tiprankstipranks
Fresenius Medical Care Corp. (FMS)
NYSE:FMS

Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
327 Followers

Top Page

FMFresenius Medical Care
(NYSE:FMS)
71Outperform
Fresenius Medical Care demonstrates stable financial performance with strong operating cash flow and strategic advancements, notably in Care Enablement and innovation. However, reliance on debt and moderate profitability are concerns. Technical indicators show lack of strong momentum, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced. The positive earnings call outlook balances current operational challenges.

Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fresenius Medical Care Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFounded in 1996, Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA is a Germany-based kidney dialysis company, which provides dialysis care and related services for patients with chronic kidney failure. It also offers a variety of healthcare products, including dialysis and non-dialysis products.
How the Company Makes MoneyFresenius Medical Care generates revenue primarily through two main segments: Healthcare Services and Healthcare Products. The Healthcare Services segment includes the operation of a vast network of dialysis clinics that provide treatment to patients, for which the company receives payments from health insurers, government healthcare programs, and private payers. Meanwhile, the Healthcare Products segment involves the sale of dialysis machines, dialyzers, and other related medical supplies to healthcare providers and clinics worldwide. Additionally, Fresenius Medical Care benefits from strategic partnerships and contracts with healthcare institutions and governments, further supporting its revenue streams and market presence.

Fresenius Medical Care Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fresenius Medical Care shows stable financial health with consistent revenue and robust operating cash flow. The company is managing its leverage well, although reliance on debt remains a potential risk. Improvements in EBIT and return on equity are positive, but enhancing net profitability is necessary for better shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Fresenius Medical Care has demonstrated consistent revenue performance with a slight decline from $19.5B in 2023 to $19.3B in 2024. Gross profit margins have been stable around 24-25%. The company has shown resilience in EBIT and EBITDA margins, with a notable recovery in EBIT from negative in 2022 to $1.39B in 2024. However, net income growth has been moderate, and the net profit margin remains relatively low at around 2.8% in 2024.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with stockholders' equity increasing to $14.6B in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at approximately 0.75, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio is around 43.4%, which is stable but suggests moderate leverage. Return on equity improved to 3.7% in 2024, indicating better profitability on shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong at $2.39B in 2024, supporting the company's liquidity. Free cash flow generation is robust, with a significant free cash flow to net income ratio of over 3x in 2024, highlighting efficient cash conversion. However, free cash flow declined from 2023 levels, posing a potential concern for future investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.34B19.45B19.40B17.62B17.86B
Gross Profit
4.76B4.93B5.31B5.08B5.54B
EBIT
1.39B1.37B-258.36M301.32M529.00M
EBITDA
3.21B3.21B1.58B3.55B4.13B
Net Income Common Stockholders
537.91M499.00M673.40M969.31M1.16B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.45B1.54B1.44B1.62B1.24B
Total Assets
33.57B33.93B35.75B34.37B31.69B
Total Debt
10.98B12.05B13.21B13.32B12.38B
Net Debt
9.83B10.67B11.94B11.84B11.30B
Total Liabilities
17.80B19.10B20.30B20.39B19.36B
Stockholders Equity
14.58B13.62B15.45B13.98B12.33B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.69B1.94B756.00M806.00M2.15B
Operating Cash Flow
2.39B2.63B2.17B2.49B4.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-84.94M-544.23M-734.73M-1.20B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.57B-1.86B-1.62B-1.02B-2.66B

Fresenius Medical Care Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.84
Price Trends
50DMA
23.46
Negative
100DMA
22.53
Positive
200DMA
21.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
39.42
Neutral
STOCH
48.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.79, below the 50-day MA of 23.46, and above the 200-day MA of 21.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FMS.

Fresenius Medical Care Risk Analysis

Fresenius Medical Care disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fresenius Medical Care reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fresenius Medical Care Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UHUHS
74
Outperform
$11.39B10.4216.92%0.46%10.82%65.64%
THTHC
72
Outperform
$11.67B3.8176.72%0.57%440.71%
FMFMS
71
Outperform
$14.28B24.423.69%1.88%-0.57%8.25%
HCHCA
65
Neutral
$77.50B14.18-230.22%0.85%8.67%15.32%
DVDVA
62
Neutral
$11.83B13.32773.06%5.56%45.02%
CYCYH
52
Neutral
$420.94M39.18%1.16%-278.41%
49
Neutral
$7.05B0.34-55.09%2.46%25.27%-3.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
22.84
3.18
16.17%
CYH
Community Health
3.03
0.24
8.60%
DVA
DaVita
141.61
9.63
7.30%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
312.05
-8.84
-2.75%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
122.67
25.33
26.02%
UHS
Universal Health
173.30
-1.94
-1.11%

Fresenius Medical Care Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.02% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful cost-saving initiatives, and positive developments in Care Enablement. However, challenges such as elevated mortality rates and lower than expected volume growth in the U.S. dialysis business were noted. The strategic initiatives and innovation efforts like the FDA approval for the 5008X machine position the company for future growth.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Achieved 18% operating income growth at the upper end of earnings outlook for 2024, along with a 4% organic growth.
FME25 Transformation Program Success
Increased the total savings target from EUR650 million to EUR750 million by the end of 2025, exceeding the initial expectations.
Positive Developments in Care Enablement
Care Enablement improved its full-year margin to 6.1%, nearly tripling from the prior year, driven by volume growth and cost efficiencies.
Dividend Increase
Planning to propose a 21% increase in dividend, reflecting a strong financial policy and healthy cash flow.
FDA Approval and Innovation
Received FDA approval for the high-volume Hemodiafiltration-capable 5008X machine, with first treatments already conducted.
Lowlights
Elevated Mortality Rates
Continued to experience elevated mortality in the United States, impacting treatment volumes.
Challenges in U.S. Dialysis Business
Lower than expected volume growth in the U.S. dialysis business over the last two years.
Impact of Value-Based Care Business
The value-based care business realized a slightly negative contribution to operating income in 2024, with expectations to remain slightly negative to breakeven in 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Fresenius Medical Care's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, CEO Helen Giza and CFO Martin Fischer highlighted the company's robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The company reported a Net Promoter Score of 72, reflecting strong patient satisfaction. Financially, Fresenius achieved 4% organic revenue growth and operating income margin improvements, with Care Delivery surpassing a 10% margin and Care Enablement reaching a 6.1% margin. The FME25 program exceeded its initial savings target, now aiming for €750 million by 2025. The value-based care business contributed €1.8 billion in revenue, with plans to reach €1.9 billion by 2025. Despite challenges like elevated mortality and lower-than-expected U.S. dialysis volume growth, the company maintained a positive outlook, projecting high teens to high 20s percent operating income growth for 2025. The strategic divestiture plan continued, with €750 million in cash proceeds realized by the end of 2024. The call also addressed the rollout of the 5008X Hemodiafiltration machine, anticipated to enhance U.S. market operations.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.