of these tests, passive income includes dividends, interest, and gains from the sale or exchange of investment property and rents and royalties other than rents and royalties which are received from unrelated parties in connection with the active conduct of a trade or business.
Assets that produce or are held for the production of passive income may include cash (unless held in a non-interest bearing account for short term working capital needs), marketable securities, and other assets that may produce passive income.
Based on our current estimates of the composition of our income and valuation of our assets for the taxable year ending December 31, 2023, we do not believe that we were a PFIC for the year ending December 31, 2023. Our status as a PFIC will depend on the composition of our income and the composition and value of our assets (which, may be determined in large part by reference to the market value of our ADSs, which may be volatile) from time to time. Our status as a PFIC is a fact-intensive determination made on an annual basis and we cannot provide any assurances regarding our PFIC status for the past, current or future taxable years. Our U.S. counsel expresses no opinion regarding our past, current or future PFIC status. If we are characterized as a PFIC, our U.S. shareholders may suffer adverse tax consequences, including having gains realized on the sale of our ADSs treated as ordinary income, rather than as capital gain and the loss of the preferential rate applicable to dividends received on our ADSs by individuals who are U.S. shareholders, and having interest charges apply to distributions by us and the proceeds of sales of the ADSs. A U.S. shareholder of a PFIC generally may mitigate these adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences by making a "qualified electing fund," or QEF, election, or, to a lesser extent, a "mark to market" election. If we determine that we are a PFIC for any taxable year, we will use commercially reasonable efforts to, and currently expect to, provide the necessary information for U.S. holders to make a QEF election. For further discussion of the PFIC rules and the adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences in the event we are classified as a PFIC, see the section of this annual report titled "Item 10.E Taxation."
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11
As a foreign private issuer, we are permitted and we follow certain home country practices in relation to corporate governance matters that differ significantly from Nasdaq's corporate governance standards. These practices may afford less protection to shareholders than they would enjoy if we complied fully with the corporate governance standards of the Nasdaq Global Market.
As a foreign private issuer listed on the Nasdaq Global Market, we are subject to Nasdaq's corporate governance standards. However, Nasdaq rules provide that foreign private issuers are permitted to follow home country corporate governance practices in lieu of Nasdaq's corporate governance standards as long as notification is provided to Nasdaq of the intention to take advantage of such exemptions. We rely on exemptions for foreign private issuers and follow French corporate governance practices in lieu of Nasdaq's corporate governance standards, to the extent possible. Certain corporate governance practices in France, which is our home country, differ significantly from Nasdaq corporate governance standards.
For example, as a French company, neither the corporate laws of France nor our bylaws require a majority of our directors to be independent and we can include non-independent directors as members of our remuneration committee, and our independent directors are not required to hold regularly scheduled meetings at which only independent directors are present. Nevertheless, the Middlenext Code (middlenext Code de gouvernement d'entreprise) recommends that at least two directors should be independent (as construed under such code) in a widely-held company like ours (as an indication Middlenext Code provides that, for a board of directors of significant size, the ratio of independent ratio of independent directors could be at least one third for a controlled company, and close to 50% for a company with diluted capital). The Middlenext Code only applies on a "comply-or-explain" basis and we may in the future either decide not to apply this recommendation or change the corporate code to which we refer.
We are also exempt from provisions set forth in Nasdaq rules which require an issuer to provide in its bylaws for a generally applicable quorum, and that such quorum may not be less than one-third of the outstanding voting stock. Consistent with French law, our bylaws provide that, at the first meeting convened, a quorum requires the presence of shareholders having at least (1) 20% of the shares entitled to vote in the case of an ordinary shareholders' general meeting or at an extraordinary shareholders' general meeting where shareholders are voting on a capital increase by capitalization of reserves, profits or share premium (in case of lack of quorum, no quorum is required at the second meeting convened), or (2) 25% of the shares entitled to vote in the case of any other extraordinary shareholders' general meeting (in case of lack of quorum, it is decreased to at least 20% of the shares entitled to vote at the second meeting convened).
As a foreign private issuer, we are required to comply with Rule 10A-3 of the Exchange Act, relating to audit committee composition and responsibilities. Under French law, the audit committee may only have an advisory role and appointment of our statutory auditors, in particular, must be decided by the shareholders at our annual meeting.
Therefore, our shareholders may be afforded less protection than they otherwise would have under Nasdaq's corporate governance standards applicable to U.S. domestic issuers. For an overview of our corporate governance practices, see "Item 6.C Board Practices."
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12
If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or publish inaccurate research or unfavorable research about our business, the price of our ordinary shares and ADSs and trading volume could decline.
The trading market for our ordinary shares and ADSs depends in part on the research and reports that securities or industry analysts publish about us or our business. If no or few securities or industry analysts cover our company, the trading price for our ordinary shares and ADSs would be negatively impacted. If one or more of the analysts who covers us downgrades our ordinary shares and ADSs or publishes incorrect or unfavorable research about our business, the price of our ordinary shares and ADSs would likely decline. If one or more of these analysts ceases coverage of our company or fails to publish reports on us regularly, or downgrades our ordinary shares and ADSs, demand for our ordinary shares and ADSs could decrease, which could cause the price of our ordinary shares and ADSs or trading volume to decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 13
Voting control with respect to our company is concentrated in the hands of Frédéric Cren, our Chief Executive Officer, Pierre Broqua, our Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Chief Scientific Officer, and our significant shareholders and affiliates, who will continue to be able to exercise significant influence on us.
In accordance with French law, double voting rights automatically attach to each ordinary share of companies listed on a regulated market (such as the Euronext Paris, where our ordinary shares are listed) that is held of record in the name of the same shareholder for a period of at least two years, except as otherwise set forth in a company's bylaws. Our bylaws do not exclude such double voting rights. However, under French law, ordinary bearer shares in the form of ADSs are not eligible for double voting rights. To our knowledge, among our shareholders who hold ordinary shares to which are attached double voting rights, Frédéric Cren, our Chief Executive Officer and Pierre Broqua, our Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Chief Scientific Officer hold the most significant portion. Double voting rights attach to the 5,612,224 ordinary shares held by Frédéric Cren, and to the 3,882,500 ordinary shares held by Pierre Broqua, as of March 1, 2024. Given the double voting rights per share attributed to ordinary shares held by Mr. Cren and Dr. Broqua, Mr. Cren and Dr. Broqua together beneficially own approximately 18% of our outstanding ordinary shares (including ordinary shares underlying ADSs), but control approximately 29% of the voting rights of our outstanding share capital as of March 1, 2024. As a result, Mr. Cren and Dr. Broqua, if they act together, have a significant influence over all matters that require approval by our shareholders, such as the election of directors and approval of significant corporate transactions. Such corporate action might be taken even if other shareholders oppose them. This concentration of ownership might also have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control of our company that other shareholders may view as beneficial. As members of our Board of Directors, Mr. Cren and Dr. Broqua have a duty to act without self-interest, on a well-informed basis and to not make any decision against our corporate interest (intérêt social) considering the interests of our shareholders, employees and other stakeholders as a whole. However, as shareholders, Mr. Cren and Dr. Broqua are entitled to vote their shares in their own interests, which may not always be in the interests of our shareholders generally. In addition, Mr. Cren and Dr. Broqua have the ability to control the management and major strategic investments of our company as a result of their positions as our Chief Executive Officer and Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Chief Scientific Officer, respectively.
Further, our executive officers, directors, current 5% or greater shareholders and affiliated entities, including BVF Partners L.P., New Enterprise Associates, Sofinnova Crossover I SLP, Qatar Holding LLC, and entities affiliated with Yiheng Capital Management, L.P. together beneficially own approximately 73% of our outstanding ordinary shares (including ordinary shares underlying ADSs) and approximately 74% of the voting rights of our outstanding share capital as of March 1, 2024. As a result, these shareholders, if they act together, will have control over all matters that require approval of our shareholders.
This concentrated control limits your ability to influence corporate matters for the foreseeable future and potentially in perpetuity, particularly because purchasers of ADSs or ordinary shares in the open market will be unlikely to meet the requirements to have double voting rights attach to any ordinary shares held by them. This concentrated control could also discourage a potential investor from acquiring our ADSs or ordinary shares and might harm the market price of our ADSs or ordinary shares.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 14
The market price of our equity securities may be volatile, and purchasers of our ordinary shares or ADSs or could incur substantial losses.
The market price for our ordinary shares and ADSs may be volatile. From January 1, 2023 to March 29, 2024, the closing price of our ADSs ranged from a high of $6.53 to a low of $2.43 per ADS. The stock market in general and the market for biopharmaceutical companies in particular have experienced extreme volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. As a result of this volatility, investors may not be able to sell their ordinary shares or ADSs at or above the price originally paid for the security. The market price for our ordinary shares and ADSs may be influenced by many factors, including:
- actual or anticipated fluctuations in our financial condition and operating results;- actual or anticipated changes in our growth rate relative to our competitors;- competition from existing products or new products that may emerge;- announcements by us, our partners or our competitors of significant acquisitions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, partnerships, or capital commitments;- our ability to enter into a partnership with a third party for the development and commercialization of odiparcil;- the amount and timing of any regulatory and commercial milestone payments, or royalty payments, for lanifibranor under the CTTQ License Agreement and the Hepalys License Agreement;- failure to meet or exceed financial estimates and projections of the investment community or that we provide to the public;- issuance of new or updated research or reports by securities analysts;- fluctuations in the valuation of companies perceived by investors to be comparable to us;- share price and volume fluctuations attributable to inconsistent trading volume levels of our shares;- market manipulation, including coordinated buying or selling activities;- additions or departures of key management or scientific personnel;- disputes or other developments related to proprietary rights, including patents, litigation matters, and our ability to obtain patent protection for our technologies;- changes to coverage policies or reimbursement levels by commercial third-party payors and government payors and any announcements relating to coverage policies or reimbursement levels;- announcement or expectation of additional debt or equity financing efforts;- sales of our ordinary shares or ADSs by us, our insiders or our other shareholders; and - general economic and market conditions.
These and other market and industry factors may cause the market price and demand for our ordinary shares or ADSs to fluctuate substantially, regardless of our actual operating performance, which may limit or prevent investors from readily selling their ordinary shares or ADSs and may otherwise negatively affect the liquidity of our capital shares.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 15
Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our existing shareholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights to our product candidates or technologies.
We may seek to raise additional funding through a combination of equity or equity-linked or other securities offerings, debt financings, partnerships and/or licensing arrangements or other strategic transactions. To the extent that we raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, your ownership interest will be diluted, and the terms may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect the rights of our shareholders. For example, at the general shareholder meeting of January 25, 2023, our shareholders delegated the authority to our Board of Directors to increase our share capital by issuance of ordinary shares or securities giving access to our share capital. On August 30, 2023, our Board of Directors decided to proceed with (i) a capital increase by issuing and selling an aggregate of 9,618,638 new ordinary shares in a transaction exempt from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Act, and (ii) the issuance of royalty certificates, or Royalty Certificates, in a transaction exempt from registration under the Securities Act. The Royalty Certificates provide the holders thereof with the right to an annual payment of royalties equal to 2% of the future net sales, if any, of lanifibranor in (i) the United States, (ii) the countries of the European Union or (iii) the United Kingdom, whichever occurs first, if at all. The payment obligations under the Royalty Certificates may reduce the revenue we are able to derive from potential future net sales of lanifibranor, if any, which could adversely affect the value of our company and the prices that investors are willing to pay for our ADSs, and could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The incurrence of additional indebtedness and/or the issuance of certain equity securities could result in increased fixed payment obligations and could also result in certain additional restrictive covenants, such as limitations on our ability to incur additional debt and/or issue additional equity, limitations on our ability to acquire or license intellectual property rights and other operating restrictions that could adversely impact our ability to conduct our business. For example, on November 28, 2022 and on January 4, 2024, we issued 2,266,023 and 3,144,654 warrants, respectively, to the EIB, as a condition to access to the first tranche and second tranche of €25 million each under the finance contract with the EIB. As of the date hereof, if all the warrants issued to the EIB in connection with the first tranche and the second tranche were exercised, the EIB would hold 6,022,504 of our ordinary shares, equal to approximately 10.3% of our outstanding current share capital. The warrants include provisions that increase the number of shares issuable upon exercise of the warrants in the event we issue additional equity securities under certain circumstances. In addition, issuance of additional equity securities, or the possibility of such issuance, may cause the market price of our ordinary shares or ADSs to decline. In the event that we enter into partnerships and/or licensing arrangements in order to raise capital, we may be required to accept unfavorable terms, including relinquishing or licensing to a third party on unfavorable terms our rights to technologies or product candidates that we otherwise would seek to develop or commercialize ourselves or potentially reserve for future potential arrangements when we might be able to achieve more favorable terms. Additional funding may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. If we are unable to obtain funding on a timely basis, we may be required to significantly curtail one or more of programs or cease operations altogether.
In addition, we have issued, and may in the future issue, additional equity securities as consideration for business development transactions, which may also dilute our existing shareholders' or holders of our ADSs ownership interests. In August 2021, we filed a shelf registration statement on Form F-3, or the Shelf Registration Statement, pursuant to which we may offer and sell ordinary shares, ADSs representing ordinary shares and warrants to purchase ordinary shares or ADSs for aggregate gross sale proceeds of up to $300.0 million and established an "At-The-Market" program, or the 2021 ATM Program, that allowed us to offer and sell our ADSs having an aggregate offering price of up to $100.0 million from time to time pursuant to a sales agreement with Jefferies LLC, subject to the terms and conditions described in that sales agreement and SEC rules and regulations. Through the 2021 ATM Program, we raised $30 million in gross proceeds in September 2021, $1.9 million in October 2021, and €9.4 million in June 2022. In September 2023, we terminated the 2021 ATM Program and the sales agreement with Jefferies LLC, and established a new "At-The-Market" program, or the 2023 ATM Program, and entered into a new sales agreement with Cowen and Company, LLC, pursuant to which we may offer and sell our ADSs having an aggregate offering price of up to an aggregate of $58.0 million from time to time, subject to the terms and conditions described in that sales agreement and SEC rules and regulations. If we make further sales under our 2023 ATM Program, the Shelf Registration Statement or otherwise, the sales could dilute our shareholders, reduce the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs or impede our ability to raise future capital.
In addition, the French Commercial Code imposes certain limitations on our ability to price certain offerings of our share capital without preferential subscription rights (sans droit préférentiel de souscription), which limitation may prevent us from successfully completing any such offering. At our general meeting of shareholders on January 25, 2023, our shareholders approved our proposal to authorize us to increase our share capital by issuance of ordinary shares or securities convertible into ordinary shares without preemptive subscription rights for the existing shareholders, subject to certain restrictions and limitations. These authorizations are due to expire in March 2025 for the third resolution and the fourth resolution (respectively public offering and private placement) and in July 2024 for the sixth resolution (reserved offering) and we expect to seek to renew these authorizations at the next annual general meeting of shareholders, although we cannot guarantee that we will be able to obtain further authorizations. If we are unable to obtain further authorization from our shareholders in the future, or otherwise continue to be limited by the terms of such authorizations approved by our shareholders in the future, our ability to raise capital, could be adversely affected. In any event, an inability to borrow or raise additional capital in a timely manner and on attractive terms could prevent us from expanding our business or taking advantage of opportunities and could otherwise have a material adverse effect on our business and growth prospects. In addition, if we use a substantial amount of our funds to acquire or in-license products or product candidates, we may not have sufficient additional funds to conduct all of our operations in the manner we would otherwise choose.
Furthermore, as part of our policy to incentivize our managers, directors and employees and in order to attract and retain qualified personnel, we have issued and granted to our managers, directors, employees and consultants or service providers share warrants, or BSAs, warrants to subscribe for founder's shares, or BSPCEs, free shares, or AGAs, and performance units, or PAGUP.
As of the date of this Annual Report, the exercise of all the dilutive instruments outstanding granted and not yet exercised, representing 8,146,837 underlying shares, would result in a dilution of approximately 13.4% based on a share capital of €524,771.
If we raise additional funds through partnerships, strategic transactions or marketing, distribution or licensing arrangements with third parties, we may have to relinquish valuable rights, future revenue streams, products or product candidates or grant licenses on terms that may not be favorable to us. For example, see the following risk factor with respect to our Royalty Certificates. If we choose to pursue a partnership for any of our product candidates, we may be required to relinquish certain valuable rights depending on the terms of such a transaction. If we are unable to raise additional funds through equity or debt financings when needed, we may be required to grant rights to develop and market products or product candidates that we would otherwise prefer to develop and market ourselves.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 16
Added
Through the Royalty Certificates, we transferred to the holders thereof rights to receive certain payments in connection with potential future net sales of lanifibranor, if any, which may reduce our ability to realize potential future revenue from such sales.
In August 30, 2023, we entered into subscription agreements with certain investors pursuant to which we agreed to issue and sell Royalty Certificates, which provide the holders thereof with the right to an annual payment of royalties equal to 2% of the future net sales, if any, of lanifibranor beginning on the fiscal year following the start of the sales of lanifibranor following the granting of the market authorization for lanifibranor in (i) the United States, (ii) the countries of the European Union or (iii) the United Kingdom, whichever occurs the first, if at all. The Royalty Certificates have a term of 15 years following the date of issue and do not provide for an accelerated repayment in case of change of control. We may at any time repurchase in full the Royalty Certificates by paying an amount equal to (i) the global cap of €92.1 million minus any royalties paid prior to such repurchase or (ii) a price to be agreed between us and the holders of the Royalty Certificates.
The payment obligations under the Royalty Certificates may reduce the revenue we are able to derive from potential future net sales of lanifibranor, if any, and a repurchase of Royalty Certificates would require us to use our cash resources, which could adversely affect the value of our company and the prices that investors are willing to pay for our ADSs, and could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 3.6%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
We have incurred significant losses since our inception and anticipate that we will continue to incur significant losses for the foreseeable future. We have never generated any revenue from product sales and may never achieve or maintain profitability.
We have incurred significant operating losses since our inception in 2011. We incurred net losses of €110.4 million, €54.3 million and €49.6 million for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively. We expect to continue to incur significant expenses and increasing operating losses for the foreseeable future. We have devoted substantially all of our efforts to the acquisition and pre-clinical and clinical development of our product candidates, as well as to building our intellectual property portfolio, research programs, management team and infrastructure. It could be several years, if ever, before we or our partners have a commercialized product and our commercialized products, if any, may not be profitable. The net losses we incur may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year. We anticipate that our expenses will increase significantly in connection with our ongoing activities as we:
- continue the ongoing and planned clinical development of lanifibranor;- initiate pre-clinical studies and clinical trials with respect to our other development programs;- develop, maintain, expand and protect our intellectual property portfolio;- manufacture, or have manufactured, clinical and commercial supplies of our product candidates;- seek marketing approvals for our current and future product candidates that successfully complete clinical trials;- establish a sales, marketing and distribution infrastructure to commercialize any product candidate for which we may obtain marketing approval;- hire additional administrative, clinical, regulatory and scientific personnel; and - continue to incur costs associated with operating as a public company in the United States.
In order to become and remain profitable, we will need to develop and eventually commercialize, on our own or with partners, one or more product candidates with significant market potential. This will require us to be successful in a range of challenging activities, including completing clinical trials of our product candidates, developing commercial scale manufacturing processes, obtaining marketing approval, manufacturing, marketing and selling any current and future product candidates for which we may obtain marketing approval, and satisfying any post-marketing requirements. We may never succeed in any or all of these activities and, even if we do, we may never generate revenue from product sales or achieve profitability.
Because of the numerous risks and uncertainties associated with pharmaceutical products and development, we are unable to accurately predict the timing or amount of increased expenses or when, or if, we will be able to achieve profitability. If we are required by the FDA, or other regulatory authorities such as the EMA, to perform studies and trials in addition to those currently expected, or if there are any delays in the development or in the completion of any planned or future pre-clinical studies or clinical trials of our current or future product candidates, our expenses could increase and profitability could be further delayed.
Even if we do achieve profitability, we may not be able to sustain or increase profitability on a quarterly or annual basis. Our failure to become and remain profitable would decrease the value of our company and could impair our ability to raise capital, maintain our research and development efforts, expand our business or continue our operations. A decline in the value of our company also could cause the price of the ordinary shares and ADSs to decline.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We must maintain effective internal control over financial reporting, and if we are unable to do so, the accuracy and timeliness of our financial reporting may be adversely affected, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, investor confidence and market price.
We must maintain effective internal control over financial reporting in order to accurately and timely report our results of operations and financial condition. In addition, as a U.S. public company, Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, or the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, requires, among other things, that we assess the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures annually and the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting at the end of each fiscal year. We are required to perform system and process evaluation and testing of our internal control over financial reporting to allow our management to report on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. However, while we remain an emerging growth company, we will not be required to include an attestation report on internal control over financial reporting issued by our independent registered public accounting firm. We will incur substantial additional professional fees and internal costs to expand our accounting and finance functions in addition to expending significant management efforts.
The rules governing the standards that must be met for our management to assess our internal control over financial reporting pursuant to Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act are complex and require significant documentation, testing and possible remediation. These stringent standards require that our audit committee be advised and regularly updated on management's review of internal control over financial reporting. We have designed, our internal control over financial reporting in order to comply with this obligation. This process is time-consuming, costly and complicated. In addition, our independent registered public accounting firm will be required to attest to the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting beginning with our annual report following the date on which we are no longer an "emerging growth company," which will occur upon the earliest of: (1) the last day of the fiscal year in which we have total annual gross revenue of $1.235 billion or more; (2) December 31, 2025; (3) the date on which we have issued more than $1.0 billion in nonconvertible debt during the previous three years; and (4) the date on which we are deemed to be a large accelerated filer under the rules of the SEC. Our management may not be able to effectively and timely implement controls and procedures that adequately respond to the increased regulatory compliance and reporting requirements that will be applicable to us as a U.S. public company. If we fail to staff our accounting and finance function adequately or maintain internal control over financial reporting adequate to meet the demands that will be placed upon us as a U.S. public company, including the requirements of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, our business and reputation may be harmed and the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs may decline.
Furthermore, investor perceptions of us may be adversely affected, which could cause a decline in the market price of our ordinary shares or ADSs.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
We have no present intention to pay dividends on our ordinary shares in the foreseeable future and, consequently, your only opportunity to achieve a return on your investment during that time is if the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs, as applicable, appreciates.
We have never declared or paid any cash dividends on our ordinary shares and we have no present intention to pay dividends in the foreseeable future. Any recommendation by our Board of Directors to pay dividends will depend on many factors, including our financial condition (including losses carried-forward), results of operations, legal requirements and other factors. Further, under French law, the determination of whether we have been sufficiently profitable to pay dividends is made on the basis of our statutory financial statements prepared and presented in accordance with accounting standards applicable in France. In addition, payment of dividends may subject us to additional taxes under French law. See "Item 10.B Memorandum and Articles of Association" for further details on the limitations on our ability to declare and pay dividends. Therefore, we may be more restricted in our ability to declare dividends than companies not based in France. If the price of our ordinary shares or ADSs declines before we pay dividends, you will incur a loss on your investment, without the likelihood that this loss will be offset in part or at all by potential future cash dividends.
Debt & Financing2 | 2.4%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Due to our limited resources and access to capital, we must and have in the past decided to prioritize development of certain product candidates; these decisions may prove to have been wrong and may adversely affect our revenues.
Because we have limited resources and access to capital to fund our operations, we must decide which product candidates to pursue and the amount of resources to allocate to each. As such, we are currently primarily focused on the development of lanifibranor. Our decisions concerning the allocation of research, partnership, management and financial resources toward particular compounds, product candidates or therapeutic areas may not lead to the development of viable commercial products and may divert resources away from better opportunities. For example, in 2020 we decided to focus our clinical efforts on the development of lanifibranor. As part of this decision, we suspended our clinical efforts relating to odiparcil. In addition, we previously committed resources to pursuing the development of lanifibranor for the treatment of patients with systemic sclerosis, or SSc, through clinical trials. However, following the results of a Phase IIb clinical trial of lanifibranor for the treatment of SSc, we ceased development of lanifibranor in this indication in February 2019. Similarly, our potential decisions to delay, terminate or partner with third parties in respect of certain product development programs, including regarding the suspension of our development of odiparcil, may also prove not to be optimal and could cause us to miss valuable opportunities. In addition, we previously entered into a partnership with AbbVie for the development of cedirogant, which ended in October 2022 when AbbVie decided to stop the development of cedirogant following the analysis of a nonclinical toxicology study. If we make incorrect determinations regarding the market potential of our product candidates or misread trends in the pharmaceutical industry, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
Changed
We require substantial additional funding, which may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all, and failure to obtain this necessary capital when needed may force us to curtail, delay or discontinue our product candidate development efforts or other operations. These factors raise substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern.
As of December 31, 2023, we had €26.9 million of available cash and cash equivalents, consisting of cash and short-term deposit accounts that are liquid and easily convertible within 3 months without penalty or risk of change in value. We also had €0.01 million of short-term deposits we consider liquid and easily available, and a €9.0 million long-term, two-year deposit forward contract entered into during the first quarter of 2023, included in "other non-current assets", but accessible prior to the expiration of the term upon 31 days written notice. On January 18, 2024, we also drew down the second tranche of €25.0 million under the finance contract, or Finance Contract, with the European Investment Bank, or EIB.
The amount and timing of our future funding requirements will depend on many factors, including but not limited to:
- the progress, costs, results of and timing of our ongoing and planned clinical trials;- our ability to reach milestones under our existing partnership arrangements, including our partnerships with CTTQ and Hepalys, or enter into additional partnership agreements that would generate milestone payments, licensing fees or other sources of income;- the willingness of the FDA, EMA, NMPA and other comparable regulatory authorities to accept the clinical trials and pre-clinical studies and other work from us or our partners as the basis for review and approval of product candidates;- the outcome, costs and timing of seeking and obtaining regulatory approvals from the FDA, EMA and other comparable regulatory authorities;- the need for additional or expanded pre-clinical studies and clinical trials beyond those that we envision conducting with respect to our current and future product candidates;- the success of our current partners, including CTTQ and Hepalys, and any future partners, and the economic and other terms of any licensing, cooperation or other similar arrangements into which we may enter;- the number of product candidates and indications that we pursue;- the timing and costs associated with manufacturing our product candidates for clinical trials and pre-clinical studies and, if approved, for commercial sale;- the timing and costs associated with establishing sales and marketing capabilities;- market acceptance of any approved product candidates;- the costs of acquiring, licensing or investing in additional businesses, products, product candidates and technologies;- the cost to maintain, expand and defend the scope of our intellectual property portfolio, including the amount and timing of any payments we may be required to make, or that we may receive, in connection with licensing, filing, prosecution, defense and enforcement of any patents or other intellectual property rights;- our need and ability to hire additional management, development and scientific personnel; and - our need to implement additional internal systems and infrastructure, including financial and reporting systems.
As of the date hereof, we estimate, given our current cost structure and our projected expenditure commitments, that we should have sufficient funds to finance our activities until the beginning of the third quarter of 2024. Accordingly, our current cash and cash equivalents and short and long-term deposits are not sufficient to cover our operating needs for at least the next 12 months. In order to cover our needs for the next 12 months, taking into account our current business plan, we estimate needing approximately an additional €100 million during this period. To fund our activities until the publication of topline results from our NATiV3 trial, which is targeted for the first half of 2026, we estimate we would need approximately an additional €175 million (assuming we receive approximately €25 million in potential milestone or other payments during the period) to €200 million (assuming no potential milestone payments) (each estimate inclusive of the above referenced €100 million). These events and conditions indicate that a material uncertainty exists that may cast significant doubt on our ability to continue as a going concern and, therefore, we may be unable to realize our assets and discharge our liabilities in the normal course of business.
These estimates are based on our current business plan and exclude (i) other expenses related to the potential development of odiparcil or resulting from any potential in-licensing or acquisition of additional product candidates or technologies, or any associated development we may pursue, (ii) any potential milestone payments (other than those referenced above) that may be received or paid by us or potential financing. We may have based these estimates on incorrect assumptions and may have to use our resources sooner than expected. These estimates may be shortened in the event of an increase, beyond our expectations, in expenditure relating to the development programs, or if our development programs progress more quickly than expected.
In order to finance our activities, we need to raise additional funds, and we are actively reviewing potential financing (including debt, equity and equity-linked or other instruments) and strategic options and are discussing with potential counterparties and our financial advisors.
In particular, we may seek to raise additional funds to achieve our development goals for our research and development programs through:
- potential sales of ADSs under our existing At-The-Market program, having an aggregate offering price of $58.0 million from time to time, which has a term until August 2, 2024;- other potential public or private securities offerings; and - potential strategic transactions such as business development partnerships and/or royalty deals.
Global macroeconomic conditions or disruptions and volatility in the U.S. and global financial markets linked in particular to geopolitical events that continue to impact the markets (including Russia's invasion of Ukraine or the state of war between Israel and Hamas, including with respect to some clinical trial sites in Israel for the NATiV3 trial, and the related risk of a larger conflict) could affect our ability to obtain new financing.
The implementation and terms of any new financing will depend on factors, particularly economic and market factors, over which we have no control. Future financing could take the form of financial debt, which would affect our financial structure, a capital increase, which would result in shareholder dilution, other securities offerings or strategic transactions, such as a partnership or other arrangement.
In addition, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to obtain the necessary financing or execute any transaction, through any of the foregoing measures or otherwise, to meet our needs or to obtain funds at acceptable terms and conditions, on a timely basis, or at all especially taking into account the generally challenging environment for financing of biotech companies. If we are unable to obtain funding on a timely basis, we may be required to significantly curtail, delay or discontinue one or more of our research or development programs or the commercialization of any approved product or be unable to expand our operations or otherwise capitalize on our business opportunities, as desired, which could impair our prospects or our business operations. The perception that we may be unable to continue as a going concern may impede our ability to pursue any potential financing or strategic opportunities or to operate our business. Ultimately, if we are unable to continue as a going concern, we may have to liquidate our assets and may receive less than the value at which those assets are carried on our financial statements, and it is likely that investors will lose all or part of their investment. Any additional fundraising efforts may divert our management from their day-to-day activities, which may adversely affect our ability to develop and, if approved, commercialize our product candidates.
Corporate Activity and Growth6 | 7.2%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Changed
We may not realize the benefits expected through the partnerships with CTTQ and Hepalys and the partnerships could have adverse effects on our business.
In September 2022, we entered into the CTTQ License Agreement. The purpose of the CTTQ License Agreement is to develop and commercialize lanifibranor in the CTTQ Territory. Under the terms of the CTTQ License Agreement, CTTQ has the sole right and is solely responsible for all aspects of the commercialization of the licensed products in the territory, subject to regulatory approval. The CTTQ License Agreement provides that CTTQ will either join our ongoing NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH or undertake an independent study. In connection with the license, CTTQ paid us an upfront payment and is obligated to make additional payments upon the achievement of certain development, regulatory and commercial milestones. In addition, subject to regulatory approval, CTTQ is obligated to pay to us tiered royalties based on incremental annual net sales by CCTQ. There is no assurance that any of the milestones will be achieved or that we will receive any milestone payments or royalties.
In September 2023, we announced that we had entered into the Hepalys License Agreement with Hepalys to develop and commercialize lanifibranor in the Hepalys Territory. Hepalys is expected to start the clinical development of lanifibranor by conducting two Phase I studies in Japanese patients and healthy volunteers. It is anticipated that these studies would support, if positive, the initiation of a dedicated pivotal trial in Japanese and Korean patients with NASH, which is planned to start once the results of our ongoing NATiV3 trial are available. In connection with the Hepalys License Agreement, Hepalys paid us an upfront payment and is obligated to make additional payments upon the achievement of certain development, regulatory and commercial milestones. In addition, subject to regulatory approval, Hepalys is obligated to pay to us tiered royalties based on net sales of lanifibranor in the Hepalys Territory. There is no assurance that any of the milestones will be achieved or that we will receive any milestone payments or royalties.
These existing and potential future agreements with our partners are generally subject to termination by the counterparty under certain circumstances. Accordingly, even if we believe that the development of certain product candidates, including lanifibranor, is worth pursuing, our partners may choose not to continue with such development, if we materially deviate from the original program timelines, the contractual terms, or breach the contractual terms. If any of our partnerships are terminated, we may be required to devote additional resources to the development of our product candidates or seek a new partner, and the terms of any additional partnerships or other arrangements that we establishes may not be favorable to us, available under commercially reasonable terms or available at all.
We are also at risk that our partnerships or other arrangements may not be successful. Factors that may affect the success of our partnerships include the following:
- our partners may incur financial, legal or other difficulties that force them to limit or reduce their participation in our joint projects;- our partners may be pursuing alternative technologies or developing alternative products that are competitive to our technology and products, either on their own or in partnership with others;- our partners may terminate the partnership, which could make it difficult for us to attract new partners or adversely affect our reputation in the business and financial communities; and - our partners may pursue higher priority programs or change the focus of their development programs, which could affect their commitment to us.
If we cannot maintain successful partnerships, our business, financial condition and operating results may be adversely affected.
In addition, and particularly with respect to our partnership with CTTQ, adverse changes in the economic and political policies relating to China could have a material adverse effect on the expected benefits from this partnership. An escalation of trade tensions between the U.S. and China has resulted in trade restrictions that could harm our ability to participate in Chinese markets and numerous additional such restrictions have been threatened by both the Chinese and U.S. governments. We may find it impossible to comply with these or other conflicting regulations in the U.S., EMEA, France and China, which could make it difficult or impossible to realize the benefits from this partnership with CTTQ. Sustained uncertainty about, or worsening of, current global economic conditions and further escalation of trade tensions between the U.S. and its trading partners, especially China, could result in a global economic slowdown and long-term changes to global trade, including retaliatory trade restrictions that could further restrict our activities in China. In addition, the Chinese economic, legal, and political landscape differs from other countries in many respects, including the level of government involvement and regulation, control of foreign exchange and allocation of resources, and uncertainty regarding the enforceability and scope of protection for contractual and intellectual property rights. The Chinese government has exercised and continues to exercise substantial control over the Chinese economy through regulation and state ownership. The laws, regulations and legal requirements in China are also subject to frequent changes and the exact obligations under and enforcement of laws and regulations are often subject to unpublished internal government interpretations and policies which makes it challenging to ascertain compliance with such laws and, at times, enforcement of agreements. Changes in political conditions in China and changes in the state of geopolitical relations are difficult to predict and could adversely affect the benefits under the CTTQ License Agreement.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Changed
We may not be successful in establishing development and commercialization partnerships, including with respect to lanifibranor and odiparcil, which could adversely affect, and potentially prohibit, our ability to develop our product candidates.
Developing pharmaceutical products, conducting clinical trials, obtaining regulatory approval, establishing manufacturing capabilities and marketing approved products are expensive. Accordingly, we have sought and may in the future seek to enter into partnerships with companies that have more resources and experience. For example, in September 2022, we entered into the CTTQ License Agreement to develop and commercialize lanifibranor in Mainland China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Macau Special Administrative Region and Taiwan, collectively the "CTTQ Territory", and in September 2023 we entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with Hepalys, or Hepalys License Agreement, to develop and commercialize lanifibranor for the treatment of NASH in Japan and South Korea, collectively the "Hepalys Territory". In situations where we enter into a development and commercial partnership arrangement for a product candidate, we may also seek to establish additional partnerships for development and commercialization in territories outside of those addressed by existing partnership arrangements for such product candidate. If we are unable to enter into any additional development and commercial partnerships and/or sales and marketing arrangements on acceptable terms, or at all, we may be unable to successfully develop and seek regulatory approval for our product candidates and/or effectively market and sell approved products, if any.
In 2020, we decided to focus our clinical efforts on the development of lanifibranor and suspend our clinical efforts relating to odiparcil. In the future, we may partner with third-party partners for the development and commercialization of odiparcil or other product candidates. If we are unable to obtain a partner for odiparcil or any of our product candidates, we may be unable to advance the development of odiparcil which could have a negative impact on our business, results of operations, financial condition and growth prospects. Even if we are able to establish such a partnership, there can no assurance that such partnership will be successful. If we partner with a third party for development and commercialization of odiparcil, we can expect to relinquish some or all of the control over the potential success of odiparcil to the third party. We will likely have limited control over the amount and timing of resources that our partners dedicate to the development or commercialization of odiparcil, or any other product candidate. Our ability to generate revenues from these arrangements will depend on our partners' abilities and efforts to successfully perform the functions assigned to them in these arrangements. Partnerships involving odiparcil, or our other product candidates, could pose numerous risks to us, including the following:
- partners have significant discretion in determining the efforts and resources that they will apply to these partnerships and may not perform their obligations as expected;- partners may deemphasize or not pursue development and commercialization of odiparcil or our other product candidates or may elect not to continue or renew development or commercialization programs based on clinical trial results, changes in the partners, strategic focus, including as a result of a sale or disposition of a business unit or development function, or available funding or external factors such as an acquisition that diverts resources or creates competing priorities;- partners may delay clinical trials, provide insufficient funding for a clinical trial program, stop a clinical trial or abandon a product candidate, repeat or conduct new clinical trials or require a new formulation of a product candidate for clinical testing;- partners could independently develop, or develop with third parties, products that compete directly or indirectly with our product candidates if the partners believe that competitive products are more likely to be successfully developed or can be commercialized under terms that are more economically attractive than ours;- a partner with marketing and distribution rights to multiple products may not commit sufficient resources to the marketing and distribution of our product relative to other products;- partners may not properly obtain, maintain, defend or enforce our intellectual property rights or may use our proprietary information and intellectual property in such a way as to invite litigation or other intellectual property related proceedings that could jeopardize or invalidate our proprietary information and intellectual property or expose us to potential litigation or other intellectual property related proceedings;- disputes may arise between the partners and us that result in the delay or termination of the research, development or commercialization of our product candidates or that result in costly litigation or arbitration that diverts management attention and resources;- partnerships may be terminated and, if terminated, may result in a need for additional capital to pursue further development or commercialization of the applicable product candidates;- partnership agreements may not lead to development or commercialization of product candidates in the most efficient manner or at all; and - if a partner of ours were to be involved in a business combination, the continued pursuit and emphasis on our drug development or commercialization program could be delayed, diminished or terminated.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
If we fail to manage our growth effectively, our ability to develop and commercialize products could suffer.
We expect that if our drug discovery efforts continue to generate drug candidates, our clinical drug candidates continue to progress in development, and we continue to build our development, medical and commercial organizations, we will require significant additional investment in personnel, management and resources. Our ability to achieve our research, development and commercialization objectives depends on our ability to respond effectively to these demands and expand our internal organization, systems, controls and facilities to accommodate additional anticipated growth. If we are unable to manage our growth effectively, our business could be harmed and our ability to execute our business strategy could suffer.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
The requirements of being a U.S. public company may strain our resources and divert management's attention.
We are required to comply with various corporate governance and financial reporting requirements under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act, and the rules and regulations adopted by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Public Corporation Accounting Oversight Board. Further, compliance with various regulatory reporting requires significant commitments of time from our management and our directors, which reduces the time available for the performance of their other responsibilities. Our failure to track and comply with the various rules may materially adversely affect our reputation, ability to obtain the necessary certifications to financial statements, lead to additional regulatory enforcement actions, and could adversely affect the value of our ordinary shares or ADSs.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 5
We may undertake strategic acquisitions in the future and any difficulties from integrating such acquisitions could adversely affect our share price, operating results and results of operations.
We may acquire companies, businesses and products that complement or augment our existing business. We may not be able to integrate any acquired business successfully or operate any acquired business profitably. Integrating any newly acquired business could be expensive and time-consuming. Integration efforts often take a significant amount of time, place a significant strain on managerial, operational and financial resources, result in loss of key personnel and could prove to be more difficult or expensive than we predict. The diversion of our management's attention and any delay or difficulties encountered in connection with any future acquisitions we may consummate could result in the disruption of our on-going business or inconsistencies in standards and controls that could negatively affect our ability to maintain third-party relationships. Moreover, we may need to raise additional funds through public or private debt or equity financing, or issue additional shares, to acquire any businesses or products, which may result in dilution for shareholders or the incurrence of indebtedness.
As part of our efforts to acquire companies, business or product candidates or to enter into other significant transactions, we conduct business, legal and financial due diligence with the goal of identifying and evaluating material risks involved in the transaction. Despite our efforts, we ultimately may be unsuccessful in ascertaining or evaluating all such risks and, as a result, might not realize the intended advantages of the transaction. If we fail to realize the expected benefits from acquisitions we may consummate in the future or have consummated in the past, whether as a result of unidentified risks or liabilities, integration difficulties, regulatory setbacks, litigation with current or former employees and other events, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected. If we acquire product candidates, we will also need to make certain assumptions about, among other things, development costs, the likelihood of receiving regulatory approval and the market for such product candidates. Our assumptions may prove to be incorrect, which could cause us to fail to realize the anticipated benefits of these transactions.
In addition, we will likely experience significant charges to earnings in connection with our efforts, if any, to consummate acquisitions. For transactions that are ultimately not consummated, these charges may include fees and expenses for investment bankers, attorneys, accountants and other advisors in connection with our efforts. Even if our efforts are successful, we may incur, as part of a transaction, substantial charges for closure costs associated with elimination of duplicate operations and facilities and acquired in-process research and development charges. In either case, the incurrence of these charges could adversely affect our results of operations for particular periods.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 6
We may not be successful in maintaining development and commercialization partnerships, and any partner may not devote sufficient resources to the development or commercialization of our product candidates or may otherwise fail in development or commercialization efforts, which could adversely affect our ability to develop certain of our product candidates and our financial condition and operating results.
The partnership arrangements that we have established, and any partnership arrangements that we may enter into in the future, may not ultimately be successful, which could have a negative impact on our business, results of operations, financial condition and growth prospects. It is also possible that a partner may not devote sufficient resources to the development or commercialization of our product candidate, decides to no longer consider the development or commercialization of a drug candidate as a priority, or may otherwise fail in development or commercialization efforts, in which event the development and commercialization of such product candidate could be delayed or terminated and our business could be substantially harmed. If we partner with a third party for development and commercialization of a product candidate, we can expect to relinquish some or all of the control of the future success of that product candidates to the third party. For example, we previously entered into a partnership with AbbVie for the development of cedirogant, which ended in October 2022 when AbbVie decided to stop the development of cedirogant following the analysis of a nonclinical toxicology study. In addition, we previously entered into a partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim, or BI, for the development of new treatments for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, which ended in November 2019 following BI's decision to prioritize other products in its portfolio.
In addition, in September 2022, we entered into the CTTQ License Agreement to develop and commercialize lanifibranor under which we granted CTTQ an exclusive right (i) to develop, import, export, use, manufacture, offer for sale, promote, market, distribute, sell and otherwise commercialize any pharmaceutical product containing lanifibranor and (ii) to develop and manufacture lanifibranor within the CTTQ Territory, in exchange for an upfront payment upon signing of the agreement, certain payments upon the achievement of specified development, regulatory and commercial milestones and specified royalty rights, if approved. CTTQ joined our ongoing NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial evaluating lanifibranor in NASH and has initiated a Phase I clinical pharmacology study in parallel. In addition, in September 2023, we entered into the Hepalys License Agreement with Hepalys to develop and commercialize lanifibranor for the treatment of NASH in the Hepalys Territory. Hepalys is expected to start the clinical development of lanifibranor by conducting two Phase I clinical trials in patients and healthy volunteers in Japan. It is anticipated that these studies would support, if positive, the initiation of a dedicated pivotal trial in patients with NASH in the Hepalys Territory, which is planned to start once the results of our ongoing NATiV3 trial are available. Hepalys will be responsible for conducting and financing all development trials in the Hepalys Territory needed to file for a new drug application in these territories.
In addition, the terms of any partnership or other arrangement that we establish may not be favorable to us or may not be perceived as favorable, which may negatively impact the trading price of our ordinary shares or ADSs. In some cases, we may be responsible for continuing development of a product candidate or research program under a partnership and the payment we receive from our partner may be insufficient to cover the cost of this development. Moreover, partnerships and sales and marketing arrangements are complex and time consuming to negotiate, document and implement and they may require substantial resources to maintain.
We are subject to a number of additional risks associated with our dependence on partnerships with third parties, the occurrence of which could cause our partnership arrangements to fail. Conflicts may arise between us and partners, such as conflicts concerning the interpretation of clinical data, the achievement of milestones, the interpretation of financial provisions or the ownership of intellectual property developed during the partnership. If any such conflicts arise, a partner may have significantly greater financial and managerial resources on which to draw and could act in its own self-interest, which may be adverse to our best interests. Any such disagreement between us and a partner could result in one or more of the following, each of which could delay or prevent the development or commercialization of our product candidates, and in turn prevent us from generating sufficient revenues to achieve or maintain profitability:
- reductions in the payment of royalties or other payments we believe are due pursuant to the applicable partnership arrangement; for example, at the end of January 2022, we received a milestone payment from AbbVie of €4 million following the inclusion of the first psoriasis patient in the Phase IIb clinical study with cedirogant (ABBV-157). However, following the termination of this partnership on October 28, 2022, we will not receive additional milestone payments under this partnership with AbbVie;- actions taken by a partner inside or outside our partnership which could negatively impact our rights or benefits under our partnership including termination of the partnership for convenience by the partner;- unwillingness on the part of a partner to keep us informed regarding the progress of its development and commercialization activities or to permit public disclosure of the results of those activities; or - a partner, as in the case of the partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim, may decide to terminate a partnership before the end of the contract in order to prioritize other products in its portfolio.
If our partnerships on research and development candidates do not result in the successful development and commercialization of products or if one of our partners terminates its agreement with us, we may not receive any future research funding or milestone or royalty payments under the partnership. If we do not receive the funding we expect under these agreements, the development of our product candidates could be delayed and we may need additional resources to develop product candidates.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 13/83 (16%)Below Sector Average
Regulation10 | 12.0%
Regulation - Risk 1
Our current and future operations are subject to applicable fraud and abuse, transparency, government price reporting, and other healthcare laws and regulations. If we are unable to comply, or have not fully complied, with such laws, we could face substantial penalties.
Healthcare providers, physicians and third-party payors will play a primary role in the recommendation and prescription of any future drug candidates we may develop and any drug candidates for which we obtain marketing approval. Our current and future arrangements with healthcare providers, physicians, third-party payors and customers may expose us to broadly applicable fraud and abuse and other healthcare laws and regulations that may affect the business or financial arrangements and relationships through which we would market, sell and distribute our products. Even though we do not and will not control referrals of healthcare services or bill directly to Medicare, Medicaid or other third-party payors, federal and state healthcare laws and regulations pertaining to fraud and abuse and patients' rights are and will be applicable to our business. The laws that may affect our ability to operate include, but are not limited to:
- The federal Anti-Kickback Statute, which prohibits any person or entity from, among other things, knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying any remuneration, directly or indirectly, overtly or covertly, in cash or in kind, to induce or reward either the referral of an individual for, or the purchase, order or recommendation of an item or service reimbursable, in whole or in part, under a federal healthcare program, such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs. The term "remuneration" has been broadly interpreted to include anything of value. The federal Anti-Kickback Statute has also been interpreted to apply to arrangements between pharmaceutical manufacturers on the one hand and prescribers, purchasers, and formulary managers on the other hand. There are a number of statutory exceptions and regulatory safe harbors protecting some common activities from prosecution.
- Federal civil and criminal false claims laws, such as the False Claims Act, or FCA, which can be enforced by private citizens through civil qui tam actions and civil monetary penalty laws, prohibit individuals or entities from, among other things, knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, false, fictitious or fraudulent claims for payment of federal funds, and knowingly making, using or causing to be made or used a false record or statement material to a false or fraudulent claim to avoid, decrease or conceal an obligation to pay money to the federal government. For example, pharmaceutical companies have been prosecuted under the FCA in connection with their alleged off-label promotion of drugs, purportedly concealing price concessions in the pricing information submitted to the government for government price reporting purposes, and allegedly providing free product to customers with the expectation that the customers would bill federal health care programs for the product. In addition, a claim including items or services resulting from a violation of the federal Anti-Kickback Statute constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the FCA. As a result of a modification made by the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009, a claim includes "any request or demand" for money or property presented to the U.S. government. In addition, manufacturers can be held liable under the FCA even when they do not submit claims directly to government payors if they are deemed to "cause" the submission of false or fraudulent claims.
- HIPAA, among other things, imposes criminal liability for executing or attempting to execute a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program, including private third-party payors, knowingly and willfully embezzling or stealing from a healthcare benefit program, willfully obstructing a criminal investigation of a healthcare offense, and creates federal criminal laws that prohibit knowingly and willfully falsifying, concealing or covering up a material fact or making any materially false, fictitious or fraudulent statement or representation, or making or using any false writing or document knowing the same to contain any materially false, fictitious or fraudulent statement or entry in connection with the delivery of or payment for healthcare benefits, items or services.
- HIPAA, as amended by HITECH, and their implementing regulations, which impose privacy, security and breach reporting obligations with respect to individually identifiable health information upon entities subject to the law, such as health plans, healthcare clearinghouses and certain healthcare providers, known as covered entities, and their respective business associates and their subcontractors that perform services for them that involve individually identifiable health information. HITECH also created new tiers of civil monetary penalties, amended HIPAA to make civil and criminal penalties directly applicable to business associates, and gave state attorneys general new authority to file civil actions for damages or injunctions in U.S. federal courts to enforce HIPAA laws and seek attorneys' fees and costs associated with pursuing federal civil actions.
- Federal and state consumer protection and unfair competition laws, which broadly regulate marketplace activities and activities that potentially harm consumers.
- The federal transparency requirements under the Physician Payments Sunshine Act, created under the Affordable Care Act, which requires, among other things, certain manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical supplies reimbursed under Medicare, Medicaid, or the Children's Health Insurance Program to report to CMS information related to payments and other transfers of value provided to physicians (defined to include doctors, dentists, optometrists, podiatrists and chiropractors), other healthcare professionals (such as physician assistants and nurse practitioners), and teaching hospitals, as well as information regarding physician ownership and investment interests, including such ownership and investment interests held by a physician's immediate family members.
- State and foreign law equivalents of each of the above federal laws, such as anti-kickback and false claims laws, that may impose similar or more prohibitive restrictions, and may apply to items or services reimbursed by non-governmental third-party payors, including private insurers.
- State and foreign laws that require pharmaceutical companies to implement compliance programs, comply with the pharmaceutical industry's voluntary compliance guidelines and the relevant compliance guidance promulgated by the federal government, or to track and report gifts, compensation and other remuneration provided to physicians and other health care providers, marketing expenditures and/or drug pricing, state and local laws that require the registration of pharmaceutical sales representatives and other federal, state and foreign laws that govern the privacy and security of health information or personally identifiable information in certain circumstances, including state health information privacy and data breach notification laws which govern the collection, use, disclosure, and protection of health-related and other personal information, many of which differ from each other in significant ways and often are not pre-empted by HIPAA, thus requiring additional compliance efforts.
We have entered into consulting and scientific advisory board arrangements with physicians and other healthcare providers, including some who could influence the use of our drug candidates, if approved. Because of the complex and far-reaching nature of these laws, regulatory agencies may view these transactions as prohibited arrangements that must be restructured, or discontinued, or for which we could be subject to other significant penalties. We could be adversely affected if regulatory agencies interpret our financial relationships with providers who may influence the ordering and use of our drug candidates, if approved, to be in violation of applicable laws.
The scope and enforcement of each of these laws is uncertain and subject to rapid change in the current environment of healthcare reform. Federal and state enforcement bodies have recently increased their scrutiny of interactions between healthcare companies and healthcare providers, which has led to a number of investigations, prosecutions, convictions and settlements in the healthcare industry. Responding to investigations can be time-and resource-consuming and can divert management's attention from the business. Any such investigation or settlement could increase our costs or otherwise have an adverse effect on our business.
Ensuring that our business arrangements with third parties comply with applicable healthcare laws and regulations will likely be costly. If our operations are found to be in violation of any of these laws or any other current or future governmental laws and regulations that may apply to us, we may be subject to significant civil, criminal and administrative penalties, damages, fines, disgorgement, imprisonment, exclusion from government funded healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, contractual damages, reputational harm, diminished profits and future earnings, additional reporting obligations and oversight if we become subject to a corporate integrity agreement or other agreement to resolve allegations of non-compliance with these laws, and the curtailment or restructuring of our operations, any of which could substantially disrupt our operations. If any of the physicians or other healthcare providers or entities with whom we expect to do business is found to be not in compliance with applicable laws, they may be subject to criminal, civil or administrative sanctions, including exclusions from government funded healthcare programs.
Regulation - Risk 2
We are subject to governmental export and import controls that could limit our ability to operate our business and subject us to liability if we are not in compliance with applicable laws.
We are subject to export control and import laws and regulations and various economic and trade sanctions regulations administered by the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Controls. Exports of our product candidates must be made in compliance with these laws and regulations. If we fail to comply with these laws and regulations, we and certain of our employees could be subject to substantial civil or criminal penalties, including the possible loss of export or import privileges; fines, which may be imposed on us and responsible employees or managers; and, in extreme cases, the incarceration of responsible employees or managers.
In addition, changes in our product candidates or changes in applicable export or import laws and regulations may create delays in the introduction or provision of our product candidates in other jurisdictions, prevent others from using our product candidates or, in some cases, prevent the export or import of our product candidates to certain countries, governments or persons altogether. Any limitation on our ability to export or provide our product candidates could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. U.S. or other jurisdictions' sanctions that may be imposed as a result of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine may impact our ability to continue activities. For example, in 2022, we determined to close trial sites located in Ukraine and Russia due to the Russian invasion in Ukraine for our NATiV3 trial, which, together with higher than originally projected screen failure rate resulting in slower than anticipated enrollment rate, contributed to a delay in patient enrollment.
Regulation - Risk 3
As a foreign private issuer, we are exempt from a number of rules under the U.S. securities laws and are permitted to file less information with the SEC than a U.S. company. This may limit the information available to holders of ordinary shares or ADSs.
We are a foreign private issuer, as defined in the SEC's rules and regulations and, consequently, we are not subject to all of the disclosure requirements applicable to public companies organized within the United States. For example, we are exempt from certain rules under the Exchange Act that regulate disclosure obligations and procedural requirements related to the solicitation of proxies, consents or authorizations applicable to a security registered under the Exchange Act, including the U.S. proxy rules under Section 14 of the Exchange Act. In addition, our officers and directors are exempt from the reporting and "short-swing" profit recovery provisions of Section 16 of the Exchange Act and related rules with respect to their purchases and sales of our securities. Moreover, while we currently make annual and semi-annual filings with respect to our listing on Euronext Paris and file financial reports on an annual and semi-annual basis, we are not required to file periodic reports and financial statements with the SEC as frequently or as promptly as U.S. domestic issuers and are not required to file quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or current reports on Form 8-K under the Exchange Act. Accordingly, there is, and will continue to be, less publicly available information concerning our company than there would be if we were not a foreign private issuer.
Regulation - Risk 4
Even if we receive regulatory approval for any of our product candidates, we will be subject to ongoing obligations and continued regulatory review, which may result in significant additional expense. Additionally, our product candidates, if approved, could be subject to labeling and other restrictions and market withdrawal and we may be subject to penalties if we fail to comply with regulatory requirements or experience unanticipated problems with our products.
Any regulatory approvals that we receive for our product candidates may also be subject to limitations on the approved indicated uses for which the product may be marketed or to the conditions of approval, or contain requirements for potentially costly post-marketing testing, including Phase IV clinical trials, and surveillance to monitor the safety and efficacy of the product candidate, and we may be required to include labeling that includes significant use or distribution restrictions or significant safety warnings, including boxed warnings. For example, in the first quarter of 2024, following a routine visit in our NATiV3 clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH, a SUSAR of elevated aminotransferases in liver tests in a patient enrolled in the trial was reported. Other milder cases of elevation of aminotransferases among trial participants have also been reported. A potential regulatory approval for lanifibranor may be conditioned upon frequent liver monitoring of patients or other conditions, restrictions or exclusions, which would be a competitive disadvantage against other drugs that would not have such monitoring requirement or other conditions or restrictions.
If the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or any other comparable regulatory authority approves any of our product candidates, the manufacturing processes, labeling, packaging, distribution, adverse event reporting, storage, advertising, promotion and recordkeeping for the product will be subject to extensive and ongoing regulatory requirements. These requirements include submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports, registration requirements and continued compliance with current good manufacturing practices, or cGMPs, and good clinical practices, or GCPs, for any clinical trials that we conduct post-approval. Later discovery of previously unknown problems with a product, including adverse events of unanticipated severity or frequency, or with our third-party manufacturers or manufacturing processes, or failure to comply with regulatory requirements, may result in, among other things:
- restrictions on the marketing or manufacturing of the product, withdrawal of the product from the market, or voluntary product recalls;- fines, untitled or warning letters or holds on clinical trials;- refusal by the FDA, the EMA, NMPA or any other comparable regulatory authority to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications filed by us, or suspension or revocation of product approvals;- product seizure or detention, or refusal to permit the import or export of products; and - injunctions or the imposition of civil or criminal penalties.
Moreover, if any of our product candidates are approved, our product labeling, advertising and promotion will be subject to regulatory requirements and continuing regulatory review. The FDA strictly regulates the promotional claims that may be made about drug products. In particular, a product may not be promoted for uses that are not approved by the FDA as reflected in the product's approved labeling.
Any government investigation of alleged violations of law could require us to expend significant time and resources in response and could generate negative publicity. The occurrence of any event or penalty described above may inhibit our or our partners' ability to develop or commercialize lanifibranor or other product candidates, and harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In addition, the policies of the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA and other comparable regulatory authorities may change and additional government regulations may be enacted that could prevent, limit or delay regulatory approval of our product candidates. If we are slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, or if we are not able to maintain regulatory compliance, we may lose any marketing approval that we may have obtained, which would adversely affect our business, prospects and ability to achieve or sustain profitability.
Regulation - Risk 5
The regulatory approval processes of the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA and other comparable regulatory authorities are lengthy, time consuming and inherently unpredictable, and if we are ultimately unable to obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates, our business will be substantially harmed.
The time required to obtain approval by the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA and other comparable regulatory authorities is unpredictable but typically takes many years following the commencement of clinical trials and depends upon numerous factors, including the substantial discretion of the regulatory authorities. In addition, approval policies, regulations, or the type and amount of clinical data necessary to gain approval may change during the course of a product candidate's clinical development and may vary among jurisdictions.
Although the FDA may accept data from clinical trials conducted outside the United States, acceptance of this data is subject to certain conditions imposed by the FDA. Furthermore, while these clinical trials are subject to applicable local laws, FDA acceptance of the data will be dependent upon its determination that the trials also comply with all applicable U.S. laws and regulations. There can be no assurance that the FDA will accept data from trials conducted outside of the United States. If the FDA does not accept the data from any clinical trials that we or our partners conduct outside the United States, it would likely result in the need for additional clinical trials, which would be costly and time-consuming and delay or permanently halt our ability to develop and market these or other product candidates in the United States. We have not obtained regulatory approval for any product candidate and it is possible that none of our existing product candidates or any product candidates we may seek to develop in the future will ever obtain regulatory approval.
Our product candidates could fail to receive regulatory approval for many reasons, including the following:
- the FDA, the EMA or other comparable regulatory authorities may disagree with the design or implementation of our clinical trials, including the changes to our clinical development plan for lanifibranor for the treatment of NASH, as announced in January 2023;- we or our partners may be unable to demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities that a product candidate is safe and effective for its proposed indication;- the results of clinical trials may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities for approval;- we or our partners may be unable to demonstrate that a product candidate's clinical and other benefits outweigh its safety risks;- the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities may disagree with our or our partners' interpretation of data from pre-clinical studies or clinical trials;- the data collected from clinical trials of our product candidates may not be sufficient to support the submission of an NDA or other submission or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States, Europe or elsewhere;- the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities may fail to approve the manufacturing processes or facilities of third-party manufacturers with which we contract for clinical and commercial supplies or such processes or facilities may not pass a pre-approval inspection; and the approval policies or regulations of the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authorities may change or differ from one another significantly in a manner rendering our clinical data insufficient for approval.
This lengthy approval process as well as the unpredictability of future clinical trial results may result in our or our partners' failure to obtain regulatory approval to market lanifibranor and/or other product candidates, which would harm our business, results of operations and prospects significantly. In addition, even if we were to obtain approval, regulatory authorities may approve any of our product candidates for fewer or more limited indications than we request, may grant approval contingent on the performance of costly post-marketing clinical trials, or may approve a product candidate with a label that does not include the labeling claims necessary or desirable for the successful commercialization of that product candidate. In certain jurisdictions, regulatory authorities may not approve the price we intend to charge for our products. Any of the foregoing scenarios could materially harm the commercial prospects for our product candidates.
We have not previously submitted an NDA, an MAA, or any similar drug approval filing to the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or any comparable regulatory authority for any product candidate, and we cannot be certain that any of our product candidates will be successful in clinical trials or receive regulatory approval. Further, our product candidates may not receive regulatory approval even if they are successful in clinical trials. Even if we successfully obtain regulatory approvals to market one or more of our product candidates, our revenues will be dependent, to a significant extent, upon the size of the markets in the territories for which we gain regulatory approval and have commercial rights or share in revenues from the exercise of such rights. If the markets for patient subsets that we are targeting are not as significant as we estimate, we may not generate significant revenues from sales of such products, if approved.
Regulation - Risk 6
Changes in healthcare law and implementing regulations, as well as changes in healthcare policy, may impact our business in ways that we cannot currently predict, and may have a significant adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
In the United States and some foreign jurisdictions, there have been, and continue to be, several legislative and regulatory changes and proposed changes regarding the healthcare system that could prevent or delay marketing approval of drug candidates, restrict or regulate post-approval activities, and affect our ability to profitably sell any drug candidates for which we obtain marketing approval. Among policy makers and payors in the United States and elsewhere, including in the European Union, there is significant interest in promoting changes in healthcare systems with the stated goals of containing healthcare costs, improving quality and/or expanding access. In the United States, the pharmaceutical industry has been a particular focus of these efforts and has been significantly affected by major legislative initiatives.
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010, or collectively the Affordable Care Act, substantially changed the way healthcare is financed by both the government and private insurers, and significantly impacts the U.S. pharmaceutical industry. The Affordable Care Act, among other things: (1) increased the minimum Medicaid rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program and expanded rebate liability from fee-for-service Medicaid utilization to include the utilization of Medicaid managed care organizations as well; (2) established a branded prescription drug fee that pharmaceutical manufacturers of branded prescription drugs must pay to the federal government; (3) expanded the list of covered entities eligible to participate in the 340B drug pricing program by adding new entities to the program; (4) established a new Medicare Part D coverage gap discount program, in which manufacturers must agree to offer 70% point-of-sale discounts off negotiated prices of applicable brand drugs to eligible beneficiaries during their coverage gap period, as a condition for the manufacturer's outpatient drugs to be covered under Medicare Part D; (5) extended manufacturers' Medicaid rebate liability to covered drugs dispensed to individuals who are enrolled in Medicaid managed care organizations; (6) expanded eligibility criteria for Medicaid programs by, among other things, allowing states to offer Medicaid coverage to additional individuals and by adding new mandatory eligibility categories for individuals with income at or below 133% of the federal poverty level, thereby potentially increasing manufacturers' Medicaid rebate liability; (7) created a new methodology by which rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program are calculated for certain drugs and biologics, including our product candidates, that are inhaled, infused, instilled, implanted or injected; (8) established a new Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute to oversee, identify priorities in, and conduct comparative clinical effectiveness research, along with funding for such research; (9) established a Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, or CMS, to test innovative payment and service delivery models to lower Medicare and Medicaid spending, potentially including prescription drug spending; and (10) created a licensure framework for follow-on biologic products. There have been judicial, Congressional, and executive branch challenges to certain aspects of the Affordable Care Act. In addition, there have been a number of health reform measures by the Biden administration that have impacted the Affordable Care Act. For example, on August 16, 2022, President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, or IRA, into law, which among other things, extends enhanced subsidies for individuals purchasing health insurance coverage in Affordable Care Act marketplaces through plan year 2025. The IRA also eliminates the "donut hole" under the Medicare Part D program beginning in 2025 by significantly lowering the beneficiary maximum out-of-pocket cost and creating a new manufacturer discount program. It is possible that the Affordable Care Act will be subject to judicial or Congressional challenges in the future. It is unclear how such challenges and the healthcare reform measures of the Biden administration will impact the Affordable Care Act and our business. We continue to evaluate the Affordable Care Act and its possible repeal and replacement, as the extent to which any such changes may impact our business or financial condition remains uncertain.
Other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted since the Affordable Care Act was enacted. These changes include aggregate reductions to Medicare payments to providers of up to 2% per fiscal year pursuant to the Budget Control Act of 2011 and subsequent laws, which began in 2013 and, due to subsequent legislative amendments to the statute, including the BBA, and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, will remain in effect until 2032 unless additional Congressional action is taken. Additionally, on March 11, 2021, President Biden signed the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 into law, which eliminates the statutory Medicaid drug rebate cap, currently set at 100% of a drug's average manufacturer price, for single source and innovator multiple source drugs, beginning January 1, 2024. New laws may result in additional reductions in Medicare and other healthcare funding, which may adversely affect customer demand and affordability for our products and, accordingly, the results of our financial operations.
Also, there has been heightened governmental scrutiny recently over the manner in which drug manufacturers set prices for their marketed products, which has resulted in several Congressional inquiries and proposed and enacted federal and state legislation designed to, among other things, bring more transparency to product pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs, and reform government program reimbursement methodologies for drug products. For example, at the federal level, in July 2021, the Biden administration released an executive order, "Promoting Competition in the American Economy," with multiple provisions aimed at prescription drugs. In response to Biden's executive order, on September 9, 2021, HHS released a Comprehensive Plan for Addressing High Drug Prices that outlines principles for drug pricing reform and sets out a variety of potential legislative policies that Congress could pursue as well as potential administrative actions HHS can take to advance these principles. In addition, the IRA, among other things, (1) directs HHS to negotiate the price of certain single-source drugs and biologics covered under Medicare and (2) imposes rebates under Medicare Part B and Medicare Part D to penalize price increases that outpace inflation. These provisions take effect progressively starting in fiscal year 2023. On August 29, 2023, HHS announced the list of the first ten drugs that will be subject to price negotiations, although the Medicare drug price negotiation program is currently subject to legal challenges. It is currently unclear how the IRA will be implemented but is likely to have a significant impact on the pharmaceutical industry. In response to the Biden administration's October 2022 executive order, on February 14, 2023, HHS released a report outlining three new models for testing by the CMS Innovation Center which will be evaluated on their ability to lower the cost of drugs, promote accessibility, and improve quality of care. It is unclear whether the models will be utilized in any health reform measures in the future. Further, on December 7, 2023, the Biden administration announced an initiative to control the price of prescription drugs through the use of march-in rights under the Bayh-Dole Act. On December 8, 2023, the National Institute of Standards and Technology published for comment a Draft Interagency Guidance Framework for Considering the Exercise of March-In Rights which for the first time includes the price of a product as one factor an agency can use when deciding to exercise march-in rights. While march-in rights have not previously been exercised, it is uncertain if that will continue under the new framework.
At the state level, legislatures have increasingly passed legislation and implemented regulations designed to control pharmaceutical and biological product pricing, including price or patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other countries and bulk purchasing. For example, since 2016, Vermont requires certain manufacturers identified by the state to justify their price increases. Further, on January 5, 2024, the FDA approved Florida's Section 804 Importation Program (SIP) proposal to import certain drugs from Canada for specific state healthcare programs. It is unclear how this program will be implemented, including which drugs will be chosen, and whether it will be subject to legal challenges in the United States or Canada. Other states have also submitted SIP proposals that are pending review by the FDA.
We expect that these and other healthcare reform measures that may be adopted in the future, may result in more rigorous coverage criteria and lower reimbursement, and in additional downward pressure on the price that we receive for any approved product. Any reduction in reimbursement from Medicare or other government-funded programs may result in a similar reduction in payments from private payors. The implementation of cost containment measures or other healthcare reforms may prevent us from being able to generate revenue, attain profitability or commercialize our drugs, once marketing approval is obtained. We cannot predict what healthcare reform initiatives may be adopted in the future. However, it is possible that there will be further legislation or regulation that could harm the business, financial condition and results of operations.
In the European Union, coverage and reimbursement status of any drug candidates for which we obtain regulatory approval are provided for by the national laws of EU Member States. The requirements may differ across the EU Member States. Also at the national level, actions have been taken to enact transparency laws regarding payments between pharmaceutical companies and health care professionals.
Regulation - Risk 7
The EMA, FDA, NMPA and other regulatory agencies actively enforce the laws and regulations prohibiting the promotion of drugs for off-label uses. If we or our partners are found to have improperly promoted off-label use, we may become subject to significant liability.
The EMA, the FDA, the NMPA and other regulatory agencies strictly regulate the promotional claims that may be made about prescription drug products, such as our product candidates, if approved. In particular, a product may not be promoted for uses that are not approved by the EMA, the FDA, the NMPA or such other regulatory agencies as reflected in the product's approved labeling. For example, if we receive marketing approval for lanifibranor for NASH, physicians, in their professional medical judgment, may nevertheless prescribe the drug product to their patients in a manner that is inconsistent with the approved label. If we are found to have promoted such off-label use, we may become subject to significant liability under the U.S. Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act and other statutory authorities, such as laws prohibiting false claims for reimbursement. The federal government has levied large civil and criminal fines against companies for alleged improper promotion and has enjoined several companies from engaging in off-label promotion. The FDA has also requested that companies enter into consent decrees or permanent injunctions under which specified promotional conduct is changed or curtailed. If we or our partners cannot successfully manage the promotion of our products, if approved, we could become subject to significant liability, which would harm our reputation and negatively impact our financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 8
Even if we obtain and maintain approval for our current and future product candidates from the FDA, we or our partners may nevertheless be unable to obtain approval for our product candidates outside of the United States, which would limit our market opportunities and could harm our business.
Approval of a product candidate in the United States by the FDA does not ensure approval of such product candidate by regulatory authorities in other countries or jurisdictions, and approval by one foreign regulatory authority does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other foreign countries or by the FDA. If approved, sales of lanifibranor and any future product candidate outside of the United States will be subject to foreign regulatory requirements governing clinical trials and marketing approval. Even if the FDA grants marketing approval for a product candidate, comparable regulatory authorities of foreign countries also must approve the manufacturing and marketing of the product candidate in those countries. Approval procedures vary among jurisdictions and can involve requirements and administrative review periods different from, and more onerous than, those in the United States, including additional pre-clinical studies or clinical trials. In many countries outside the United States, a product candidate must be approved for reimbursement before it can be approved for sale in that country. In some cases, the price that we or our partners intend to charge for any product candidates, if approved, is also subject to approval. Obtaining approval for lanifibranor or any future product candidate in the European Union from the European Commission following the opinion of the EMA or in other foreign jurisdictions, if we or our partners choose to submit a marketing authorization application there, would be a lengthy and expensive process. Even if a product candidate is approved, the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other foreign regulatory authorities, as the case may be, may limit the indications for which the drug may be marketed, require extensive warnings on the drug labeling or require expensive and time-consuming additional clinical trials or reporting as conditions of approval.
Obtaining foreign regulatory approvals and compliance with foreign regulatory requirements could result in significant delays, difficulties and costs for us or our partners and could delay or prevent the introduction of lanifibranor or any future product candidate in certain countries.
Further, clinical trials conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries. Also, regulatory approval for lanifibranor or any future product candidate may be withdrawn. If we or our partners fail to comply with the regulatory requirements, our target market will be reduced and our ability to realize the full market potential of lanifibranor or any future product candidate will be negatively impacted, and our or our partners' business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations could be harmed.
Regulation - Risk 9
Changed
We may seek accelerated approval from the FDA and conditional authorization from EMA if our NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH is successful at the 72-week endpoint but, even if granted, accelerated approval and conditional authorization require completion of the trial to obtain full approval.
If the data from our ongoing NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial of lanifibranor in NASH are positive, we intend to seek approval under the FDA's accelerated approval pathway and the EMA's conditional authorization pathway. A product may be eligible for accelerated approval if it treats a serious or life-threatening condition, generally provides a meaningful advantage over available therapies and demonstrates an effect on a surrogate endpoint that is reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit. As a condition of approval, the FDA may require that a sponsor of a product receiving accelerated approval perform adequate and well-controlled post-marketing clinical trials. These confirmatory trials must be completed with due diligence. In addition, the FDA currently requires as a condition for accelerated approval pre-approval of promotional materials, which could adversely impact the timing of the commercial launch of the product. Even if we do receive accelerated approval or conditional authorization, we may not experience a faster development or regulatory review or approval process, and receiving accelerated approval does not provide assurance of ultimate full FDA or EMA approval.
Regulation - Risk 10
Changed
We are subject to stringent and changing U.S. and foreign laws, regulations, and rules, contractual obligations, industry standards, policies and other obligations related to privacy, data security, and data protection. Our actual or perceived failure to comply with such obligations could lead to regulatory investigations or actions; litigation (including class claims) and mass arbitration demands; fines and penalties; disruptions of our business operations; reputational harm; loss of revenue or profits; loss of customers or sales; and other adverse business consequences.
In the ordinary course of business, we collect, receive, store, process, generate, use, transfer, disclose, make accessible, protect, secure, dispose of, transmit, and share (collectively, processing) proprietary, confidential and sensitive data, including personal data (such as health-related data), proprietary and confidential business data, trade secrets, intellectual property, data we collect about trial participants in connection with clinical trials, and sensitive third-party data (collectively, sensitive information). Our data processing activities subject us to numerous data privacy, data security, and data protection obligations, such as various laws, regulations, guidance, industry standards, external and internal privacy and security policies, contracts, and other obligations relating to data privacy and security.
In the United States, federal, state, and local governments have enacted numerous data privacy and security laws, including federal health information privacy laws, state data breach notification laws, state health information privacy laws, consumer protection laws (e.g., Section 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act) and other similar laws (e.g., wiretapping laws). In the past few years, numerous U.S. states-including California, Virginia, Colorado, Connecticut, and Utah-have enacted comprehensive privacy laws that impose certain obligations on covered businesses, including providing specific disclosures in privacy notices and affording residents with certain rights concerning their personal data. As applicable, such rights may include the right to access, correct, or delete certain personal data, and to opt-out of certain data processing activities, such as targeted advertising, profiling, and automated decision-making. The exercise of these rights may impact our business and ability to provide our products and services. Certain states also impose stricter requirements for processing certain personal data, including sensitive information, such as conducting data privacy impact assessments. These state laws allow for statutory fines for noncompliance. For example, the California Consumer Privacy Act of 2018, as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act of 2020, or CPRA, or collectively the CCPA, applies to personal data of consumers, business representatives, and employees who are California residents, and requires businesses to provide specific disclosures in privacy notices and honor requests of such individuals to exercise certain privacy rights. The CCPA provides for fines for noncompliance (up to $7,500 per intentional violation) and allows private litigants affected by certain data breaches to recover significant statutory damages. Similar comprehensive privacy laws have been passed or are being considered in several other states, as well as at the federal and local levels, and we expect more states to pass similar laws in the future. Although the CCPA and other states exempt some data processed in the context of clinical trials as well as protected health information under the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, or HIPAA, these developments may further complicate compliance efforts and may increase legal risk and compliance costs for us and the third parties upon whom we rely.
In addition, we obtain certain information from third parties (including research institutions from which we obtain clinical trial data) that is subject to privacy and security requirements under HIPAA, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act of 2009, or HITECH. HIPAA imposes specific requirements relating to the privacy, security, and transmission of individually identifiable health information. See "-Our current and future operations are subject to applicable fraud and abuse, transparency, government price reporting, and other healthcare laws and regulations. If we are unable to comply, or have not fully complied, with such laws, we could face substantial penalties."
Outside the United States, an increasing number of laws, regulations, and industry standards govern data privacy and security. For example, the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation ("EU GDPR"), the United Kingdom's GDPR ("UK GDPR"), Brazil's General Data Protection Law (Lei Geral de Proteção de Dados Pessoais, or "LGPD") (Law No. 13,709/2018), and China's Personal Information Protection Law ("PIPL") impose strict requirements for processing personal data.
The European Union's and United Kingdom's implementation of Regulation (EU) 2016/679, known as the General Data Protection Regulation, or the EU and UK GDPR, as well as EU Member States' and the United Kingdom's implementing national legislations, apply to the collection and processing of personal data, including health-related information, by companies located in the European Economic Area, or EEA or the United Kingdom. In certain circumstances, the EU and UK GDPR also apply to companies located outside of the EEA or United Kingdom and processing personal data of individuals located in the EEA or United Kingdom.
These laws impose strict obligations on the ability to process personal data, including health-related information. These include, amongst others, requirements relating to (1) limiting the processing of personal data to only what is necessary for a specified, explicit and legitimate purpose, (2) obtaining a legal basis for the processing of personal data, (3) obtaining, in some situations, the consent of the individuals to whom the personal data relates, (4) the information provided to the individuals about how their personal data is used, (5) ensuring the security and confidentiality of the personal data by implementing and maintaining appropriate technical and organizational safeguards, (6) the obligation to notify, in certain circumstances, regulatory authorities and affected individuals of personal data breaches, (7) extensive internal privacy governance obligations, (8) obligations to honor rights of individuals in relation to their personal data (for example, the right to access, correct and delete their data), and (9) meeting the exceptions under applicable laws to process health-related information. The EU and UK GDPR impose strict rules on the transfer of personal data outside of the EEA or the United Kingdom respectively, to countries which are deemed to have inadequate levels of data protection safeguards in place, such as the United States. There are currently various mechanisms that may be used to transfer personal data from the EEA and UK to other countries, including the United States, in compliance with law, such as the EEA Standard Contractual Clauses, or SCCs, the UK's International Data Transfer Agreement/Addendum and the EU-U.S. Data Privacy Framework and the UK extension thereto (which allows for transfers to relevant U.S.-based organizations who self-certify compliance and participate in the Framework). Currently, these mechanisms are subject to legal challenges, and there is no assurance that we can satisfy or rely on these or other mechanisms to lawfully transfer personal data to the United States. In addition, Switzerland similarly restricts personal data transfers outside of those jurisdictions to countries that do not provide an adequate level of personal data protection. If we cannot implement a valid compliance mechanism for cross-border data transfers or if the requirements for a legally-compliant transfer are too onerous, we may face increased exposure to regulatory actions, substantial fines, injunctions against processing or transferring personal data from Europe or other foreign jurisdictions, and the interruption or degradation of our operations. The inability to export personal data to the United States could significantly and negatively impact our business operations, including by limiting our ability to collaborate with parties that are subject to such cross-border data transfer or localization laws; or requiring us to increase our personal data processing capabilities and infrastructure in foreign jurisdictions at significant expense. Some European regulators have prevented companies from transferring personal data out of Europe for allegedly violating the GDPR's cross-border data transfer limitations.
As we are established in France, our conduct of clinical trials is subject to specific provisions of the Act No. 78-17 of 6 January 1978 on Information Technology, Data Files and Civil Liberties, as amended, and in particular Section 3 of the Chapter III of the Title II relating to the processing of personal data in the health sector. These provisions require, among others, the filing of compliance undertakings with "standard methodologies" adopted by the French Data Protection Authority, or CNIL, or, if not complying, obtaining a specific authorization from the CNIL.
In addition to data privacy and security laws, we are contractually subject to industry standards adopted by industry groups and, we are, or may become subject to such obligations in the future. We are also bound by contractual obligations related to data privacy and security, and our efforts to comply with such obligations may not be successful. For example, certain privacy laws, such as the GDPR and the CCPA, require our customers to impose specific contractual restrictions on their service providers. Our contracts may not contain limitations of liability, and even where they do, there can be no assurance that limitations of liability in our contracts are sufficient to protect us from liabilities, damages, or claims related to our data privacy and security obligations.
Potential pecuniary fines for noncompliance with the EU and UK GDPR include fines of up to the greater of €20 million/£17.5 million or 4% of the total worldwide annual turnover of the preceding financial year. In addition to administrative fines, a wide variety of other potential enforcement powers are available to competent supervisory authorities to investigate potential and suspected violations of the EU and UK GDPR, including audit and inspection rights, and powers to impose a temporary or definitive limitation, including a ban on processing of personal data. The EU and UK GDPR also confer a right of action on data subjects to lodge complaints with supervisory authorities and obtain compensation for damages resulting from non-compliance with the EU or UK GDPR. Under the EU GDPR, companies may face private litigation related to processing of personal data brought by classes of data subjects or consumer protection organizations authorized at law to represent their interests. The EU and UK GDPR have increased our responsibility and liability in relation to personal data that we process, and we may be required to put in place additional potential mechanisms to ensure compliance with the EU and UK data protection rules.
We publish privacy policies, marketing materials and other statements regarding data privacy and security. If these policies, materials or statements are found to be deficient, lacking in transparency, deceptive, unfair, or misrepresentative of our practices, we may be subject to investigation, enforcement actions by regulators or other adverse consequences.
Obligations related to data privacy and security (and consumers' data privacy expectations) are quickly changing, becoming increasingly stringent, and creating uncertainty. Additionally, these obligations may be subject to differing applications and interpretations, which may be inconsistent or conflict among jurisdictions. Compliance with data privacy and security obligations requires us to devote significant resources, which may necessitate changes to our services, information technologies, systems, and practices and to those of any third parties that process personal data on our behalf.
We may at times fail (or be perceived to have failed) in our efforts to comply with our data privacy and security obligations. Moreover, despite our efforts, our personnel or third parties on whom we rely may fail to comply with such obligations, which could negatively impact our business operations. If we or the third parties on which we rely fail, or are perceived to have failed, to address or comply with applicable data privacy and security obligations, we could face significant consequences, including but not limited to: government enforcement actions (which could include civil, criminal and administrative penalties, investigations, penalties, audits, inspections, and similar), private litigation (including class action claims) and mass arbitration demands, adverse publicity, additional reporting requirements and/or oversight; bans on processing personal data, orders to destroy or not use personal data, and imprisonment of company officials. In particular, plaintiffs have become increasingly more active in bringing privacy-related claims against companies, including class claims and mass arbitration demands. Some of these claims allow for the recovery of statutory damages on a per violation basis, and, if viable, carry the potential for monumental statutory damages, depending on the volume of data and the number of violations. Any of these events could have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, or financial condition, including but not limited to: loss of customers; interruptions or stoppages in our business operations (including our clinical trials); inability to process personal data or to operate in certain jurisdictions; limited ability to develop or commercialize our products; expenditure of time and resources to defend any claim or inquiry; adverse publicity; or substantial changes to our business model or operations.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 1.2%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
If product liability lawsuits are brought against us, we may incur substantial liabilities and may be required to limit commercialization of any of our product candidates, if approved.
We face an inherent risk of product liability as a result of the clinical testing of our product candidates and will face an even greater risk if we commercialize any products. For example, we may be sued if any product we develop allegedly causes injury or is found to be otherwise unsuitable during product testing, manufacturing, marketing or sale. Any such product liability claims may include allegations of defects in manufacturing, defects in design, a failure to warn of dangers inherent in the product, negligence, strict liability and a breach of warranties. Physicians and patients may not comply with any warnings that identify known potential adverse effects and patients who should not use our products. Claims could also be asserted under state consumer protection acts. If we cannot successfully defend ourselves against product liability claims, we may incur substantial liabilities or be required to stop development or, if approved, limit commercialization of our product candidates. Even successful defense would require significant financial and management resources. Regardless of the merits or eventual outcome, liability claims may result in:
- delay or termination of clinical trials;- injury to our reputation;- withdrawal of clinical trial participants;- initiation of investigations by regulators;- costs to defend the related litigation;- a diversion of management's time and our resources;- substantial monetary awards to trial participants or patients;- decreased demand for our product candidates;- product recalls, withdrawals or labeling, marketing or promotional restrictions;- loss of revenues from product sales; and - the inability to commercialize any of our product candidates, if approved.
Our inability to obtain and retain sufficient product liability insurance at an acceptable cost to protect against potential product liability claims could prevent or inhibit the development or commercialization of our product candidates. We currently carry clinical trial liability insurance at levels which we believe are appropriate for our clinical trials. Although we maintain such insurance, any claim that may be brought against us could result in a court judgment or settlement in an amount that is not covered, in whole or in part, by our insurance or that is in excess of the limits of our insurance coverage. Our insurance policies also have various exclusions, and we may be subject to a product liability claim for which we have no coverage. We will have to pay any amounts awarded by a court or negotiated in a settlement that exceed our coverage limitations or that are not covered by our insurance, and we may not have, or be able to obtain, sufficient capital to pay such amounts.
Taxation & Government Incentives1 | 1.2%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
If we are unable to use tax loss carryforwards and/or tax credits to reduce future taxable income or benefit from favorable tax legislation, our business, results of operations and financial condition may be adversely affected.
At December 31, 2023, we had cumulative carry forward tax losses of €377.6 million in France. These are available to carry forward and offset against future taxable income for an indefinite period in France. If we are unable to use tax loss carryforwards to reduce future taxable income, our business, results of operations and financial condition may be adversely affected. In France, the use of these carry forward tax losses is capped at €1 million annually, plus 50% of the fraction of profits exceeding this limit. The unutilized balance of these tax losses can be carried forward to subsequent years and set-off under the same conditions without any time limits. However, it is possible that future fiscal changes could limit our ability to utilize the balance of any tax loses, which could adversely affect our results.
As a company active in research and development in France, we have benefited from certain research and development incentives including, for example, the French research tax credit (credit d'impôt recherche), or CIR. These tax credits can be used to offset French corporate income tax due. The excess portion beyond that used to offset corporate income tax due is generally refunded in cash at the end of a three-year fiscal period; however, as long as we are considered a small or medium-sized entity (petite ou moyenne entreprise) in France, the CIR tax credit is refundable in the fiscal year after it is generated, provided that we comply with eligibility requirements. The research and development incentives are calculated based on the amount of eligible research and development expenditures. The French CIR tax credit amounted to €5.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2023.
In addition, the French tax authorities have audited in the past, and may again audit in the future, research and development programs in respect of which a tax credit has been claimed in order to assess whether it qualifies for the tax credit regime. The tax authorities may challenge our eligibility for, or our calculation of, certain tax reductions and/or deductions in respect of our research and development activities and expenditures, and should the French tax authorities be successful, we may be liable for additional corporate income tax, and penalties and interest related thereto, which could have a significant impact on our results of operations and future cash flows.
For example, on July 29, 2017, we received a proposed accounting adjustment from the tax authorities, which contests certain elements of the calculation of the CIR from which we benefited in respect of the 2013, 2014 and 2015 financial years. Following receipt of a proposed settlement in respect of the tax disputes relating to the CIR in respect of the 2013 to 2015 financial years, we accepted this proposal and the expenses to be paid have been settled.
Furthermore, if the French government decides to eliminate, or reduce the scope or the rate of, the research and development incentive benefit, either of which it could decide to do at any time, our results of operations could be adversely affected. Moreover, the tax authorities may reconsider the methods used by us to calculate research and development expenditure in order to determine the amount of the tax credit.
Environmental / Social1 | 1.2%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
We could be subject to liabilities under environmental, health and safety laws or regulations, or fines, penalties or other sanctions, if we fail to comply with such laws or regulations or otherwise incur costs that could have a material adverse effect on the success of our business.
We are subject to numerous French and U.S. federal, state, local and foreign environmental, health and safety laws, regulations, and permitting requirements, including those governing laboratory procedures, decontamination activities and the handling, transportation, use, remediation, storage, treatment and disposal of hazardous materials and wastes. Our operations involve the use of hazardous and flammable materials, including chemicals, radioactive isotopes and biological materials and produce hazardous waste products. We generally contract with third parties for the disposal of these materials and wastes. We cannot eliminate the risk of contamination or injury from these materials or wastes either at our sites or at third party disposal sites. In the event of such contamination or injury, we could be held liable for any resulting damages, and any liability could exceed our resources. We also could incur significant costs associated with civil or criminal fines and penalties. Although we maintain workers' compensation insurance to cover us for costs and expenses we may incur due to injuries to our employees resulting from the use of hazardous materials or other work-related injuries, this insurance may not provide adequate coverage against potential liabilities.
In addition, we may incur substantial costs in order to comply with current or future environmental, health and safety laws, regulations or permitting requirements. These current or future laws, regulations and permitting requirements may impair our research, development or production efforts. Failure to comply with these laws, regulations and permitting requirements also may result in substantial fines, penalties or other sanctions.
Production
Total Risks: 7/83 (8%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing2 | 2.4%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
We may not be able to conduct, or contract others to conduct, animal testing in the future, which could harm our research and development activities.
Certain laws and regulations relating to drug development require us to test our product candidates on animals before initiating clinical trials involving humans. Animal testing activities have been the subject of controversy and adverse publicity. Animal rights groups and other organizations and individuals have attempted to stop animal testing activities by pressing for legislation and regulation in these areas and by disrupting these activities through protests and other means. To the extent the activities of these groups are successful, our research and development activities may be interrupted or delayed.
Manufacturing - Risk 2
Manufacturing issues may arise that could increase product and regulatory approval costs or delay commercialization of our products.
As the manufacturing processes are scaled up they may reveal manufacturing challenges or previously unknown impurities that could require resolution in order to proceed with our planned clinical trials and obtain regulatory approval for the commercial marketing of our products. In the future, we may identify manufacturing issues or impurities that could result in delays in the clinical program and regulatory approval for our products, increases in our operating expenses, or failure to obtain or maintain approval for our products. Our reliance on third-party manufacturers entails risks, including the following:
- the inability to meet our product specifications, including product formulation, and quality requirements consistently;- a delay or inability to procure or expand sufficient manufacturing capacity;- manufacturing and product quality issues, including those related to scale-up of manufacturing;- costs and validation of new equipment and facilities required for scale-up;- a failure to comply with cGMP and similar quality standards;- the inability to negotiate manufacturing agreements with third parties under commercially reasonable terms;- termination or nonrenewal of manufacturing agreements with third parties in a manner or at a time that is costly or damaging to us;- the reliance on a limited number of sources, and in some cases, single sources for key materials, such that if we are unable to secure a sufficient supply of these key materials, we will be unable to manufacture and sell our product candidates in a timely fashion, in sufficient quantities or under acceptable terms;- the lack of qualified backup suppliers for those materials that are currently purchased from a sole or single source supplier;- operations of our third-party manufacturers or suppliers could be disrupted by conditions unrelated to our business or operations, including the bankruptcy of the manufacturer or supplier;- disruption of the distribution of chemical supplies between the U.K. and E.U.;- carrier disruptions or increased costs that are beyond our control; and - the failure to deliver our products under specified storage conditions and in a timely manner.
Any of these events could lead to delays in any clinical study we may undertake, failure to obtain regulatory approval or impact our ability to successfully commercialize any product candidates. Some of these events could be the basis for FDA or other regulatory authorities' action, including injunction, recall, seizure, or total or partial suspension of production.
Employment / Personnel2 | 2.4%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Risks from the improper conduct of employees, agents, contractors, or partners could adversely affect our reputation and our business, prospects, operating results, and financial condition.
We cannot ensure that our compliance controls, policies, and procedures will in every instance protect us from acts committed by our employees, agents, contractors, or partners that would violate the laws or regulations of the jurisdictions in which we operate, including, without limitation, healthcare, employment, foreign corrupt practices, environmental, competition, and patient privacy and other privacy laws and regulations. Such improper actions could subject us to civil or criminal investigations, and monetary and injunctive penalties, and could adversely impact our ability to conduct business, operating results, and reputation.
In particular, our business activities may be subject to the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, or FCPA, and similar anti-bribery or anti-corruption laws, regulations or rules of other countries in which we operate, including the U.K. Bribery Act. The FCPA generally prohibits offering, promising, giving, or authorizing others to give anything of value, either directly or indirectly, to a non-U.S. government official in order to influence official action, or otherwise obtain or retain business. The FCPA also requires public companies to make and keep books and records that accurately and fairly reflect the transactions of the corporation and to devise and maintain an adequate system of internal accounting controls. Our business is heavily regulated and therefore involves significant interaction with public officials, including officials of non-U.S. governments. Additionally, in many other countries, the health care providers who prescribe pharmaceuticals are employed by their government, and the purchasers of pharmaceuticals are government entities; therefore, our dealings with these prescribers and purchasers are subject to regulation under the FCPA. Recently the SEC and Department of Justice have increased their FCPA enforcement activities with respect to pharmaceutical companies. There is no certainty that all of our employees, agents, contractors, or partners, or those of our affiliates, will comply with all applicable laws and regulations, particularly given the high level of complexity of these laws. Violations of these laws and regulations could result in significant administrative, civil and criminal fines and sanctions against us, our officers, or our employees, the closing down of our facilities, requirements to obtain export licenses, cessation of business activities in sanctioned countries, exclusion from participation in federal healthcare programs including Medicare and Medicaid, implementation of compliance programs, integrity oversight and reporting obligations, and prohibitions on the conduct of our business. Any such violations could include prohibitions on our ability to offer our products in one or more countries and could materially damage our reputation, our brand, our international expansion efforts, our ability to attract and retain employees, and our business, prospects, operating results and financial condition.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Our future success depends on our ability to retain the members of our management and to attract, retain and motivate qualified personnel. If we are not successful in attracting and retaining highly qualified personnel, we may not be able to successfully implement our business strategy.
Our industry has experienced a high rate of turnover of management personnel in recent years. Our ability to compete in the highly competitive biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries depends upon our ability to attract and retain highly qualified managerial, scientific and medical personnel. We are highly dependent on our management, scientific and medical personnel, especially our executive officers: Frédéric Cren, our Chief Executive Officer, and Pierre Broqua, our Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Chief Scientific Officer, whose services are critical to the successful implementation of our product candidate acquisition, development and regulatory strategies. We are not aware of any present intention of any of these individuals to leave our company. Although we maintain "key man" insurance with respect to certain of our key employees, this insurance may be insufficient to compensate us for the losses we may incur if we no longer have the services of such key employees. In order to induce valuable employees to continue their employment with us, we have provided founder's share warrants (bons de souscription de parts de créateur d'entreprise), share warrants (bons de souscription d'actions) and free shares (actions gratuites) that vest over time, as well as performance units (plan d'attribution gratuite d'unités de performance) that vest upon the achievement of presence criteria and certain performance criteria or milestones. The value to employees of such warrants, free shares and performance units that vest is significantly affected by movements in our share price that are beyond our control, and may at any time be insufficient to counteract more lucrative offers from other companies.
Despite our efforts to retain valuable employees, members of our management, scientific and development teams may terminate their employment with us. The loss of the services of any of the members of management or other key employees and our inability to find suitable replacements could harm our business, financial condition and prospects. Our success also depends on our ability to continue to attract, retain and motivate highly skilled junior, mid-level, and senior managers as well as junior, mid-level, and senior scientific and medical personnel.
We may not be able to attract or retain qualified management and scientific personnel in the future due to the intense competition for a limited number of qualified personnel among biopharmaceutical, biotechnology, pharmaceutical and other businesses. Many of the other pharmaceutical companies that we compete against for qualified personnel have greater financial and other resources, different risk profiles and a longer history in the industry than we do. They also may provide more diverse opportunities and better chances for career advancement. Some of these characteristics may be more appealing to high quality candidates than what we have to offer. If we are unable to continue to attract and retain high quality personnel, the rate and success at which we can develop and commercialize product candidates will be limited.
Supply Chain3 | 3.6%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We are dependent on single-source suppliers for some of the components and materials used in, and the processes required to develop, our development candidates and investigational medicines.
We currently depend on single-source suppliers for some of the components and materials used in lanifibranor. We cannot ensure that these suppliers will remain in business, have sufficient capacity or supply to meet our needs, or that they will not be purchased by one of our competitors or another company that is not interested in continuing to work with us. Our use of single-source suppliers of raw materials, components and finished goods exposes us to several risks, including:
- delays to the development timelines for our product candidates;- interruption of supply resulting from modifications to or discontinuation of a supplier's operations;- delays in product shipments resulting from uncorrected defects, reliability issues, or a supplier's variation in a component;- a lack of long-term supply arrangements for key components with our suppliers;- inability to obtain adequate supply in a timely manner, or to obtain adequate supply on commercially reasonable terms;- difficulty and cost associated with locating and qualifying alternative suppliers for our components in a timely manner;- production delays related to the evaluation and testing of components from alternative suppliers, and corresponding regulatory qualifications;- delay in delivery due to our suppliers prioritizing other customer orders over ours;- damage to our reputation caused by defective components produced by our suppliers;- potential price increases; and - delays due to the COVID-19 pandemic or geopolitical events, including the pending conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
There are, in general, relatively few alternative sources of supply for substitute components. These vendors may be unable or unwilling to meet our future demands for our clinical trials or commercial sale.
Establishing additional or replacement suppliers for these components, materials, and processes could take a substantial amount of time and it may be difficult to establish replacement suppliers who meet regulatory requirements. Any disruption in supply from any single-source supplier could lead to supply delays or interruptions which would damage our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects. If we have to switch to a replacement supplier, the manufacture and delivery of our product candidates could be interrupted for an extended period, which could adversely affect our business. Establishing additional or replacement suppliers for any of the components used in our product candidates, if required, may not be accomplished quickly. If we are able to find a replacement supplier, the replacement supplier would need to be qualified and may require additional regulatory authority approval, which could result in further delay.
Any interruption or delay in the supply of components or materials, or our inability to obtain components or materials from alternate sources at acceptable prices in a timely manner, could impair our ability to meet the demand for our investigational medicines.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
We rely completely on third parties to manufacture our pre-clinical and clinical drug supplies and we intend to rely on third parties to produce commercial supplies of any approved product candidate. Manufacturers are subject to significant regulation with respect to manufacturing our products. The manufacturing facilities on which we rely may not continue to meet regulatory requirements and may have limited capacity.
If, for any reason, we were to experience an unexpected loss of supply of our product candidates or placebo or comparator drug used in certain of our clinical trials, whether as a result of manufacturing, supply or storage issues or otherwise, we could experience delays, disruptions, suspensions or terminations of, or be required to restart or repeat, any pending or ongoing clinical trials. We do not currently have, nor do we plan to acquire, the infrastructure or capability internally to manufacture our pre-clinical and clinical drug supplies and we lack the resources and the capability to manufacture any of our product candidates on a clinical or commercial scale. The facilities used by our contract manufacturers or other third-party manufacturers to manufacture our product candidates are subject to the FDA's, the EMA's, the NMPA's and other comparable regulatory authorities' pre-approval inspections that will be conducted after we submit our NDA to the FDA or the required approval documents to any other relevant regulatory authority. In addition, such facilities are subject to regulatory inspections and investigations in the ordinary course of business. We do not control the implementation of the manufacturing process of, and are completely dependent on, our contract manufacturers or other third-party manufacturers for compliance with the cGMPs for manufacture of both active drug substances and finished drug products. If our contract manufacturers or other third-party manufacturers cannot successfully manufacture material that conforms to applicable specifications and the strict regulatory requirements of the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or others, or if the operations of such manufacturers are impacted by regulatory investigations, we will not be able to secure and/or maintain regulatory approvals for our products manufactured at these facilities. In addition, we have no control over the ability of our contract manufacturers or other third-party manufacturers to maintain adequate quality control, quality assurance and qualified personnel. If the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or other comparable regulatory authority finds deficiencies at these facilities for the manufacture of our product candidates or if it withdraws any approval because of deficiencies at these facilities in the future, we may need to find alternative manufacturing facilities, which would significantly impact our ability to develop, obtain regulatory approval for or market our product candidates, if approved. Further, our agreements with our contract and other third-party manufacturers generally limit these parties' liability to us and we therefore may not be able to obtain reimbursement for losses or damages that we incur as a result of actions by such parties.
We rely on our manufacturers to purchase from third-party suppliers the materials necessary to produce our product candidates for our clinical trials. There are a limited number of suppliers for raw materials that we use to manufacture our drugs and there may be a need to assess alternate suppliers to prevent a possible disruption of the manufacture of the materials necessary to produce our product candidates for our clinical trials, and if approved, for commercial sale. We do not have any control over the process or timing of the acquisition of these raw materials by our manufacturers. Moreover, we currently do not have any agreements for the commercial production of these raw materials. Although we generally do not begin a clinical trial unless we believe we have access to a sufficient supply of a product candidate to complete the clinical trial, any significant delay in the supply of a product candidate, or the raw material components thereof, for an ongoing clinical trial due to the need to replace a contract manufacturer or other third-party manufacturer could considerably delay completion of our clinical trials, product testing and potential regulatory approval of our product candidates. If our manufacturers or we are unable to purchase these raw materials after regulatory approval has been obtained for our product candidates, the commercial launch of our product candidates would be delayed or there would be a shortage in supply, which would impair our ability to generate revenues from the sale of our product candidates. Additionally, if we receive regulatory approval for our product candidates, we may experience unforeseen difficulties or challenges in the manufacture of our product candidates on a commercial scale compared to the manufacture for clinical purposes.
We expect to continue to depend on contract manufacturers or other third-party manufacturers for the foreseeable future. We currently obtain our supplies of finished drug product through individual purchase orders. We have not entered into long-term agreements with our current contract manufacturers or with any alternate fill/finish suppliers. Although we intend to do so prior to any commercial launch in order to ensure that we maintain adequate supplies of finished drug product, we may be unable to enter into such an agreement or do so on commercially reasonable terms, which could have a material adverse impact upon our business.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
We rely on third parties to conduct our pre-clinical studies and clinical trials. If these third parties do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or meet expected deadlines, we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for or commercialize our product candidates and our business could be substantially harmed.
We have relied upon and plan to continue to rely upon CROs to monitor and manage data for our pre-clinical and clinical programs. We rely on these parties for execution of our pre-clinical studies and clinical trials, and we control only certain aspects of their activities. We and our CROs also rely upon clinical sites and investigators for the performance of our clinical trials in accordance with the applicable protocols and applicable legal, regulatory and scientific standards. Nevertheless, we are responsible for ensuring that each of our studies and trials is conducted in accordance with the applicable protocol and applicable legal and regulatory requirements and scientific standards, and our reliance on CROs as well as clinical sites and investigators does not relieve us of our regulatory responsibilities. We, our CROs, as well as the clinical sites and investigators are required to comply with current GCPs, which are regulations and guidelines enforced by the FDA, the Competent Authorities of the Member States of the European Economic Area, or EEA, and comparable regulatory authorities for all of our products in clinical development.
Regulatory authorities enforce these GCPs through periodic inspections of trial sponsors, investigators and clinical sites. If we, any of our CROs or any of the clinical sites or investigators fail to comply with applicable GCPs, the clinical data generated in our clinical trials may be deemed unreliable and the FDA, the EMA, the NMPA or comparable regulatory authorities may require us to perform additional clinical trials before approving our marketing applications. We cannot assure you that upon inspection by a given regulatory authority, such regulatory authority will determine that any of our clinical trials comply with GCP regulations. We also cannot assure you that our CROs, as well as the clinical sites and investigators, will perform our clinical trials in accordance with the applicable protocols as well as applicable legal and regulatory requirements and scientific standards, or report the results obtained in a timely and accurate manner. Furthermore, the operations of our CROs may be constrained or disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition to GCPs, our clinical trials must be conducted with product produced under cGMP regulations. While we have agreements governing activities of our CROs, we have limited influence over the actual performance of our CROs as well as the performance of clinical sites and investigators. In addition, significant portions of the clinical trials for our product candidates are and will continue to be conducted outside of France, which makes it more difficult for us to monitor CROs as well as clinical sites and investigators and perform visits of our clinical sites, and requires us to rely heavily on CROs to ensure the proper and timely conduct of our clinical trials in accordance with the applicable protocols and compliance with applicable regulations, including GCPs. Failure to comply with applicable protocols and regulations in the conduct of the clinical trials for our product candidates may require us to repeat clinical trials, which would delay the regulatory approval process.
Some of our CROs have an ability to terminate their respective agreements with us if it can be reasonably demonstrated that the safety of the subjects participating in our clinical trials warrants such termination, if we make a general assignment for the benefit of our creditors or if we are liquidated.
If any of our relationships with these CROs terminate, we may not be able to enter into arrangements with alternative CROs or to do so on commercially reasonable terms. In addition, our CROs are not our employees, and except for remedies available to us under our agreements with such CROs, we cannot control whether or not they devote sufficient time and resources to our pre-clinical and clinical programs. If CROs do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or obligations or meet expected deadlines, if they need to be replaced, or if the quality or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to the failure (including by clinical sites or investigators) to adhere to our clinical protocols, regulatory requirements or for other reasons, our clinical trials may be extended, delayed or terminated and we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for or successfully commercialize our product candidates.
As a result, our results of operations and the commercial prospects for our product candidates would be harmed, our costs could increase substantially and our ability to generate revenues could be delayed significantly.
Switching or adding additional CROs involves additional cost and requires management time and focus. In addition, there is a natural transition period when a new CRO commences work. As a result, delays may occur, which can materially impact our ability to meet our desired clinical development timelines. Though we carefully manage our relationships with our CROs, there can be no assurance that we will not encounter challenges or delays in the future or that these delays or challenges will not have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition and prospects. For example, the randomization carried out by Avant Santé, our CRO in Mexico, experienced delays in 2023.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 5/83 (6%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 1.2%
Competition - Risk 1
We face significant competition for our drug discovery and development efforts, and if we do not compete effectively, our commercial opportunities will be reduced or eliminated.
The biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries are intensely competitive and subject to rapid and significant technological change. Our drug discovery and development efforts may target diseases and conditions that are already subject to existing therapies or that are being developed by our competitors, many of which have substantially greater resources, larger research and development staffs and facilities, more experience in completing pre-clinical testing and clinical trials, and formulation, marketing and manufacturing capabilities than we do. As a result of these resources, our competitors may develop drug products that render our products obsolete or noncompetitive by developing more effective drugs or by developing their products more efficiently. Our ability to develop competitive products would be limited if our competitors succeeded in obtaining regulatory approvals for drug candidates more rapidly than we were able to or in obtaining patent protection or other intellectual property rights that limited our drug development efforts. Any drug products resulting from our research and development efforts, or from our joint efforts with partners or licensees, might not be able to compete successfully with our competitors' existing and future products, or obtain regulatory approval in the United States, European Union or elsewhere. Further, we may be subject to additional competition from alternative forms of treatment, including generic or over-the-counter drugs.
In March 2024, Madrigal announced that it had received FDA approval of Rezdiffra for the treatment of patients with NASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis.
In addition to Madrigal, other competitors could obtain marketing authorization in the indications targeted by us. As of the date of this report, approximately 70 Phase I, II and III clinical trials enrolling patients are listed on the clinicaltrials.gov website. For example, Novo Nordisk is conducting a Phase III clinical study for the treatment of NASH with its lead molecule semaglutide, which is already marketed for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and obesity, and Akero Therapeutics and 89 Bio are also evaluating their respective investigational NASH medications in Phase III clinical trials. Other companies, including Altimmune, AstraZeneca, Lilly, GNM Bio, NorthSea, Terns, Viking, BMS, BI, Pfizer, Regeneron and Gilead Sciences have drug candidates for the treatment of NASH that are in less advanced clinical or preclinical development stages.
This competition may have a negative effect on our ability to recruit patients into our clinical trials, as certain patients could prefer to undergo treatment that has obtained a marketing authorization, such as Rezdiffra from Madrigal or others that may obtain a marketing authorization in the future, rather than participate or continue their participation in an ongoing clinical study with the possibility of being assigned to the placebo-controlled part. In addition, our Fast Track and Breakthrough Designations may be negatively impacted as well as our ability to develop and commercialize our product candidates, including lanifibranor, and our prospects. Even if we ultimately obtain approval of our product candidates, including lanifibranor, competitors may negatively impact our revenues and ability to achieve milestones.
ERT is the standard of care for the treatment of MPS with current therapies being marketed by BioMarin Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Takeda, Sanofi Genzyme, Shire Plc and Ultragenyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Additional ERTs, as well as gene therapy approaches to treating MPS, are in various stages of pre-clinical and clinical development.
Mergers and acquisitions in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries could result in even more resources being concentrated among a small number of our competitors. Competition may reduce the number and types of patients available to us to participate in clinical trials, particularly with respect to NASH, because some patients who might have opted to enroll in our trials may instead opt to enroll in a trial being conducted by one of our competitors.
Part of our business strategy involves seeking partnerships from time to time with other organizations or companies, such as our exclusive license and collaboration agreement with CTTQ, or CTTQ License Agreement, and potentially a partnership with respect to potential further development of odiparcil. The strong competition between market participants like us who seek such partners could affect our negotiating power and the terms under which we may be able to find a partner if at all. We cannot assure that we will be able to enter into partnerships as and when needed, and if we are unable to enter into development and commercial partnerships and/or sales and marketing arrangements on acceptable terms or timing, or at all, we may be unable to successfully develop and seek regulatory approval for our product candidates and/or effectively market and sell approved products, if any.
Sales & Marketing4 | 4.8%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Coverage and reimbursement decisions by third-party payors may have an adverse effect on pricing and market acceptance.
There is significant uncertainty related to third-party coverage and reimbursement of newly approved drugs. To the extent that we retain commercial rights following clinical development, we would seek approval to market our product candidates in the United States, the European Union and other selected jurisdictions. Market acceptance and sales of our product candidates, if approved, in both domestic and international markets will depend significantly on the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement from third-party payors for any of our product candidates and may be affected by existing and future healthcare reform measures. Government authorities and other third-party payors, such as private health insurers and health maintenance organizations, decide which drugs they will cover and establish payment levels. We cannot be certain that coverage and adequate reimbursement will be available for any of our product candidates, if approved. We cannot guarantee that we will be able to obtain price levels and reimbursement rates as high as those granted to other products that may be approved for the treatment of NASH, particularly because these products may have a different therapeutic approach from those developed by us. Also, we cannot be certain that reimbursement policies will not reduce the demand for any of our product candidates, if approved. If reimbursement is not available or is available on a limited basis for any of our product candidates, if approved, we or our partners may not be able to successfully commercialize any such product candidate. Reimbursement by a third-party payor may depend upon a number of factors, including, without limitation, the third-party payor's determination that use of a product is:
- a covered benefit under its health plan;- safe, effective and medically necessary;- appropriate for the specific patient;- cost-effective; and - neither experimental nor investigational.
Obtaining coverage and reimbursement approval for a product from a government or other third-party payor is a time consuming and costly process that could require us to provide supporting scientific, clinical and cost-effectiveness data for the use of our products to the payor. We may not be able to provide data sufficient to gain acceptance with respect to coverage and reimbursement at a satisfactory level. If reimbursement of our future products, if any, is unavailable or limited in scope or amount, such as may result where alternative or generic treatments are available, we may be unable to achieve or sustain profitability.
Moreover, no uniform policy for coverage and reimbursement exists in the United States, and coverage and reimbursement can differ significantly from payor to payor. While Medicare Part D applies only to drug benefits for Medicare beneficiaries, private third-party payors often follow Medicare coverage policy and payment limitations in setting their own payment rates, but also have their own methods and approval process apart from Medicare determinations. Any negotiated prices for any of our product candidates, if approved, covered by a Part D prescription drug plan will likely be lower than the prices we might otherwise obtain outside of the Medicare Part D prescription drug plan. Any reduction in payment under Medicare Part D may result in a similar reduction in payments from non-governmental payors.
In certain countries, particularly in the European Union, the pricing of prescription pharmaceuticals is subject to governmental control. In these countries, pricing negotiations with governmental authorities can take considerable time after the receipt of marketing approval for a product candidate. To obtain reimbursement or pricing approval in some countries, we may be required to conduct additional clinical trials that compare the cost-effectiveness of our product candidates to other available therapies. If reimbursement of any of our product candidates, if approved, is unavailable or limited in scope or amount in a particular country, or if pricing is set at unsatisfactory levels, we may be unable to achieve or sustain profitability of our products in such country.
The delivery of healthcare in the European Union, including the establishment and operation of health services and the pricing and reimbursement of medicines, is almost exclusively a matter for national, rather than EU, law and policy. National governments and health service providers have different priorities and approaches to the delivery of healthcare and the pricing and reimbursement of products in that context. In general, however, the healthcare budgetary constraints in most EU member states have resulted in restrictions on the pricing and reimbursement of medicines by relevant health service providers. Coupled with ever-increasing EU and national regulatory burdens on those wishing to develop and market products, this could prevent or delay marketing approval of our product candidates, restrict or regulate post-approval activities and affect our or our partners' ability to commercialize any products for which we obtain marketing approval.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
We may lose our foreign private issuer status in the future, which could result in significant additional cost and expense.
While we currently qualify as a foreign private issuer, the determination of foreign private issuer status is made annually on the last business day of an issuer's most recently completed second fiscal quarter and, accordingly, the next determination will be made with respect to us on June 30, 2024. In the future, we would lose our foreign private issuer status if we fail to meet the requirements necessary to maintain our foreign private issuer status as of the relevant determination date. We will remain a foreign private issuer until such time that more than 50% of our outstanding voting securities are held by U.S. residents and any of the following three circumstances applies: (1) the majority of our executive officers or directors are U.S. citizens or residents; (2) more than 50% of our assets are located in the United States; or (3) our business is administered principally in the United States.
The regulatory and compliance costs to us under U.S. securities laws as a U.S. domestic issuer may be significantly more than costs we incur as a foreign private issuer. If we are not a foreign private issuer, we will be required to file periodic reports and registration statements on U.S. domestic issuer forms with the SEC, which are more detailed and extensive in certain respects than the forms available to a foreign private issuer. We would be required under current SEC rules to prepare our financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP, rather than IFRS, and modify certain of our policies to comply with corporate governance practices associated with U.S. domestic issuers. Such conversion of our financial statements to U.S. GAAP would involve significant time and cost. In addition, we may lose our ability to rely upon exemptions from certain corporate governance requirements on U.S. stock exchanges that are available to foreign private issuers such as the ones described herein and exemptions from procedural requirements related to the solicitation of proxies.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
We currently have no marketing and sales organization. To the extent any of our product candidates for which we maintain commercial rights is approved for marketing, if we are unable to establish marketing and sales capabilities or enter into agreements with third parties to market and sell our product candidates, we may not be able to effectively market and sell any product candidates, or generate product revenues.
We currently do not have a marketing or sales organization for the marketing, sales and distribution of pharmaceutical products. In order to independently commercialize any product candidates that receive marketing approval and for which we maintain commercial rights, we would have to build marketing, sales, distribution, managerial and other non-technical capabilities or make arrangements with third parties to perform these services, and we may not be successful in doing so. Factors that may inhibit our efforts to commercialize our products on our own include:
- our inability to recruit, train and retain adequate numbers of effective sales and marketing personnel;- the inability of sales personnel to obtain access to physicians, educate physicians about patients for whom our product candidates may be appropriate treatment options and attain adequate numbers of physicians to prescribe any drugs;- the inability of reimbursement professionals to negotiate arrangements for formulary access, reimbursement, and other acceptance by payors;- restricted or closed distribution channels that make it difficult to distribute our products to segments of the patient population;- the lack of complementary medicines to be offered by sales personnel, which may put us at a competitive disadvantage relative to companies with more extensive product lines; and - unforeseen costs and expenses associated with creating an independent sales and marketing organization.
In the event of successful development of lanifibranor or any other product candidates in those indications where we can do so in a capital efficient manner, we may elect to build a targeted specialty sales force which will be expensive and time consuming. Any failure or delay in the development of our internal sales, marketing and distribution capabilities would adversely impact the commercialization of these products. With respect to our product candidates for larger indications, we may partner with third parties that have direct sales forces and established distribution systems, either to augment our own sales force and distribution systems or in lieu of our own sales force and distribution systems. If we are unable to enter into partnerships with third parties for the commercialization of approved products, if any, on acceptable terms or at all, or if any such partner does not devote sufficient resources to the commercialization of our product or otherwise fails in commercialization efforts, we may not be able to successfully commercialize any of our product candidates that receive regulatory approval. If we are not successful in commercializing our product candidates, either on our own or through partnerships with one or more third parties, our future revenue will be materially and adversely impacted.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 4
Even if any of our product candidates are commercialized, they may not be accepted by physicians, healthcare payors, patients or the medical community in general, and may also become subject to market conditions that could harm our business.
Even if we or our partners obtain regulatory approval for one or more of our product candidates, the product may not gain market acceptance or prevalent usage among physicians, healthcare payors, patients and the medical community, which is critical to commercial success. Our current product candidates both treat diseases which may not frequently be identified by physicians. For example, because various co-morbidities often confound the diagnosis of NASH and NASH diagnosis currently requires liver biopsy, many physicians may not be trained to identify or treat NASH specifically, which could lead to limited prescribing of lanifibranor even if the product candidate obtains regulatory approval and is commercialized. Market acceptance of any product candidate for which we or our partners receive approval depends on a number of factors, including:
- the efficacy and safety as demonstrated in clinical trials;- the timing of market introduction of the product candidate as well as competitive products;- the clinical indications for which the product candidate is approved and physician and medical community awareness of and familiarity with such indications;- acceptance by physicians, the medical community and patients of the product candidate as a safe and effective treatment;- with respect to lanifibranor, the perception of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor, or PPAR, agonists as a class of drugs;- the convenience of prescribing and initiating patients on the product candidate;- the potential and perceived advantages of such product candidate over alternative treatments;- the cost of treatment in relation to alternative treatments, including any similar generic treatments;- pricing and the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement by third-party payors;- relative convenience and ease of administration;- the prevalence and severity of adverse side effects; and - the effectiveness of sales and marketing efforts.
If our product candidates are approved but fail to achieve an adequate level of acceptance by physicians, healthcare payors, patients and the medical community, we will not be able to generate significant revenues, and we may not become or remain profitable.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 3/83 (4%)Below Sector Average
International Operations1 | 1.2%
International Operations - Risk 1
Our international operations and partnerships subject us to various risks, and our failure to manage these risks could adversely affect our results of operations.
We face significant operational risks as a result of doing business internationally, such as:
- fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates;- differing payor reimbursement regimes, governmental payors or patient self-pay systems and price controls;- potentially adverse and/or unexpected tax consequences, including penalties due to the failure of tax planning or due to the challenge by tax authorities on the basis of transfer pricing and liabilities imposed from inconsistent enforcement;- potential changes to the accounting standards, which may influence our financial situation and results;- becoming subject to the different, complex and changing laws, regulations and court systems of multiple jurisdictions and compliance with a wide variety of foreign laws, treaties and regulations;- changes in a specific country's or region's political or economic conditions;- reduced protection of, or significant difficulties in enforcing, intellectual property or contractual rights in certain countries;- difficulties in attracting and retaining qualified personnel;- restrictions imposed by local labor practices and laws on our business and operations, including unilateral cancellation or modification of contracts;- rapid changes in global government, economic and political policies and conditions, political or civil unrest or instability, terrorism or epidemics and other similar outbreaks or events, and potential failure in confidence of our suppliers or customers due to such changes or events; and - tariffs, trade protection measures, import or export licensing requirements, trade embargoes and other trade barriers.
At the end of 2021 and into 2022, tensions between the U.S. and Russia escalated when Russia amassed large numbers of military ground forces and support personnel on the Ukraine-Russia border and, in February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine. In response, NATO has deployed additional military forces to Eastern Europe, including to Lithuania, and the Biden administration announced certain sanctions against Russia. The invasion of Ukraine and the retaliatory measures that have been taken, or could be taken in the future, by the U.S., NATO, and other countries have created global security concerns that could result in a regional conflict and otherwise have a lasting impact on regional and global economies, any or all of which could disrupt our supply chain and adversely affect our ability to conduct ongoing and future clinical trials of our product candidates, including our ongoing NATiV3 Phase III clinical trial for lanifibranor. For example, in 2022, we determined to close trial sites located in Ukraine and Russia for our NATiV3 clinical trial of lanifibranor due to the Russian invasion in Ukraine, which, together with higher than originally projected screen failure rate, resulted in slower than anticipated enrollment rate and contributed to a delay in patient enrollment. In addition, the state of war between Israel and Hamas, including with respect to some clinical trial sites in Israel for the NATiV3 trial, could impact our company and our trial sites in Israel.
Capital Markets2 | 2.4%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro may increase the risk of holding our ordinary shares and ADSs.
Our ordinary shares currently trade on Euronext Paris in euros, while our ADSs trade on Nasdaq in U.S. dollars. Fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro may result in temporary differences between the value of our ADSs and the value of our ordinary shares, which may result in heavy trading by investors seeking to exploit such differences.
In addition, as a result of fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro, the U.S. dollar equivalent of the proceeds that a holder of our ADSs would receive upon the sale in France of any ordinary shares withdrawn from the depositary and the U.S. dollar equivalent of any cash dividends paid in euros on our ordinary shares represented by our ADSs could also decline.
Capital Markets - Risk 2
We may be exposed to significant foreign exchange risk.
We incur portions of our expenses, and may in the future derive revenues, in currencies other than the euro, in particular, the U.S. dollar. As a result, we are exposed to foreign currency exchange risk as our results of operations and cash flows are subject to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates. We currently do not engage in hedging transactions to protect against uncertainty in future exchange rates between particular foreign currencies and the euro. Therefore, for example, an increase in the value of the euro against the U.S. dollar could be expected to have a negative impact on our revenue and earnings growth as U.S. dollar revenue and earnings, if any, would be translated into euros at a reduced value. We cannot predict the impact of foreign currency fluctuations, and foreign currency fluctuations in the future may adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
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Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
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A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.