Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Canada Goose Holdings disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Canada Goose Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Risk Overview Q1, 2024
Risk Distribution
31% Finance & Corporate
19% Production
17% Legal & Regulatory
15% Ability to Sell
10% Macro & Political
8% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Canada Goose Holdings Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q1, 2024
Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 15 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 15 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
48
-5
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
48
-5
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
6Risks added
11Risks removed
5Risks changed
Since Mar 2024
6Risks added
11Risks removed
5Risks changed
Since Mar 2024
Number of Risk Changed
5
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
5
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Canada Goose Holdings in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 48
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 15/48 (31%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights8 | 16.7%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our constating documents permit us to issue an unlimited number of subordinate voting shares and multiple voting shares without additional shareholder approval.
We may, from time to time, issue additional subordinate voting shares in the future. Subject to the requirements of the NYSE and the TSX, we will not be required to obtain the approval of shareholders for the issuance of additional subordinate voting shares. Although the rules of the TSX generally prohibit us from issuing additional multiple voting shares, there may be certain circumstances where additional multiple voting shares may be issued, including upon receiving shareholder approval. Any further issuances of subordinate voting shares or multiple voting shares will result in immediate dilution to existing shareholders and may have an adverse effect on the value of their shareholdings. Additionally, any further issuances of multiple voting shares may significantly lessen the combined voting power of our subordinate voting shares due to the 10-to-1 voting ratio between our multiple voting shares and subordinate voting shares.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
If securities or industry analysts cease publishing research or reports about us, our business or our market, or if they change their recommendations regarding our subordinate voting shares adversely, the price and trading volume of our subordinate voting shares could decline.
The trading market for our subordinate voting shares is influenced by the research and reports that industry or securities analysts publish about us, our business, our market or our competitors. If any of the analysts who cover us or may cover us in the future change their recommendation regarding our subordinate voting shares adversely, or provide more favorable relative recommendations about our competitors, the price of our subordinate voting shares may decline. If any analyst who covers us or may cover us in the future were to cease coverage of our company or fail to regularly publish reports on us, we could lose visibility in the financial markets, which in turn could cause the price or trading volume of our subordinate voting shares to decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Because we are a corporation incorporated in British Columbia and some of our directors and officers are resident in Canada, it may be difficult for investors in the United States to enforce civil liabilities against us based solely upon the federal securities laws of the United States. Similarly, it may be difficult for Canadian investors to enforce civil liabilities against our directors and officers residing outside of Canada.
We are a corporation incorporated under the laws of British Columbia with our principal place of business in Toronto, Canada. Some of our directors and officers and the auditors or other experts named herein are residents of Canada and all or a substantial portion of our assets and those of such persons are located outside the United States. Consequently, it may be difficult for U.S. investors to effect service of process within the United States upon us or our directors or officers or such auditors who are not residents of the United States, or to realize in the United States upon judgments of courts of the United States predicated upon civil liabilities under the Securities Act. Investors should not assume that Canadian courts: (1) would enforce judgments of U.S. courts obtained in actions against us or such persons predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws or the securities or blue sky laws of any state within the United States or (2) would enforce, in original actions, liabilities against us or such persons predicated upon the U.S. federal securities laws or any such state securities or blue sky laws.
Similarly, some of our directors and officers are residents of countries other than Canada and all or a substantial portion of the assets of such persons are located outside Canada. As a result, it may be difficult for Canadian investors to initiate a lawsuit within Canada against these non-Canadian residents. In addition, it may not be possible for Canadian investors to collect from these non-Canadian residents judgments obtained in courts in Canada predicated on the civil liability provisions of securities legislation of certain of the provinces and territories of Canada. It may also be difficult for Canadian investors to succeed in a lawsuit in the United States, based solely on violations of Canadian securities laws.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
As a foreign private issuer, we are exempt from certain U.S. securities law disclosure requirements that apply to a domestic U.S. issuer, which may limit the information publicly available to our shareholders.
As a foreign private issuer we are not required to comply with all of the periodic disclosure and current reporting requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended ("Exchange Act") and therefore there may be less publicly available information about us than if we were a U.S. domestic issuer. For example, we are not subject to the proxy rules in the United States and disclosure with respect to our annual meetings and any special meeting of shareholders will be governed by Canadian requirements. In addition, our officers, directors and principal shareholders are exempt from the reporting and short-swing profit recovery provisions of Section 16 of the Exchange Act and the rules thereunder. Furthermore, as a foreign private issuer, we may take advantage of certain provisions in the NYSE listing rules that allow us to follow Canadian law for certain governance matters.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
We are a controlled company within the meaning of the NYSE listing rules and, as a result, will qualify for, and intend to rely on, exemptions from certain corporate governance requirements. Our shareholders will not have the same protections afforded to shareholders of companies that are subject to such requirements.
We are a controlled company within the meaning of the corporate governance standards of the NYSE. Under these rules, a company of which more than 50% of the voting power for the election of directors is held by an individual, group or another company is a controlled company and may elect not to comply with certain corporate governance requirements, including the requirements that:
- we have a compensation committee that is composed entirely of independent directors; and - we have a nominating and governance committee that is composed entirely of independent directors.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Bain Capital is expected to continue to have significant influence over us in the future, including control over decisions that require the approval of shareholders, which could limit shareholders' ability to influence the outcome of matters submitted to shareholders for a vote.
We are currently controlled by Bain Capital. As of March 31, 2024, Bain Capital beneficially owned approximately 60.5% of our outstanding multiple voting shares, or approximately 55.6% of the combined voting power of our multiple voting shares and subordinate voting shares outstanding. In addition, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer beneficially owns approximately 39.5% of our outstanding multiple voting shares, or approximately 36.2% of the combined voting power of our multiple voting shares and outstanding voting shares. As long as Bain Capital owns or controls at least a majority of our outstanding voting power, it will have the ability to exercise substantial control over all corporate actions requiring shareholder approval, irrespective of how our other shareholders may vote, including the election and removal of directors and the size of our board of directors, any amendment of our notice of articles and articles, or the approval of any merger or other significant corporate transaction, including a sale of substantially all of our assets. Even if its ownership falls below 50% of the voting power of our outstanding multiple voting shares and subordinate voting shares, Bain Capital will continue to be able to strongly influence or effectively control our decisions. Bain Capital's multiple voting shares convert automatically to subordinate voting shares at the time that Bain Capital and its affiliates no longer beneficially own at least 15% of the outstanding subordinate voting shares and multiple voting shares on a non-diluted basis. Even once Bain Capital's multiple voting shares convert into subordinate voting shares, we may continue to be a controlled company so long as an entity controlled by our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer continues to hold multiple voting shares.
Additionally, Bain Capital's interests may not align with the interests of our other shareholders. Bain Capital is in the business of making investments in companies and may acquire and hold interests in businesses that compete directly or indirectly with us. Bain Capital may also pursue acquisition opportunities that may be complementary to our business, and, as a result, those acquisition opportunities may not be available to us.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
The dual-class structure contained in our articles has the effect of concentrating voting control and the ability to influence corporate matters with Bain Capital and our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, who held our shares prior to our initial public offering.
Our multiple voting shares have 10 votes per share and our subordinate voting shares have 1 vote per share. As of March 31, 2024, shareholders who hold multiple voting shares (Bain Capital and our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer (including their respective affiliates)), together hold approximately 91.8% of the voting power of our outstanding voting shares and therefore have significant influence over our management and affairs and over all matters requiring shareholder approval, including the election of directors and significant corporate transactions.
In addition, because of the 10-to-1 voting ratio between our multiple voting shares and subordinate voting shares, the holders of our multiple voting shares will control a majority of the combined voting power of our voting shares even where the multiple voting shares represent a substantially reduced percentage of our total outstanding shares. The concentrated voting control of holders of our multiple voting shares limits the ability of holders of our subordinate voting shares to influence corporate matters for the foreseeable future, including the election of directors as well as with respect to decisions regarding amending of our share capital, creating and issuing additional classes of shares, making significant acquisitions, selling significant assets or parts of our business, merging with other companies and undertaking other significant transactions. As a result, holders of multiple voting shares will have the ability to influence or control many matters affecting us and actions may be taken that holders of our subordinate voting shares may not view as beneficial. The market price of our subordinate voting shares could be adversely affected due to the significant influence and voting power of the holders of multiple voting shares. Additionally, the significant voting interest of holders of multiple voting shares may discourage transactions involving a change of control, including transactions in which an investor, as a holder of the subordinate voting shares, might otherwise receive a premium for the subordinate voting shares over the then-current market price, or discourage competing proposals if a going private transaction is proposed by one or more holders of multiple voting shares.
Future transfers by holders of multiple voting shares, other than permitted transfers to such holders' respective affiliates or direct family members or to other permitted holders, will result in those shares automatically converting to subordinate voting shares, which will have the effect, over time, of increasing the relative voting power of those holders of multiple voting shares who retain their multiple voting shares.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
Increased scrutiny from investors and others regarding our environmental, social, governance, or sustainability responsibilities could result in additional costs or risks and adversely impact our reputation, employee retention, and willingness of customers and suppliers to do business with us.
Investor advocacy groups, certain institutional investors, investment funds, other market participants, stockholders, current and prospective employees, and customers have focused increasingly on the ESG or "sustainability" practices of companies, including those associated with climate change. These parties have placed increased importance on the implications of the social cost of their investments. If our ESG practices do not meet investor or other industry stakeholder expectations and standards, which continue to evolve, our brand, reputation and employee retention may be negatively impacted based on an assessment of our ESG practices. Any sustainability report which we publish or other sustainability disclosures we make may include our policies and practices on a variety of social and ethical matters, including corporate governance, environmental compliance, employee health and safety practices, human capital management, product quality, supply chain management, and workforce inclusion and diversity. For instance, we have ceased the use of fur in our products and, in fiscal 2022, we achieved certification under Responsible Down Standard, which stipulates that all down is a by-product of the poultry industry. Nonetheless, it is possible that stakeholders may not be satisfied with our ESG practices or the speed of their adoption. We could also incur additional costs and require additional resources to monitor, report, and comply with various ESG practices, including the integration of ESG into our financial reporting in due course. Further, our failure, or perceived failure, to meet the standards included in any sustainability disclosure could negatively impact our reputation, employee retention, and the willingness of our customers and suppliers to do business with us.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 6.3%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Any failure to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could have a material adverse effect on our ability to produce accurate and timely financial statements, which could harm our operating results, financial condition, and cash flows, our ability to operate our business and our reputation.
The process of designing and implementing effective internal controls is a continuous effort that requires us to anticipate and react to changes in our business and to expend resources to maintain a system of internal controls that is adequate to satisfy our reporting obligations as a public company. The measures we take may not be sufficient to satisfy our obligations as a public company and if we are unable to establish or maintain appropriate internal financial reporting controls and procedures, it could cause us to fail to meet our reporting obligations on a timely basis, result in material misstatements in our consolidated financial statements and harm our results of operations.
We cannot provide assurances that material weaknesses or significant deficiencies will not occur in the future and that we will be able to remediate such weaknesses or deficiencies in a timely manner, which could have a material adverse effect on our ability to produce accurate and timely financial statements, which could harm our operating results, financial condition, and cash flows, our ability to operate our business and our reputation.
If we identify any material weakness in the future, it could negatively impact the company's ability to prepare its future financial statements in conformity with IFRS. If the company were unable to prepare its future financial statements in conformity with IFRS, we may be unable to report our financial results accurately, which could increase operating costs, trigger an event of default under our credit agreements and harm our business, including our investors' perception of our business, our share price and our ability to finance our operations.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. is a holding company with no operations of its own and, as such, it depends on its subsidiary for cash to fund its operations and expenses, including future dividend payments, if any.
As a holding company, our principal source of cash flow is distributions from our main operating subsidiary, Canada Goose Inc. Therefore, our ability to fund and conduct our business, service our debt and pay dividends, if any, in the future will depend on the ability of our subsidiary to generate sufficient cash flow to make upstream cash distributions to us. Our subsidiary is a separate legal entity, and although it is wholly-owned and controlled by us, it has no obligation to make any funds available to us, whether in the form of loans, dividends or otherwise. The ability of our subsidiary to distribute cash to us will also be subject to, among other things, restrictions that may be contained in our subsidiary agreements (as entered into from time to time), availability of sufficient funds in such subsidiary and applicable laws and regulatory restrictions. Claims of any creditors of our subsidiary generally will have priority as to the assets of such subsidiary over our claims and claims of our creditors and shareholders. To the extent the ability of our subsidiary to distribute dividends or other payments to us is limited in any way, our ability to fund and conduct our business, service our debt and pay dividends, if any, could be harmed.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Our financial performance is subject to significant seasonality and variability, which could cause the price of our subordinate voting shares to decline.
Our business is affected by a number of factors common to our industry and by other factors specific to our business model, which drive seasonality and variability. Historically, key metrics, including those related to our growth, profitability and financial condition, have fluctuated significantly across fiscal periods. We expect this to continue in the future.
Consumer purchases of outerwear are naturally heavily concentrated in the Fall / Winter season. As a result, the majority of our DTC revenue is recognized in the third and fourth fiscal quarter. Our wholesale revenue is weighted in the second and third fiscal quarters, when most orders are shipped to wholesale partners in time for the Fall/Winter season. Our net income is typically negative in the first quarter and reduced or negative in the fourth quarter.
Guided by expected demand in both channels, we manufacture on a linear basis throughout the fiscal year, while adding capacity where relevant to our manufacturing network, resulting in the buildup and staging of inventory for future periods. These dynamics cause significant fluctuations in our working capital, cash conversion, and leverage throughout the fiscal year. At certain points in time, our inventory has increased at a significantly higher rate than our historical revenue growth in the same period.
Historical results, especially comparisons across fiscal quarters, should not be considered indicative of the results to be expected for any future periods. In addition to the seasonality of demand for our products, our financial performance is influenced by a number of factors which are difficult to predict and variable in nature. These include input cost volatility, the timing of consumer purchases, and wholesale deliveries, which very often shift between fiscal quarters, demand forecast accuracy, inventory availability, and the evolution of our channel mix, as well as external trends in weather, traffic and discretionary consumer spending.
A number of other factors which are difficult to predict could also affect the seasonality or variability of our financial performance. Therefore, you should not rely on the results of a single fiscal quarter as an indication of our annual results or future performance.
Debt & Financing1 | 2.1%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Our indebtedness could adversely affect our financial condition.
As of March 31, 2024, we had $203.7m of unused borrowing capacity under our Revolving Facility (as defined below), with no principal amount outstanding, $393.1m of term loans under our Term Loan (as defined below), no amounts owing under the Mainland China Facilities, and $5.4m owing on our Japan Facility (as defined below), for total indebtedness of $398.5m. As at March 31, 2024, cash on hand was $144.9m (April 2, 2023 - $286.5m). We also generally experience significant fluctuations in our aggregate indebtedness and working capital over our operating cycle due to the seasonality in our business. Our debt could have important consequences, including:
- limiting our ability to obtain additional financing to fund future working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions or other general corporate requirements and increasing our cost of borrowing;- requiring a portion of our cash flow to be dedicated to debt service payments instead of other purposes, thereby reducing the amount of cash flow available for working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions and other general corporate purposes;- requiring the net cash proceeds of certain equity offerings to be used to prepay our debt as opposed to being applied for other purposes;- exposing us to the risk of increased interest rates as certain of our borrowings, including borrowings under our senior secured credit facilities, are at variable rates of interest; and - limiting our flexibility in planning for and reacting to changes in the industry in which we compete.
The credit agreements governing our senior secured credit facilities contain a number of restrictive covenants that impose operating and financial restrictions on us, including restrictions on our ability to incur certain liens, make investments and acquisitions, incur or guarantee additional indebtedness, pay dividends or make other distributions in respect of, or repurchase or redeem our shares, or enter into certain other types of contractual arrangements affecting our subsidiaries or indebtedness. In addition, the restrictive covenants in the credit agreement governing our Revolving Facility (as defined below) require us to maintain a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio if excess availability under our Revolving Facility (as defined below) falls below a specified threshold.
If we are unable to comply with these restrictions and covenants at times and to the extent they are applicable, including as a result of events beyond our control, we may risk an event of default under the credit facilities, which could accelerate the payment of any amounts then due, and limit our ability to incur future borrowings under the credit facilities, either of which could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Although the credit agreements governing our senior secured credit facilities contain restrictions on the incurrence of additional indebtedness, those restrictions are subject to a number of qualifications and exceptions and the additional indebtedness incurred in compliance with those restrictions could be substantial. We may also seek to amend or refinance one or more of our debt instruments to permit us to finance our growth strategy or improve the terms of our indebtedness.
Corporate Activity and Growth3 | 6.3%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Our growth strategy continues to involve expansion of our Direct-to-Consumer ("DTC") channel, including retail stores and e-Commerce, which may present risks and challenges.
Our business has continued to evolve from one in which we only distributed products on a wholesale basis for resale by others to a multi-channel distribution model. As of March 31, 2024, our DTC channel includes 57 national e-Commerce markets and 68 directly operated permanent retail stores across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Our global DTC expansion has been the largest driver of operational and financial growth historically. We expect this to continue in the future.
Growing our e-Commerce platforms and number of retail stores is essential to our future strategy. This strategy has and will continue to require significant investment in cross-functional operations and management focus, along with investment in supporting technologies and retail store spaces. If we are unable to provide a user-friendly, convenient and consistent experience for our customers, our ability to compete and our results of operations could be adversely affected. In addition, if our e-Commerce platforms or retail store formats do not appeal to our customers, reliably function as designed, or maintain the privacy of customer data, or if we are unable to consistently meet our brand promise to our customers, we may experience a loss of customer confidence or lost sales, or be exposed to fraudulent purchases, which could adversely affect our reputation and results of operations.
To the extent our e-Commerce business grows, we will need an increasing amount of IT infrastructure to continue to satisfy consumer demand and expectations. If we fail to effectively scale and adapt our e-Commerce platform to accommodate increased consumer demand, our business may be subject to interruptions, delays or failures and consumer demand for our products and digital experiences could decline. In the event we fail to successfully respond to these risks, it might adversely affect sales and order flow in our e-Commerce business, as well as adversely impact our reputation and brand.
Furthermore, with our increasing retail footprint, lower profitability levels at new or existing retail stores will adversely affect our margins.
We are also subject to different and evolving local laws and regulatory requirements in the various jurisdictions in which we operate. In particular, we are subject to different and evolving laws and orders governing the operation and marketing of e-Commerce websites, as well as the collection, storage and use of information on consumers interacting with those websites. We may incur additional costs and operational challenges in complying with these laws, and differences in these laws may cause us to operate our businesses differently in different territories. If so, we may incur additional costs and may not fully realize the investment in our global DTC expansion.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Changed
Unexpected obstacles in new markets may limit our expansion opportunities, which could negatively impact our business and financial performance.
Our growth strategy has led to our expansion into markets outside of North America, including in developing markets. There are varying regulatory environments and market practices in these regions, and such regulations may be unfamiliar to us and we may experience unexpected barriers. It may take us time to penetrate or successfully operate in any new market. In connection with our expansion efforts we may encounter obstacles, including cultural and linguistic differences, differences in regulatory environments, economic or governmental instability, labour practices and market practices, difficulties in keeping abreast of market, business and technical developments, and foreign customers' tastes and preferences. In developing markets, potential challenges include relatively higher risk of political instability, economic volatility, crime, corruption and social unrest. Such challenges may be exacerbated in many cases by uncertainties regarding how local law is applied and enforced, and with respect to judiciary and administrative mechanism. Health concerns related to COVID-19 still give rise to uncertainties, and resurgences in new COVID-19 cases and/or the emergence and progression of new variants could cause governments to reintroduce restrictive measures. Other pandemics, epidemics and health risks could also occur, any of which could reduce traffic, result in temporary or permanent closures of stores, offices, and factories, could negatively impact the flow of goods, as well as the ability of our suppliers to provide us with products and services we need to operate our business. Any such pandemics, epidemics and other health risks could have an adverse effect on the economy and financial markets resulting in a declining level of retail and commercial activity, which could have a negative impact on the demand for, and prices of, our products.
We may also encounter difficulty expanding into new international markets because of limited brand recognition leading to delayed acceptance of our products by customers in these new international markets. In the event we fail to develop our business in new international markets or experience disappointing growth or undertake inadequate management of risks outside of existing markets, this could harm our business and results of operations.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
Added
Our business could be harmed if we fail to manage our operations and future growth effectively, or if we fail to successfully execute our Transformation Program.
If our operations continue to grow, of which there can be no assurance, we will be required to continue to expand our sales and marketing, product development, manufacturing and distribution functions, to upgrade our management information systems and other processes, and to obtain more space for our expanding administrative support and other personnel. Continued or fluctuating growth could strain our resources, and we could experience operating difficulties, including difficulties in hiring, training and managing an increasing number of employees and manufacturing capacity to produce our products, and delays in production and shipments. These difficulties may result in the erosion of our brand image, divert the attention of management and key employees and impact financial and operational results. In order to continue to expand our DTC channel, we expect to add selling, general & administrative ("SG&A") expenses and depreciation and amortization expenses to our cost base. These costs,which include lease commitments, headcount and capital assets, could result in decreased margins if we are unable to drive commensurate DTC revenue growth.
In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, we launched our Transformation Program with the aim to strengthen the foundation of our company to drive efficient and scalable operations and deliver strong revenue growth, which we believe will contribute to margin expansion over the long-term. This multiphase program includes the following workstreams: the organizational and operating model, stores, production and procurement, product, planning and supply chain, marketing and experience, and technology. If we are unable to successfully execute our Transformation Program, our business, financial condition and performance could be materially adversely affected.
Production
Total Risks: 9/48 (19%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing2 | 4.2%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
We are subject to many hazards and operational risks that can disrupt our business, some of which may not be insured or fully covered by insurance.
Our operations are subject to many hazards and operational risks inherent to our business, including: general business risks, product liability, false or misleading advertising claims, product recall and damage to third parties, our infrastructure or properties caused by fires, floods and other natural disasters, power losses, telecommunications failures, terrorist attacks, public health emergencies (including epidemics and pandemics, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic), cyber security events, human errors, political instability, social and labour unrest or war and similar events.
Our insurance coverage may exclude or may be inadequate to cover our liabilities related to such hazards or operational risks. In addition, we may not be able to maintain adequate insurance in the future at rates we consider reasonable and commercially justifiable, and insurance may not continue to be available on terms as favorable as our current arrangements. The occurrence of a significant uninsured claim, or a claim in excess of the insurance coverage limits maintained by us could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Furthermore, our inability to successfully recover should we experience a disaster or other business continuity problem could cause material financial loss, loss of human capital, regulatory actions, reputational harm, or legal liability.
Manufacturing - Risk 2
Our current and future products may experience quality problems from time to time that can result in negative publicity, litigation, product recalls and warranty claims, which could result in decreased revenue and operating margin, and harm to our brand.
There can be no assurance we will be able to detect, prevent, or fix all defects that may affect our products. Failure to detect, prevent, or fix defects, or the occurrence of real or perceived quality, health or safety problems or material defects in our current and future products, could result in a variety of consequences, including a greater number of product returns than expected from customers and our wholesale partners, litigation, product recalls, and credit, warranty or other claims, among others, which could harm our brand, sales, profitability and financial condition. We stand behind every Canada Goose product with a warranty against defects with reasonable use, for the expected lifetime of the product. Because of this comprehensive warranty, quality problems could lead to increased warranty costs, and divert the attention of our manufacturing facilities. Such problems could hurt our premium brand image, which is critical to maintaining and expanding our business. Any negative publicity or lawsuits filed against us related to the perceived quality and safety of our products could harm our brand and decrease demand for our products.
Employment / Personnel3 | 6.3%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Talent management, employee retention and experience are important factors in our success.
Our future success also depends on our ability to attract, develop, and retain talent with the necessary knowledge, skills and experience and establish a positive work culture to maintain operations and institutional knowledge, and ensure we are competitive in our industry. Competition for experienced and well-qualified personnel is intense amidst a tight labour market with labour shortages and increased wage expectations. We, or the suppliers and service providers we rely on, may not be successful in attracting, hiring and retaining such personnel, which could impact our ability to remain competitive or operate efficiently and effectively. If we are unable to retain, hire, attract and motivate talented employees with the appropriate skill sets, or if changes to our organizational structure, operating results, or business model adversely affect morale or retention, we may not achieve our objectives and our results of operations could be adversely impacted.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Our success is substantially dependent on the continued service of our senior management.
Our success is substantially dependent on the continued service of our senior management, including Dani Reiss, who is our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The loss of the services of our senior management could make it more difficult to successfully operate our business and achieve our business goals. We also may be unable to retain existing management, technical, sales and client support personnel that are critical to our success, which could result in harm to our customer and employee relationships, loss of key information, expertise or know-how and unanticipated recruitment and training costs.
We have not obtained key man life insurance policies on any members of our senior management team. As a result, we would not be protected against the associated financial loss if we were to lose the services of members of our senior management team.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
Labour-related matters, including labour disputes, may adversely affect our operations.
As of March 31, 2024, approximately 37% of our employees are members of labour unions, comprised of active employees at 6 of our 10 operated manufacturing and warehouse facilities (comprised of 8 manufacturing facilities, 1 warehouse facility and 1 Baffin manufacturing facility). The exposure to unionized labour in our workforce presents an increased risk of strikes and other labour disputes, and our ability to alter labour costs will be subject to collective bargaining, which could adversely affect our results of operations. In addition, potential labour disputes at independent factories where our goods are produced, shipping ports, or transportation carriers create risks for our business, particularly if a dispute results in work slowdowns, lockouts, strikes or other disruptions during our peak manufacturing, shipping and selling seasons. Any potential labour dispute, either in our own operations or in those of third parties, on whom we rely, could materially affect our costs, decrease our sales, harm our reputation or otherwise negatively affect our sales, profitability or financial condition.
The majority of our workforce is composed of manufacturing employees based in the provinces of Ontario, Manitoba and Québec, a sizeable portion of whom are paid minimum wage rates based on the applicable provincial minimum wage, as well as a number of other benefits including variable pay components. Many jurisdictions, including certain Canadian provinces, either have increased or plan to increase their minimum wage and other benefits requirements, which may materially increase our manufacturing costs. Minimum wage increases such as the foregoing may not only increase the wages of our minimum wage employees, but also the wages paid to our other hourly or salaried employees who, in recognition of their tenure, performance, responsibilities and other similar considerations, historically received a rate of pay exceeding the applicable minimum wage. Further, if we fail to pay such higher wages, we could suffer increased employee turnover. It is difficult to predict when such increases may take place and any such increase could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Further, the risks to our business due to a pandemic or other public health emergency, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, include risks to employee health and safety, prolonged restrictive measures put in place in order to control the crisis and limitations on travel, which may result in temporary shortages of staff or unavailability of certain employees or consultants with key expertise or knowledge of our business and, impact on workforce productivity.
Supply Chain3 | 6.3%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Changed
Significant disruptions in supply from our current sources and disruptions of our supply chain could have a material adverse effect on our operating and financial results.
We generally do not enter into long-term formal written agreements with our suppliers, and typically transact business with our suppliers on an order-by-order basis. There can be no assurance that there will not be a disruption in the supply of raw materials and certain finished goods from current sources or, in the event of a disruption, that we would be able to locate alternative suppliers of materials or finished goods of comparable quality at an acceptable price, or at all. Identifying a suitable supplier is an involved process that requires us to become satisfied with their quality control, responsiveness and service, financial stability and labour and other ethical practices. Any delays, interruption or increased costs in the supply of fabric or manufacture of our products could have an adverse effect on our ability to meet customer demand for our products and result in lower revenue and operating income both in the short and long-term.
Disruptions in our supply chain capabilities, including due to trade restrictions, political instability, severe weather and natural disasters, epidemics, pandemics and other health concerns, war, labour shortages, reduced freight availability and increased costs, port disruptions, rising inflationary pressures and other factors, could impair our ability to distribute or manufacture products. These factors are beyond our control and to the extent we are unable to mitigate the likelihood or potential impact of such events, there could be a material adverse effect on our operating and financial results.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Added
Fluctuations in the price or quality of, or disruptions in the availability of, raw materials used in our products from a limited number of third-party suppliers could cause us to incur increased costs or disrupt our manufacturing processes.
Our products require high quality raw materials, including polyester, nylon, blend fabrics and down. The price of raw materials depends on a wide variety of factors largely beyond the control of Canada Goose. A shortage, delay or interruption of supply for any reason, including by reason of health concerns and global supply chain issues, could negatively impact our sales and have an adverse impact on our financial results.
In addition, while our suppliers, in turn, source from a number of sub-suppliers, we rely on a very small number of direct suppliers for certain raw materials. As a result, any disruption to these relationships could have an adverse effect on our business. Events that adversely affect our suppliers could impair our ability to obtain inventory in the quantities and at the quality that we require. Such events include difficulties or problems with our suppliers' businesses, finances, labour relations and availability, shipping, ability to import raw materials, increases in labour, fuel and raw material costs, production, weather trends, insurance and reputation, as well as natural disasters, public health emergencies, including epidemics, pandemics and other health concerns, and responsive actions thereto such as border closures, restrictions on product shipments and travel restrictions, or other catastrophic occurrences. A significant slowdown in the retail industry as a whole may also result in bankruptcies or permanent closures of some of our suppliers and other vendors. Furthermore, there can be no assurance that our suppliers will continue to provide fabrics and raw materials or provide products that are consistent with our standards. Finally, raw materials and shipping costs have and may continue to increase as a result of inflation, recent geopolitical uncertainty and supply chain issues. Any such increases could adversely impact our financial performance if we are unable to offset such increases with price increases on our products.
More generally, if we need to replace an existing supplier, additional supplies or additional manufacturing capacity may not be available when required on terms that are acceptable to us, or at all, and any new supplier may not meet our strict quality requirements. In the event we are required to find new sources of supply, we may encounter delays in production, inconsistencies in quality and added costs as a result of the time it takes to train our suppliers and manufacturers in our methods, products and quality control standards. Any delays, interruption or increased costs in the supply of our raw materials could have an adverse effect on our ability to meet customer demand for our products and result in lower sales and profitability both in the short and long-term.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
If our independent manufacturers or our suppliers fail to use ethical business practices and fail to comply with changing laws and regulations or our applicable guidelines, our brand image could be harmed due to negative publicity.
Our core values, which include developing the highest quality products while operating with integrity, are an important component of our brand image, which makes our reputation sensitive to allegations of unethical or improper business practices, whether real or perceived. We have no or limited control over our suppliers and manufacturers or their business practices. Accordingly, we cannot guarantee their compliance with our guidelines or the law. A lack of compliance could lead to reduced sales or recalls or damage to our brand or cause us to seek alternative suppliers, which could increase our costs and result in delayed delivery of our products, product shortages or other disruptions of our operations.
In addition, many of our products include materials that are heavily regulated in many jurisdictions. Certain jurisdictions in which we sell have various regulations related to manufacturing processes and the chemical content of our products, including their component parts. Monitoring compliance by our manufacturers and suppliers is complicated, and we are reliant on their compliance reporting in order to comply with regulations applicable to our products. This is further complicated by the fact that expectations of ethical business practices continually evolve and may be substantially more demanding than applicable legal requirements. Ethical business practices are also driven in part by legal developments and by diverse groups active in publicizing and organizing public responses to perceived ethical shortcomings. Accordingly, we cannot predict how such regulations or expectations might develop in the future and cannot be certain that our guidelines or current practices would satisfy all parties who are active in monitoring our products or other business practices worldwide.
Costs1 | 2.1%
Costs - Risk 1
The cost of raw materials could increase our cost of goods sold and cause our results of operations and financial condition to suffer.
The raw materials used in our supply chain include synthetic fabrics and natural products, including blend fabrics, nylon, polyester and down. Significant price fluctuations, including as a result of inflation, or shortages in the cost of these raw materials may increase our cost of goods sold and cause our results of operations and financial condition to suffer.
Additionally, increasing costs of labour, freight and energy could increase our and our suppliers' cost of goods. If our suppliers are affected by increases in their costs of labour, freight and energy, (for example, because of rising global energy prices, increased global worker shortages impacting shipping and ports, truck driver shortages, increased congestion or other disruptions affecting the global distribution chain) they may attempt to pass these cost increases on to us. If we pay such increases, we may not be able to offset them through increases in our pricing, which could adversely affect our results of operation and financial condition.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 8/48 (17%)Below Sector Average
Regulation4 | 8.3%
Regulation - Risk 1
Our marketing programs, our e-Commerce initiatives and our collection, use and disclosure of transactional and personal information about our customers are governed by an evolving set of laws and enforcement trends and changes in those laws or trends. Our failure or inadvertent failure to comply with existing or future laws, could substantially harm our business and results of operations.
We collect, process, disclose, maintain and otherwise use data, including personal information about individuals, including data available to us through online activities and other customer interactions in our business. Our current and future marketing programs may depend on our ability to collect, maintain, disclose and otherwise use this information, and our ability to do so is subject to evolving and increasingly demanding international, U.S., Canadian, Chinese, European legislation, jurisprudence, and regulatory guidelines such as the European Union's General Data Privacy Regulation, Canada's Personal Information Protection and Electronic Documents Act and China's Personal Information Protection Law. In Canada and the United States multiple provinces and states have implemented personal information protection legislation. These information and privacy laws require companies to satisfy new data governance requirements including implementing appropriate security measures to protect the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of the personal information and allowing data subjects, depending on the jurisdiction, the right to access, correct or delete such data about themselves. Failure to comply with the data protection regulatory landscape could result in significant penalties. Companies are also facing an increasing number of class actions from consumer groups that claim loss or misuse of their personal information.
Although we strive to comply with all applicable laws and other security requirements related to privacy and information security, it is possible that these requirements are inconsistent from one jurisdiction to another. They may conflict with other rules or inadvertently not be reflected by our practices, our employees' behaviour or our agreements with business partners. If so, we may suffer damage to our reputation and be subject to proceedings or actions against us by governmental entities or private parties, including a class of plaintiffs in the event of a class action. Any such proceeding or action could hurt our reputation, force us to spend significant amounts to defend our practices, distract our management or otherwise have an adverse effect on our business.
We post our privacy policies and practices concerning the collection, use and disclosure of personal information on our websites. Any failure by us to comply with our posted privacy policies or other privacy-related laws and regulations could result in proceedings which could potentially harm our business. In addition, certain of our marketing practices rely upon the sending of commercial electronic messages, including e-mails, to communicate with consumers. We may face risk if our use of commercial electronic messages is found to violate applicable laws and regulations. As information and privacy laws and anti-spam laws change, we may incur additional costs to ensure we remain in compliance. If information and data privacy laws and anti-spam laws become more restrictive at the international, federal, provincial or state levels, our compliance costs may increase, our ability to effectively engage customers via personalized marketing may decrease, our investment in our e-Commerce platform may not be fully realized, our opportunities for growth may be curtailed by our compliance burden and our potential reputational harm or liability for breaches may increase.
Regulation - Risk 2
Our business could be adversely affected by protestors or activists.
Our products may include certain animal products, including goose and duck down in our outerwear and we previously included coyote fur on the hoods of some of our parkas, which has drawn the attention of animal welfare activists. As a result, we have been the target of protestors and activists in the past, including litigation commenced by such activists related to our use of certain animal products. While we ended the purchase of all fur at the end of 2021 and ceased manufacturing with fur at the end of 2022, we may continue to be targeted by protestors and activists in the future. We have been, and may in the future, also be impacted by widespread protests in any country or region that we trade.
Protestors can disrupt sales at our stores, cause or prolong store closures, and lead to property damage. Protestors can also use social media or other campaigns to sway public opinion against our products. In addition, such activism could influence laws or regulations applicable to the jurisdictions in which we operate, including laws and regulations related to the use of animal by-products. If any such activists are successful, our sales and results of operations may be adversely affected.
Regulation - Risk 3
We could be adversely affected by violations of the Canadian Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act, the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and similar worldwide anti-bribery and anti-kickback laws.
We conduct our business in Canada and increasingly outside Canada, including the sourcing of an increasingly significant portion of our products from outside Canada. The Canadian Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act, the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, the U.K. Bribery Act and other similar anti-bribery and anti-kickback laws and regulations generally prohibit companies and their intermediaries from making improper payments government officials for the purpose of obtaining or retaining business. While we take steps to ensure that our distributors, consultant and personnel comply with applicable law, we cannot assure you that we will be successful in preventing our employees or other agents from taking actions in violation of these laws or regulations. Such violations, or allegations of such violations, could disrupt our business and result in a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Regulation - Risk 4
Our articles, and certain Canadian legislation contain provisions that may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control.
Certain provisions of our articles, together or separately, could discourage potential acquisition proposals, delay or prevent a change in control and limit the price that certain investors may be willing to pay for our subordinate voting shares. For instance, our articles contain provisions that establish certain advance notice procedures for nomination of candidates for election as directors at shareholders' meetings. A non-Canadian must file an application for review with the Minister responsible for the Investment Canada Act and obtain approval of the Minister prior to acquiring control of a "Canadian business" within the meaning of the Investment Canada Act, where prescribed financial thresholds are exceeded. Furthermore, acquisitions of our subordinate voting shares and multiple voting shares may be reviewed pursuant to the Competition Act (Canada). This legislation permits the Commissioner of Competition, or Commissioner, to review any acquisition or establishment, directly or indirectly, including through the acquisition of shares, of control over or of a significant interest in us. Otherwise, there are no limitations either under the laws of Canada or British Columbia, or in our articles on the rights of non-Canadians to hold or vote our subordinate voting shares and multiple voting shares. Any of these provisions may discourage a potential acquirer from proposing or completing a transaction that may have otherwise presented a premium to our shareholders.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities2 | 4.2%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We have been and may become involved in legal or regulatory proceedings and audits.
Litigation and other claims may arise in the ordinary course of our business and may include employee and client claims, commercial disputes involving business partners and clients, landlord-tenant disputes, intellectual property disputes, product-oriented allegations and personal injury claims. These claims can raise complex factual and legal issues that are subject to risks and uncertainties and could require significant management time. Moreover, our business requires compliance with many laws and regulations, including labour and employment, sales and other taxes, customs, and consumer protection laws and ordinances that regulate retailers generally and/or govern the importation, promotion and sale of merchandise, and the operation of stores and warehouse facilities. Failure to comply with these laws and regulations could subject us to lawsuits and other proceedings, and could also lead to damage awards, fines and penalties.
We have in the past and may become involved in legal proceedings or audits, including commercial, contractual, employment, tort and other litigation, and other government and agency investigations. The outcome of some of these legal proceedings, audits, and other contingencies could require us to take, or refrain from taking, actions that could harm our operations or require us to pay substantial amounts of money, harming our financial condition. Additionally, defending against these lawsuits and proceedings may be necessary, which could result in substantial costs and diversion of management's attention and resources, harming our financial condition. There can be no assurance that any pending or future legal or regulatory proceedings and audits will not harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
We may be subject to in-store and workplace health and safety liability, claims and penalties.
We are committed to protecting the health and well-being of our customers and employees in all of our stores and workplaces. We have workplace and in-store health and safety programs in place and have established policies and procedures aimed at ensuring compliance with applicable legislative requirements within our stores. Failure to comply with established policies and procedures or applicable legislative requirements could result in increased workplace or in-store injury-related liability and penalties. Any workplace or in-store injuries could lead to claims or litigation being brought against our company, which could adversely affect the reputation of our company and could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition. Although we maintain insurance policies we deem sufficient to address those situations, there is no guarantee a particular claim would be accepted by the insurer or that the insurance coverage would be sufficient.
Taxation & Government Incentives2 | 4.2%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
There can be no assurance that we will not be a passive foreign investment company, or PFIC, for U.S. federal income tax purposes for any taxable year, which could result in adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences to U.S. Holders of our ordinary shares.
Under United States federal income tax laws, a non-U.S. corporation will be a passive foreign investment company (a "PFIC") for any taxable year if either (1) at least 75% of its gross income for such year consists of certain types of "passive" income; or (2) at least 50% of the value of its assets (based on an average of the quarterly values of the assets) during such year is attributable to assets that produce passive income or are held for the production of passive income. We do not believe that we were a PFIC in 2022, and we do not expect to be a PFIC in the foreseeable future. However, since the determination of whether we are a PFIC is a factual determination made annually based on all the facts and circumstances and thus is subject to change, and the principles and methodology used in determining whether a company is a PFIC are subject to interpretation, there can be no assurance given in this regard. Moreover, we cannot guarantee that the Internal Revenue Service, or IRS, will agree with our conclusion. Accordingly, we cannot assure you that we will not be treated as a PFIC for any taxable year or that the IRS will not take a position contrary to any position we take. United States holders of our subordinate voting shares are urged to consult their tax advisors concerning United States federal income tax consequences of holding our subordinate voting shares if we are considered to be a PFIC.
If we were to be or become a PFIC for any taxable year during which a U.S. Holder (as defined in "Item 10. Additional Information-E. Taxation.") holds our subordinate voting shares, certain adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences could apply to such U.S. Holder. See "Item 10. Additional Information-E. Taxation-Passive Foreign Investment Company Considerations."
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Changes in tax laws and regulations or trade rules may impact our effective tax rate and may adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results.
We are subject to income taxes in the jurisdictions in which we operate and, consequently, income tax expense is a function of the allocation of taxable income by jurisdiction and the various activities that impact the timing of taxable events.
Legislation implementing the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's (OECD) model rules outlining a structure for a new 15% global minimum tax regime (the "Pillar Two Rules") has been enacted or substantively enacted locally in a number of jurisdictions in which the Company operates in, where they would be effective for the financial year beginning on April 1, 2024. Based on a preliminary assessment, the Pillar Two Rules effective tax rate in most of the jurisdictions in which the Company operates in, is already above 15%. As a result,any impact of these rules is not expected to be material. However, the Company will continue to monitor and reassess the impact of the Pillar Two Rules and any change may impact our financial condition and operating results.
Changes in tax laws in any of the multiple jurisdictions in which we operate, or adverse outcomes from tax audits that we may be subject to in any of the jurisdictions in which we operate, could result in an unfavorable change in our effective tax rate, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 7/48 (15%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.1%
Competition - Risk 1
Added
The markets in which we operate are highly competitive.
The market for outerwear is highly fragmented. We compete against a wide range of brands and retailers. Many of our competitors have significant competitive advantages, including larger and broader customer bases, more established relationships with a broader set of suppliers, greater brand recognition, larger product offering, greater financial resources, more established research and development processes, a longer history of store development, greater marketing resources, more established distribution processes, and other resources which we do not have.
Our competitors may be able to achieve and maintain brand affinity and market share more quickly and effectively than we can. Our competitors may also be able to increase sales in their new and existing markets faster than we can by emphasizing different distribution channels than we can. If we fail to compete with such competitors, our business, financial condition and performance could be materially adversely affected.
Demand2 | 4.2%
Demand - Risk 1
Added
Our success depends on our ability to anticipate trends and to identify and respond to new and changing consumer preferences.
In fiscal 2024, our core outerwear offering represented the majority of our sales. Consumer preferences often change rapidly. Therefore, our business is substantially dependent on our ability to attract customers who are willing to pay a premium for our products. Any future shifts in consumer preferences away from spending for our products would also have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
In addition, we believe that continued increases in sales of outerwear will largely depend on customers continuing to demand technical superiority from their products. If the number of customers demanding outerwear does not continue to increase, or if our customers are not convinced that our products are more functional or stylish than other outerwear alternatives, we may not achieve the level of sales necessary to support new growth platforms and our ability to grow our business will be severely impaired.
Demand - Risk 2
Our business and results of operations could be harmed if we are unable to accurately forecast demand for our products.
To ensure adequate inventory supply, we forecast inventory needs, which are subject to seasonal and quarterly variations in consumer demand. If we fail to accurately forecast demand, we may experience excess inventory levels or a shortage of product. Our ability to forecast accurately has become increasingly important as we have expanded our DTC channel globally and could be affected by many factors outside of our control, including an increase or decrease in consumer demand for our products or for products of our competitors, in the event we fail to accurately forecast consumer acceptance of new products, product introductions by competitors, unanticipated changes in general market conditions and, therefore, consumer spending in the sector (for example, because of unexpected effects on inventory supply and consumer demand), and weakening of economic conditions or consumer confidence in future economic conditions. In our wholesale channel, the majority of orders delivered in a given fiscal year are received in the prior fiscal year, enabling us to manufacture inventory relative to a defined order book. In the DTC channel, we manufacture according to our forecasts of consumer demand. If we overestimate the demand for our products, we could face inventory levels in excess of demand, which could result in inventory write-downs or write-offs and the sale of excess inventory at discounted prices, which would harm our gross margins and our brand management efforts. The potential for overestimation is expected to increase as a larger portion of our sales comes through our DTC channel, and as we expand our product offerings. If we underestimate the demand for our products, we may not be able to produce products to meet demand, and this could result in delays in the shipment of our products and a potential failure to capitalize on demand, as well as damage to our reputation and wholesale partner relationships. In addition, failures to accurately predict the level of demand for our products could harm our profitability and financial condition.
Sales & Marketing3 | 6.3%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Changed
A portion of our sales are to wholesale partners, directly and through distributors, and we depend on them to display and present our products to customers in our wholesale channel. Our failure or inadvertent failure to maintain our relationships with our existing wholesale partners could harm our business.
A portion of our sales are made to wholesale partners, either directly or indirectly, through distributors. Our wholesale partners service customers by stocking and displaying our products and explaining our product attributes. We have progressively shifted sales from our wholesale channel to our DTC channel to drive sustainable growth, better control our brand, and manage relationships with our customers. Nevertheless, our relationships with our existing wholesale partners are important to the authenticity of our brand and the marketing programs we continue to deploy.
If we fail to maintain relationships with our existing wholesale partners, they could decide to emphasize products from our competitors, to redeploy their retail floor space to other product categories, or to take other actions that reduce their purchases of our products. We do not receive long-term purchase commitments from our wholesale partners, and confirmed orders received from our wholesale partners may be difficult to enforce. Factors that could affect our ability to maintain our sales to these wholesale partners include: (a) failure to accurately identify the needs of our customers; (b) lack of customer acceptance of new products, product expansions or changes in products (including the ceasing of the use of fur in our products); (c) unwillingness of our wholesale partners and customers to attribute premium value to our new or existing products or product expansions relative to competing products; (d) failure to obtain shelf space from our wholesale partners; and (e) new, well-received product introductions by competitors. If we lose any of our existing wholesale partners, or if they reduce their purchases of our existing or new products, or their number of stores or operations are reduced, or they promote products of our competitors over ours, or they suffer financial difficulty or insolvency, our sales and profitability could be harmed. Financial difficulties experienced by our existing wholesale partners could further harm our business.
We cannot ensure that our wholesale partners will continue to purchase and carry our products in accordance with current practices or carry any new products that we develop. The recent decline in the overall retail sector, including disruptions related to the recent COVID-19 pandemic, has been challenging for our wholesale partners. Such conditions, among other things, have resulted, and in the future may result, in financial difficulties leading to restructurings, bankruptcies, liquidations and other unfavorable events for our wholesale partners and may cause such partners to reduce or discontinue orders of our products or be unable to pay us for products they have purchased from us. This has caused us to negotiate shortened payment terms and reduce credit limits in certain cases. If the overall retail environment continues to decline or if one or more of our existing wholesale partners is unable or unwilling to meet our payment terms, our business and results of operations could be harmed.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
Changed
We rely on credit card processors to receive payments, and are subject to payment-related risks.
For our DTC sales, as well as for sales to certain wholesale partners, we accept a variety of payment methods, including credit cards, debit cards and electronic funds transfers. Accordingly, we are, and will continue to be, subject to significant and evolving regulations and compliance requirements relating to payment card processing. This includes laws governing the collection, processing and storage of sensitive consumer information, as well as industry requirements such as the Payment Card Industry Data Security Standard ("PCI-DSS"). These laws and obligations may require us to implement enhanced authentication and payment processes that could result in increased costs and liability, and reduce the ease of use of certain payment methods. For certain payment methods, including credit and debit cards, we pay interchange and other fees, which may increase over time. We rely on independent service providers for payment processing, including credit and debit cards. If these independent service providers become unwilling or unable to provide these services to us or if the cost of using these providers increases, our business could be harmed. We are also subject to payment card association operating rules and agreements, including PCI-DSS, certification requirements and rules governing electronic funds transfers, which could change or be reinterpreted to make it difficult or impossible for us to comply. If we fail to comply with these rules or requirements, or if our data security systems are breached or compromised, we may be liable for losses incurred by card issuing banks or consumers, subject to fines and higher transaction fees, lose our ability to accept credit or debit card payments from our consumers, or process electronic fund transfers or facilitate other types of payments. Any failure to comply could significantly harm our brand, reputation, business, and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
Added
Our success depends on our ability to attract new customers and retain existing customers.
Our success depends, in part, on our ability to attract new customers. In order to expand our customer base, we must appeal to and attract consumers who identify with our brand and products. We have made significant investments in enhancing our brand and attracting new customers. We expect to continue to make significant investments to promote our current products to new customers and new products to current and new customers, including through our e-Commerce platforms and retail store presence. Such marketing investments can be expensive and may not result in increased sales. Further, as our brand becomes more widely known, we may not attract new customers as we have in the past. If we are unable to attract enough new customers, or grow revenues from existing customers, we may not be able to increase our sales.
Brand / Reputation1 | 2.1%
Brand / Reputation - Risk 1
Added
Our business depends on our strong brand and reputation, as well as our ability to maintain and enhance our brand.
The Canada Goose name and brand image are integral to the growth of our business, and to the implementation of our strategies for expanding our business. We believe that the brand image we have developed has significantly contributed to the success of our business and is critical to maintaining and expanding our customer base. Maintaining and enhancing our brand may require us to make substantial investments in areas such as product design, store openings and operations, marketing, e-Commerce, community relations and employee training, and these investments may not be successful.
We anticipate that, as our business continues to expand into new markets and new product categories and as the market becomes increasingly competitive, maintaining and enhancing our brand may become difficult and expensive. Conversely, as we penetrate these new markets and our brand becomes more widely available, it could potentially detract from the appeal stemming from the scarcity of our brand. Our brand may also be adversely affected if our public image or reputation is tarnished by negative publicity. In addition, ineffective marketing, product diversion to unauthorized distribution channels, product defects, counterfeit products, unfair labour practices, and failure to protect the intellectual property rights in our brand are some of the potential threats to the strength of our brand, and those and other factors could rapidly and severely diminish consumer confidence in us. Maintaining and enhancing our brand will depend largely on our ability to be a leader in our industry and to continue to offer a range of high-quality products to our customers, which we may not execute successfully. Any of these factors could harm our sales, profitability or financial condition.
A key element of our growth strategy is the expansion of our product offerings into new product categories. We may be unsuccessful in designing products that meet our customers' expectations for our brand or that are attractive to new customers. If we are unable to anticipate customer preferences or industry changes, or if we are unable to modify our products on a timely basis or expand effectively into new product categories, we may lose customers or fail to gain new customers. Our ability to successfully implement our growth strategy may be affected by the global economic contraction, including as a result of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and the rising inflationary pressures. As we expand into new geographic markets, consumers in these new markets may be less compelled by our brand image and may not be willing to pay a higher price to purchase our products as compared to traditional outerwear. Our operating results would also suffer if our investments and innovations do not anticipate the needs of our customers, are not appropriately timed with market opportunities or are not effectively brought to market.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 5/48 (10%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment3 | 6.3%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Political uncertainty and an increase in trade protectionism could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operation and financial condition.
As a prominent Canadian brand, geopolitical events that involve Canada may have an impact on our business and share price. In addition, our brand and Canadian heritage may be detrimental to the company in the context of geopolitical disputes aimed at Canada or actors or situations with significant actual or perceived connection to Canada. We sell a significant portion of our products to customers outside of Canada and changes, potential changes or uncertainties in regulatory and economic conditions or laws and policies governing foreign trade, manufacturing, and development and investment in the territories and countries where we operate, could adversely affect our business and consolidated financial statements. Consumer sentiment in countries outside Canada may be affected by unforeseen factors leading to harm to our brand or may impact our business. Any potential or ongoing governmental action related to tariffs or international trade agreements has the potential to adversely impact demand for our products, our costs, customers, suppliers and/or the Canadian, U.S. or world economy or certain sectors thereof and, thus, to adversely impact our business.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
Our operations and business may be adversely affected by global climate trends.
There is increasing concern that a gradual rise in global average temperatures due to increased concentration of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere will cause significant changes in weather patterns around the globe, an increase in the frequency, severity, and duration of extreme weather conditions and natural disasters, and water scarcity and poor water quality. Climate change may also exacerbate challenges relating to the availability and quality of water and raw materials, including those used in the production of our products, and may result in changes in regulations or consumer preferences, which could in turn affect our business, operating results and financial condition. For example, there has been increased focus by governmental and non-governmental organizations, consumers, customers, employees and other stakeholders on products that are sustainably made and other sustainability matters, including responsible sourcing and deforestation, the use of plastic, energy and water, the recyclability or recoverability of packaging and materials transparency, any of which may require us to incur increased costs for additional transparency, due diligence and reporting. These events could also compound adverse economic conditions and impact consumer confidence and discretionary spending. As a result, the effects of climate change are unpredictable and could have a long-term adverse impact on our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.
Climate change related transition risks are also growing in many countries, as governmental bodies are enacting new legislation and regulations to reduce or mitigate the potential impacts of climate change. If we, our suppliers, or our manufacturers are required to comply with these laws and regulations, or if we choose to take voluntary steps to reduce or mitigate our impact on climate change, we may experience increases in energy, production, transportation, and raw material costs, capital expenditures, or insurance premiums and deductibles. Varied legislation and regulations across jurisdictions may also make it more challenging and affect the costs of compliance with such laws and regulations. Any assessment of the potential impact of future climate change legislation, regulations or industry standards, as well as any international treaties and accords, is uncertain given the wide scope of potential regulatory change.
A significant portion of our business is highly dependent on cold-weather seasons and patterns to generate consumer demand for our products. Consumer demand for our products may be negatively affected to the extent global climate patterns trend warmer, reducing typical patterns of cold-weather events or increasing weather volatility, which could have an adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 3
A downturn in the global economy, including as a result of recent geopolitical events and general economic conditions such as inflation, will likely affect or has substantially affected and will likely continue to affect, consumer purchases of discretionary items, which could materially harm our sales, profitability, and financial condition.
Our sales are significantly affected by changes in discretionary spending by consumers. Many factors outside our control influence and affect the level of consumer spending for discretionary items. These factors include actual and perceived economic conditions, interest and tax rates, inflation, energy prices, the availability of consumer credit, disposable consumer income, consumer indebtedness level, unemployment and consumer confidence in future economic conditions. Consumer purchases of discretionary items, such as our outerwear, tend to decline during recessionary periods when disposable income is lower. During our history, we have experienced recessionary periods, but we cannot predict the effect of future recessionary periods on our sales and profitability. A downturn in the economy in markets in which we sell our products or unfavourable changes related to interest rates, rates of economic growth, fiscal and monetary policies of governments, inflation, deflation, tax rates and policy, unemployment trends, energy prices, and other matters that influence the availability and cost of merchandise, consumer confidence or spending may materially harm our sales, profitability and financial condition.
Recent geopolitical events and general economic conditions, such as rising inflation and interest rates, has led to a slow-down in certain segments of the global economy and affected the amount of discretionary income available for certain consumers to purchase our products. If global economic and financial market conditions persist, our sales could decrease, and our financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. Unstable political conditions, civil unrest, armed conflicts or events of extreme violence, including the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, and any escalation thereof, and related economic and other retaliatory measures taken by Canada, the United States, the European Union and others,may disrupt commerce globally and could negatively affect our business and results of operations. The risk of recession in one or several of the countries where we operate is growing, notably in light of the significant increase of interest and inflation rates, and could further have an adverse impact on our business and results of operations.
Natural and Human Disruptions1 | 2.1%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
A significant portion of our business functions operate out of our headquarters in Toronto. As a result, our business is vulnerable to disruptions due to local weather, economics and other factors.
Most of our significant business functions reside at our headquarters in Toronto, Canada. Events such as public health emergencies, including epidemics and pandemics, extreme local weather, natural disasters, transportation strikes, acts of terrorism, significant economic disruptions or unexpected damage to the facility have resulted and could result in an unexpected disruption to our business as a whole. If a disruption of this type should occur, our ability to conduct our business could be adversely affected or interrupted entirely and adversely affect our financial and operating results.
Capital Markets1 | 2.1%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates could harm our results of operations as well as the price of our subordinate voting shares.
The presentation currency for our consolidated financial statements is the Canadian dollar. Because we recognize sales in U.S. dollars, Euros, British pounds sterling, Swiss francs, Swedish kronor, Hong Kong dollars, Chinese yuan, and Japanese yen, if any of these currencies weakens against the Canadian dollar it would have a negative impact on our local operating results upon translation of those results into Canadian dollars for the purposes of financial statement consolidation. Although we engage in short-term hedging transactions for a portion of our foreign currency denominated cash flows to mitigate foreign exchange risks, depending upon changes in future currency rates, including those fluctuations derived from the broader impact on the global economy caused by rising inflationary pressures, rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty, such gains or losses could have a significant, and potentially adverse, effect on our results of operations. Foreign exchange variations have been significant in the past and current foreign exchange rates may not be indicative of future exchange rates. Significant variations in foreign exchange rates may also make hedging contracts ineffective for hedge accounting purposes in future periods.
Our earnings per share are reported in Canadian dollars, and accordingly may be translated into U.S. dollars by analysts or our investors. As a result, the perceived value of an investment in our subordinate voting shares to a U.S. shareholder will fluctuate as the U.S. dollar rises and falls against the Canadian dollar. As a result, U.S. and other shareholders seeking U.S. dollar total returns, including increases in the share price, are subject to foreign exchange risk as the U.S. dollar fluctuates in value against the Canadian dollar.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 4/48 (8%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D1 | 2.1%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
Our plans to improve and expand our product offerings may not be successful, and implementation of these plans may divert our operational, managerial and administrative resources, which could harm our competitive position and reduce our revenue and profitability.
In addition to our global DTC expansion plans, we are growing our business by expanding our product offerings outside down-filled jackets, including windwear, rainwear, apparel, fleece, accessories and footwear. The principal risks to our ability to successfully carry out our plans to expand our product offering include:
- the success of new products and new product lines will depend on market demand and there is a risk that new products and new product lines will not deliver expected results, which could negatively impact our future sales and results of operations;- if our expanded product offerings fail to maintain and enhance our distinctive brand identity, our brand image may be diminished and our sales may decrease;- implementation of these plans may divert management's attention from other aspects of our business and place a strain on our management, operational and financial resources, as well as our information systems; and - incorporation of novel materials or features into our products may not be accepted by our customers or may be considered inferior to similar products offered by our competitors.
In addition, our ability to successfully carry out our plans to expand our product offerings may be affected by economic and competitive conditions, changes in consumer spending patterns (including reductions in discretionary consumer spending as a result of geopolitical events or general economic downturns) and changes in consumer preferences and styles. These plans could be abandoned, could cost more than anticipated and could divert resources from other areas of our business, any of which could negatively impact our competitive position and reduce our revenue and profitability.
Trade Secrets1 | 2.1%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
Changed
If we are unable to protect or preserve our intellectual property rights, brand image and proprietary rights, our business may be harmed.
We expect that there is a high likelihood that counterfeit products or other products infringing on our intellectual property rights will continue to emerge, seeking to benefit from the consumer demand for Canada Goose products. These counterfeit products do not provide the functionality of our products and we believe they are of substantially lower quality, and if customers are not able to differentiate between our products and counterfeit products, this could damage our brand image. In order to protect our brand, we devote significant resources to the registration and protection of our trademarks and to anti-counterfeiting efforts worldwide. We actively pursue entities involved in the trafficking and sale of counterfeit merchandise through legal action or other appropriate measures. In spite of our efforts, counterfeiting still occurs and, if we are unsuccessful in challenging a third-party's rights related to trademark, copyright or other intellectual property rights, this could adversely affect our future sales, financial condition and results of operations. We cannot guarantee that the actions we have taken to curb counterfeiting and protect our intellectual property will be adequate to protect the brand and prevent counterfeiting in the future or that we will be able to identify and pursue all counterfeiters who may seek to benefit from our brand.
As our business has expanded, our competitors have imitated, and will likely continue to imitate, our product designs and branding, which could harm our business and results of operations. Competitors who manufacture products seeking to imitate our products could divert sales and dilute the value of our brand. We believe our trademarks, copyrights and other intellectual property rights are extremely important to our success and our competitive position.
However, enforcing rights to our intellectual property may be difficult and costly, and we may not be successful in stopping infringement of our intellectual property rights, particularly in foreign countries, which could make it easier for competitors to capture market share. Intellectual property rights necessary to protect our products and brand may also be unavailable or limited in certain countries. Furthermore, our efforts to enforce our trademarks, copyrights and other intellectual property rights may be met with defenses, counterclaims and countersuits attacking the validity and enforceability of our trademark and other intellectual property rights. Continued sales of competing products by our competitors could harm our brand and adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Cyber Security1 | 2.1%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Data security breaches and other cyber security events could result in disruption to our operations or financial losses and could negatively affect our reputation, credibility and business.
We and our service providers are subject to risks associated with data security breaches and other cyber security events. We collect, process, maintain and use personal information relating to our customers and employees. We also disclose personal information about consumers and employees to third party service providers, who help us with our business operations, including the operation of our e-Commerce site and the provision of various social media tools and websites we use as part of our marketing strategy. Any attempted or actual unauthorized disclosure of personal information could harm our reputation and credibility, reduce our e-Commerce sales, impair our ability to attract website visitors, reduce our ability to attract and retain customers and could result in litigation, including class action lawsuits, against us or the imposition of significant fines or penalties.
Our online activities, including our e-Commerce websites, may also be subject to denial of service or other forms of cyber-attacks. While we have taken measures we believe are reasonable to protect against those types of attacks, those measures may not adequately protect our online activities from such attacks. If a denial of service attack or other cyber event were to affect our e-Commerce sites or other information technology systems, our business could be disrupted, we may lose sales or valuable data, and our reputation, results of operations and financial condition may be adversely affected. Additionally, new and evolving data protection legislation could impose more onerous requirements that could increase the risks associated with data security breaches.
We have procedures and technology in place designed to safeguard our customers' debit and credit cards and our customers' and employees' other personal information under our control, and we continue to devote significant resources to network security, backup and disaster recovery, and other security measures. Nevertheless, these security measures cannot provide absolute security or guarantee that we will be successful in preventing and responding to breaches, loss, theft, or unauthorized access, disclosure, copying, use, or modification of personal information under our control.
As consumers are gaining more data privacy awareness, in the future there may be new foreign, federal, provincial and state laws and legislative proposals addressing data privacy and security, as well as increased data protection obligations imposed on merchants by credit card issuers.
As a result, we may become subject to more extensive requirements to protect the personal information that we collect, use and disclose, resulting in, for example, increased compliance costs.
Technology1 | 2.1%
Technology - Risk 1
We rely significantly on information technology systems for our distribution systems and other critical business functions, and are increasing our reliance on these functions as our DTC channel expands. Any failure, inadequacy, or interruption of those systems could harm our ability to operate our business effectively.
We rely on information systems to effectively manage all aspects of our business, including merchandise planning, manufacturing, allocation, distribution, sales and financial reporting. Our reliance on these systems, and their importance to our business, will continue to increase as we expand our DTC channel and global operations. We rely on a number of third parties to help us effectively manage these systems. If information systems we rely on fail to perform as expected, our business could be disrupted. The failure by us or our vendors to manage and operate our information technology systems as expected could disrupt our business, result in not providing adequate product, losing sales or market share, and reputational harm, causing our business to suffer. Any such failure or disruption could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Our information technology systems and vendors also may be vulnerable to damage or interruption from circumstances beyond our or their control, including fire, flood, natural disasters, systems failures, network or communications failures, power outages, public health emergencies, security breaches, cyber-attacks and terrorism. For example, we have implemented a hybrid work-from-home policy for our corporate workforce in North America and Europe. This increase in working remotely could increase our cyber security risk, create data accessibility concerns, and make us more susceptible to communication disruptions, any of which could adversely impact our business operations. We maintain disaster recovery procedures intended to mitigate the risks associated with such events, but there is no guarantee that these procedures will be adequate in any particular circumstance. As a result, such an event could materially disrupt, and have a material adverse effect on, our business.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.