Innovex International (INVX) Risk Analysis

Growth in drilling and completion activity may be impacted by, among other things, the availability and cost of oil country tubular goods, pipeline capacity, and material and labor shortages. Should significant growth in activity occur there could be concerns over availability of the equipment, materials and labor required to drill and complete a well, together with the ability to move the produced oil and natural gas to market. Should significant constraints develop that materially impact the efficiency and economics of oil and natural gas producers, growth in drilling and completion activity could be adversely affected. This would have an adverse impact on the demand for our products, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and cash flows.

Many key responsibilities within our business have been assigned to a small number of employees. We depend on our current senior management for the implementation of our strategy and the supervision of our day-to-day activities. However, there can be no assurance that these individuals will continue to make their services available to us in the future. The loss of their services could adversely affect our business. In particular, the loss of the services of one or more members of our senior management team could disrupt our operations. The loss or diminution of the services of our senior management or an inability to attract and retain additional senior management personnel could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Further, competition in our industry for personnel with relevant expertise is intense due to the relatively small number of qualified individuals, and this competition could affect our ability to retain our existing senior management and attract additional suitably qualified senior management personnel. As a result, the departure of key managers could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. We do not maintain "key person" life insurance policies on any of our employees. As a result, we are not insured against any losses resulting from the death of our key employees.

Certain of our product lines, including frac plugs and well intervention tools, depend on a limited number of third-party suppliers and vendors, including for supplies of certain raw materials. As a result of this concentration in some of our supply chains, our business and operations could be negatively affected if our key suppliers were to experience significant disruptions affecting the price, quality, availability or timely delivery of their products. The partial or complete loss of any one of our key suppliers, or a significant adverse change in the relationship with any of these suppliers, through consolidation or otherwise, would limit our ability to manufacture or sell certain of our products, or require us to depend on costly alternatives, which may impact financial performance.

Demand for most of our products and services depends primarily on the level of activity in the oil and natural gas industry in North America, the Middle East, Latin America and Europe, among other global markets. As a result, our operations are dependent on the levels of activity and capital spending in oil and natural gas exploration, development and production. A prolonged reduction in oil and natural gas prices would generally depress the level of oil and natural gas exploration, development, production, and well completion activity and would result in a corresponding decline in the demand for the products and services that we provide. The significant decline in oil and natural gas prices that occurred in 2020 caused a reduction in our customers' spending and associated drilling and completion activities, which had an adverse effect on our revenue. While oil and natural gas prices have since increased, should prices again decline, similar declines in our customers' spending would have an adverse effect on our revenue. In addition, a worsening of these conditions may result in a material adverse impact on certain of our customers' liquidity and financial position resulting in further spending reductions, delays in the collection of amounts owing to us and other similar impacts. Many factors over which we have no control affect the supply of and demand for, and our customers' willingness to explore, develop and produce oil and natural gas, and therefore, influence the volumes we can sell and the prices we can charge for our products and services, including: - the global supply of, and demand for, oil and natural gas;- the level of prices, and expectations about future prices, of oil and natural gas;- the level of global oil and natural gas exploration and production;- the cost of exploring for, developing, producing and delivering oil and natural gas;- the supply of and demand for our products and services;- global or national health concerns, including health epidemics such as the COVID-19 pandemic;- the expected decline rates of current production;- inability to acquire or maintain necessary permits or mining or water rights;- the price and quantity of foreign imports;- political and economic conditions in oil and natural gas producing countries and regions, including the United States, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Latin America and Russia;- actions by the members of OPEC+ and other oil-producing countries with respect to oil production levels and announcements of potential changes in such levels;- speculative trading in crude oil and natural gas derivative contracts;- the level of consumer product demand;- the discovery rates of new oil and natural gas reserves;- contractions in the credit market;- the strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar;- available pipeline and other transportation capacity;- the levels of oil and natural gas storage;- the proximity and capacity of oil and natural gas pipelines and other transportation facilities;- adverse weather conditions and other natural disasters;- U.S. and non-U.S. tax policy;- U.S. and non-U.S. governmental approvals and regulatory requirements and conditions;- the continued threat of terrorism and the impact of military and other action, including military action in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war;- technical advances affecting energy consumption;- the price and availability of alternative fuels and energy sources;- uncertainty in commodities markets and the ability of oil and natural gas producers to raise equity capital and debt financing;- acquisition and divestiture activity among oil and natural gas producers;- cyclical/seasonal business and dependence upon spending of our customers;- competition among oilfield service and equipment providers;- changes in transportation regulations that result in increased costs or administrative burdens; and - overall domestic and global economic conditions. These factors and the volatility of the energy markets make it extremely difficult to predict future oil and natural gas price movements with any certainty. A decline in oil and natural gas prices may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

We conduct business globally, and our business activities and services are subject to import and export controls, as well as economic sanctions, embargoes, anti-boycott, and other international trade laws of the United States and other countries. We must comply with U.S. and other applicable export and import controls, economic sanctions, embargoes, anti-boycott, and other international trade laws, including the U.S. Commerce Department's Export Administration Regulations and economic sanctions administered by the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control and the U.S. Department of State. In addition, the movement of goods, services and technology subjects us to complex legal regimes governing international trade. Our import activities are governed by unique tariff and customs laws in each of the countries where we import. Further, we must comply with controls on the export or reexport of certain goods, services and technology, as well as economic sanctions that prohibit or restrict business activities in, with or involving certain persons, entities or countries. Although we have instituted policies and procedures designed to promote compliance with such controls and laws, violations of import or export controls, economic sanctions, embargoes, anti-boycott, or other international trade laws could result in negative consequences to us, including government investigations, sanctions, criminal or civil fines or penalties, more onerous compliance requirements, loss of authorizations or licenses needed to conduct aspects of our business, default under debt, reputational harm and other adverse consequences. Moreover, if any of our counterparties or jurisdictions where we do business becomes the target of economic sanctions or other trade restrictions, we may face an array of issues, including, but not limited to, having to abandon the related project or business, being unable to recoup prior invested time and capital or being subject to lawsuits, investigations or regulatory proceedings that could be time consuming and expensive to respond to, and which could lead to sanctions, criminal or civil fines or penalties, loss of authorizations or licenses needed to conduct aspects of our business, default under debt, reputational harm and other adverse consequences. Furthermore, the laws concerning import and export controls, including record keeping and reporting, economic sanctions, embargoes, anti-boycott, and other international trade laws are complex and constantly changing and we cannot predict how these laws or their interpretation, administration and enforcement will change over time. Moreover, they may be adopted, enacted, amended, enforced or interpreted in a manner that could materially impact our operations.

Climate change continues to attract considerable public and scientific attention. As a result, numerous proposals have been made and are likely to continue to be made at the international, national, regional and state levels of government to monitor and limit emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and other greenhouse gases ("GHGs"). These efforts have included consideration of cap-and-trade programs, carbon taxes, GHG reporting and tracking programs and regulations that directly limit GHG emissions from certain sources. In the United States, no comprehensive climate change legislation has been implemented at the federal level. However, President Biden established addressing climate change as a priority of his administration and issued several executive orders addressing climate change. Additionally, in 2021 and 2022, President Biden signed into law the IRA, which contains billions of dollars in incentives and other provisions to advance the investment, development, and deployment of alternative energy sources and technologies. Moreover, the EPA has adopted regulations that, among other things, establish construction and operating permit reviews for GHG emissions from certain large stationary sources, require the monitoring and annual reporting of GHG emissions from certain petroleum and natural gas system sources in the United States, and together with the Department of Transportation, set GHG emissions and fuel economy standards for vehicles in the United States. The regulation of methane from oil and natural gas facilities has been subject to uncertainty in recent years. The EPA previously had promulgated new source performance standards ("NSPS") imposing limitations on methane emissions from sources in the oil and natural gas sector. Subsequently, in September 2020, the Trump Administration rescinded those methane standards and removed the transmission and storage segments from the oil and natural gas source category under the CAA's NSPS. However, in June 2021, President Biden signed a resolution passed by the U.S. Congress under the Congressional Review Act nullifying the September 2020 rule, effectively reinstating the prior standards. In March 2024, the EPA published new final regulations to expand NSPS requirements for oil and natural gas sector sources and establish comprehensive standards of performance and emission guidelines for methane and volatile organic compound emissions from existing operations in the oil and natural gas sector, including the exploration and production, transmission, processing, and storage segments. These new standards could result in increased costs for our customers and consequently adversely affect demand for our products. However, on January 20, 2025, President Trump signed multiple executive orders seeking to reverse these climate incentives, including pausing the disbursement of funds under the IRA. The same day, President Trump also issued executive orders to encourage fossil fuel production and exploration on federal lands and waters, while moving away from renewable energy and electric vehicles. Separately, various states and groups of states have adopted or are considering adopting legislation, regulation or other regulatory initiatives that are focused on such areas as GHG cap and trade programs, carbon taxes, reporting and tracking programs, and restriction of emissions. For example, several states, including Pennsylvania and New Mexico, have adopted regulations restricting the emission of methane from exploration and production activities. At the international level, in December 2015, the United States participated in the 21st Conference of the Parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Paris, France. The resulting "Paris Agreement" calls for the parties to undertake "ambitious efforts" to limit the average global temperature and requires member states to submit non-binding, individually determined reduction goals known as "Nationally Determined Contributions" every five years after 2020. In April 2021, President Biden announced a goal of reducing the U.S.'s emissions by 50-52% below 2005 levels by 2030. In November 2021, in connection with the 26th Conference of the Parties in Glasgow, Scotland the United States and other world leaders made further commitments to reduce GHG emissions, including reducing global methane emissions by at least 30% by 2030 from 2020 levels. More than 150 countries have now signed on to this pledge. At the 28th Conference of the Parties in the United Arab Emirates, world leaders agreed to transition away from fossil fuels in a just, orderly and equitable manner and to triple renewables and double energy efficiency globally by 2030. Additionally, the Biden Administration announced a new climate target for the United States on December 19, 2024, which includes a 61-66% reduction in economy-wide net GHG emissions by 2035, as compared to 2005 levels. Though President Trump issued an executive order on January 20, 2025, directing the United States Ambassador to the United Nations to immediately withdraw from the Paris Agreement, international, regional, and state actions to limit GHG emissions could reduce the demand for our products. Litigation risks are also increasing as a number of entities have sought to bring suit against various oil and natural gas companies in state or federal court, alleging among other things, that such companies created public nuisances by producing fuels that contributed to climate change or alleging that the companies have been aware of the adverse effects of climate change for some time but defrauded their investors or customers by failing to adequately disclose those impacts. There are also increasing financial risks for fossil fuel producers as stockholders currently invested in fossil fuel energy companies may elect in the future to shift some or all of their investments into non-fossil fuel related sectors. Institutional lenders who provide financing to fossil fuel energy companies also have become more attentive to sustainable lending practices and some of them may elect not to provide funding for fossil fuel energy companies. There is also a risk that financial institutions will be required to adopt policies that have the effect of reducing the funding provided to the fossil fuel sector. Limitation of investments in and financing for fossil fuel energy companies could result in the restriction, delay or cancellation of drilling programs or development or production activities. Additionally, the SEC published final rules on March 28, 2024 relating to the disclosure of a range of climate-related risks. Several lawsuits have been filed challenging the rules. In April 2024, the SEC agreed to pause the rules to facilitate an orderly judicial resolution. We are currently assessing this rule but at this time we cannot predict the costs of implementation or any potential adverse impacts resulting from the rule. To the extent the rules are implemented, we or our customers could incur increased costs related to the assessment and disclosure of climate-related risks. In addition, enhanced climate disclosure requirements could accelerate the trend of certain stakeholders and lenders restricting or seeking more stringent conditions with respect to their investments in certain carbon intensive sectors. The adoption and implementation of new or more stringent international, federal or state legislation, regulations or other regulatory initiatives that impose more stringent standards for GHG emissions from the oil and natural gas sector or otherwise restrict the areas in which this sector may produce oil and natural gas or generate the GHG emissions could result in increased costs of compliance or costs of consuming, and thereby reduce demand for oil and natural gas, which could reduce demand for our products. Additionally, political, litigation and financial risks may result in our customers restricting or canceling production activities, incurring liability for infrastructure damages as a result of climatic changes, or impairing their ability to continue to operate in an economic manner, which also could reduce the demand for our products. One or more of these developments could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Finally, many scientists have concluded that increasing concentrations of GHG in the atmosphere may produce climate changes that have significant physical effects, such as increased frequency and severity of storms, droughts, and floods and other climate events that could have an adverse effect on our and our customers' operations.

Our success depends, in part, on our ability to obtain patents, licenses and other intellectual property rights covering our products. To that end, we have obtained certain patents and intend to continue to seek patents on some of our inventions, technologies and products. While we have patented some of our key technologies, we do not patent all of our proprietary technology, even when regarded as patentable. The process of seeking patent protection can be long and expensive. Further, there can be no assurance that patents will be issued from currently pending or future applications or that, if patents are issued, they will be of sufficient scope or strength to provide meaningful protection or any commercial advantage to us. In addition, effective copyright and trade secret protection may be unavailable or limited in certain countries. Litigation, which could demand significant financial and management resources, may be necessary to enforce our patents or other intellectual property rights. Also, there can be no assurance that we can obtain licenses or other rights to necessary intellectual property on acceptable terms. Failure to secure adequate protection for our intellectual property rights could result in our competitors offering similar services and products, potentially resulting in the loss of some of our competitive advantage, which could adversely affect our business, prospects, financial condition and operating results.

The oil and natural gas industry has become increasingly dependent on digital technologies to conduct certain processing activities. At the same time, cyber incidents, including deliberate attacks or unintentional events, have increased. The U.S. government has issued public warnings that indicate that energy assets might be specific targets of cyber security threats. Our technologies, systems and networks, and those of our customers, vendors, suppliers and other business partners, may become the target of cyber attacks or information security breaches that could result in the unauthorized release, gathering, monitoring, misuse, loss or destruction of proprietary and other information, or other disruption of our business operations. In addition, certain cyber incidents, such as surveillance, may remain undetected for an extended period. Our systems for protecting against cyber security risks may not be sufficient. As cyber incidents continue to evolve, we may be required to expend additional resources to continue to modify or enhance our protective measures or to investigate and remediate any vulnerability to cyber incidents.

In response to Russia's military action in Ukraine in 2022, the United States, the European Union and the United Kingdom, among others, have imposed significant economic sanctions and export control measures on Russia and others supporting Russia's military and political actions in Ukraine, including, blocking or "asset freezing" sanctions on designated entities and individuals; restrictions on the Russian energy and financial sectors; blocking economic activity in certain areas of Ukraine not controlled by the Ukrainian government; prohibitions in relation to investment in Russia; prohibitions and restrictions relating to Russian origin oil and oil products; and export controls limiting the export of a wide range of goods and technical assistance to Russia. In response, Russia has implemented counter-sanctions, including restrictions on the divestment from Russian assets by foreign investors and restrictions on the payments of dividends and transfers of funds out of Russia by foreign investors. Although we have minimal operational exposure in Russia with no revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, and we do not intend to commit further capital towards projects in Russia, the full impact of the invasion of Ukraine, including economic sanctions and export controls or additional war or military conflict, as well as potential responses to them by Russia, is currently unknown and they could adversely affect oil and gas companies, including many of which are our customers, as well as the global supply chain.

Our operations are located in different regions of the United States and around the world. Some of these areas are adversely affected by seasonal weather conditions, primarily in the winter and spring. Weather-related hazards can exist in almost all the areas where we operate. During periods of heavy snow, ice or rain, we may be unable to obtain adequate supplies of raw material or fuel or receive products shipped by a third party, and our employees may be unable to travel to supervise and manage implementation of our products and services, thereby reducing our ability to provide our products and technologies and generate revenues. The exploration activities of our customers may also be affected during such periods of adverse weather conditions. Additionally, extended drought conditions in our operating regions could impact our ability or our customers' ability to source sufficient water or increase the cost for such water. As a result, a natural disaster or inclement weather conditions could severely disrupt the normal operation of our business and adversely impact our financial condition and results of operations. Climate change may exacerbate the likelihood or intensity of such natural disasters or inclement weather conditions. Furthermore, if the area in which we operate or the market demand for oil and natural gas is affected by a public health crisis, or other similar catastrophic event outside of our control, our business and results of operations could suffer.

Changes in government policies on international trade and investment can affect the demand for our products and services, impact the competitive position of our products and services or prevent us from being able to sell or purchase products and services in or from certain countries. Our business benefits from free trade agreements, and efforts to withdraw from, or substantially modify such agreements, in addition to the implementation of more restrictive trade policies, such as more detailed inspections, higher tariffs,import or export licensing requirements, economic sanctions, anti-boycott laws, exchange controls or new barriers to entry, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows. For example, we are experiencing and/or may experience in the future increased tariffs on certain of our products and product components from China, Mexico and Canada. We have planned and begun to implement various efforts in conjunction with our supply chain and end market partners to mitigate the impact of the increased tariffs, but we cannot predict how the tariffs and trade policies may change over time.

The oilfield services industry is highly competitive. The principal competitive factors impacting sales of our products are technology, service quality, safety track record and price. The market is also fragmented and includes numerous small companies capable of competing effectively in our markets on a local basis, as well as several large companies that possess substantially greater financial and other resources than we do. Our larger competitors' greater resources could allow those competitors to compete more effectively than we can. For instance, our larger competitors may offer products at below-market prices or bundle ancillary products and services at no additional cost to our customers. We compete with large national and multi-national companies that have longer operating histories, greater financial, technical and other resources and greater name recognition than we do. Several of our competitors provide a broader array of products and services and have a stronger presence in more geographic markets. Some jobs are awarded on a bid basis, which further increases competition based on price. Pricing is one of the primary factors in determining which qualified contractor is awarded a job. The competitive environment may be further intensified by mergers and acquisitions among oil and natural gas companies or other events that have the effect of reducing the number of available customers. If competition remains the same or increases as a result of future industry downturns, we may be required to lower our prices, which would adversely affect our results of operations. In the future, we may lose market share or be unable to maintain or increase prices for our present products or to acquire additional business opportunities, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Our competitors may be able to respond more quickly to new or emerging technologies and services and changes in customer requirements. The amount of equipment available may exceed demand, which could result in active price competition. In addition, competition among oilfield equipment providers is affected by each provider's reputation for safety and quality. We cannot assure that we will be able to maintain our competitive position.

Fuel conservation measures, alternative fuel requirements, increasing consumer demand for alternatives to oil and natural gas, technological advances in fuel economy and energy generation devices could reduce demand for oil and natural gas, resulting in reduced demand for oilfield services. The impact of the changing demand for oil and natural gas services and products may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. The commercial development of economically viable alternative energy sources and related products (such as electric vehicles, wind, solar, geothermal, nuclear, tidal, fuel cells and biofuels) could have a similar effect. In addition, certain U.S. federal income tax deductions currently available with respect to oil and natural gas exploration and development, including the allowance of percentage depletion for oil and natural gas properties, may be eliminated as a result of proposed legislation. Any future decreases in the rate at which oil and natural gas reserves are discovered or developed, whether due to the passage of legislation, increased governmental regulation leading to limitations, or prohibitions on exploration and drilling activity, including hydraulic fracturing, or other factors, could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition, even in a stronger oil and natural gas price environment.