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Delek Group (DLKGF)
:DLKGF
US Market

Delek Group (DLKGF) Risk Analysis

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Delek Group disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Delek Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2016

Risk Distribution
47Risks
43% Finance & Corporate
21% Production
15% Legal & Regulatory
11% Ability to Sell
9% Macro & Political
2% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Delek Group Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2016

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 20 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 20 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
47
S&P 500 Average: 31
47
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
0Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Dec 2016
0Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Dec 2016
Number of Risk Changed
0
S&P 500 Average: 3
0
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Delek Group in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 47

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 20/47 (43%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights6 | 12.8%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Stockholder activism may negatively impact the price of our common stock.
Our stockholders may from time to time engage in proxy solicitations, advance stockholder proposals or otherwise attempt to effect changes or acquire control over us. The Alon Investment and recent decline in the price of our common stock increase this risk. Campaigns by stockholders to effect changes at publicly traded companies are sometimes led by investors seeking to increase short-term stockholder value through actions such as financial restructuring, increased debt, special dividends, stock repurchases or sales of assets or the entire company. Responding to proxy contests and other actions by activist stockholders can be costly and time-consuming, disrupting our operations and diverting the attention of our Board of Directors and senior management from the pursuit of business strategies. As a result, stockholder campaigns could adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Future sales of shares of our common stock could depress the price of our common stock.
The market price of our common stock could decline as a result of the introduction of a large number of shares of our common stock into the market or the perception that these sales could occur. For example, we issued six million shares of our common stock to Alon Israel Oil Company, Ltd. in connection with the Alon Investment, and upon the closing of the proposed merger with Alon USA, a significant number of shares of Holdco common stock would be issued to the stockholders of Alon USA in consideration for their Alon USA shares. The introduction of these shares into the market (or the perception that sales of these shares could occur) could have an adverse impact on the market price of our common stock. Sales of a large number of shares of our common stock, or the possibility that these sales may occur, also might make it more difficult for us to sell equity securities in the future at a time and at a price that we deem appropriate.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Our stockholders may suffer substantial dilution.
We may sell securities in the public or private equity markets if and when conditions are favorable, even if we do not have an immediate need for capital. In addition, if we have an immediate need for capital, we may sell securities in the public or private equity markets even when conditions are not otherwise favorable. Our stockholders will suffer dilution if we issue currently unissued shares of our stock or sell our treasury holdings in the future. Our stockholders will also suffer dilution as stock, restricted stock units, stock options, stock appreciation rights, warrants or other equity awards, whether currently outstanding or subsequently granted, are exercised.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
The price of our common stock may fluctuate significantly, and you could lose all or part of your investment.
The market price of our common stock may be influenced by many factors, some of which may be beyond our control, including: - our quarterly or annual earnings or those of other companies in our industry;- inaccuracies in, and changes to, our previously published quarterly or annual earnings;- changes in accounting standards, policies, guidance, interpretations or principles;- economic conditions within our industry, as well as general economic and stock market conditions;- the failure of securities analysts to cover our common stock or the cessation of such coverage;- changes in financial estimates by securities analysts and the frequency and accuracy of such reports;- future issuance or sales of our common stock;- announcements by us or our competitors of significant contracts or acquisitions;- sales of common stock by our senior officers or our affiliates; and - the other factors described in these "Risk Factors." In recent years, the stock market has experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations. This volatility has had a significant impact on the market price of securities issued by many companies, including companies in our industry. The changes often occur without any apparent regard to the operating performance of these companies. The price of our common stock could fluctuate based upon factors that have little or nothing to do with our company performance, and these fluctuations could materially reduce our stock price. In addition, recent distress in the credit and financial markets resulted in extreme volatility in trading prices of securities and diminished liquidity, and we cannot assure you that our liquidity will not be affected by changes in the financial markets and the global economy. In the past, some companies that have experienced volatile market prices for their securities have been subject to securities class action suits filed against them. The filing of a lawsuit against us, regardless of the outcome, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations, as it could result in substantial legal costs and a diversion of our management's attention and resources.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
We do not have the ability to control the operations or policies of Alon USA for so long as we do not control a majority of Alon USA common stock.
As of December 31, 2016, we owned approximately 47% of the issued and outstanding common stock of Alon USA (the "Alon Investment") and five of our employees served on the 11-member Alon USA board of directors, including Mr. Yemin who serves as the chairman of the Alon USA board of directors. However, as a result of our minority ownership position in Alon USA common stock and our minority position on the Alon USA board of directors, we are unable to control the operations or policies of Alon USA. So long as we maintain a minority ownership position in Alon USA common stock and a minority position on the Alon USA board of directors, we may be unable to control, among other things, (i) the election of members of the Alon USA board of directors; (ii) the corporate and management policies of Alon USA (including the declaration of dividends and the timing and preparation of its financial statements); and/or (iii) the outcome of any corporate transaction or other matter submitted to shareholders of Alon USA for approval, including potential mergers or acquisitions, asset sales or other significant corporate transactions. See Note 23 of the consolidated financial statements included in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further information regarding a definitive agreement under which Delek will acquire all of the outstanding shares of Alon USA common stock which Delek does not already own in an all-stock transaction.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Provisions of Delaware law and our organizational documents may discourage takeovers and business combinations that our stockholders may consider in their best interests, which could negatively affect our stock price.
Provisions of Delaware law, our Second Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation and our Third Amended and Restated Bylaws may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control of our company or deterring tender offers for our common stock that other stockholders may consider in their best interests. For example, our Second Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation provides that: - stockholder actions may only be taken at annual or special meetings of stockholders;- members of our Board of Directors can be removed with or without cause by a supermajority vote of stockholders;- the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware is, with certain exceptions, the exclusive forum for certain legal actions;- our bylaws, as may be in effect from time to time, can be amended only by a supermajority vote of stockholders; and - certain provisions of our certificate of incorporation, as may be in effect from time to time, can be amended only by a supermajority vote of stockholders. In addition, the certificate of incorporation authorizes us to issue up to 10,000,000 shares of preferred stock in one or more different series, with terms to be fixed by our Board of Directors. Stockholder approval is not necessary to issue preferred stock in this manner. Issuance of these shares of preferred stock could have the effect of making it more difficult and more expensive for a person or group to acquire control of us and could effectively be used as an anti-takeover device. On the date of this report, no shares of our preferred stock are outstanding. Finally, our Third Amended and Restated Bylaws provide for an advance notice procedure for stockholders to nominate director candidates for election or to bring business before an annual meeting of stockholders and require that special meetings of stockholders be called only by our chairman of the Board of Directors, president or secretary after written request of a majority of our Board of Directors. The advance notice provision requires disclosure of derivative positions, hedging transactions, short interests, rights to dividends and other similar positions of any stockholder proposing a director nomination, in order to promote full disclosure of such stockholder's economic interest in us. The anti-takeover provisions of Delaware law and provisions in our organizational documents may prevent our stockholders from receiving the benefit from any premium to the market price of our common stock offered by a bidder in a takeover context. Even in the absence of a takeover attempt, the existence of these provisions may adversely affect the prevailing market price of our common stock if they are viewed as discouraging takeover attempts in the future.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 6.4%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
We are exposed to risks relating to evaluations of internal controls required by Section 404 of Sarbanes-Oxley.
To comply with the management certification and auditor attestation requirements of Section 404 of Sarbanes-Oxley, we are required to evaluate our internal controls systems to allow management to report on, and our independent auditors to audit, our internal controls over financial reporting. During this process, we may identify control deficiencies of varying degrees of severity under applicable SEC and Public Company Accounting Oversight Board rules and regulations that remain unremediated. As a public company, we are required to report, among other things, control deficiencies that constitute a "material weakness" or changes in internal controls that, or are reasonably likely to, materially affect internal controls over financial reporting. A "material weakness" is a deficiency, or combination of deficiencies, in internal control over financial reporting, such that there is a reasonable possibility that a material misstatement of the Company's annual or interim financial statements will not be prevented or detected on a timely basis. If we fail to comply with the requirements of Section 404, we may be subject to sanctions or investigation by regulatory authorities such as the SEC or the NYSE. Additionally, failure to comply with Section 404 or the report by us of a material weakness may cause investors to lose confidence in our financial statements and our stock price may be adversely affected. If we fail to remedy any material weakness, our financial statements may be inaccurate, we may face restricted access to the capital markets and our stock price may decline.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Because we account for the Alon Investment under the equity method of accounting, the earnings or losses reported by Alon USA will have a direct effect upon our earnings.
Due to our ownership percentage in Alon USA, we account for the Alon Investment using the equity method of accounting. As a result, the earnings or losses reported by Alon USA will have a direct impact on our earnings or losses per share. Alon USA is an independent refiner and marketer of petroleum products subject to many of the same risk factors affecting us, as described this Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other risk factors. To the extent that these factors adversely impact Alon USA's earnings, our earnings per share would be adversely affected as well. For example, for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, Alon USA reported a goodwill impairment in the amount of approximately $39.0 million that adversely impacted Alon USA's pre-tax earnings. Because we account for the Alon Investment using the equity method of accounting, this impairment adversely impacted our pre-tax earnings for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 by approximately $18.7 million. For additional information regarding the risks to Alon USA's business, please see those identified in Alon USA's annual, quarterly and current reports, including those identified in Alon USA's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
We may be unable to pay future regular dividends in the anticipated amounts and frequency set forth herein.
We will only be able to pay regular dividends from our available cash on hand and funds received from our subsidiaries. Our ability to receive dividends and other cash payments from our subsidiaries is restricted under the terms of their respective credit facilities. For example, under the terms of their credit facilities, our subsidiaries are subject to certain customary covenants that limit their ability to, subject to certain exceptions as defined in their respective credit agreements, remit cash to, distribute assets to, or make investments in us as the parent company. Specifically, these covenants limit the payment, in the form of cash or other assets, of dividends or other cash payments to us. The declaration of future regular dividends on our common stock will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will depend upon many factors, including our results of operations, financial condition, earnings, capital requirements, restrictions in our debt agreements and legal requirements. Although we currently intend to pay regular quarterly cash dividends on our common stock at an annual rate of $0.60 per share, we cannot provide any assurances that any regular dividends will be paid in the anticipated amounts and frequency set forth herein, if at all.
Debt & Financing7 | 14.9%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
We depend upon our subsidiaries for cash to meet our obligations and pay any dividends.
We are a holding company. Our subsidiaries conduct substantially all of our operations and own substantially all of our assets. Consequently, our cash flow and our ability to meet our obligations or pay dividends to our stockholders depend upon the cash flow of our subsidiaries and the payment of funds by our subsidiaries to us in the form of dividends, tax sharing payments or otherwise. Our subsidiaries' ability to make any payments will depend on many factors, including their earnings, cash flows, the terms of their credit facilities, tax considerations and legal restrictions.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
From time to time, our cash and credit needs may exceed our internally generated cash flow and available credit, and our business could be materially and adversely affected if we are not able to obtain the necessary cash or credit from financing sources.
We have significant short-term cash needs to satisfy working capital requirements, such as crude oil purchases which fluctuate with the pricing and sourcing of crude oil. We rely in part on our access to credit to purchase crude oil for our refineries. If the price of crude oil increases significantly, we may not have sufficient available credit, and may not be able to sufficiently increase such availability, under our existing credit facilities or other arrangements to purchase enough crude oil to operate our refineries at desired capacities. Our failure to operate our refineries at desired capacities could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. We also have significant long-term needs for cash, including any capital expenditures for refinery expansion and upgrade projects, as well as projects necessary for regulatory compliance. Depending on the conditions in credit markets, it may become more difficult to obtain cash or credit from third-party sources. If we cannot generate cash flow or otherwise secure sufficient liquidity to support our short-term and long-term capital requirements, we may not be able to comply with regulatory deadlines or pursue our business strategies, in which case our operations may not perform as well as we currently expect.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Our debt levels may limit our flexibility in obtaining additional financing and in pursuing other business opportunities.
As of December 31, 2016, we had total debt of $832.9 million, including current maturities of $84.4 million. In addition to our outstanding debt, as of December 31, 2016, our letters of credit issued under our various credit facilities were $102.3 million. Our borrowing availability under our various credit facilities as of December 31, 2016 was $503.4 million. Our level of debt could have important consequences for us. For example, it could: - increase our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions;- require us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to service our debt and lease obligations, thereby reducing the availability of our cash flow to fund working capital, capital expenditures and other general corporate purposes;- limit our flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in our business and the industry in which we operate;- place us at a disadvantage relative to our competitors that have less indebtedness or better access to capital by, for example, limiting our ability to enter into new markets, upgrade our refining assets or pursue acquisitions or other business opportunities;- limit our ability to borrow additional funds in the future; and - increase interest costs for our borrowed funds and letters of credit. In addition, a substantial portion of our debt has a variable rate of interest, which increases our exposure to interest rate fluctuations, to the extent we elect not to hedge such exposures. If we are unable to meet our principal and interest obligations under our debt and lease agreements, we could be forced to restructure or refinance our obligations, seek additional equity financing or sell assets, which we may not be able to do on satisfactory terms or at all. Our default on any of those agreements could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, if new debt is added to our current debt levels, the related risks that we now face could intensify.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
Our debt agreements contain operating and financial restrictions that might constrain our business and financing activities.
The operating and financial restrictions and covenants in our credit facilities and any future financing agreements could adversely affect our ability to finance future operations or capital needs or to engage in, expand or pursue our business activities. For example, to varying degrees our credit facilities restrict our ability to: - declare dividends and redeem or repurchase capital stock;- prepay, redeem or repurchase debt;- make loans and investments, issue guaranties and pledge assets;- incur additional indebtedness or amend our debt and other material agreements;- make capital expenditures;- engage in mergers, acquisitions and asset sales; and - enter into certain intercompany arrangements or make certain intercompany payments, which in some instances could restrict our ability to use the assets, cash flows or earnings of one operating segment to support another operating segment or Holdings. Other restrictive covenants require that we meet certain financial covenants, including leverage coverage, fixed charge coverage and net worth tests as described in the applicable credit agreements. In addition, the covenant requirements of our various credit agreements require us to make many subjective determinations pertaining to our compliance thereto and exercise good faith judgment in determining our compliance. Our ability to comply with the covenants and restrictions contained in our debt instruments may be affected by events beyond our control, including prevailing economic, financial and industry conditions. If market or other economic conditions deteriorate, our ability to comply with these covenants and restrictions may be impaired. If we breach any of the restrictions or covenants in our debt agreements, a significant portion of our indebtedness may become immediately due and payable, and our lenders' commitments to make further loans to us may terminate. We might not have, or be able to obtain, sufficient funds to make these immediate payments. In addition, our obligations under our credit facilities are secured by substantially all of our assets. If we are unable to timely repay our obligations under our credit facilities, the lenders could seek to foreclose on the assets or we may be required to contribute additional capital to our subsidiaries. Any of these outcomes could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
Changes in our credit profile could affect our relationships with our suppliers, which could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity and our ability to operate our refineries at full capacity.
Changes in our credit profile could affect the way crude oil, feedstock and refined product suppliers view our ability to make payments. As a result, suppliers could shorten the payment terms of their invoices with us or require us to provide significant collateral to them that we do not currently provide. Due to the large dollar amounts and volume of our crude oil and other petroleum product purchases, as well as the historical volatility of crude oil pricing, any imposition by our suppliers of more burdensome payment terms or collateral requirements may have a material adverse effect on our liquidity and our ability to make payments to our suppliers. This, in turn, could cause us to be unable to operate our refineries at desired capacities. A failure to operate our refineries at desired capacities could adversely affect our profitability and cash flows.
Debt & Financing - Risk 6
The termination or expiration of our Amended and Restated Master Supply and Offtake Agreement could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity.
Our S&O Agreement with J. Aron expires on April 30, 2017. Pursuant to the agreement, J. Aron purchases a substantial portion of the crude oil and refined products in Lion Oil's inventory at market prices. Upon any termination of the agreement, including at expiration or in connection with a force majeure or default, the parties are required to negotiate with third parties for the assignment to us of certain contracts, commitments and arrangements, including procurement contracts, commitments for the sale of product and pipeline, terminalling, storage and shipping arrangements. Additionally, upon any termination, we will be required to repurchase or refinance the consigned crude oil and refined products from J. Aron at then market prices, which may have a material impact on our working capital needs. At December 31, 2016, we had approximately 2.6 million barrels of inventory consigned to J. Aron, and we had recorded a liability associated with this consigned inventory of $124.6 million.
Debt & Financing - Risk 7
Our commodity and interest rate derivative activity may limit potential gains, increase potential losses, result in earnings volatility and involve other risks.
At times, we enter into commodity derivative contracts to manage our price exposure to our inventory positions, future purchases of crude oil, ethanol and other feedstocks, future sales of refined products, manage our RINs exposure or to secure margins on future production. We have used interest rate swap and cap agreements to manage our market exposure to changes in interest rates related to our floating rate borrowings. We expect to continue to enter into these types of transactions from time to time and have increased our use of these risk management activities in recent years. While these transactions are intended to limit our exposure to the adverse effects of fluctuations in crude oil prices, refined products prices, RIN prices and interest rates, they may also limit our ability to benefit from favorable changes in market conditions and may subject us to period-by-period earnings volatility in the instances where we do not seek hedge accounting for these transactions. Further, because the volume of derivative activity is less than our actual use of crude oil, production of refined products or total RINs exposure, our risk management activity does not completely limit our exposure to market volatility. Also, in connection with such derivative transactions, we may be required to make cash payments to maintain margin accounts and to settle the contracts at their value upon termination. Finally, this activity exposes us to potential risk of counterparties to our derivative contracts failing to perform under the contracts. As a result, the effectiveness of our risk management policies could have a material adverse impact on our business, results of operations and cash flows. For additional information about the nature and volume of these transactions, see Item 7A, Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Corporate Activity and Growth4 | 8.5%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
The Merger Agreement contains provisions that could discourage a potential acquiror of Delek or could result in any potential acquisition proposal being offered at a lower price than might otherwise be offered.
The Merger Agreement contains "no shop" provisions that, subject to limited exceptions, restrict our ability to initiate, solicit, knowingly encourage or facilitate third-party proposals of offers to acquire all or a significant part of Delek. Further, even if our board withdraws or modifies its recommendation with respect to the issuance of Holdco common stock to the stockholders of Alon USA as consideration for the Alon Merger contemplated by the Merger Agreement, it will still be required to submit the matter to a vote of our stockholders at the special meeting unless the Merger Agreement is terminated in accordance with its terms. In addition, Alon USA generally has an opportunity to offer to modify the terms of the Merger Agreement in response to any competing acquisition proposals (as defined in the Merger Agreement) that may be made before our board may withdraw or modify its recommendation. In some circumstances, upon termination of the Merger Agreement, either of the parties to the Merger Agreement may be required to pay a termination fee to the other party. These provisions could discourage a potential acquiror from considering or proposing an acquisition, even if it were prepared to pay consideration with a higher per share cash or market value than that market value proposed to be received or realized in the Mergers, or might result in a potential acquiror proposing to pay a lower price than it might otherwise have proposed to pay because of the added expense of the termination fee that may become payable in certain circumstances. If we complete the Mergers, we may face risks in connection with our planned integration of Alon USA. Risks we face in connection with our planned integration of Alon USA include but are not limited to: - the risk that the proposed transaction and its announcement could have an adverse effect on the ability of Delek and Alon USA to retain customers and retain and hire key personnel and maintain relationships with their suppliers and customers and on their operating results and businesses generally;- the risk that problems may arise in successfully integrating the businesses of the companies, which may result in the combined company not operating as effectively and efficiently as expected;- the risk that the combined company may be unable to achieve cost-cutting synergies or it may take longer than expected to achieve those synergies;- uncertainty related to timing and amount of future share repurchases and dividend payments;- risks and uncertainties with respect to the quantities and costs of crude oil we are able to obtain and the price of the refined petroleum products we ultimately sell;- gains and losses from derivative instruments;- management's ability to execute its strategy of growth through acquisitions and the transactional risks associated with acquisitions and dispositions;- acquired assets may suffer a diminishment in fair value as a result of which we may need to record a write-down or impairment in carrying value of the asset;- changes in the scope, costs, and/or timing of capital and maintenance projects;- operating hazards inherent in transporting, storing and processing crude oil and intermediate and finished petroleum products;- our competitive position and the effects of competition;- the projected growth of the industries in which we operate;- general economic and business conditions affecting the southern United States;  and - other risks contained Alon USA's filings with the SEC. The occurrence of any of these factors could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations. Our sale of the Retail Entities to COPEC involves risks related to our continuing obligations under the Purchase Agreement and the effect of the disposition of the Retail Entities. In November 2016, we closed the Retail Transaction, pursuant to which we sold the Retail Entities to COPEC, which comprised our retail segment and a portion of our corporate, other and eliminations segment. In connection with the closing of the Retail Transaction, we and our stockholders are subject to several risks, including the following: - the effect of the sale of the Retail Entities may adversely affect our relationships with our employees, customers, suppliers and other persons with whom we have business relationships;- any event that results in a right for COPEC to seek indemnity from us could result in a substantial payment from us to COPEC and could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations;- certain terms of the Purchase Agreement may preclude us from engaging in or pursuing certain business opportunities; and - our revenues will decrease accordingly and our business will be subject to an increased concentration of the risks that affect our refining and logistics segments.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
We may not be able to successfully execute our strategy of growth through acquisitions.
A significant part of our growth strategy is to acquire assets such as refineries, pipelines and terminals that complement our existing assets and/or broaden our geographic presence. If attractive opportunities arise, we may also acquire assets in new lines of business that are complementary to our existing businesses. From our inception in 2001 through December 2016, we acquired the Tyler and El Dorado refineries, developed our logistics segment through the acquisition of transportation and marketing assets and purchased approximately 48% of the issued and outstanding common stock of Alon USA. We expect to continue to acquire assets that complement our existing assets and/or broaden our geographic presence as a major element of our growth strategy. However, the occurrence of any of the following factors could adversely affect our growth strategy: - We may not be able to identify suitable acquisition candidates or acquire additional assets on favorable terms;- We usually compete with others to acquire assets, which competition may increase, and any level of competition could result in decreased availability or increased prices for acquisition candidates;- We may experience difficulty in anticipating the timing and availability of acquisition candidates;- We may not be able to obtain the necessary financing, on favorable terms or at all, to finance any of our potential acquisitions; and - As a public company, we are subject to reporting obligations, internal controls and other accounting requirements with respect to any business we acquire, which may prevent or negatively affect the valuation of some acquisitions we might otherwise deem favorable or increase our acquisition costs.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
Acquisitions involve risks that could cause our actual growth or operating results to differ adversely compared with our expectations.
Due to our emphasis on growth through acquisitions, we are particularly susceptible to transactional risks that could cause our actual growth or operating results to differ adversely compared with our expectations. For example: - during the acquisition process, we may fail, or be unable, to discover some of the liabilities of companies or businesses that we acquire;- we may assume contracts or other obligations in connection with particular acquisitions on terms that are less favorable or desirable than the terms that we would expect to obtain if we negotiated the contracts or other obligations directly;- we may fail to successfully integrate or manage acquired assets;- acquired assets may not perform as we expect, or we may not be able to obtain the cost savings and financial improvements we anticipate;- acquisitions may require us to incur additional debt or issue additional equity;- acquired assets may suffer a diminishment in fair value as a result of which we may need to record a write-down or impairment;- we may fail to grow our existing systems, financial controls, information systems, management resources and human resources in a manner that effectively supports our growth;- to the extent that we acquire assets in new lines of business, we may become subject to additional regulatory requirements and additional risks that are characteristic or typical of these lines of business; and - to the extent that we acquire equity interests in entities that control assets (rather than acquiring the assets directly), we may become subject to liabilities that predate our ownership and control of the assets. The occurrence of any of these factors could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
Failure to complete, or delays in completing, the Mergers may reduce or eliminate the expected benefits from the transactions and could negatively impact our stock price and future business and financial results.
The Mergers are subject to a number of conditions beyond Delek's and Alon USA's control that may prevent, delay or otherwise materially adversely affect their completion. We cannot predict whether and when these other conditions will be satisfied. There can be no assurance that either Delek or Alon USA or both parties will waive any condition to closing that is not satisfied. Furthermore, the requirements for obtaining the required clearances and approvals and the time required to satisfy any other conditions to the closing could delay the completion of the Mergers for a significant period of time or prevent the transaction from occurring. Any delay in completing the Mergers could cause us not to realize some or all of the benefits that we expect to achieve if the Mergers are successfully completed within the expected timeframe. In addition, if the Mergers are not completed by October 2, 2017, either Delek or Alon USA may choose not to proceed with the Mergers, and the parties can mutually decide to terminate the Merger Agreement at any time prior to the consummation of the Mergers, before or after stockholder approval. In addition, Delek or Alon USA may elect to terminate the Merger Agreement in certain other circumstances. If the Mergers are not completed, our ongoing business may be adversely affected and we will be subject to several risks, including the following: - being required, under certain circumstances, to pay a termination fee of $20 million to Alon USA;- having to pay certain costs relating to the proposed Mergers, such as legal, accounting, financial advisor, filing, printing and mailing fees; and - the focus of management on the Mergers instead of our ongoing business operations or pursuing other opportunities that may be beneficial to Delek. If the Mergers do not occur, we may incur these costs without realizing any of the benefits of the Mergers being completed. In addition, if the Mergers are not completed, we may experience negative reactions from the financial markets and from its customers and employees. We could also be subject to litigation related to any failure to complete the Mergers or to potential enforcement proceedings seeking to compel the performance of our obligations under the Merger Agreement. There can be no assurance that the Mergers will be completed within the expected timeframe, or at all, and the occurrence of any of these factors could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
Production
Total Risks: 10/47 (21%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 2.1%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
The dangers inherent in transporting, storing and processing crude oil and intermediate and finished petroleum products could cause disruptions and expose us to potentially significant costs and liabilities.
Our refining and logistics operations are subject to significant hazards and risks inherent in transporting, storing and processing crude oil and intermediate and finished petroleum products. These hazards and risks include, but are not limited to, natural or weather-related disasters, fires, explosions, pipeline ruptures and spills, trucking accidents, train derailments, third-party interference, mechanical failure of equipment and other events beyond our control. The occurrence of any of these events could result in production and distribution difficulties and disruptions, personal injury or death, environmental pollution and other damage to our properties and the properties of others. For example, we have experienced several crude oil releases from pipelines owned by our logistics segment. Each of these releases resulted in the need for clean-up and remediation efforts. Because of these inherent dangers, our refining and logistics operations are subject to various laws and regulations relating to occupational health and safety, process and operating safety, environmental protection and transportation safety. Continued efforts to comply with applicable laws and regulations related to health, safety and the environment, or a finding of non-compliance with current regulations, could result in additional capital expenditures or operating expenses, as well as fines and penalties. In addition, our refineries, pipelines and terminals are located in populated areas and any release of hazardous material, or catastrophic event, could affect our employees and contractors as well as persons outside our property. Our pipelines, trucks and rail cars carry flammable and toxic materials on public railways and roads and across populated and/or environmentally sensitive areas, and waterways that could be severely impacted in the event of a release. An accident could result in significant personal injuries and/or cause a release that results in damage to occupied areas, as well as damage to natural resources. It could also affect deliveries of crude oil to our refineries, resulting in a curtailment of operations. The costs to remediate such an accidental release and address other potential liabilities, as well as the costs associated with any interruption of operations, could be substantial. Although we maintain significant insurance coverage for such events, it may not cover all potential losses or liabilities. In the event that personal injuries or deaths result from such events, or there are natural resource damages, we would likely incur substantial legal costs and liabilities. The extent of these costs and liabilities could exceed the limits of our available insurance. As a result, any such event could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and cash flows.
Employment / Personnel2 | 4.3%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
A substantial portion of the workforce at our refineries is unionized, and we may face labor disruptions that would interfere with our operations.
As of December 31, 2016, we employed 274 and 330 people in our Tyler and El Dorado operations, respectively. From among these employees, 177 operations and maintenance hourly employees and 39 truck drivers at the Tyler refinery were represented by the United Steel, Paper and Forestry, Rubber, Manufacturing, Energy, Allied Industrial and Service Workers International Union and its Local 202 at year end. The Tyler operations and maintenance hourly employees are currently covered by a collective bargaining agreement that expires January 31, 2019. The Tyler truck drivers are currently covered by a collective bargaining agreement that expires March 1, 2018. As of December 31, 2016, 192 operations and maintenance hourly employees at the El Dorado refinery were represented by the International Union of Operating Engineers and its Local 381. These employees are covered by a collective bargaining agreement which expires on August 1, 2017. Although these collective bargaining agreements contain provisions to discourage strikes or work stoppages, we cannot assure you that strikes or work stoppages will not occur. A strike or work stoppage could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
If we lose any of our key personnel, our ability to manage our business and continue our growth could be negatively impacted.
Our future performance depends to a significant degree upon the continued contributions of our senior management team and key technical personnel. We do not currently maintain key person life insurance policies for any of our senior management team. The loss or unavailability to us of any member of our senior management team or a key technical employee could significantly harm us. We face competition for these professionals from our competitors, our customers and other companies operating in our industry. To the extent that the services of members of our senior management team and key technical personnel would be unavailable to us for any reason, we would be required to hire other personnel to manage and operate our company and to develop our products and technology. We cannot assure you that we would be able to locate or employ such qualified personnel on acceptable terms or at all.
Supply Chain3 | 6.4%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We are exposed to certain counterparty risks which may adversely impact our results of operations.
We evaluate the creditworthiness of each of our various counterparties, but we may not always be able to fully anticipate or detect deterioration in a counterparty's creditworthiness and overall financial condition. The deterioration of creditworthiness or overall financial condition of a material counterparty (or counterparties) could expose us to an increased risk of nonpayment or other default under our contracts with them. If a material counterparty (or counterparties) defaults on their obligations to us, this could materially adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows. For example, under the terms of the S&O Agreement with J. Aron, we granted J. Aron the exclusive right to store and withdraw crude and certain products in the tanks associated with the El Dorado refinery. The S&O Agreement also provides that the ownership of substantially all crude oil and certain other refined products in the tanks associated with the refinery will be retained by J. Aron, and that J. Aron will purchase substantially all of the specified refined products processed at the El Dorado refinery. An adverse change in J. Aron's business, results of operations, liquidity or financial condition could adversely affect its ability to timely discharge its obligations to us, which could consequently have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations or liquidity.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
We depend upon our logistics segment for a substantial portion of the crude oil supply and refined product distribution networks that serve our refineries.
Our logistics segment consists of Delek Logistics, a publicly traded master limited partnership, and our consolidated financial statements include its consolidated financial results. As of December 31, 2016, we owned a 60.7% limited partner interest in Delek Logistics, and a 94.9% interest in Logistics GP, which owns the entire 2.0% general partner interest in Delek Logistics. Delek Logistics operates a system of crude oil and refined product pipelines, distribution terminals and tankage in Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee and Texas. Delek Logistics generates revenues by charging tariffs for transporting crude oil and refined products through its pipelines, by leasing pipeline capacity to third parties, by charging fees for terminalling refined products and other hydrocarbons and storing and providing other services at its terminals. Our refineries are substantially dependent upon Delek Logistics' assets and services under several long-term pipeline and terminal, tankage and throughput agreements expiring in 2017 through 2030. Delek Logistics is subject to its own operating and regulatory risks, including, but not limited to: - its reliance on significant customers, including us;- macroeconomic factors, such as commodity price volatility that could affect its customers' utilization of its assets;- its reliance on us for near-term growth;- sufficiency of cash flow for required distributions;- counterparty risks, such as creditworthiness and force majeure;- competition from third-party pipelines and terminals and other competitors in the transportation and marketing industries;- environmental regulations;- operational hazards and risks;- pipeline tariff regulations;- limitations on additional borrowings and other restrictions in its debt agreements; and - other financial, operational and legal risks. The occurrence of any of these risks could directly or indirectly affect Delek Logistics' financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Because Delek Logistics is our consolidated subsidiary, the occurrence of any of these risks could also affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Additionally, if any of these risks affect Delek Logistics' viability, its ability to serve our supply and distribution needs may be jeopardized. For additional information about Delek Logistics, see "Logistics Segment" under Item 1 & 2, Business and Properties, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
Interruptions or limitations in the supply and delivery of crude oil, or the supply and distribution of refined products, may negatively affect our refining operations and inhibit the growth of our refining operations.
We rely on Delek Logistics and third-party transportation systems for the delivery of crude oil to our refineries. For example, during the year ended December 31, 2016, we relied upon the West Texas Gulf pipeline for the delivery of approximately 77.0% of the crude oil processed by our refineries. We could experience an interruption or reduction of supply and delivery, or an increased cost of receiving crude oil, if the ability of these systems to transport crude oil is disrupted because of accidents, adverse weather conditions, governmental regulation, terrorism, maintenance or failure of pipelines or other delivery systems, other third-party action or other events beyond our control. The unavailability for our use, for a prolonged period of time, of any system of delivery of crude oil could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. For example, on two separate occasions since we assumed control of the El Dorado refinery in April 2011, a third-party pipeline operator has temporarily suspended crude oil shipments on a pipeline system that has historically supplied significant amounts of crude oil to the refinery. In May 2011, the suspension resulted from flooding along the Mississippi River and lasted approximately five weeks. In April 2012, the suspension resulted from a pipeline rupture and lasted approximately ten months. Pipeline suspensions like these could require us to operate at reduced throughput rates. Moreover, interruptions in delivery or limitations in delivery capacity may not allow our refining operations to draw sufficient crude oil to support current refinery production or increases in refining output. In order to maintain or materially increase refining output, existing crude delivery systems may require upgrades or supplementation, which may require substantial additional capital expenditures. In addition, the El Dorado refinery distributes most of its light product production through a third-party pipeline system. An interruption to, or change in, the operation of the third-party pipeline system may result in a material restriction to our distribution channels. Because demand in the El Dorado market is limited, a material restriction to the El Dorado refinery's distribution channels may cause us to reduce production and may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Finally, our West Texas terminals sell refined products produced by refineries owned mostly by third parties. In 2016, these terminals received a majority of their supply of refined products from a single supplier. We could experience an interruption or reduction of supply or delivery of refined products if our suppliers partially or completely ceased operations, temporarily or permanently. The ability of these refineries and our suppliers to supply refined products to us could be temporarily disrupted by anticipated events such as scheduled upgrades or maintenance, as well as events beyond their control, such as unscheduled maintenance, fires, floods, storms, explosions, power outages, accidents, acts of terrorism or other catastrophic events, labor difficulties and work stoppages, governmental or private party litigation, or legislation or regulation that adversely impacts refinery operations. In addition, any reduction in capacity of other pipelines that connect with our suppliers' pipelines or our pipelines due to testing, line repair, reduced operating pressures, or other causes could result in reduced volumes of refined product supplied to our West Texas terminals. A reduction in the volume of refined products supplied to our West Texas terminals could adversely affect our sales and earnings.
Costs4 | 8.5%
Costs - Risk 1
Our Tyler refinery currently has limited ability to economically distribute refined petroleum products outside the northeast Texas market.
In recent years, we have expanded our refined product distribution capacities in northeast Texas with our acquisition of refined product terminals located in Big Sandy, Texas and Mount Pleasant, Texas. However, unlike most other refineries, the Tyler refinery currently has a limited ability to distribute refined products outside the northeast Texas market. For the year ended December 31, 2016, nearly all of the refinery sales volume in Tyler was completed through a rack system located at the Tyler refinery, which is owned by our logistics segment. The Tyler refinery's limited distribution capabilities may continue to limit its ability to increase its production, attract new customers for its refined petroleum products or increase sales of the Tyler refinery products. In addition, if demand for the Tyler refinery's products diminishes within the northeast Texas market, its production may be reduced and our financial results would be adversely affected, unless additional distribution capabilities are identified.
Costs - Risk 2
The costs, scope, timelines and benefits of our refining projects may deviate significantly from our original plans and estimates.
We may experience unanticipated increases in the cost, scope and completion time for our improvement, maintenance and repair projects at our refineries. Refinery projects are generally initiated to increase the yields of higher-value products, increase our ability to process a variety of crude oils, increase production capacity, meet new regulatory requirements or maintain the safe and reliable operations of our existing assets. Equipment that we require to complete these projects may be unavailable to us at expected costs or within expected time periods. Additionally, employee or contractor labor expense may exceed our expectations. Due to these or other factors beyond our control, we may be unable to complete these projects within anticipated cost parameters and timelines. In addition, the benefits we realize from completed projects may take longer to achieve and/or be less than we anticipated. Large-scale capital projects are typically undertaken in anticipation of achieving an acceptable level of return on the capital to be employed in the project. We base these forecasted project economics on our best estimate of future market conditions that are not within our control. Most large-scale projects take many years to complete, and during this multi-year period, market and other business conditions can change from those we forecast. Our inability to complete, and/or realize the benefits of refinery projects in a cost-efficient and timely manner, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Costs - Risk 3
Decreases in commodity prices may lessen our borrowing capacities, increase collateral requirements for derivative instruments or cause a write-down of inventory.
The nature of our business requires us to maintain substantial quantities of crude oil, refined petroleum product and blendstock inventories. Because these inventories are commodities, we have no control over their changing market value. For example, reductions in the value of our inventories or accounts receivable as a result of lower commodity prices could result in a reduction in our borrowing base calculation under the Tyler refinery's revolving credit facility and a reduction in the amount of financial resources available to meet the Tyler and El Dorado refineries' credit requirements. Further, if at any time our availability under the revolving credit facility falls below certain thresholds, we may be required to take steps to reduce our utilization under the credit facility. In addition, changes in commodity prices may require us to utilize substantial amounts of cash to settle or cash collateralize some or all of our existing commodity hedges. Finally, because our inventory is valued at the lower of cost or market value, we would record a write-down of inventory and a non-cash charge to cost of sales if the market value of the inventory were to decline to an amount below our cost.
Costs - Risk 4
Our insurance policies do not cover all losses, costs or liabilities that we may experience, and insurance companies that currently insure companies in the energy industry may cease to do so or substantially increase premiums.
We carry property, business interruption, pollution and casualty insurance, but we do not maintain insurance coverage against all potential losses, costs or liabilities. We could suffer losses for uninsurable, or uninsured, risks or in amounts in excess of existing insurance coverage. In addition, we purchase insurance programs with large self-insured retentions and large deductibles. For example, we retain a short period of our business interruption losses. Therefore, a significant part or all of a business interruption loss or other types of loss could be retained by us. The occurrence of a loss that is retained by us, or not fully covered by insurance, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. The energy industry is highly capital intensive, and the entire or partial loss of individual facilities or multiple facilities can result in significant costs to both industry companies, such as us, and their insurance carriers. Historically, large energy industry claims have resulted in significant increases in the level of premium costs and deductible periods for participants in the energy industry. For example, hurricanes have caused significant damage to energy companies operating along the Gulf Coast, in addition to numerous oil and gas production facilities and pipelines in that region. Insurance companies that have historically participated in underwriting energy-related risks may discontinue that practice, may reduce the insurance capacity they are willing to offer or demand significantly higher premiums or deductible periods to cover these risks. If significant changes in the number, or financial solvency, of insurance underwriters for the energy industry occur, or if other adverse conditions over which we have no control prevail in the insurance market, we may be unable to obtain and maintain adequate insurance at reasonable cost. In addition, we cannot assure you that our insurers will renew our insurance coverage on acceptable terms, if at all, or that we will be able to arrange for adequate alternative coverage in the event of non-renewal. The unavailability of full insurance coverage to cover events in which we suffer significant losses could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 7/47 (15%)Above Sector Average
Regulation1 | 2.1%
Regulation - Risk 1
We operate in a highly regulated industry and increased costs of compliance with, or liability for violation of, existing or future laws, regulations and other requirements could significantly increase our costs of doing business, thereby adversely affecting our profitability.
Our industry is subject to extensive laws, regulations, permits and other requirements including, but not limited to, those relating to the environment, fuel composition, safety, transportation, pipeline tariffs, employment, labor, immigration, minimum wages, overtime pay, health care benefits, working conditions, public accessibility, and other requirements. These permits, laws and regulations are enforced by federal agencies including the EPA, United States Department of Transportation, Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration, Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration, Federal Railroad Administration, OSHA, National Labor Relations Board, Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, Federal Trade Commission and FERC, and state agencies such as the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, Arkansas Department of Environmental Quality, Railroad Commission of Texas and Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation, as well as numerous other state and federal agencies. We anticipate that compliance with environmental, health and safety regulations will require us to spend approximately $17.6 million in capital costs in 2017 and approximately $57.7 million during the next five years. These estimates do not include amounts related to capital investments that management has deemed to be strategic investments. These amounts could materially change as a result of governmental and regulatory actions. Various permits, licenses, registrations and other authorizations are required under these laws for the operation of our refineries, terminals, pipelines and related operations, and these permits are subject to renewal and modification that may require operational changes involving significant costs. If key permits cannot be renewed or are revoked, the ability to continue operation of the affected facilities could be threatened. Ongoing compliance with, or violation of, laws, regulations and other requirements could also have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. We face potential exposure to future claims and lawsuits involving environmental matters, including, but not limited to, soil, groundwater and waterway contamination, air pollution, personal injury and property damage allegedly caused by substances we manufactured, handled, used, released or disposed. We are, and have been, the subject of various state, federal and private proceedings relating to environmental regulations, conditions and inquiries. In addition, new legal requirements, new interpretations of existing legal requirements, increased legislative activity and governmental enforcement and other developments could require us to make additional unforeseen expenditures. Companies in the petroleum industry, such as us, are often the target of activist and regulatory activity regarding pricing, safety, environmental compliance, derivatives trading and other business practices, which could result in price controls, fines, increased taxes or other actions affecting the conduct of our business. For example, consumer activists are lobbying various authorities to enact laws and regulations mandating the removal of tetra-ethyl lead from aviation gasoline and efforts are underway by the Federal Aviation Administration to find a suitable replacement fuel, which could affect production of aviation gasoline at our Tyler refinery. Other activists seek to require reductions in GHG emissions from our refineries and fuel products and are increasingly protesting new energy infrastructure projects such as pipelines and crude by rail facilities. The specific impact of laws and regulations or other actions may vary depending on a number of factors, including the age and location of operating facilities, marketing areas, crude oil and feedstock sources and production processes. We generate wastes that may be subject to the RCRA and comparable state and local requirements. The EPA and various state agencies have limited the approved methods of managing, transporting, recycling and disposal of hazardous and certain non-hazardous wastes. Our refineries are large quantity generators of hazardous waste and require hazardous waste permits issued by the EPA or state agencies. Additionally, certain of our other facilities, such as terminals and biodiesel plants, generate lesser quantities of hazardous wastes. Ongoing compliance with laws, regulations and other requirements could also have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Under RCRA and the CERCLA and other federal, state and local environmental requirements, as the owner or operator of refineries, biodiesel plants, bulk terminals, pipelines, tank farms, rail cars and trucks, we may be liable for the costs of removal or remediation of contamination at our existing or former locations, whether we knew of, or were responsible for, the presence of such contamination. We have incurred such liability in the past and several of our current and former locations are the subject of ongoing remediation projects. The failure to timely report and properly remediate contamination may subject us to liability to third parties and may adversely affect our ability to sell or rent our property or to borrow money using our property as collateral. Additionally, persons who arrange for the disposal or treatment of hazardous substances also may be liable for the costs of removal or remediation of these substances at sites where they are located, regardless of whether the site is owned or operated by that person. We typically arrange for the treatment or disposal of hazardous substances in our refining and other operations. Therefore, we may be liable for removal or remediation costs, as well as other related costs, including fines, penalties and damages resulting from injuries to persons, property and natural resources. Our El Dorado refinery is a minor potentially responsible party at a Superfund site, for which we expect our costs to be immaterial. In the future, we may incur substantial expenditures for investigation or remediation of contamination that has not been discovered at our current or former locations or locations that we may acquire. Our operations are subject to certain requirements of the federal Clean Air Act ("CAA") as well as related state and local laws and regulations governing air emissions. Certain CAA regulatory programs applicable to our refineries, terminals and other operations require capital expenditures for the installation of air pollution control devices, operational procedures to minimize emissions and monitoring and reporting of emissions. In 2012, the EPA announced an industry-wide enforcement initiative directed at flaring operations and performance at refineries and petrochemical plants and finalized revisions to NSPS Subpart Ja that primarily affects flares and process heaters. We completed capital projects at our refineries related to flare compliance with NSPS Ja in 2015. We believe our existing process heaters meet the applicable NSPS Ja requirements, and our refineries have not received any inquiries or requests for information from the EPA regarding flaring operations and are not a party to any associated enforcement action at this time. In 2015, EPA finalized reductions in the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for ozone, from 75 ppb to 70 ppb. Our Tyler refinery is located in an area reclassified as non-attainment with the new standard. While we do not yet know what specific actions we will be required to take or when, it is possible we will have to install additional air pollution control equipment for ozone forming emissions or change the formulation of gasoline we make for use in some areas. We do not believe such capital expenditures or the changes in our operation will result in a material adverse effect on our business. In late 2015, the EPA finalized additional rules regulating refinery air emissions from a variety of sources (such as cokers, flares, tanks and other process units) through additional NSPS and National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants and changing the way emissions from startup, shutdown and malfunction operations are regulated (the "Refinery Risk and Technology Review Rules" or "RTR"). The RTR rule also requires that, starting in January 2018, we monitor property line benzene concentrations at our refineries and, starting in 2019, report those concentrations quarterly to EPA, which will make the results available to the public. Even though the concentrations are not expected to exceed regulatory or health based standards, the availability of such data may increase the likelihood of lawsuits against our refineries by the local public or organized public interest groups. Compliance with the rules will require additional capital projects and changes in the way we operate some equipment over the next three years, but is not expected to have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. In addition to our operations, many of the fuel products we manufacture are subject to requirements of the CAA, as well as related state and local laws and regulations. The EPA has the authority under the CAA to modify the formulation of the refined transportation fuel products we manufacture in order to limit the emissions associated with their final use. In 2007, the EPA issued final Mobile Source Air Toxic II rules for gasoline formulation that required the reduction of average benzene content beginning January 1, 2011 and the reduction of maximum annual average benzene content by July 1, 2012. We currently purchase credits to comply with these content requirements for one of our refineries. Although credits have been readily available, there can be no assurance that such credits will continue to be available for purchase at reasonable prices ,or at all, and we could have to implement capital projects in the future to reduce benzene levels. In March 2014, the EPA issued final Tier 3 gasoline rules that require a reduction in annual average gasoline sulfur content from 30 ppm to 10 ppm by January 1, 2017 for "large refineries" and retains the current maximum per-gallon sulfur content limit of 80 ppm. Under the final rules, both our refineries are considered "small refineries" and are exempt from complying with the rules' requirements until January 1, 2020. We anticipate that the Tyler refinery will meet these new limits when they become effective, with only minor operational changes, and that a capital project will be required for additional sulfur removal capacity at the El Dorado refinery.  Some loss of octane may occur as a result of changes in operation of the gasoline desulfurization units but we anticipate this loss will be mitigated through operational adjustments and modifications to other gasoline processes in the refineries.   Compliance is not expected to have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. In April 2016, the EPA finalized a change to the Tier 3 standard requiring small volume refineries that increase their annual average crude processing rate above 75,000 bpd to meet the Tier 3 sulfur limits 30 months from that "disqualifying" date. We do not anticipate that this rule change will affect our refineries. Our operations are also subject to the Federal Clean Water Act ("CWA"), the Oil Pollution Act of 1990 ("OPA-90") and comparable state and local requirements. The CWA and similar laws prohibit any discharge into surface waters, ground waters, injection wells and publicly-owned treatment works except as allowed by pre-treatment permits and National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System ("NPDES") permits, issued by federal, state and local governmental agencies. The OPA-90 prohibits the discharge of oil into "Waters of the U.S." and requires that affected facilities have plans in place to respond to spills and other discharges. The CWA also regulates filling or discharges to wetlands and other "Waters of the U.S." In 2015, the EPA, in conjunction with the Army Corps of Engineers, issued a final rule regarding the definition of "Waters of the U.S.," which expanded the regulatory reach of the existing clean water regulations. Although the final rule is currently stayed pending litigation, if the rule becomes enforceable, it could increase costs for expanding our facilities or constructing new facilities, including pipelines. We are subject to regulation by the United States Department of Transportation and various state agencies in connection with our pipeline, trucking and rail transportation operations. These regulatory authorities exercise broad powers, governing activities, such as the authorization to operate hazardous materials pipelines and engage in motor carrier operations. There are additional regulations specifically relating to the transportation industry, including integrity management of pipelines, testing and specification of equipment, product handling and labeling requirements and personnel qualifications. The transportation industry is subject to possible regulatory and legislative changes that may affect the economics of our business by requiring changes in operating practices or pipeline construction or by changing the demand for common or contract carrier services or the cost of providing trucking services. Possible changes include, among other things, increasingly stringent environmental regulations, increased frequency and stringency for testing and repairing pipelines, replacement of older pipelines, changes in the hours of service regulations that govern the amount of time a driver may drive in any specific period, on-board black box recorder devices or limits on vehicle weight and size and properties of the materials that can be shipped. Required changes to the specifications governing rail cars carrying crude oil will eliminate the most commonly used tank car or require that such cars be upgraded. In January 2017, PHMSA announced they were considering limits on the volatility of crude oil that could be shipped by rail and other modes of transportation. These rules could limit the availability of tank cars to transport crude to our refineries and increase the cost of crude oil transported by rail or truck. In addition to the substantial remediation costs that could be caused by leaks or spills from our pipelines, regulators could prohibit our use of affected portions of the pipeline for extended periods, thereby interrupting the delivery of crude oil to, or the distribution of refined products from, our refineries. Our operations are subject to various laws and regulations relating to occupational health and safety and process safety administered by OSHA, EPA and various state equivalent agencies. We maintain safety, training, design standards, mechanical integrity and maintenance programs as part of our ongoing efforts to ensure compliance with applicable laws and regulations and protect the safety of our workers and the public. More stringent laws or regulations or adverse changes in the interpretation of existing laws or regulations by government agencies could have an adverse effect on our financial position and the results of our operations and could require substantial expenditures for the installation and operation of systems and equipment. Health and safety legislation and regulations change frequently. We cannot predict what additional health and safety legislation or regulations will be enacted or become effective in the future or how existing or future laws or regulations will be administered or interpreted with respect to our operations. Compliance with applicable health and safety laws and regulations has required, and continues to require, substantial expenditures. Future process safety rules could also mandate changes to the way we operate, the processes and chemicals we use and the materials from which our process units are constructed. Such regulations could have a significant negative effect on our operations and profitability. For example, in response to Executive Order 13650, Improving Chemical Facility Safety and Security, OSHA announced it intends to propose comprehensive changes to the process safety requirements. In January 2017, the EPA finalized changes to process safety requirements in its Risk Management Program rules that require evaluation of safer alternatives and technologies, expanded routine audits, independent third-party audits following certain process safety events and increased sharing of information with the public and emergency response organizations. Environmental regulations are becoming more stringent, and new environmental and safety laws and regulations are continuously being enacted or proposed. Compliance with any future legislation or regulation of our produced fuels, including renewable fuel or carbon content; GHG emissions; sulfur, benzene or other toxic content; vapor pressure; octane; or other fuel characteristics, may result in increased capital and operating costs and may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. While it is impractical to predict the impact that potential regulatory and activist activity may have, such future activity may result in increased costs to operate and maintain our facilities, as well as increased capital outlays to improve our facilities. Such future activity could also adversely affect our ability to expand production, result in damaging publicity about us, or reduce demand for our products. Our need to incur costs associated with complying with any resulting new legal or regulatory requirements, that are substantial and not adequately provided for, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the "Dodd-Frank Act") is comprehensive financial reform legislation that, among other things, establishes comprehensive federal oversight and regulation of over-the-counter derivatives and many of the entities that participate in that market. Although the Dodd-Frank Act was enacted on July 21, 2010, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, and the SEC, along with certain other regulators, must promulgate final rules and regulations to implement many of the Dodd-Frank Act's provisions relating to over-the-counter derivatives. While some of these rules have been finalized, others have not; and, as a result, the final form and timing of the implementation of the new regulatory regime affecting commodity derivatives remains uncertain. Finally, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (the "ACA") as well as other health care reform legislation being considered by Congress and state legislatures may have an impact on our business. As of December 31, 2016, we had 1,326 employees, of whom 650 were employed in our refining segment, 475 were employed by Delek for the benefit of our logistics segment and 201 were employed by Holdings. Although many of the rules, reforms and regulations required to implement the ACA have not yet been adopted, and consequently the precise costs of complying with the ACA remain unknown, an increase in our employee health care related costs appears likely and that increase could be extensive and changes to our health care cost structure could have a significant, negative impact on our business.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 2.1%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
Pending litigation against Delek or Alon USA could result in an injunction preventing the completion of the Mergers or a judgment requiring the payment of damages.
Our directors and officers may be subject to lawsuits challenging the proposed Mergers and other additional lawsuits that may be filed.  The outcome of any such litigation is uncertain.  If any litigation challenging the Mergers is not resolved, the lawsuits could prevent or delay completion of the Mergers and result in substantial costs to us, including any costs associated with the indemnification of our directors and officers. One condition to closing the Mergers is that no order, decree or injunction of any court or agency of competent jurisdiction be in effect that enjoins, prohibits or makes illegal consummation of any of the transactions, and no legal proceeding by any governmental authority with respect to the Mergers or other transactions be pending that seeks to restrain, enjoin, prohibit or delay consummation of the Mergers or imposes any material restrictions on the transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement. Accordingly, any pending litigation with respect to the Mergers will threaten to delay or prevent the closing of the Mergers, particularly if any plaintiffs are successful in obtaining an injunction prohibiting the consummation of the Mergers. Additionally, if the Mergers are completed, HoldCo would assume the risks and liabilities associated with litigation that Alon USA and all members of the Alon USA board are party to, and we have agreed to indemnify the directors and officers of Alon USA following the completion of the Mergers for liability arising out of the fact that each such person was a director or officer of Alon USA prior to the date of the Merger Agreement. The defense or settlement of these legal proceedings and any future additional litigation could be time-consuming and expensive, divert the attention of our management away from their regular business, and, if the resolution of any one of these legal proceedings or any future litigation is adverse to us or otherwise threatens the consummation of the Mergers, could have a material adverse effect on the financial condition, results of operations or liquidity of Delek or the combined company if resolved after the Mergers are completed.
Taxation & Government Incentives2 | 4.3%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
If we are, or become, a United States real property holding corporation, special tax rules may apply to a sale, exchange or other disposition of common stock and non-U.S. holders may be less inclined to invest in our stock, as they may be subject to United States federal income tax in certain situations.
A non-U.S. holder of our common stock may be subject to United States federal income tax with respect to gain recognized on the sale, exchange or other disposition of our common stock if we are, or were, a "U.S. real property holding corporation" ("USRPHC") at any time during the shorter of the five-year period ending on the date of the sale or other disposition and the period such non-U.S. holder held our common stock (the shorter period referred to as the "lookback period"). In general, we would be a USRPHC if the fair market value of our "U.S. real property interests," as such term is defined for United States federal income tax purposes, equals or exceeds 50% of the sum of the fair market value of our worldwide real property interests and our other assets used or held for use in a trade or business. The test for determining USRPHC status is applied on certain specific determination dates and is dependent upon a number of factors, some of which are beyond our control (including, for example, fluctuations in the value of our assets). If we are or become a USRPHC, so long as our common stock is regularly traded on an established securities market such as the NYSE, only a non-U.S. holder who, actually or constructively, holds or held during the lookback period more than five percent of our common stock will be subject to United States federal income tax on the disposition of our common stock.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Compliance with and changes in tax laws could adversely affect our performance.
We are subject to extensive tax liabilities, including federal and state income taxes and transactional taxes, such as excise, sales/use, payroll, franchise, withholding and ad valorem taxes. New tax laws and regulations, and changes in existing tax laws and regulations, are continuously being enacted or proposed that could result in increased expenditures for tax liabilities in the future. Certain of these liabilities are subject to periodic audits by the respective taxing authority, which could increase or otherwise alter our tax liabilities. Subsequent changes to our tax liabilities as a result of these audits may also subject us to interest and penalties and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. For example, the tax treatment of our logistics segment depends on its status as a partnership for federal income tax purposes. If a change in law, our failure to comply with existing law or other factors were to cause our logistics segment to be treated as a corporation for federal income tax purposes, it would become subject to entity-level taxation. As a result, our logistics segment would pay federal income tax on all of its taxable income at regular corporate income tax rates (subject to corporate alternative minimum tax), would likely pay additional state and local income taxes at varying rates, and distributions to unitholders, including us, would be generally treated as taxable dividends from a corporation. In such case, the logistics segment would likely experience a material reduction in its anticipated cash flow and after-tax return to its unitholders and we would likely experience a substantial reduction in its value. In addition, recent regulatory proposals in the United States could effectively limit, or even eliminate, use of the LIFO inventory method for financial and income tax purposes. Although the final outcome of these proposals cannot be ascertained at this time, the ultimate impact to us of the transition from LIFO to another inventory method could be material. We use the LIFO method with respect to our inventories at the Tyler refinery. A change to the FIFO inventory method could result in a material increase/decrease in the tax basis of our inventory at the Tyler refinery. This increase/decrease in inventory value could impact our taxable income in the year of change or ratably over several tax years.
Environmental / Social3 | 6.4%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
We may incur significant costs and liabilities with respect to investigation and remediation of environmental conditions at our refineries.
Prior to our purchase of our refineries and terminals, the previous owners had been engaged for many years in the investigation and remediation of hydrocarbons and other materials which contaminated soil and groundwater at the purchased facilities. Upon purchase of the facilities, we became responsible and liable for certain costs associated with the continued investigation and remediation of known and unknown impacted areas at the refineries. In the future, it may be necessary to conduct further assessments and remediation efforts at impacted areas at our refinery, pipeline, tank, terminal locations and elsewhere. In addition, we have identified and self-reported certain other environmental matters subsequent to our purchase of the refineries. Based upon environmental evaluations performed internally and by third parties subsequent to the purchase of our refineries and other properties, we recorded and periodically update environmental liabilities and accrued amounts we believe are sufficient to complete remediation. We expect remediation of soil, sediment and groundwater at some properties to continue for the foreseeable future. The need to make future expenditures for these purposes that exceed the amounts we estimated and accrued for could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In the future, we may incur substantial expenditures for investigation or remediation of contamination that has not been discovered at our current or former locations or locations that we may acquire. In addition, new legal requirements, new interpretations of existing legal requirements, increased legislative activity and governmental enforcement and other developments could require us to make additional unforeseen expenditures. Liabilities for future remediation costs are recorded when environmental assessments and/or remedial efforts are probable and the costs can be reasonably estimated as material. Other than for assessments, the timing and magnitude of these accruals generally are based on the completion of investigations or other studies or a commitment to a formal plan of action.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
We could incur substantial costs or disruptions in our business if we cannot obtain or maintain necessary permits and authorizations or otherwise comply with health, safety, environmental and other laws and regulations.
Our operations require numerous permits and authorizations under various laws and regulations. These authorizations and permits are subject to revocation, renewal or modification, and can require operational changes to limit impacts or potential impacts on the environment and/or health and safety. A violation of authorization or permit conditions or other legal or regulatory requirements could result in substantial fines, criminal sanctions, permit revocations, injunctions, and/or facility shutdowns. In addition, major modifications of our operations could require modifications to our existing permits or upgrades to our existing pollution control equipment. Any, or all, of these matters could have a negative effect on our business, results of operations and cash flows.
Environmental / Social - Risk 3
Legislative and regulatory measures to address climate change and GHG emissions could increase our operating costs or decrease demand for our refined products.
Various legislative and regulatory measures to address climate change and GHG emissions (including carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxides) are in various phases of discussion or implementation and could affect our operations. They include proposed and recently enacted federal regulation and state actions to develop statewide, regional or nationwide programs designed to control and reduce GHG emissions from fixed sources, such as our refineries, coal-fired power plants and oil and gas production operations, as well as mobile transportation sources and fuels. Many states and regions have implemented, or are in the process of implementing, measures to reduce emissions of GHGs, primarily through cap and trade programs or low carbon fuel standards, but we do not currently operate in states that have their own GHG reduction programs. On an international level, in April 2016, the United States became a signatory to the 2015 Paris UN Climate Change Conference Agreement (the "Paris Climate Agreement"), which aims to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The Paris Climate Agreement requires participating countries to review and "represent a progression" in their intended nationally determined contributions to GHG emission reduction goals every five years beginning in 2020. The Paris Climate Agreement does not legally require parties to the agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but the U.S.'s future activities in response to the Paris Climate Agreement may result in regulations to further reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Although it is not possible to predict the requirements of any GHG legislation that may be enacted, any laws or regulations that have been or may be adopted to restrict or reduce GHG emissions will likely require us to incur increased operating and capital costs and/or increased taxes on GHG emissions and petroleum fuels and result in reduced demand for our petroleum fuels. If we are unable to maintain sales of our refined products at a price that reflects such increased costs, there could be a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Further, any increase in the prices of refined products resulting from such increased costs, GHG cap and trade programs or taxes on GHGs, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. GHG regulation, including taxes on the GHG content of fuels, could also impact the consumption of refined products, thereby affecting our refinery operations.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 5/47 (11%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.1%
Competition - Risk 1
An increase in competition, and/or reduction in demand in the markets in which we purchase feedstocks and sell our refined products, could increase our costs and/or lower prices and adversely affect our sales and profitability.
Our Tyler refinery is currently the only supplier of a full range of refined petroleum products within a radius of approximately 100 miles of its location, and there are no competitive fuel loading terminals within approximately 90 miles of our San Angelo terminal. If competitors commence operations within these niche markets, we could lose our niche market advantage, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Our El Dorado refinery's profitability may be impacted by increased competition from refineries that operate in different regions that have access to Canadian and domestic crudes, which, from time to time may be discounted from crudes available to our El Dorado refinery. For example, third-party pipelines are currently in operation and have increased the supply of third-party refined products in Little Rock, Arkansas. In addition, the maintenance, or replacement, of our existing customers depends on a number of factors outside of our control, including increased competition from other suppliers and demand for refined products in the markets we serve. The market for distribution of wholesale motor fuel is highly competitive and fragmented. Some of our competitors have significantly greater resources and name recognition than us. The loss of major customers, or a reduction in amounts purchased by major customers, could have an adverse effect on us to the extent that we are not able to correspondingly increase sales to other purchasers.
Demand1 | 2.1%
Demand - Risk 1
Increased supply of and demand for alternative transportation fuels, increased fuel economy standards and increased use of alternative means of transportation could lead to a decrease in transportation fuel prices and/or a reduction in demand for petroleum-based transportation fuels. A shortage of RINs could require that our refineries operate at reduced production rates or require us to incur a high cost to meet our RINs obligations that might not be recoverable in the price of our products.
Pursuant to the EISA, the EPA promulgated RFS-2 requiring refiners to blend "renewable fuels", such as ethanol, biodiesel and other advanced biofuels, with their petroleum fuels or purchase RINs in lieu of blending. The volume of renewable fuels required by the EISA increased from 9 billion gallons in 2008 to 22 billion gallons in 2016 and will increase to 36 billion gallons in 2022. The EPA has set annual volumes beneath the statutory levels each year because of the unavailability of certain advanced biofuels and to avoid exceeding 10% ethanol in the gasoline supply (the "blendwall"), but this decision has been challenged in federal court. Annually, the EPA establishes the volume of renewable fuels that refineries must blend into their finished petroleum fuels as a percentage of their domestic gasoline and diesel sales based on estimated demand for gasoline and diesel and the final biofuel volumes established by the EPA each year. Meeting RFS-2 requires displacing increasing amounts of petroleum-based transportation fuels with biofuels, beginning with approximately 7.8% in 2011, 10.1% in 2016 and 10.7% in 2017. While we are able to obtain many of the RINs required for compliance by blending renewable fuels manufactured by third parties or by our own biodiesel plants, we must also purchase RINs on the open market. If we are unable to pass the costs of compliance with RFS-2 on to our customers, our profits will be adversely impacted. Moreover, the market prices for RINs have been volatile. If we have to pay a significantly higher price for RINs, if sufficient RINs are unavailable for purchase or if we are otherwise unable to meet the RFS-2 mandates, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. Meeting the RFS-2 volume requirements will require more ethanol to be blended than can be achieved with 10% ethanol gasoline blends (E-10). The volumes of ethanol required to meet the 2016 and 2017 requirements exceed 10% ethanol in the nationwide gasoline pool. In 2011, the EPA approved E-15 for use in model year 2001 and later vehicles. However, studies show that E-15 may cause engine and fuel system damage, and most vehicle manufacturers do not recommend using E-15 in vehicles manufactured prior to 2013 or 2014 other than "Flex Fuel" vehicles. In addition, most existing underground storage tanks ("UST") and retail dispenser systems are not certified by Underwriters Laboratory, local fire codes or the EPA for use with gasoline blends containing more than 10% ethanol. Flex Fuel vehicles can utilize higher ethanol blends up to E-85, but there are relatively few such vehicles on the road, there are few E-85 retail locations and the use of E-85 results in significant reductions in fuel economy. These and other impediments may present challenges to blending the required volumes of ethanol. If adequate supplies of the required types of biofuels are unavailable in volumes sufficient to meet our requirement, if we are unable to physically blend the required biofuel volumes without exceeding 10% ethanol or if RINs are not available in sufficient volumes or at economical prices, refinery production or profitability could be negatively affected. In addition, as regulatory initiatives have required an increase in the consumption of renewable transportation fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, consumer acceptance of electric, hybrid and other alternative vehicles is increasing. Increased use of renewable fuels and alternative vehicles may result in a decrease in demand for petroleum-based transportation fuels. Increased use of renewable fuels may also result in an increase in transportation fuel supply relative to decreased demand and a corresponding decrease in margins. A significant decrease in transportation fuel margins or demand for petroleum-based transportation fuels could have an adverse impact on our financial results. As described above, RFS-2 requires replacement of increasing amounts of petroleum-based transportation fuels with biofuels through 2022. RFS-2 and widespread use of E-15 or E-85 could cause decreased crude runs and materially affect our profitability, unless fuel demand rises at a comparable rate or other outlets are found for the displaced petroleum products. Finally, the EPA and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ("NHTSA") finalized new standards that raised the required Corporate Average Fuel Economy ("CAFE") of the nation's passenger fleet to approximately 35 mpg by 2016 and imposed the first-ever federal GHG emissions standards on cars and light trucks. In September 2011, the EPA and the Department of Transportation finalized first-time standards for fuel economy of medium and heavy duty trucks. In September 2012, the EPA and NHTSA finalized rules raising the CAFE and GHG standards for passenger vehicles beginning with 2017 model year vehicles and increasing to the equivalent of 54.5 mpg by 2025. These standards were reaffirmed by the EPA in January 2017. Additional increases in fuel efficiency standards for medium and heavy duty vehicles were finalized in August 2016. Such increases in fuel economy standards and potential electrification of the vehicle fleet, along with mandated increases in use of renewable fuels discussed above, could result in decreasing demand for petroleum fuels, which, in turn, could materially affect profitability at our refineries. To meet higher fuel efficiency and GHG emission standards for passenger vehicles, automobile manufacturers are increasingly using technologies, such as turbocharging, direct injection and higher compression ratios, that require high octane gasoline. Many auto manufactures have expressed a desire that only a high-octane grade of gasoline be allowed in order to maximize fuel efficiency, rather than the three octane grades common now. Regulatory changes allowing only one high-octane grade, or significant increases in market demand for high-octane fuel, could result in a shift to high-octane ethanol blends containing 25% - 30% ethanol, the need for capital expenditures at our refineries to increase octane or reduced demand for petroleum fuels, which could materially affect profitability of our refineries.
Sales & Marketing3 | 6.4%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
We operate independent refineries which may not be able to withstand volatile market conditions, compete on the basis of price or obtain sufficient quantities of crude oil in times of shortage to the same extent as integrated, multinational oil companies.
We compete with a broad range of companies in our refining and petroleum product marketing operations. Many of these competitors are integrated, multinational oil companies that are substantially larger than us. Because of their diversity, integration of operations, larger capitalization, larger and more complex refineries and greater resources, these companies may be better able to withstand volatile market conditions relating to crude oil and refined product pricing, to compete on the basis of price and to obtain crude oil in times of shortage. We do not engage in petroleum exploration or production, and therefore do not produce any of our crude oil feedstocks. Certain of our competitors, however, obtain a portion of their feedstocks from company-owned production activities. Competitors that have their own crude oil production are at times able to offset losses from refining operations with profits from producing operations, and may be better positioned to withstand periods of depressed refining margins or feedstock shortages. If we are unable to compete effectively with these competitors, there could be a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
We are particularly vulnerable to disruptions to our refining operations because our refining operations are concentrated in two facilities.
Because all of our refining operations are concentrated in the Tyler and El Dorado refineries, significant disruptions at either facility could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. Refining segment contribution margin comprised approximately 53.0%, 70.1% and 84.9% of our consolidated contribution margin for the 2016, 2015 and 2014 fiscal years, respectively. Our refineries consist of many processing units, a number of which have been in operation for many years. These processing units undergo periodic shutdowns, known as turnarounds, during which routine maintenance is performed to restore the operation of the equipment to its former level of performance. Depending on which units are affected, all or a portion of a refinery's production may be halted or disrupted during a maintenance turnaround. We completed maintenance turnarounds at our El Dorado refinery in 2014 and our Tyler refinery in 2015. In addition, even if properly maintained, equipment may require significant capital expenditures to maintain desired efficiencies. One or more of the units may require additional unscheduled down time for unanticipated maintenance or repairs that are more frequent than our scheduled turnarounds. Refinery operations may also be disrupted by external factors, such as a suspension of feedstock deliveries or an interruption of electricity, natural gas, water treatment or other utilities. Other potentially disruptive factors discussed elsewhere in these risk factors include natural disasters, severe weather conditions, workplace or environmental accidents, interruptions of supply, work stoppages, losses of permits or authorizations or acts of terrorism. Disruptions to our refining operations could reduce our revenues during the period of time that our processing units are not operating.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
Our refining margins have been volatile and are likely to remain volatile, which may have a material adverse effect on our earnings and cash flows.
Our earnings, cash flow and profitability from our refining operations are substantially determined by the difference between the market price of refined products and the market price of crude oil, which is referred to as the crack spread, refining margin or refined products margin. Refining margins historically have been volatile, and are likely to continue to be volatile, as a result of numerous factors beyond our control, including volatility in the prices of the various types of crude oil and other feedstocks purchased by our refineries, volatility in the costs of natural gas and electricity used by our refineries, and volatility in the prices of gasoline and other refined petroleum products sold by our refineries. Although we monitor our refinery operating margins and seek to optimize results by adjusting throughput volumes, throughput types and product slates, there are inherent limitations on our ability to offset the effects of adverse market conditions. For example, although there are differences between published prices and margins and those experienced in our operations, certain published data illustrate the volatility we encounter. The NYMEX price for domestic light sweet crude oil (NYMEX: CL), the Argus price for WTI Midland crude oil, the U.S. Gulf Coast price for unleaded gasoline (Platts U.S. Gulf Coast CBOB), the U.S. Gulf Coast price for high sulfur diesel (Platts U.S. Gulf Coast Pipeline High Sulfur No. 2 Diesel), the Gulf Coast 5-3-2 crack spread and the differential between the price of NYMEX crude oil and Intercontinental Exchange ("ICE") Brent Crude Oil (ICE: B) have fluctuated between the following daily highs and lows during the preceding three calendar years: Year Ended December 31, 2016December 31, 2015December 31, 2014LowHighLowHighLowHigh       NYMEX crude oil (per barrel)$26.21$54.06$34.73$61.43$53.27$107.26WTI - Midland crude oil (per barrel)$27.07$54.81$34.78$61.42$49.15$100.66U.S. Gulf Coast CBOB (per gallon)$0.78$1.65$1.05$2.12$1.08$2.99U.S. Gulf Coast High Sulfur Diesel (per gallon)$0.74$1.52$0.84$1.84$1.22$2.98U.S. Gulf Coast crack spread (per barrel)$4.52$13.60$3.93$24.91$(3.91)$21.36WTI - Cushing/Brent crude oil differential (per barrel)$(0.87)$3.95$(0.21)$12.82$1.77$14.95 Such volatility is affected by, among other things: - changes in global and local economic conditions;- domestic and foreign supply and demand for crude oil and refined products;- the level of foreign and domestic production of crude oil and refined petroleum products;- increased regulation of feedstock production activities such as hydraulic fracturing;- infrastructure limitations that restrict, or events that disrupt, the distribution of crude oil, other feedstocks and refined petroleum products;- an increase or decrease of infrastructure limitations (or the perception that such an increase or decrease could occur) on the distribution of crude oil, other feedstocks or refined products;- investor speculation in commodities;- worldwide political conditions, particularly in significant oil producing regions such as the Middle East, Africa, the former Soviet Union, and South America;- the ability of the members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to maintain oil price and production controls;- pricing and other actions taken by competitors that impact the market;- the level of crude oil, other feedstocks and refined petroleum products imported into and exported out of the United States;- excess capacity and utilization rates of refineries worldwide;- development and marketing of alternative and competing fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel;- changes in fuel specifications required by environmental and other laws, particularly with respect to oxygenates and sulfur content;- local factors, including market conditions, adverse weather conditions and the level of operations of other refineries and pipelines in our markets;- accidents, interruptions in transportation, inclement weather or other events that can cause unscheduled shutdowns or otherwise adversely affect our refineries or the supply and delivery of crude oil from third parties; and - United States government regulations. The crude oil we purchase, and the refined products we sell, are commodities whose prices are mainly determined by market forces beyond our control. While an increase or decrease in the price of crude oil will often result in a corresponding increase or decrease in the wholesale price of refined products, a change in the price of one commodity does not always result in a corresponding change in the other. A substantial or prolonged increase in crude oil prices without a corresponding increase in refined product prices, or a substantial or prolonged decrease in refined product prices without a corresponding decrease in crude oil prices, could also have a significant negative effect on our results of operations and cash flows. This is especially true for non-transportation refined products, such as asphalt, butane, coke, sulfur, propane and slurry, whose prices are less likely to correlate to fluctuations in the price of crude oil, all of which we produce at our refineries. Also, the price for a significant portion of the crude oil processed at our refineries is based upon the WTI benchmark for such oil rather than the Brent benchmark. While the prices for WTI and Brent historically corresponded to one another, elevated supply of WTI-priced crude oil in the Mid-Continent region has caused WTI prices to fall significantly below Brent prices at different points in time in recent years. During the years ended December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2016, this daily differential ranged from highs of $12.82 and $3.95, respectively, to lows of $(0.21) and $(0.87), respectively. Our ability to purchase and process favorably priced crude oils has allowed us to achieve higher net income and cash flow in recent years; however, we cannot assure you that these favorable conditions will continue. A substantial or prolonged narrowing in (or inversion to) the price differential between the WTI and Brent benchmarks for any reason, including, without limitation, increased crude oil distribution capacity from the Permian Basin, crude oil exports from the United States or actual or perceived reductions in Mid-Continent crude oil inventories, could negatively impact our earnings and cash flows. In addition, because the premium or discount we pay for a portion of the crude oil processed at our refineries is established based upon this differential during the month prior to the month in which the crude oil is processed, rapid decreases in the differential may negatively affect our results of operations and cash flows.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 4/47 (9%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 2.1%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
General economic conditions may adversely affect our business, operating results and financial condition.
Economic slowdowns may have serious negative consequences for our business and operating results, because our performance is subject to domestic economic conditions and their impact on levels of consumer spending. Some of the factors affecting consumer spending include general economic conditions, unemployment, consumer debt, reductions in net worth based on declines in equity markets and residential real estate values, adverse developments in mortgage markets, taxation, energy prices, interest rates, consumer confidence and other macroeconomic factors. During a period of economic weakness or uncertainty, current or potential customers may travel less, reduce or defer purchases, go out of business or have insufficient funds to buy or pay for our products and services. Moreover, a financial market crisis may have a material adverse impact on financial institutions and limit access to capital and credit. This could, among other things, make it more difficult for us to obtain (or increase our cost of obtaining) capital and financing for our operations. Our access to additional capital may not be available on terms acceptable to us or at all. Also, because both of our refineries are located in the Gulf Coast Region, we primarily market our refined products in a relatively limited geographic area. As a result, we are more susceptible to regional economic conditions compared to our more geographically diversified competitors,and any unforeseen events or circumstances that affect the Gulf Coast Region could also materially and adversely affect our revenues and cash flows. The primary factors include, among other things, changes in the economy, weather conditions, demographics and population, increased supply of refined products from competitors and reductions in the supply of crude oil or other feedstocks. In the event of a shift in the supply/demand balance in the Gulf Coast Region due to changes in the local economy, an increase in aggregate refining capacity or other reasons, resulting in supply exceeding the demand in the region, our refineries may have to deliver refined products to more customers outside of the Gulf Coast Region and thus incur considerably higher transportation costs, resulting in lower refining margins, if any.
Natural and Human Disruptions3 | 6.4%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Adverse weather conditions or other unforeseen developments could damage our facilities and impair our ability to produce and deliver refined petroleum products.
The regions in which we operate are susceptible to severe storms, including hurricanes, thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, extended periods of rain, ice storms and snow, all of which we have experienced in the past few years. In addition, for a variety of reasons, many members of the scientific community believe that climate changes are occurring that could have significant physical effects, such as increased frequency and severity of storms, droughts and floods and other climatic events; if any such effects were to occur, they could have an adverse effect on our assets and operations. Inclement weather conditions could damage our facilities, interrupt production, adversely impact consumer behavior, travel and retail fuel demand or interrupt or impede our ability to operate our locations. If such conditions prevail near our refineries, they could interrupt or undermine our ability to produce and transport products from our refineries and receive and distribute products at our terminals. Regional occurrences, such as energy shortages or increases in energy prices, fires and other natural disasters, could also hurt our business. The occurrence of any of these developments could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Our operating results are seasonal and generally lower in the first and fourth quarters of the year for our refining and logistics segments. We depend on favorable weather conditions in the spring and summer months.
Demand for gasoline and asphalt products is generally higher during the summer months than during the winter months due to seasonal increases in motor vehicle traffic and road and home construction. Varying vapor pressure requirements between the summer and winter months also tighten summer gasoline supply. As a result, the operating results of our refining segment and logistics segment are generally lower for the first and fourth quarters of each year.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 3
A terrorist attack on our assets, or threats of war or actual war, may hinder or prevent us from conducting our business.
Terrorist attacks (including cyber-attacks) in the United States, as well as events occurring in response to or in connection with them, including political instability in various Middle Eastern countries, may harm our business. Energy-related assets (which could include refineries, pipelines and terminals such as ours) may be at greater risk of future terrorist attacks than other possible targets in the United States. A direct attack on our assets, or the assets of others used by us, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, any terrorist attack or continued political instability in the Middle East could have an adverse impact on energy prices, including prices for crude oil, other feedstocks and refined petroleum products, and an adverse impact on the margins from our refining and petroleum product marketing operations. Disruption or significant increases in energy prices could also result in government-imposed price controls.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 1/47 (2%)Above Sector Average
Technology1 | 2.1%
Technology - Risk 1
We rely on information technology in our operations, and any material failure, inadequacy, interruption or security failure of that technology could harm our business.
We rely on information technology systems across our operations, including management of our supply chain, including various processes and transactions. We rely on commercially available systems, software, tools and monitoring to provide security for processing, transmission and storage of confidential customer information. Any compromise or breach of our internal data network at any of our refining or terminal locations could cause interruptions in our operations. These disruptions could range from inconvenience in accessing business information to a disruption in our refining and/or logistics operations. The landscape of cyber threats is continuously changing and we combat this threat by undertaking continuous improvement opportunities within our security systems. Cost increases may be incurred in this area to combat the continued escalation of cyber attacks and/or disruptive criminal activity. Also, we utilize information technology systems and controls that monitor the movement of petroleum products through our pipelines and terminals. An undetected failure of these systems could result in environmental damage, operational disruptions, regulatory enforcement or private litigation. Further, the failure of any of our systems to operate effectively, or problems we may experience with transitioning to upgraded or replacement systems, could significantly harm our business and operations and cause us to incur significant costs to remediate such problems.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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