Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Atlantica Yield plc disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlantica Yield plc reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Risk Overview Q4, 2021
Risk Distribution
32% Finance & Corporate
32% Legal & Regulatory
19% Production
12% Macro & Political
3% Ability to Sell
2% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Atlantica Yield plc Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2021
Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 19 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 19 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
59
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
59
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
6Risks added
4Risks removed
13Risks changed
Since Dec 2021
6Risks added
4Risks removed
13Risks changed
Since Dec 2021
Number of Risk Changed
13
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
13
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Atlantica Yield plc in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 59
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 19/59 (32%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights6 | 10.2%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Changed
Our ownership structure and certain agreements may create significant conflicts of interest that may be resolved in a manner that is not in our best interests.
Our ownership structure involves several relationships that may give rise to certain conflicts of interest between us, Algonquin, and the rest of our shareholders. Currently, two of our directors are officers of Algonquin. Currently, Algonquin is a related party and may have interests that differ from our interests, including with respect to the types of investments and acquisitions made, the timing and amount of dividends paid by us, the reinvestment of returns generated by our operations, the use of leverage or capital increases when making investments and the appointment of outside advisors and service providers. Any transaction between us and Algonquin or Liberty GES (including the acquisition of any assets under the ROFO Agreements or any co-investment with Algonquin or Liberty GES or any investment in an Algonquin or Liberty GES asset) is subject to our related party transactions policy, which requires prior approval of such transaction by the related party transactions committee, which is composed of independent directors. The existence of our related party transactions approval policy may not insulate us from derivative claims related to related party transactions and the conflicts of interest described in this risk factor. Regardless of the merits of such claims, we may be required to spend significant management time and financial resources in the defense thereof. Additionally, to the extent we fail to appropriately deal with any such conflicts, it could negatively impact our reputation and ability to raise additional funds and the willingness of counterparties to do business with us, all of which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Algonquin is our largest shareholder and exercises substantial influence over us.
Currently, Algonquin beneficially owns 43.5% of our ordinary shares and is entitled to vote approximately 41.5% of our ordinary shares. As a result of this ownership, Algonquin has substantial influence on our affairs and its ownership interest and voting power constitute a significant percentage of the shares eligible to vote on any matter requiring the approval of our shareholders. Such matters include the election of directors, the adoption of amendments to our articles of association and approval of mergers or sale of all or a high percentage of our assets. Further, our reputation is closely related to that of Algonquin. Any damage to the public image or reputation of Algonquin as a result of adverse publicity, poor financial or operating performance, changes in financial condition, decline in the price of its shares or otherwise could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. This concentration of ownership may also have the effect of discouraging others from making tender offers for our shares. There can be no assurance that the interests of Algonquin will coincide with the interests of the purchasers of our shares or that Algonquin will act in a manner that is in our best interests. If Algonquin sells its shares to a single shareholder, that new shareholder could continue to exercise substantial influence and could seek to influence or change our strategy or corporate governance or could take effective control of us. In addition, we have limited knowledge and visibility of Algonquin’s operations and plans.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
A change of control or a delisting of our shares may have negative implications for us.
If any investor acquires over 50.0% of our shares or if our ordinary shares cease to be listed on the NASDAQ or a similar stock exchange, we may be required to refinance all or part of our corporate debt or obtain waivers from the related noteholders or lenders, as applicable, due to the fact that all of our corporate financing agreements contain customary change of control provisions and delisting restrictions. If we fail to obtain such waivers and the related noteholders or lenders, as applicable, elect to accelerate the relevant corporate debt, we may not be able to repay or refinance such debt (on favorable terms or at all), which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition results of operations and cash flows. Additionally, in the event of a change of control we could see an increase in the yearly state property tax payment in Mojave, which would be reassessed by the tax authority at the time the change of control potentially occurred. Our best estimate with current information available and subject to further analysis is that we could have an incremental annual payment of property tax of approximately $10 million to $12 million, which could potentially decrease progressively over time as the asset depreciates.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Future sales of our shares by Algonquin or its lenders or by other substantial shareholders may cause the price of our shares to fall.
The market price of our shares could decline as a result of future sales by Algonquin of its shares in the market, or the perception that these sales could occur. Algonquin is the beneficial owner of approximately 43.5% of our ordinary shares. On November 28, 2018. Liberty GES obtained a secured credit facility in the amount of $306,500,000. Such loan is collateralized through a pledge of most of the Atlantica shares held by a company owned by Algonquin. A collateral shortfall would occur if the quotient of the net obligations, divided by the aggregate collateral share value, greater than or equal 50% of the share closing price of the Atlantica shares in which case the lenders, would have the right to sell Atlantica shares to eliminate the collateral shortfall. If Liberty GES defaulted on any of these financing arrangements, its lenders may foreclose on the shares and sell the shares in the market. Future sales of substantial amounts of the shares and/or equity-related securities in the public market, or the anticipation or perception by the market that such sales could occur, could adversely affect prevailing trading prices of the shares and could impair our ability to raise capital through future offerings of equity or equity-related securities.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
The rights of our shareholders may differ from the rights typically offered to shareholders of a U.S. corporation organized in Delaware.
We are incorporated under the laws of England and Wales. The rights of holders of our shares are governed by the laws of England and Wales, including the provisions of the UK Companies Act 2006, and by our articles of association. These rights differ in certain respects from the rights of shareholders in typical U.S. corporations organized in Delaware. The principal differences are set forth in “Item 10.B—Memorandum and Articles of Association.”
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Shareholders in certain jurisdictions may not be able to exercise their pre-emptive rights if we increase our share capital.
Under our articles of association, holders of our shares generally have the right to subscribe and pay for a sufficient number of our shares to maintain their relative ownership percentages prior to the issuance of any new shares in exchange for cash consideration. Holders of shares in certain jurisdictions may not be able to exercise their pre-emptive rights unless securities laws have been complied with in such jurisdictions with respect to such rights and the related shares, or an exemption from the requirements of the securities laws of these jurisdictions is available. To the extent that such shareholders are not able to exercise their pre-emptive rights, the pre-emptive rights would lapse, and the proportional interests of such holders would be reduced. In addition, under the Shareholders Agreement, Algonquin may subscribe to capital increases in cash for (i) up to 100.0% of our ordinary shares if the purpose of the issuance is to fund our acquisition of assets under Algonquin or the Liberty GES ROFO Agreement. If we issue ordinary shares for any other purpose, Algonquin may subscribe in cash for our ordinary shares in a pro rata amount of such Algonquin’s holding in us. The Shareholders Agreement may be terminated or modified in the future. In any case, Algonquin has the right but not the obligation to subscribe for our shares.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 5.1%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
We may not be able to pay a specific or increasing level of cash dividends to holders of our shares in the future.
The amount of our cash available for distribution principally depends upon the amount of cash we generate from our operations, which will fluctuate from quarter to quarter based on, among other things: • operational performance of our assets; • potential capital expenditure requirements in our assets in the case there were technical problems or environmental or regulatory requirements or unanticipated increases in construction and design costs; • adverse weather; • our debt service requirements and other liabilities; • fluctuations in our working capital needs; • fluctuations in foreign exchange rates; • the level of our operating and general and administrative expenses, • seasonal variations in revenues generated by the business; • losses experienced not covered by insurance; • shortage of qualified labor; • restrictions contained in our debt agreements (including our project-level financing); • our ability to borrow funds, including intercompany loans; • changes in our revenues and/or cash generation in our assets due to delays in collections from our off-takers, legal disputes regarding contact terms, adjustments contemplated in existing regulation or changes in regulation or taxes in the countries in which we operate, or adverse weather conditions; • potential restrictions on payment of dividends arising from cross-default provisions with Abengoa in our Kaxu project financing agreements; • other business risks affecting our cash levels; • unfavorable regional, national or global economic and market conditions; and • changes in accounting and financial reporting standards. As a result of all these factors, we cannot guarantee that we will have sufficient cash generated from operations to pay a specific or increasing level of cash dividends to holders of our shares. Furthermore, holders of our shares should be aware that the amount of cash available for distribution depends primarily on our cash flow, and is not solely a function of profitability, which is affected by non-cash items. We are a holding company whose sole material assets consist of our interests in our subsidiaries. We do not have any independent means of generating revenue. We intend to cause our operating subsidiaries to make distributions to us in an amount sufficient to cover our corporate debt service, corporate general and administrative expenses, all applicable taxes payable and dividends, if any, declared by us. To the extent that we need funds for a quarterly cash dividend to holders of our shares or otherwise, and one or more of our operating subsidiaries is restricted from making such distributions under the terms of its financing or other agreements or applicable law and regulations or is otherwise unable to provide such funds, it could materially adversely affect our liquidity and financial condition and limit our ability to pay dividends to shareholders. Our project-level financing agreements generally prohibit distributions to us unless certain specific conditions are met, including the satisfaction of financial ratios. The ability of our operating subsidiaries to make distributions could also be limited by legal, regulatory or other restrictions or limitations applicable in the various jurisdictions in which we operate, such as exchange controls or similar matters or corporate law limitations. Our ability to pay dividends on our shares is also limited by restrictions under the Revolving Credit Facility, the 2020 Green Private Placement, the Note Issuance Facility 2020 and the Green Senior Notes. Our cash available for distribution will likely fluctuate from quarter to quarter, in some cases significantly, due to seasonality. See “Item 4.B—Business Overview—Seasonality.” As result, we may reduce the amount of cash we distribute in a particular quarter to establish reserves to fund distributions to shareholders in future periods. If we fail to establish sufficient reserves, we may not be able to maintain our quarterly dividend with a respect to a quarter adversely affected by seasonality. Dividends to holders of our shares will be paid at the discretion of our Board of Directors. Our Board of Directors may decrease the level of or entirely discontinue payment of dividends. Our Board of Directors may change our dividend policy at any point in time or modify the dividend for specific quarters following prevailing conditions. For a description of additional restrictions and factors that may affect our ability to pay cash dividends, please see “Item 8.A—Consolidated Statements and Other Financial Information—Dividend Policy.”
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Changed
Our cash dividend policy may limit our ability to grow and make investments through cash on hand.
Our dividend policy is to distribute a high percentage of our cash available for distribution, after corporate general and administrative expenses and cash interest payments and less reserves for the prudent conduct of our business, and to rely primarily upon external financing sources, including the issuance of debt and equity securities as well as borrowings under credit facilities to fund our acquisitions, investments and potential growth capital expenditures. We may be precluded from pursuing otherwise attractive investments if the projected short-term cash flow from the acquisition or investment is not adequate to service the capital raised to fund the investment, after giving effect to our available cash reserves. Because of our dividend policy, our growth may not be as fast as that of businesses that reinvest their available cash to expand ongoing operations. To the extent we issue additional equity securities in connection with any acquisitions or growth capital expenditures, the payment of dividends on these additional equity securities may increase the risk that we will be unable to maintain or increase our per share dividend. There are no limitations in our articles of association on our ability to issue equity securities, including convertible bonds, preferred shares or other securities ranking senior to our shares.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Added
Our ability to grow organically is limited to some assets which have inflation indexation mechanisms in their revenues, to our transmission lines and to some renewable assets. We may not be able to deliver organic growth.
Our ability to grow through investments and acquisitions depends, in part, on Liberty GES’ and Algonquin’s ability to offer us investment opportunities. Liberty GES and Algonquin may not offer us assets at all or may not offer us assets that fit within our portfolio or contribute to our growth strategy. Only certain assets outside the United States and Canada are included in the Algonquin ROFO Agreement. Liberty GES and Algonquin may decide to keep assets subject to our ROFO Agreements in their portfolios and not offer them to us for acquisition. Algonquin can terminate the Algonquin ROFO Agreement with us with a 180-day notice. Additionally, we may not reach an agreement on the price of assets offered by Liberty GES or Algonquin. For these reasons, we may not be able to consummate future investments from Liberty GES or Algonquin, which may restrict our ability to grow. Furthermore, Liberty GES or Algonquin may have financial and resource constraints limiting or eliminating their ability to continue building the contracted assets which are currently under construction and may have financial and resource constraints limiting or eliminating their ability to develop and build new contracted assets. They could also decide to invest in other types of businesses which are not our core business. In addition, Liberty GES or Algonquin may sell assets under development, before they reach their commercial operation date. Some of the assets subject to the ROFO Agreements may not be attractive enough to us for different reasons. Furthermore, Liberty GES and Algonquin may compete with us in some of the markets where we intend to grow.
Debt & Financing6 | 10.2%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Changed
If Abengoa defaults on certain of its debt obligations, including as a result of the insolvency filing by their holding company Abengoa S.A., we could potentially be in default of certain of our project financing agreements.
Abengoa, which is currently our largest supplier and used to be our largest shareholder, went through a restructuring process which started in November 2015 and ended in March 2017, obtained approval for a second restructuring in July 2019. On February 22, 2021, Abengoa, S.A., filed for insolvency proceedings in Spain. Based on the public information filed in connection with these proceedings, such insolvency proceedings do not include other Abengoa companies, including Abenewco1, S.A., the controlling company of the subsidiaries performing the operation and maintenance services for us. The project financing arrangement for Kaxu contains cross-default provisions related to Abengoa. A debt default by Abengoa, subject to certain threshold amounts and/or a restructuring process, could trigger a default under the Kaxu project financing arrangement. The insolvency filing by the individual company Abengoa S.A. in February 2021 represents a theoretical event of default under the Kaxu project finance agreement. In September 2021, we obtained a waiver for such theoretical event of default which was conditional upon the replacement of the operation and maintenance supplier of the plant, which was an Abengoa subsidiary, before October 31, 2021. On November 4, 2021, we obtained an extension of the term for such replacement until January 31, 2022. On February 1, 2022, we completed the transfer of the employees performing the operation and maintenance from the above-mentioned supplier to an Atlantica subsidiary. The waiver has been extended until April 30, 2022 and is subject to the lenders receiving certain documentation from us, including formal evidence of the approval by our off-taker and the department of energy of South Africa of the operation and maintenance internalization and we are currently working on obtaining such documentation. If we were not able to deliver such documents by the deadline, we do not expect the Kaxu project debt lenders to declare the acceleration of the debt or take any other action. However, if not cured or waived, a cross-default or default scenario may entitle lenders to demand repayment, limit distributions from the asset or enforce on their security interests, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
Changed
Our indebtedness could limit our ability to react to changes in the economy or our industry, expose us to the risk of increased interest rates and limit our activities due to covenants in existing financing agreements. It could also adversely affect the ability of our project subsidiaries to make distributions to Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure plc, our ability to fund our operations, pay dividends or raise additional capital.
As of December 31, 2021, we had (i) $5,036.2 million of total indebtedness under various project-level debt arrangements and (ii) $1,023.1 million of total indebtedness under our corporate arrangements, which include the Revolving Credit Facility, the Note Issuance Facility 2020, the 2020 Green Private Placement, the Green Exchangeable Notes and the Green Senior Notes. In addition, we may incur in the future additional project-level debt and corporate debt. Our substantial debt could have important negative consequences on our business, financial condition, results of operation and cash flows including: • increasing our vulnerability to general economic and industry conditions; • requiring a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to be dedicated to the payment of principal and interest on our indebtedness, therefore reducing our ability to pay dividends to holders of our shares or to use our cash flow to fund our operations, capital expenditures and future business opportunities; • limiting our ability to enter into long-term power sales, fuel purchases and swaps which require credit support; • limiting our ability to fund operations or future investments and acquisitions; • restricting our ability to make certain distributions with respect to our shares and the ability of our subsidiaries to make certain distributions to us, in light of restricted payment and other financial covenants in our credit facilities and other financing agreements; • exposing us to the risk of increased interest rates because a portion of some of our borrowings (below 10% as of December 31, 2021 after giving effect to hedging agreements) are at variable interest rates; • limiting our ability to obtain additional financing for working capital, capital expenditures, debt service requirements, investments and acquisitions and general corporate or other purposes, and limiting our ability to post collateral to obtain such financing; and • limiting our ability to adjust to changing market conditions and placing us at a disadvantage compared to our competitors who have less debt. The operating and financial restrictions and covenants in the Revolving Credit Facility, the 2020 Green Private Placement, the Note Issuance Facility 2020 and the Green Senior Notes may adversely affect our ability to finance our future operations or capital needs, to engage in other business activities that may be in our interest and to execute our business strategy as we intend to do so. Each contains covenants that limit certain of our, the guarantors’ and other subsidiaries’ activities. If we breach any of these covenants (including as a result of our inability to satisfy certain financial covenants), a default may result which may entitle the related noteholders or lenders, as applicable to demand repayment and accelerate all such debt or to enforce their security interests, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. See “Item 5.B—Operating and Financial Review and Prospects—Liquidity and Capital Resources— Corporate debt agreements.” In addition, our inability to satisfy certain financial covenants may prevent cash distributions by the particular project(s) and other subsidiaries to us. If our project-level and other subsidiaries are unable to make distributions, it would likely have a material adverse effect on our ability to service debt at the corporate level or to pay dividends to holders of our shares. Our failure to comply with those and other covenants could result in an event of default which, if not cured or waived, may entitle the related noteholders or lenders, as applicable to demand repayment or to enforce their security interests, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, failure to comply with such covenants, may entitle the related noteholders or lenders, as applicable, to demand repayment and accelerate all such indebtedness. Letter of credit facilities or bank guarantees to support project-level contractual obligations generally need to be renewed, at which time we will need to satisfy applicable financial ratios and covenants. If we are unable to renew the letters of credit as expected or replace them with letters of credit under different facilities on favorable terms or at all, we may experience a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Furthermore, such inability may constitute a default under certain project-level financing arrangements, restrict the ability of the project-level subsidiary to make distributions to us and/or reduce the amount of cash available at such subsidiary to make distributions to us.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Uncertainty relating to the LIBOR calculation process and potential phasing out of LIBOR in the future may adversely affect the value of any outstanding debt instruments.
On July 27, 2017, the Chief Executive of the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority (the “FCA”), which regulates LIBOR, announced that the sustainability of LIBOR cannot be guaranteed and that the FCA will no longer persuade or compel banks to submit rates for the calculation of LIBOR after 2021. On May 31, 2019, the Alternative Reference Rates Committee (“ARRC”) proposed that the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”) is the rate that represents best practice as the alternative to USD-LIBOR for use in derivatives and other financial contracts that are currently indexed to USD-LIBOR. SOFR is a more generic measure than LIBOR and considers the cost of borrowing cash overnight, collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities. Moreover, on March 5, 2021, the ICE Benchmark Administration, which administers LIBOR, and the FCA announced that all LIBOR settings will either cease to be provided by any administrator, or no longer be representative immediately after December 31, 2021, for all non-USD LIBOR settings and one-week and two-month USD-LIBOR settings, and immediately after June 30, 2023 for the remaining USD-LIBOR settings, such as the overnight, one-month, three-month, six-month and 12-month USD-LIBOR settings (the “LIBOR Announcement”). Accordingly, the FCA has stated that is does not intend to persuade or compel banks to submit to LIBOR after such respective dates. Until such time, however, FCA panel banks have agreed to continue to support LIBOR. As a result of the phase out of LIBOR, we may have to renegotiate certain of our LIBOR-based debt and derivative instruments to reflect the phase out of LIBOR and substitute for SOFR or another replacement benchmark. We have not experienced any material impact of the LIBOR phase out and its transition to a replacement benchmark and as of today we do not expect any material impact. However, given the inherent differences between LIBOR and SOFR or any other alternative benchmark rate that may be established, there are many uncertainties regarding a transition from LIBOR. At this time, it is not possible to predict the effect that these developments, discontinuance of LIBOR, modification or other reforms to any other reference rate, or the establishment of alternative reference rates may have, or other benchmarks. Furthermore, the shift to alternative reference rates, including SOFR, or other reforms is complex and could cause the payments calculated for the LIBOR-based debt and derivative instruments to be materially different than expected, which may affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity and cash flows. As of December 31, 2021, total principal amount of debt referenced to LIBOR was $1,068.5 million and total notional amount of derivatives hedging this debt, thus indexed to LIBOR as well was $62.6 million. Although we do not expect a material impact on our LIBOR-based debt and derivative instruments, we cannot guarantee that the shift to alternative reference rates will not have any impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
By virtue of initiating a bankruptcy filing under the Spanish Insolvency Act, Abengoa may be subject to insolvency claw-back actions in which transactions may be set aside.
Under the Spanish Insolvency Act, the transactions a company has entered into during the two years prior to the opening of insolvency proceedings can be set aside, irrespective of whether there was intent to defraud, if those transactions are considered materially damaging to the insolvency estate. Material damage is assessed on the basis of the circumstances at the time the transaction was carried out, without the benefit of hindsight and without considering subsequent events or occurrences, including events in relation to insolvency proceedings or the request to set-aside the transaction. Transactions we have entered into with Abengoa, S.A. in the previous two years before it was declared insolvent and transactions we have entered into with Abengoa, S.A.’s subsidiaries in the previous two years before the subsidiary may be declared insolvent (if such action were to take place) could be set aside. The court would consider if the transactions were detrimental to Abengoa S.A. or its subsidiaries on the terms on which they were made and the suitability of the transactions at the time they were entered into, if the transaction followed market standards and prices. Any type of transaction and any amendment of an existing contract may be challenged by means of a claw back action. In practice, transactions that are more frequently subject to claw-back relate to: (a) unjustified payments or advances from the insolvent company, (b) transfers of assets or rights by the insolvent company at below market value, (c) payment-in-kind arrangements in which the property received in payment is higher in value than the debt owed to it, and (d) security provided by the insolvent company in relation to unsecured existing debt, or security provided for another group company’s obligations with no consideration. This determination will be a question of fact before a Spanish court due to the fact that Abengoa S.A. has initiated a bankruptcy filing in Spain or if the Abengoa S.A. subsidiary which was our counterparty in such transactions initiates a bankruptcy filing in Spain (this would be the case if the subsidiary has the center of main business in Spain). However, if any of the transactions entered into between us and Abengoa, including those related to drop-downs assets, were declared invalid by a Spanish court, unless it is determined we acted in bad faith, such transaction would be unwound and we would receive back the cash paid, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. On February 22, 2021, Abengoa, S.A. filed for insolvency proceedings in Spain. Based on the public information filed in connection with these proceedings, such insolvency proceedings do not include other Abengoa companies, including Abenewco1, S.A., the controlling company of the subsidiaries performing the O&M services for us. The outcome of any bankruptcy proceedings initiated by Abengoa is difficult to predict given that Abengoa is incorporated in Spain and has assets and operations in several countries around the world. Bankruptcy laws other than those of Spain could apply. The rights of Abengoa’s creditors may be subject to the laws of a number of jurisdictions and such multi-jurisdictional proceedings are typically complex and often result in substantial uncertainty. In addition, the bankruptcy and other laws of such jurisdictions may be materially different from, or in conflict with, one another. If Abengoa is subject to U.S. bankruptcy law, bankruptcy courts in the United States may seek to assert jurisdiction over all of its assets, wherever located, including property situated in other countries. Any other bankruptcy filing by Abengoa S.A. or its subsidiaries may permanently affect their operations. We cannot predict how any bankruptcy proceeding would be resolved or how our relationship with those entities will be affected following the initiation of any such proceedings or after the resolution of any such proceedings. Any bankruptcy proceedings or potential bankruptcy proceedings initiated by its subsidiaries may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
We may not be able to arrange the required or desired financing for investments and acquisitions and for the successful refinancing of the Company’s project level and corporate level indebtedness.
Our ability to arrange the required or desired financing, either at corporate level or at a project-level, and the costs of such capital, are dependent on numerous factors, including: • general economic and capital market conditions; • credit availability from banks and other financial institutions; • investor confidence in us; • our financial performance, cash flow generation and the financial performance of our subsidiaries; • our level of indebtedness and compliance with covenants in debt agreements; • maintenance of acceptable project and corporate credit ratings or credit quality; and • tax and securities laws that may impact raising capital. We may not be successful in obtaining additional capital for these or other reasons. Furthermore, we may be unable to refinance or replace project-level financing arrangements or other credit facilities on favorable terms or at all upon the expiration or termination thereof. We may be unable to repay our existing debt as it becomes due if we fail, or any of our projects fails, to obtain additional capital or enter into new or replacement financing arrangements, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, the global capital and credit markets have experienced in the past and may continue to experience periods of extreme volatility and disruption. At times, our access to financing was curtailed by market conditions and other factors. Continued disruptions, uncertainty or volatility in the global capital and credit markets may limit our access to additional capital required to refinance our debt on satisfactory terms or at all, may limit our ability to replace, in a timely manner, maturing liabilities, and may limit our access to new debt and equity capital to make further investments acquisitions. Volatility in debt markets may also limit our ability to fund or refinance many of our projects and corporate level debt, even in cases where such capital has already been committed. In addition, given that our dividend policy is to distribute a high percentage of our cash available for distribution, our growth strategy relies on our ability to raise capital to finance our investments and acquisitions. In the event we are not able to raise capital, we may have to postpone or cancel planned acquisitions, investments or capital expenditures. The inability to raise capital, higher costs of capital or postponement or cancellation of planned acquisitions, investments or capital expenditures may have a materially adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. If financing is available, utilization of our credit facilities, debt securities or project level financing for all or a portion of the purchase price of an acquisition, as applicable, could significantly increase our interest expense and debt repayment, impose additional or more restrictive covenants, and reduce cash available for distribution.
Debt & Financing - Risk 6
We may be subject to increased finance expenses if we do not effectively manage our exposure to interest rate and foreign currency exchange rate risks.
We are exposed to various types of market risk in the normal course of business, including the impact of interest rate changes and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations. Some of our indebtedness (including project-level indebtedness) bears interest at variable rates, generally linked to market benchmarks such as EURIBOR, LIBOR or over the alternative rates replacing these, including SOFR. The U.S. Federal Reserve has announced in the last months that it expects to increase the reference interest rates in the United States several times in 2022. Any increase in interest rates would increase our finance expenses relating to our variable rate indebtedness and increase the costs of refinancing our existing indebtedness and issuing new debt. In addition, although most of our long-term contracts are denominated in, indexed or hedged to U.S. dollars, we conduct our business and incur certain costs in the local currency of the countries in which we operate. In addition, the revenues, costs and debt of our solar assets in Spain, South Africa and Colombia are denominated in local currency. We have a hedging strategy for our solar assets in Europe. Since the beginning of 2017, we have maintained euro-denominated debt at the corporate level. Interest payments in euros and our euro denominated general and administrative expenses create a natural hedge for a portion of the distributions from assets in Europe. Our strategy is to hedge the exchange rate for the distributions received in euros after deducting euro-denominated interest payments and euro-denominated general and administrative expenses. Through currency options, we hedge on a rolling basis 100% of the net euro net exposure for the next 12 months and 75% of the net euro net exposure for the following 12 months. In addition, a depreciation of the South African rand, the Colombian peso or a long-term depreciation of the Euro could have a negative impact on our results of operations and cash flows. See “Item 5.A—Operating and Financial Review and Prospects —Results of Operations—Factors Affecting the Comparability of Our Results of Operations.” As we continue expanding our business, an increasing percentage of our revenue and cost of sales may be denominated in currencies other than our reporting currency, the U.S. dollar. Under that scenario, we would become subject to increasing currency exchange risk, whereby changes in exchange rates between the U.S. dollar and the other currencies in which we do business could result in foreign exchange losses. In addition, we seek to actively work with lending financial institutions to mitigate our interest rate risk exposure and to secure lower interest rates by entering into interest rate options and swaps. We estimate that approximately 92% of our project debt and close to 100% of our corporate debt was fixed or hedged as of December 31, 2021. If our risk-management strategies are not successful in limiting our exposure to changes in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows maybe materially adversely affected.
Corporate Activity and Growth4 | 6.8%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
We may not be able to identify or consummate future investments and acquisitions on favorable terms, or at all.
Our business strategy includes growth through the acquisition of additional revenue-generating assets and investments in projects under development or construction. This strategy depends on our ability to successfully identify and evaluate investment opportunities and consummate acquisitions on favorable terms. The number of investment opportunities may be limited. Our ability to acquire future renewable energy projects or businesses depends on the viability of renewable energy projects generally. These projects are in some cases contingent on public policy mechanisms including, among others, ITCs, cash grants, loan guarantees, accelerated depreciation, expensing for certain capital expenditures, carbon trading plans, environmental tax credits and research and development incentives. See “—VII. Risks Related to Regulation—Government regulations could change at any time and such changes may negatively impact our current business and our growth strategy.” Our ability to consummate future investments and acquisitions may also depend on our ability to obtain any required government or regulatory approvals for such investments, including, but not limited to, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, or FERC, approval under Section 203 of the FPA in respect of investments in the United States; or any other approvals in the countries in which we may purchase assets in the future. We may also be required to seek authorizations, waivers or notifications from debt and/or equity financing providers at the project or holding company level; local or regional agencies or bodies; and/or development agencies or institutions that may have a contractual right to authorize a proposed acquisition. Furthermore, we will compete with other local and international companies for acquisition opportunities from third parties, which may increase our cost of making investments or cause us to refrain from making acquisitions from third parties. Some of our competitors for investments and acquisitions are much larger than us, with substantially greater resources. These companies may be able to pay more for acquisitions due to cost of capital advantages, potential synergies or other drivers, and may be able to identify, evaluate, bid for and purchase a greater number of assets than our financial or human resources permit. If we are unable to identify and consummate future acquisitions, it will impede our ability to execute our growth strategy and limit our ability to increase the amount of dividends paid to holders of our shares. Our ability to consummate future investments also depends on the availability of financing. See “—IV. Risks Related to Our Indebtedness—We may not be able to arrange the required or desired financing for investments or for the successful refinancing of the Company’s project level and corporate level indebtedness.” Finally, demand for renewable energy may be affected by the cost of other energy sources. To the extent renewable energy becomes less cost-competitive, demand for renewable energy could decrease. Slow growth or a long-term reduction in the energy demand could cause a reduction in the development of renewable energy program projects. Decreases in the prices of electricity could affect our ability to acquire assets, as renewable energy developers may not be able to compete with providers of other energy sources at such lower prices. Our inability to acquire assets could have a material adverse effect on our ability to execute our growth strategy.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
In order to grow our business, we may invest in or acquire assets or businesses which have a higher risk profile or are less ESG-friendly than certain assets in our current portfolio.
In order to grow our business, we may acquire assets and businesses which may have a higher risk profile than certain of the assets we currently own. Competition to acquire contracted assets in operation has been high in recent years and is expected to continue being so. We intend to increase our investments in assets which are not currently in operation and which are subject to development and construction risk. Construction of renewable assets, among others, is subject to risk of cost overruns and delays. There can be no assurances that assets under development and construction will perform as expected or that the returns will be as expected. In addition, we may consider investing in assets which are not contracted or not fully contracted, for which revenues will depend on the price of the electricity and which are therefore subject to merchant risk. We may also consider investing in businesses which are regulated or which are contracted with “as contracted” agreements or hedge agreements where we need to deliver the contracted power even if the facility is not in operation or which are subject to demand risk. We have recently invested and may consider investing in business sectors where we do not have previous experience and may not be able to achieve the expected returns. We may also consider investing with partners or on our own in new technologies which do not have for the moment a long history track record as proven as our current assets, such as storage, district heating, geothermal, offshore wind or hydrogen. We may also consider investing in distributed generation in smaller commercial and industrial facilities. Furthermore, we may consider investing in assets with revenues not denominated in U.S. dollars or euros, which would increase our exposure to local currency, and which could generate higher volatility in the cash flows we generate. In all these types of assets and businesses, the risk of not meeting the expected cash flow generation and expected returns is higher than in contracted assets. In addition, these type of assets and businesses could present a higher variability in the cash flows they generate. In addition, we may acquire assets which may be considered as less ESG-friendly than certain assets in our current portfolio by current and potential investors. For example, considering the competitive landscape for renewable assets in recent years, we may acquire additional natural gas assets. Although we have set a target to maintain at least 80% of our Adjusted EBITDA generated by low carbon footprint assets, some investors with a focus on ESG may consider this target insufficient, which could cause us to become less attractive to investors. As a result, the consummation of investments and acquisitions may have a material adverse effect on our ability to grow, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
Changed
We cannot guarantee the success of our recent and future investments.
Acquisitions of and investments in companies and assets are subject to substantial risks, including unknown or contingent liabilities (including violations of environmental, antitrust, anticorruption, anti-bribery and anti-money laundering laws, and tax and labor disputes), the failure to identify material problems during due diligence (for which we may not be indemnified post-closing) or the risk of over-paying for assets (or not making acquisitions on an accretive basis). In some of our acquisitions the former owners agreed, or may agree, to indemnify us for certain of these matters. However, such indemnification obligations are often subject to materiality thresholds and guaranty limits, and such obligations are generally time limited. For certain acquisitions, we may not be able to successfully negotiate for such indemnification obligations. As a result, we may not recover any amounts with respect to losses due to unknown or contingent liabilities or breaches by the sellers of their representations and warranties. All this may adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Furthermore, the integration and consolidation of acquisitions require substantial human, financial and other resources and, ultimately, our acquisitions may divert management’s attention from our existing business concerns, disrupt our ongoing business or not be successfully integrated at all. As a result, the consummation of acquisitions may have a material adverse effect on our ability to grow, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. We may be unable to complete all, or any, such transactions that we may analyze. Even where we consummate investments, we may be unable to achieve projected cash flows or we may encounter regulatory complications arising from such transactions. Furthermore, the terms and conditions of financing for such investments could restrict the manner in which we conduct our business. These risks could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. We may also make acquisitions or investments in assets that are located in different jurisdictions and are different from, and may be riskier than, those jurisdictions in which we currently operate (Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, Uruguay, Spain, Italy, South Africa and Algeria). See “—VI. Risks Related to the Markets in Which We Operate—We have international operations and investments, including in emerging markets that could be subject to economic, social and political uncertainties.” These changes may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
We may have joint venture partners or other co-investors with whom we have material disagreements.
We have made and may continue to make equity investments in certain strategic assets managed by or together with third parties, including governmental entities and private entities. In certain cases, we may only have partial or joint control over a particular asset. We hold a minority stake in Vento II (our 596 MW wind portfolio in the United States composed by Elkhorn Valley, Prairie Star, Twin Groves II and Lone Star II), Honaine (Algeria), Monterrey (Mexico), Amherst (Canada) and Ten West Link (United States) and do not have control over the operation of these assets. In addition, we have partners in Seville PV, Solacor 1 & 2, Solaben 2 & 3, Skikda, Kaxu, Chile PV 1 and Chile PV 2 and we have invested through a debt instrument in Tenes. Investments in assets over which we have no, partial or joint control are subject to the risk that the other shareholders of the assets, who may have different business or investment strategies than us or with whom we may have a disagreement or dispute, may have the ability to independently make or block business, financial or management decisions, such as appoint members of management, which may be crucial to the success of the project or our investment in the project, or otherwise implement initiatives which may be contrary to our interests. Additionally, the approval of other shareholders or partners may be required to sell, pledge, transfer, assign or otherwise convey our interest in such assets. Alternatively, other shareholders may have rights of first refusal or rights of first offer in the event of a proposed sale or transfer of our interests in such assets or in the event we acquire an interest in new assets pursuant to ROFO agreements with third parties. These restrictions may limit the price or interest level for our interests in such assets, in the event we want to sell such interests. Finally, our partners in existing or future projects may be unable, or unwilling, to fulfill their obligations under the relevant shareholder agreements, may experience financial or other difficulties or might sell their position to third parties that we did not choose, which may adversely affect our investment in a particular joint venture or adversely affect us. In certain of our joint ventures, we may also rely on the expertise of our partners and, as a result, any failure to perform its obligations in a diligent manner could also adversely affect the joint venture. If any of the foregoing were to occur, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows may be materially adversely affected.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 19/59 (32%)Above Sector Average
Regulation9 | 15.3%
Regulation - Risk 1
Added
If approved, the proposed electricity constitutional reform in Mexico may have a negative impact on our current assets and might impact negatively on our ability to grow in that country.
On March 9, 2021, Mexico’s President proposed a preferential reform to the Electricity Industry Law (Ley de la Industria Eléctrica). In broad terms, the reform aimed for CFE to expand its impact in the energy generation sector. Additionally, on September 30, 2021, Mexico’s President submitted an amendment proposal to the Constitution which will be discussed and resolved by the House of Representatives, the Mexican Senate and regional local congresses. If passed as presented, most of the energy reform of December 2013 would be modified and the sector would be significantly transformed. Although we do not expect a direct and immediate impact on our existing contracts, we cannot guarantee that the new regulation will not have any impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. The new regulation could also limit our growth prospects in the region. In addition, in December 2021, the Mexican Energy Regulatory Commission approved an amendment to the existing regulation on the isolated supply, which may affect our Monterrey asset. We have filed appeals for protection before specialized courts and we expect this situation to be solved without significant impact. However, we cannot guarantee that this change in regulation will not have any negative impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Regulation - Risk 2
Added
We may not satisfy the standards of our existing or future ESG certifications or those of investors or regulators for assets with sustainability characteristics.
There can be no assurance of the extent to which we will be successful in satisfying the requirements or standards of our existing or future ESG certifications or those of investors or regulators for assets with sustainability characteristics. In addition, there is no assurance that any future investments we make will meet investor expectations or any standards for investment in assets with sustainability characteristics, or standards regarding sustainability performance, in particular with regard to any direct or indirect environmental, sustainability or social impact. Failure to maintain any existing or future ESG certification or those of investors or regulators for assets with sustainability characteristics may adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Further, adverse environmental, regulatory, political or social changes may occur during the design, construction and operation of any action we may take in furtherance of our sustainability goals, making it less likely, more expensive or impracticable for us to achieve such goals, or such actions may become controversial or criticized by activist groups or other stakeholders.
Regulation - Risk 3
Changed
We are subject to extensive governmental regulation in a number of different jurisdictions, and our inability to comply with existing regulations or requirements in applicable regulations or requirements may have a negative impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
We are subject to extensive regulation of our business in the countries in which we operate. Such laws and regulations require licenses, permits and other approvals to be obtained in connection with the operations of our activities. This regulatory framework imposes significant actual, day-to-day compliance burdens, costs and risks on us., The power plants, transmission lines and other assets that we own are subject to strict international, national, state and local regulations relating to their operation and expansion (including, among other things, leasing and use of land, and corresponding building permits, landscape conservation, noise regulation, environmental protection and environmental permits and electric transmission and distribution network congestion regulations). Non-compliance with such regulations could result in reputational damage, the revocation of permits, sanctions, fines, criminal penalties or affect our ability to satisfy applicable ESG standards. Compliance with regulatory requirements may result in substantial costs to our operations that may not be recovered. All the above could have a negative impact on us and a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Regulation - Risk 4
Changed
Revenues in our solar assets in Spain are mainly defined by regulation and some of the parameters defining the remuneration are subject to review every six years.
According to Royal Decree 413/2014, solar electricity producers in Spain receive: (i) the pool price for the power they produce, (ii) a payment based on the standard investment cost for each type of plant (without any relation whatsoever to the amount of power they generate) and (iii) an “operating payment” (in €/MWh produced). The principle driving this economic regime is that the payments received by a renewable energy producer should be equivalent to the costs that they are unable to recover on the electricity pool market where they compete with non-renewable technologies. This economic regime seeks to allow a “well-run and efficient enterprise” to recover the costs of building and running a plant, plus a reasonable return on investment (project investment rate of return). The rate applicable during the first regulatory period was 7.398%. The first review of this rate was at the end of 2018 applicable for the second regulatory period 2020-2025. On November 2, 2018, CNMC (the state-owned regulator for the electricity system in Spain) issued its final report with a proposed reasonable rate of return of 7.09%. In December 2018, the government issued a draft project law proposing a reasonable rate of return of 7.09%, with the possibility of maintaining the 7.398% reasonable rate of return under certain circumstances. On November 24, 2019, the Spanish government approved Royal Decree-law 17/2019 setting out a 7.09% reasonable rate of return applicable from January 1, 2020 until December 31, 2025, as a general rule and the possibility, under certain circumstances including not having any ongoing legal proceeding against the Kingdom of Spain ongoing, of maintaining the 7.398% reasonable rate of return for two consecutive regulatory periods. The reasonable rate of return was calculated by reference to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC), the calculation method that most of the European regulators apply to determine the return rates applicable to regulated activities within the energy sector. As a result, some of the assets in our Spanish portfolio are receiving a remuneration based on a 7.09% reasonable rate of return until December 31, 2025, while others are receiving a remuneration based on a 7.398% reasonable rate of return until December 31, 2031. If the payments for renewable energy plants are revised to lower amounts in the next regulatory period starting on January 1, 2026 until December 31, 2031, or starting on January 1, 2032, depending on each asset, this could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. As a reference, assuming our assets in Spain continue to perform as expected and assuming no additional changes of circumstances, with the information currently available, Atlantica estimates that a reduction of 100 basis points in the reasonable rate of return on investment set by the Spanish government could cause a reduction in its cash available for distribution of approximately €18 million per year. This estimate is subject to certain assumptions, which may change in the future. In addition, the regulation includes a mechanism under which regulated revenues are reviewed every three years to reflect the difference between expected and actual market prices over the remaining regulatory life if the difference is higher than a pre-defined threshold. Electricity prices have increased significantly since mid-2021 and may remain high during the rest of 2022, which would cause higher short-term cash collections but also a negative adjustment in regulated revenue starting 2023, resulting in a negative impact on future cash flows from that year. In addition, from an accounting perspective, in 2021 we have recorded a negative provision with no cash impact on the current period that has lowered revenue and Adjusted EBITDA in this geography. If electricity prices remain high in 2022, we will record another similar non-cash provision also in 2022. Volatility in electricity market prices can cause volatility in our results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 5
Government regulations could change at any time and such changes may negatively impact our current business and our growth strategy.
Our assets are subject to extensive regulation. Changes in existing energy, environmental and administrative laws and regulations may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, including on our growth plan and investment strategy. Also, such changes may in certain cases, have retroactive effects and may cause the result of operations to be lower than expected, or increase the size and number of claims and damages asserted against us or subject us to enforcement actions, fines and even criminal penalties. Our business may also be affected by additional taxes imposed on our activities or changes in regulations, reduction of regulated tariffs and other cuts or measures. Changes in laws and regulations could increase the size and number of claims and damages asserted against us or subject us to enforcement actions, fines and even criminal penalties. In addition, changes in laws and regulations may, in certain cases, have retroactive effect and may cause the result of operations to be lower than expected. In particular, our activities in the energy sector are subject to regulations applicable to the economic regime of generation of electricity from renewable sources and to subsidies or public support in the benefit of our production of energy from renewable energy sources, which vary by jurisdiction, and are subject to modifications that may be more restrictive or unfavorable to us. Furthermore, in some of our assets such as the solar plants in Spain and one of our transmission lines in Chile, revenues are based on existing regulation. We may also acquire in the future additional assets or businesses with regulated revenues. For these types of assets and businesses, if regulation changes, it may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, our strategy to grow our business through investments in renewable energy projects partly depends on current government policies that promote and support renewable energy and enhance the economic viability of owning solar and wind energy projects. Renewable energy projects currently benefit from various U.S. federal, state and local governmental incentives, such as ITCs, PTCs, loan guarantees, RPS programs, or MACRS along with other incentives. These incentives make the development of renewable energy projects more competitive. These policies have had a significant impact on the development of renewable energy, and they could change at any time. Additionally, many of these government incentives, including the ITCs and the PTCs, are subject to phase-out and/or expiration. A loss or reduction in such incentives or the value of such incentives, a change in policy away from limitations on coal and gas electric generation or a reduction in the capacity of potential investors to benefit from such incentives could decrease the attractiveness of renewable energy projects to project developers, and the attractiveness of renewable assets to utilities, retailers and customers. Such a loss or reduction could reduce our investment opportunities and our willingness to pursue renewable energy projects due to higher operating costs or lower revenues from off-take agreements. See also “—Risks Related to Taxation.” Additionally, some U.S. states with RPS targets have met, or in the near future will meet, their renewable energy targets. For example, California, which has among the most aggressive RPS laws in the United States will be required to meet the higher renewable energy mandate of 60.0% by 2030 and 100% by 2045 that was adopted in 2018. If, as a result of achieving these targets, these and other U.S. states do not increase their targets in the near future, demand for additional renewable energy could decrease. In addition, the substantial increase of grid connected intermittent solar and wind generation assets resulting from the adoption of RPS targets has created significant technical challenges for grid operators. As a result, RPS targets may need to be scaled back or delayed in order to develop technologies or infrastructure to accommodate this increase in intermittent generation assets. Subsidy regimes for renewable energy generation have been challenged in the past on constitutional and other grounds (including that such regimes constitute impermissible European Union state aid) in certain jurisdictions. In addition, certain loan-guarantee programs in the United States, including those which have enabled the DOE to provide loan guarantees to support our Solana and Mojave projects in the United States, have been challenged on grounds of failure by the appropriate authorities to comply with applicable U.S. federal administrative and energy law. If all or part of the subsidy and incentive regimes for renewable energy generation in any jurisdiction in which we operate were found to be unlawful and, therefore, reduced or discontinued, we may be unable to compete effectively with conventional and other renewable forms of energy. We currently have two financing arrangements with the Federal Financing Bank for the Solana and Mojave assets, repayment of which to the Federal Financing Bank by those projects is with a guarantee by the DOE. Additionally, these projects benefitted from the ITCs. Unilateral changes to these agreements or the ITC regime may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Regulation - Risk 6
Our international operations require us to comply with anti-corruption and other laws and regulations of the United States government and various non-U.S. jurisdictions.
Doing business in multiple countries requires us and our subsidiaries to comply with the laws and regulations of the United States government and various non-U.S. jurisdictions. Our failure to comply with these rules and regulations may expose us to liabilities. These laws and regulations may apply to us, our subsidiaries, individual directors, officers, employees and agents, and may restrict our operations, trade practices, investment decisions and partnering activities. In particular, our non-U.S. operations are subject to United States and foreign anti-corruption laws and regulations, such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977, as amended (the “FCPA”), and similar laws and regulations. The FCPA prohibits United States companies and their officers, directors, employees and agents acting on their behalf from corruptly offering, promising, authorizing or providing anything of value to foreign officials for the purposes of influencing official decisions or obtaining or retaining business or otherwise obtaining favorable treatment. The FCPA also requires companies keep books, records and accounts that accurately and fairly reflect transactions and dispositions of assets and to maintain a system of adequate internal accounting controls. As part of our business, we deal with state-owned business enterprises, the employees and representatives of which may be considered foreign officials for purposes of the FCPA. As a result, business dealings between our employees and any such foreign official could expose us to the risk of violating anti-corruption laws even if such business practices may be customary or are not otherwise prohibited between the us and a private third party. Violations of these legal requirements are punishable by criminal fines and imprisonment, civil penalties, disgorgement of profits, injunctions, debarment from government contracts as well as other remedial measures. We have established policies and procedures designed to assist us and our personnel in complying with applicable United States and non-U.S. laws and regulations; however, we cannot assure you that these policies and procedures will completely eliminate the risk of a violation of these legal requirements, and any such violation (inadvertent or otherwise) could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Regulation - Risk 7
If we are deemed to be an investment company, we may be required to institute burdensome compliance requirements and our activities may be restricted, which may make it difficult for us to complete strategic acquisitions or effect combinations.
If we were deemed to be an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the “Investment Company Act”), our business would be subject to applicable restrictions under the Investment Company Act, which could make it impractical for us to continue our business as contemplated. We believe our Company is not an investment company under Section 3(b)(1) of the Investment Company Act because we are primarily engaged in a non-investment company business, and we intend to conduct our operations so that we will not be deemed an investment company. However, if we were to be deemed an investment company, restrictions imposed by the Investment Company Act, including limitations on our capital structure and our ability to transact with affiliates, could make it impractical for us to continue our business as contemplated.
Regulation - Risk 8
Provisions in the UK City Code on Takeovers and Mergers may have anti-takeover effects that could discourage an acquisition of us by others, even if an acquisition would be beneficial to our shareholders.
The UK City Code on Takeovers and Mergers, or the Takeover Code, applies, among other things, to an offer for a public company whose registered office is in the U.K. and whose securities are not admitted to trading on a regulated market in the U.K. if the company is considered by the Panel on Takeovers and Mergers, or the Takeover Panel, to have its place of central management and control in the U.K. This is known as the “residency test.” The test for central management and control under the Takeover Code is different from that used by the UK tax authorities. Under the Takeover Code, the Takeover Panel will determine whether we have our place of central management and control in the United Kingdom by looking at various factors, including the structure of our Board of Directors, the functions of the directors and where they are resident. If at the time of a takeover offer the Takeover Panel determines that we have our place of central management and control in the U.K., we would be subject to a number of rules and restrictions, including but not limited to the following: (1) our ability to enter into deal protection arrangements with a bidder would be extremely limited; (2) we may not, without the approval of our shareholders, be able to perform certain actions that could have the effect of frustrating an offer, such as issuing shares or carrying out acquisitions or disposals; and (3) we would be obliged to provide equality of information to all bona fide competing bidders.
Regulation - Risk 9
As a “foreign private issuer” in the United States, we are exempt from certain rules under the U.S. securities laws and are permitted to file less information with the SEC than U.S. companies.
As a “foreign private issuer,” we are exempt from certain rules under the Exchange Act that impose certain disclosure obligations and procedural requirements for proxy solicitations under Section 14 of the Exchange Act. In addition, our officers, directors and principal shareholders are exempt from the reporting and “short-swing” profit recovery provisions of Section 16 of the Exchange Act and the rules under the Exchange Act with respect to their purchases and sales of our shares. Moreover, we are not required to file periodic reports and financial statements with the SEC as frequently or as promptly as U.S. companies whose securities are registered under the Exchange Act. In addition, we are not required to comply with Regulation FD, which restricts the selective disclosure of material information. If we were to lose our “foreign private issuer” status, we would no longer be exempt from certain provisions of the U.S. securities laws we would be required to commence reporting on forms required of U.S. companies, and we could incur increased compliance and other costs, among other consequences.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities3 | 5.1%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
There are limitations on enforceability of civil liabilities against us.
We are incorporated under the laws of England and Wales. A majority of our officers and directors reside outside the United States. In addition, a significant portion of our assets and a significant portion of the assets of our directors and officers are located outside the United States. As a result, it may be difficult or impossible to effect service of process within the United States upon us or such officers and directors, with respect to matters arising under U.S. federal securities law, or to force us or them to appear in a U.S. court. It may also be difficult or impossible to enforce a judgment of a U.S. court against persons outside the United States, predicated upon civil liability provisions under U.S. federal securities law, or to enforce a judgment of a foreign court against such persons in the United States. We believe that there may be doubt as to the enforceability against persons in England and Wales and in Spain, whether in original actions or in actions for the enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts, of civil liabilities predicated solely upon the laws of the United States, including its federal securities laws. In addition, punitive damages in actions brought in the United States or elsewhere may be unenforceable in England and Wales or in Spain.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
Abengoa’s financial condition including the recent insolvency filing by Abengoa S.A. could affect its ability to satisfy its obligations with us under different agreements, such as operation and maintenance agreements as well as indemnities and other contracts in place and may affect our reputation.
Abengoa has several obligations and indemnities which have resulted or could result in additional liability obligations to us or to our assets. Inability of Abengoa to pay their obligations when due, including as a result of insolvency, could have a negative impact on our current or future cash position. The insolvency filing by the individual company Abengoa, S.A. in February 2021 or other circumstances may cause an insolvency filing of Abenewco1, S.A., the controlling company of the subsidiaries performing the operation and maintenance services, or insolvency filings of subsidiaries of Abenewco1, S.A. There may be unanticipated consequences of Abengoa S.A. insolvency filings, Abenewco1, S.A. potential filing, further restructurings by Abengoa or ongoing bankruptcy proceedings by Abengoa’s subsidiaries that we have not yet identified. There are uncertainties as to how any further bankruptcy proceedings would be resolved and how our relationship with Abengoa would be affected following the initiation or resolution of any such proceedings. A deterioration in the financial position of certain of Abengoa’s subsidiaries may result in a material adverse effect on certain of our operation and maintenance agreements. Abengoa and its subsidiaries provide O&M services for some of our assets. We cannot guarantee that Abengoa and/or its subcontractors will be able to continue performing with the same level of service (or at all) and under the same terms and conditions, and at the same prices. Because we have long-term operation and maintenance agreements with Abengoa for many of our assets, if Abengoa cannot continue performing current services at the same prices, we may need to renegotiate contracts and pay higher prices or change the scope of the contracts. On February 2, 2022 we internalized the O&M in Kaxu. For our assets in Spain, where Abengoa provides most of the operation and maintenance services, we reached an agreement in February 2022 subject to conditions precedent, including waivers from financial institutions, to terminate the O&M agreements in six plants in Spain and to introduce a clause to be able to terminate the rest of the agreements every three years. If and when the conditions precedent are met, we would perform the O&M for the six plants we would be terminating with third parties or internal resources. We may be required to pay higher prices or change the level of services. This may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. The insolvency filing by Abengoa S.A. in February 2021, the potential insolvency filing by Abenewco1, S.A. (or any of its subsidiaries), a deterioration in the financial situation of Abengoa’s subsidiaries or the implementation of a new viability plan may also result in a material adverse effect on Abengoa’s and its subsidiaries’ obligations, warranties and guarantees, and indemnities covering, for example, potential tax liabilities for assets acquired from Abengoa, or any other agreement. In addition, Abengoa has represented that we would not be a guarantor of any obligation of Abengoa with respect to third parties. Abengoa agreed to indemnify us for any penalty claimed by third parties resulting from any breach in Abengoa’s representations. Certain of these indemnities and obligations are no longer valid after the insolvency filing by Abengoa, S.A. in February 2021. A potential insolvency of Abenewco1, S.A. may also terminate the remaining obligations, indemnities and guarantees. In addition, in Mexico, Abengoa was the owner of a plant that shares certain infrastructure and has certain back-to-back obligations with ACT. We are required to deliver an equipment to Pemex which needs to be delivered to us by such plant first. If we are unable to comply with this obligation, it may result in a material adverse effect on ACT and on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. According to public information, this plant is currently controlled by a third party. In addition, although Abengoa has not been our shareholder since the end of 2018, in some geographies our reputation continues to be related to that of Abengoa. Any damage to the public image or reputation of Abengoa as a result of bankruptcy, adverse publicity, poor financial or operating performance, changes in financial condition, or otherwise could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 3
Added
Legal proceedings involving Abengoa and its current and previous insolvency processes and events and circumstances that led to them could affect us.
Prior to the completion of our initial public offering in 2014, we and many of our assets were part of Abengoa. Many of our senior executives have previously worked for Abengoa. Abengoa’s current and prior restructuring processes, and the events and circumstances that led to them, are currently the subject of various legal proceedings and investigations and may in the future become the subject of additional proceedings. To the extent that allegations are made in any such proceedings that involve us, our assets, our dealings with Abengoa or our employees, such proceedings may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, as well as on our reputation and employees.
Taxation & Government Incentives5 | 8.5%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
We may be subject to litigation, other legal proceedings and tax inspections.
We are subject to the risk of legal claims and proceedings (including bankruptcy proceeding), requests for arbitration, tax inspections as well as regulatory enforcement actions in the ordinary course of our business and otherwise, including claims against our subsidiaries, assets, deals, or our subsidiaries not meeting their obligations. The results of legal and regulatory proceedings or tax inspections cannot be predicted with certainty. We cannot guarantee that the results of current or future legal or regulatory proceedings, tax inspections or actions will not materially harm our operations, business, financial condition or results of operations, nor can we guarantee that we will not incur losses in connection with current or future legal or regulatory proceedings, tax inspections or actions that exceed any provisions we may have set aside in respect of such proceedings or actions or that exceed any available insurance coverage, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. See “Item 4.B—Business Overview—Legal Proceedings.”
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Changes in our tax position can significantly affect our reported earnings and cash flows.
We have assets in different jurisdictions, which are subject to different tax regimes. Changes in tax regimes such as the reduction or elimination of tax benefits could adversely affect our assets. Limitations on the deductibility of interest expense could adversely affect our ability to deduct the interest we pay on our debt. These and other potential changes in tax laws and regulations could have a material adverse effect on our results and cash flows. In addition, a reduction in corporate tax rates could make investments in renewable projects less attractive to potential tax equity investors, in which case we may not be able to obtain third-party financing on terms as beneficial as in the past, or at all, which could limit our ability to grow our business. Changes in corporate tax rates and/or other relevant tax laws in the United Kingdom, the United States, Spain, Mexico or the other countries in which our assets are located may have a material impact on our future tax rate and/or our required tax payments. Such changes may include measures enacted in response to the ongoing initiatives in relation to fiscal legislation at an international level, such as the Action Plan on Base Erosion and Profit Shifting of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (“OECD”). The final determination of our tax liability could be different from the forecasted amount, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Changes to the U.K. controlled foreign company rules or adverse interpretations of them, could have an impact on our future tax rate and/or our required tax payments. With respect to some of our projects, we must meet defined requirements to apply favorable tax treatment, such as lower tax rates or exemptions. We intend to meet these requirements in order to benefit from the favorable tax treatment; however, there can be no assurance that we will be able to comply with all of the necessary requirements in the future, or the requirements could change or be interpreted in another manner, which could give rise to a greater tax liability and which may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. In addition, the governments of some countries where we operate, including the United States, Spain, Chile, Peru and South Africa, could implement changes to their tax laws and regulations, the content of which are largely uncertain currently. These potential changes to applicable tax laws and regulations could have a negative impact on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Furthermore, tax laws and regulations are subject to interpretation. Our tax returns in each country are subject to inspection and even if we believe that we are complying with all tax laws and regulations in each country, a tax inspector could have a different view, which may result in additional tax liabilities and may have a negative impact on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, as of November 2021, 137 countries agreed to implement the “Two Pillars Solution”, an OECD/ G20 Inclusive Framework initiative, which aims to reform the international taxation policies and ensure that multinational companies pay taxes wherever they operate and generate profits. “Pillar Two” of this initiative generally provides for an effective global minimum corporate tax rate of 15% on profits generated by multinational companies with consolidated revenues of at least €750 million, calculated on a country-by country basis. This minimum tax would be applied on profits in any jurisdiction wherever the effective tax rate, determined on a jurisdictional basis, is below 15%. Any additional tax liability resulting from the application of this minimum tax will be payable by the parent entity of the multinational group to the tax authority in such parent’s country of residence. A framework for the coordinated implementation of the minimum tax is expected to be developed over 2022. Although this initiative is still subject to further developments in the countries where Atlantica operates, if implemented, it may have a negative impact on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 3
Our future tax liability may be greater than expected if we do not use sufficient NOLs to offset our taxable income.
We have NOLs that we can use to offset future taxable income. Based on our current portfolio of assets, which include renewable assets that benefit from an accelerated tax depreciation schedule, and subject to potential tax audits, which may result in income, sales, use or other tax obligations, we do not expect to pay significant taxes in the upcoming years. Although we expect these NOLs will be available as a future benefit, in the event that they are not generated as expected, or are successfully challenged by the local tax authorities, such as the IRS or Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs among others, by way of a tax audit or otherwise, or are subject to future limitations as discussed below, our ability to realize these benefits may be limited. A reduction in our expected NOLs, a limitation on our ability to use such NOLs or the occurrence of future tax audits may result in a material increase in our estimated future income tax liability and may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 4
Our ability to use U.S. NOLs to offset future income may be limited.
We have generated significant NOLs. For purposes of U.S. federal income taxation, NOLs generated on or before December 31, 2017, can generally be carried back two years and carried forward for up to twenty years and can be applied to offset 100% of taxable income in such years. As a result of the CARES Act, NOLs incurred between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2020 may be carried forward indefinitely and carried back five years. Losses arising after December 31, 2020, cannot be carried back and are subject to limitations on their deductibility that may prevent us from using the NOLs to offset all taxable income in future years. Our NOL carryforwards and certain recognized built-in losses may be limited by Section 382 of the IRC if we experience an “ownership change.” In general, an “ownership change” occurs if 5% shareholders of our stock increase their collective ownership of the aggregate amount of the outstanding shares of our company by more than 50 percentage points, generally over a three-year testing period. In the event of an ownership change, NOLs that exceed the Section 382 limitation in any year will continue to be allowed as carryforwards for the remainder of the carryforward period and will be available to offset taxable income for years within the carryforward period subject to the Section 382 limitation in each year. Nevertheless, if the carryforward period for any NOL were to expire before that loss had been fully utilized, the unused portion of that loss would be lost. Our use of new NOLs arising after the date of an ownership change would not be affected by the Section 382 limitation (unless there were another ownership change after those new losses arose). We have experienced ownership changes in the past. Future sales by our largest shareholder, future equity issuances and in general the activity of our direct or indirect shareholders may limit further our ability to use net operating loss carryforwards in the United States, which could have a potential adverse effect on cash flows from U.S. assets expected in the future. In 2019, the Internal Revenue Service issued proposed regulations concerning the calculation of built-in gains and losses under Section 382. If the proposed regulations are enacted and depending on its final outcome, these proposed regulations may significantly limit our annual use of pre-ownership change U.S. NOLs in the event a new ownership change occurs after the new rule is in place. In addition, because we have recorded tax credits for the U.S. tax losses carryforwards in the past, a limit to our ability to use U.S. NOLs could result in writing off tax credits, which could cause a substantial non-cash income tax expense in our financial statements.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 5
If we are a passive foreign investment company for U.S. federal income tax purposes for any taxable year, U.S. Holders of our shares could be subject to adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences.
If we were a PFIC for any taxable year during which a U.S. Holder held our shares, certain adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences may apply to the U.S. Holder. We do not believe that we were a PFIC for our 2021 taxable year and do not expect to be a PFIC for U.S. federal income tax purposes for the current taxable year or in the foreseeable future. The application of the PFIC rules is, however, subject to uncertainty in several respects, and we must make a separate determination after the close of each taxable year as to whether we were a PFIC for such year. PFIC status depends on the composition of a company’s income and assets and the fair market value of its assets (including certain equity investments) from time to time, as well as on the application of complex statutory and regulatory rules that are subject to potentially varying or changing interpretations. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that we will not be considered a PFIC for any taxable year. If we were a PFIC, U.S. Holders of our shares may be subject to adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences, such as taxation at the highest marginal ordinary income tax rates on capital gains and on certain actual or deemed distributions, interest charges on certain taxes treated as deferred, and additional reporting requirements. See “Item 10.E—Taxation—U.S. Federal Income Tax Considerations—Passive foreign investment company rules.”
Environmental / Social2 | 3.4%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Our business is subject to stringent environmental regulation.
We are subject to significant environmental regulation, which, among other things, requires us to obtain and maintain regulatory licenses, permits and other approvals and comply with the requirements of such licenses, permits and other approvals and perform environmental impact studies on changes to projects. In addition, our assets need to comply with strict environmental regulation on air emissions, water usage and contaminating spills, among others. Our policy is to maintain environmental insurance policies. We can give no assurance that we will be able to maintain such policies in the future. Additionally, as a company with a focus on ESG and most of the business in renewable energy, environmental incidents can also significantly harm our reputation. There can be no assurance that: • public opposition will not result in delays, modifications to or cancellation of any project or license; • laws or regulations will not change or be interpreted in a manner that increases our costs of compliance or require new investments and may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, including preventing us from operating an asset if we are not in compliance; or • governmental authorities will approve our environmental impact studies where required to implement proposed changes to operational projects. We believe that we are currently in material compliance with all applicable regulations, including those governing the environment. In the past, we have experienced some environmental accidents and we have been found not to be in compliance with certain environmental regulations and have incurred fines and penalties associated with such violations which, to date, have not been material in amount. At any point in time, we are subject to review and in some cases challenges regarding our compliance that might result or not in future fines and penalties or other remediation measures. At this point in time, we believe that such reviews will not result in a material financial impact. In one of our plants in Spain we have a difference of interpretation with an agency which may result, if the agency, and eventually the court, decided against our position in an eventual modification of the plant several years from today with a cost that we do not expect to be material. We can give no assurance, however, that we will continue to be in compliance or avoid material fines, penalties, sanctions and expenses associated with compliance issues in the future. Violation of such regulations may give rise to significant liability, including fines, damages, fees and expenses, additional taxes and site closures. The costs of compliance as well as non-compliance may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
Negative impacts on biodiversity, including harming of protected species or other environmental hazards can result in curtailment of power plant operations, monetary fines and negative publicity.
Managing and operating large infrastructure assets may have a negative impact on biodiversity in the regions where we operate. In particular, the operation of wind and solar power plants can adversely affect endangered, threatened or otherwise protected animal species. Wind power plants involve a risk that protected species will be harmed, as the turbine blades travel at a high rate of speed and may strike flying animals (such as birds or bats) that happen to travel into the path of spinning blades. Solar power plants can also present a risk to animals. Excessive killing of protected species or other environmental accidents or hazards could result in requirements to implement mitigation strategies, including curtailment of operations, and/or substantial monetary fines and negative publicity. We cannot guarantee that any curtailment of operations, monetary fines that are levied or negative publicity as a result of incidental killing of protected species and other environmental hazards will not have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Violations of environmental and other laws, regulations and permit requirements may also result in criminal sanctions or injunctions.
Production
Total Risks: 11/59 (19%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing4 | 6.8%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Lack of electric transmission capacity availability, potential upgrade costs to the electric transmission grid, and other systems constraints could significantly impact our ability to generate electricity power sales and develop new projects.
We depend on electric interconnection and transmission facilities owned and operated by others to deliver the wholesale power we sell from our electric generation assets to our customers. A failure or delay in the operation or development of these interconnection or transmission facilities or a significant increase in the cost of the development of such facilities could result in the loss of revenues. Such failures or delays could limit the amount of power our operating facilities deliver or delay the completion of our construction projects, as the case may be. Additionally, such failures, delays or increased costs may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. If a region’s electric transmission infrastructure is inadequate, our ability to generate electricity may be limited. If restrictive transmission price regulation is imposed, the transmission companies may not have a sufficient incentive to invest in expansion of transmission infrastructure. We cannot predict whether interconnection and transmission facilities will be expanded in specific markets to accommodate competitive access to those markets. Certain of our operating facilities’ generation of electricity may be curtailed without compensation, or access to the grid might become uneconomical at certain times, due to transmission limitations or limitations on the electricity grid’s ability to accommodate intermittent electricity generating sources, reducing our revenues and impairing our ability to fully capitalize on a particular facility’s generating potential. Such curtailments may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Manufacturing - Risk 2
Certain of our facilities may not perform as expected.
Our expectations regarding the operating performance of certain assets in our portfolio, particularly Solana and Kaxu, assets recently acquired such as Chile PV 2, Chile PV 1, Tenes, Calgary District Heating, Coso, Vento II, I, Italy PV1, Italy PV2, La Sierpe, Italy PV3 and Chile TL 4 are based on assumptions, estimates and past experience, and without the benefit of a substantial operating history under our control. Our projections regarding our ability to generate cash available for distribution assumes facilities perform in accordance with our expectations. However, the ability of these facilities to meet our performance expectations is subject to the risks inherent in the operation and the construction of such facilities, including, but not limited to, degradation of equipment in excess of our expectations, system failures and outages. The failure of these facilities to perform as we expect may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Manufacturing - Risk 3
Maintenance, expansion and refurbishment of electric generation and other facilities involve significant risks that could result in unplanned power outages or reduced output or availability.
The facilities in our portfolio may require periodic upgrading and improvement in the future. Any unexpected operational or mechanical failure, including failure associated with breakdowns and forced outages, could reduce the performance and availability of our facilities below expected levels, reducing our revenues. Degradation of the performance of our solar facilities above levels provided for in the related off-take agreements may also reduce their revenues. Unanticipated capital expenditures associated with maintaining, upgrading or repairing our facilities may also reduce profitability. If we make any major modifications to our renewable power generation facilities, efficient natural gas or electric transmission lines, we may be required to comply with more stringent environmental regulations, which would likely result in substantial additional capital expenditures. We may also choose to repower, refurbish or upgrade our facilities based on our assessment that such activity will provide adequate financial returns. Such facilities require time for development and capital expenditures before commencement of commercial operations, and key assumptions underpinning a decision to make such an investment may prove incorrect, including assumptions regarding construction costs, timing, available financing and future fuel and power prices. This may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Manufacturing - Risk 4
Added
Our ability to develop renewable projects is subject to construction risks and risks associated with the arrangements with our joint venture partners
We have reached agreements with a number of partners in order to develop assets in the geographies in which we operate, however we cannot guarantee that our investments will be successful and that our growth expectations will materialize. Additionally, we cannot guarantee that we will be successful in identifying new potential projects and partners or that we will be able to acquire additional assets from those partners in the future. If we are unable to identify projects under such agreements or to reach new agreements on favorable terms with new partners, or if we are unable to consummate future acquisitions from any such agreement, it may limit our ability to execute our growth strategy and may have a materially adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operation and cash flows. Furthermore, development and construction activities conducted with partners or on our own are subject to failure rate and different types of risks. Our ability to develop new assets is dependent on our ability to secure or renew our rights to an attractive site on reasonable terms; accurately measuring resource availability; the ability to secure new or renewed approvals, licenses and permits; the acceptance of local communities; the ability to secure transmission interconnection access or agreements; the ability to successfully integrate new projects into existing assets; the ability to acquire suitable labor, equipment and construction services on acceptable terms; the ability to attract project financing; and the ability to secure PPAs or other sales contracts on reasonable terms. Failure to achieve any one of these elements may prevent the development and construction of a project. If any of the foregoing were to occur, we may lose all of our investment in development expenditures and may be required to write-off project development assets. In addition, the construction and development of new projects is subject to environmental, engineering and construction risks that could result in cost-overruns, delays and reduced performance. A number of factors that could cause such delays, cost over-runs or reduced performance include, changes in local laws or difficulties in obtaining permits, rights of way or approvals, changing engineering and design requirements, construction costs exceeding estimates for various reasons, including inaccurate engineering and planning, failures to properly estimate the cost of raw materials, components, equipment, labor or the inability to timely obtain them, unanticipated problems with project start-up, the performance of contractors, labor disruptions, inclement weather, defects in design, engineering or construction and project modifications. A delay in the projected completion of a project can result in a material increase in total project construction costs through higher capitalized interest charges, additional labor and other expenses, and a delay in the commencement of cash flow. If we co-invest with partners, or on our own, in assets under development or construction, we cannot guarantee that the development and construction of the asset will be successful and that we end up owning an operational asset.
Employment / Personnel2 | 3.4%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
The operation and maintenance of most of our assets is labor intensive, and therefore work stoppages by employees could harm our business.
The operation and maintenance of most of our assets is labor intensive and in many cases our employees and our operators’ employees are covered by collective bargaining agreements. A dispute with a union or employees represented by a union could result in production interruptions caused by work stoppages. In addition, we subcontract the operation and maintenance services for some of our assets. Abengoa is the operation and maintenance supplier in many of the assets for which we subcontract operation and maintenance services and Abengoa’s financial situation, including the insolvency filing by their holding company Abengoa S.A. on February 22, 2021, could cause a higher risk of dispute with their employees. If our operators’ employees were to initiate a work stoppage, they may not be able to reach an agreement with them in timely fashion. If a strike or work stoppage or disruption were to occur, our business, financial conditions, results of operations and cash flows may be materially adversely affected.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Our failure to maintain safe work environments may expose us to significant financial losses, as well as civil and criminal liabilities.
The facilities we operate often put our employees and others, including those of our subcontractors, in close proximity with large pieces of mechanized equipment, moving vehicles, manufacturing or industrial processes, electrical equipment, heat or liquids stored under pressure or at high temperatures and highly regulated materials. On most projects and at most facilities, we, together in some cases with the operation and maintenance supplier, are responsible for safety. Accordingly, we must implement safe practices and safety procedures, which are also applicable to on-site subcontractors. If we or the operation and maintenance supplier fail to design and implement such practices and procedures, or if the practices and procedures are ineffective, or if our operation and maintenance service providers or other suppliers do not follow them, our employees and others may become injured. In addition, our projects and the operation of our facilities can involve the handling of hazardous and other highly regulated materials, which, if improperly handled or disposed of, could subject us or our suppliers to civil and criminal liabilities. Unsafe work sites also have the potential to increase employee turnover, increase the cost of a project to our customers or the operation of a facility, and raise our operating costs. Although we maintain teams whose primary purpose is to ensure we implement effective health, safety and environmental work procedures throughout our organization, the failure to comply with such regulations could subject us to reputational damage and/or liability. In addition, we may incur liability based on complaints of illness or disease resulting from exposure of employees or other persons to hazardous materials or equipment that we handle or are present in our workplaces. Any of the foregoing could result in civil, criminal or other liabilities, reputational damage and/or financial losses, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Supply Chain2 | 3.4%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
The performance of our assets under our PPAs or concession contracts may be adversely affected by problems including those related to our reliance on third-party contractors and suppliers.
Our projects rely on the supply of services, equipment, including technologically complex equipment and software which we subcontract in some cases to third-party suppliers in order to meet our contractual obligations under our PPAs and concessions. In circumstances where key components of our equipment, including but not limited to turbines, water pumps, heat exchangers, PV panels, tanks, transformers or electrical generators fail because of design failures or faulty operation or for any other reason, we rely on third parties to continue operating our assets. Equipment may not last as long as expected and we may need to replace it earlier than planned. Damages to our equipment may not be covered by insurance in place. In some cases, the replacement of damaged equipment can take a long period of time, which can cause our plants to curtail or cease operations during such time, which could have a negative impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. For example, Solana and Kaxu have experienced technical issues in their storage systems. Repairs have been carried out in both assets. In Solana, availability in the storage system was lower than expected in 2021 due to the improvements and replacements that we are carrying out after leaks were identified in the first quarter of 2020. These works have impacted production in 2021 and are expected to impact production in 2022 as we are experiencing delays due to COVID-19 restrictions and delays from subcontractors. We expect to fund these works with a cash repair reserve account funded at the asset level. We cannot guarantee that the repairs will be effective, that the funds in the cash repair reserve account will be sufficient or that additional repairs will not be required. Similar interruptions could happen again at our plants due to failure of key equipment. Design failures, technical inspections by suppliers or the need to replace key equipment can require unexpected capital expenditures and/or outages in our plants, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, the delivery by our subcontractors of products or services which are not in compliance with the requirements of the subcontract, or delayed supply of products and services, can cause us to be in default under our contracts with our concession counterparties. To the extent we are not able to transfer all of the risk or be fully indemnified by third-party contractors and suppliers, we may be subject to a claim by our customers as a result of a problem caused by a third party that could have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Supplier concentration may expose us to significant financial credit or performance risk.
We often rely on a single contracted supplier or a small number of suppliers for the provision of certain personnel, spare parts, equipment, technology, fuel, transportation of fuel, and/or other services required for the operation of certain of our facilities. If any of these suppliers, including Abengoa, Siemens, NAEs, GE or Nordex, cannot or will not perform under their operation and maintenance and other agreements with us, or satisfy their related warranty obligations, including as a result of insolvency or bankruptcy, we will need to access the marketplace to replace these suppliers or acquire or repair these products. There can be no assurance that the marketplace can provide these products and services as, when and where required. We may not be able to enter into replacement agreements on favorable terms or at all. If we are unable to enter into replacement agreements to provide for equipment, technology or fuel and other required services, we may have to seek to purchase the related goods or services at higher prices. We may also be required to make significant capital contributions to remove, replace or redesign equipment that cannot be supported or maintained by replacement suppliers, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows. The failure of any supplier to fulfill its contractual obligations to us may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Consequently, the financial performance of our facilities may be dependent on the credit quality of, and continued performance by, our suppliers and vendors.
Costs3 | 5.1%
Costs - Risk 1
The concession agreements or power purchase agreements under which we conduct some of our operations are subject to revocation, termination or tariff reduction.
Certain of our operations are conducted pursuant to contracts and concessions granted by various governmental bodies and others are pursuant to PPAs signed with governmental entities and private clients. Generally, these contracts and concessions give us rights to provide services for a limited period, subject to various governmental regulations. The governmental bodies or private clients responsible for regulating and monitoring these services often have broad powers to monitor our compliance with the applicable concession and PPAs and can require us to supply them with technical, administrative and financial information. Among other obligations, we may be required to comply with operating targets and efficiency and safety standards established in the respective concession. Such commitments and standards may be amended in certain cases by the governmental bodies. Our failure to comply with the concession agreements and PPAs or other regulatory requirements may result in contracts and concessions being revoked, not being granted, upheld or renewed in our favor, or, if granted, upheld or renewed, may not be done on as favorable terms as currently applicable. In addition, in some cases our off-takers have an option to acquire the asset or to terminate the concession agreement in exchange for a compensation. All the above could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, in some cases, if we fail to comply with certain pre-established conditions, the government or customer (as applicable) may reduce the tariffs or rates payable to us. Also, during the life of a PPA or a concession, the relevant government authority may in some cases unilaterally impose additional restrictions on our tariff rates, subject to the regulatory frameworks applicable in each jurisdiction. For example, in August 2021, the Arizona Corporation Commission (“ACC”) held a hearing related to different aspects of Arizona Public Service’s electricity supply during which the ACC Chairwoman raised the possibility to retroactively examine Solana’s PPA prudency. We are not aware of a precedent of a PPA prudency being reviewed by the ACC and the Solana PPA was approved by the ACC at the time of its execution. However, if the Solana PPA was effectively revised this would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In some cases, governments may also postpone annual tariff increases until a new tariff structure is approved without compensating energy providers for lost revenue. Furthermore, changes in laws and regulations may, in certain cases, have retroactive effect and expose us to additional compliance costs or undermine our existing financial and business planning.
Costs - Risk 2
Changed
Revenue from some of our renewable energy facilities is or may be partially exposed to market electricity prices.
Revenue and operating costs from certain of our existing or future projects depend to some extent on market prices for sale of electricity. Market prices may be volatile and are affected by various factors, including the cost of raw materials, user demand, and the price of GHG emission where applicable. In several of the jurisdictions in which we operate including Spain and Chile, we are exposed to remuneration schemes which contain both regulated incentives and market price components. In such jurisdictions, the regulated incentive or the contracted component may not compensate for fluctuations in the market price component, and, consequently, total remuneration may be volatile. Recent high market prices in that we have been experiencing in Spain since the third quarter of 2021 are resulting in higher cash collections which, in accordance with the regulation in place, will cause a reduction of the regulated remuneration component starting from 2023. In addition, the regulator may consider establishing a “cap” mechanism and limit the market price that we are able to charge (see “—VII Risks related to Regulation — Revenues in our solar assets in Spain are mainly defined by regulation and some of the parameters defining the remuneration are subject to review every six years.”) There can be no assurance that market prices will remain at levels which enable us to maintain profit margins and desired rates of return on investment. A decline in market prices below anticipated levels could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Additionally, in some of our current or future PPAs, and contracts our subsidiaries have obligations to reach a minimum production, to deliver certain amounts of energy irrespective of actual production or to settle with the customer for the difference between the market price at our delivery point and a pre-agreed price in certain locations. This can result in our subsidiaries facing additional costs to purchase or sell power in the market or to settle for differences or defaulting on PPAs or contracts. This could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Costs - Risk 3
Our insurance may be insufficient to cover relevant risks or the cost of our insurance may increase.
We cannot guarantee that our insurance coverage is, or will be, sufficient to cover all the possible losses we may face in the future. Our property damage and business interruption policy have significant deductibles and exclusions with respect to some key equipment which, if damaged, could result in financial losses and business interruptions. Moreover, insurance market terms and conditions have become more onerous over the last few years and insurance companies are requiring some companies in our sector to retain a portion of the overall risks instead of transferring 100% to the insurers. As a result, we have self-retained a portion of our own risks and may need to increase this percentage in the future. If equipment failed in one of our assets and this equipment was part of the insurance exclusions or if the event was part of the risks we self-insured, we would need to assume the repairs and business interruption costs, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Furthermore, some of our project finance agreements and PPAs include specific conditions regarding insurance coverage that we may need to modify. If we did not obtain a waiver from our project finance lenders accepting these modifications, an event of default could be triggered by our lenders due to non-compliance with the terms of the project finance agreement. If we were to incur a serious uninsured loss or a loss that significantly exceeded the coverage limits established in our insurance policies or we were not able to modify coverage conditions, this could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, our insurance policies are subject to periodic renewals and the terms of the renewal are in some cases subject to approval by our lenders or counterparties. If we were unable to renew our insurance coverage, we would not be in compliance with the requirements of our project finance agreements and our PPAs, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. If insurance premiums were to increase in the future and/or or if additional key components were excluded from insurance coverage and/or if certain types of insurance coverage were to become unavailable or there was a further increase in deductibles for damages and/or loss of production, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, we might not be able to maintain insurance coverage comparable to those in effect in the past or currently at comparable cost, or at all. If insurance costs materially increased, such additional costs could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 7/59 (12%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment2 | 3.4%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
We are exposed to political, social and macroeconomic risks relating to the United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union.
On January 31, 2020, the U.K. ceased to be part of the European Union (commonly referred to as “Brexit”) and entered into a transition period to, among other things, negotiate an agreement with the EU on the future terms of the U.K.’s relationship with the European Union. On December 24, 2020, both parties reached a trade agreement (the “Trade Agreement”), which contains rules for how the U.K. and EU are to live, work and trade together. On December 31, 2020, the transition period ended, and on January 1, 2021, the U.K. left the EU Single Market and Customs Union, as well as all EU policies and international agreements. As a result, the free movement of persons, goods, services and capital between the U.K. and the EU ended, with the EU and the U.K. forming two separate markets and two distinct regulatory and legal frameworks. The Trade Agreement offers U.K. and EU companies preferential access to each other’s markets, ensuring imported goods will be free of tariffs and quotas; however, economic relations between the U.K. and the EU will now be on more restricted terms than existed previously and Brexit could lead to additional political, legal and economic instability in the EU or labor shortages due to changes and restrictions regarding the free movement of people into the U.K. from the EU. Since some of the proposed changes due to Brexit have only recently become effective (i.e., further tightening of border controls on January 1, 2022), we are still monitoring the impact that Brexit may have on its business, and we continue to evaluate our own risks and uncertainty related to Brexit to better navigate the changes in the U.K.-EU market. Notwithstanding, as of the date hereof, we have evaluated the impact of Brexit on us, our subsidiaries, our business, and our future operations, operating results, and cash flows and it has not materially changed our business to date and as of today we do not expect any material impact. Moreover, we cannot anticipate if the U.K. and EU will succeed in negotiating all material terms not otherwise addressed or covered by the Trade Agreement, or subsequent transition agreements or arrangements and/or if previously agreed upon items will be renegotiated in the future. Changes in these or other terms resulting from Brexit could, similarly, subject us or our subsidiaries, to certain risks and could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity and cash flows.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
Changed
Difficult conditions in the global economy and in the global capital markets have caused, and may continue to cause, a negative impact on our business.
Our results of operations have been, and continue to be, materially affected by conditions in the global economy. In the United States, capital markets have been experiencing high volatility recently. Concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic (including the new highly contagious variants such as Omicron) and its effects on the global economy, higher inflation, volatile oil and gas prices, high electricity prices particularly in Europe, expected interest rate raise, geopolitical tensions, including the Russian military actions across Ukraine, and tensions between the U.S., Russia and China, the availability and cost of credit, sovereign debt and the instability of the euro have contributed to increased volatility in capital markets and worsened expectations for the economy. After the sharp recession caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the recovery in demand during the year 2021 caused disruptions in the supply chain with global shortages of some products and materials and high inflation rates. Further disruptions in the supply chain could limit the availability of certain parts required to operate our facilities and could adversely impact our ability (or our operation and maintenance suppliers’ ability) to operate our plants or to perform maintenance activities. If we were to experience a shortage of or inability to acquire critical spare parts, we could incur significant delays in returning facilities to full operation, which could negatively impact our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Supply chain tensions may also affect our projects in development and construction where we can experience delays or an increase in prices of equipment and materials required for the construction of new assets, which may cause a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. If price increases translate into prolonged inflation, this may cause a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows In addition, interest rates are now expected to increase faster than the market forecasted months ago. Adverse events and continuing disruptions in the global economy and capital markets may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Moreover, even in the absence of a market downturn, we are exposed to risk of loss due to market volatility and other factors, including volatile oil and gas prices, increasing electricity prices, interest rates swings, changes in consumer spending, business investment, government spending, and rising inflation, among others, that could affect the economic and financial situation of our concession agreements’ counterparties and, ultimately, the profitability and growth of our business. Generalized or localized downturns or inflationary pressures in our key geographical areas could also have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. A significant portion of our business activity is concentrated in the United States, Spain, Mexico and Peru. Consequently, we are significantly affected by the general economic conditions in these countries. Spain, for instance, after the recession caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is facing high inflation including high electricity prices, and an economic recovery at a slower pace than the European average, with persistently high unemployment. To the extent uncertainty regarding the European economic recovery continues to negatively affect government or regional budgets, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows could be materially adversely affected. Global geopolitical tensions, including from the February 2022 Russian military actions across Ukraine, may rise and create heightened volatility in the electricity market that could negatively affect both our ability to execute our business and growth strategy. Such military actions, and sanctions in response thereof as well as escalation of conflict, could significantly affect worldwide electricity market prices and demand and cause turmoil in the capital markets and generally in the global financial system. This could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, making it difficult to execute our growth strategy.
International Operations1 | 1.7%
International Operations - Risk 1
We have international operations and investments, including in emerging markets that could be subject to economic, social and political uncertainties.
We operate our activities in a range of international locations, including North America (Canada, the United States and Mexico), South America (Peru, Chile, Colombia and Uruguay), and EMEA (Spain, Italy, Algeria and South Africa), and we may expand our operations to certain core countries within these regions. Accordingly, we face several risks associated with operating and investing in different countries that may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. These risks include, but are not limited to, adapting to the regulatory requirements of such countries, compliance with changes in laws and regulations applicable to foreign corporations, the uncertainty of judicial processes, and the absence, loss or non-renewal of favorable treaties, or similar agreements, with local authorities, or political, social and economic instability, all of which can place disproportionate demands on our management, as well as significant demands on our operational and financial personnel and business. As a result, we can provide no assurance that our future international operations and investments will remain profitable. A significant portion of our current and potential future operations and investments are conducted in various emerging countries worldwide. Our activities and investments in these countries involve a number of risks that are more prevalent than in developed markets, such as economic and governmental instability, the possibility of significant amendments to, or changes in, the application of governmental regulations, the nationalization and expropriation of private property, payment collection difficulties, social unrest or protests, substantial fluctuations in interest and exchange rates, changes in the tax framework or the unpredictability of enforcement of contractual provisions, currency control measures, limits on the repatriation of funds and other unfavorable interventions or restrictions imposed by public authorities. Countries like Mexico, Peru and Chile currently have governments which are favorable to increase public spending and tax pressure. In addition, the current government in Mexico is proposing regulation which intends to benefit local business rather than foreign investors. In countries such as Algeria or South Africa, a change in government can cause instability in the country and a new government may decide to change laws and regulations affecting our assets or may decide to expropriate such assets. All this may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Our U.S. dollar-denominated contracts in several assets are payable in local currency at the exchange rate of the payment date and in some cases include portions in local currency. In the event of a rapid devaluation or implementation of exchange or currency controls, we may not be able to exchange the local currency for the agreed dollar amount, which could affect our cash available for distribution. Likewise, our contracts in South Africa and Colombia are payable in local currency. Governments in Latin America and Africa frequently intervene in their economies and occasionally make significant changes in policy and regulations. Governmental actions aimed to control inflation and other similar policies and regulations have often involved, among other measures, price controls, currency devaluations, capital or exchange controls and limits on imports. Such devaluation, implementation of exchange or currency controls or governmental involvement may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Natural and Human Disruptions4 | 6.8%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Our business may be adversely affected by catastrophes, natural disasters, unexpected geological or other physical conditions, or criminal or terrorist acts at one or more of our plants, facilities and electric transmission lines.
If one or more of our plants, facilities or electric transmission lines were to be subject in the future to fire, flood, earthquakes, drought or other natural disaster, terrorism, or other catastrophe, or if unexpected geological or other adverse physical conditions were to occur at any of our plants, facilities or electric transmission lines, we may not be able to carry out our business activities at that location or such operations could be significantly reduced. We own two assets in Southern California, which is an area classified as high seismic risk. Any of these circumstances could result in lost revenue at these sites during the period of disruption and costly remediation, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, it is possible that our sites and assets could be affected by criminal or terrorist acts. There are also certain risks for which we may not be able to acquire adequate insurance coverage, including earthquakes and severe convective storms. Any such events could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Changed
The COVID-19 pandemic could have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations, cash flows, cash available for distribution and ability to make cash distributions to our shareholders.
So far, we have not experienced any material impact from the COVID-19 pandemic on our business, results of operations or cash-flows. However, the COVID-19 pandemic could affect our operation and maintenance activities in the future. We may experience delays in certain operation and maintenance activities, or certain activities may take longer than usual, or, in a worst-case scenario, a potential outbreak at one of our assets may prevent our employees or our operation and maintenance suppliers’ employees from operating the plant. All these can hamper or prevent the operation and maintenance of our assets, which may result in a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, in 2021, the rapid increase in demand after the slowdown in 2020 caused tensions in the supply chains, including delays to obtain some components and increased prices (see “—VI Risks Related to the Markets in Which We Operate — Difficult conditions in the global economy and in the global capital markets have caused, and may continue to cause, a negative impact on our business”). We could also experience commercial disputes with our clients, suppliers and partners related to implications of COVID-19 in contractual relations. All the risks referred to can cause delays in distributions from our assets to the holding company. In addition, we may experience delays in distributions due to logistic and bureaucratic difficulties to approve those distributions, which can negatively affect our cash available for distributions, our business, financial condition and cash flows. If we were to experience delays in distributions due to the risks previously mentioned and this situation persisted over time, we may fail to comply with financial covenants in our credit facilities and other financing agreements. Additionally, many governments have implemented and may continue to implement stimulus measures to reduce the negative impact of COVID-19 in the economy. In many cases, these measures may increase government spending which may translate into increased tax pressure on companies in the countries where we operate. Changes in corporate tax rates and/or other relevant tax laws may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Given the dynamic nature of those events, we cannot reasonably estimate the period of time that the COVID-19 pandemic and related market conditions will persist or their severity, or if they may have a material impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations or cash flows or the pace or extent of any subsequent recovery.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 3
Changed
The generation of electric energy from renewable energy sources depends heavily on suitable meteorological conditions, and if solar or wind conditions are unfavorable, or if the geothermal resource is lower than expected, our electricity generation, and therefore revenue from our renewable energy generation facilities using our systems, may be substantially below our expectations.
The electricity produced, and revenues generated by a renewable energy generation facility are highly dependent on suitable meteorological conditions, and associated weather conditions which are beyond our control. Our geothermal asset Coso depends on the geothermal resource available on the site of the plant, which is also ultimately beyond our control. Unfavorable weather and atmospheric conditions could impair the effectiveness of our assets or reduce their output beneath their rated capacity or require shutdown of key equipment, hampering operation of our renewable assets and our ability to achieve forecasted revenues and cash flows. We base our investment decisions with respect to each renewable generation facility on the findings of related wind, solar and geothermal studies conducted on-site by third parties prior to construction or based on historical conditions at existing facilities. However, actual climatic conditions at a facility site, particularly wind conditions, which are sometimes severe, may not conform to the findings of these studies and therefore, our solar, wind and geothermal energy facilities may not meet anticipated production levels or the rated capacity of its generation assets, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In the case of Coso, geothermal resource may not meet our expectations, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 4
Changed
Our business may be adversely affected by an increased number of extreme and chronic weather events including related to climate change.
Climate change is causing an increasing number of severe, chronic and extreme weather events which are a risk to our facilities and may impact them. In addition, climate change may cause transition risks, related to existing and emerging regulation related to climate change. These risks include: • Acute physical. Severe and extreme weather events include severe winds and rains, hail, hurricanes, cyclones, droughts, as well as the risk of fire and flooding, among others and are becoming more frequent as a result of climate change. Any of these extreme weather events could cause damage to our assets and/or business interruption. Our assets were designed and built by third parties complying with technical codes, local regulations and environmental impact studies. Technical codes should consider extreme weather events based on historical information and should include design safety margins. However, an increased severity of extreme weather events could have an impact on our assets. - Severe floods could damage our transmission lines, our solar generation assets or our water facilities. - Severe winds could cause damage the solar fields at our solar assets. - Storms with intense lightning activity could damage our plants, especially our wind farms. - Severe droughts could result in water restrictions that may affect our operations and which may force us to stop generation at some of our facilities. For example, some regions in Spain are currently experiencing a severe drought, which may affect our facilities. A deterioration of the quality of the water would also have an impact on chemical costs in our water treatment plants at our generating facilities. - If our transmission assets caused a fire, we could be found liable if the fire damaged third parties. - Severe winter weather, like the storm in February 2021 in Texas, could cause supply from wind farms to decline due to wind turbine equipment freezing. Also, natural gas assets could trip offline due to operational issues caused by freezing conditions. - Rising temperatures and droughts could cause wildfires like the ones that have affected California starting in 2017. In California wildfires have been especially catastrophic, causing human fatalities and significant material losses. Although our assets in California are located in areas without trees and vegetation, wildfires affected one of our clients in the recent past. One of our off-takers is PG&E, a large utility in California which filed for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11 due to large liabilities caused by its potential involvement in wildfires in California in 2017 and 2018. On July 1, 2020, PG&E emerged from Chapter 11. (see “Downstream” described below). Components of our equipment and systems, such as structures, mirrors, absorber tubes, blades, PV panels or transformers are susceptible to being damaged by severe weather. In addition, replacement and spare parts for key components may be difficult or costly to acquire or may be unavailable and may have long lead times. In addition, damage caused by our equipment to third parties due to weather events can result in liabilities for the Company. • Chronic physical. An increase in temperatures can reduce efficiency and increase operating costs at our plants. o The Emissions Gaps Report issued by the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) in October 2021 states that even if all unconditional Nationally Determined Contributions combined with other mitigation measures put the world on track for a global temperature rise of 2.7°C (rise of 4.9ºF) by the end of the century. That is well above the goals of the Paris climate agreement and would lead to catastrophic changes in the Earth’s climate). The main impacts of rising temperatures include: - Lower turbine efficiency in our efficient natural gas asset. - Reduced efficiency at our solar photovoltaic generation assets. - Lower air density at our wind facilities. - Higher consumption of chemicals used for operational purposes at our water treatment plants. o A reduction of mean precipitations may result in a reduction of availability of water from aquifers and could also modify the main water properties at our generation facilities. If any of these acute physical or chronic physical risks were to materialize at any of our plants, facilities or electric transmission lines, we may not be able to carry out our business activities at that location or such operations could be significantly reduced. Any of these circumstances could result in lost revenue at these sites during the period of disruption and costly remediation, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. • Current Regulation. Atlantica is directly affected by environmental regulation at all our assets. This includes climate-related risks driven by laws, regulation, taxation, disclosure of emissions and other practices. As an example, we are subject to the requirements of the U.K. Climate Change Act 2008 on greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions reporting, and the Commission Regulation (EU) No 601/2012. Two U.S. solar plants are also subject to the permits under the Clean Air Act. • Emerging Regulation. Changes in regulation could have a negative impact on Atlantica's growth or cause an increase in costs. Renewable energy projects currently benefit from various U.S. federal, state and local governmental incentives. These policies have had a significant impact on the development of renewable energy and they could change. These incentives make the development of renewable energy projects more competitive by providing tax credits, accelerated depreciation and expensing for a portion of the development costs. A reduction in such incentives could decrease the attractiveness of renewable energy to developers, utilities, retailers and customers. In addition, an increase in regulation could cause an increase in our compliance costs. See “—VII Risks Related to Regulation — Government regulations could change at any time and such changes may negatively impact our current business and growth strategy”. In addition, there may be additional taxes on GHG emissions. Some governments in certain geographies already have mechanisms in place for taxing GHG emissions and some other governments are considering establishing comparable mechanisms for the future. Additional taxes on emissions would increase the costs of operating the assets in our portfolio which have GHG emissions, particularly our natural gas assets. • Reputation. Decreased access to capital. Climate change and ESG are becoming important criteria for shareholders and investors. In the last few years, we have seen an increased number of funds investing in renewable energy companies and a significant increase in the number of ETFs with a focus on clean energy and ESG investment. While a significant part of our business consists of renewable energy assets, we also own assets that can be considered less environmentally friendly, currently consisting of a 300 MW efficient natural gas plant and a non-controlling stake in a gas-fired engine facility which uses natural gas, both in Mexico. Owning these assets with higher GHG emissions than the rest of the portfolio may have a negative reputational impact on Atlantica as a renewable energy company. We rely on capital markets and bank financing to fund our growth initiatives. If our reputation worsened, our cost of capital could increase and our access to capital may become more difficult. In addition, some potential employees and /or suppliers could perceive Atlantica as a less appealing company due to an eventual deterioration in our reputation due to the foregoing. • Downstream. Some of our clients are large utilities or industrial corporations. These are also exposed to significant climate change related risks, including current and emerging regulation, acute and chronic physical risks. A negative climate-related risk impact on our clients, including their credit quality could lead to their inability to comply with their obligations under our existing contracts. For example, one of our off-takers, PG&E, a large utility company in California, filed for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11 due to liabilities related to its potential involvement in wildfires in California in 2017 and 2018. PG&E is the off-taker for our Mojave asset and emerged from Chapter 11 on July 1, 2020. During this process, California Legislature approved Assembly Bill 1054 which among other reforms created a Wildfire Fund, which would be available for eligible electric utility companies to pay eligible claims for liabilities arising from wildfires. If our clients are affected by climate related risks, this could impact their credit quality and affect their ability to comply with the existing contract. The efforts we may undertake in the future, to respond to the evolving and increased regulation, environmental initiatives of customers, investors, shareholders and other stakeholders, reputational risks related to climate change and climate related risks affecting our clients may cause increased costs, more difficult access to capital markets, a deterioration in the credit quality of our clients and other negative circumstances which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 2/59 (3%)Above Sector Average
Sales & Marketing2 | 3.4%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Changed
Counterparties to our off-take agreements may not fulfill their obligations and, as our contracts expire, we may not be able to replace them with agreements on similar terms or at all in light of increasing competition in the markets in which we operate.
A significant portion of the electric power we generate, the transmission capacity we have, and our desalination capacity is sold under long-term off-take agreements with public utilities, industrial or commercial end-users or governmental entities, with a weighted average remaining duration of approximately 15 years as of December 31, 2021. If, for any reason, including, but not limited to, a deterioration in their financial situation or bankruptcy, any of our clients are unable or unwilling to fulfill their related contractual obligations or if they refuse to accept delivery of power delivered thereunder or if they otherwise terminate such agreements prior to the expiration thereof, or if prices were re-negotiated under a bankruptcy situation or a contract default situation, or if they delayed payments, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flow may be materially adversely affected. Furthermore, to the extent any of our power, transmission capacity or desalination capacity purchasers are, or are controlled by, governmental entities, our facilities may be subject to sovereign risk or legislative or other political action that may hamper their contractual performance. The credit rating of Eskom is currently CCC+ from S&P Global Rating (“S&P”), Caa1 from Moody’s Investor Service Inc. (“Moody’s”) and B from Fitch Ratings Inc. (“Fitch”). Eskom which is the off-taker of our Kaxu solar plant, is a state-owned, limited liability company, wholly owned by the government of the Republic of South Africa. Eskom’s payment guarantees to our Kaxu solar plant are underwritten by the South African Department of Energy, under the terms of an implementation agreement. The credit ratings of the Republic of South Africa have also weakened and as of the date of this annual report are BB-/Ba2/BB- by S&P, Moody’s and Fitch, respectively. In addition, Pemex’s credit rating and financial condition have also weakened and is currently BBB, Ba3 and BB- from S&P, Moody’s and Fitch, respectively. We have been experiencing delays from Pemex in collections since the second half of 2019 which have been significant in certain quarters. The cost of renewable energy has considerably decreased over the past several years, becoming a consistently competitive source of power generation compared to traditional fossil fuels in many regions, and it is expected to continue falling in the future. In addition, there has been an increase in the number of players and competition in the renewable energy space in the last few years, including industrial companies and other independent power producers as well as large infrastructure funds and other financial players. The reduction in the cost of renewable energy and the increase in competition has contributed to a reduction in electricity prices paid by off-takers. Our competitors may be able to operate at lower costs, which may adversely affect our ability to compete for off-take agreement renewals. In light of these market conditions, our off-takers may try to renegotiate or terminate our PPAs, most of which were signed several years ago and may be more expensive than recent PPAs or current market prices. We may not be able to replace an expiring or terminated agreement with an agreement on equivalent terms and conditions, including at prices that permit operation of the related facility on a profitable basis. Our inability to enter into new or replacement off-take agreements or to compete successfully against current and future competitors may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
Potential future defaults by our subsidiaries, our off-takers, our suppliers, Abengoa or other persons could adversely affect us.
The financing agreements of our project subsidiaries are primarily loan agreements which provide that the repayment of the loans (and interest thereon) is secured solely by the shares, physical assets, contracts and cash flow of that project company. This type of financing is usually referred to herein as “project debt.” As of December 31, 2021, we had $5,036.2 million of outstanding indebtedness under various project-level debt arrangements. While the lenders under our project debt do not have direct recourse to us or our subsidiaries (other than the letter of credit and bank guarantee facilities), defaults by the project borrowers under such financings can still have important consequences for us and our subsidiaries, including, without limitation: • reducing our receipt of dividends, fees, interest payments, loans and other sources of cash, since the project company will typically be prohibited from distributing cash to us and our subsidiaries until the event of default is cured or waived; • default under our other debt instruments; • causing us to record a loss in the event the lender forecloses on the assets of the project company; and • the loss or impairment of investors and project finance lenders’ confidence in us. If we fail to satisfy any of our debt service obligations or breach any related financial or operating covenants, the applicable lender could declare the full amount of the relevant project debt to be immediately due and payable and could foreclose on any assets pledged as collateral. In addition, the project financing arrangement for Kaxu contains cross-default provisions related to Abengoa such that debt defaults by Abengoa, subject to certain threshold amounts and/or a restructuring process, could trigger a default under the Kaxu project financing arrangement. In 2021, we obtained a waiver which was subsequently extended and is subject to the lenders receiving certain documents from us. See “—III Risks Related to Our Relationship with Algonquin and Abengoa—If Abengoa defaults on certain of its debt obligations, including as a result of the insolvency filing by their holding company Abengoa S.A., we could potentially be in default of certain of our project financing agreements.” Under the Revolving Credit Facility, the 2020 Green Private Placement, the Green Senior Notes and the Note Issuance Facility 2020, a payment default with respect to indebtedness having an aggregate principal amount above certain thresholds by us, any guarantor thereof or one or more of our non-recourse subsidiaries representing more than 25% of the cash available for distribution distributed in the previous four fiscal quarters could trigger a default. Any of these events may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 1/59 (2%)Above Sector Average
Cyber Security1 | 1.7%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Added
Our information technology and communications systems are subject to cybersecurity risk and other risks. The failure of these systems could significantly impact our operations and business.
We are dependent upon information technology systems to run our operations. Our information technology systems are subject to disruption, damage or failure from a variety of sources, including, without limitation, computer viruses, security breaches, cyber-attacks, ransomware attacks, malicious or destructive code, phishing attacks, natural disasters, design defects, denial-of-service-attacks or information or fraud or other security breaches. Recently, energy facilities worldwide have been experiencing an increased number of cyber-attacks. Cybersecurity incidents, in particular, are constantly evolving and include malicious software, attempts to gain unauthorized access to data and other electronic security breaches that could lead to disruptions in systems, unauthorized release of confidential or otherwise protected information and to the corruption of data. The COVID-19 pandemic and remote working has also increased the exposure to cybersecurity risks. Various measures have been implemented to minimize our risks related to information technology systems and network disruptions. However, given the unpredictability of the timing, nature and scope of information technology disruptions, we could potentially be subject to production downtimes, operational delays, the compromising of confidential or otherwise protected information, destruction or corruption of data, security breaches, other manipulation or improper use of our systems and networks or financial losses from remedial actions, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows. We maintain global information technology and communication networks and applications to support our business activities. Given the increasing sophistication and evolving nature of the above mentioned threats, we cannot rule out the possibility of them occurring in the future, and information technology security processes may not prevent future damages to systems, malicious actions, denial-of-service attacks, or fraud, resulting in corruption of our systems, theft of commercially sensitive data, unauthorized release, gathering, monitoring, misuse, loss or destruction of confidential, proprietary and other information, misappropriation of funds and businesses (also known as phishing), or other material disruptions to network access or business operations. To our knowledge, we have not experienced any of the system and data breaches described above. However, material system breaches and failures could result in significant interruptions that could in turn affect our operating results and reputation and cash flows.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.