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Harbor BioSciences Inc (HRBR)
OTHER OTC:HRBR
US Market

Harbor BioSciences (HRBR) Risk Analysis

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Harbor BioSciences disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Harbor BioSciences reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2023

Risk Distribution
38Risks
47% Finance & Corporate
21% Production
11% Legal & Regulatory
11% Macro & Political
8% Ability to Sell
3% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Harbor BioSciences Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2023

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 18 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 18 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
38
+3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
38
+3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
5Risks added
3Risks removed
11Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
5Risks added
3Risks removed
11Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
Number of Risk Changed
11
+4
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
11
+4
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Harbor BioSciences in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 38

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 18/38 (47%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights10 | 26.3%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Changed
Harbor's amended and restated certificate of incorporation, as amended, and amended and restated bylaws, as amended, limit certain transfers of Harbor's stock in order to preserve Harbor's ability to use net operating loss carryforwards, which could adversely affect the trading price of its common stock.
To reduce the risk of a potential adverse effect on Harbor's ability to use net operating loss carryforwards for federal income tax purposes, Harbor's amended and restated certificate of incorporation, as amended, and amended and restated bylaws, as amended, prohibit certain transfers of shares of Harbor's capital stock that could result in adverse tax consequences by impairing Harbor's ability to utilize net operating loss carryforwards. These transfer restrictions are subject to a number of rules and exceptions, and generally may only be repealed or amended by the affirmative vote of the holders of at least two-thirds of the outstanding shares of Harbor's capital stock. These transfer restrictions apply to the beneficial owners of the shares of Harbor's capital stock. The transfer restrictions contained in Harbor's amended and restated certificate of incorporation, as amended, and amended and restated bylaws, as amended, may limit demand for Harbor's common stock, which may adversely affect the trading price. In addition, this limitation may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control of the Company, creating a perception that a change in control cannot occur, or otherwise discouraging takeover attempts that some stockholders may consider beneficial.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Changed
The concentration of ownership of Harbor's common stock among a small number of stockholders could allow such stockholders to exert significant influence over the Company's business plans and strategic objectives, control all matters submitted to Harbor's stockholders for approval, or deter a change in control transaction, any of which could negatively affect the trading price or trading volume of its common stock.
As of September 30, 2024, Harbor had 58,534,309 shares of common stock outstanding. As of the same date, Amun LLC ("Amun") held 20,000,000 shares of Harbor's common stock, representing approximately 34.2% of the outstanding shares of Harbor's common stock, and Southshore Aircraft Holdings, LLC, through its affiliates (together, "Southshore"), held 16,500,000 shares of common stock, representing approximately 28.2% of the outstanding shares of Harbor's common stock. As a result, Amun and Southshore collectively control a majority of the voting power of Harbor's outstanding common stock and, therefore, are able to exercise significant influence over the establishment and implementation of the Company's business plans and strategic objectives, as well as to control all matters submitted to Harbor's stockholders for approval. These stockholders may manage the Company's business in ways with which certain investors may disagree and may be adverse to their interests. This concentration of ownership may also have the effect of delaying, deterring or preventing a change in control transaction, depriving Harbor's stockholders of an opportunity to receive a premium for their investment, or otherwise negatively affecting the trading price or trading volume of Harbor's common stock. Mr. Bartlett, one of Harbor's directors, may be deemed to be the beneficial owner of the shares of Harbor's common stock held by Amun due to his status as a member of the board of managers of Amun and his ownership of equity interests in Amun. In addition, Mr. Bartlett may be deemed to be the beneficial owner of the shares of Harbor's common stock held by Southshore due to his status as a member of the board of managers of Southshore and his ownership of equity interests in Southshore. Accordingly, Mr. Bartlett may be able to exercise influence over decisions involving the voting or disposition of shares of Harbor's common stock. However, Mr. Bartlett does not control voting or investment decisions made by either Amun or Southshore.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Changed
If securities or industry analysts do not publish reports about our business, or the Company does not issue press releases, an active trading market for Harbor's common stock may not develop.
The extent of any trading market for Harbor's common stock will depend, in part, on the content of any reports that securities or industry analysts publish about our business, as well as any press releases or other publications issued by the Company. Analyst coverage of the Company has been extremely limited, and we are not aware of any reputable analysts that cover the Company. In addition, it has not been the Company's policy to issue press releases, and the Company does not intend to issue press releases for the foreseeable future. Investors should not purchase Harbor's common stock with the expectation that we will have analyst coverage or that the Company will publish press releases, and should be aware that the information available about our business may be significantly less than information about other public companies. In the absence of these reports or other publications, an active trading market for Harbor's common stock may not develop or be sustained. As discussed above, Harbor is not current in filing certain reports with the SEC as required pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act. Harbor's failure to be timely in its SEC reporting obligations could have a material adverse impact on the trading volume and trading price of the Harbor common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
The requirement that Air Wisconsin remain a citizen of the United States limits the potential purchasers of Harbor's common stock.
Under DOT regulations and federal law, Air Wisconsin must be owned and controlled by citizens of the United States as that term is defined in the Federal Aviation Act and interpreted by the DOT. The restrictions imposed by federal law and regulations limit who can purchase Air Wisconsin's equity securities in the following ways: - at least 75% of Air Wisconsin's voting equity securities must be owned and controlled, directly and indirectly, by persons or entities who are citizens of the United States;- at least 51% of Air Wisconsin's total outstanding equity securities must be owned and controlled by U.S. citizens and no more than 49% of Air Wisconsin's equity securities may be held, directly or indirectly, by persons or entities who are not U.S. citizens and are from countries that have entered into "open skies" air transport agreements with the U.S. which allow unrestricted access on air service routes between the United States and the applicable foreign country and to points beyond the foreign country on flights serving the foreign country; and - citizens of foreign countries that have not entered into "open skies" air transport agreements with the U.S. may hold no more than 25% of Air Wisconsin's total outstanding equity securities. The restrictions on foreign ownership of Air Wisconsin's equity securities may impair or prevent a sale of common stock by a stockholder of Harbor and may adversely affect the trading price or trading volume of Harbor's common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Because the trading market for Harbor's common stock is limited, the common stock may continue to be illiquid.
Although Harbor's common stock is traded under the symbol "HRBR" on the OTC Market, the trading volume for the common stock has been limited. The trading volume for the common stock has declined further following Harbor's announcement that it intends to restate the previously issued consolidated financial statements for the Non-Reliance Periods. Harbor has not listed, and does not currently intend to list, Harbor's common stock for trading on any national securities exchange. Accordingly, we expect the common stock to continue to be illiquid for the foreseeable future. Investors should be aware that an active trading market for the Harbor common stock may never develop or be sustained, and that the restatement of the previously issued consolidated financial statements could have a prolonged negative impact on the trading volume of the common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
The price of Harbor's common stock has been and may continue to be volatile.
The trading price of Harbor's common stock has been volatile. We believe Harbor's stock price will be subject to wide fluctuations in response to a variety of factors, including the following: - the industry-wide pilot and mechanic shortages;- the effects of the outcome of the arbitration with United and the issuance of the United Arbitration Award;- future announcements regarding fleet strategy changes by major air carriers, including any decision to reduce or eliminate single class 50-seat aircraft or to accelerate the timing of any such changes;- actual or anticipated fluctuations in our financial and operating results from period to period;- the effect of the restatement of our previously issued consolidated financial statements and material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting;- actual or potential changes in economic conditions, including rising fuel and other commodity prices, increasing interest rates, inflation, changes in discretionary spending and consumer confidence, and recessionary concerns;- the impact of pandemics and widespread outbreaks of communicable diseases on passenger demand for air travel, consumer behavior and tourism;- our actual or perceived need for additional capital and the terms of any future debt financing or leasing arrangement;- market perceptions about our financial stability, in particular as a result of the restatement of its. previously issued consolidated financial statements, and the financial stability of American;- market perceptions regarding Air Wisconsin's operating performance, reliability and customer service, and the operating performance, reliability and customer service of its business partners and competitors;- factors and perceptions impacting the airline industry generally, including future passenger demand for air travel;- announcements of significant contracts, acquisitions or divestitures by us or Air Wisconsin's competitors;- bankruptcies or other financial issues impacting Air Wisconsin's business partners or competitors;- threatened or actual litigation and government investigations;- changes in the regulatory environment impacting Air Wisconsin's business and industry;- purchases or sales of shares of Harbor's common stock pursuant to Harbor's publicly announced stock repurchase program or otherwise;- the illiquidity of Harbor's common stock, which has been negatively impacted by the restatement of our previously issued consolidated financial statements;- speculative trading practices of Harbor's stockholders and other market participants;- perceptions about securities that are traded on the OTC Market;- the impact of new accounting pronouncements or updates to existing accounting standards; and - actual or potential changes in political conditions, including wars, outbreak of hostilities, terrorism, or government sanctions. In recent years, the stock market has experienced significant price and volume fluctuations. This volatility has had a significant impact on the market price of securities issued by companies across industries. These changes may occur without regard to the financial condition or operating performance of the affected companies. Accordingly, the price of Harbor's common stock could fluctuate based upon factors that have little or nothing to do with Harbor, and these fluctuations could materially reduce the trading price and trading volume of Harbor's common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
Harbor may suspend its obligation to comply with SEC filing requirements in future periods and thereby cease filing reports and other information with the SEC, which could have the effect of reducing the trading volume and trading price of Harbor's common stock.
In February 2012, Harbor's predecessor, Harbor Biosciences, Inc., filed a Form 15 with the SEC to deregister its common stock pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Exchange Act. The filing of the Form 15 had the effect of suspending Harbor's obligation, pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act, to file reports and other information with the SEC. As a result, prior to the filing of the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, the last periodic report filed by Harbor was the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011. As of January 1, 2020, Harbor no longer met the eligibility criteria under Rule 12h-3 of the Exchange Act to suspend its reporting obligations under Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act, requiring Harbor to resume filing reports and other information with the SEC pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act. The Company has incurred, and expects to continue to incur, significant direct and indirect costs, and diversion of management's time and resources, as a result of the requirement to comply with certain reporting obligations under the Exchange Act, including those incurred in connection with the preparation and filing of Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K, the audit of the consolidated financial statements contained in its Annual Reports in accordance with SEC rules and Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) standards, and compliance with certain provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 ("SOX"). The Company has incurred and may continue to incur significant additional costs as a result of the restatement of its previously issued consolidated financial statements for the Non-Reliance Periods. Harbor would again become eligible to suspend its public reporting obligations if it: (i) determines in accordance with applicable SEC rules it has fewer than 300 stockholders of record as of certain points in time, (ii) does not file registration statements pursuant to the Securities Act (which it does not currently intend to do), and (iii) meets certain other requirements under applicable SEC rules. If Harbor becomes eligible to suspend its public reporting obligations in future periods, it may elect to take the actions necessary to suspend those obligations, which would result in Harbor no longer being required to file SEC reports. If Harbor ceases filing reports and other information with the SEC, it would significantly reduce the amount of publicly available information about the Company and its business and operations, which could have the effect of reducing the trading volume and price of Harbor's common stock. Further, notwithstanding that Harbor is currently required to file certain reports and information with the SEC pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act, Harbor does not have a class of securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) or Section 12(g) of the Exchange Act. As a result, Harbor is not required to comply with, and does not intend to follow, certain disclosure requirements typically applicable to public reporting companies, including the requirement to file proxy statements, information statements, tender offer disclosures, and beneficial ownership filings. Accordingly, there may be significantly less information available about the Company, including its governance policies and ownership structure, than is available for other public reporting companies, which could have the effect of further reducing demand for Harbor's common stock and the trading price. As a result of the delay in filing this Annual Report due to the restatement of the previously issued consolidated financial statements for the Non-Reliance Periods, Harbor is not currently in compliance with its reporting obligations under Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act because it did not timely file all required periodic reports with the SEC. While Harbor currently intends to file all required periodic reports with the SEC and regain compliance with its reporting obligations, there can be no assurance as to the timing. Harbor's failure to timely file all required periodic reports with the SEC, or to regain compliance with its reporting obligations, could cause reputational harm and have a material adverse impact on the trading volume and trading price of its common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
Provisions in Harbor's governing documents and the American capacity purchase agreement might deter acquisition bids, which could adversely affect the value of Harbor's common stock.
Harbor's amended and restated certificate of incorporation, as amended, and amended and restated bylaws, as amended, contain provisions that, among other things: - prohibit the transfer of any shares of Harbor's capital stock that would result in: (i) any person or entity becoming a "Five-Percent Stockholder" (as defined under Treasury Regulation Section 1.382-T(g)) of Harbor's then- outstanding capital stock, or (ii) an increase in the percentage ownership of any person or entity who is already a "Five-Percent Stockholder" of Harbor's then-outstanding capital stock;- authorize the board of directors, without stockholder approval, to authorize and issue preferred stock with powers, preferences and rights that may be senior to Harbor's common stock, that could dilute the interest of, or impair the voting power of, holders of Harbor's common stock and could also have the effect of discouraging, delaying or preventing a change of control;- establish advance notice procedures that stockholders must comply with in order to nominate candidates to the board of directors and propose matters to be brought before an annual or special meeting of Harbor's stockholders, which may discourage or deter a potential acquirer from conducting a solicitation of proxies to elect the acquirer's own slate of directors or otherwise attempting to obtain control of the Company;- give the board of directors exclusive authority to set the number of directors and increase or decrease the number of directors by one or more resolutions, which may prevent stockholders from being able to fill vacancies on the board of directors;- authorize a majority of the board of directors to appoint a director to fill a vacancy created by the expansion of the board of directors or the resignation, death, or removal of a director, which may prevent stockholders from being able to fill vacancies on the board of directors; and - restrict the ability of stockholders to call special meetings of stockholders. In addition, the American capacity purchase agreement provides that certain changes of control of Air Wisconsin give American the right to terminate the agreement. These provisions may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control of the Company, creating a perception that a change in control cannot occur, or otherwise discouraging takeover attempts that some stockholders may consider beneficial, any of which could adversely affect the trading price of Harbor's common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
As a "smaller reporting company," Harbor has availed itself of reduced disclosure requirements, which may make Harbor's common stock less attractive to investors.
Harbor is a "smaller reporting company" under applicable SEC rules and regulations, and it will continue to be a "smaller reporting company" for so long as either: (i) the market value of Harbor's common stock held by non-affiliates as of the end of its most recently completed second quarter is less than $250 million or (ii) the market value of Harbor's common stock held by non-affiliates is less than $700 million and its annual revenues were less than $100 million during the most recently completed fiscal year. Because Amun and Southshore collectively hold a significant percentage of the outstanding shares of common stock of Harbor, it would require a significant increase in the market value of the common stock for Harbor to no longer qualify as a "smaller reporting company." As a "smaller reporting company," Harbor has relied on exemptions from certain disclosure requirements that are applicable to other public reporting companies. These exemptions include reduced financial disclosure and disclosure regarding executive compensation. Investors may find Harbor's common stock less attractive because it relies on these exemptions, which could lead to a less active trading market for Harbor's common stock and negatively impact the trading price. As previously discussed, Harbor does not have a class of securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) or 12(g) of the Exchange Act, which further reduces its disclosure obligations.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
Stock repurchases could increase the volatility of the trading price of Harbor's common stock, and we cannot guarantee that our stock repurchase program will enhance long-term stockholder value.
Harbor's board of directors adopted a stock repurchase program pursuant to which Harbor may repurchase shares of its common stock from time to time. From the inception of the program through December 31, 2023, Harbor has purchased approximately 11.7 million shares of its common stock pursuant to the program. Although the board of directors has authorized the repurchase program, it does not obligate us to repurchase any additional dollar amount or number of shares, and the program may be modified, suspended or terminated at any time and for any reason. The additional number of shares to be repurchased, and the timing of any such repurchases, will depend on a number of factors, including the trading price of the common stock, the Company's financial performance and liquidity position, general market conditions, applicable legal requirements and other factors. Our ability to repurchase shares may also be limited by restrictive covenants in future debt agreements or capacity purchase agreements (or similar agreements) we may enter into from time to time. Repurchases of Harbor's common stock could increase the volatility of the trading price and reduce the trading volume of the common stock, either of which could have a negative impact on the trading price. Similarly, the future announcement of the termination or suspension of the repurchase program, or our decision not to utilize the full authorized repurchase amount under the repurchase program, could result in a decrease in the trading price. There can be no assurance that any repurchases we do elect to make will enhance stockholder value because the market price of Harbor's common stock may decline below the levels at which we repurchased shares. We cannot guarantee that the repurchase program will enhance long-term stockholder value.
Accounting & Financial Operations5 | 13.2%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Complying with the requirements of public reporting companies under the Exchange Act, including the requirement for management to assess our disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting, could increase our operating costs and divert management's attention from executing our business strategy.
We are subject to the reporting requirements of Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act, which requires, among other things, that we file annual, quarterly, and current reports with the SEC with respect to our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, pursuant to SOX, we are required to assess the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures and our internal control over financial reporting. As a result of the determination that the previously issued consolidated financial statements for the Non-Reliance Periods should no longer be relied upon and that such financial statements should be restated, we concluded that we had a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting. As a result, we determined that our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of December 31, 2023. Compliance with these various reporting and compliance obligations has substantially increased our legal and financial compliance costs and increased demands on our management team, in particular as a result of the restatement. Significant additional resources and management oversight may be required to maintain and enhance our disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting in response to the determination that we have a material weakness, which could have an adverse impact on our business and operating results. Further, Harbor's status as a public reporting company and the risks associated with being a public reporting company, could make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified members of the board of directors and executive officers, and it may increase the cost of their services, as well as the cost of premiums for director and officer liability insurance.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Harbor currently does not intend to pay dividends on its common stock and, consequently, the only opportunity to achieve a return on an investment in Harbor's common stock may be the appreciation in value of Harbor's common stock.
Harbor has not historically paid dividends on shares of its common stock and does not expect to pay dividends in the foreseeable future. Any future determination by Harbor to pay dividends will be at the discretion of the board of directors and will depend on our results of operations, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, business prospects and such other factors as the board of directors deems relevant. Consequently, investors should consider that their only opportunity to achieve a positive return on their investment in Harbor's common stock may be the appreciation in value of the common stock. However, as a result of numerous risks and uncertainties described in this Annual Report, the trading price may not appreciate and may decline significantly.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Changed
The residual value of our aircraft, engines and parts may be less than estimated in our depreciation policies.
In accounting for long-lived assets, we make estimates about the expected useful lives of the assets, the expected residual values of certain of these assets, and the potential for impairment based on the fair value of the assets and the cash flows they generate. Factors indicating potential impairment include, but are not limited to, significant decreases in the market value of the long-lived assets, a significant change in the condition of the long-lived assets and operating cash flow losses associated with the use of the long-lived assets. For example, any of the following circumstances could cause us to reduce our estimates as to the useful life, residual value or cash flow potential of our aircraft or engines, which could require an impairment charge: - we add a new aircraft type to our fleet and reduce the number of our operating CRJ-200 regional jets;- the pilot shortage causes us to permanently retire some aircraft; or - a lack of demand for our aircraft or engine types reduces the proceeds we receive on disposition to less than we estimated. In addition, if Air Wisconsin were to reduce the number of CRJ-200 regional jets involved in its flying operations, Air Wisconsin may need to conduct quantitative tests for impairment of the CRJ-200 fleet and related assets. If the estimated residual value of any of our aircraft, engines or parts is determined to be lower than the residual value assumptions used in our depreciation policies, the aircraft, engines or parts may be impaired and may result in a material reduction in their book value, or we may need to prospectively modify our depreciation policies. An impairment on any of our aircraft, engines or parts or an increased level of depreciation expense resulting from a change to our depreciation policies could result in a material negative impact to our financial results. Air Wisconsin conducted a test for impairment of its fleet and related assets as of December 31, 2023.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4
Added
The restatement of our previously issued consolidated financial statements has been time consuming and expensive and may subject us to additional risks and uncertainties, including loss of investor confidence, and the increased possibility of litigation and regulatory inquiries.
As discussed above, we have restated our audited consolidated financial statements as of and for the year ended December 31, 2022 and our interim unaudited consolidated financial statements contained in the Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q as of and for the first three quarters of the years ended December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2023, which has been time consuming and expensive. The restatement may result in a loss of investor confidence in the accuracy of our financial disclosures and cause reputational risks for our business. In addition, we have incurred, and may continue to incur, significant costs for accounting, audit and legal fees in connection with or related to the restatement. For example, we have expended significant unanticipated fees for multiple accounting and legal advisors over a period of several months to assist with the application of technical accounting requirements. Finally, the restatement could subject us to additional risks and uncertainties, including the increased possibility of litigation, regulatory inquiries, or other matters. For example, we are aware of the filing of several lawsuits relating to the facts arising in connection with the restatement. Regardless of the merit of the claims raised, we expect to incur expenses, and for our management team to devote valuable resources, in connection with defending these claims.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 5
Added
We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting, which could, if not effectively remediated, result in additional restatements of our financial statements, and a failure to meet our reporting and financial obligations, each of which could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
As discussed above, our management has concluded that we did not maintain effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2023, due to a material weakness. The material weakness arose from our recognition of certain disputed revenues and related interest income under the United capacity purchase agreement. We have determined that the recognition of certain of the Disputed Amounts was inconsistent with the technical requirements of Accounting Standards Codification Topic 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers ("ASC 606"). We are actively engaged in implementing a remediation plan designed to address the material weakness and are committed to remediating it as promptly as possible. Because of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no evaluation or strengthening of controls can provide absolute assurance that all control failures within the Company have been or will be detected. Accounting standards are complex, and are subject to changing guidance and differing interpretations. Notwithstanding the exertion of significant effort and resources to interpret and apply accounting standards (and any related guidance), it is possible that they may be misinterpreted or misapplied, or that prior interpretations may be reconsidered and changed, which may result in technical accounting errors, as occurred with respect to our application of ASC 606. Any such accounting error could result in additional restatements of our previously issued consolidated financial statements. Accordingly, we cannot be certain that our efforts to remediate the identified material weakness will ensure effective internal control over financial reporting going forward. Our current conclusion regarding the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting, as well as any conclusion in any future period that our internal control over financial reporting is not effective, could cause investors to lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports, the trading price or trading volume of Harbor's common stock to decline, the SEC or other regulatory authorities to investigate or sanction us, and additional lawsuits relating to the facts arising in connection with the restatement. Any failure to improve our internal control over financial reporting could inhibit our ability to accurately report our financial condition and operating results. We also face risks associated with the cost of establishing, maintaining and enhancing effective internal control over financial reporting. We have invested, and expect to continue to invest significant resources in future years, to develop and maintain the necessary documentation and testing procedures required by Section 404(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Ensuring we have adequate internal financial and accounting controls and procedures in place to produce accurate financial statements on a timely basis is a costly and time-consuming effort.
Debt & Financing1 | 2.6%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Added
Air Wisconsin's ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms may be limited.
In December 2023, Air Wisconsin prepaid at a discount all of its outstanding third-party secured debt that had been incurred in connection with the acquisition of aircraft, which resulted in a significant reduction in its liquidity. While Air Wisconsin typically has financed its operations through operating cash flows, to the extent Air Wisconsin seeks to finance its future business activities or opportunities with additional debt, it would become subject to debt service obligations, as well as covenants that may restrict its business operations. Air Wisconsin's ability to pay any future debt service obligations, in addition to the high level of fixed costs associated with operating a regional airline, will depend on its operating performance, cash flows and ability to secure adequate financing, which will in turn depend on, among other things, the success of its current business strategy, availability and cost of financing, as well as general economic and political conditions and other factors that may be beyond its control. We cannot be certain Air Wisconsin's working capital and cash flows from operations will continue to be sufficient to make required payments under its contractual arrangements or to make debt service payments required by any new debt financing. If Air Wisconsin is unable to pay its debts as they come due or fails to comply with its obligations under any future debt agreements and is unable to obtain waivers of such defaults, its lender could foreclose on any of Air Wisconsin's assets securing such debt. Additionally, a failure to pay Air Wisconsin's property leases, future debt or other fixed cost obligations, or a breach of its other contractual obligations, could result in a variety of further adverse consequences, including the exercise of remedies by its creditors and lessors, such as acceleration. In such a situation, Air Wisconsin may not be able to cure its breach, fulfill its contractual obligations, make required lease payments or otherwise cover its fixed costs, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. In addition, the agreements that Air Wisconsin entered into with the Treasury during the COVID-19 pandemic for payroll support contained various covenants. If the Treasury determines that Air Wisconsin failed to comply with its obligations under those agreements, it may be required to repay the funds provided to it under those agreements. Any such default, acceleration, insolvency or failure to comply would likely have a material adverse effect on our business.
Corporate Activity and Growth2 | 5.3%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Disagreements regarding the interpretation of our capacity purchase agreements could have an adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition.
Complex agreements, such as capacity purchase agreements, are subject to interpretation, and disputes may arise if the parties apply different interpretations to such agreements. It is possible that a dispute could arise with respect to the American capacity purchase agreement which could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Prior to the termination of the United capacity purchase agreement, a dispute arose pursuant to which Air Wisconsin claimed that United owed it certain amounts under the agreement. United denied that it owed those amounts and claimed that Air Wisconsin improperly terminated the agreement and that Air Wisconsin owed it certain amounts for the alleged wrongful termination. In October 2022, United initiated arbitration under the agreement. The arbitrators denied Air Wisconsin's claims that United owed it amounts under the United capacity purchase agreement, and they denied United's claim that Air Wisconsin breached the agreement by terminating it and its claim that Air Wisconsin owed it damages. As a result, neither party owes to the other party any amounts claimed in the arbitration. However, the dispute required us to expend valuable management time and financial resources.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Air Wisconsin's current and future growth opportunities may be limited by a number of factors impacting American or the airline industry generally.
Growth opportunities within American's current flight network may be limited by various factors, including "scope" clauses in its collective bargaining agreements with its pilots that restrict the number and size of regional jets that may be operated in its flight systems that are not flown by its pilots. These clauses could limit Air Wisconsin's ability to operate additional aircraft for American, which would limit Air Wisconsin's expansion opportunities. American is under no obligation to provide Air Wisconsin with an opportunity to fly additional aircraft within its system or to otherwise expand its relationship with Air Wisconsin. Air Wisconsin's ability to expand its operations in the future may be limited by a number of factors impacting the airline industry, including pilot and mechanic shortages, access to airport terminals and facilities, capital expenditures required to maintain or expand fleet operations, significant changes in fuel prices or other variable costs, regulatory changes, changes in the availability of necessary parts and equipment, and intense competition and pricing pressure. Given the competitive nature of the airline industry, we believe limited growth opportunities exist and as a result Air Wisconsin may be required to accept less favorable contract terms to secure new or additional flying opportunities. In addition, due to the stated intentions of the major airlines to significantly reduce or retire their use of single class 50-seat aircraft, there may not be substitute flying opportunities with major airlines. Further, even if Air Wisconsin is offered the ability to pursue growth opportunities in the future, they may involve economic terms or financing commitments that are unfavorable to Air Wisconsin or do not result in profitable operations.
Production
Total Risks: 8/38 (21%)Above Sector Average
Employment / Personnel3 | 7.9%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Changed
A significant majority of Air Wisconsin's workforce is represented by labor unions, and the terms of Air Wisconsin's collective bargaining agreements may increase our operating expenses and negatively impact our financial results.
A significant majority of Air Wisconsin's employees are represented by labor unions, including the Air Line Pilots Association, International ("ALPA"), the Association of Flight Attendants ("AFA"), the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers AFL-CIO ("IAMAW"), and the Transport Workers Union of America ("TWU"). The terms and conditions of future collective bargaining agreements may be affected by the results of collective bargaining negotiations at other airlines that may have a greater ability, due to larger scale, greater efficiency, or other factors, to bear higher costs than Air Wisconsin, which are likely to result in higher industry wages and increased pressure on Air Wisconsin to increase the wages and benefits of its employees. Future agreements may be on terms that are less favorable to Air Wisconsin than its current agreements or not comparable to agreements entered into by its competitors. Moreover, we cannot predict the outcome of any future negotiations relating to union representation or collective bargaining agreements. Any future agreements reached in collective bargaining may increase our operating expenses and negatively impact our financial results. If Air Wisconsin is unable to reach agreement with any of its unionized work groups in current or future negotiations regarding the terms of their collective bargaining agreements, it may be subject to work interruptions, stoppages or shortages.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Changed
Air Wisconsin may continue to experience difficulty hiring, training and retaining a sufficient number of qualified pilots and mechanics, which may negatively affect Air Wisconsin's operations and our financial condition.
Historically, the supply of qualified pilots to the airline industry has been limited, which has created difficulty hiring, training and retaining a sufficient number of qualified pilots. In July 2013, the FAA issued stringent pilot qualification and crew member flight training standards, which increased the required training time for new airline pilots (the "FAA Qualification Standards"), and the FAA also mandated stricter rules to minimize pilot fatigue, increasing the number of pilots required to be employed for Air Wisconsin's operations and correspondingly increasing Air Wisconsin's labor costs. During the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic, for many reasons, such as reduced flying opportunities, early retirement benefits offered by some airlines, travel restrictions and COVID-19 vaccine mandates, many pilots decided to retire or seek employment in other industries. As passenger demand for air travel has increased, Air Wisconsin and other airlines have experienced challenges hiring and maintaining sufficient numbers of qualified pilots due to that attrition as well as historical factors, including the increased flight hour requirements under the FAA Qualification Standards and the statutory mandatory retirement age of 65. Air Wisconsin has also experienced challenges with pilot attrition to other airlines. In addition, now that Air Wisconsin is no longer flying for United, United could increase the number of Air Wisconsin pilots it hires, which could restrict the number of flights Air Wisconsin can fly for American. The pilot shortage is particularly critical at the captain level. Air Wisconsin has historically expended significant resources to recruit and train pilots, including as a result of recent significant upward pressure on pilot compensation at certain regional airlines and limited availability of flight simulators and instructors. As part of the collective bargaining agreement Air Wisconsin entered into with its pilot group in October 2023, Air Wisconsin has increased its pilot compensation substantially, but it continues to evaluate the pilot market and may continue to experience additional cost increases in the future. Since the American capacity purchase agreement does not require an increase in the amounts paid to Air Wisconsin as Air Wisconsin increases the amount of pilot compensation, these increases could have an adverse impact on our financial condition and operating results. Under the American capacity purchase agreement, American is required to pay Air Wisconsin a fixed amount each month for each covered aircraft. However, no monthly payment is required for aircraft that do not meet certain minimum block hour utilization thresholds, and in certain circumstances American can elect to remove those aircraft from coverage under the agreement. Accordingly, if Air Wisconsin is not able to hire and retain a sufficient number of pilots, it will not receive compensation for all aircraft otherwise covered by the American capacity purchase agreement and it may suffer a reduction in the number of aircraft covered by the agreement, either of which could have an adverse impact on our business and operations. Air Wisconsin has also recently experienced difficulty hiring and retaining qualified mechanics to service its aircraft, due to a variety of factors, including voluntary retirement decisions, decisions not to return after furloughs during the COVID-19 pandemic, decisions to leave the airline industry, and the hiring needs of other airlines. There is also a risk that more mechanics may decide to leave the airline industry. Air Wisconsin has increased its mechanic wages, along with offering other hiring incentives, and may continue to experience additional cost increases in the future. If Air Wisconsin is unable to hire and retain a sufficient number of qualified mechanics, it could have an adverse impact on our business and operations. If future pilot or mechanic attrition rates outpace Air Wisconsin's ability to hire and retain qualified pilots and mechanics, Air Wisconsin may need to continue to increase its labor costs to attract and retain sufficient qualified pilots and mechanics, which would negatively impact our operating results. Air Wisconsin may also be required to reduce the number of block hours flown under the American capacity purchase agreement, which would reduce our revenues and possibly trigger the payment of performance penalties.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
The loss of key personnel upon whom Air Wisconsin depends to operate its business or the inability to attract additional qualified personnel could adversely affect our business.
Our future success depends on our ability to retain or attract highly qualified management, technical and other personnel. We may not be successful in retaining key personnel or in attracting other highly qualified personnel. Any inability to attract or retain qualified management personnel and other employees, or any significant increases in the costs associated with recruiting or retaining qualified employees, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Supply Chain2 | 5.3%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Air Wisconsin currently operates only one aircraft type, and relies on one aircraft manufacturer and one engine manufacturer, and any operating restrictions or safety concerns applicable to this aircraft or engine type, or any failure to receive sufficient maintenance and support services from these manufacturers, would negatively impact our business and financial condition.
Air Wisconsin currently relies on a single aircraft type, the CRJ-200 regional jet, and a single engine type, the General Electric ("GE") CF34-3B1 engine. The issuance of FAA or manufacturer directives restricting or prohibiting the use of this aircraft type or engine type, or Air Wisconsin's inability to obtain necessary parts and services related to this aircraft type or engine type, would negatively impact our business and financial results. In addition, any concerns raised regarding the safety or reliability of the CRJ-200 regional jet or the GE CF34-3B1 engine, whether or not directly associated with Air Wisconsin's fleet, could result in concerns about Air Wisconsin's fleet that could negatively impact our business. Air Wisconsin has been highly dependent upon Bombardier, as the sole manufacturer of Air Wisconsin's aircraft, and GE, as the sole manufacturer of Air Wisconsin's aircraft engines, to provide sufficient parts and related maintenance and support services to it in a timely manner. In June 2020, Bombardier consummated an agreement with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd ("Mitsubishi"), pursuant to which Mitsubishi purchased Bombardier's regional jet program, including all aspects of the CRJ-200 regional jet, such as type certificates, maintenance, support, refurbishment, marketing and sales activities. Air Wisconsin's operations could be materially and adversely affected by the failure or inability of Mitsubishi or GE to provide required maintenance or support services, or as a result of unscheduled or unanticipated maintenance requirements for Air Wisconsin's aircraft or engines.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Changed
If American continues to provide Air Wisconsin with inefficient flight schedules, or makes certain changes to the expected utilization of Air Wisconsin's aircraft under the American capacity purchase agreement, our business, financial condition and results of operations may be adversely affected.
Under the terms of the American capacity purchase agreement, American has the ability to schedule Air Wisconsin's flights in any manner that serves its purposes, subject to certain scheduling procedures. American may continue to schedule Air Wisconsin's flights in a manner that creates operational inefficiencies for Air Wisconsin, such as by building in long crew layovers or overnights, which could cause crew staffing issues and result in limited crew availability to fly other scheduled Air Wisconsin flights, or by providing Air Wisconsin with flight schedules that are inconsistent with Air Wisconsin's existing operational footprint. These scheduling inefficiencies could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Certain factors may lead American to modify the anticipated utilization of Air Wisconsin's aircraft, some of which are beyond Air Wisconsin's control. Any factors that cause American to schedule the utilization of Air Wisconsin's aircraft on routes or at frequencies materially different than we have forecasted could further reduce our ability to realize operating efficiencies, which would continue to negatively impact our financial condition and operating results. The actual number of flights American schedules under the American capacity purchase agreement in any particular period may be significantly different from the number of flights we initially anticipated or which American initially communicated for the period.
Costs3 | 7.9%
Costs - Risk 1
Changed
Maintenance costs and delays may increase further as Air Wisconsin's fleet continues to age, and out-of-service periods may result in aircraft being unavailable for flying.
Most of Air Wisconsin's CRJ-200 regional jets were manufactured between 1999 and 2004. As Air Wisconsin's fleet continues to age, its maintenance costs will likely increase, both on an absolute basis and as a percentage of its operating expenses. Maintenance issues may result in out-of-service periods during which aircraft are dedicated to maintenance activities and unavailable for flying under the American capacity purchase agreement. There are also industry-wide supply chain issues and parts shortages that have lengthened the time to complete required maintenance. These industry-wide issues could increase Air Wisconsin's costs for maintenance and parts and possibly require it to renegotiate contracts with third-party providers to ensure their continued support of our programs. In addition, as noted above, there is an industry-wide shortage of aircraft mechanics. Air Wisconsin has increased its labor costs to attract and retain qualified mechanics. However, as passenger demand for air travel has increased and additional aircraft are brought back into service to address the increased demand, the turnaround time for routine and heavy maintenance has lengthened. As a result, Air Wisconsin has experienced, and may continue to experience, delays and increased costs in obtaining both in-house and third-party maintenance services. Any continued increase in Air Wisconsin's maintenance costs or decreased revenues or delays resulting in out-of-service periods could continue to have an adverse effect on our financial condition and operating results. Air Wisconsin has entered into agreements with third-party service providers to provide various services required for its operations, including airframe, engine and component maintenance and telecommunications and IT services, and it expects to enter into additional similar agreements in the future. If its third-party service providers terminate their contracts, or do not provide timely or consistently sufficient parts or high-quality maintenance and support services, Air Wisconsin may not be able to replace them in a cost-efficient manner or in a manner timely enough to support its operational needs, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Costs - Risk 2
Changed
The amounts Air Wisconsin receives under the American capacity purchase agreement may be less than the corresponding costs Air Wisconsin incurs.
Under the American capacity purchase agreement, a portion of the revenues Air Wisconsin receives is based upon predetermined rates calculated by reference to certain factors, such as the number of covered aircraft, the number of block hours flown and the number of departures. American is not required to pay certain amounts with respect to aircraft that do not meet certain minimum block hour utilization thresholds. The primary operating costs intended to be compensated by the predetermined rates include, among other things, salaries and benefits, training costs, crew room costs, maintenance expenses, simulator and spare parts costs, and overhead costs. If Air Wisconsin's costs for those items exceed the compensation paid under the agreement, our financial position and operating results will be negatively affected. For example, Air Wisconsin has experienced, and may continue to experience, upward pressure on pilot and mechanic compensation as it seeks to attract and retain qualified staff. The American capacity purchase agreement does not provide for adjustments for any resulting compensation increases and, therefore, such increases could negatively impact our operating results.
Costs - Risk 3
High and/or volatile fuel prices or significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel could have a material adverse impact on Air Wisconsin's operating results and financial condition and liquidity.
Although the American capacity purchase agreement provides that American pays third-party vendors for substantially all fuel used in the performance of the agreement, aircraft fuel is critical to Air Wisconsin's operations. The timely and adequate supply of fuel to meet operational demand depends on the continued availability of reliable fuel supply sources as well as related service and delivery infrastructure. Air Wisconsin can neither predict nor guarantee the continued timely availability of aircraft fuel throughout Air Wisconsin's system. Supplies and prices of fuel are also impacted by factors, such as geopolitical events, economic growth indicators, fiscal/monetary policies, fuel tax policies, changes in regulations, environmental concerns and financial investments in energy markets. Both actual changes in these factors, as well as changes in related market expectations, have and may continue to drive rapid changes in fuel prices in short periods of time. Rising fuel prices may lead to increases in airline fares or fees that may not be sustainable, may reduce the general demand for air travel and may eventually impact the amount of flying that American schedules Air Wisconsin to perform. Any such schedule reductions may impact Air Wisconsin's operating results. In addition, since single class 50-seat aircraft, such as those in Air Wisconsin's fleet, are less fuel efficient than certain larger aircraft, increased fuel costs affects Air Wisconsin's competitiveness in the industry.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 4/38 (11%)Below Sector Average
Regulation2 | 5.3%
Regulation - Risk 1
Air Wisconsin is subject to significant governmental regulation and potential regulatory changes.
All air carriers, including Air Wisconsin, are subject to regulation by the U.S. Department of Transportation ("DOT"), the FAA and other governmental agencies. Regulations promulgated by the DOT primarily relate to economic aspects of air service. The FAA is responsible for regulating and overseeing matters relating to the safety of air carrier flight operations, including the control of navigable air space, the qualification of flight personnel, flight training practices, compliance with FAA airline operating certificate requirements, aircraft certification and maintenance requirements. In addition, airports and municipalities enact rules and regulations that affect Air Wisconsin's operations. A decision by the FAA to ground, or require time consuming inspections of or maintenance on, all or any of Air Wisconsin's aircraft for any reason may have a material adverse effect on Air Wisconsin's operations and our financial condition. Further, Air Wisconsin's business may be subject to additional costs as a result of potential regulatory changes, which additional costs could have an adverse effect on our operating results.
Regulation - Risk 2
Added
American's decision to eliminate from its fleet all single-class 50-seat aircraft by 2030 may result in the termination of the American capacity purchase agreement, limit Air Wisconsin's opportunities for growth with American, and make it more difficult to enter into substitute arrangements with another airline.
American has announced that its long-term fleet strategy involves eliminating from its fleet by 2030 all single class 50-seat aircraft, which includes the CRJ-200 regional jet comprising the Air Wisconsin fleet. As a result of this decision American could decide to terminate, or to not renew or extend, the American capacity purchase agreement. If that were to occur, our business would be significantly impacted, it is unlikely we would have an immediate source of revenues or earnings to offset the financial impact, and we may need to implement significant changes to our business strategy. Alternatively, American could agree to extend the agreement, but on terms materially different from the current agreement. United Airlines has also announced that it intends to significantly reduce the number of single class 50-seat aircraft in its fleet, and Delta Airlines has retired all of the single class 50-seat aircraft in its fleet. Therefore, Air Wisconsin may not be able to enter into substitute arrangements with other airlines, and any arrangements it is able to secure may not be as favorable to us as the current American capacity purchase agreement. Since our primary business strategy currently involves flying single class 50-seat aircraft, the publicly announced fleet strategy changes by several major carriers, including Air Wisconsin's sole airline partner, represent a substantial risk to our business.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 2.6%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
Harbor may be at increased risk of securities class action and other litigation.
Securities class action litigation may be instituted against companies following periods of volatility in the overall market and in the price of a company's securities. As a result of our compliance with Exchange Act reporting obligations, a significant amount of information regarding our business and operations, including our financial condition and operating results, is publicly available, which may result in threatened or actual litigation or other disputes with our stockholders, employees or other constituents. For example, we are aware of the filing of several lawsuits relating to facts arising in connection with the restatement of our previously issued consolidated financial statements. If such claims are successful, our business and results of operations could suffer. Even if the claims are resolved in our favor, these lawsuits could result in substantial costs and a diversion of management's attention, which could harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Environmental / Social1 | 2.6%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Air Wisconsin is subject to various environmental and noise laws and regulations, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Air Wisconsin is subject to federal, state, local and foreign laws, regulations and ordinances relating to the protection of the environment and noise, including those relating to emissions to the air, discharges to surface and subsurface waters, safe drinking water and the use, management, disposal and release of, and exposure to, hazardous substances, oils and waste materials. Certain legislative bodies and regulatory authorities are increasingly focused on climate change and have taken actions to implement additional laws, regulations, and programs intended to protect the environment. For example, the federal government, as well as several state and local governments, have implemented legislative and regulatory proposals and voluntary measures intended to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Compliance with laws, regulations, and other programs intended to reduce emissions or otherwise protect the environment may require Air Wisconsin to reduce its emissions, secure carbon offset credits or otherwise pay for emissions, or make capital investments to modify certain aspects of its operations to reduce emissions. Future policy, legal, and regulatory developments relating to the protection of the environment could have a direct effect on Air Wisconsin's operations (or an indirect effect through its third-party providers of parts or services or airport facilities at which it operates) and increase its costs and have a material adverse effect on its operations. Any such developments could have an adverse impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Air Wisconsin is also subject to environmental laws and regulations that require it to investigate and remediate soil or groundwater contamination to meet certain remediation standards. Under certain laws, generators of waste materials, and current and former owners or operators of facilities, can be subject to liability for investigation and remediation costs at locations that have been identified as requiring response actions. Liability under these laws may be strict and joint and several, meaning that Air Wisconsin could be liable for the costs of cleaning up environmental contamination regardless of fault or the amount of contamination directly attributable to it, which liability could have an adverse impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 4/38 (11%)Below Sector Average
Natural and Human Disruptions4 | 10.5%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Changed
New variants of COVID-19, or the outbreak of another disease or similar public health threat that we may face in the future, could result in additional adverse effects on the business, operating results, financial condition and liquidity of Air Wisconsin and American.
With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, airlines experienced a significant decline in domestic and international demand. New variants of COVID-19 or an outbreak of another disease or similar public health threat, or any other event that would affect consumer demand for air travel or impose travel restrictions, could have a material adverse impact on our business, operating results, financial condition and liquidity, as well as those of American.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Added
Interruptions or disruptions in service at an American hub airport could have a material adverse impact on our operations.
Currently, Air Wisconsin provides regional airline services for American primarily based at Chicago O'Hare International Airport. A significant interruption or disruption in service in Chicago or another American hub resulting from air traffic control delays, weather conditions, natural disasters, growth constraints, relations with third-party vendors, failure of computer systems, facility disruptions, labor relations, power supplies, fuel supplies, terrorist activities, or otherwise could result in a severe disruption of our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 3
Terrorist activities or warnings have dramatically impacted the airline industry and will likely continue to do so.
The terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 and their aftermath negatively impacted the airline industry in general. If additional terrorist attacks are launched, there may be lasting consequences, which may include loss of life, property damage, increased security measures, higher insurance costs, increased concerns about future terrorist attacks and additional government regulation, among other factors. Additional terrorist attacks, and warnings that such attacks may occur, could negatively impact the airline industry and result in decreased passenger traffic, increased flight delays or cancellations, as well as increased security, fuel and other costs whether or not involving Air Wisconsin's aircraft, could have a material adverse impact on our business and operations. Increased global political instability, including the outbreak of war and hostilities, could result in an increased risk of terrorist activities.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 4
The occurrence of an aviation accident or incident involving Air Wisconsin or its aircraft or engine type could negatively impact our business, financial condition and operating results.
An accident or incident involving Air Wisconsin's aircraft could result in significant potential claims of injured passengers and others, as well as negative impacts on its operations resulting from the repair or replacement of a damaged aircraft and its consequential temporary or permanent loss from service. If substantial claims resulting from an accident are made in excess of our related liability insurance coverage, then our operational and financial results would be harmed. Moreover, any aircraft accident or incident, even if fully insured, could cause a public perception that Air Wisconsin's operations are less safe or reliable than other airlines, which could negatively impact our business, financial condition and operating results. Given that Air Wisconsin currently operates a single aircraft and engine type, any accident or incident involving the CRJ-200 regional jet aircraft type or the GE CF-34 engine type, whether or not operated by Air Wisconsin, may result in Air Wisconsin temporarily or permanently suspending service on all or a large portion of its fleet. Any grounding of Air Wisconsin's aircraft could have an adverse impact on Air Wisconsin's operations, its relationship with American, and our financial results. In addition, certain groundings of Air Wisconsin's aircraft would provide American the right to terminate the American capacity purchase agreement. Further, any accident or incident involving a CRJ-200 regional jet, regardless of the operator or geographic location of the incident, could cause a public perception that the aircraft type is less safe and reliable than other aircraft types, which could negatively impact our business, financial condition and operating results. Any such accident or incident could result in an acceleration of the implementation of fleet strategy changes by major air carriers that would reduce or eliminate the use of 50-seat aircraft, including the CRJ-200 regional jet.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 3/38 (8%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.6%
Competition - Risk 1
The airline industry is highly competitive and has undergone a period of consolidation and transition leaving fewer potential major airline partners.
The airline industry is highly competitive. Air Wisconsin competes primarily with other regional airlines, some of which are owned or operated by major airlines. The airline industry has undergone substantial consolidation, including the mergers between Alaska Airlines and Virgin America, American Airlines and US Airways, Southwest and AirTran Airways, United and Continental Airlines, and Delta and Northwest Airlines. Any additional consolidation or significant alliance activity within the airline industry could further limit the number of potential airline partners with whom Air Wisconsin could enter into commercial agreements. In addition, any further consolidation activity involving American, reduction in the size of its network or decision to accelerate the implementation of its long-term fleet strategy to eliminate single class 50-seat aircraft such as the CRJ-200 regional jet, could alter its business strategy or its perception of the value of its relationship with Air Wisconsin, which could result in the termination of the American capacity purchase agreement and limit opportunities for Air Wisconsin to continue to provide service to American. Similarly, any further consolidation or restructuring of any major air carrier's regional jet programs could negatively impact Air Wisconsin's future growth opportunities.
Demand1 | 2.6%
Demand - Risk 1
The airline industry is often negatively impacted by numerous factors that could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
The airline business is affected by numerous factors, many of which are beyond Air Wisconsin's control, including air traffic congestion at airports, air traffic control inefficiencies, adverse weather conditions, natural disasters, facility disruptions, acts of war or terrorism, increased security measures, and the outbreak of disease. Factors that cause flight delays or cancellations frustrate passengers, increase operating costs and decrease revenues, which in turn adversely affect profitability. Because Air Wisconsin's revenues depend to a large extent on Air Wisconsin's completion of flights and certain service factors, any of these factors could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. In addition to the factors noted above, Air Wisconsin's operations and our financial condition are currently affected, and may in the future be affected, by many other factors and conditions beyond Air Wisconsin's control, including, among others: - the acute on-going shortage of qualified pilots and mechanics, and resulting increases in compensation and the continuing pressure to significantly increase wages in the industry;- actual or potential changes in political conditions, including wars, outbreak of hostilities, terrorism, or government sanctions;- air traffic control delays or disruptions;- changes in demand for airline travel or tourism, consumer preferences, or demographic trends;- changes in the competitive environment due to pricing, industry consolidation, or other factors;- labor disputes, strikes, work stoppages, or similar matters impacting employees;- although the FAA and the telecommunications industry have reached an interim agreement with respect to 5G deployment, interference with aviation equipment from the deployment of 5G wireless telecommunications systems remains a risk and additional review will be required once the interim agreement expires; and - actual or potential changes in economic conditions, including rising fuel and other commodity prices, currency exchange rate fluctuations, increasing interest rates, inflation, changes in discretionary spending and consumer confidence. The occurrence of any or all of such factors or conditions could materially and adversely affect its operations and our financial condition.
Sales & Marketing1 | 2.6%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Changed
Our business is highly dependent on the American capacity purchase agreement because American is now Air Wisconsin's sole airline partner.
Prior to March 2023, we derived nearly all of our operating revenues from the United capacity purchase agreement because United was Air Wisconsin's sole airline partner. Air Wisconsin ceased flying for United in early June 2023. Since then, we have derived nearly all of our operating revenues from the American capacity purchase agreement as American is currently Air Wisconsin's sole airline partner. Pursuant to the American capacity purchase agreement, American is permitted to terminate the agreement or remove aircraft that would otherwise be covered under the agreement prior to the expiration of its term in certain circumstances, including upon Air Wisconsin's material breach of the agreement, Air Wisconsin's inability to operate a certain number of aircraft, Air Wisconsin's failure to meet certain operating performance benchmarks for specified periods and certain changes of control of Air Wisconsin. In addition, American and Air Wisconsin each have the right to terminate the agreement for any reason after a certain date prior to the specified termination date. If American terminates the American capacity purchase agreement, our business, financial condition, results of operations and liquidity would be significantly negatively impacted, and we would need to implement significant changes to our business strategy. We depend on American electing to contract with us instead of operating its own regional jets or operating through its wholly owned regional subsidiaries, Envoy Air, PSA Airlines and Piedmont Airlines. We have no guarantee that American will choose to enter into new contracts with us, or renew or extend the American capacity purchase agreement, instead of operating its own regional jets, allocating flying to its wholly-owned regional airlines, or contracting with competing regional airlines. A decision by American to phase out or limit the aircraft covered by the American capacity purchase agreement, to terminate the agreement, or to enter into similar agreements with our competitors would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Any events that negatively impact the financial or operating performance of American could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. American could be materially and adversely impacted, directly or indirectly, by new variants of COVID-19 or other infectious diseases, worldwide political or economic changes or instability, including those associated with the outbreak of war or hostilities, government sanctions, travel restrictions, rising fuel and other commodity prices, currency exchange rate fluctuations, increasing interest rates and inflation. If American were to experience significant financial difficulties as a result of these or other reasons, it could negatively impact American's ability to meet its financial obligations under the American capacity purchase agreement or alter its business strategy as it applies to regional airlines. Further, if American were to become bankrupt, the American capacity purchase agreement may not be assumed in bankruptcy and could be terminated, and such termination would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 1/38 (3%)Below Sector Average
Cyber Security1 | 2.6%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Information technology security breaches, hardware or software failures, or other information technology infrastructure disruptions may negatively impact Air Wisconsin's business, operations and financial condition.
The performance and reliability of Air Wisconsin's, American's, and third-party service providers' technology is critical to Air Wisconsin's ability to compete effectively. Any internal technological error, failure or large-scale external interruption in the information systems, networks, hardware, software and technological infrastructure Air Wisconsin depends on, such as U.S. air traffic control systems, power, telecommunications or the internet (collectively, "IT Systems"), may disrupt Air Wisconsin's internal network, impact its ability to conduct its business and safely operate its flights, lower its utilization of aircraft, and result in increased costs or penalties. Air Wisconsin's IT Systems (including American systems or those provided by third parties) may be vulnerable to a variety of sources of interruption due to events beyond its control, including natural disasters, terrorist attacks, telecommunications or IT System failures, computer viruses, cyber criminals and other security issues. In addition, Air Wisconsin faces numerous and evolving cybersecurity risks that threaten the security, confidentiality, integrity and availability of its IT Systems, including from diverse threat actors such as state-sponsored organizations, opportunistic hackers and hacktivists, as well as through diverse attack vectors, such as social engineering/phishing, security breaches, malfeasance by insiders, human or technological error, computer viruses, malicious or destructive code, misconfigurations, "bugs" or other vulnerabilities in commercial software that is integrated into Air Wisconsin's, American's, or third-party service providers' IT Systems, products or services, malware (including ransomware) and other attacks, including through fraud or other means of deception. The methods used to obtain unauthorized access, disable or degrade service or attack or sabotage systems are constantly evolving, and threat actors are becoming increasingly sophisticated in using techniques and tools – including artificial intelligence – that circumvent security controls, evade detection and remove forensic evidence. As a result Air Wisconsin may be unable to anticipate or to detect, investigate, remediate or recover from attacks or incidents for long periods of time. Further, Air Wisconsin may not be able to prevent all data breaches, misuses of data or other cybersecurity incidents. There can be no assurance that our cybersecurity risk management program and processes, including Air Wisconsin's policies, controls or procedures, will be fully implemented, complied with or effective in protecting our IT Systems. Because Air Wisconsin relies on third-party vendors and service providers for functions critical to its business, including information technology infrastructure and services, successful cyberattacks that disrupt or result in unauthorized access to third-party IT Systems can materially impact its operations and financial results. Remote and hybrid working arrangements at Air Wisconsin (and at many third-party service providers) also increase cybersecurity risks due to the challenges associated with managing remote computing assets and security vulnerabilities that are present in many non-corporate and home networks. Certain Air Wisconsin third-party service providers have experienced cybersecurity incidents, and Air Wisconsin expect such incidents to continue in varying degrees. While to date no incidents have had a material impact on Air Wisconsin's operations or our financial results, we cannot guarantee that material incidents will not occur in the future. Any cybersecurity incident or other adverse impact to the availability, integrity or confidentiality of Air Wisconsin's IT Systems could compromise our ability to operate flights or technology systems, result in legal claims or proceedings, regulatory investigations and enforcement actions, liability or regulatory penalties, disruption to its operations, damage to its reputation, and/or significant incident response, system restoration or remediation and future compliance costs. Any or all of the foregoing could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. Laws, regulations and other requirements relating to the privacy, security and handling of information about individuals, and the application and interpretation of those requirements, are constantly evolving. There has been heightened legal and regulatory focus on data privacy and security, including in relation to cybersecurity incidents, and it is possible that new laws or regulations or interpretations may require us to incur significant costs, implement new processes or change our handling of information and business operations. Any failure or perceived failure to comply with laws, regulations and other requirements relating to the privacy, security and handling of information could result in legal claims or proceedings, regulatory investigations or enforcement actions. We could incur significant costs in investigating and defending such claims and, if found liable, pay significant damages or fines or be required to make changes to our business. If any of these events were to occur, our business, results of operations, and financial condition could be materially adversely affected.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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